Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026 · Neutral site

Northern Ariz. def. Western Ill. 3–2

Northern Ariz. beat Western Ill. 3-2 (25-20, 22-25, 25-27, 25-19, 15-10) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026 at a neutral site. Hanah Stoddard led Northern Ariz. with 13 kills; Western Ill.'s Kennedy Adair had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set12345Sets
W ILL20252719102
NAU25222525153

Win probability

Northern Ariz. above 50 · Western Ill. below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+11.1% W ILLrally 213 · set 5

Biggest swing: 11.1% to Western Ill. — set 3, W ILL 27-25 NAU. Kill by Georgia Haynes (set by Jaleah Bauss). NAU win probability 81% → 70%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W ILL 2.4%97.6% NAU

Western Ill. wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.6%
3-2
1.5%

Northern Ariz. wins

3-0
65.1%
3-1
26.0%
3-2
6.5%
W ILL break %
36.3% vs this opp
NAU break %
51.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Georgia HaynesKill+11.1%

    Kill by Georgia Haynes (set by Jaleah Bauss)

    Set 3 · W ILL 27-25 NAU · W ILL 19% → 30%

  2. 02
    Jaleah BaussKill+8.4%

    Kill by Jaleah Bauss (set by Kennedy Adair)

    Set 4 · W ILL 16-14 NAU · W ILL 44% → 52%

  3. 03
    Peyton DevlinAttack error+7.8%

    Attack error by Peyton Devlin

    Set 3 · W ILL 25-24 NAU · W ILL 11% → 19%

  4. 04
    Hillary EstesKill+7.0%

    Kill by Hillary Estes (set by Jaleah Bauss)

    Set 4 · W ILL 15-14 NAU · W ILL 37% → 44%

  5. 05
    Hillary EstesAttack error+6.9%

    Attack error by Hillary Estes

    Set 4 · W ILL 16-16 NAU · NAU 53% → 60%

  6. 06
    Laney WilsonAttack error+6.8%

    Attack error by Laney Wilson

    Set 4 · W ILL 10-6 NAU · W ILL 48% → 55%

  7. 07
    Ashlee MarkertAttack error+6.3%

    Attack error by Ashlee Markert

    Set 3 · W ILL 25-25 NAU · NAU 81% → 87%

  8. 08

    Kill by Ashlee Markert (set by Karlie Lane)

    Set 3 · W ILL 26-25 NAU · W ILL 13% → 19%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519754.222122122010.521.5
512940.0751005002113
510832.063001170010.510.5
55115.26740468002110
57122.273000301229
5217.143001500424
5024-.500012410001
5001.000212800001
5000–300920000
1269-.444000000002
1000–500000000
Team totals5735184.120528147161127101
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513647.14911216302115
510419.3160000012212
5103.33333111100002
4000–100100000
39332.1880146202111
34111.27300120111.55.5
5506.83300000010.55.5
52412-.16700060010.52.5
5001.0004152320001
4000–910500001
27223.21700060010.57.5
2418.375111200427
2000–500200000
Team totals5521162.210546148082149112

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 W ILL · NAU 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 3 W ILLNAU 5

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 5 W ILLNAU 3

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 5 W ILLNAU 6

Set 4

19-25

Longest run 5 W ILLNAU 4

Set 5

10-15

Longest run 2 W ILLNAU 3

Bars above the line = Northern Ariz. leads, below = Western Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Ill.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
62%13/21
43%9/21
2
57%12/21
35%7/20
3
53%10/19
23%3/13
4
50%9/18
44%8/18
5
53%9/17
36%5/14
6
60%9/15
44%7/16
All
56%62/111
38%39/102

Northern Ariz.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%13/26
47%9/19
2
80%12/15
28%5/18
3
59%10/17
50%11/22
4
67%10/15
47%9/19
5
56%9/16
53%10/19
6
69%9/13
36%5/14
All
62%63/102
44%49/111

