FinalTue, Sep 8, 2026

AwayCUSA

3:0

HomeBIG-SOUTH

Liberty def. Radford 3–0

(25-19, 28-26, 25-16)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
LIBRTY	25	28	25	3
RADFRD	19	26	16	0

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

RADFRD above 50 · LIBRTY below

Biggest swing: 3.6% to Liberty — set 2, LIBRTY 28-26 RADFRD. Kill by Laney Daniell (set by Alison Bierwagen). RADFRD win probability 6% → 2%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

LIBRTY 85.9%14.1% RADFRD

Liberty wins

3-0

38.3%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

16.2%

Radford wins

3-0

2.1%

3-1

4.5%

3-2

7.5%

LIBRTY break %: 43.6% vs this opp
RADFRD break %: 35.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Laney DaniellKill+3.6%
Kill by Laney Daniell (set by Alison Bierwagen)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 28-26 RADFRD · LIBRTY 94% → 98%
02
RADFRD serverService error+2.8%
Radford service error
Set 2 · LIBRTY 24-23 RADFRD · LIBRTY 91% → 94%
03
Olivia RynoKill+2.8%
Kill by Olivia Ryno (set by Alyssa Cadavid)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 24-24 RADFRD · RADFRD 6% → 9%
04
Jenna OttsKill+2.8%
Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Charli Crowson)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 25-24 RADFRD · LIBRTY 91% → 94%
05
Olivia RynoKill+2.8%
Kill by Olivia Ryno (set by Alyssa Cadavid)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 25-25 RADFRD · RADFRD 6% → 9%
06
Jenna OttsKill+2.8%
Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Charli Crowson)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 26-25 RADFRD · LIBRTY 91% → 94%
07
Macie PotterKill+2.8%
Kill by Macie Potter (set by Alyssa Cadavid)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 26-26 RADFRD · RADFRD 6% → 9%
08
Jenna OttsKill+2.8%
Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Alison Bierwagen)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 27-26 RADFRD · LIBRTY 91% → 94%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Libertyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Jenna OttsOH	3	15	1	27	.519	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	15
25Paige OvercashOH	3	11	6	27	.185	1	1	3	2	0	0	0	12
0Laney DaniellMB	3	10	0	12	.833	2	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
2Carly O'BrienOH	3	8	2	24	.250	3	1	0	9	0	0	0	9
24Layla CollinsMB	3	6	1	11	.455	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	7
11Alison BierwagenS	3	1	0	2	.500	36	2	0	13	0	2	1	4
22Molly LittlefieldL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	1	5	0	0	0	1
3VB TrostOH	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	1
1Kayla O'BrienL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Melis UralL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	15	0	0	0	0
15Charli MorrisS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
4Addie FielderS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
16Charli CrowsonS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
13Keira RosenmarkleOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	10	105	.400	50	5	5	52	3	6	3	78

Radfordhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Macie PotterOH	3	11	3	21	.381	1	0	1	5	1	0	0	11
9Addison CunnaginOH	3	8	3	26	.192	0	0	2	6	2	1	0.5	8.5
18Taryn RobertsMB	3	6	2	18	.222	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
25Maja BochenekMB	3	5	0	7	.714	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
24Aubrey HatchOH	3	3	0	12	.250	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3
22Lea GageS	3	2	0	3	.667	20	0	1	3	0	0	0	2
11Olivia RynoOH	3	8	4	23	.174	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	9
6Alyssa CadavidS	3	0	0	2	.000	17	2	1	8	0	0	0	2
1Mia JannazzoOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	9	1	0	0	1
7Rose WhitemountainDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	12	112	.277	40	3	7	37	5	6	3	61

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 LIBRTY · RADFRD 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 3 LIBRTYRADFRD 3

Set 2*

28-26

Longest run 4 LIBRTYRADFRD 5

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 8 LIBRTYRADFRD 4

Bars above the line = Radford leads, below = Liberty leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Liberty

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%5/5	40%2/5
2	83%5/6	62%8/13
3	71%5/7	58%7/12
4	63%5/8	0%0/5
5	100%4/4	50%4/8
6	57%4/7	20%1/5
All	76%28/37	46%22/48

Radford

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	38%5/13	0%0/5
2	42%5/12	17%1/6
3	100%5/5	29%2/7
4	50%4/8	38%3/8
5	80%4/5	0%0/4
6	60%3/5	43%3/7
All	54%26/48	24%9/37

