FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwaySOCON

3:0

HomeBIG-SOUTH

Wofford def. Winthrop 3–0

(25-22, 25-20, 25-14)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
WOFFRD	25	25	25	3
WINTHR	22	20	14	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WINTHR above 50 · WOFFRD below

Biggest swing: 3.4% to Wofford — set 2, WOFFRD 20-19 WINTHR. Kill by Chloe Smith (set by Maddy Frazier). WINTHR win probability 16% → 13%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WOFFRD 74.8%25.2% WINTHR

Wofford wins

3-0

26.9%

3-1

28.6%

3-2

19.3%

Winthrop wins

3-0

4.5%

3-1

8.6%

3-2

12.1%

WOFFRD break %: 45.0% vs this opp
WINTHR break %: 39.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Chloe SmithKill+3.4%
Kill by Chloe Smith (set by Maddy Frazier)
Set 2 · WOFFRD 20-19 WINTHR · WOFFRD 84% → 87%
02
Addison TorainAttack error+3.3%
Attack error by Addison Torain
Set 2 · WOFFRD 19-19 WINTHR · WOFFRD 81% → 84%
03
Chloe SmithKill+3.1%
Kill by Chloe Smith (set by Maddy Frazier)
Set 2 · WOFFRD 21-19 WINTHR · WOFFRD 87% → 90%
04
Maddy FrazierAttack error+3.0%
Attack error by Maddy Frazier
Set 2 · WOFFRD 16-19 WINTHR · WINTHR 21% → 24%
05
Reece RhoadsAttack error+2.9%
Attack error by Reece Rhoads
Set 2 · WOFFRD 18-19 WINTHR · WOFFRD 78% → 81%
06
Chloe SmithKill+2.5%
Kill by Chloe Smith (set by Cami Roberts)
Set 2 · WOFFRD 23-20 WINTHR · WOFFRD 91% → 93%
07
Chloe SmithKill+2.5%
Kill by Chloe Smith (set by Maddy Frazier)
Set 2 · WOFFRD 22-20 WINTHR · WOFFRD 88% → 91%
08
Chloe SmithKill+2.4%
Kill by Chloe Smith (set by Taylor Pecht)
Set 2 · WOFFRD 14-15 WINTHR · WOFFRD 80% → 82%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Woffordaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
21Chloe SmithOH	3	13	2	23	.478	0	3	1	7	2	0	2	1	17
4Natalie ArnoldMB	3	8	1	18	.389	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	10
23Bradley BrownMB	3	7	1	11	.545	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
15Charlotte BellMB	3	6	0	6	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
8Ella ColemanOH	3	4	1	17	.176	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
16Taylor PechtS	3	0	0	1	.000	19	2	0	8	0	0	0	0	2
18Avery WhiteOH	3	5	0	11	.455	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
10Maddy FrazierS	3	1	1	2	.000	17	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	1
33Laney KlikaL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	0	0	16	2	0	0	0	0
5Makaylee RuizL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	0
6Megan BrownDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28Anna AdcockMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		44	6	90	.422	40	5	3	42	6	2	8	6	75

Winthrophome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
5Paige BennettOH	3	13	7	27	.222	1	0	0	4	0	0	0	0	13
23Teagan SychterzMB	3	9	3	23	.261	1	1	2	0	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
12Reece RhoadsOH	3	7	3	22	.182	0	2	1	3	4	0	0	0	9
20Laila GloverOPP	3	5	3	12	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
22Cami RobertsS	3	0	0	4	.000	32	0	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
9Giselle LittleMB	1	0	0	4	.000	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
18Maggie CzajkaMB	3	7	0	9	.778	0	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	8
14Addison TorainDS	3	0	1	2	-.500	2	2	1	14	1	0	0	0	2
13Alyah CadavidDS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	1	0	9	0	0	0	0	1
6Lindsay LangnerL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		41	17	104	.231	37	6	6	35	5	1	2	2	56

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 6 WOFFRD · WINTHR 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 6 WOFFRDWINTHR 4

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 5 WOFFRDWINTHR 4

Set 3

25-14

Longest run 6 WOFFRDWINTHR 2

Bars above the line = Winthrop leads, below = Wofford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Wofford

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	41%7/17	60%9/15
2	54%7/13	53%8/15
3	75%6/8	57%8/14
4	83%5/6	50%5/10
5	83%5/6	50%5/10
6	71%5/7	50%5/10
All	61%35/57	54%40/74

