St. John's (NY) vs Villanova Volleyball: Villanova Wins 3-2

Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 23, 2026ESPN+

2:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Villanova 73.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 23, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Villanova beat visiting St. John's (NY) 3-2 (27-25, 11-25, 25-20, 14-25, 15-10) on Fri, Oct 23, 2026. Campbell McKinnon and Abby Harrell led Villanova with 13 kills each; St. John's (NY)'s Carola Tesoro had a match-high 22.

Data through Nov 3, 10:45 PM CT · final Oct 23

Set	1	2	3	4	5	Sets
STJOHN	25	25	20	25	10	2
NOVA	27	11	25	14	15	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Villanova was outhit .206 to .169, and won anyway.

The match turned 3 times; each line shows Villanova's RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Villanova at 73%.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · St. John's (NY) 24–24 Villanova
Villanova closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 27–25 and lead 1–0.
Villanova 70% → 85%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · St. John's (NY) 8–3 Villanova
Villanova scored 7 straight to turn a 3–8 deficit into a 10–8 lead.
Villanova 52% → 74%
Turning point 3: Set 5 · St. John's (NY) 1–1 Villanova
6 straight Villanova points broke a 1–1 tie and made it 7–1.
Villanova 61% → 96%

Villanova above 50St. John's (NY) belowMax swing 9.3%

St. John's (NY)Villanova

Sideout %: St. John's (NY) 58.2·Villanova 50.9
Break %: St. John's (NY) 49.1·Villanova 41.8
Hitting: St. John's (NY) .206·Villanova .169
Longest run: St. John's (NY) 12·Villanova 7

Reagan McGivern
4 kills inside the turning points, 9 K and .095 for the match (10.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Villanova above 50 · St. John's (NY) below

Biggest swing: 9.3% to Villanova — set 1, STJOHN 24-24 NOVA. Attack error by Lejla Hadžiredžepovic. NOVA win probability 60% → 70%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

STJOHN 37.3%62.7% NOVA

St. John's (NY) wins

3-0

7.9%

3-1

13.5%

3-2

16.0%

Villanova wins

3-0

18.7%

3-1

24.0%

3-2

20.0%

STJOHN break %: 42.1% vs this opp
NOVA break %: 44.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Lejla HadžiredžepovicAttack error+9.3%
Attack error by Lejla Hadžiredžepovic
Set 1 · STJOHN 24-24 NOVA · NOVA 60% → 70%
02
Reagan McGivern&Cat YoungBlock+8.3%
Lejla Hadžiredžepovic stuffed by Reagan McGivern & Cat Young
Set 1 · STJOHN 25-26 NOVA · NOVA 70% → 78%
03
Campbell McKinnon&Taylor LewisBlock+7.8%
Lejla Hadžiredžepovic stuffed by Campbell McKinnon & Taylor Lewis
Set 5 · STJOHN 1-3 NOVA · NOVA 68% → 75%
04
VillanovaAce+7.4%
Villanova ace on Carola Tesoro
Set 1 · STJOHN 25-27 NOVA · NOVA 78% → 85%
05
Chloe' BellKill+7.4%
Kill by Chloe' Bell (set by Maggie Carcillo)
Set 1 · STJOHN 24-22 NOVA · STJOHN 35% → 43%
06
Campbell McKinnonKill+6.9%
Kill by Campbell McKinnon (set by Alyssa Nelson)
Set 5 · STJOHN 1-4 NOVA · NOVA 75% → 82%
07
VillanovaService error+6.9%
Villanova service error
Set 1 · STJOHN 25-24 NOVA · STJOHN 30% → 37%
08
Abby HarrellKill+6.9%
Kill by Abby Harrell (set by Alyssa Nelson)
Set 1 · STJOHN 25-25 NOVA · NOVA 63% → 70%

