Final · 5 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026

Liberty def. ETSU 3–2

Liberty won at ETSU 3-2 (25-23, 21-25, 32-30, 13-25, 18-16) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Paige Overcash led Liberty with 16 kills; ETSU's Karis Chatfield had a match-high 20.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set12345Sets
LIBRTY25213213183
ETSU23253025162

Win probability

ETSU above 50 · Liberty below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+27.5% ETSUrally 228 · set 5

Biggest swing: 27.5% to ETSU — set 5, LIBRTY 13-14 ETSU. Carly O'Brien stuffed by Gianna Blair & Elizabeth Aylward. ETSU win probability 44% → 71%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIBRTY 60.8%39.2% ETSU

Liberty wins

3-0
17.6%
3-1
23.2%
3-2
19.9%

ETSU wins

3-0
8.5%
3-1
14.3%
3-2
16.5%
LIBRTY break %
41.9% vs this opp
ETSU break %
39.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Carly O'Brien stuffed by Gianna Blair & Elizabeth Aylward

    Set 5 · LIBRTY 13-14 ETSU · ETSU 44% → 71%

  2. 02
    Layla CollinsKill+26.6%

    Kill by Layla Collins (set by Alison Bierwagen)

    Set 5 · LIBRTY 16-15 ETSU · LIBRTY 48% → 75%

  3. 03

    Makayla Bays stuffed by Laney Daniell & Paige Overcash

    Set 5 · LIBRTY 18-16 ETSU · LIBRTY 75% → 100%

  4. 04
    ETSUService error+19.2%

    ETSU service error

    Set 5 · LIBRTY 14-14 ETSU · LIBRTY 29% → 48%

  5. 05
    Karis ChatfieldKill+19.2%

    Kill by Karis Chatfield (set by Bailey Gohlke)

    Set 5 · LIBRTY 14-15 ETSU · ETSU 52% → 71%

  6. 06
    Paige OvercashKill+19.2%

    Kill by Paige Overcash (set by Alison Bierwagen)

    Set 5 · LIBRTY 15-15 ETSU · LIBRTY 29% → 48%

  7. 07
    Karis ChatfieldKill+18.3%

    Kill by Karis Chatfield (set by Alex Kreutzmann)

    Set 5 · LIBRTY 16-16 ETSU · ETSU 25% → 44%

  8. 08
    Layla CollinsKill+18.3%

    Kill by Layla Collins (set by Alison Bierwagen)

    Set 5 · LIBRTY 17-16 ETSU · LIBRTY 56% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516937.18900020031.517.5
513223.4780041004215
510221.38100020233.513.5
59637.0811048002110
5014-.25035011600000
5000–0011030000
515736.2220004200015
5000–112000001
5000–6001840000
4000–1713500001
2417.42900000010.54.5
2125-.20000010010.51.5
2000–711400001
1125-.200000000001
Team totals6932175.2116731671102149109
ETSUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
520436.44403010100023
514648.167131140031.518.5
58520.15000420031.59.5
56216.250000201439
5001.0002722700002
43419-.053100000214
56214.286000000428
5000–2411500001
5000–5132020001
23313.000000100003
2000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6026167.2045810116131169119

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 LIBRTY · ETSU 5

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 LIBRTYETSU 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 LIBRTYETSU 4

Set 3

32-30

Longest run 4 LIBRTYETSU 4

Set 4

13-25

Longest run 2 LIBRTYETSU 5

Set 5

18-16

Longest run 2 LIBRTYETSU 2

Bars above the line = ETSU leads, below = Liberty leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Liberty

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%14/24
43%9/21
2
59%13/22
35%7/20
3
65%13/20
28%5/18
4
61%11/18
35%6/17
5
61%11/18
39%7/18
6
56%10/18
21%3/14
All
60%72/120
34%37/108

ETSU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
70%14/20
41%9/22
2
68%13/19
50%13/26
3
69%11/16
19%3/16
4
69%11/16
52%12/23
5
65%11/17
21%3/14
6
55%11/20
42%8/19
All
66%71/108
40%48/120

