FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

Texas A&M def. Arkansas St. 3–0

Texas A&M beat visiting Arkansas St. 3-0 (25-15, 25-16, 25-18) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. Texas A&M's Natalie Ring led with 13 kills, and Gabi Rodriguez added 12 digs.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set123Sets
ARK ST1516180
TX A&M2525253

Win probability

Texas A&M above 50 · Arkansas St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.3% ARK STrally 124 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.3% to Arkansas St. — set 1, ARK ST 1-0 TX A&M. Kill by Addison Collum (set by Erin Madigan). TX A&M win probability 89% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARK ST 10.7%89.3% TX A&M

Arkansas St. wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.3%
3-2
6.0%

Texas A&M wins

3-0
43.3%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.4%
ARK ST break %
36.5% vs this opp
TX A&M break %
45.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Addison Collum (set by Erin Madigan)

    Set 1 · ARK ST 1-0 TX A&M · ARK ST 11% → 12%

  2. 02
    Kaitlin WhitlockAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Kaitlin Whitlock

    Set 1 · ARK ST 1-2 TX A&M · TX A&M 89% → 90%

  3. 03
    Erin MadiganBlock+1.1%

    Natalie Ring stuffed by Erin Madigan

    Set 2 · ARK ST 5-3 TX A&M · ARK ST 6% → 7%

  4. 04

    Addison Collum stuffed by Eliza Sharp & Natalie Ring

    Set 1 · ARK ST 1-3 TX A&M · TX A&M 90% → 91%

  5. 05

    Kill by Kirra Musgrove (set by Kirra Musgrove)

    Set 2 · ARK ST 5-5 TX A&M · TX A&M 93% → 94%

  6. 06

    Natalie Ring stuffed by Erin Madigan & Haley Glunz

    Set 2 · ARK ST 3-2 TX A&M · ARK ST 5% → 6%

  7. 07

    Kaitlin Whitlock stuffed by Kirra Musgrove & Eliza Sharp

    Set 2 · ARK ST 5-6 TX A&M · TX A&M 94% → 95%

  8. 08
    Texas A&MAce+0.9%

    Texas A&M ace on Devyn Lewis

    Set 1 · ARK ST 1-4 TX A&M · TX A&M 91% → 92%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39525.16001210010.510.5
33312.000012101226
34418.000001700004
3214.2501900100111.53.5
3206.333000200002
21918-.444000011012
31011.000010400002
3001.0002011010000
23310.000000000003
2000–000300000
1112.000000000001
1012-.500000000000
1000–100100000
Team totals262799-.010223639334549
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
313332.31301020052.516.5
35111.36400000010510
37118.3330011100007
34414.00010010111.55.5
3219.111013200214
31011.0001100300001
3507.7141401100427
3000–1101210001
3000–100210000
3000–002400000
1000–001100000
1000–000000000
Team totals371092.29328383931221275

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ARK ST · TX A&M 7

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 4 ARK STTX A&M 7

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 ARK STTX A&M 4

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 3 ARK STTX A&M 5

Bars above the line = Texas A&M leads, below = Arkansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arkansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
31%5/16
43%3/7
2
67%4/6
0%0/5
3
25%3/12
33%2/6
4
43%3/7
25%1/4
5
60%3/5
25%1/4
6
100%3/3
50%3/6
All
43%21/49
31%10/32

Texas A&M

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%5/8
43%3/7
2
80%4/5
71%10/14
3
67%4/6
43%3/7
4
75%3/4
73%8/11
5
100%3/3
57%4/7
6
50%3/6
0%0/3
All
69%22/32
57%28/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

