Liberty vs Radford Volleyball: Liberty Wins 3-0 (Sep 8)

FinalTue, Sep 8, 2026

3:0

Liberty won at Radford 3-0 (25-19, 28-26, 25-16) on Tue, Sep 8, 2026. Liberty's Jenna Otts led with 15 kills, and Melis Ural added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Sep 8

Set	1	2	3	Sets
LIBRTY	25	28	25	3
RADFRD	19	26	16	0

Win probability

Radford above 50 · Liberty below

Biggest swing: 6.2% to Liberty — set 2, LIBRTY 28-26 RADFRD. Kill by Laney Daniell (set by Alison Bierwagen). RADFRD win probability 12% → 5%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LIBRTY 72.5%27.5% RADFRD

Liberty wins

3-0

25.1%

3-1

27.8%

3-2

19.6%

Radford wins

3-0

5.0%

3-1

9.5%

3-2

12.9%

LIBRTY break %: 42.4% vs this opp
RADFRD break %: 37.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Laney DaniellKill+6.2%
Kill by Laney Daniell (set by Alison Bierwagen)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 28-26 RADFRD · LIBRTY 88% → 95%
02
RadfordService error+4.6%
Radford service error
Set 2 · LIBRTY 24-23 RADFRD · LIBRTY 84% → 88%
03
Olivia RynoKill+4.6%
Kill by Olivia Ryno (set by Alyssa Cadavid)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 24-24 RADFRD · RADFRD 12% → 16%
04
Jenna OttsKill+4.6%
Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Charli Crowson)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 25-24 RADFRD · LIBRTY 84% → 88%
05
Olivia RynoKill+4.6%
Kill by Olivia Ryno (set by Alyssa Cadavid)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 25-25 RADFRD · RADFRD 12% → 16%
06
Jenna OttsKill+4.6%
Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Charli Crowson)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 26-25 RADFRD · LIBRTY 84% → 88%
07
Macie PotterKill+4.6%
Kill by Macie Potter (set by Alyssa Cadavid)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 26-26 RADFRD · RADFRD 12% → 16%
08
Jenna OttsKill+4.6%
Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Alison Bierwagen)
Set 2 · LIBRTY 27-26 RADFRD · LIBRTY 84% → 88%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Libertyaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
8Jenna OttsOH	3	15	1	27	.519	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	15
25Paige OvercashOH	3	11	6	27	.185	1	1	3	2	0	0	0	12
0Laney DaniellMB	3	10	0	12	.833	2	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	10.5
2Carly O'BrienOH	3	8	2	24	.250	3	1	0	9	0	0	0	9
24Layla CollinsMB	3	6	1	11	.455	0	0	0	1	0	2	1	7
11Alison BierwagenS	3	1	0	2	.500	36	2	0	13	0	2	1	4
22Molly LittlefieldL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	1	1	5	0	0	0	1
3VB TrostOH	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	1
1Kayla O'BrienL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5Melis UralL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	15	0	0	0	0
15Charli MorrisS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
4Addie FielderS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
16Charli CrowsonS	1	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
13Keira RosenmarkleOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	10	105	.400	50	5	5	52	3	6	3	78

Radfordhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
2Macie PotterOH	3	11	3	21	.381	1	0	1	5	1	0	0	11
9Addison CunnaginOH	3	8	3	26	.192	0	0	2	6	2	1	0.5	8.5
18Taryn RobertsMB	3	6	2	18	.222	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
25Maja BochenekMB	3	5	0	7	.714	1	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
24Aubrey HatchOH	3	3	0	12	.250	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	3
22Lea GageS	3	2	0	3	.667	20	0	1	3	0	0	0	2
11Olivia RynoOH	3	8	4	23	.174	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	9
6Alyssa CadavidS	3	0	0	2	.000	17	2	1	8	0	0	0	2
1Mia JannazzoOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	9	1	0	0	1
7Rose WhitemountainDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	12	112	.277	40	3	7	37	5	6	3	61

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 8 LIBRTY · RADFRD 5

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 3 LIBRTYRADFRD 3

Set 2

28-26

Longest run 4 LIBRTYRADFRD 5

Set 3

25-16

Longest run 8 LIBRTYRADFRD 4

Bars above the line = Radford leads, below = Liberty leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Liberty

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	100%5/5	40%2/5
2	83%5/6	62%8/13
3	71%5/7	58%7/12
4	63%5/8	0%0/5
5	100%4/4	50%4/8
6	57%4/7	20%1/5
All	76%28/37	46%22/48

Radford

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	38%5/13	0%0/5
2	42%5/12	17%1/6
3	100%5/5	29%2/7
4	50%4/8	38%3/8
5	80%4/5	0%0/4
6	60%3/5	43%3/7
All	54%26/48	24%9/37

