FinalThu, Sep 17, 2026

AwayUAC-

0:3

HomeCUSA

Liberty def. North Ala. 3–0

(25-13, 25-22, 25-19)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
N ALA	13	22	19	0
LIBRTY	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LIBRTY above 50 · N ALA below

Biggest swing: 4.7% to Liberty — set 2, N ALA 22-24 LIBRTY. Kill by Paige Overcash (set by Melis Ural). LIBRTY win probability 81% → 85%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

N ALA 45.9%54.1% LIBRTY

North Ala. wins

3-0

10.9%

3-1

17.1%

3-2

18.0%

Liberty wins

3-0

14.3%

3-1

20.4%

3-2

19.3%

N ALA break %: 38.8% vs this opp
LIBRTY break %: 39.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Paige OvercashKill+4.7%
Kill by Paige Overcash (set by Melis Ural)
Set 2 · N ALA 22-24 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 81% → 85%
02
Reese RickettsKill+4.3%
Kill by Reese Ricketts (set by Kinslee McGowan)
Set 2 · N ALA 21-22 LIBRTY · N ALA 16% → 21%
03
Jenna OttsKill+4.1%
Kill by Jenna Otts (set by Alison Bierwagen)
Set 2 · N ALA 21-23 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 79% → 83%
04
LIBRTY serverAce+3.7%
Liberty ace on Kaylee Maikranz
Set 2 · N ALA 22-25 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 85% → 89%
05
Phoebe Reyes FortunatoAttack error+2.8%
Phoebe Reyes Fortunato stuffed by Layla Collins & Jenna Otts
Set 2 · N ALA 5-7 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 74% → 77%
06
Reese RickettsKill+2.8%
Kill by Reese Ricketts (set by Kinslee McGowan)
Set 2 · N ALA 22-23 LIBRTY · N ALA 17% → 19%
07
Paige OvercashKill+2.6%
Kill by Paige Overcash (set by Alison Bierwagen)
Set 1 · N ALA 0-1 LIBRTY · LIBRTY 54% → 57%
08
N ALA serverAce+2.6%
North Ala. ace on Molly Littlefield
Set 2 · N ALA 3-3 LIBRTY · N ALA 25% → 28%

Official NCAA box

Box score

North Ala.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
24Dylann GarnerOH	3	8	2	27	.222	0	0	0	2	1	0	2	1	9
16Anna HoffmayerMB	3	4	2	12	.167	0	1	0	4	0	1	2	2	7
11Reese RickettsOH	3	6	3	24	.125	0	0	1	7	1	0	0	0	6
4Kinslee McGowanS	3	2	0	3	.667	22	2	1	10	0	0	0	0	4
6Phoebe Reyes FortunatoOH	3	3	5	17	-.118	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	3
15Jenna KolostaMB	1	0	1	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
3Ally GreenwellOH	3	0	1	3	-.333	0	1	1	3	1	0	0	0	1
1Ava MartindaleL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	12	4	0	0	0	0
21Kaylee MaikranzL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
19Kennedy BullinsMB	2	3	0	3	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3
5Lankford GurnerL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		26	14	95	.126	25	4	4	43	9	1	4	3	54

Libertyhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
25Paige OvercashOH	3	15	2	33	.394	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	16.5
0Laney DaniellMB	3	6	1	17	.294	0	5	5	6	0	0	3	1.5	12.5
8Jenna OttsOH	3	10	1	15	.600	0	0	0	3	0	1	2	2	12
2Carly O'BrienOH	3	6	1	17	.294	0	1	3	4	1	1	0	1	8
24Layla CollinsMB	3	7	2	10	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	8
11Alison BierwagenS	3	0	0	2	.000	21	1	3	11	0	0	0	0	1
15Charli MorrisS	3	4	0	7	.571	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
5Melis UralL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	6	2	0	12	1	0	0	0	2
22Molly LittlefieldL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	1	8	1	0	0	0	0
3VB TrostOH	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
16Charli CrowsonS	3	0	0	0	–	17	0	4	2	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	7	103	.398	45	9	16	51	4	2	10	7	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 N ALA · LIBRTY 7