Box score

Official NCAA box

St. John's (NY)away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
19Carola TesoroOH	5	22	8	57	.246	0	2	2	10	2	0	0	0	24
14Chloe' BellMB	5	15	1	24	.583	0	0	0	3	0	0	7	3.5	18.5
22Kya HarrisMB	5	3	3	11	.000	0	0	0	2	0	1	2	2	5
2Kendall WhiteOH	5	3	2	15	.067	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
12Amanda CaputiS	5	0	0	1	.000	20	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	0
6Katianna BetancurL/DS	5	0	0	1	.000	1	0	1	13	0	0	0	0	0
7Lejla HadžiredžepovicOH	5	12	7	34	.147	0	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	13
26Maggie CarcilloS	5	0	0	0	–	26	6	1	12	0	0	0	0	6
33Sumaiyya HarrisMB	5	2	2	5	.000	0	0	0	5	0	0	6	3	5
9Rashanny Solano SmithL/DS	5	0	0	2	.000	7	0	0	20	0	0	0	0	0
11Brooke BoylesOH	2	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
21Soheila CirelliOH	1	1	1	4	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Barbara Costa dos SantosOH	1	0	0	2	.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4Martina CapponcelliS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		58	25	160	.206	55	8	6	73	4	1	18	10	105

Villanovahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
0Campbell McKinnonMB	5	13	4	32	.281	0	0	2	0	2	0	4	2	15
10Abby HarrellOH	5	13	5	45	.178	0	1	4	13	2	0	0	0	14
4Taylor LewisOH	5	11	3	29	.276	0	0	0	1	0	0	4	2	13
44Reagan McGivernMB	5	9	7	21	.095	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
7Alyssa NelsonS	5	1	1	9	.000	43	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	1
25Annika VeurinkMB	2	5	0	8	.625	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6
9Cat YoungOH	5	3	6	21	-.143	1	0	1	12	2	0	3	1.5	4.5
21Mina DiggsL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	20	1	0	0	0	2
14Loren WinnOPP	5	1	0	5	.200	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
8Marikate RitterbuschL/DS	5	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
2Ava HarrisS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
24Selah O'ConnorS	2	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Chloe KellyOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13Lola Buck-TaylorL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		56	27	172	.169	52	4	10	57	8	1	14	8	92

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 12 STJOHN · NOVA 7

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 6 STJOHNNOVA 4

Set 2

25-11

Longest run 12 STJOHNNOVA 2

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 STJOHNNOVA 7

Set 4

25-14

Longest run 5 STJOHNNOVA 3

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 3 STJOHNNOVA 6

Bars above the line = Villanova leads, below = St. John's (NY) leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

St. John's (NY)

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	65%11/17	65%17/26
2	56%10/18	27%4/15
3	67%10/15	55%12/22
4	62%8/13	47%8/17
5	47%8/17	56%10/18
6	55%6/11	13%1/8
All	58%53/91	49%52/106

Villanova

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	39%11/28	27%3/11
2	50%11/22	39%7/18
3	67%10/15	50%10/20
4	47%8/17	25%3/12
5	50%8/16	58%11/19
6	75%6/8	36%4/11
All	51%54/106	42%38/91

