Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

DePaul def. Villanova 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: DePaul 64.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 6:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

DePaul beat visiting Villanova 3-1 (25-17, 23-25, 26-24, 25-14) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. DePaul's Kendall Timme led with 18 kills, and Martina Diana added 16 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
NOVA172524141
DEPAUL252326253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

DePaul needed all of Kendall Timme's 22 points to get by Villanova.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows DePaul's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had DePaul at 64%.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Villanova 11–13 DePaul

    4 straight Villanova points turned an 11–13 deficit into a 15–13 lead.

    DePaul 69% → 51%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Villanova 21–17 DePaul

    DePaul scored 4 straight to erase a 17–21 deficit and tie it at 21. The match swung to DePaul.

    DePaul 38% → 58%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 3 · Villanova 23–23 DePaul

    DePaul won 3 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 26–24 and lead 2–1.

    DePaul 57% → 82%

DePaul above 50Villanova belowMax swing 13.0%

VillanovaDePaul

Sideout %
Villanova 48.0·DePaul 59.3
Break %
Villanova 40.7·DePaul 52.0
Hitting
Villanova .075·DePaul .228
Longest run
Villanova 8·DePaul 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

DePaul above 50 · Villanova below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+13.0% DEPAULrally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 13.0% to DePaul — set 3, NOVA 23-24 DEPAUL. Cat Young stuffed by Caroline Wright & Yagmur Yavuz. DEPAUL win probability 57% → 70%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NOVA 28.4%71.6% DEPAUL

Villanova wins

3-0
5.3%
3-1
9.9%
3-2
13.2%

DePaul wins

3-0
24.4%
3-1
27.4%
3-2
19.7%
NOVA break %
39.7% vs this opp
DEPAUL break %
44.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Cat Young stuffed by Caroline Wright & Yagmur Yavuz

    Set 3 · NOVA 23-24 DEPAUL · DEPAUL 57% → 70%

  2. 02
    DePaulAce+12.1%

    DePaul ace

    Set 3 · NOVA 24-26 DEPAUL · DEPAUL 70% → 82%

  3. 03
    Campbell McKinnonAttack error+10.3%

    Attack error by Campbell McKinnon

    Set 3 · NOVA 23-23 DEPAUL · DEPAUL 47% → 57%

  4. 04

    Kill by Campbell McKinnon (set by Alyssa Nelson)

    Set 3 · NOVA 23-21 DEPAUL · NOVA 48% → 58%

  5. 05
    DePaulService error+8.7%

    DePaul service error

    Set 3 · NOVA 24-24 DEPAUL · NOVA 30% → 39%

  6. 06
    Kendall TimmeKill+8.7%

    Kill by Kendall Timme (set by Leonor Polezzi)

    Set 3 · NOVA 24-25 DEPAUL · DEPAUL 61% → 70%

  7. 07

    Kill by Leonor Polezzi (set by Alyssa Nelson)

    Set 3 · NOVA 21-21 DEPAUL · DEPAUL 50% → 58%

  8. 08
    DePaulService error+6.4%

    DePaul service error

    Set 2 · NOVA 25-23 DEPAUL · NOVA 33% → 39%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417953.1511118012220
49933.00000080010.59.5
48218.33300020010.58.5
43613-.23100010010.53.5
4102.5003211500002
4000–000600000
45625-.04011240010.56.5
4000–014000001
4000–2121510001
3012-.500000000000
2000–001100000
11011.000000000001
Team totals4433147.0753651150616480
DePaulhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418645.2671113122322
49118.44422240212.513.5
410627.1481035000010
47423.130102160111.58.5
4102.5003724100010.53.5
4117.000000200423
4001.0001011200000
4000–000210000
2000–010000001
1000–00010010.50.5
Team totals4618123.228436135555101099

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Villanova vs DePaul

Season series · DePaul leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 NOVA · DEPAUL 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 NOVADEPAUL 4

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 8 NOVADEPAUL 6

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 4 NOVADEPAUL 4

Set 4

14-25

Longest run 2 NOVADEPAUL 4

Bars above the line = DePaul leads, below = Villanova leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Villanova

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%8/16
33%4/12
2
62%8/13
43%6/14
3
80%8/10
56%10/18
4
50%8/16
33%4/12
5
35%8/23
43%6/14
6
35%7/20
27%3/11
All
48%47/98
41%33/81