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

228 rallies

#LIBRTY-ETSUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ETSULIBRTYAttack errPhoenix Fogel+1.7
21-1LIBRTYETSUAttack errPaige Overcash+1.7
32-1ETSULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.7
43-1LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+2.4
53-2LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+1.6
64-2ETSULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.7
75-2LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+2.3
85-3LIBRTYETSU×4KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+1.5
95-4ETSUETSU×4Attack errAddison Hart+2.5
105-5ETSUETSU×4Attack errAddison Hart+2.7
115-6ETSUETSU×4AceETSUaced Addison Hart+2.8
126-6ETSULIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+1.9
137-6LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillAddison Hartset Charli Crowson+2.8
148-6LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errKaris Chatfield+2.7
158-7LIBRTYETSUKillGianna Blairset Bailey Gohlke+1.8
168-8ETSUETSUBlockedAddison Hartblk Gianna Blair, Sophia Davis+2.9
179-8ETSULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Charli Crowson+2.1
189-9LIBRTYETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+2.1
199-10ETSUETSUAttack errLaney Daniell+3.2
2010-10ETSULIBRTYKillCharli Morrisset Charli Crowson+2.2
2110-11LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+2.3
2211-11ETSULIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+2.2
2311-12LIBRTYETSU×3KillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+2.4
2411-13ETSUETSU×3BlockedPaige Overcashblk Phoenix Fogel, Elizabeth Aylward+3.5
2511-14ETSUETSU×3Attack errLayla Collins+3.4
2612-14ETSULIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+2.0
2712-15LIBRTYETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann+2.4
2813-15ETSULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Melis Ural+2.0
2913-16LIBRTYETSUKillGianna Blairset Bailey Gohlke+2.5
3014-16ETSULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.1
3114-17LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+2.6
3215-17ETSULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Charli Crowson+2.1
3315-18LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+2.7
3415-19ETSUETSUBlockedCharli Morrisblk Phoenix Fogel+3.2
3516-19ETSULIBRTY×4Serve errETSU+1.6
3617-19LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+3.2
3718-19LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillLayla Collinsset Charli Crowson+4.1
3819-19LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+4.9
3919-20LIBRTYETSUAttack errCharli Morris+3.8
4020-20ETSULIBRTY×3KillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+3.6
4121-20LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errSophia Davis+5.8
4222-20LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errSophia Davis+5.5
4322-21LIBRTYETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+3.0
4422-22ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+6.4
4523-22ETSULIBRTYServe errETSU+5.4
4624-22LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedElizabeth Aylwardblk Layla Collins+7.1
4724-23LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+2.7
4825-23ETSULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+6.4
Set 2
11-0LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+2.2
21-1LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+1.5
32-1ETSULIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+1.5
43-1LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errMakayla Bays+2.2
54-1LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+2.0
64-2LIBRTYETSU×3Serve errLiberty+1.3
74-3ETSUETSU×3Attack errPaige Overcash+2.2
84-4ETSUETSU×3KillChloe Smithset Alex Kreutzmann+2.4
95-4ETSULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+1.7
105-5LIBRTYETSU×4KillChloe Smithset Alex Kreutzmann+1.7
115-6ETSUETSU×4AceETSUaced Addison Hart+2.6
125-7ETSUETSU×4Attack errPaige Overcash+2.6
135-8ETSUETSU×4BlockedPaige Overcashblk Gianna Blair, Makayla Bays+2.6
146-8ETSULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Melis Ural+1.6
156-9LIBRTYETSUKillGianna Blairset Bailey Gohlke+1.8
167-9ETSULIBRTY×3Attack errGianna Blair+1.6
178-9LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errChloe Smith+2.6
189-9LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+2.7
199-10LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Melanie Morris+2.0
209-11ETSUETSUBlockedCarly O'Brienblk Sophia Davis, Gianna Blair+2.9
2110-11ETSULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+1.9
2211-11LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errKaris Chatfield+2.9
2311-12LIBRTYETSU×3Serve errLiberty+2.2
2411-13ETSUETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+3.1
2511-14ETSUETSU×3AceETSUaced Kayla O'Brien+3.0
2612-14ETSULIBRTYAttack errMakayla Bays+1.8