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

139 rallies

Rally log

#	LIBRTY-RADFRD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.9
2	2-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Bad set	Lea Gage		+1.3
3	2-1	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.8
4	3-1	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Melis Ural	+0.8
5	3-2	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+0.9
6	3-3	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+1.5
7	4-3	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.0
8	4-4	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+1.1
9	5-4	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.0
10	6-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Team	+1.4
11	6-5	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.9
12	7-5	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.9
13	8-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Carly O'Brien	+1.2
14	8-6	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.8
15	8-7	RADFRD	RADFRD	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Jenna Otts	+1.5
16	9-7	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Carly O'Brien	+1.0
17	10-7	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Olivia Ryno		+1.3
18	10-8	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.8
19	11-8	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.9
20	11-9	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+0.8
21	12-9	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.9
22	12-10	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+0.9
23	13-10	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.9
24	13-11	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.9
25	14-11	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.0
26	15-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+1.2
27	15-12	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.7
28	16-12	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Attack err	Macie Potter		+0.8
29	16-13	LIBRTY	RADFRD×3	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.7
30	16-14	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.4
31	16-15	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.9
32	17-15	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Attack err	Macie Potter	blk Layla Collins, Alison Bierwagen	+1.4
33	17-16	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.4
34	18-16	RADFRD	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.5
35	19-16	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.8
36	20-16	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.3
37	20-17	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+0.6
38	21-17	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.8
39	21-18	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.5
40	22-18	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.8
41	22-19	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.5
42	23-19	RADFRD	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.7
43	24-19	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Olivia Ryno		+0.4
44	25-19	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Olivia Ryno	blk Alison Bierwagen, Layla Collins	+0.1
Set 2
1	0-1	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Lea Gage		+0.8
2	1-1	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.7
3	1-2	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.8
4	1-3	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Lea Gage		+1.3
5	2-3	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.8
6	2-4	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+0.9
7	3-4	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.8
8	3-5	LIBRTY	RADFRD×5	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.9
9	3-6	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Attack err	Layla Collins		+1.4
10	3-7	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Kill	Macie Potter		+1.5
11	3-8	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.5
12	3-9	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Attack err	Carly O'Brien	blk Olivia Ryno, Maja Bochenek	+1.4
13	4-9	RADFRD	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.7
14	5-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Olivia Ryno		+1.2
15	6-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Addison Cunnagin	+1.3
16	6-10	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.1
17	7-10	RADFRD	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.8
18	8-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Carly O'Brien	+1.4
19	9-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.5
20	10-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Taryn Roberts		+1.5
21	10-11	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.1
22	10-12	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.7
23	11-12	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.0
24	12-12	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+1.6
25	12-13	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.2
26	13-13	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Serve err	RADFRD server		+1.0
27	13-14	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+1.2
28	14-14	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.1
29	14-15	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.3
30	14-16	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+2.1
31	15-16	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.2
32	15-17	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.5
33	16-17	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+1.2
34	17-17	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Melis Ural	+2.1
35	17-18	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.6
36	18-18	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Serve err	RADFRD server		+1.4
37	18-19	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.7
38	19-19	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Attack err	Macie Potter	blk Laney Daniell, Charli Morris	+1.5
39	20-19	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Mia Jannazzo	+2.4
40	20-20	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+1.6
41	21-20	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.7
42	21-21	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.8
43	22-21	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.9
44	22-22	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+2.0
45	23-22	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.3
46	23-23	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Attack err	Carly O'Brien	blk Addison Cunnagin, Maja Bochenek	+2.2
47	24-23	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Serve err	RADFRD server		+2.8
48	24-24	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+2.8
49	25-24	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+2.8
50	25-25	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+2.8
51	26-25	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+2.8
52	26-26	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+2.8
53	27-26	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.8
54	28-26	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+3.6
Set 3
1	1-0	RADFRD	LIBRTY×5	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.3
2	2-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.4
3	3-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Bad set	Lea Gage		+0.4
4	4-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Laney Daniell	+0.3
5	5-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Addison Cunnagin	+0.3
6	5-1	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Macie Potter	+0.2
7	5-2	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.3
8	6-2	RADFRD	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.2
9	7-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.3
10	8-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Melis Ural	+0.2
11	9-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.2
12	10-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+0.1
13	11-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Attack err	Taryn Roberts		+0.1
14	12-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+0.0
15	13-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Macie Potter	+0.0
16	13-3	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Mia Jannazzo	+0.0
17	14-3	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.0
18	14-4	LIBRTY	RADFRD×4	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+0.0
19	14-5	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.0
20	14-6	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Team	+0.0
21	14-7	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Ace	RADFRD server	aced Team	+0.1
22	15-7	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
23	15-8	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Maja Bochenek	+0.0
24	16-8	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
25	16-9	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.0
26	17-9	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.0
27	17-10	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Attack err	Jenna Otts	blk Taryn Roberts, Olivia Ryno	+0.0
28	18-10	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.0
29	19-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+0.0
30	19-11	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+0.0
31	20-11	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+0.0
32	20-12	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.0
33	20-13	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.0
34	21-13	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.0
35	21-14	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	+0.0
36	22-14	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Molly Littlefield	+0.0
37	22-15	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.0
38	23-15	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.0
39	23-16	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.0
40	24-16	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Serve err	RADFRD server		+0.0
41	25-16	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	VB Trost	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Liberty first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.