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 2 N ALALIBRTY 7

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 N ALALIBRTY 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 N ALALIBRTY 4

Bars above the line = Liberty leads, below = North Ala. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

North Ala.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	25%2/8
2	53%8/15	38%5/13
3	30%6/20	33%4/12
4	71%5/7	25%2/8
5	56%5/9	38%3/8
6	50%5/10	17%1/6
All	50%37/74	31%17/55

Liberty

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	50%7/14
2	67%8/12	43%6/14
3	70%7/10	63%12/19
4	71%5/7	44%4/9
5	63%5/8	29%2/7
6	83%5/6	55%6/11
All	69%38/55	50%37/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

129 rallies

Rally log

#	N ALA-LIBRTY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+2.6
2	0-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+2.6
3	1-2	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.6
4	1-3	N ALA	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.7
5	1-4	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato		+2.5
6	1-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+2.3
7	1-6	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+2.0
8	2-6	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.1
9	2-7	N ALA	LIBRTY×7	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.3
10	2-8	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×7	Kill	Carly O'Brien		+1.7
11	2-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×7	Attack err	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato		+1.4
12	2-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×7	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.0
13	2-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×7	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Reese Ricketts	+0.7
14	2-12	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×7	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Ava Martindale	+0.5
15	2-13	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×7	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Ava Martindale	+0.3
16	3-13	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.1
17	4-13	N ALA	N ALA	Attack err	Carly O'Brien	blk Anna Hoffmayer	+0.3
18	4-14	N ALA	LIBRTY	Serve err	N ALA server		+0.3
19	5-14	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.2
20	5-15	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+0.2
21	6-15	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Anna Hoffmayer	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.1
22	7-15	N ALA	N ALA	Ace	N ALA server	aced Melis Ural	+0.3
23	7-16	N ALA	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.3
24	7-17	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Charli Morris	set Charli Crowson	+0.3
25	7-18	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Jenna Kolosta	blk Jenna Otts	+0.1
26	8-18	LIBRTY	N ALA	Bad set	Charli Crowson		+0.0
27	9-18	N ALA	N ALA	Ace	N ALA server	aced Carly O'Brien	+0.1
28	9-19	N ALA	LIBRTY	Attack err	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato		+0.1
29	9-20	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Jenna Kolosta	+0.1
30	10-20	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
31	10-21	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Melis Ural	+0.0
32	10-22	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.0
33	11-22	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
34	12-22	N ALA	N ALA	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
35	12-23	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.0
36	12-24	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Molly Littlefield	+0.0
37	13-24	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.0
38	13-25	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.6
2	1-1	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.6
3	1-2	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.7
4	1-3	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Reese Ricketts		+2.5
5	2-3	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Kinslee McGowan	set Kaylee Maikranz	+1.6
6	3-3	N ALA	N ALA	Ace	N ALA server	aced Molly Littlefield	+2.6
7	3-4	N ALA	LIBRTY	Serve err	N ALA server		+1.7
8	4-4	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.7
9	4-5	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.8
10	5-5	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+1.8
11	5-6	N ALA	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+1.8
12	5-7	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	blk Layla Collins, Jenna Otts	+2.8
13	5-8	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+2.6
14	5-9	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+2.4
15	6-9	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.3
16	6-10	N ALA	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Charli Morris	set Charli Crowson	+1.5
17	6-11	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Charli Morris	set Charli Crowson	+2.0
18	6-12	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Ally Greenwell	+1.6
19	7-12	LIBRTY	N ALA	Attack err	Jenna Otts		+0.8
20	7-13	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Charli Crowson	+1.0
21	8-13	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Anna Hoffmayer	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.8
22	8-14	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.0
23	9-14	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.7
24	10-14	N ALA	N ALA	Kill	Kennedy Bullins	set Kinslee McGowan	+1.6