124 rallies

#ARK ST-TX A&MSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.3
21-1ARK STTX A&M×7KillNatalie Ringset Lily Nicholson+0.8
31-2TX A&MTX A&M×7Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+1.1
41-3TX A&MTX A&M×7BlockedAddison Collumblk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring+1.0
51-4TX A&MTX A&M×7AceTexas A&Maced Devyn Lewis+0.9
61-5TX A&MTX A&M×7Attack errAddison Collum+0.7
71-6TX A&MTX A&M×7Attack errDevyn Lewis+0.6
81-7TX A&MTX A&M×7KillNatalie Ringset Lily Nicholson+0.4
92-7TX A&MARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+0.3
102-8ARK STTX A&MBlockedDevyn Lewisblk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring+0.3
113-8TX A&MARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.3
123-9ARK STTX A&M×5KillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+0.3
133-10TX A&MTX A&M×5Bad setMaya Joska+0.3
143-11TX A&MTX A&M×5KillMegan Fitchset Kirra Musgrove+0.2
153-12TX A&MTX A&M×5Attack errParker Stearns+0.1
163-13TX A&MTX A&M×5AceTexas A&Maced Mia Maloney+0.1
174-13TX A&MARK STBad setEliza Sharp·
184-14ARK STTX A&M×3KillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+0.1
194-15TX A&MTX A&M×3KillKirra Musgroveset Ne'Khaela Rogers·
204-16TX A&MTX A&M×3KillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove·
215-16TX A&MARK STKillKeira Garinger·
225-17ARK STTX A&MKillKirra Musgroveset Maya Joska·
236-17TX A&MARK ST×4KillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska·
247-17ARK STARK ST×4KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan·
258-17ARK STARK ST×4BlockedKaia Castleblk Haley Glunz·
269-17ARK STARK ST×4KillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.1
279-18ARK STTX A&MAttack errAddison Collum+0.1
2810-18TX A&MARK ST×3Serve errTexas A&M·
2911-18ARK STARK ST×3Attack errTaryn Morris+0.1
3012-18ARK STARK ST×3BlockedKaia Castleblk Addison Collum, Haley Glunz+0.2
3112-19ARK STTX A&M×3KillTaryn Morrisset Lily Nicholson+0.2
3212-20TX A&MTX A&M×3BlockedDevyn Lewisblk Eliza Sharp, Taryn Morris+0.1
3312-21TX A&MTX A&M×3Attack errDevyn Lewis+0.1
3413-21TX A&MARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan·
3513-22ARK STTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Lily Nicholson·
3614-22TX A&MARK STServe errTexas A&M·
3715-22ARK STARK STKillErin Madiganset Gabi Rodriguez·
3815-23ARK STTX A&M×3KillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove·
3915-24TX A&MTX A&M×3KillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove·
4015-25TX A&MTX A&M×3BlockedDevyn Lewisblk Kirra Musgrove, Eliza Sharp·
Set 2
11-0TX A&MARK STBlockedKaia Castleblk Devyn Lewis+0.6
21-1ARK STTX A&MKillTaryn Morrisset Lily Nicholson+0.6
31-2TX A&MTX A&MAttack errDevyn Lewis+0.8
42-2TX A&MARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.6
53-2ARK STARK STBlockedNatalie Ringblk Erin Madigan, Haley Glunz+0.9
63-3ARK STTX A&MServe errArkansas St.+0.6
74-3TX A&MARK STAttack errNatalie Ring+0.7
85-3ARK STARK STBlockedNatalie Ringblk Erin Madigan+1.1
95-4ARK STTX A&M×3Bad setErin Madigan+0.7
105-5TX A&MTX A&M×3KillKirra Musgroveset Kirra Musgrove+1.0
115-6TX A&MTX A&M×3BlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Kirra Musgrove, Eliza Sharp+0.9
126-6TX A&MARK STAttack errMegan Fitch+0.7
136-7ARK STTX A&M×3KillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+0.6
146-8TX A&MTX A&M×3KillMegan Fitchset Addi Applegate+0.8
156-9TX A&MTX A&M×3KillMegan Fitch+0.7
167-9TX A&MARK STServe errTexas A&M+0.5
177-10ARK STTX A&MKillKaia Castleset Kirra Musgrove+0.5
188-10TX A&MARK STServe errTexas A&M+0.5
198-11ARK STTX A&MKillKaia Castleset Lily Nicholson+0.5
208-12TX A&MTX A&MBlockedDevyn Lewisblk Kaia Castle+0.6
219-12TX A&MARK STKillNe'Khaela Rogersset Erin Madigan+0.4
229-13ARK STTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Lily Nicholson+0.4