DePaul

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%8/13
63%12/19
2
62%8/13
27%3/11
3
42%8/19
27%3/11
4
62%8/13
43%6/14
5
62%8/13
56%10/18
6
80%8/10
68%17/25
All
59%48/81
52%51/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

179 rallies

#NOVA-DEPAULSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1DEPAULDEPAUL×3KillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+2.4
20-2DEPAULDEPAUL×3Bad setAlyssa Nelson+2.3
30-3DEPAULDEPAUL×3Attack errCat Young+2.1
41-3DEPAULNOVAServe errDePaul+1.4
51-4NOVADEPAULBlockedCampbell McKinnonblk Kendall Timme+1.5
62-4DEPAULNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.4
72-5NOVADEPAULKillMartina Dianaset Leonor Polezzi+1.5
83-5DEPAULNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+1.4
93-6NOVADEPAULKillJade Eppsset Leonor Polezzi+1.5
104-6DEPAULNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.4
114-7NOVADEPAULServe errVillanova+1.5
124-8DEPAULDEPAULAttack errTaylor Lewis+2.0
135-8DEPAULNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
145-9NOVADEPAULKillKendall Timmeset Jade Epps+1.4
156-9DEPAULNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.3
167-9NOVANOVAAttack errKendall Timme+2.2
177-10NOVADEPAULServe errVillanova+1.7
187-11DEPAULDEPAULAttack errCat Young+2.2
198-11DEPAULNOVAServe errDePaul+1.3
208-12NOVADEPAULAttack errCampbell McKinnon+1.5
219-12DEPAULNOVAAttack errIsabela Tavares-Salomon+1.3
229-13NOVADEPAULServe errVillanova+1.5
2310-13DEPAULNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.3
2410-14NOVADEPAUL×4KillIsabela Tavares-Salomonset Leonor Polezzi+1.5
2510-15DEPAULDEPAUL×4Attack errTaylor Lewis+1.8
2610-16DEPAULDEPAUL×4KillMartina Dianaset Leonor Polezzi+1.3
2710-17DEPAULDEPAUL×4KillJade Eppsset Leonor Polezzi+0.9
2811-17DEPAULNOVA×4KillAnnika Veurinkset Campbell McKinnon+0.4
2912-17NOVANOVA×4Attack errMartina Diana+0.9
3013-17NOVANOVA×4KillAlyssa Nelsonset Nora Mannion+1.3
3114-17NOVANOVA×4KillCat Youngset Mina Diggs+1.9
3214-18NOVADEPAUL×3KillMartina Dianaset Leonor Polezzi+1.7
3314-19DEPAULDEPAUL×3KillJade Eppsset Alyssa Nelson+1.8
3414-20DEPAULDEPAUL×3Attack errCat Young+1.1
3515-20DEPAULNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+0.4
3615-21NOVADEPAUL×4Attack errCat Young+0.7
3715-22DEPAULDEPAUL×4KillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+0.5
3815-23DEPAULDEPAUL×4Attack errTaylor Lewis+0.2
3915-24DEPAULDEPAUL×4AceDePaul·
4016-24DEPAULNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson·
4117-24NOVANOVAKillCat Young·
4217-25NOVADEPAULServe errVillanova·
Set 2
10-1NOVADEPAULBlockedReagan McGivernblk Kendall Timme+1.4
21-1DEPAULNOVA×3Serve errDePaul+1.4
32-1NOVANOVA×3KillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+2.2
43-1NOVANOVA×3AceVillanovaaced Kendall Timme+2.3
53-2NOVADEPAULKillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+1.5
64-2DEPAULNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+1.6
75-2NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnon+2.3
85-3NOVADEPAULKillIsabela Tavares-Salomonset Leonor Polezzi+1.4
95-4DEPAULDEPAULKillIsabela Tavares-Salomonset Leonor Polezzi+2.3
106-4DEPAULNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
116-5NOVADEPAULKillIsabela Tavares-Salomonset Abby Cahill+1.6
127-5DEPAULNOVAServe errDePaul+1.7
137-6NOVADEPAULKillJade Eppsset Leonor Polezzi+1.6
148-6DEPAULNOVABlockedKendall Timmeblk Cat Young, Reagan McGivern+1.8
158-7NOVADEPAULKillJade Eppsset Leonor Polezzi+1.6
169-7DEPAULNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.8
1710-7NOVANOVAAttack errKendall Timme+2.6