2712-15LIBRTYETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann+2.2
2813-15ETSULIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Alison Bierwagen+1.8
2913-16LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+2.2
3014-16ETSULIBRTYServe errETSU+1.9
3114-17LIBRTYETSUKillMakayla Baysset Melanie Morris+2.3
3215-17ETSULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+1.9
3316-17LIBRTYLIBRTYAceLibertyaced Melanie Morris+3.4
3416-18LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+2.8
3517-18ETSULIBRTY×3KillAddison Hartset Carly O'Brien+2.4
3618-18LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+4.1
3719-18LIBRTYLIBRTY×3BlockedGianna Blairblk Laney Daniell, Charli Morris+4.3
3819-19LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+3.0
3920-19ETSULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+3.2
4020-20LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+3.2
4120-21ETSUETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann+5.4
4221-21ETSULIBRTYKillCarly O'Brienset Charli Crowson+3.6
4321-22LIBRTYETSU×4KillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+4.3
4421-23ETSUETSU×4KillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+6.1
4521-24ETSUETSU×4Attack errCarly O'Brien+4.4
4621-25ETSUETSU×4BlockedPaige Overcashblk Sophia Davis, Phoenix Fogel+1.7
Set 3
11-0ETSULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+2.3
22-0LIBRTYLIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Molly Littlefield+3.2
32-1LIBRTYETSUAttack errAddison Hart+2.2
42-2ETSUETSUAttack errAddison Hart+3.4
53-2ETSULIBRTYServe errETSU+2.4
63-3LIBRTYETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+2.4
73-4ETSUETSUKillGianna Blairset Bailey Gohlke+3.7
84-4ETSULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+2.5
94-5LIBRTYETSUAttack errKeira Rosenmarkle+2.6
105-5ETSULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Charli Crowson+2.5
115-6LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+2.7
126-6ETSULIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Charli Crowson+2.6
137-6LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedChloe Smithblk Layla Collins, Paige Overcash+3.8
147-7LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+2.7
157-8ETSUETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+4.1
168-8ETSULIBRTYServe errETSU+2.8
179-8LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedPhoenix Fogelblk Layla Collins+4.0
189-9LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+2.8
199-10ETSUETSUKillChloe Smithset Alex Kreutzmann+4.3
2010-10ETSULIBRTYBlockedMakayla Baysblk Layla Collins, Paige Overcash+2.9
2110-11LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+3.1
2210-12ETSUETSUAceETSUaced Melis Ural+4.6
2311-12ETSULIBRTY×3KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.9
2412-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×3AceLibertyaced Melanie Morris+4.6
2513-12LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillKeira Rosenmarkleset Addie Fielder+4.7
2613-13LIBRTYETSUBlockedKeira Rosenmarkleblk Phoenix Fogel, Makayla Bays+3.2
2714-13ETSULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Melis Ural+3.3
2814-14LIBRTYETSUKillMakayla Baysset Melanie Morris+3.4
2915-14ETSULIBRTYServe errETSU+3.5
3015-15LIBRTYETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+3.5
3116-15ETSULIBRTYAttack errKaris Chatfield+3.7
3217-15LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+5.2
3317-16LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+3.3
3418-16ETSULIBRTY×4KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+3.7
3519-16LIBRTYLIBRTY×4Attack errChloe Smith+4.7
3620-16LIBRTYLIBRTY×4KillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+3.6
3721-16LIBRTYLIBRTY×4Attack errElizabeth Aylward+2.4
3821-17LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+0.9
3921-18ETSUETSUAceETSUaced Melis Ural+2.3
4022-18ETSULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+2.4
4122-19LIBRTYETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+1.4
4223-19ETSULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+2.3
4323-20LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+1.0
4424-20ETSULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+2.0
4524-21LIBRTYETSU×4Serve errLiberty+0.6
4624-22ETSUETSU×4Attack errCarly O'Brien+2.1
4724-23ETSUETSU×4KillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+5.2
4824-24ETSUETSU×4AceETSUaced Kayla O'Brien+13.0
4925-24ETSULIBRTYBlockedSophia Davisblk Laney Daniell, Carly O'Brien+9.0
5025-25LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+9.0
5126-25ETSULIBRTYServe errETSU+9.0
5226-26LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Melanie Morris+9.0
5327-26ETSULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+9.0
5427-27LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Melanie Morris+9.0
5528-27ETSULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+9.0
5628-28LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+9.0
