FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

AwayOVC

0:3

HomeHORIZON

Purdue Fort Wayne def. Western Ill. 3–0

(27-25, 25-21, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
W ILL	25	21	24	0
IPFW	27	25	26	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

IPFW above 50 · W ILL below

Biggest swing: 6.4% to Western Ill. — set 1, W ILL 24-23 IPFW. Attack error by Avery Parris. IPFW win probability 86% → 79%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

W ILL 11.8%88.2% IPFW

Western Ill. wins

3-0

1.6%

3-1

3.7%

3-2

6.5%

Purdue Fort Wayne wins

3-0

41.5%

3-1

31.6%

3-2

15.0%

W ILL break %: 38.6% vs this opp
IPFW break %: 47.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Avery ParrisAttack error+6.4%
Attack error by Avery Parris
Set 1 · W ILL 24-23 IPFW · W ILL 14% → 21%
02
Avery ParrisKill+5.4%
Kill by Avery Parris (set by Becky Barrett)
Set 1 · W ILL 24-25 IPFW · IPFW 84% → 90%
03
Trinity RyeKill+5.0%
Kill by Trinity Rye (set by Lili Smith)
Set 1 · W ILL 24-24 IPFW · IPFW 79% → 84%
04
Riley RosneckKill+4.4%
Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Lili Smith)
Set 1 · W ILL 25-27 IPFW · IPFW 90% → 94%
05
Jaleah BaussAttack error+4.3%
Attack error by Jaleah Bauss
Set 1 · W ILL 22-23 IPFW · IPFW 85% → 89%
06
IPFW serverService error+4.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne service error
Set 1 · W ILL 25-25 IPFW · W ILL 10% → 14%
07
Riley RosneckKill+4.0%
Kill by Riley Rosneck (set by Lili Smith)
Set 1 · W ILL 25-26 IPFW · IPFW 86% → 90%
08
Kennedy AdairAttack error+3.4%
Attack error by Kennedy Adair
Set 1 · W ILL 21-21 IPFW · IPFW 82% → 85%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Western Ill.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BLK	PTS
12Kennedy AdairOH	3	8	7	36	.028	2	2	0	9	1	0	0	10
9Hillary EstesMB	3	7	1	20	.300	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	7
1Georgia HaynesOH	3	6	5	17	.059	1	0	2	8	0	0	0	6
3Audrey PenderOH	3	5	2	8	.375	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5
15Jaleah BaussS	3	2	3	6	-.167	22	3	2	8	0	0	0	5
16Melaina HawblitzelOH	3	0	0	2	.000	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
8Ashlee MarkertOH	3	15	5	35	.286	0	1	2	8	0	1	1	17
5Grace UlatowskiOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	8	0	0	0	0
4Karlie LaneL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	9	0	0	4	2	0	0	0
17Emilia KouriOH	2	0	1	4	-.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6Madelyn NortonS	2	0	0	0	–	4	0	0	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	24	128	.148	39	6	9	50	3	1	1	70

Purdue Fort Waynehome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
6Riley RosneckOH	3	17	1	37	.432	0	0	3	11	2	4	2	19
9Trinity RyeOH	3	10	3	28	.250	2	1	1	3	0	3	1.5	12.5
15Bella DiBuonoMB	3	2	0	3	.667	0	0	2	0	0	6	3	5
19Miona DimitricOH	3	3	2	13	.077	2	1	2	3	2	0	0	4
5Mya PlemonsMB	3	3	2	10	.100	0	0	0	2	0	2	1	4
1Lili SmithS	3	3	0	4	.750	21	0	2	9	0	0	0	3
7Avery ParrisOPP	3	4	2	15	.133	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
3Becky BarrettDS	3	0	0	0	–	6	1	1	17	2	0	0	1
10Haiden MeansS	2	0	0	0	–	10	0	0	11	0	0	0	0
2Ava TesterS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	10	110	.291	41	3	11	57	6	16	8	78

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 W ILL · IPFW 5

Set 1

25-27

Longest run 5 W ILLIPFW 3

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 7 W ILLIPFW 5

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 2 W ILLIPFW 4

Bars above the line = Purdue Fort Wayne leads, below = Western Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Western Ill.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	53%8/15
2	53%8/15	11%1/9
3	53%8/15	27%3/11
4	62%8/13	50%8/16
5	78%7/9	11%1/9
6	55%6/11	36%4/11
All	58%45/77	35%25/71

Purdue Fort Wayne

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%9/17	27%3/11
2	89%8/9	43%6/14
3	44%8/18	50%8/16
4	89%8/9	43%6/14
5	64%7/11	36%4/11
6	86%6/7	45%5/11
All	65%46/71	42%32/77