1810-8NOVADEPAULKillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+1.6
1910-9DEPAULDEPAULAttack errReagan McGivern+2.6
2011-9DEPAULNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.9
2112-9NOVANOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+2.8
2212-10NOVADEPAULKillIsabela Tavares-Salomonset Leonor Polezzi+1.6
2313-10DEPAULNOVA×8KillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+2.0
2414-10NOVANOVA×8KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.6
2515-10NOVANOVA×8Attack errIsabela Tavares-Salomon+2.2
2616-10NOVANOVA×8KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
2717-10NOVANOVA×8BlockedIsabela Tavares-Salomonblk Campbell McKinnon, Annika Veurink+1.2
2818-10NOVANOVA×8Attack errMartina Diana+0.8
2919-10NOVANOVA×8KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.5
3020-10NOVANOVA×8AceVillanova+0.2
3120-11NOVADEPAULKillIsabela Tavares-Salomonset Leonor Polezzi+0.1
3221-11DEPAULNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+0.1
3321-12NOVADEPAUL×3KillJade Eppsset Leonor Polezzi·
3421-13DEPAULDEPAUL×3Attack errCat Young+0.1
3521-14DEPAULDEPAUL×3KillMartina Dianaset Isabela Tavares-Salomon+0.2
3622-14DEPAULNOVAServe errDePaul+0.3
3723-14NOVANOVAAceVillanovaaced Nora Mannion+0.1
3823-15NOVADEPAUL×6BlockedCat Youngblk Jade Epps·
3923-16DEPAULDEPAUL×6BlockedTaylor Lewisblk Jade Epps, Kendall Timme+0.1
4023-17DEPAULDEPAUL×6KillKendall Timme+0.1
4123-18DEPAULDEPAUL×6KillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+0.3
4223-19DEPAULDEPAUL×6Attack errCampbell McKinnon+0.6
4323-20DEPAULDEPAUL×6KillKendall Timmeset Jade Epps+1.2
4424-20DEPAULNOVAServe errDePaul+1.6
4524-21NOVADEPAUL×3KillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+0.4
4624-22DEPAULDEPAUL×3BlockedCat Youngblk Caroline Wright, Leonor Polezzi+1.5
4724-23DEPAULDEPAUL×3AceDePaulaced Mina Diggs+3.7
4825-23DEPAULNOVAServe errDePaul+6.4
Set 3
10-1DEPAULDEPAULBlockedReagan McGivernblk Kendall Timme, Caroline Wright+3.2
20-2DEPAULDEPAULAttack errCampbell McKinnon+3.1
31-2DEPAULNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.1
41-3NOVADEPAULServe errVillanova+2.1
51-4DEPAULDEPAULAttack errAnnika Veurink+3.0
62-4DEPAULNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.9
73-4NOVANOVAAttack errIsabela Tavares-Salomon+3.2
83-5NOVADEPAULKillMartina Dianaset Leonor Polezzi+2.2
94-5DEPAULNOVAServe errDePaul+2.2
105-5NOVANOVAAttack errMartina Diana+3.6
115-6NOVADEPAULKillJade Eppsset Leonor Polezzi+2.5
125-7DEPAULDEPAULKillMartina Dianaset Leonor Polezzi+3.5
136-7DEPAULNOVAAttack errJade Epps+2.3
147-7NOVANOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+3.8
157-8NOVADEPAULServe errVillanova+2.6
168-8DEPAULNOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.7
179-8NOVANOVA×3AceVillanova+4.2
1810-8NOVANOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+4.3
1910-9NOVADEPAUL×4KillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+2.7
2010-10DEPAULDEPAUL×4KillCaroline Wrightset Leonor Polezzi+4.2
2110-11DEPAULDEPAUL×4KillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+4.3
2210-12DEPAULDEPAUL×4AceDePaul+4.1
2311-12DEPAULNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+2.6
2411-13NOVADEPAULKillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+2.8
2512-13DEPAULNOVA×4Serve errDePaul+2.7
2613-13NOVANOVA×4KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+4.6
2714-13NOVANOVA×4KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+5.0
2815-13NOVANOVA×4BlockedKendall Timmeblk Campbell McKinnon+5.2
2915-14NOVADEPAULServe errVillanova+3.2