2310-13TX A&MARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+0.4
2410-14ARK STTX A&M×4Serve errArkansas St.+0.4
2510-15TX A&MTX A&M×4Attack errDevyn Lewis+0.5
2610-16TX A&MTX A&M×4BlockedDevyn Lewisblk Kirra Musgrove, Eliza Sharp+0.3
2710-17TX A&MTX A&M×4BlockedHaley Glunzblk Natalie Ring, Eliza Sharp+0.2
2811-17TX A&MARK STServe errTexas A&M+0.1
2911-18ARK STTX A&MBlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Eliza Sharp, Kirra Musgrove+0.1
3012-18TX A&MARK STKillErin Madigan+0.1
3113-18ARK STARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.2
3213-19ARK STTX A&MKillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+0.2
3314-19TX A&MARK STServe errTexas A&M+0.1
3414-20ARK STTX A&MKillMegan Fitchset Kirra Musgrove+0.2
3515-20TX A&MARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.1
3615-21ARK STTX A&M×3KillMegan Fitchset Kirra Musgrove+0.2
3715-22TX A&MTX A&M×3KillNatalie Ringset Kaia Castle+0.1
3815-23TX A&MTX A&M×3KillNatalie Ring·
3916-23TX A&MARK STKillAdison Ozunaset Erin Madigan·
4016-24ARK STTX A&MServe errArkansas St.·
4116-25TX A&MTX A&MAttack errAdison Ozuna·
Set 3
11-0ARK STARK ST×3Attack errKaia Castle+0.4
22-0ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.aced Gabi Rodriguez+0.5
33-0ARK STARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+0.5
43-1ARK STTX A&MKillKaia Castleset Lily Nicholson+0.3
54-1TX A&MARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.4
64-2ARK STTX A&M×4KillNatalie Ringset Lily Nicholson+0.3
74-3TX A&MTX A&M×4Attack errAddison Collum+0.5
84-4TX A&M
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.5
94-5TX A&MTX A&M×4KillKirra Musgroveset Erin Madigan+0.4
105-5TX A&MARK STServe errTexas A&M+0.3
115-6ARK STTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Kirra Musgrove+0.3
125-7TX A&MTX A&MAttack errKaitlin Whitlock+0.4
136-7TX A&MARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+0.3
146-8ARK STTX A&MServe errArkansas St.+0.3
157-8TX A&MARK STKillAdison Ozunaset Erin Madigan+0.3
167-9ARK STTX A&MServe errArkansas St.+0.3
178-9TX A&MARK STKillNe'Khaela Rogersset Erin Madigan+0.3
188-10ARK STTX A&M×5KillMegan Fitchset Lily Nicholson+0.3
198-11TX A&MTX A&M×5KillLily Nicholson+0.4
208-12TX A&MTX A&M×5KillNatalie Ringset Lily Nicholson+0.3
218-13TX A&MTX A&M×5BlockedAdison Ozunablk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris+0.2
228-14TX A&MTX A&M×5Attack errAdison Ozuna+0.2
239-14TX A&MARK STKillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+0.1
2410-14ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Lily Nicholson+0.2
2510-15ARK STTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Erin Madigan+0.2
2610-16TX A&MTX A&MBlockedCalea Bushblk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring+0.2
2711-16TX A&MARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.1
2811-17ARK STTX A&MBlockedAddison Collumblk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring+0.1
2911-18TX A&MTX A&MKillNatalie Ringset Gabi Rodriguez+0.1
3012-18TX A&MARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan·
3113-18ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.aced Addi Applegate+0.1
3214-18ARK STARK ST×3Bad setKirra Musgrove+0.2
3314-19ARK STTX A&M×3KillEliza Sharpset Kirra Musgrove+0.2
3414-20TX A&MTX A&M×3Attack errErin Madigan+0.1
3514-21TX A&MTX A&M×3Attack errHaley Glunz+0.1
3615-21TX A&MARK STServe errTexas A&M·
3716-21ARK STARK STAttack errEliza Sharp+0.1
3816-22ARK STTX A&M×3KillMegan Fitchset Kirra Musgrove+0.1
3916-23TX A&MTX A&M×3Attack errHaley Glunz·
4016-24TX A&MTX A&M×3KillKirra Musgroveset Erin Madigan·
4117-24TX A&MARK STKillAdison Ozunaset Erin Madigan·
4218-24ARK STARK STAceArkansas St.·
4318-25ARK STTX A&MServe errArkansas St.·

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).