SIUE vs Western Ill. Volleyball: Western Ill. Wins 3-0

FinalFri, Oct 30, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: SIUE 67.0% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Western Ill. beat visiting SIUE 3-0 (25-22, 25-21, 25-21) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Western Ill.'s Ashlee Markert and Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella led with 10 kills each.

Data through Nov 3, 8:40 PM CT · final Oct 30

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SIUE	22	21	21	0
W ILL	25	25	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave Western Ill. 33%. Western Ill. won anyway.

The match turned twice; each line shows Western Ill.'s RallyIQ win probability at the start and end of the stretch. SIUE went in at 67% by RallyIQ.

Turning point 1: Set 1 · SIUE 19–18 Western Ill.
Western Ill. scored 5 straight to turn an 18–19 deficit into a 23–19 lead. The match swung to Western Ill.
Western Ill. 31% → 52%
Turning point 2: Set 3 · SIUE 15–12 Western Ill.
Down 12–15, Western Ill. scored 7 straight to lead 19–15.
Western Ill. 73% → 94%

Western Ill. above 50SIUE belowMax swing 5.0%

SIUEWestern Ill.

Sideout %: SIUE 51.4·Western Ill. 60.0
Break %: SIUE 40.0·Western Ill. 48.6
Hitting: SIUE .225·Western Ill. .272
Longest run: SIUE 4·Western Ill. 7

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Western Ill. above 50 · SIUE below

Biggest swing: 5.0% to Western Ill. — set 1, SIUE 19-21 W ILL. Kill by Ashlee Markert (set by Grace Ulatowski). W ILL win probability 39% → 44%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SIUE 67.2%32.8% W ILL

SIUE wins

3-0

21.4%

3-1

25.8%

3-2

20.0%

Western Ill. wins

3-0

6.5%

3-1

11.7%

3-2

14.7%

SIUE break %: 47.1% vs this opp
W ILL break %: 43.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Ashlee MarkertKill+5.0%
Kill by Ashlee Markert (set by Grace Ulatowski)
Set 1 · SIUE 19-21 W ILL · W ILL 39% → 44%
02
Kennedy AdairKill+4.8%
Kill by Kennedy Adair (set by Madelyn Norton)
Set 1 · SIUE 19-20 W ILL · W ILL 34% → 39%
03
Ashlee MarkertKill+4.5%
Kill by Ashlee Markert (set by Madelyn Norton)
Set 1 · SIUE 19-22 W ILL · W ILL 44% → 49%
04
Madelyn NortonKill+4.1%
Kill by Madelyn Norton (set by Kennedy Adair)
Set 1 · SIUE 21-24 W ILL · W ILL 48% → 52%
05
Georgia BresnahanAttack error+4.0%
Attack error by Georgia Bresnahan
Set 1 · SIUE 22-25 W ILL · W ILL 50% → 54%
06
Maria Eduarda Pereira TonellaKill+3.9%
Kill by Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella
Set 1 · SIUE 18-18 W ILL · W ILL 30% → 34%
07
Ashlee MarkertKill+3.8%
Kill by Ashlee Markert
Set 2 · SIUE 14-18 W ILL · W ILL 68% → 71%
08
Western Ill.Ace+3.8%
Western Ill. ace
Set 2 · SIUE 11-14 W ILL · W ILL 62% → 66%

Box score

Official NCAA box

SIUEaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
11Sophie RobinsonOH	3	9	2	20	.350	1	0	1	13	0	1	2	2	11
2Vienna ElliottMB	3	8	2	13	.462	2	0	1	5	0	1	2	2	10
12Maddie DetermanOH	3	7	3	22	.182	0	0	0	2	0	0	2	1	8
16Jehireh WilliamsMB	3	5	1	9	.444	0	0	0	1	0	2	2	3	8
8Ally HughesS	3	1	0	2	.500	22	2	2	3	0	0	0	0	3
10Georgia BresnahanOH	3	1	3	7	-.286	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	1
6Kennedy PikeOH	3	9	3	24	.250	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	9.5
5Claire JonesDS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	0	14	3	0	0	0	0
19Aubree HummelL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9Paige BernsteinS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
13Teagan SullivanOH	2	0	3	7	-.429	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
14Karli MannOH	1	2	0	6	.333	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		42	17	111	.225	39	2	4	45	7	4	10	9	64