Winthrop

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	44%7/16	55%6/11
2	47%7/15	59%10/17
3	55%6/11	22%2/9
4	50%5/10	25%2/8
5	36%5/14	29%2/7
6	50%4/8	0%0/5
All	46%34/74	39%22/57

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

131 rallies

Rally log

#	WOFFRD-WINTHR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Ace	WOFFRD server	aced Reece Rhoads	+1.9
2	1-1	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+1.5
3	1-2	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Teagan Sychterz	+2.1
4	2-2	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Taylor Pecht	+1.5
5	2-3	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Laila Glover	set Giselle Little	+1.6
6	2-4	WINTHR	WINTHR	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Team	+2.3
7	3-4	WINTHR	WOFFRD×6	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+1.6
8	4-4	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Attack err	Paige Bennett	blk Natalie Arnold, Bradley Brown	+2.2
9	5-4	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Taylor Pecht	+2.1
10	6-4	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+2.0
11	7-4	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Bad set	Cami Roberts		+1.8
12	8-4	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+1.5
13	8-5	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+1.1
14	9-5	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Bad set	Cami Roberts		+1.1
15	9-6	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Cami Roberts	+1.1
16	10-6	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Ella Coleman	+1.2
17	10-7	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+1.1
18	11-7	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Avery White	set Maddy Frazier	+1.2
19	12-7	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Attack err	Teagan Sychterz		+1.3
20	12-8	WOFFRD	WINTHR×3	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Cami Roberts	+0.8
21	12-9	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Addison Torain	+1.5
22	12-10	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Chloe Smith	+1.9
23	13-10	WINTHR	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Charlotte Bell	set Maddy Frazier	+1.5
24	14-10	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Attack err	Laila Glover	blk Charlotte Bell, Chloe Smith	+1.8
25	15-10	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Ace	WOFFRD server	aced Addison Torain	+1.4
26	15-11	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Laila Glover	set Cami Roberts	+0.8
27	16-11	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Serve err	WINTHR server		+1.0
28	16-12	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+0.8
29	17-12	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+1.0
30	17-13	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+0.8
31	18-13	WINTHR	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Ella Coleman	set Laney Klika	+1.0
32	19-13	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Avery White	set Maddy Frazier	+0.9
33	20-13	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Ella Coleman	set Maddy Frazier	+0.5
34	20-14	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Maggie Czajka	set Cami Roberts	+0.2
35	20-15	WINTHR	WINTHR	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Laney Klika	+0.5
36	21-15	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Maddy Frazier	set Reece Rhoads	+0.6
37	21-16	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+0.3
38	22-16	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Serve err	WINTHR server		+0.5
39	22-17	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Cami Roberts	+0.2
40	23-17	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Maddy Frazier	+0.4
41	23-18	WOFFRD	WINTHR×4	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+0.1
42	23-19	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+0.4
43	23-20	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Makaylee Ruiz	+0.9
44	23-21	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Attack err	Natalie Arnold		+1.8
45	24-21	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Serve err	WINTHR server		+2.3
46	24-22	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Maggie Czajka	set Cami Roberts	+0.9
47	25-22	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Charlotte Bell	set Taylor Pecht	+2.1
Set 2
1	0-1	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+1.6
2	0-2	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Chloe Smith		+1.7
3	1-2	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Charlotte Bell	set Taylor Pecht	+1.2
4	2-2	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Laney Klika	+1.6
5	2-3	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Serve err	WOFFRD server		+1.3
6	2-4	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+1.8
7	3-4	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Serve err	WINTHR server		+1.3
8	3-5	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Laila Glover	set Cami Roberts	+1.4
9	4-5	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Attack err	Reece Rhoads		+1.3
10	4-6	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Maggie Czajka	set Cami Roberts	+1.4
11	5-6	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Maddy Frazier	+1.3
12	5-7	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+1.5
13	6-7	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Avery White	set Maddy Frazier	+1.3
14	6-8	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Addison Torain	+1.5
15	7-8	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Maddy Frazier	+1.4
16	7-9	WOFFRD	WINTHR×3	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+1.6
17	7-10	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Kill	Teagan Sychterz		+2.1
18	7-11	WINTHR	WINTHR×3	Attack err	Chloe Smith	blk Teagan Sychterz, Laila Glover	+2.1
19	8-11	WINTHR	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Charlotte Bell	set Taylor Pecht	+1.3
20	9-11	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Ace	WOFFRD server	aced Reece Rhoads	+1.9