25	10-15	N ALA	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.3
26	10-16	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.5
27	10-17	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Ava Martindale	+1.0
28	11-17	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.4
29	12-17	N ALA	N ALA	Attack err	Layla Collins		+1.0
30	12-18	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.9
31	12-19	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Charli Morris	set Melis Ural	+0.9
32	13-19	LIBRTY	N ALA×3	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.3
33	14-19	N ALA	N ALA×3	Attack err	Layla Collins	blk Anna Hoffmayer, Dylann Garner	+0.8
34	15-19	N ALA	N ALA×3	Kill	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	set Kinslee McGowan	+1.3
35	15-20	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Charli Crowson	+1.2
36	16-20	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.7
37	16-21	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+1.2
38	17-21	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Anna Hoffmayer	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.6
39	18-21	N ALA	N ALA	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Ava Martindale	+1.7
40	18-22	N ALA	LIBRTY	Attack err	Anna Hoffmayer		+1.7
41	19-22	LIBRTY	N ALA×3	Kill	Kinslee McGowan	set Kaylee Maikranz	+0.9
42	20-22	N ALA	N ALA×3	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kinslee McGowan	+2.6
43	21-22	N ALA	N ALA×3	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kinslee McGowan	+4.3
44	21-23	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Alison Bierwagen	+4.1
45	22-23	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Reese Ricketts	set Kinslee McGowan	+2.8
46	22-24	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Melis Ural	+4.7
47	22-25	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Kaylee Maikranz	+3.7
Set 3
1	0-1	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Phoebe Reyes Fortunato	blk Jenna Otts, Laney Daniell	+1.6
2	0-2	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.6
3	1-2	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+1.0
4	1-3	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Laney Daniell	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.0
5	2-3	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Anna Hoffmayer	set Kinslee McGowan	+1.0
6	3-3	N ALA	N ALA	Attack err	Paige Overcash		+1.6
7	3-4	N ALA	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.1
8	3-5	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Layla Collins	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.7
9	3-6	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+1.6
10	3-7	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×4	Attack err	Reese Ricketts		+1.4
11	4-7	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.8
12	4-8	N ALA	LIBRTY	Attack err	Reese Ricketts	blk Paige Overcash, Layla Collins	+0.9
13	5-8	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.8
14	5-9	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Charli Crowson	+0.9
15	5-10	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Ava Martindale	+1.3
16	6-10	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.7
17	6-11	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.8
18	7-11	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Kennedy Bullins	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.7
19	7-12	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.8
20	8-12	LIBRTY	N ALA	Attack err	Paige Overcash	blk Anna Hoffmayer, Dylann Garner	+0.7
21	8-13	N ALA	LIBRTY×3	Serve err	N ALA server		+0.8
22	8-14	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Dylann Garner	blk Paige Overcash, Laney Daniell	+1.0
23	8-15	LIBRTY	LIBRTY×3	Attack err	Dylann Garner	blk Laney Daniell, Paige Overcash	+0.7
24	9-15	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.3
25	9-16	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.4
26	9-17	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Attack err	Anna Hoffmayer	blk Carly O'Brien	+0.4
27	10-17	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.2
28	10-18	N ALA	LIBRTY	Attack err	Ally Greenwell		+0.2
29	10-19	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+0.2
30	11-19	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.1
31	12-19	N ALA	N ALA	Kill	Kennedy Bullins	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.2
32	12-20	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Layla Collins	set Charli Crowson	+0.2
33	13-20	LIBRTY	N ALA	Serve err	LIBRTY server		+0.1
34	13-21	N ALA	LIBRTY	Serve err	N ALA server		+0.1
35	13-22	LIBRTY	LIBRTY	Ace	LIBRTY server	aced Dylann Garner	+0.1
36	14-22	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
37	14-23	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Jenna Otts	set Charli Crowson	+0.0
38	15-23	LIBRTY	N ALA×4	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
39	16-23	N ALA	N ALA×4	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
40	17-23	N ALA	N ALA×4	Ace	N ALA server	aced VB Trost	+0.1
41	18-23	N ALA	N ALA×4	Attack err	Laney Daniell		+0.1
42	18-24	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Paige Overcash	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.2
43	19-24	LIBRTY	N ALA	Kill	Dylann Garner	set Kinslee McGowan	+0.0
44	19-25	N ALA	LIBRTY	Kill	Carly O'Brien	set Alison Bierwagen	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, North Ala. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.