FinalFri, Sep 4, 2026

AwaySOCON

3:0

HomeAMERICAN

Wofford def. Charlotte 3–0

(25-17, 25-18, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
WOFFRD	25	25	26	3
CHAR	17	18	24	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CHAR above 50 · WOFFRD below

Biggest swing: 2.2% to Charlotte — set 3, WOFFRD 23-24 CHAR. Kill by Sara Marinkovic (set by Harper Hall). CHAR win probability 3% → 5%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

WOFFRD 88.4%11.6% CHAR

Wofford wins

3-0

41.8%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.0%

Charlotte wins

3-0

1.6%

3-1

3.6%

3-2

6.4%

WOFFRD break %: 47.8% vs this opp
CHAR break %: 38.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Sara MarinkovicKill+2.2%
Kill by Sara Marinkovic (set by Harper Hall)
Set 3 · WOFFRD 23-24 CHAR · CHAR 3% → 5%
02
Bradley BrownKill+1.9%
Kill by Bradley Brown (set by Maddy Frazier)
Set 3 · WOFFRD 25-24 CHAR · WOFFRD 97% → 98%
03
Natalie ArnoldKill+1.7%
Kill by Natalie Arnold (set by Taylor Pecht)
Set 3 · WOFFRD 24-24 CHAR · WOFFRD 95% → 97%
04
Mariam MushkudianiKill+1.5%
Kill by Mariam Mushkudiani (set by Harper Hall)
Set 1 · WOFFRD 9-9 CHAR · CHAR 11% → 13%
05
Avery WhiteKill+1.5%
Kill by Avery White (set by Laney Klika)
Set 3 · WOFFRD 26-24 CHAR · WOFFRD 98% → 100%
06
Clara BrileyKill+1.5%
Kill by Clara Briley (set by Harper Hall)
Set 1 · WOFFRD 1-3 CHAR · CHAR 13% → 15%
07
Natalie ArnoldKill+1.5%
Kill by Natalie Arnold (set by Taylor Pecht)
Set 3 · WOFFRD 23-22 CHAR · WOFFRD 97% → 98%
08
Natalie ArnoldAttack error+1.4%
Attack error by Natalie Arnold
Set 3 · WOFFRD 21-22 CHAR · CHAR 3% → 4%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Woffordaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
23Bradley BrownMB	3	12	2	25	.400	0	0	3	1	1	1	1.5	13.5
4Natalie ArnoldMB	3	10	2	18	.444	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	11
21Chloe SmithOH	3	7	3	22	.182	1	3	1	7	0	0	0	10
8Ella ColemanOH	3	3	1	11	.182	0	2	1	8	0	0	0	5
15Charlotte BellMB	3	4	2	7	.286	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	5
16Taylor PechtS	3	0	0	3	.000	19	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
18Avery WhiteOH	3	6	2	11	.364	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
10Maddy FrazierS	3	1	0	1	1.000	16	1	1	4	0	0	0	2
33Laney KlikaL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	1	0	15	0	0	0	1
6Megan BrownDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Makaylee RuizL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	12	98	.316	38	7	7	38	1	6	4	76

Charlottehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
19Sofia LocadiaMB	3	12	2	17	.588	0	2	1	0	1	0.5	12.5
2Clara BrileyOH	3	8	4	20	.200	1	1	1	1	0	0	8
8Milan CannonMB	3	7	1	11	.545	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
3Harper HallS	3	0	0	5	.000	36	1	3	0	1	0.5	0.5
7Elena KovacevicOH	2	4	2	19	.105	0	2	6	1	1	0.5	4.5
15Mariam MushkudianiOH	2	3	4	10	-.100	1	1	2	0	0	0	3
9Chloe MaughanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	10	1	0	0	0
16Kennedy EarlsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	7	2	0	0	0
10Sara MarinkovicOH	2	5	2	18	.167	0	0	6	0	1	0.5	5.5
18Gia McGrewOH	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
4Erin LehmanL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	1	0	0	0
Team totals		40	15	103	.243	38	9	38	7	6	3	59

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 WOFFRD · CHAR 4

Set 1

25-17

Longest run 7 WOFFRDCHAR 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 6 WOFFRDCHAR 4

Set 3

26-24

Longest run 4 WOFFRDCHAR 3

Bars above the line = Charlotte leads, below = Wofford leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Wofford

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	40%4/10
2	67%8/12	53%9/17
3	70%7/10	56%9/16
4	50%6/12	45%5/11
5	100%6/6	54%7/13
6	63%5/8	29%2/7
All	66%40/61	49%36/74

