Western Ill. vs Eastern Ill.: Eastern Ill. Wins 3-0 (Nov 5)

FinalThu, Nov 5, 2026ESPN+

0:3

RallyIQ pre-match: Eastern Ill. 91.4% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Nov 5, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Eastern Ill. beat visiting Western Ill. 3-0 (25-18, 27-25, 25-17) on Thu, Nov 5, 2026. Abana Teran led Eastern Ill. with 12 kills; Western Ill.'s Kennedy Adair had a match-high 16.

Data through Nov 10, 6:20 PM CT · final Nov 5

Set	1	2	3	Sets
W ILL	18	25	17	0
E ILL	25	27	25	3

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Eastern Ill. won 41 of 75 points on its own serve.

Win probability never moved more than 3.7 points on one rally; Western Ill. topped out at 14% in Set 1. RallyIQ gave Eastern Ill. 91% before first serve.

Western Ill.Eastern Ill.

Break %+12.8 pts
41.954.7
Points won on own serve: 41 of 75 vs 26 of 62. Western Ill. sided out 45.3% of the time.
Longest run+4
48
8 straight Eastern Ill. points in the first set turned a 6–7 deficit into a 14–7 lead. Final score of the set: 25–18.

Eastern Ill. above 50Western Ill. belowMax swing 3.7%

Western Ill.Eastern Ill.

Hitting: Western Ill. .200·Eastern Ill. .257
Aces: Western Ill. 1·Eastern Ill. 8
Serve err: Western Ill. 5·Eastern Ill. 3
Blocks: Western Ill. 5·Eastern Ill. 101 BS · 8 BA vs 0 BS · 20 BA
Digs: Western Ill. 52·Eastern Ill. 47

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Eastern Ill. above 50 · Western Ill. below

Biggest swing: 3.7% to Western Ill. — set 2, W ILL 25-24 E ILL. Kill by Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella. E ILL win probability 94% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

W ILL 8.7%91.3% E ILL

Western Ill. wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.6%

3-2

5.0%

Eastern Ill. wins

3-0

46.7%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

13.1%

W ILL break %: 38.4% vs this opp
E ILL break %: 48.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Maria Eduarda Pereira TonellaKill+3.7%
Kill by Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella
Set 2 · W ILL 25-24 E ILL · W ILL 6% → 10%
02
Jaleah BaussBad set+3.1%
Bad set by Jaleah Bauss
Set 2 · W ILL 23-24 E ILL · E ILL 93% → 96%
03
Alana Guibert RiveraKill+3.1%
Kill by Alana Guibert Rivera
Set 2 · W ILL 25-26 E ILL · E ILL 93% → 96%
04
Kaeden FoxxKill+3.0%
Kill by Kaeden Foxx (set by Alanys Nieves)
Set 2 · W ILL 25-25 E ILL · E ILL 90% → 93%
05
Kennedy AdairKill+2.9%
Kill by Kennedy Adair (set by Georgia Haynes)
Set 2 · W ILL 23-22 E ILL · W ILL 6% → 9%
06
Alana Guibert Rivera&Katie KopsheverBlock+2.4%
Georgia Haynes stuffed by Alana Guibert Rivera & Katie Kopshever
Set 2 · W ILL 25-27 E ILL · E ILL 96% → 99%
07
Hillary EstesKill+2.3%
Kill by Hillary Estes (set by Jaleah Bauss)
Set 2 · W ILL 24-24 E ILL · W ILL 4% → 6%
08
Kaeden FoxxKill+2.1%
Kill by Kaeden Foxx (set by Hannah Hawkins)
Set 2 · W ILL 23-23 E ILL · E ILL 91% → 93%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Western Ill.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
12Kennedy AdairOH	3	16	5	43	.256	0	0	1	10	1	1	3	2.5	18.5
9Hillary EstesMB	3	9	0	11	.818	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	10
8Ashlee MarkertOH	3	8	4	19	.211	1	0	1	3	3	0	0	0	8
10Maria Eduarda Pereira TonellaMB	3	5	3	13	.154	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	7
16Melaina HawblitzelOH	3	2	2	11	.000	1	0	0	6	3	0	0	0	2
15Jaleah BaussS	3	1	0	1	1.000	15	0	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
3Audrey PenderOH	3	0	1	7	-.143	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
6Madelyn NortonS	3	0	0	1	.000	16	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
5Grace UlatowskiOH	3	0	0	0	–	6	0	0	16	0	0	0	0	0
1Georgia HaynesOH	2	1	4	9	-.333	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		42	19	115	.200	41	1	5	52	8	1	8	5	60