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#	LIBRTY-RADFRD	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.4
2	2-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Bad set	Lea Gage		+2.0
3	2-1	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+1.3
4	3-1	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Melis Ural	+1.3
5	3-2	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.4
6	3-3	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+2.2
7	4-3	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.5
8	4-4	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+1.6
9	5-4	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.5
10	6-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	Liberty		+2.2
11	6-5	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Serve err	Liberty		+1.5
12	7-5	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.5
13	8-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Carly O'Brien	+2.0
14	8-6	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.3
15	8-7	RADFRD	RADFRD	Ace	Radford	aced Jenna Otts	+2.2
16	9-7	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Carly O'Brien	+1.6
17	10-7	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Olivia Ryno		+2.1
18	10-8	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.3
19	11-8	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.4
20	11-9	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+1.4
21	12-9	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.5
22	12-10	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.4
23	13-10	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.5
24	13-11	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+1.4
25	14-11	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.6
26	15-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+2.0
27	15-12	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Serve err	Liberty		+1.1
28	16-12	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Attack err	Macie Potter		+1.3
29	16-13	LIBRTY	RADFRD×3	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.1
30	16-14	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+2.2
31	16-15	RADFRD	RADFRD×3	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Alyssa Cadavid	+2.9
32	17-15	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Blocked	Macie Potter	blk Layla Collins, Alison Bierwagen	+2.1
33	17-16	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Serve err	Liberty		+2.0
34	18-16	RADFRD	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.3
35	19-16	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.9
36	20-16	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.1
37	20-17	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+1.0
38	21-17	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.4
39	21-18	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.9
40	22-18	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.4
41	22-19	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.8
42	23-19	RADFRD	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.3
43	24-19	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Olivia Ryno		+0.8
44	25-19	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Blocked	Olivia Ryno	blk Alison Bierwagen, Layla Collins	+0.2
Set 2
1	0-1	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Lea Gage		+1.3
2	1-1	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.2
3	1-2	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+1.3
4	1-3	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Lea Gage		+2.0
5	2-3	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.2
6	2-4	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+1.4
7	3-4	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Serve err	Radford		+1.3
8	3-5	LIBRTY	RADFRD×5	Serve err	Liberty		+1.4
9	3-6	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Attack err	Layla Collins		+2.1
10	3-7	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Kill	Macie Potter		+2.1
11	3-8	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.9
12	3-9	RADFRD	RADFRD×5	Blocked	Carly O'Brien	blk Olivia Ryno, Maja Bochenek	+1.7
13	4-9	RADFRD	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.9
14	5-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Olivia Ryno		+1.6
15	6-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Ace	Liberty	aced Addison Cunnagin	+1.8
16	6-10	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.5
17	7-10	RADFRD	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.2
18	8-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Carly O'Brien	+2.1
19	9-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.2
20	10-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Taryn Roberts		+2.3
21	10-11	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+1.7
22	10-12	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+2.6
23	11-12	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.6
24	12-12	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+2.5
25	12-13	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+1.8
26	13-13	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Serve err	Radford		+1.7
27	13-14	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Lea Gage	+1.9
28	14-14	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.8
29	14-15	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+2.0
30	14-16	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+3.0
31	15-16	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.8
32	15-17	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Alyssa Cadavid	+2.2
33	16-17		LIBRTY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+1.9
34	17-17	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Melis Ural	+3.1
35	17-18	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+2.4
36	18-18	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Serve err	Radford		+2.2
37	18-19	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+2.5
38	19-19	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Blocked	Macie Potter	blk Laney Daniell, Charli Morris	+2.4
39	20-19	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	Liberty	aced Mia Jannazzo	+3.8
40	20-20	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	+2.5
41	21-20	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.7
42	21-21	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Taryn Roberts	set Lea Gage	+2.8
43	22-21	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+3.1
44	22-22	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+3.1
45	23-22	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+3.7
46	23-23	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Blocked	Carly O'Brien	blk Addison Cunnagin, Maja Bochenek	+3.6
47	24-23	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Serve err	Radford		+4.6
48	24-24	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+4.6
49	25-24	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+4.6
50	25-25	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	+4.6
51	26-25	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+4.6
52	26-26	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Alyssa Cadavid	+4.6
53	27-26	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+4.6
54	28-26	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+6.2
Set 3
1	1-0	RADFRD	LIBRTY×5	Serve err	Radford		+0.6
2	2-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.9
3	3-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Bad set	Lea Gage		+0.8
4	4-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Laney Daniell	+0.7
5	5-0	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×5	Ace	Liberty	aced Addison Cunnagin	+0.6
6	5-1	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Aubrey Hatch	set Macie Potter	+0.4
7	5-2	RADFRD	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Lea Gage	+0.7
8	6-2	RADFRD	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.5
9	7-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.6
10	8-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Melis Ural	+0.5
11	9-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.4
12	10-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+0.3
13	11-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Attack err	Taryn Roberts		+0.2
14	12-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+0.1
15	13-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×8	Ace	Liberty	aced Macie Potter	+0.1
16	13-3	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Addison Cunnagin	set Mia Jannazzo	·
17	14-3	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	·
18	14-4	LIBRTY	RADFRD×4	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	·
19	14-5	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.1
20	14-6	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Ace	Radford		+0.1
21	14-7	RADFRD	RADFRD×4	Ace	Radford		+0.2
22	15-7	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.2
23	15-8	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Maja Bochenek	+0.1
24	16-8	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
25	16-9	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Alyssa Cadavid	+0.1
26	17-9	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
27	17-10	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Blocked	Jenna Otts	blk Taryn Roberts, Olivia Ryno	+0.1
28	18-10	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
29	19-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+0.1
30	19-11	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Macie Potter	set Lea Gage	·
31	20-11	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Attack err	Addison Cunnagin		+0.1
32	20-12	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Serve err	Liberty		·
33	20-13	RADFRD	RADFRD	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+0.1
34	21-13	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1
35	21-14	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Maja Bochenek	set Lea Gage	·
36	22-14	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Molly Littlefield	+0.1
37	22-15	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	·
38	23-15	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Serve err	Radford		·
39	23-16	LIBRTY	RADFRD	Kill	Olivia Ryno	set Alyssa Cadavid	·
40	24-16	RADFRD	LIBRTY	Serve err	Radford		·
41	25-16	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	VB Trost	set Alyssa Cadavid	·

Score shown after each rally, Liberty first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Liberty def. Radford 3–0