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

148 rallies

Rally log

#	W ILL-IPFW	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Karlie Lane	+1.0
2	2-0	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.5
3	2-1	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Lili Smith	+1.0
4	3-1	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.2
5	3-2	W ILL	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+1.0
6	3-3	IPFW	IPFW×3	Ace	IPFW server	aced Karlie Lane	+1.3
7	3-4	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+1.2
8	4-4	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.0
9	5-4	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	W ILL server	aced Miona Dimitric	+1.5
10	5-5	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+1.0
11	5-6	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+1.3
12	6-6	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Karlie Lane	+1.1
13	6-7	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Lili Smith	+1.0
14	6-8	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+1.2
15	7-8	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.9
16	8-8	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	W ILL server	aced Becky Barrett	+1.5
17	8-9	W ILL	IPFW×3	Serve err	W ILL server		+1.1
18	8-10	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Ashlee Markert	blk Riley Rosneck, Bella DiBuono	+1.3
19	8-11	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Ashlee Markert		+1.1
20	9-11	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Jaleah Bauss	set Karlie Lane	+0.8
21	9-12	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Lili Smith	set Trinity Rye	+0.8
22	10-12	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Karlie Lane	+0.8
23	10-13	W ILL	IPFW	Attack err	Georgia Haynes	blk Riley Rosneck, Bella DiBuono	+0.9
24	11-13	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.9
25	11-14	W ILL	IPFW	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+0.9
26	12-14	IPFW	W ILL×5	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.9
27	13-14	W ILL	W ILL×5	Kill	Jaleah Bauss	set Lili Smith	+1.5
28	14-14	W ILL	W ILL×5	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.9
29	15-14	W ILL	W ILL×5	Attack err	Mya Plemons		+2.2
30	16-14	W ILL	W ILL×5	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Kennedy Adair	+2.5
31	16-15	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Lili Smith	set Trinity Rye	+1.6
32	16-16	IPFW	IPFW	Ace	IPFW server	aced Kennedy Adair	+2.3
33	17-16	IPFW	W ILL	Attack err	Miona Dimitric		+2.0
34	17-17	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Lili Smith	+1.8
35	18-17	IPFW	W ILL	Serve err	IPFW server		+2.1
36	19-17	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	W ILL server	aced Miona Dimitric	+3.0
37	19-18	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Lili Smith	set Miona Dimitric	+1.9
38	20-18	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.6
39	20-19	W ILL	IPFW	Serve err	W ILL server		+2.0
40	21-19	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Audrey Pender	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.8
41	21-20	W ILL	IPFW	Attack err	Kennedy Adair	blk Trinity Rye, Bella DiBuono	+2.2
42	21-21	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+3.4
43	22-21	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+3.2
44	22-22	W ILL	IPFW	Serve err	W ILL server		+2.9
45	22-23	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Jaleah Bauss		+4.3
46	23-23	IPFW	W ILL	Serve err	IPFW server		+3.2
47	24-23	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Avery Parris		+6.4
48	24-24	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+5.0
49	24-25	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Avery Parris	set Becky Barrett	+5.4
50	25-25	IPFW	W ILL	Serve err	IPFW server		+4.0
51	25-26	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+4.0
52	25-27	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+4.4
Set 2
1	1-0	W ILL	W ILL×7	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Grace Ulatowski	+0.9
2	2-0	W ILL	W ILL×7	Attack err	Mya Plemons		+1.0
3	3-0	W ILL	W ILL×7	Ace	W ILL server	aced Riley Rosneck	+1.1
4	4-0	W ILL	W ILL×7	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.2
5	5-0	W ILL	W ILL×7	Kill	Audrey Pender		+1.2
6	6-0	W ILL	W ILL×7	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.2
7	7-0	W ILL	W ILL×7	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.1
8	7-1	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.6
9	7-2	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Georgia Haynes	blk Riley Rosneck, Mya Plemons	+0.9
10	8-2	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.9
11	8-3	W ILL	IPFW×5	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.7
12	8-4	IPFW	IPFW×5	Attack err	Georgia Haynes	blk Riley Rosneck, Bella DiBuono	+1.0
13	8-5	IPFW	IPFW×5	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Becky Barrett	+1.1
14	8-6	IPFW	IPFW×5	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Becky Barrett	+1.1
15	8-7	IPFW	IPFW×5	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.1
16	9-7	IPFW	W ILL×3	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Karlie Lane	+1.0
17	10-7	W ILL	W ILL×3	Attack err	Avery Parris	blk Ashlee Markert	+1.4
18	11-7	W ILL	W ILL×3	Attack err	Riley Rosneck		+1.4
19	11-8	W ILL	IPFW×3	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.9
20	11-9	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Jaleah Bauss		+1.2
21	11-10	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+1.3
22	12-10	IPFW	W ILL	Serve err	IPFW server		+1.1