Eastern Ill.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
6Katie KopsheverOH	3	9	4	30	.167	0	0	1	7	0	4	2	11
16Kaeden FoxxOH	3	11	0	23	.478	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	11
8Jorah RutterS	3	7	4	16	.188	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	8
9Emma HansonMB	3	2	2	10	.000	0	0	0	0	0	7	3.5	5.5
23Alana Guibert RiveraMB	3	1	1	5	.000	0	1	0	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
10Alanys NievesS	3	0	0	0	–	17	3	0	4	0	0	0	3
19Abana TeranOPP	3	12	2	28	.357	0	0	0	1	0	4	2	14
1Ariadna PerelesL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	2	0	14	1	0	0	2
7Anna McEwenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	11	0	0	0	1
4Hannah HawkinsS	3	0	0	0	–	20	1	0	8	0	0	0	1
Team totals		42	13	113	.257	41	8	3	47	1	20	10	77

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Western Ill. vs Eastern Ill.

Season series · Eastern Ill. leads 2-0

Thu, Nov 5, 2026Western Ill. at Eastern Ill. · Eastern Ill. won 3-0This match
Fri, Nov 6, 2026Western Ill. at Eastern Ill. · Eastern Ill. won 3-0Result →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 W ILL · E ILL 8

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 W ILLE ILL 8

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 3 W ILLE ILL 4

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 W ILLE ILL 4

Bars above the line = Eastern Ill. leads, below = Western Ill. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Western Ill.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	64%7/11	33%3/9
2	38%6/16	50%7/14
3	50%6/12	33%3/9
4	32%6/19	33%3/9
5	50%5/10	50%6/12
6	57%4/7	44%4/9
All	45%34/75	42%26/62

