Final · 4 setsWed, Oct 14, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Villanova def. Georgetown 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Villanova 67.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 14, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Villanova beat visiting Georgetown 3-1 (25-22, 21-25, 25-21, 25-18) on Wed, Oct 14, 2026. Villanova's Taylor Lewis led with 13 kills, and Mina Diggs added 19 digs.

Data through · final Oct 14

Set1234Sets
GTOWN222521181
NOVA252125253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Georgetown hit .102. Villanova held them there all match.

No single rally moved win probability more than 6.5 points. Georgetown peaked at 50% in Set 3. These are the numbers behind it. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Villanova at 67%.

GeorgetownVillanova
  • Longest run+0
    55

    Villanova scored 5 straight in the third set to stretch an 18–17 lead to 23–17. Final score of the set: 25–21.

Villanova above 50Georgetown belowMax swing 6.5%

GeorgetownVillanova

Hitting
Georgetown .102·Villanova .162
Aces
Georgetown 7·Villanova 8
Serve err
Georgetown 9·Villanova 10
Blocks
Georgetown 10·Villanova 112 BS · 16 BA vs 3 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Georgetown 49·Villanova 53

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Villanova above 50 · Georgetown below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.5% NOVArally 182 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.5% to Villanova — set 1, GTOWN 22-24 NOVA. Attack error by Bella McGirr. NOVA win probability 72% → 78%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

GTOWN 33.0%67.0% NOVA

Georgetown wins

3-0
6.6%
3-1
11.7%
3-2
14.7%

Villanova wins

3-0
21.2%
3-1
25.7%
3-2
20.0%
GTOWN break %
40.1% vs this opp
NOVA break %
43.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Bella McGirrAttack error+6.5%

    Attack error by Bella McGirr

    Set 1 · GTOWN 22-24 NOVA · NOVA 72% → 78%

  2. 02
    Reagan McGivernAttack error+5.3%

    Attack error by Reagan McGivern

    Set 1 · GTOWN 21-21 NOVA · GTOWN 28% → 33%

  3. 03
    Chloe KellyAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Chloe Kelly

    Set 3 · GTOWN 16-16 NOVA · GTOWN 32% → 37%

  4. 04

    Kill by Annika Veurink (set by Alyssa Nelson)

    Set 3 · GTOWN 16-18 NOVA · NOVA 67% → 72%

  5. 05

    Kill by Campbell McKinnon (set by Alyssa Nelson)

    Set 1 · GTOWN 22-23 NOVA · NOVA 67% → 72%

  6. 06
    Chloe KellyKill+4.6%

    Kill by Chloe Kelly (set by Alyssa Nelson)

    Set 3 · GTOWN 13-14 NOVA · NOVA 62% → 67%

  7. 07
    Berkeley PloderAttack error+4.6%

    Attack error by Berkeley Ploder

    Set 3 · GTOWN 14-16 NOVA · NOVA 67% → 71%

  8. 08
    Taylor LewisAce+4.6%

    Ace by Taylor Lewis on Bella McGirr

    Set 1 · GTOWN 19-21 NOVA · NOVA 70% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412423.34803030073.518.5
411630.1670105200012
48533.09101370010.59.5
44919-.263100201437
45214.21400010111.56.5
4001.0001413800001
4226.00000020031.53.5
4012-.5005111210001
4000–1702600000
4000–200330000
1000–000000000
Team totals4229128.10239794982161086
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413225.4400212010116
4111444-.0681025104213
49423.21700010031.510.5
43211.09100000174.57.5
4307.4293512140010.54.5
4116.000003710001
47313.30800000111.58.5
4000–331520003
4001.0004211920002
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals4726130.162438105373161196

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Georgetown vs Villanova

Season series · Villanova leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 GTOWN · NOVA 5

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 GTOWNNOVA 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 GTOWNNOVA 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 GTOWNNOVA 5

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 5 GTOWNNOVA 5

Bars above the line = Villanova leads, below = Georgetown leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Georgetown

SlotSideout %Break %
1
56%9/16
55%11/20
2
57%8/14
44%7/16
3
44%8/18
20%2/10
4
62%8/13
47%7/15
5
62%8/13
47%7/15
6
33%7/21
36%4/11
All
51%48/95
44%38/87

Villanova

SlotSideout %Break %
1
42%10/24
53%9/17
2
62%8/13
47%7/15
3
67%8/12
43%6/14
4
53%8/15
58%11/19
5
57%8/14
38%5/13
6
78%7/9
53%9/17
All
56%49/87
49%47/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