Western Ill.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Ashlee MarkertOH	3	10	5	32	.156	0	0	0	5	1	1	1	1.5	11.5
9Hillary EstesMB	3	7	1	19	.316	0	3	1	2	0	0	2	1	11
10Maria Eduarda Pereira TonellaMB	3	10	2	14	.571	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
12Kennedy AdairOH	3	7	4	24	.125	1	1	0	11	0	0	1	0.5	8.5
1Georgia HaynesOH	3	5	3	13	.154	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
15Jaleah BaussS	3	2	0	2	1.000	21	0	1	4	0	0	0	0	2
17Emilia KouriOH	3	4	0	9	.444	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4
6Madelyn NortonS	3	1	0	1	1.000	14	2	1	5	0	0	0	0	3
16Melaina HawblitzelOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	0	1
5Grace UlatowskiOH	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	11	0	0	0	0	0
4Karlie LaneL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		46	15	114	.272	38	7	3	42	2	1	6	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

SIUE vs Western Ill.

Season series · Series tied 1-1

Fri, Oct 30, 2026SIUE at Western Ill. · Western Ill. won 3-0This match
Sat, Oct 31, 2026SIUE at Western Ill. · SIUE won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SIUE · W ILL 7

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 SIUEW ILL 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 3 SIUEW ILL 4

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 4 SIUEW ILL 7

Bars above the line = Western Ill. leads, below = SIUE leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SIUE

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	53%8/15
2	64%7/11	56%9/16
3	30%6/20	22%2/9
4	55%6/11	0%0/6
5	55%6/11	14%1/7
6	50%6/12	50%6/12
All	51%38/74	40%26/65

Western Ill.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	37%7/19	50%6/12
2	88%7/8	30%3/10
3	78%7/9	68%15/22
4	86%6/7	45%5/11
5	50%6/12	50%6/12
6	60%6/10	14%1/7
All	60%39/65	49%36/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