Charlotte

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	22%2/9
2	38%8/21	47%7/15
3	60%6/10	27%3/11
4	67%6/9	45%5/11
5	45%5/11	14%1/7
6	50%5/10	38%3/8
All	51%38/74	34%21/61

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	WOFFRD-CHAR	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Mariam Mushkudiani	+1.3
2	1-1	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Laney Klika	+0.9
3	1-2	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+1.0
4	1-3	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+1.5
5	2-3	CHAR	WOFFRD	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani		+1.0
6	3-3	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Laney Klika	+1.3
7	3-4	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+1.1
8	4-4	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Taylor Pecht	+1.0
9	5-4	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Ace	WOFFRD server	aced Clara Briley	+1.3
10	5-5	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Clara Briley	+1.0
11	6-5	CHAR	WOFFRD	Serve err	CHAR server		+1.0
12	7-5	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Maddy Frazier	+1.2
13	7-6	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.9
14	8-6	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Maddy Frazier	+0.9
15	9-6	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Kill	Avery White	set Maddy Frazier	+1.0
16	9-7	WOFFRD	CHAR×3	Serve err	WOFFRD server		+0.8
17	9-8	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+1.3
18	9-9	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+1.5
19	10-9	CHAR	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Maddy Frazier	+1.1
20	11-9	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Attack err	Milan Cannon		+1.4
21	12-9	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+1.2
22	12-10	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.9
23	13-10	CHAR	WOFFRD	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.9
24	14-10	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Kill	Ella Coleman	set Taylor Pecht	+1.0
25	14-11	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.7
26	15-11	CHAR	WOFFRD×7	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+0.7
27	16-11	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×7	Bad set	Harper Hall		+0.7
28	17-11	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×7	Attack err	Clara Briley		+0.5
29	18-11	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×7	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Taylor Pecht	+0.3
30	19-11	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×7	Ace	WOFFRD server	aced Erin Lehman	+0.2
31	20-11	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×7	Kill	Bradley Brown		+0.1
32	21-11	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×7	Kill	Ella Coleman	set Chloe Smith	+0.0
33	21-12	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+0.0
34	22-12	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Taylor Pecht	+0.0
35	23-12	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Bad set	Sofia Locadia		+0.0
36	23-13	WOFFRD	CHAR×4	Attack err	Chloe Smith		+0.0
37	23-14	CHAR	CHAR×4	Attack err	Ella Coleman		+0.0
38	23-15	CHAR	CHAR×4	Attack err	Avery White	blk Milan Cannon, Elena Kovacevic	+0.0
39	23-16	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.0
40	24-16	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Maddy Frazier	+0.0
41	24-17	WOFFRD	CHAR	Attack err	Bradley Brown		+0.0
42	25-17	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Maddy Frazier	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	WOFFRD	CHAR	Serve err	WOFFRD server		+0.7
2	1-1	CHAR	WOFFRD	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.6
3	1-2	WOFFRD	CHAR	Attack err	Charlotte Bell		+0.7
4	2-2	CHAR	WOFFRD	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.7
5	2-3	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.7
6	3-3	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+0.7
7	3-4	WOFFRD	CHAR	Serve err	WOFFRD server		+0.8
8	3-5	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+1.1
9	4-5	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Avery White	set Maddy Frazier	+0.7
10	4-6	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.9
11	5-6	CHAR	WOFFRD	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.8
12	5-7	WOFFRD	CHAR	Serve err	WOFFRD server		+0.9
13	6-7	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Avery White	set Maddy Frazier	+0.8
14	6-8	WOFFRD	CHAR×4	Kill	Mariam Mushkudiani	set Harper Hall	+0.9
15	6-9	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+1.3
16	6-10	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+1.3
17	6-11	CHAR	CHAR×4	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+1.3
18	7-11	CHAR	WOFFRD×5	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Taylor Pecht	+0.8
19	8-11	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×5	Ace	WOFFRD server	aced Kennedy Earls	+1.2
20	9-11	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×5	Attack err	Sofia Locadia		+1.2
21	10-11	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×5	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+1.2
22	11-11	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×5	Attack err	Clara Briley		+1.2
23	11-12	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+1.0
24	12-12	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+0.9
25	12-13	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Elena Kovacevic	set Harper Hall	+1.1
