Texas A&M def. Arkansas St. 3–0
Texas A&M beat visiting Arkansas St. 3-0 (25-15, 25-16, 25-18) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Texas A&M's Natalie Ring led with 13 kills, and Gabi Rodriguez added 12 digs.
Data through · final Aug 28
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK ST | 15 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| TX A&M | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.3% to Arkansas St. — set 1, ARK ST 1-0 TX A&M. Kill by Addison Collum (set by Erin Madigan). TX A&M win probability 89% → 88%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Arkansas St. wins
Texas A&M wins
- ARK ST break %
- 36.5% vs this opp
- TX A&M break %
- 45.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Addison CollumKill+1.3%
Kill by Addison Collum (set by Erin Madigan)
Set 1 · ARK ST 1-0 TX A&M · ARK ST 11% → 12%
- 02Kaitlin WhitlockAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Kaitlin Whitlock
Set 1 · ARK ST 1-2 TX A&M · TX A&M 89% → 90%
- 03Erin MadiganBlock+1.1%
Natalie Ring stuffed by Erin Madigan
Set 2 · ARK ST 5-3 TX A&M · ARK ST 6% → 7%
- 04Eliza Sharp&Natalie RingBlock+1.0%
Addison Collum stuffed by Eliza Sharp & Natalie Ring
Set 1 · ARK ST 1-3 TX A&M · TX A&M 90% → 91%
- 05Kirra MusgroveKill+1.0%
Kill by Kirra Musgrove (set by Kirra Musgrove)
Set 2 · ARK ST 5-5 TX A&M · TX A&M 93% → 94%
- 06Erin Madigan&Haley GlunzBlock+0.9%
Natalie Ring stuffed by Erin Madigan & Haley Glunz
Set 2 · ARK ST 3-2 TX A&M · ARK ST 5% → 6%
- 07Kirra Musgrove&Eliza SharpBlock+0.9%
Kaitlin Whitlock stuffed by Kirra Musgrove & Eliza Sharp
Set 2 · ARK ST 5-6 TX A&M · TX A&M 94% → 95%
- 08Texas A&MAce+0.9%
Texas A&M ace on Devyn Lewis
Set 1 · ARK ST 1-4 TX A&M · TX A&M 91% → 92%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 25 | .160 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 10.5 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | .250 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 1 | 9 | 18 | -.444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 26 | 27 | 99 | -.010 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 39 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 49 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 13 | 3 | 32 | .313 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 16.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 1 | 11 | .364 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 10 | |
| 3 | 7 | 1 | 18 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 4 | 4 | 14 | .000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | .111 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 5 | 0 | 7 | .714 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 37 | 10 | 92 | .293 | 28 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
15-25
Set 2
16-25
Set 3
18-25
Bars above the line = Texas A&M leads, below = Arkansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Arkansas St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31%5/16 | 43%3/7 |
| 2 | 67%4/6 | 0%0/5 |
| 3 | 25%3/12 | 33%2/6 |
| 4 | 43%3/7 | 25%1/4 |
| 5 | 60%3/5 | 25%1/4 |
| 6 | 100%3/3 | 50%3/6 |
| All | 43%21/49 | 31%10/32 |
Texas A&M
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 63%5/8 | 43%3/7 |
| 2 | 80%4/5 | 71%10/14 |
| 3 | 67%4/6 | 43%3/7 |
| 4 | 75%3/4 | 73%8/11 |
| 5 | 100%3/3 | 57%4/7 |
| 6 | 50%3/6 | 0%0/3 |
| All | 69%22/32 | 57%28/49 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
124 rallies
| # | ARK ST-TX A&M | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +1.3 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ARK ST | TX A&M×7 | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Lily Nicholson | +0.8 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TX A&M | TX A&M×7 | Attack err | Kaitlin Whitlock | +1.1 | |
| 4 | 1-3 | TX A&M | TX A&M×7 | Blocked | Addison Collum | blk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring | +1.0 |
| 5 | 1-4 | TX A&M | TX A&M×7 | Ace | Texas A&M | aced Devyn Lewis | +0.9 |
| 6 | 1-5 | TX A&M | TX A&M×7 | Attack err | Addison Collum | +0.7 | |
| 7 | 1-6 | TX A&M | TX A&M×7 | Attack err | Devyn Lewis | +0.6 | |
| 8 | 1-7 | TX A&M | TX A&M×7 | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Lily Nicholson | +0.4 |
| 9 | 2-7 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Erin Madigan | +0.3 |
| 10 | 2-8 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Blocked | Devyn Lewis | blk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring | +0.3 |
| 11 | 3-8 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Erin Madigan | +0.3 |
| 12 | 3-9 | ARK ST | TX A&M×5 | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.3 |
| 13 | 3-10 | TX A&M | TX A&M×5 | Bad set | Maya Joska | +0.3 | |
| 14 | 3-11 | TX A&M | TX A&M×5 | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.2 |
| 15 | 3-12 | TX A&M | TX A&M×5 | Attack err | Parker Stearns | +0.1 | |
| 16 | 3-13 | TX A&M | TX A&M×5 | Ace | Texas A&M | aced Mia Maloney | +0.1 |
| 17 | 4-13 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Bad set | Eliza Sharp | · | |
| 18 | 4-14 | ARK ST | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.1 |