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

213 rallies

#W ILL-NAUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0W ILLW ILLKillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+0.4
21-1W ILLNAUAttack errAshlee Markert+0.3
32-1NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.3
42-2W ILLNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+0.3
53-2NAUW ILLKillHillary Estesset Jaleah Bauss+0.3
63-3W ILLNAUKillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+0.3
73-4NAUNAUBad setMadelyn Norton+0.3
84-4NAUW ILL×3KillHillary Estesset Madelyn Norton+0.3
95-4W ILLW ILL×3Attack errPeyton Devlin+0.5
106-4W ILLW ILL×3Attack errAvery Gottschalk+0.6
116-5W ILLNAU×5Attack errEmilia Kouri+0.4
126-6NAUNAU×5Attack errKennedy Adair+0.5
136-7NAUNAU×5KillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+0.4
146-8NAUNAU×5Attack errEmilia Kouri+0.3
156-9NAUNAU×5KillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+0.3
167-9NAUW ILLKillEmilia Kouriset Karlie Lane+0.2
177-10W ILLNAU×3KillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
187-11NAUNAU×3BlockedEmilia Kouriblk Gigi Greenlee, Peyton Devlin+0.2
197-12NAUNAU×3BlockedMaria Eduarda Pereira Tonellablk Gigi Greenlee+0.2
208-12NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Madelyn Norton+0.1
218-13W ILLNAUServe errWestern Ill.+0.1
229-13NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.1
239-14W ILLNAUServe errWestern Ill.+0.1
2410-14NAUW ILLKillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+0.1
2510-15W ILLNAUAttack errGeorgia Haynes+0.1
2611-15NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.1
2712-15W ILLW ILLBlockedLaney Wilsonblk Hillary Estes, Ashlee Markert+0.2
2812-16W ILLNAU×3KillLaney Wilsonset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
2912-17NAUNAU×3AceNorthern Ariz.aced Kennedy Adair+0.2
3012-18NAUNAU×3BlockedEmilia Kouriblk Laney Wilson, Avery Gottschalk+0.1
3113-18NAUW ILLKillEmilia Kouriset Madelyn Norton+0.1
3213-19W ILLNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+0.1
3314-19NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Madelyn Norton+0.1
3415-19W ILLW ILLAceWestern Ill.aced Peyton Devlin+0.1
3515-20W ILLNAUBlockedEmilia Kouriblk Gigi Greenlee, Peyton Devlin+0.1
3615-21NAUNAUAttack errEmilia Kouri+0.1
3716-21NAUW ILL×3KillKennedy Adairset Madelyn Norton·
3817-21W ILLW ILL×3KillJaleah Baussset Grace Ulatowski+0.1
3918-21W ILLW ILL×3AceWestern Ill.aced Hanah Stoddard+0.2
4018-22W ILLNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Taryn Davis+0.2
4119-22NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.2
4219-23W ILLNAUKillMasina Perezset Taryn Davis+0.2
4319-24NAUNAUAttack errAshlee Markert+0.1
4420-24NAUW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss·
4520-25W ILLNAUKillMasina Perezset Taryn Davis+0.1
Set 2
10-1NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced Kennedy Adair+0.2
21-1NAUW ILL×5KillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+0.2
32-1W ILLW ILL×5AceWestern Ill.aced Lilly Holmes+0.2
43-1W ILLW ILL×5Attack errHanah Stoddard+0.3
54-1W ILLW ILL×5KillAshlee Markert+0.4
65-1W ILLW ILL×5KillJaleah Baussset Ashlee Markert+0.4
75-2W ILLNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+0.2
86-2NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.3
96-3W ILLNAU×3KillElla Hosfeldset Kate Federico+0.3
106-4NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Lilly Holmes+0.3
116-5NAUNAU×3KillAvery Gottschalkset Ella Hosfeld+0.3
127-5NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+0.3
138-5W ILLW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss+0.4
148-6W ILLNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+0.3
159-6NAUW ILLKillJaleah Baussset Ella Hosfeld+0.4
1610-6W ILLW ILLKillHillary Estesset Jaleah Bauss+0.5
1710-7W ILLNAUServe errWestern Ill.+0.3
1810-8NAUNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+0.4
1911-8NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+0.4
2011-9W ILLNAUServe errWestern Ill.+0.3
2112-9NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+0.4
2213-9W ILLW ILLAceWestern Ill.aced Hanah Stoddard+0.6
2313-10W ILLNAUServe errWestern Ill.+0.3
2414-10NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.5
2514-11W ILLNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+0.3