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

197 rallies

#	STJOHN-NOVA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+2.0
2	1-1	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Kendall White	set Amanda Caputi	+1.5
3	1-2	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Annika Veurink	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.5
4	2-2	NOVA	STJOHN×6	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+1.6
5	3-2	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Ace	St. John's (NY)	aced Campbell McKinnon	+2.2
6	4-2	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Bad set	Alyssa Nelson		+2.3
7	5-2	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Attack err	Campbell McKinnon		+2.4
8	6-2	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.4
9	7-2	STJOHN	STJOHN×6	Blocked	Abby Harrell	blk Sumaiyya Harris, Chloe' Bell	+2.3
10	7-3	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.4
11	7-4	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell		+2.1
12	8-4	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+1.9
13	9-4	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Reagan McGivern		+2.3
14	9-5	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Sumaiyya Harris	+1.4
15	10-5	NOVA	STJOHN×3	Serve err	Villanova		+1.8
16	11-5	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+2.1
17	12-5	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Blocked	Reagan McGivern	blk Lejla Hadžiredžepovic, Kya Harris	+1.8
18	12-6	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.0
19	13-6	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+1.3
20	13-7	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Annika Veurink	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.9
21	14-7	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+1.3
22	15-7	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Taylor Lewis		+1.3
23	15-8	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.6
24	16-8	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+1.0
25	16-9	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Annika Veurink	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.6
26	16-10	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.1
27	17-10	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Maggie Carcillo	+1.2
28	17-11	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.7
29	17-12	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.4
30	18-12	NOVA	STJOHN	Attack err	Abby Harrell		+1.5
31	18-13	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Alyssa Nelson	set Cat Young	+0.9
32	18-14	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.8
33	19-14	NOVA	STJOHN	Serve err	Villanova		+1.9
34	19-15	STJOHN	NOVA×4	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.2
35	19-16	NOVA	NOVA×4	Blocked	Carola Tesoro	blk Annika Veurink	+2.3
36	19-17	NOVA	NOVA×4	Attack err	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+3.0
37	19-18	NOVA	NOVA×4	Attack err	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+3.7
38	20-18	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+3.4
39	20-19	STJOHN	NOVA	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+2.8
40	21-19	NOVA	STJOHN	Serve err	Villanova		+3.8
41	21-20	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.0
42	22-20	NOVA	STJOHN	Serve err	Villanova		+4.2
43	22-21	STJOHN	NOVA	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+3.2
44	22-22	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+5.7
45	23-22	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Maggie Carcillo	+5.4
46	24-22	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+7.4
47	24-23	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.1
48	24-24	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+9.3
49	25-24	NOVA	STJOHN	Serve err	Villanova		+6.9
50	25-25	STJOHN	NOVA×3	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+6.9
51	25-26	NOVA	NOVA×3	Blocked	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	blk Reagan McGivern, Cat Young	+8.3
52	25-27	NOVA	NOVA×3	Ace	Villanova	aced Carola Tesoro	+7.4
Set 2
1	1-0	STJOHN	STJOHN×12	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+1.7
2	2-0	STJOHN	STJOHN×12	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+1.8
3	3-0	STJOHN	STJOHN×12	Ace	St. John's (NY)	aced Abby Harrell	+1.9
4	4-0	STJOHN	STJOHN×12	Attack err	Campbell McKinnon		+1.8
5	5-0	STJOHN	STJOHN×12	Ace	St. John's (NY)		+1.8
6	6-0	STJOHN	STJOHN×12	Kill	Chloe' Bell		+1.6
7	7-0	STJOHN	STJOHN×12	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+1.5
8	8-0	STJOHN	STJOHN×12	Blocked	Taylor Lewis	blk Chloe' Bell, Sumaiyya Harris	+1.3
9	9-0	STJOHN	STJOHN×12	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Maggie Carcillo	+1.0
10	10-0	STJOHN	STJOHN×12	Attack err	Taylor Lewis		+0.8
11	11-0	STJOHN	STJOHN×12	Attack err	Cat Young		+0.6
12	12-0	STJOHN	STJOHN×12	Ace	St. John's (NY)	aced Cat Young	+0.4
13	12-1	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Annika Veurink	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.2