23	12-11	W ILL	IPFW×3	Serve err	W ILL server		+1.0
24	12-12	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Kennedy Adair	blk Bella DiBuono, Trinity Rye	+1.3
25	12-13	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Bella DiBuono	set Lili Smith	+1.2
26	13-13	IPFW	W ILL	Serve err	IPFW server		+1.0
27	13-14	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Miona Dimitric	set Lili Smith	+0.9
28	14-14	IPFW	W ILL	Serve err	IPFW server		+1.0
29	14-15	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Lili Smith	+1.0
30	15-15	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Audrey Pender	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.1
31	15-16	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.1
32	15-17	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.3
33	16-17	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Kennedy Adair	+0.9
34	16-18	W ILL	IPFW	Attack err	Ashlee Markert		+1.0
35	17-18	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Karlie Lane	+1.0
36	17-19	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+1.1
37	17-20	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Becky Barrett	+1.1
38	18-20	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Karlie Lane	+0.7
39	18-21	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.9
40	19-21	IPFW	W ILL	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.7
41	19-22	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.9
42	20-22	IPFW	W ILL	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.7
43	20-23	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+1.0
44	21-23	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Audrey Pender	set Georgia Haynes	+0.6
45	21-24	W ILL	IPFW	Attack err	Audrey Pender		+1.0
46	21-25	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Ashlee Markert	blk Mya Plemons, Avery Parris	+0.5
Set 3
1	1-0	IPFW	W ILL	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.3
2	1-1	W ILL	IPFW×3	Attack err	Georgia Haynes		+0.3
3	1-2	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+0.4
4	1-3	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Hillary Estes		+0.3
5	2-3	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.3
6	2-4	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Avery Parris	set Haiden Means	+0.3
7	2-5	IPFW	IPFW	Attack err	Emilia Kouri		+0.3
8	3-5	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+0.2
9	4-5	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+0.4
10	4-6	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+0.3
11	5-6	IPFW	W ILL	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+0.3
12	6-6	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Trinity Rye		+0.4
13	6-7	W ILL	IPFW	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.3
14	7-7	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+0.4
15	8-7	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Miona Dimitric		+0.5
16	8-8	W ILL	IPFW×3	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Lili Smith	+0.4
17	8-9	IPFW	IPFW×3	Kill	Avery Parris	set Haiden Means	+0.5
18	8-10	IPFW	IPFW×3	Attack err	Jaleah Bauss		+0.4
19	9-10	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.3
20	10-10	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.5
21	10-11	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.4
22	11-11	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.4
23	11-12	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Mya Plemons	set Haiden Means	+0.4
24	12-12	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.4
25	13-12	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert		+0.7
26	13-13	W ILL	IPFW	Attack err	Ashlee Markert		+0.5
27	14-13	IPFW	W ILL	Serve err	IPFW server		+0.5
28	15-13	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	W ILL server	aced Becky Barrett	+0.8
29	15-14	W ILL	IPFW	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.5
30	16-14	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Karlie Lane	+0.6
31	16-15	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Lili Smith	+0.5
32	17-15	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+0.7
33	18-15	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	W ILL server	aced Riley Rosneck	+0.9
34	18-16	W ILL	IPFW	Serve err	W ILL server		+0.5
35	19-16	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.7
36	19-17	W ILL	IPFW×4	Attack err	Audrey Pender		+0.5
37	19-18	IPFW	IPFW×4	Attack err	Georgia Haynes		+0.9
38	19-19	IPFW	IPFW×4	Ace	IPFW server	aced Karlie Lane	+0.9
39	19-20	IPFW	IPFW×4	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Miona Dimitric	+0.9
40	20-20	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Audrey Pender	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.7
41	20-21	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Haiden Means	+0.8
42	21-21	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.8
43	21-22	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Becky Barrett	+0.9
44	22-22	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+0.9
45	22-23	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Riley Rosneck	set Lili Smith	+1.0
46	23-23	IPFW	W ILL	Serve err	IPFW server		+1.1
47	23-24	W ILL	IPFW	Attack err	Kennedy Adair	blk Trinity Rye, Bella DiBuono	+1.3
48	24-24	IPFW	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Karlie Lane	+1.3
49	24-25	W ILL	IPFW	Kill	Trinity Rye	set Becky Barrett	+1.3
50	24-26	IPFW	IPFW	Kill	Avery Parris	set Becky Barrett	+1.4

Score shown after each rally, Western Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.