26	13-13	CHAR	WOFFRD	Attack err	Elena Kovacevic		+1.0
27	14-13	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Maddy Frazier	+1.3
28	14-14	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+1.0
29	15-14	CHAR	WOFFRD×6	Serve err	CHAR server		+1.0
30	16-14	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani		+1.2
31	17-14	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani		+1.0
32	18-14	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Attack err	Mariam Mushkudiani	blk Bradley Brown	+0.7
33	19-14	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Ace	WOFFRD server	aced Chloe Maughan	+0.5
34	20-14	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×6	Ace	WOFFRD server	aced Elena Kovacevic	+0.3
35	20-15	WOFFRD	CHAR	Serve err	WOFFRD server		+0.1
36	21-15	CHAR	WOFFRD	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.2
37	22-15	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Maddy Frazier	+0.1
38	22-16	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.0
39	23-16	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Maddy Frazier	+0.1
40	23-17	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.0
41	24-17	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Charlotte Bell	set Taylor Pecht	+0.0
42	24-18	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.0
43	25-18	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	CHAR	WOFFRD×4	Kill	Chloe Smith	set Taylor Pecht	+0.3
2	2-0	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×4	Ace	WOFFRD server	aced Team	+0.3
3	3-0	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×4	Attack err	Clara Briley	blk Natalie Arnold, Charlotte Bell	+0.3
4	4-0	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×4	Attack err	Sara Marinkovic		+0.3
5	4-1	WOFFRD	CHAR	Serve err	WOFFRD server		+0.2
6	4-2	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Charlotte Bell		+0.3
7	5-2	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+0.2
8	5-3	WOFFRD	CHAR×3	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+0.2
9	5-4	CHAR	CHAR×3	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.4
10	5-5	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Natalie Arnold		+0.5
11	6-5	CHAR	WOFFRD	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.3
12	6-6	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.4
13	6-7	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Avery White	blk Sara Marinkovic, Milan Cannon	+0.5
14	7-7	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Maddy Frazier	+0.4
15	7-8	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Gia McGrew	set Harper Hall	+0.4
16	8-8	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Maddy Frazier	+0.4
17	8-9	WOFFRD	CHAR	Serve err	WOFFRD server		+0.5
18	9-9	CHAR	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Charlotte Bell	set Maddy Frazier	+0.4
19	10-9	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+0.5
20	11-9	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Attack err	Clara Briley	blk Natalie Arnold, Charlotte Bell	+0.5
21	11-10	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.4
22	11-11	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Chloe Smith	blk Harper Hall, Sofia Locadia	+0.6
23	12-11	CHAR	WOFFRD	Serve err	CHAR server		+0.4
24	12-12	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.5
25	13-12	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Ella Coleman	set Taylor Pecht	+0.4
26	14-12	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Attack err	Sofia Locadia		+0.5
27	14-13	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.4
28	15-13	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+0.4
29	15-14	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+0.4
30	15-15	CHAR	CHAR	Attack err	Bradley Brown		+0.7
31	16-15	CHAR	WOFFRD	Attack err	Sara Marinkovic	blk Bradley Brown, Avery White	+0.5
32	17-15	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Kill	Maddy Frazier	set Harper Hall	+0.6
33	17-16	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.5
34	18-16	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Avery White	set Maddy Frazier	+0.5
35	18-17	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Milan Cannon	set Harper Hall	+0.5
36	18-18	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Clara Briley	set Harper Hall	+0.8
37	19-18	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Avery White	set Maddy Frazier	+0.6
38	19-19	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.7
39	20-19	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Charlotte Bell	set Taylor Pecht	+0.7
40	21-19	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Ace	WOFFRD server	aced Kennedy Earls	+0.8
41	21-20	WOFFRD	CHAR×3	Kill	Sofia Locadia	set Harper Hall	+0.6
42	21-21	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Chloe Smith		+1.1
43	21-22	CHAR	CHAR×3	Attack err	Natalie Arnold		+1.4
44	22-22	CHAR	WOFFRD	Kill	Charlotte Bell	set Taylor Pecht	+1.0
45	23-22	WOFFRD	WOFFRD	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+1.5
46	23-23	WOFFRD	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+1.1
47	23-24	CHAR	CHAR	Kill	Sara Marinkovic	set Harper Hall	+2.2
48	24-24	CHAR	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Natalie Arnold	set Taylor Pecht	+1.7
49	25-24	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Bradley Brown	set Maddy Frazier	+1.9
50	26-24	WOFFRD	WOFFRD×3	Kill	Avery White	set Laney Klika	+1.5

Score shown after each rally, Wofford first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.