5728-29ETSUETSUAttack errAlison Bierwagen+13.6
5829-29ETSULIBRTYServe errETSU+9.5
5929-30LIBRTYETSUKillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+9.5
6030-30ETSULIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+9.5
6131-30LIBRTYLIBRTY×3KillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+13.2
6232-30LIBRTYLIBRTY×3Attack errMakayla Bays+12.5
Set 4
10-1LIBRTYETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+2.2
20-2ETSUETSU×3BlockedPaige Overcashblk Phoenix Fogel, Makayla Bays+3.2
30-3ETSUETSU×3Attack errCarly O'Brien+3.2
41-3ETSULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+2.0
51-4LIBRTYETSUKillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+2.3
62-4ETSULIBRTYServe errETSU+2.0
73-4LIBRTYLIBRTYAceLibertyaced Karis Chatfield+3.2
83-5LIBRTYETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+2.4
93-6ETSUETSUAttack errPaige Overcash+3.4
104-6ETSULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+2.1
115-6LIBRTYLIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Addie Fielder+3.3
125-7LIBRTYETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+2.5
136-7ETSULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Addie Fielder+2.3
146-8LIBRTYETSU×5KillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+2.6
156-9ETSUETSU×5KillMakayla Baysset Alex Kreutzmann+3.6
166-10ETSUETSU×5KillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann+3.4
176-11ETSUETSU×5AceETSUaced Kayla O'Brien+3.0
186-12ETSUETSU×5KillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+2.5
197-12ETSULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Addie Fielder+1.3
207-13LIBRTYETSUBad setLaney Daniell+1.7
218-13ETSULIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Addie Fielder+1.3
228-14LIBRTYETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+1.7
238-15ETSUETSUAttack errPaige Overcash+1.9
249-15ETSULIBRTYServe errETSU+0.9
259-16LIBRTYETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann+1.3
2610-16ETSULIBRTYAttack errSophia Davis+0.8
2710-17LIBRTYETSU×3KillMakayla Baysset Bailey Gohlke+1.2
2810-18ETSUETSU×3KillKaris Chatfieldset Makayla Bays+1.1
2910-19ETSUETSU×3AceETSU+0.6
3011-19ETSULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+0.2
3111-20LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+0.4
3211-21ETSUETSUAttack errLaney Daniell+0.2
3312-21ETSULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Addie Fielder+0.1
3412-22LIBRTYETSUKillGianna Blairset Bailey Gohlke+0.1
3513-22ETSULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Addie Fielder·
3613-23LIBRTYETSU×3KillKaris Chatfieldset Elizabeth Aylward+0.1
3713-24ETSUETSU×3Attack errLayla Collins·
3813-25ETSUETSU×3Attack errCarly O'Brien+1.4
Set 5
10-1ETSUETSUAceETSUaced Melis Ural+9.0
20-2ETSUETSUAceETSUaced Melis Ural+9.2
31-2ETSULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+5.9
41-3LIBRTYETSUKillPhoenix Fogelset Alex Kreutzmann+6.7
51-4ETSUETSUAttack errAddison Hart+9.2
62-4ETSULIBRTYKillLaney Daniellset Alison Bierwagen+5.4
72-5LIBRTYETSUKillSophia Davisset Alex Kreutzmann+6.6
83-5ETSULIBRTYAttack errSophia Davis+5.6
94-5LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errMakayla Bays+9.5
104-6LIBRTYETSUKillGianna Blairset Bailey Gohlke+7.6
115-6ETSULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Melis Ural+6.7
126-6LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLayla Collins+11.0
136-7LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+8.3
147-7ETSULIBRTYBlockedElizabeth Aylwardblk Layla Collins, Carly O'Brien+8.0
157-8LIBRTYETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Bailey Gohlke+8.8
168-8ETSULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+8.5
178-9LIBRTYETSUAttack errAddison Hart+9.5
189-9ETSULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+9.1
1910-9LIBRTYLIBRTYAttack errElizabeth Aylward+14.3
2010-10LIBRTYETSUKillElizabeth Aylwardset Alex Kreutzmann+9.8
2111-10ETSULIBRTYKillAddison Hartset Alison Bierwagen+10.9
2211-11LIBRTYETSUServe errLiberty+10.8
2312-11ETSULIBRTYKillJenna Ottsset Charli Crowson+12.4
2412-12LIBRTYETSUAttack errJenna Otts+12.1
2513-12ETSULIBRTYBlockedKaris Chatfieldblk Laney Daniell, Jenna Otts+14.6
2613-13LIBRTYETSUKillSophia Davisset Bailey Gohlke+14.0
2713-14ETSUETSUBlockedCarly O'Brienblk Gianna Blair, Elizabeth Aylward+27.5
2814-14ETSULIBRTYServe errETSU+19.2
2914-15LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Bailey Gohlke+19.2
3015-15ETSULIBRTYKillPaige Overcashset Alison Bierwagen+19.2
3116-15LIBRTYLIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+26.6
3216-16LIBRTYETSUKillKaris Chatfieldset Alex Kreutzmann+18.3
3317-16ETSULIBRTYKillLayla Collinsset Alison Bierwagen+18.3
3418-16LIBRTYLIBRTYBlockedMakayla Baysblk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash+25.3

Score shown after each rally, Liberty first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).