139 rallies

#	SIUE-W ILL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	W ILL	SIUE	Attack err	Ashlee Markert		+1.7
2	2-0	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Kennedy Adair	+2.0
3	2-1	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.7
4	3-1	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Ally Hughes	+1.7
5	3-2	SIUE	W ILL×6	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.7
6	3-3	W ILL	W ILL×6	Kill	Jaleah Bauss	set Paige Bernstein	+2.2
7	3-4	W ILL	W ILL×6	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.4
8	3-5	W ILL	W ILL×6	Ace	Western Ill.	aced Teagan Sullivan	+2.5
9	3-6	W ILL	W ILL×6	Attack err	Teagan Sullivan		+2.5
10	3-7	W ILL	W ILL×6	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella		+2.4
11	4-7	W ILL	SIUE	Serve err	Western Ill.		+1.8
12	4-8	SIUE	W ILL	Attack err	Kennedy Pike		+2.1
13	5-8	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Paige Bernstein	+1.8
14	6-8	SIUE	SIUE	Blocked	Kennedy Adair	blk Kennedy Pike, Teagan Sullivan	+2.4
15	6-9	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+2.2
16	6-10	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	Western Ill.		+2.6
17	7-10	W ILL	SIUE×4	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Paige Bernstein	+1.8
18	8-10	SIUE	SIUE×4	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Ally Hughes	+2.5
19	9-10	SIUE	SIUE×4	Ace	Ally Hughes	aced Ashlee Markert	+2.6
20	10-10	SIUE	SIUE×4	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Ally Hughes	+2.7
21	10-11	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+2.4
22	11-11	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Ally Hughes	+2.3
23	12-11	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+2.8
24	12-12	SIUE	W ILL	Attack err	Maddie Determan		+2.4
25	13-12	W ILL	SIUE×4	Kill	Georgia Bresnahan	set Ally Hughes	+2.4
26	14-12	SIUE	SIUE×4	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+2.8
27	15-12	SIUE	SIUE×4	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+2.6
28	16-12	SIUE	SIUE×4	Blocked	Ashlee Markert	blk Jehireh Williams, Sophie Robinson	+2.2
29	16-13	SIUE	W ILL	Serve err	SIUE		+1.5
30	16-14	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.4
31	17-14	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Ally Hughes	+2.3
32	17-15	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.0
33	17-16	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Jaleah Bauss	+3.1
34	18-16	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Paige Bernstein	+2.8
35	18-17	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.7
36	18-18	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella		+3.9
37	19-18	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+3.4
38	19-19	SIUE	W ILL×5	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Madelyn Norton	+3.5
39	19-20	W ILL	W ILL×5	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+4.8
40	19-21	W ILL	W ILL×5	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Grace Ulatowski	+5.0
41	19-22	W ILL	W ILL×5	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+4.5
42	19-23	W ILL	W ILL×5	Attack err	Teagan Sullivan		+3.3
43	20-23	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+1.3
44	21-23	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Ally Hughes	+2.8
45	21-24	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Madelyn Norton	set Kennedy Adair	+4.1
46	22-24	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Sophie Robinson	+1.7
47	22-25	SIUE	W ILL	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+4.0
Set 2
1	0-1	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.2
2	1-1	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Ally Hughes	+2.2
3	1-2	SIUE	W ILL	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+2.3
4	2-2	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+2.2
5	3-2	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Vienna Elliott	+2.7
6	3-3	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.3
7	4-3	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+2.2
8	4-4	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Madelyn Norton	+2.3
9	4-5	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Madelyn Norton	+3.0
10	5-5	W ILL	SIUE	Blocked	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	blk Sophie Robinson	+2.4
11	5-6	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+2.5
12	6-6	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+2.4
13	6-7	SIUE	W ILL×3	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Madelyn Norton	+2.6
14	6-8	W ILL	W ILL×3	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+3.2
15	6-9	W ILL	W ILL×3	Blocked	Vienna Elliott	blk Ashlee Markert	+3.2
16	7-9	W ILL	SIUE×3	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+2.4
17	8-9	SIUE	SIUE×3	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Ally Hughes	+3.1
18	9-9	SIUE	SIUE×3	Blocked	Ashlee Markert	blk Maddie Determan, Vienna Elliott	+3.2
19	9-10	SIUE	W ILL	Serve err	SIUE		+2.9
20	10-10	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Ally Hughes	+2.8
21	10-11	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+3.0
22	10-12	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	Western Ill.	aced Georgia Bresnahan	+3.7