Eastern Ill.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	50%5/10
2	43%6/14	50%6/12
3	86%6/7	57%8/14
4	60%6/10	54%7/13
5	50%6/12	68%13/19
6	56%5/9	29%2/7
All	58%36/62	55%41/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#	W ILL-E ILL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Grace Ulatowski	+1.0
2	1-1	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Jorah Rutter	set Alanys Nieves	+0.7
3	2-1	E ILL	W ILL×4	Serve err	Eastern Ill.		+0.9
4	3-1	W ILL	W ILL×4	Attack err	Katie Kopshever		+1.2
5	4-1	W ILL	W ILL×4	Ace	Hillary Estes	aced Ariadna Pereles	+1.3
6	5-1	W ILL	W ILL×4	Blocked	Jorah Rutter	blk Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella, Kennedy Adair	+1.4
7	5-2	W ILL	E ILL	Serve err	Hillary Estes		+0.9
8	5-3	E ILL	E ILL	Kill	Jorah Rutter	set Alanys Nieves	+1.2
9	6-3	E ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Emma Hanson		+1.2
10	6-4	W ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Alanys Nieves	+1.0
11	6-5	E ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Abana Teran	set Hannah Hawkins	+1.2
12	6-6	E ILL	E ILL×3	Ace	Eastern Ill.	aced Melaina Hawblitzel	+1.2
13	7-6	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Melaina Hawblitzel	+1.0
14	7-7	W ILL	E ILL×8	Serve err	Kennedy Adair		+0.9
15	7-8	E ILL	E ILL×8	Kill	Emma Hanson	set Hannah Hawkins	+1.1
16	7-9	E ILL	E ILL×8	Bad set	Madelyn Norton		+1.0
17	7-10	E ILL	E ILL×8	Attack err	Melaina Hawblitzel		+0.8
18	7-11	E ILL	E ILL×8	Attack err	Kennedy Adair		+0.7
19	7-12	E ILL	E ILL×8	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.5
20	7-13	E ILL	E ILL×8	Blocked	Melaina Hawblitzel	blk Emma Hanson, Abana Teran	+0.4
21	7-14	E ILL	E ILL×8	Kill	Abana Teran	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.3
22	8-14	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Melaina Hawblitzel	set Grace Ulatowski	+0.2
23	9-14	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Madelyn Norton	+0.3
24	9-15	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.3
25	10-15	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Madelyn Norton	+0.3
26	11-15	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Abana Teran		+0.5
27	11-16	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Abana Teran	set Kaeden Foxx	+0.4
28	12-16	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Melaina Hawblitzel	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.4
29	12-17	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Jorah Rutter	set Alanys Nieves	+0.4
30	13-17	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.4
31	14-17	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Jorah Rutter		+0.7
32	14-18	W ILL	E ILL×5	Attack err	Ashlee Markert		+0.6
33	14-19	E ILL	E ILL×5	Blocked	Kennedy Adair	blk Emma Hanson, Jorah Rutter	+0.6
34	14-20	E ILL	E ILL×5	Kill	Jorah Rutter	set Anna McEwen	+0.3
35	14-21	E ILL	E ILL×5	Blocked	Kennedy Adair	blk Jorah Rutter, Emma Hanson	+0.2
36	14-22	E ILL	E ILL×5	Ace	Eastern Ill.	aced Melaina Hawblitzel	+0.1
37	15-22	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	·
38	15-23	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Emma Hanson	set Alanys Nieves	·
39	16-23	E ILL	W ILL	Blocked	Katie Kopshever	blk Audrey Pender, Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	·
40	17-23	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Emma Hanson		·
41	17-24	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.1
42	18-24	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Madelyn Norton	·
43	18-25	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Hannah Hawkins	·
Set 2
1	1-0	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.6
2	2-0	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Jaleah Bauss	set Ashlee Markert	+0.8
3	2-1	W ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Alanys Nieves	+0.6
4	2-2	E ILL	E ILL×3	Ace	Eastern Ill.		+0.7
5	2-3	E ILL	E ILL×3	Blocked	Georgia Haynes	blk Alana Guibert Rivera, Katie Kopshever	+0.6
6	3-3	E ILL	W ILL×3	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.5
7	4-3	W ILL	W ILL×3	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Grace Ulatowski	+0.8
8	5-3	W ILL	W ILL×3	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+0.9
9	5-4	W ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Jorah Rutter	set Alanys Nieves	+0.6
10	5-5	E ILL	E ILL×3	Ace	Eastern Ill.	aced Ashlee Markert	+0.7
11	5-6	E ILL	E ILL×3	Attack err	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella		+0.7
12	6-6	E ILL	W ILL	Blocked	Jorah Rutter	blk Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella, Kennedy Adair	+0.6
13	7-6	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+0.9
14	7-7	W ILL	E ILL×4	Kill	Jorah Rutter	set Alanys Nieves	+0.6
15	7-8	E ILL	E ILL×4	Attack err	Katie Kopshever		+0.7
16	7-9	E ILL	E ILL×4	Blocked	Ashlee Markert	blk Emma Hanson, Abana Teran	+0.7
17	7-10	E ILL	E ILL×4	Kill	Abana Teran	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.6
18	8-10	E ILL	W ILL×3	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+0.4
19	9-10	W ILL	W ILL×3	Attack err	Katie Kopshever		+0.7
20	10-10	W ILL	W ILL×3	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Grace Ulatowski	+0.9
21	10-11	W ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Abana Teran	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.6
22	10-12	E ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.7
23	10-13	E ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Abana Teran	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.6
24	11-13	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Madelyn Norton	+0.5