| 19 | 4-15 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Kirra Musgrove | set Ne'Khaela Rogers | · |
| 20 | 4-16 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Kaia Castle | set Kirra Musgrove | · |
| 21 | 5-16 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Keira Garinger | · | |
| 22 | 5-17 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Kill | Kirra Musgrove | set Maya Joska | · |
| 23 | 6-17 | TX A&M | ARK ST×4 | Kill | Parker Stearns | set Maya Joska | · |
| 24 | 7-17 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | · |
| 25 | 8-17 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Blocked | Kaia Castle | blk Haley Glunz | · |
| 26 | 9-17 | ARK ST | ARK ST×4 | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Erin Madigan | +0.1 |
| 27 | 9-18 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Attack err | Addison Collum | +0.1 | |
| 28 | 10-18 | TX A&M | ARK ST×3 | Serve err | Texas A&M | · | |
| 29 | 11-18 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Attack err | Taryn Morris | +0.1 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Blocked | Kaia Castle | blk Addison Collum, Haley Glunz | +0.2 |
| 31 | 12-19 | ARK ST | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Taryn Morris | set Lily Nicholson | +0.2 |
| 32 | 12-20 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Blocked | Devyn Lewis | blk Eliza Sharp, Taryn Morris | +0.1 |
| 33 | 12-21 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Devyn Lewis | +0.1 | |
| 34 | 13-21 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | · |
| 35 | 13-22 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Lily Nicholson | · |
| 36 | 14-22 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Serve err | Texas A&M | · | |
| 37 | 15-22 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Kill | Erin Madigan | set Gabi Rodriguez | · |
| 38 | 15-23 | ARK ST | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Kirra Musgrove | · |
| 39 | 15-24 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Kirra Musgrove | · |
| 40 | 15-25 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Blocked | Devyn Lewis | blk Kirra Musgrove, Eliza Sharp | · |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Blocked | Kaia Castle | blk Devyn Lewis | +0.6 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Kill | Taryn Morris | set Lily Nicholson | +0.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Attack err | Devyn Lewis | +0.8 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +0.6 |
| 5 | 3-2 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Blocked | Natalie Ring | blk Erin Madigan, Haley Glunz | +0.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Serve err | Arkansas St. | +0.6 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Attack err | Natalie Ring | +0.7 | |
| 8 | 5-3 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Blocked | Natalie Ring | blk Erin Madigan | +1.1 |
| 9 | 5-4 | ARK ST | TX A&M×3 | Bad set | Erin Madigan | +0.7 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Kirra Musgrove | set Kirra Musgrove | +1.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Blocked | Kaitlin Whitlock | blk Kirra Musgrove, Eliza Sharp | +0.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Attack err | Megan Fitch | +0.7 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | ARK ST | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.6 |
| 14 | 6-8 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Addi Applegate | +0.8 |
| 15 | 6-9 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Megan Fitch | +0.7 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Serve err | Texas A&M | +0.5 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Kill | Kaia Castle | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.5 |
| 18 | 8-10 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Serve err | Texas A&M | +0.5 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Kill | Kaia Castle | set Lily Nicholson | +0.5 |
| 20 | 8-12 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Blocked | Devyn Lewis | blk Kaia Castle | +0.6 |
| 21 | 9-12 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Ne'Khaela Rogers | set Erin Madigan | +0.4 |
| 22 | 9-13 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Lily Nicholson | +0.4 |
| 23 | 10-13 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Erin Madigan | +0.4 |
| 24 | 10-14 | ARK ST | TX A&M×4 | Serve err | Arkansas St. | +0.4 | |
| 25 | 10-15 | TX A&M | TX A&M×4 | Attack err | Devyn Lewis | +0.5 | |
| 26 | 10-16 | TX A&M | TX A&M×4 | Blocked | Devyn Lewis | blk Kirra Musgrove, Eliza Sharp | +0.3 |
| 27 | 10-17 | TX A&M | TX A&M×4 | Blocked | Haley Glunz | blk Natalie Ring, Eliza Sharp | +0.2 |
| 28 | 11-17 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Serve err | Texas A&M | +0.1 | |
| 29 | 11-18 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Blocked | Kaitlin Whitlock | blk Eliza Sharp, Kirra Musgrove | +0.1 |
| 30 | 12-18 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Erin Madigan | +0.1 | |
| 31 | 13-18 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Erin Madigan | +0.2 |
