FinalSun, Aug 30, 2026

AwayOVC

0:3

HomeBIG-SKY

Idaho def. Western Ill. 3–0

(28-26, 25-18, 25-13)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
W ILL	26	18	13	0
IDAHO	28	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

IDAHO above 50 · W ILL below

Biggest swing: 6.9% to Idaho — set 1, W ILL 24-24 IDAHO. Idaho ace on Melaina Hawblitzel. IDAHO win probability 76% → 83%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

W ILL 13.0%87.0% IDAHO

Western Ill. wins

3-0

1.9%

3-1

4.1%

3-2

7.1%

Idaho wins

3-0

39.8%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.7%

W ILL break %: 39.7% vs this opp
IDAHO break %: 48.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
IDAHO serverAce+6.9%
Idaho ace on Melaina Hawblitzel
Set 1 · W ILL 24-24 IDAHO · IDAHO 76% → 83%
02
Melaina HawblitzelAttack error+5.7%
Melaina Hawblitzel stuffed by Koen Makaula & Sarah Sullivan
Set 1 · W ILL 24-25 IDAHO · IDAHO 83% → 89%
03
Koen MakaulaKill+4.7%
Kill by Koen Makaula (set by Zola Zuccolo)
Set 1 · W ILL 26-28 IDAHO · IDAHO 89% → 93%
04
Kennedy AdairKill+4.6%
Kill by Kennedy Adair (set by Jaleah Bauss)
Set 1 · W ILL 24-22 IDAHO · W ILL 22% → 26%
05
Allie FerrinAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Allie Ferrin
Set 1 · W ILL 25-25 IDAHO · W ILL 11% → 16%
06
Koen MakaulaKill+4.4%
Kill by Koen Makaula (set by Csenge Krakoczki)
Set 1 · W ILL 25-26 IDAHO · IDAHO 84% → 89%
07
Allie FerrinAttack error+4.4%
Attack error by Allie Ferrin
Set 1 · W ILL 26-26 IDAHO · W ILL 11% → 16%
08
W ILL serverService error+4.4%
Western Ill. service error
Set 1 · W ILL 26-27 IDAHO · IDAHO 84% → 89%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Western Ill.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Kennedy AdairOH	3	8	3	23	.217	1	0	2	6	5	1	2	2	10
9Hillary EstesMB	3	5	1	12	.333	1	0	2	0	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
1Georgia HaynesOH	3	5	2	15	.200	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	5
10Maria Eduarda Pereira TonellaMB	3	2	1	10	.100	1	1	1	0	0	0	3	1.5	4.5
16Melaina HawblitzelOH	3	2	6	18	-.222	1	0	2	2	1	0	0	0	2
15Jaleah BaussS	3	1	1	3	.000	13	1	2	5	0	0	0	0	2
17Emilia KouriOH	3	8	1	12	.583	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
6Madelyn NortonS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	11	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0
5Grace UlatowskiOH	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	1	8	2	0	0	0	0
11Jacqueline AdairOH	2	1	2	3	-.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
Team totals		32	18	97	.144	30	2	11	26	9	1	8	5	57

Idahohome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Kiana GreerOH	3	9	7	27	.074	0	1	0	8	0	1	1	1.5	11.5
11Koen MakaulaMB	3	7	2	13	.385	1	0	1	2	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
5Sarah SullivanOH	3	7	1	11	.545	1	0	0	3	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
13Allie FerrinOH	3	5	5	18	.000	0	2	0	5	0	0	0	0	7
16Anika PrisbyMB	3	5	1	10	.400	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	6.5
21Csenge KrakoczkiS	3	0	0	1	.000	19	3	0	4	0	0	0	0	3
14Sophie DanielsonOPP	3	7	1	11	.545	1	0	1	0	0	0	2	1	8
7Keira KleidonL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	3	2	0	15	1	0	0	0	2
4Zola ZuccoloS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	1
1Kailee WakatakeDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
6Gabrielle SmithMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12Kyriah TrefrenL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
3Lucy RyanOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	17	94	.245	37	9	5	44	2	2	8	6	78

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 W ILL · IDAHO 8

Set 1

26-28

Longest run 5 W ILLIDAHO 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 W ILLIDAHO 3

Set 3

13-25

Longest run 2 W ILLIDAHO 8

Bars above the line = Idaho leads, below = Western Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Western Ill.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	36%8/22	54%7/13
2	50%7/14	20%2/10
3	54%7/13	22%2/9
4	67%6/9	30%3/10
5	50%5/10	25%2/8
6	56%5/9	38%3/8
All	49%38/77	33%19/58