2615-11NAUW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss+0.5
2716-11W ILLW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss+0.6
2816-12W ILLNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Taryn Davis+0.3
2916-13NAUNAUKillAvery Gottschalk+0.5
3017-13NAUW ILL×3KillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+0.6
3118-13W ILLW ILL×3KillHillary Estesset Jaleah Bauss+0.7
3219-13W ILLW ILL×3KillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss+0.6
3319-14W ILLNAUBlockedJaleah Baussblk Avery Gottschalk+0.3
3420-14NAUW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Hillary Estes+0.5
3520-15W ILLNAUServe errWestern Ill.+0.2
3620-16NAUNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+0.4
3721-16NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.6
3821-17W ILLNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+0.3
3921-18NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced Melaina Hawblitzel+0.5
4022-18NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+0.7
4122-19W ILLNAU×3Serve errWestern Ill.+0.4
4222-20NAUNAU×3Attack errMelaina Hawblitzel+0.6
4322-21NAUNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Lilly Holmes+0.8
4423-21NAUW ILLKillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+1.0
4524-21W ILLW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss+1.2
4624-22W ILLNAUAttack errAshlee Markert+0.4
4725-22NAUW ILLKillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+1.0
Set 3
10-1W ILLNAUServe errWestern Ill.+0.6
20-2NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.aced Karlie Lane+0.7
31-2NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+0.6
42-2W ILLW ILLAceWestern Ill.aced Peyton Devlin+1.0
52-3W ILLNAUServe errWestern Ill.+0.7
62-4NAUNAUAceNorthern Ariz.+0.8
73-4NAUW ILLKillMaria Eduarda Pereira Tonellaset Jaleah Bauss+0.7
83-5W ILLNAUAttack errKennedy Adair+0.6
93-6NAUNAUAttack errAshlee Markert+0.7
104-6NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.6
114-7W ILLNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+0.5
125-7NAUW ILL×3KillJaleah Bauss+0.6
136-7W ILLW ILL×3AceWestern Ill.aced Hanah Stoddard+1.0
147-7W ILLW ILL×3KillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+1.2
157-8W ILLNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+0.9
168-8NAUW ILLAttack errGigi Greenlee+1.1
178-9W ILLNAU×3Serve errWestern Ill.+0.9
188-10NAUNAU×3Attack errGeorgia Haynes+1.1
198-11NAUNAU×3KillMasina Perezset Taryn Davis+0.8
209-11NAUW ILL×5KillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+0.7
2110-11W ILLW ILL×5AceWestern Ill.+1.2
2211-11W ILLW ILL×5KillGeorgia Haynesset Grace Ulatowski+1.5
2312-11W ILLW ILL×5KillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+2.0
2413-11W ILLW ILL×5AceWestern Ill.aced Lilly Holmes+2.4
2513-12W ILLNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Taryn Davis+1.5
2614-12NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.0
2714-13W ILLNAU×6Attack errKennedy Adair+1.6
2814-14NAUNAU×6KillHanah Stoddardset Lilly Holmes+2.0
2914-15NAUNAU×6Bad setJaleah Bauss+1.8
3014-16NAUNAU×6KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.5
3114-17NAUNAU×6KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.2
3214-18NAUNAU×6KillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+0.8
3315-18NAUW ILLKillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+0.6
3415-19W ILLNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+0.7
3515-20NAUNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+0.5
3616-20NAUW ILLBlockedAvery Gottschalkblk Hillary Estes+0.3
3717-20W ILLW ILLAttack errPeyton Devlin+0.7
3817-21W ILLNAUServe errWestern Ill.+0.7
3918-21NAUW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss+0.5
4018-22W ILLNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Ella Hosfeld+0.7
4119-22NAUW ILLAttack errGigi Greenlee+0.5
4220-22W ILLW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+1.2
4320-23W ILLNAUKillPeyton Devlinset Taryn Davis+1.3
4421-23NAUW ILL×3Serve errNorthern Ariz.+0.8
4522-23W ILLW ILL×3Attack errHanah Stoddard+2.3
4623-23W ILLW ILL×3KillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+4.6
4723-24W ILLNAUServe errWestern Ill.+4.5
4824-24NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+4.5
4925-24W ILLW ILLAttack errPeyton Devlin+7.8
5025-25W ILLNAUAttack errAshlee Markert+6.3