14	12-2	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Annika Veurink	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.4
15	13-2	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.4
16	13-3	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.2
17	14-3	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.4
18	14-4	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.2
19	15-4	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+0.3
20	15-5	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.2
21	16-5	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+0.3
22	17-5	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Kendall White	set Amanda Caputi	+0.2
23	17-6	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.1
24	18-6	NOVA	STJOHN	Attack err	Campbell McKinnon		+0.1
25	18-7	STJOHN	NOVA	Attack err	Chloe' Bell		+0.1
26	19-7	NOVA	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+0.1
27	20-7	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.1
28	21-7	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Ace	St. John's (NY)	aced Campbell McKinnon	·
29	21-8	STJOHN	NOVA	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		·
30	21-9	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	·
31	22-9	NOVA	STJOHN	Serve err	Villanova		·
32	22-10	STJOHN	NOVA	Attack err	Sumaiyya Harris		·
33	23-10	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	·
34	24-10	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Sumaiyya Harris	set Maggie Carcillo	·
35	24-11	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Cat Young	set Loren Winn	·
36	25-11	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Sumaiyya Harris	set Maggie Carcillo	·
Set 3
1	1-0	NOVA	STJOHN	Blocked	Cat Young	blk Kendall White, Chloe' Bell	+2.3
2	2-0	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Cat Young		+3.2
3	2-1	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.2
4	3-1	NOVA	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+2.5
5	4-1	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Ace	St. John's (NY)	aced Cat Young	+3.4
6	5-1	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Katianna Betancur	+3.3
7	5-2	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.2
8	6-2	NOVA	STJOHN	Attack err	Abby Harrell		+2.6
9	6-3	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.2
10	7-3	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.6
11	8-3	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Reagan McGivern		+3.3
12	8-4	STJOHN	NOVA×7	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.0
13	8-5	NOVA	NOVA×7	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.1
14	8-6	NOVA	NOVA×7	Blocked	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	blk Reagan McGivern, Cat Young	+3.3
15	8-7	NOVA	NOVA×7	Attack err	Sumaiyya Harris		+3.5
16	8-8	NOVA	NOVA×7	Blocked	Kya Harris	blk Reagan McGivern, Cat Young	+3.6
17	8-9	NOVA	NOVA×7	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.5
18	8-10	NOVA	NOVA×7	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Alyssa Nelson	+3.3
19	9-10	NOVA	STJOHN	Serve err	Villanova		+2.4
20	9-11	STJOHN	NOVA×4	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+2.5
21	9-12	NOVA	NOVA×4	Attack err	Kendall White		+3.0
22	9-13	NOVA	NOVA×4	Ace	Villanova		+2.6
23	9-14	NOVA	NOVA×4	Attack err	Soheila Cirelli		+2.1
24	10-14	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Soheila Cirelli	set Amanda Caputi	+1.3
25	11-14	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+2.3
26	11-15	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.0
27	11-16	NOVA	NOVA	Blocked	Carola Tesoro	blk Taylor Lewis, Campbell McKinnon	+2.1
28	12-16	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Kya Harris	set Amanda Caputi	+1.2
29	13-16	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+2.3
30	13-17	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.1
31	13-18	NOVA	NOVA	Attack err	Kendall White		+2.1
32	14-18	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+1.2
33	15-18	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.3
34	15-19	STJOHN	NOVA×3	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.2
35	15-20	NOVA	NOVA×3	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.0
36	15-21	NOVA	NOVA×3	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+1.2
37	16-21	NOVA	STJOHN	Attack err	Rashanny Solano Smith		+0.5
38	17-21	STJOHN	STJOHN	Ace	Carola Tesoro	aced Mina Diggs	+1.2
39	17-22	STJOHN	NOVA	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+1.3
40	18-22	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+0.7
41	18-23	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Amanda Caputi	+1.2
42	19-23	NOVA	STJOHN	Blocked	Reagan McGivern	blk Sumaiyya Harris, Kya Harris	+0.5
43	20-23	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Reagan McGivern		+1.4
44	20-24	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.9
45	20-25	NOVA	NOVA	Kill	Cat Young	set Marikate Ritterbusch	+0.7
Set 4