Idaho

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	61%11/18
2	73%8/11	50%8/16
3	100%7/7	56%9/16
4	55%6/11	25%2/8
5	71%5/7	44%4/9
6	38%5/13	50%5/10
All	67%39/58	51%39/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	W ILL-IDAHO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	IDAHO	IDAHO	Kill	Allie Ferrin	set Csenge Krakoczki	+1.2
2	0-2	IDAHO	IDAHO	Ace	IDAHO server	aced Grace Ulatowski	+1.1
3	1-2	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Grace Ulatowski	+0.9
4	1-3	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Sarah Sullivan	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.8
5	2-3	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.9
6	3-3	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Koen Makaula		+1.3
7	3-4	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Csenge Krakoczki	+1.0
8	4-4	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+1.1
9	4-5	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Sophie Danielson	set Keira Kleidon	+1.0
10	5-5	IDAHO	W ILL×3	Serve err	IDAHO server		+1.1
11	6-5	W ILL	W ILL×3	Ace	W ILL server	aced Kyriah Trefren	+1.6
12	7-5	W ILL	W ILL×3	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	+1.8
13	7-6	W ILL	IDAHO×3	Serve err	W ILL server		+1.2
14	7-7	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Kill	Sophie Danielson		+1.6
15	7-8	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Zola Zuccolo	+1.5
16	8-8	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Melaina Hawblitzel	set Madelyn Norton	+1.2
17	9-8	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Kiana Greer		+1.8
18	9-9	W ILL	IDAHO×3	Serve err	W ILL server		+1.3
19	9-10	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Ace	IDAHO server	aced Grace Ulatowski	+1.6
20	9-11	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Attack err	Melaina Hawblitzel		+1.4
21	10-11	IDAHO	W ILL×5	Kill	Jaleah Bauss	set Kennedy Adair	+1.1
22	11-11	W ILL	W ILL×5	Attack err	Kiana Greer	blk Kennedy Adair, Hillary Estes	+1.7
23	12-11	W ILL	W ILL×5	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.0
24	13-11	W ILL	W ILL×5	Attack err	Kiana Greer		+2.2
25	14-11	W ILL	W ILL×5	Kill	Kennedy Adair		+2.3
26	14-12	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Anika Prisby	set Csenge Krakoczki	+1.5
27	15-12	IDAHO	W ILL	Attack err	Allie Ferrin	blk Kennedy Adair	+2.0
28	15-13	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Anika Prisby	set Csenge Krakoczki	+1.6
29	16-13	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.0
30	16-14	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Koen Makaula	set Csenge Krakoczki	+1.6
31	16-15	IDAHO	IDAHO	Kill	Allie Ferrin	set Zola Zuccolo	+2.3
32	17-15	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Madelyn Norton	+2.2
33	17-16	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Koen Makaula	set Zola Zuccolo	+1.8
34	17-17	IDAHO	IDAHO	Attack err	Emilia Kouri	blk Kiana Greer, Koen Makaula	+2.5
35	18-17	IDAHO	W ILL	Serve err	IDAHO server		+2.3
36	18-18	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Zola Zuccolo	+2.1
37	19-18	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Madelyn Norton	+2.5
38	19-19	W ILL	IDAHO	Attack err	Melaina Hawblitzel	blk Sophie Danielson, Anika Prisby	+2.2
39	19-20	IDAHO	IDAHO	Attack err	Georgia Haynes		+2.9
40	20-20	IDAHO	W ILL×4	Serve err	IDAHO server		+2.4
41	21-20	W ILL	W ILL×4	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+3.8
42	22-20	W ILL	W ILL×4	Attack err	Kiana Greer		+4.2
43	23-20	W ILL	W ILL×4	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+3.8
44	23-21	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Csenge Krakoczki	+1.7
45	23-22	IDAHO	IDAHO	Kill	Sarah Sullivan	set Csenge Krakoczki	+3.4
46	24-22	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+4.6
47	24-23	W ILL	IDAHO×3	Kill	Allie Ferrin	set Csenge Krakoczki	+2.6
48	24-24	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Ace	IDAHO server	aced Melaina Hawblitzel	+6.9
49	24-25	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Attack err	Melaina Hawblitzel	blk Koen Makaula, Sarah Sullivan	+5.7
50	25-25	IDAHO	W ILL	Attack err	Allie Ferrin		+4.4
51	25-26	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Koen Makaula	set Csenge Krakoczki	+4.4
52	26-26	IDAHO	W ILL	Attack err	Allie Ferrin		+4.4
53	26-27	W ILL	IDAHO	Serve err	W ILL server		+4.4
54	26-28	IDAHO	IDAHO	Kill	Koen Makaula	set Zola Zuccolo	+4.7
Set 2
1	0-1	W ILL	IDAHO×3	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.6
2	0-2	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Kill	Anika Prisby	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.8
3	0-3	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Kill	Koen Makaula	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.7
4	1-3	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.5
5	1-4	W ILL	IDAHO	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.5
6	1-5	IDAHO	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Sarah Sullivan	+0.6
7	2-5	IDAHO	W ILL	Attack err	Kiana Greer		+0.4
8	2-6	W ILL	IDAHO	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.5
9	3-6	IDAHO	W ILL×3	Attack err	Allie Ferrin		+0.5
10	4-6	W ILL	W ILL×3	Attack err	Kiana Greer		+0.7
11	5-6	W ILL	W ILL×3	Attack err	Allie Ferrin	blk Emilia Kouri, Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	+0.9
12	5-7	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Sarah Sullivan	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.7
13	6-7	IDAHO	W ILL	Bad set	Koen Makaula		+0.7