3015-15DEPAULDEPAULAceDePaul+5.2
3116-15DEPAULNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+3.8
3217-15NOVANOVAAttack errMartina Diana+5.7
3317-16NOVADEPAULKillIsabela Tavares-Salomonset Leonor Polezzi+3.4
3418-16DEPAULNOVA×3BlockedIsabela Tavares-Salomonblk Campbell McKinnon, Taylor Lewis+4.1
3519-16NOVANOVA×3AceVillanova+5.5
3620-16NOVANOVA×3Attack errIsabela Tavares-Salomon+4.5
3720-17NOVADEPAULServe errVillanova+2.0
3821-17DEPAULNOVAServe errDePaul+3.1
3921-18NOVADEPAUL×4Serve errVillanova+1.8
4021-19DEPAULDEPAUL×4Attack errTaylor Lewis+4.2
4121-20DEPAULDEPAUL×4Attack errCampbell McKinnon+6.0
4221-21DEPAULDEPAUL×4KillLeonor Polezziset Alyssa Nelson+7.8
4322-21DEPAULNOVAServe errDePaul+6.3
4423-21NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+9.2
4523-22NOVADEPAUL×3BlockedReagan McGivernblk Jade Epps+4.3
4623-23DEPAULDEPAUL×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+10.3
4723-24DEPAULDEPAUL×3BlockedCat Youngblk Caroline Wright, Yagmur Yavuz+13.0
4824-24DEPAULNOVAServe errDePaul+8.7
4924-25NOVADEPAULKillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+8.7
5024-26DEPAULDEPAULAceDePaul+12.1
Set 4
11-0NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+3.0
21-1NOVADEPAULKillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+2.0
32-1DEPAULNOVAAttack errKendall Timme+2.1
42-2NOVADEPAUL×3Serve errVillanova+2.1
52-3DEPAULDEPAUL×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+3.0
62-4DEPAULDEPAUL×3AceDePaul+2.9
73-4DEPAULNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+1.9
83-5NOVADEPAULKillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+2.0
93-6DEPAULDEPAULBlockedTaylor Lewisblk Martina Diana, Caroline Wright+2.8
104-6DEPAULNOVAServe errDePaul+1.8
114-7NOVADEPAUL×3Serve errVillanova+1.9
124-8DEPAULDEPAUL×3Attack errReagan McGivern+2.5
134-9DEPAULDEPAUL×3KillIsabela Tavares-Salomonset Martina Diana+2.1
145-9DEPAULNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
155-10NOVADEPAUL×3KillIsabela Tavares-Salomonset Leonor Polezzi+1.4
165-11DEPAULDEPAUL×3BlockedReagan McGivernblk Martina Diana+1.7
175-12DEPAULDEPAUL×3KillJade Eppsset Leonor Polezzi+1.3
186-12DEPAULNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+0.7
196-13NOVADEPAULKillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+0.8
207-13DEPAULNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.6
217-14NOVADEPAULKillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+0.8
228-14DEPAULNOVAAttack errKendall Timme+0.6
238-15NOVADEPAULKillKendall Timmeset Leonor Polezzi+0.8
248-16DEPAULDEPAULAttack errAnnika Veurink+0.8
259-16DEPAULNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+0.3
269-17NOVADEPAULKillIsabela Tavares-Salomonset Leonor Polezzi+0.5
2710-17DEPAULNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.3
2811-17NOVANOVAAttack errCaroline Wright+0.7
2911-18NOVADEPAULAttack errCat Young+0.7
3012-18DEPAULNOVAKillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+0.4
3113-18NOVANOVAKillCat Youngset Taylor Lewis+1.0
3213-19NOVADEPAUL×3Serve errVillanova+1.0
3313-20DEPAULDEPAUL×3KillMartina Dianaset Kendall Timme+0.8
3413-21DEPAULDEPAUL×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+0.4
3514-21DEPAULNOVAKillCat Youngset Mina Diggs+0.1
3614-22NOVADEPAUL×4KillJade Eppsset Leonor Polezzi+0.2
3714-23DEPAULDEPAUL×4Attack errCampbell McKinnon+0.1
3814-24DEPAULDEPAUL×4Attack errCampbell McKinnon·
3914-25DEPAULDEPAUL×4Attack errLoren Winn·

Score shown after each rally, Villanova first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).