1	1-0	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.6
2	1-1	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.8
3	2-1	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Amanda Caputi	+2.0
4	2-2	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.9
5	3-2	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+2.0
6	4-2	STJOHN	STJOHN	Attack err	Abby Harrell		+2.8
7	4-3	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.0
8	5-3	NOVA	STJOHN×5	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+2.2
9	6-3	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Blocked	Abby Harrell	blk Sumaiyya Harris, Chloe' Bell	+3.0
10	7-3	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.9
11	8-3	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.8
12	9-3	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Maggie Carcillo	+2.5
13	9-4	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Alyssa Nelson	+1.5
14	10-4	NOVA	STJOHN×5	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+1.9
15	11-4	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Attack err	Cat Young		+2.2
16	12-4	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Blocked	Reagan McGivern	blk Chloe' Bell, Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	+1.8
17	13-4	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Blocked	Chloe Kelly	blk Sumaiyya Harris, Chloe' Bell	+1.4
18	14-4	STJOHN	STJOHN×5	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+1.0
19	14-5	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Reagan McGivern	set Chloe Kelly	+0.4
20	15-5	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.7
21	15-6	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.4
22	16-6	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	set Maggie Carcillo	+0.6
23	16-7	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.3
24	16-8	NOVA	NOVA	Blocked	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	blk Campbell McKinnon, Taylor Lewis	+0.7
25	17-8	NOVA	STJOHN	Blocked	Campbell McKinnon	blk Kya Harris	+0.8
26	18-8	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Kya Harris	set Campbell McKinnon	+0.6
27	18-9	STJOHN	NOVA	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+0.2
28	19-9	NOVA	STJOHN	Attack err	Alyssa Nelson		+0.4
29	20-9	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+0.3
30	20-10	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Alyssa Nelson	+0.1
31	21-10	NOVA	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Barbara Costa dos Santos	+0.2
32	22-10	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+0.1
33	23-10	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	·
34	23-11	STJOHN	NOVA×3	Kill	Abby Harrell	set Selah O'Connor	·
35	23-12	NOVA	NOVA×3	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		·
36	23-13	NOVA	NOVA×3	Kill	Loren Winn	set Selah O'Connor	·
37	24-13	NOVA	STJOHN	Serve err	Villanova		·
38	24-14	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Cat Young	set Selah O'Connor	·
39	25-14	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Chloe' Bell	set Maggie Carcillo	+1.0
Set 5
1	0-1	STJOHN	NOVA	Attack err	Kya Harris		+5.9
2	1-1	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Kya Harris	set Maggie Carcillo	+6.2
3	1-2	STJOHN	NOVA×6	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Selah O'Connor	+6.1
4	1-3	NOVA	NOVA×6	Blocked	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic	blk Campbell McKinnon, Taylor Lewis	+7.8
5	1-4	NOVA	NOVA×6	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+6.9
6	1-5	NOVA	NOVA×6	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Alyssa Nelson	+5.8
7	1-6	NOVA	NOVA×6	Bad set	Lejla Hadžiredžepovic		+4.5
8	1-7	NOVA	NOVA×6	Attack err	Kya Harris		+3.2
9	2-7	NOVA	STJOHN	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Amanda Caputi	+1.7
10	2-8	STJOHN	NOVA	Blocked	Carola Tesoro	blk Campbell McKinnon, Taylor Lewis	+2.3
11	3-8	NOVA	STJOHN	Attack err	Cat Young		+1.6
12	3-9	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Taylor Lewis	set Alyssa Nelson	+2.2
13	4-9	NOVA	STJOHN×3	Serve err	Villanova		+1.5
14	5-9	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Ace	Maggie Carcillo	aced Abby Harrell	+3.1
15	6-9	STJOHN	STJOHN×3	Kill	Carola Tesoro	set Rashanny Solano Smith	+4.7
16	6-10	STJOHN	NOVA	Attack err	Carola Tesoro		+4.7
17	7-10	NOVA	STJOHN	Blocked	Cat Young	blk Sumaiyya Harris, Chloe' Bell	+3.4
18	7-11	STJOHN	NOVA	Serve err	St. John's (NY)		+4.7
19	7-12	NOVA	NOVA	Ace	Marikate Ritterbusch	aced Carola Tesoro	+3.9
20	8-12	NOVA	STJOHN	Attack err	Reagan McGivern		+1.5
21	8-13	STJOHN	NOVA	Attack err	Brooke Boyles		+2.5
22	8-14	NOVA	NOVA	Ace	Mina Diggs		+1.3
23	9-14	NOVA	STJOHN	Serve err	Villanova		+0.2
24	10-14	STJOHN	STJOHN	Kill	Kendall White	set Amanda Caputi	+0.7
25	10-15	STJOHN	NOVA	Kill	Campbell McKinnon	set Selah O'Connor	+1.1

Score shown after each rally, St. John's (NY) first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Villanova def. St. John's (NY) 3–2

Villanova was outhit .206 to .169, and won anyway.