23	11-12	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Ally Hughes	+2.8
24	11-13	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Jaleah Bauss		+3.2
25	11-14	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	Western Ill.		+3.8
26	12-14	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Claire Jones	+2.7
27	12-15	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Madelyn Norton	+3.3
28	13-15	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Paige Bernstein	+2.8
29	13-16	SIUE	W ILL	Serve err	SIUE		+3.4
30	14-16	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Jehireh Williams	set Paige Bernstein	+2.9
31	14-17	SIUE	W ILL×4	Blocked	Teagan Sullivan	blk Hillary Estes, Ashlee Markert	+3.5
32	14-18	W ILL	W ILL×4	Kill	Ashlee Markert		+3.8
33	14-19	W ILL	W ILL×4	Kill	Ashlee Markert		+3.1
34	14-20	W ILL	W ILL×4	Attack err	Vienna Elliott		+2.3
35	15-20	W ILL	SIUE×3	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Paige Bernstein	+1.1
36	16-20	SIUE	SIUE×3	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+2.0
37	17-20	SIUE	SIUE×3	Attack err	Georgia Haynes		+2.8
38	17-21	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Jaleah Bauss	+3.4
39	17-22	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	Western Ill.	aced Claire Jones	+2.8
40	18-22	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Ally Hughes	+1.2
41	19-22	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Ally Hughes	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.4
42	19-23	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+3.3
43	19-24	W ILL	W ILL	Blocked	Maddie Determan	blk Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella, Kennedy Adair	+2.1
44	20-24	W ILL	SIUE	Blocked	Georgia Haynes	blk Vienna Elliott	+0.5
45	21-24	SIUE	SIUE	Blocked	Kennedy Adair	blk Maddie Determan, Jehireh Williams	+1.2
46	21-25	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.3
Set 3
1	0-1	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Sophie Robinson		+2.1
2	1-1	W ILL	SIUE	Serve err	Western Ill.		+1.7
3	2-1	SIUE	SIUE	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Vienna Elliott	+2.1
4	2-2	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.8
5	3-2	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Ally Hughes	+1.7
6	3-3	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.8
7	3-4	W ILL	W ILL	Ace	Western Ill.	aced Claire Jones	+2.3
8	4-4	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Karli Mann	set Claire Jones	+1.8
9	4-5	SIUE	W ILL×3	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.0
10	4-6	W ILL	W ILL×3	Ace	Western Ill.	aced Claire Jones	+2.4
11	4-7	W ILL	W ILL×3	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Madelyn Norton	+2.5
12	5-7	W ILL	SIUE	Blocked	Kennedy Adair	blk Jehireh Williams	+1.8
13	5-8	SIUE	W ILL	Attack err	Kennedy Pike		+2.1
14	6-8	W ILL	SIUE×3	Kill	Karli Mann	set Paige Bernstein	+1.9
15	7-8	SIUE	SIUE×3	Attack err	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella		+2.4
16	8-8	SIUE	SIUE×3	Ace	Ally Hughes		+2.5
17	8-9	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+2.2
18	9-9	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Ally Hughes	+2.1
19	10-9	SIUE	SIUE	Serve err	SIUE		+2.6
20	10-10	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Madelyn Norton	+2.2
21	11-10	W ILL	SIUE×4	Blocked	Georgia Haynes	blk Sophie Robinson, Vienna Elliott	+2.2
22	12-10	SIUE	SIUE×4	Blocked	Hillary Estes	blk Jehireh Williams	+2.5
23	13-10	SIUE	SIUE×4	Kill	Vienna Elliott	set Ally Hughes	+2.3
24	14-10	SIUE	SIUE×4	Attack err	Ashlee Markert		+2.0
25	14-11	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.5
26	14-12	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.2
27	15-12	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Ally Hughes	+2.1
28	15-13	SIUE	W ILL×7	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.9
29	15-14	W ILL	W ILL×7	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	+2.8
30	15-15	W ILL	W ILL×7	Bad set	Paige Bernstein		+3.2
31	15-16	W ILL	W ILL×7	Attack err	Georgia Bresnahan		+3.5
32	15-17	W ILL	W ILL×7	Attack err	Jehireh Williams		+3.6
33	15-18	W ILL	W ILL×7	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+3.5
34	15-19	W ILL	W ILL×7	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella		+3.1
35	16-19	W ILL	SIUE	Kill	Sophie Robinson	set Paige Bernstein	+1.9
36	16-20	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.6
37	16-21	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Emilia Kouri	set Paige Bernstein	+2.4
38	17-21	W ILL	SIUE	Serve err	Western Ill.		+1.2
39	17-22	SIUE	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Madelyn Norton	+1.9
40	18-22	W ILL	SIUE	Attack err	Ashlee Markert		+1.0
41	18-23	SIUE	W ILL	Serve err	SIUE		+1.7
42	18-24	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Maddie Determan		+0.9
43	19-24	W ILL	SIUE×3	Kill	Kennedy Pike	set Ally Hughes	+0.2
44	20-24	SIUE	SIUE×3	Kill	Maddie Determan	set Ally Hughes	+0.5
45	21-24	SIUE	SIUE×3	Bad set	Madelyn Norton		+1.0
46	21-25	SIUE	W ILL	Attack err	Sophie Robinson		+1.8

Score shown after each rally, SIUE first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Western Ill. def. SIUE 3–0

RallyIQ gave Western Ill. 33%. Western Ill. won anyway.