182 rallies

#GTOWN-NOVASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1NOVANOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+2.2
21-1NOVAGTOWN×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+1.6
32-1GTOWNGTOWN×3KillDionna Mitchellset Juleigh Urbina+2.4
43-1GTOWNGTOWN×3KillKamryn Lee-Caracci+2.5
53-2GTOWNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
63-3NOVANOVABlockedKatherine McGregorblk Campbell McKinnon, Annika Veurink+2.4
74-3NOVAGTOWNAttack errCampbell McKinnon+1.8
85-3GTOWNGTOWNAceGeorgetownaced Cat Young+2.6
95-4GTOWNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.7
105-5NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Mina Diggs+2.6
116-5NOVAGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploderset Juleigh Urbina+1.9
126-6GTOWNNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.8
136-7NOVANOVABlockedBerkeley Ploderblk Reagan McGivern+2.6
147-7NOVAGTOWN×4Serve errVillanova+1.9
158-7GTOWNGTOWN×4Attack errReagan McGivern+2.8
169-7GTOWNGTOWN×4KillBerkeley Ploder+2.9
1710-7GTOWNGTOWN×4AceGeorgetownaced Marikate Ritterbusch+2.9
1810-8GTOWNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.8
1911-8NOVAGTOWNKillAlexis Andersonset Natalie Nguyen+2.1
2012-8GTOWNGTOWNAceGeorgetownaced Marikate Ritterbusch+2.8
2112-9GTOWNNOVA×4KillCat Youngset Alyssa Nelson+1.6
2212-10NOVANOVA×4BlockedAlexis Andersonblk Alyssa Nelson, Annika Veurink+2.7
2312-11NOVANOVA×4KillChloe Kellyset Mina Diggs+3.0
2412-12NOVANOVA×4Attack errMaria Filippova+3.2
2513-12NOVAGTOWNKillAlexis Andersonset Bella McGirr+2.4
2613-13GTOWNNOVAServe errGeorgetown+2.3
2714-13NOVAGTOWNServe errVillanova+2.5
2814-14GTOWNNOVAServe errGeorgetown+2.4
2914-15NOVANOVAAceMina Diggsaced Dionna Mitchell+3.5
3015-15NOVAGTOWNKillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+2.5
3116-15GTOWNGTOWNAttack errAnnika Veurink+3.9
3216-16GTOWNNOVAKillAlyssa Nelson+2.6
3316-17NOVANOVAAttack errKatherine McGregor+3.9
3417-17NOVAGTOWNServe errVillanova+2.8
3518-17GTOWNGTOWNBad setAlyssa Nelson+4.4
3618-18GTOWNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+3.0
3718-19NOVANOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+4.5
3819-19NOVAGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Taylor Mercado+3.1
3919-20GTOWNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+3.4
4019-21NOVANOVAAceTaylor Lewisaced Bella McGirr+4.6
4120-21NOVAGTOWNKillAlexis Andersonset Natalie Nguyen+2.7
4221-21GTOWNGTOWNAttack errReagan McGivern+5.3
4321-22GTOWNNOVAKillAlyssa Nelsonset Marikate Ritterbusch+4.2
4422-22NOVAGTOWNKillAlexis Andersonset Natalie Nguyen+4.2
4522-23GTOWNNOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+5.0
4622-24NOVANOVA×3Attack errBella McGirr+6.5
4722-25NOVANOVA×3BlockedKamryn Lee-Caracciblk Chloe Kelly, Annika Veurink+3.3
Set 2
11-0GTOWNGTOWN×4BlockedCat Youngblk Alexis Anderson, Kamryn Lee-Caracci+2.0
22-0GTOWNGTOWN×4Attack errAnnika Veurink+2.1
33-0GTOWNGTOWN×4KillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Juleigh Urbina+2.1
44-0GTOWNGTOWN×4AceGeorgetownaced Mina Diggs+2.1
54-1GTOWNNOVABlockedKatherine McGregorblk Campbell McKinnon, Annika Veurink+1.3
65-1NOVAGTOWNAttack errCampbell McKinnon+1.5
76-1GTOWNGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Taylor Mercado+2.0
86-2GTOWNNOVAAttack errDionna Mitchell+1.2
96-3NOVANOVAAttack errAlyssa Nelson+1.9
107-3NOVAGTOWNBlockedReagan McGivernblk Berkeley Ploder+1.5
117-4GTOWNNOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+1.3
127-5NOVANOVA×3KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.1
137-6NOVANOVA×3Attack errDionna Mitchell+2.2
148-6NOVAGTOWNServe errVillanova+1.7
159-6GTOWNGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Bella McGirr+2.4