5126-25NAUW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Karlie Lane+6.3
5227-25W ILLW ILLKillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+11.1
Set 4
10-1NAUNAUAttack errKennedy Adair+2.5
21-1NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+2.2
31-2W ILLNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+1.9
42-2NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.3
52-3W ILLNAUAttack errGeorgia Haynes+2.0
63-3NAUW ILLAttack errHanah Stoddard+2.4
73-4W ILLNAUKillKate Campset Ella Hosfeld+2.1
83-5NAUNAUAttack errAshlee Markert+2.4
94-5NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+2.1
105-5W ILLW ILLAttack errLaney Wilson+3.3
115-6W ILLNAUAttack errKennedy Adair+2.3
126-6NAUW ILL×5KillHillary Estesset Jaleah Bauss+2.8
137-6W ILLW ILL×5BlockedGigi Greenleeblk Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella, Jaleah Bauss+4.3
148-6W ILLW ILL×5KillMaria Eduarda Pereira Tonella+5.2
159-6W ILLW ILL×5Attack errQuincey Coyle+6.1
1610-6W ILLW ILL×5Attack errLaney Wilson+6.8
1710-7W ILLNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+4.1
1811-7NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+5.8
1911-8W ILLNAUServe errWestern Ill.+4.3
2011-9NAUNAUAttack errGeorgia Haynes+5.7
2112-9NAUW ILLBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Jaleah Bauss, Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella+5.7
2212-10W ILLNAU×3KillHanah Stoddardset Mallory Reynolds+4.4
2312-11NAUNAU×3BlockedAshlee Markertblk Kate Camp, Hanah Stoddard+5.7
2412-12NAUNAU×3BlockedGeorgia Haynesblk Hanah Stoddard, Kate Camp+5.3
2513-12NAUW ILLBlockedHanah Stoddardblk Georgia Haynes, Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella+4.9
2613-13W ILLNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Kate Camp+4.2
2713-14NAUNAUKillHanah Stoddardset Ella Hosfeld+5.0
2814-14NAUW ILL×3KillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss+4.4
2915-14W ILLW ILL×3KillHillary Estesset Jaleah Bauss+7.0
3016-14W ILLW ILL×3KillJaleah Baussset Kennedy Adair+8.4
3116-15W ILLNAU×4Attack errAshlee Markert+5.4
3216-16NAUNAU×4Attack errHillary Estes+6.9
3316-17NAUNAU×4KillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+6.2
3416-18NAUNAU×4KillLaney Wilsonset Lilly Holmes+5.1
3517-18NAUW ILLAttack errQuincey Coyle+4.1
3617-19W ILLNAU×4KillKate Campset Ella Hosfeld+4.2
3717-20NAUNAU×4KillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+4.2
3817-21NAUNAU×4KillQuincey Coyleset Hanah Stoddard+2.7
3917-22NAUNAU×4AceNorthern Ariz.aced Karlie Lane+1.5
4018-22NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+0.7
4118-23W ILLNAUAttack errKennedy Adair+1.0
4218-24NAUNAUAttack errMelaina Hawblitzel+0.4
4319-24NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+0.1
4419-25W ILLNAUKillMasina Perezset Mallory Reynolds+0.8
Set 5
10-1W ILLNAUBlockedGeorgia Haynesblk Kate Camp, Quincey Coyle+3.8
21-1NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Karlie Lane+4.5
31-2W ILLNAUAttack errKennedy Adair+4.0
42-2NAUW ILLKillGeorgia Haynesset Jaleah Bauss+4.8
52-3W ILLNAUServe errWestern Ill.+4.3
63-3NAUW ILLAttack errHanah Stoddard+5.1
73-4W ILLNAUKillMasina Perezset Mallory Reynolds+4.6
83-5NAUNAUBlockedAshlee Markertblk Masina Perez, Kate Camp+5.1
94-5NAUW ILLServe errNorthern Ariz.+4.3
104-6W ILLNAUKillKate Campset Mallory Reynolds+4.1
115-6NAUW ILLKillHillary Estesset Jaleah Bauss+4.5
125-7W ILLNAU×3KillKate Campset Ella Hosfeld+4.4
135-8NAUNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+4.5
145-9NAUNAU×3KillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+3.2
156-9NAUW ILLKillKennedy Adairset Jaleah Bauss+2.1
167-9W ILLW ILLBlockedKate Campblk Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella, Kennedy Adair+4.3
177-10W ILLNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Ella Hosfeld+3.9
187-11NAUNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Ella Hosfeld+3.3
198-11NAUW ILLAttack errLaney Wilson+1.9
208-12W ILLNAUAttack errGeorgia Haynes+2.5
218-13NAUNAUAttack errGeorgia Haynes+1.6
229-13NAUW ILLKillAshlee Markertset Jaleah Bauss+0.6
239-14W ILLNAUKillQuincey Coyleset Taryn Davis+1.0
2410-14NAUW ILLBlockedGigi Greenleeblk Ashlee Markert, Hillary Estes+0.3
2510-15W ILLNAUKillGigi Greenleeset Mallory Reynolds+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Western Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).