14	6-8	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Koen Makaula	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.7
15	7-8	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Madelyn Norton	+0.7
16	7-9	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Sophie Danielson	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.7
17	7-10	IDAHO	IDAHO	Attack err	Melaina Hawblitzel		+0.8
18	8-10	IDAHO	W ILL	Attack err	Sophie Danielson		+0.6
19	8-11	W ILL	IDAHO	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.6
20	8-12	IDAHO	IDAHO	Attack err	Jaleah Bauss		+0.7
21	9-12	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.5
22	9-13	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Anika Prisby	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.5
23	9-14	IDAHO	IDAHO	Attack err	Melaina Hawblitzel		+0.6
24	10-14	IDAHO	W ILL	Attack err	Sarah Sullivan	blk Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella, Kennedy Adair	+0.4
25	10-15	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Sarah Sullivan	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.4
26	11-15	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Melaina Hawblitzel	+0.4
27	12-15	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Anika Prisby		+0.7
28	12-16	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Sarah Sullivan	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.6
29	12-17	IDAHO	IDAHO	Ace	IDAHO server	aced Team	+0.6
30	13-17	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Madelyn Norton	+0.4
31	13-18	W ILL	IDAHO×3	Kill	Sarah Sullivan	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.4
32	13-19	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Ace	IDAHO server	aced Kennedy Adair	+0.4
33	13-20	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Kill	Allie Ferrin	set Madelyn Norton	+0.2
34	14-20	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Madelyn Norton	+0.1
35	15-20	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	W ILL server	aced Keira Kleidon	+0.2
36	15-21	W ILL	IDAHO	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.3
37	16-21	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.1
38	16-22	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Sophie Danielson	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.2
39	16-23	IDAHO	IDAHO	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+0.1
40	17-23	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.0
41	18-23	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Hillary Estes	+0.1
42	18-24	W ILL	IDAHO	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.1
43	18-25	IDAHO	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.4
2	2-0	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.5
3	2-1	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.4
4	3-1	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.4
5	3-2	W ILL	IDAHO×6	Kill	Sophie Danielson	set Zola Zuccolo	+0.4
6	3-3	IDAHO	IDAHO×6	Attack err	Madelyn Norton		+0.5
7	3-4	IDAHO	IDAHO×6	Ace	IDAHO server	aced Kennedy Adair	+0.4
8	3-5	IDAHO	IDAHO×6	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+0.4
9	3-6	IDAHO	IDAHO×6	Attack err	Jacqueline Adair		+0.3
10	3-7	IDAHO	IDAHO×6	Ace	IDAHO server	aced Kennedy Adair	+0.3
11	4-7	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Madelyn Norton	+0.2
12	4-8	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Anika Prisby	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.2
13	5-8	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Madelyn Norton	+0.2
14	5-9	W ILL	IDAHO	Attack err	Hillary Estes		+0.2
15	5-10	IDAHO	IDAHO	Kill	Allie Ferrin	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.2
16	6-10	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Madelyn Norton	+0.2
17	7-10	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Koen Makaula	blk Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella, Jacqueline Adair	+0.3
18	7-11	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Sarah Sullivan	set Csenge Krakoczki	+0.2
19	8-11	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Jacqueline Adair	set Grace Ulatowski	+0.2
20	8-12	W ILL	IDAHO×8	Kill	Sophie Danielson	set Keira Kleidon	+0.3
21	8-13	IDAHO	IDAHO×8	Attack err	Georgia Haynes	blk Kiana Greer	+0.3
22	8-14	IDAHO	IDAHO×8	Kill	Koen Makaula		+0.2
23	8-15	IDAHO	IDAHO×8	Attack err	Jacqueline Adair		+0.1
24	8-16	IDAHO	IDAHO×8	Attack err	Kennedy Adair	blk Sophie Danielson, Koen Makaula	+0.1
25	8-17	IDAHO	IDAHO×8	Ace	IDAHO server	aced Kennedy Adair	+0.1
26	8-18	IDAHO	IDAHO×8	Ace	IDAHO server	aced Kennedy Adair	+0.0
27	8-19	IDAHO	IDAHO×8	Attack err	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella		+0.0
28	9-19	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Melaina Hawblitzel	set Melaina Hawblitzel	+0.0
29	9-20	W ILL	IDAHO×3	Kill	Sophie Danielson	set Keira Kleidon	+0.0
30	9-21	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Attack err	Melaina Hawblitzel	blk Anika Prisby	+0.0
31	9-22	IDAHO	IDAHO×3	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Koen Makaula	+0.0
32	10-22	IDAHO	W ILL	Serve err	IDAHO server		+0.0
33	11-22	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Kiana Greer		+0.0
34	11-23	W ILL	IDAHO	Kill	Kiana Greer	set Sophie Danielson	+0.0
35	12-23	IDAHO	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Madelyn Norton	+0.0
36	12-24	W ILL	IDAHO	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.0
37	13-24	IDAHO	W ILL	Serve err	IDAHO server		+0.0
38	13-25	W ILL	IDAHO	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Western Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.