169-7GTOWNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Marikate Ritterbusch+1.5
1710-7NOVAGTOWN×3Serve errVillanova+1.8
1811-7GTOWNGTOWN×3KillDionna Mitchellset Bella McGirr+2.4
1912-7GTOWNGTOWN×3BlockedChloe Kellyblk Maria Filippova, Kamryn Lee-Caracci+2.1
2012-8GTOWNNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
2112-9NOVANOVAAttack errAlexis Anderson+2.0
2213-9NOVAGTOWNServe errVillanova+1.7
2314-9GTOWNGTOWNAttack errCampbell McKinnon+2.1
2414-10GTOWNNOVA×4BlockedKamryn Lee-Caracciblk Annika Veurink, Chloe Kelly+1.1
2514-11NOVANOVA×4Attack errKatherine McGregor+2.0
2614-12NOVANOVA×4AceAlyssa Nelson+2.4
2714-13NOVANOVA×4Attack errAlexis Anderson+2.7
2815-13NOVAGTOWN×3KillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Juleigh Urbina+2.2
2916-13GTOWNGTOWN×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+3.0
3017-13GTOWNGTOWN×3BlockedCampbell McKinnonblk Katherine McGregor, Kamryn Lee-Caracci+2.7
3117-14GTOWNNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+1.4
3218-14NOVAGTOWN×3KillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+1.9
3319-14GTOWNGTOWN×3KillDionna Mitchellset Juleigh Urbina+2.1
3420-14GTOWNGTOWN×3Attack errCampbell McKinnon+1.5
3520-15GTOWNNOVA×3KillTaylor Lewis+0.6
3620-16NOVANOVA×3AceMarikate Ritterbuschaced Taylor Mercado+1.3
3720-17NOVANOVA×3AceMarikate Ritterbuschaced Taylor Mercado+1.9
3821-17NOVAGTOWNKillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+2.0
3921-18GTOWNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.2
4022-18NOVAGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploderset Natalie Nguyen+2.0
4123-18GTOWNGTOWNKillMaria Filippovaset Natalie Nguyen+1.6
4223-19GTOWNNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+0.4
4323-20NOVANOVAAceTaylor Lewis+1.2
4424-20NOVAGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploderset Natalie Nguyen+1.7
4524-21GTOWNNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+0.5
4625-21NOVAGTOWNKillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Natalie Nguyen+1.2
Set 3
11-0NOVAGTOWNBlockedCampbell McKinnonblk Kamryn Lee-Caracci, Katherine McGregor+2.3
22-0GTOWNGTOWNAceGeorgetownaced Mina Diggs+3.4
32-1GTOWNNOVAServe errGeorgetown+2.2
42-2NOVANOVAAttack errKatherine McGregor+3.3
53-2NOVAGTOWNAttack errTaylor Lewis+2.4
63-3GTOWNNOVAServe errGeorgetown+2.3
74-3NOVAGTOWN×4KillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Juleigh Urbina+2.5
85-3GTOWNGTOWN×4Attack errChloe Kelly+3.7
96-3GTOWNGTOWN×4AceGeorgetown+3.7
107-3GTOWNGTOWN×4AceGeorgetownaced Campbell McKinnon+3.6
117-4GTOWNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.1
127-5NOVANOVAAttack errDionna Mitchell+3.4
138-5NOVAGTOWNKillKatherine McGregorset Juleigh Urbina+2.7
148-6GTOWNNOVA×3KillAlyssa Nelsonset Campbell McKinnon+2.4
158-7NOVANOVA×3KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+3.7
168-8NOVANOVA×3KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+3.9
179-8NOVAGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Natalie Nguyen+2.9
1810-8GTOWNGTOWNKillAlexis Andersonset Bella McGirr+4.2
1910-9GTOWNNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+2.7
2010-10NOVANOVAAceMina Diggsaced Dionna Mitchell+4.1
2111-10NOVAGTOWNBlockedCampbell McKinnonblk Maria Filippova, Berkeley Ploder+3.1
2211-11GTOWNNOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+2.9
2312-11NOVAGTOWNKillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Natalie Nguyen+3.2
2412-12GTOWNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+3.0
2513-12NOVAGTOWNBlockedCampbell McKinnonblk Katherine McGregor, Kamryn Lee-Caracci+3.3
2613-13GTOWNNOVAServe errGeorgetown+3.2
2713-14NOVANOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+4.6
2814-14NOVAGTOWNBlockedChloe Kellyblk Kamryn Lee-Caracci, Katherine McGregor+3.3