| 32 | 13-19 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.2 |
| 33 | 14-19 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Serve err | Texas A&M | +0.1 | |
| 34 | 14-20 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.2 |
| 35 | 15-20 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +0.1 |
| 36 | 15-21 | ARK ST | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.2 |
| 37 | 15-22 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Kaia Castle | +0.1 |
| 38 | 15-23 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Natalie Ring | · | |
| 39 | 16-23 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Adison Ozuna | set Erin Madigan | · |
| 40 | 16-24 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Serve err | Arkansas St. | · | |
| 41 | 16-25 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Attack err | Adison Ozuna | · | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Attack err | Kaia Castle | +0.4 | |
| 2 | 2-0 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Ace | Arkansas St. | aced Gabi Rodriguez | +0.5 |
| 3 | 3-0 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Kill | Addison Collum | set Mia Maloney | +0.5 |
| 4 | 3-1 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Kill | Kaia Castle | set Lily Nicholson | +0.3 |
| 5 | 4-1 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +0.4 |
| 6 | 4-2 | ARK ST | TX A&M×4 | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Lily Nicholson | +0.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | TX A&M | TX A&M×4 | Attack err | Addison Collum | +0.5 | |
| 8 | 4-4 | TX A&M | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.5 | |||
| 9 | 4-5 | TX A&M | TX A&M×4 | Kill | Kirra Musgrove | set Erin Madigan | +0.4 |
| 10 | 5-5 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Serve err | Texas A&M | +0.3 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.3 |
| 12 | 5-7 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Attack err | Kaitlin Whitlock | +0.4 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Erin Madigan | +0.3 |
| 14 | 6-8 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Serve err | Arkansas St. | +0.3 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Adison Ozuna | set Erin Madigan | +0.3 |
| 16 | 7-9 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Serve err | Arkansas St. | +0.3 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Ne'Khaela Rogers | set Erin Madigan | +0.3 |
| 18 | 8-10 | ARK ST | TX A&M×5 | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Lily Nicholson | +0.3 |
| 19 | 8-11 | TX A&M | TX A&M×5 | Kill | Lily Nicholson | +0.4 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | TX A&M | TX A&M×5 | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Lily Nicholson | +0.3 |
| 21 | 8-13 | TX A&M | TX A&M×5 | Blocked | Adison Ozuna | blk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris | +0.2 |
| 22 | 8-14 | TX A&M | TX A&M×5 | Attack err | Adison Ozuna | +0.2 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Mia Maloney | +0.1 |
| 24 | 10-14 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Lily Nicholson | +0.2 |
| 25 | 10-15 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Erin Madigan | +0.2 |
| 26 | 10-16 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Blocked | Calea Bush | blk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring | +0.2 |
| 27 | 11-16 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Erin Madigan | +0.1 |
| 28 | 11-17 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Blocked | Addison Collum | blk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring | +0.1 |
| 29 | 11-18 | TX A&M | TX A&M | Kill | Natalie Ring | set Gabi Rodriguez | +0.1 |
| 30 | 12-18 | TX A&M | ARK ST×3 | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Erin Madigan | · |
| 31 | 13-18 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Ace | Arkansas St. | aced Addi Applegate | +0.1 |
| 32 | 14-18 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Bad set | Kirra Musgrove | +0.2 | |
| 33 | 14-19 | ARK ST | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Eliza Sharp | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.2 |
| 34 | 14-20 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Erin Madigan | +0.1 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Haley Glunz | +0.1 | |
| 36 | 15-21 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Serve err | Texas A&M | · | |
| 37 | 16-21 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Attack err | Eliza Sharp | +0.1 | |
| 38 | 16-22 | ARK ST | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Megan Fitch | set Kirra Musgrove | +0.1 |
| 39 | 16-23 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Attack err | Haley Glunz | · | |
| 40 | 16-24 | TX A&M | TX A&M×3 | Kill | Kirra Musgrove | set Erin Madigan | · |
| 41 | 17-24 | TX A&M | ARK ST | Kill | Adison Ozuna | set Erin Madigan | · |
| 42 | 18-24 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Ace | Arkansas St. | · | |
| 43 | 18-25 | ARK ST | TX A&M | Serve err | Arkansas St. | · | |
Score shown after each rally, Arkansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).