21	10-11	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Ella Coleman		+2.1
22	10-12	WOFFRD	WINTHR×4	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+1.7
23	10-13	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Taylor Pecht	+2.4
24	10-14	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Laney Klika	+2.2
25	10-15	WINTHR	WINTHR×4	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+2.0
26	11-15	WINTHR	WOFFRD×4	Kill	Charlotte Bell	set Taylor Pecht	+1.1
27	12-15	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×4	Bad set	Cami Roberts		+1.8
28	13-15	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×4	Attack err	Paige Bennett	blk Bradley Brown, Natalie Arnold	+2.1
29	14-15	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×4	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Taylor Pecht	+2.4
30	14-16	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Maggie Czajka	set Cami Roberts	+2.1
31	15-16	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Taylor Pecht	+1.8
32	15-17	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Serve err	WOFFRD server		+2.2
33	16-17	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Maddy Frazier	+1.9
34	16-18	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Serve err	WOFFRD server		+2.3
35	16-19	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Maddy Frazier		+3.0
36	17-19	WINTHR	WOFFRD×5	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+1.7
37	18-19	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×5	Attack err	Reece Rhoads		+2.9
38	19-19	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×5	Attack err	Addison Torain		+3.3
39	20-19	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×5	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Maddy Frazier	+3.4
40	21-19	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×5	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Maddy Frazier	+3.1
41	21-20	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Cami Roberts	+2.0
42	22-20	WINTHR	WOFFRD×4	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Maddy Frazier	+2.5
43	23-20	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×4	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Cami Roberts	+2.5
44	24-20	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×4	Attack err	Laila Glover		+1.3
45	25-20	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×4	Attack err	Teagan Sychterz	blk Charlotte Bell	+0.4
Set 3
1	1-0	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Attack err	Paige Bennett	blk Natalie Arnold	+0.8
2	2-0	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+0.7
3	3-0	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Attack err	Laila Glover		+0.7
4	3-1	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+0.5
5	3-2	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Laila Glover		+0.8
6	4-2	WINTHR	WOFFRD×4	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Taylor Pecht	+0.6
7	5-2	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×4	Kill	Charlotte Bell	set Taylor Pecht	+0.7
8	6-2	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×4	Ace	WOFFRD server	aced Reece Rhoads	+0.6
9	7-2	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×4	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Laney Klika	+0.5
10	7-3	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Laila Glover	set Paige Bennett	+0.3
11	8-3	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+0.4
12	8-4	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Maggie Czajka	set Cami Roberts	+0.4
13	8-5	WINTHR	WINTHR	Attack err	Bradley Brown	blk Maggie Czajka	+0.6
14	9-5	WINTHR	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+0.5
15	10-5	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Attack err	Reece Rhoads		+0.5
16	11-5	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Attack err	Paige Bennett		+0.4
17	11-6	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Cami Roberts	+0.3
18	12-6	WINTHR	WOFFRD×6	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Maddy Frazier	+0.3
19	13-6	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Laney Klika	+0.3
20	14-6	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Maddy Frazier	+0.2
21	15-6	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Attack err	Teagan Sychterz	blk Chloe Smith, Bradley Brown	+0.1
22	16-6	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Maddy Frazier	+0.1
23	17-6	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Kill	Avery White	set Maddy Frazier	+0.0
24	17-7	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Teagan Sychterz	set Cami Roberts	+0.0
25	18-7	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Serve err	WINTHR server		+0.0
26	18-8	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Reece Rhoads	set Cami Roberts	+0.0
27	19-8	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Serve err	WINTHR server		+0.0
28	19-9	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+0.0
29	19-10	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Maggie Czajka		+0.0
30	20-10	WINTHR	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Taylor Pecht	+0.0
31	21-10	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Ella Coleman	set Taylor Pecht	+0.0
32	22-10	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Ace	WOFFRD server	aced Reece Rhoads	+0.0
33	22-11	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Attack err	Ella Coleman		+0.0
34	22-12	WINTHR	WINTHR	Kill	Paige Bennett	set Cami Roberts	+0.0
35	23-12	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+0.0
36	23-13	WOFFRD	WINTHR	Kill	Maggie Czajka	set Cami Roberts	+0.0
37	23-14	WINTHR	WINTHR	Ace	WINTHR server	aced Chloe Smith	+0.0
38	24-14	WINTHR	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Taylor Pecht	+0.0
39	25-14	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Kill	Avery White	set Maddy Frazier	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Wofford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.