2914-15GTOWNNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+3.3
3014-16NOVANOVAAttack errBerkeley Ploder+4.6
3115-16NOVAGTOWNServe errVillanova+3.0
3216-16GTOWNGTOWNAttack errChloe Kelly+5.1
3316-17GTOWNNOVAServe errGeorgetown+3.7
3416-18NOVANOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+5.1
3517-18NOVAGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Natalie Nguyen+3.3
3617-19GTOWNNOVA×5KillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+3.7
3717-20NOVANOVA×5Attack errCampbell McKinnon+4.5
3817-21NOVANOVA×5Attack errDionna Mitchell+3.3
3917-22NOVANOVA×5KillTaylor Lewisset Mina Diggs+2.0
4017-23NOVANOVA×5BlockedMaria Filippovablk Campbell McKinnon, Annika Veurink+0.9
4118-23NOVAGTOWNKillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Natalie Nguyen+0.2
4219-23GTOWNGTOWNKillAlexis Andersonset Bella McGirr+0.6
4319-24GTOWNNOVAAttack errKamryn Lee-Caracci+0.9
4420-24NOVAGTOWNBlockedTaylor Lewisblk Maria Filippova, Kamryn Lee-Caracci+0.2
4521-24GTOWNGTOWNAttack errCampbell McKinnon+0.8
4621-25GTOWNNOVAServe errGeorgetown+1.2
Set 4
10-1GTOWNNOVAKillAnnika Veurinkset Alyssa Nelson+1.9
21-1NOVAGTOWNServe errVillanova+1.9
31-2GTOWNNOVAAttack errDionna Mitchell+1.9
42-2NOVAGTOWNServe errVillanova+2.0
52-3GTOWNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.0
62-4NOVANOVABlockedKatherine McGregorblk Campbell McKinnon, Reagan McGivern+2.7
73-4NOVAGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Katherine McGregor+1.9
84-4GTOWNGTOWNAttack errCampbell McKinnon+2.9
94-5GTOWNNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+2.1
105-5NOVAGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Natalie Nguyen+2.1
116-5GTOWNGTOWNKillMaria Filippovaset Natalie Nguyen+3.3
126-6GTOWNNOVAKillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+2.2
137-6NOVAGTOWNKillAlexis Andersonset Natalie Nguyen+2.4
147-7GTOWNNOVA×3Serve errGeorgetown+2.3
157-8NOVANOVA×3Attack errAlexis Anderson+3.3
167-9NOVANOVA×3Attack errKamryn Lee-Caracci+3.1
178-9NOVAGTOWNKillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Natalie Nguyen+2.1
188-10GTOWNNOVA×3KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+2.2
198-11NOVANOVA×3BlockedKatherine McGregorblk Annika Veurink+2.9
208-12NOVANOVA×3Bad setJuleigh Urbina+2.5
219-12NOVAGTOWNKillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Juleigh Urbina+1.5
229-13GTOWNNOVAAttack errKatherine McGregor+1.8
2310-13NOVAGTOWNKillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Juleigh Urbina+1.5
2410-14GTOWNNOVA×5KillTaylor Lewisset Alyssa Nelson+1.8
2510-15NOVANOVA×5Attack errKatherine McGregor+2.1
2610-16NOVANOVA×5AceMarikate Ritterbuschaced Taylor Mercado+1.5
2710-17NOVANOVA×5KillCampbell McKinnonset Marikate Ritterbusch+1.0
2810-18NOVANOVA×5BlockedDionna Mitchellblk Taylor Lewis+0.6
2911-18NOVAGTOWNKillDionna Mitchellset Juleigh Urbina+0.2
3011-19GTOWNNOVAServe errGeorgetown+0.4
3112-19NOVAGTOWNKillBerkeley Ploderset Natalie Nguyen+0.2
3212-20GTOWNNOVAKillReagan McGivernset Alyssa Nelson+0.3
3313-20NOVAGTOWNKillAlexis Andersonset Natalie Nguyen+0.2
3413-21GTOWNNOVAKillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+0.3
3513-22NOVANOVAKillCampbell McKinnonset Alyssa Nelson+0.2
3614-22NOVAGTOWN×5Serve errVillanova·
3715-22GTOWNGTOWN×5BlockedCampbell McKinnonblk Katherine McGregor+0.1
3816-22GTOWNGTOWN×5KillKamryn Lee-Caracci+0.2
3917-22GTOWNGTOWN×5KillKamryn Lee-Caracciset Juleigh Urbina+0.4
4018-22GTOWNGTOWN×5Attack errCampbell McKinnon+0.8
4118-23GTOWNNOVA×3KillChloe Kellyset Alyssa Nelson+1.0
4218-24NOVANOVA×3KillChloe Kellyset Mina Diggs+0.5
4318-25NOVANOVA×3BlockedAlexis Andersonblk Chloe Kelly, Annika Veurink+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Georgetown first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).