25	12-13	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Abana Teran		+0.8
26	12-14	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.6
27	13-14	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.7
28	14-14	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Grace Ulatowski	+1.0
29	14-15	W ILL	E ILL	Blocked	Kennedy Adair	blk Alana Guibert Rivera, Abana Teran	+0.8
30	14-16	E ILL	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Alanys Nieves	+0.9
31	15-16	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.7
32	15-17	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Alanys Nieves	+0.7
33	16-17	E ILL	W ILL	Serve err	Eastern Ill.		+0.8
34	17-17	W ILL	W ILL	Blocked	Alana Guibert Rivera	blk Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella, Kennedy Adair	+1.2
35	17-18	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Alanys Nieves	+1.0
36	18-18	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Madelyn Norton	+1.1
37	18-19	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Alanys Nieves	+1.1
38	19-19	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Madelyn Norton	+1.2
39	19-20	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Abana Teran	set Ariadna Pereles	+1.2
40	19-21	E ILL	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Hannah Hawkins	+1.3
41	20-21	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Madelyn Norton	+0.9
42	21-21	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Georgia Haynes	+1.8
43	21-22	W ILL	E ILL	Serve err	Jaleah Bauss		+1.5
44	22-22	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+1.6
45	23-22	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Georgia Haynes	+2.9
46	23-23	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Hannah Hawkins	+2.1
47	23-24	E ILL	E ILL	Bad set	Jaleah Bauss		+3.1
48	24-24	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+2.3
49	25-24	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella		+3.7
50	25-25	W ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Alanys Nieves	+3.0
51	25-26	E ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Alana Guibert Rivera		+3.1
52	25-27	E ILL	E ILL×3	Blocked	Georgia Haynes	blk Alana Guibert Rivera, Katie Kopshever	+2.4
Set 3
1	0-1	W ILL	E ILL×3	Serve err	Ashlee Markert		+0.2
2	0-2	E ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Alanys Nieves	+0.2
3	0-3	E ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Jorah Rutter	set Alanys Nieves	+0.2
4	1-3	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Georgia Haynes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.2
5	1-4	W ILL	E ILL	Serve err	Hillary Estes		+0.2
6	2-4	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.2
7	2-5	W ILL	E ILL×3	Attack err	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella		+0.2
8	2-6	E ILL	E ILL×3	Blocked	Kennedy Adair	blk Abana Teran, Emma Hanson	+0.2
9	2-7	E ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Abana Teran	set Ariadna Pereles	+0.2
10	3-7	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+0.1
11	4-7	W ILL	W ILL	Attack err	Katie Kopshever		+0.2
12	4-8	W ILL	E ILL×3	Blocked	Maria Eduarda Pereira Tonella	blk Emma Hanson, Katie Kopshever	+0.2
13	4-9	E ILL	E ILL×3	Attack err	Ashlee Markert		+0.2
14	4-10	E ILL	E ILL×3	Attack err	Audrey Pender		+0.1
15	5-10	E ILL	W ILL×4	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+0.1
16	6-10	W ILL	W ILL×4	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+0.1
17	7-10	W ILL	W ILL×4	Bad set	Hannah Hawkins		+0.2
18	8-10	W ILL	W ILL×4	Kill	Ashlee Markert	set Madelyn Norton	+0.3
19	8-11	W ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Abana Teran	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.2
20	8-12	E ILL	E ILL×3	Ace	Eastern Ill.	aced Kennedy Adair	+0.2
21	8-13	E ILL	E ILL×3	Kill	Abana Teran	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.2
22	9-13	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+0.1
23	10-13	W ILL	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.2
24	10-14	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.2
25	11-14	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Hillary Estes	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.2
26	11-15	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Kaeden Foxx	set Alanys Nieves	+0.2
27	12-15	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.2
28	13-15	W ILL	W ILL	Blocked	Jorah Rutter	blk Kennedy Adair	+0.3
29	13-16	W ILL	E ILL	Attack err	Georgia Haynes		+0.3
30	13-17	E ILL	E ILL	Blocked	Georgia Haynes	blk Emma Hanson, Katie Kopshever	+0.3
31	14-17	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Jaleah Bauss	+0.2
32	14-18	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Alanys Nieves	+0.2
33	15-18	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Grace Ulatowski	+0.2
34	15-19	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Katie Kopshever	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.2
35	15-20	E ILL	E ILL	Attack err	Ashlee Markert		+0.2
36	16-20	E ILL	W ILL	Serve err	Eastern Ill.		+0.1
37	16-21	W ILL	E ILL	Kill	Abana Teran	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.1
38	17-21	E ILL	W ILL	Kill	Kennedy Adair	set Madelyn Norton	+0.1
39	17-22	W ILL	E ILL×4	Kill	Abana Teran	set Hannah Hawkins	+0.1
40	17-23	E ILL	E ILL×4	Ace	Eastern Ill.	aced Ashlee Markert	+0.1
41	17-24	E ILL	E ILL×4	Ace	Eastern Ill.	aced Ashlee Markert	·
42	17-25	E ILL	E ILL×4	Ace	Eastern Ill.	aced Melaina Hawblitzel	·

Score shown after each rally, Western Ill. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Eastern Ill. def. Western Ill. 3–0

Eastern Ill. won 41 of 75 points on its own serve.