FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

0:3

HomeSEC

Texas A&M def. Arkansas St. 3–0

(25-15, 25-16, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3*	Sets
ARK ST	15	16	18	0
TX A&M	25	25	25	3

* Set 3: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TX A&M above 50 · ARK ST below

Biggest swing: 0.9% to Arkansas St. — set 1, ARK ST 1-0 TX A&M. Kill by Addison Collum (set by Erin Madigan). TX A&M win probability 93% → 92%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ARK ST 6.9%93.1% TX A&M

Arkansas St. wins

3-0

0.8%

3-1

2.0%

3-2

4.0%

Texas A&M wins

3-0

50.6%

3-1

30.8%

3-2

11.7%

ARK ST break %: 36.1% vs this opp
TX A&M break %: 47.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Addison CollumKill+0.9%
Kill by Addison Collum (set by Erin Madigan)
Set 1 · ARK ST 1-0 TX A&M · ARK ST 7% → 8%
02
Kaitlin WhitlockAttack error+0.8%
Attack error by Kaitlin Whitlock
Set 1 · ARK ST 1-2 TX A&M · TX A&M 93% → 94%
03
Natalie RingAttack error+0.8%
Natalie Ring stuffed by Erin Madigan
Set 2 · ARK ST 5-3 TX A&M · ARK ST 4% → 5%
04
Addison CollumAttack error+0.7%
Addison Collum stuffed by Eliza Sharp & Natalie Ring
Set 1 · ARK ST 1-3 TX A&M · TX A&M 94% → 94%
05
Kirra MusgroveKill+0.7%
Kill by Kirra Musgrove (set by Kirra Musgrove)
Set 2 · ARK ST 5-5 TX A&M · TX A&M 96% → 96%
06
Natalie RingAttack error+0.6%
Natalie Ring stuffed by Erin Madigan & Haley Glunz
Set 2 · ARK ST 3-2 TX A&M · ARK ST 3% → 4%
07
Natalie RingKill+0.6%
Kill by Natalie Ring (set by Lily Nicholson)
Set 1 · ARK ST 1-1 TX A&M · TX A&M 92% → 93%
08
Kaitlin WhitlockAttack error+0.6%
Kaitlin Whitlock stuffed by Kirra Musgrove & Eliza Sharp
Set 2 · ARK ST 5-6 TX A&M · TX A&M 96% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Arkansas St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
15Addison CollumOH	3	9	5	25	.160	0	1	2	1	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
13Haley GlunzMB	3	3	3	12	.000	0	1	2	1	0	1	2	2	6
7Kaitlin WhitlockOH	3	4	4	18	.000	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	0	4
8Erin MadiganS	3	2	1	4	.250	19	0	0	10	0	1	1	1.5	3.5
4Ne'Khaela RogersMB	3	2	0	6	.333	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	2
22Devyn LewisOH	2	1	9	18	-.444	0	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2
1Keira GaringerOH	3	1	0	1	1.000	0	1	0	4	0	0	0	0	2
11Mia MaloneyL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	1	10	1	0	0	0	0
2Adison OzunaOH	2	3	3	10	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
3Libby Gee-WeilerL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
9Parker StearnsOH	1	1	1	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
6Calea BushOH	1	0	1	2	-.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10Maya JoskaS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		26	27	99	-.010	22	3	6	39	3	3	4	5	49

Texas A&Mhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Natalie RingOH	3	13	3	32	.313	0	1	0	2	0	0	5	2.5	16.5
25Eliza SharpMB	3	5	1	11	.364	0	0	0	0	0	0	10	5	10
20Megan FitchOH	3	7	1	18	.333	0	0	1	11	0	0	0	0	7
19Kaia CastleMB	3	4	4	14	.000	1	0	0	1	0	1	1	1.5	5.5
6Taryn MorrisOPP	3	2	1	9	.111	0	1	3	2	0	0	2	1	4
12Lily NicholsonS	3	1	0	1	1.000	11	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	1
14Kirra MusgroveS	3	5	0	7	.714	14	0	1	1	0	0	4	2	7
1Gabi RodriguezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	0	12	1	0	0	0	1
2Addi ApplegateL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
10Margot ManningS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	0	0
8Amare HernandezOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
7Djurdja StanojevicMB	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		37	10	92	.293	28	3	8	39	3	1	22	12	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 ARK ST · TX A&M 7

Set 1

15-25

Longest run 4 ARK STTX A&M 7

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 2 ARK STTX A&M 4

Set 3*

18-25

Longest run 3 ARK STTX A&M 5

Bars above the line = Texas A&M leads, below = Arkansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Arkansas St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	31%5/16	43%3/7
2	67%4/6	0%0/5
3	25%3/12	33%2/6
4	43%3/7	25%1/4
5	60%3/5	25%1/4
6	100%3/3	50%3/6
All	43%21/49	31%10/32

Texas A&M

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	43%3/7
2	80%4/5	71%10/14
3	67%4/6	43%3/7
4	75%3/4	73%8/11
5	100%3/3	57%4/7
6	50%3/6	0%0/3
All	69%22/32	57%28/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

124 rallies

Rally log

#	ARK ST-TX A&M	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+0.9
2	1-1	ARK ST	TX A&M×7	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+0.6
3	1-2	TX A&M	TX A&M×7	Attack err	Kaitlin Whitlock		+0.8
4	1-3	TX A&M	TX A&M×7	Attack err	Addison Collum	blk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring	+0.7
5	1-4	TX A&M	TX A&M×7	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Devyn Lewis	+0.6
6	1-5	TX A&M	TX A&M×7	Attack err	Addison Collum		+0.5
7	1-6	TX A&M	TX A&M×7	Attack err	Devyn Lewis		+0.4
8	1-7	TX A&M	TX A&M×7	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+0.3
9	2-7	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+0.2
10	2-8	ARK ST	TX A&M	Attack err	Devyn Lewis	blk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring	+0.2
11	3-8	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+0.2
12	3-9	ARK ST	TX A&M×5	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.2
13	3-10	TX A&M	TX A&M×5	Bad set	Maya Joska		+0.2
14	3-11	TX A&M	TX A&M×5	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
15	3-12	TX A&M	TX A&M×5	Attack err	Parker Stearns		+0.1
16	3-13	TX A&M	TX A&M×5	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Mia Maloney	+0.1
17	4-13	TX A&M	ARK ST	Bad set	Eliza Sharp		+0.0
18	4-14	ARK ST	TX A&M×3	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
19	4-15	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Kirra Musgrove	set Ne'Khaela Rogers	+0.0
20	4-16	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
21	5-16	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Keira Garinger		+0.0
22	5-17	ARK ST	TX A&M	Kill	Kirra Musgrove	set Maya Joska	+0.0
23	6-17	TX A&M	ARK ST×4	Kill	Parker Stearns	set Maya Joska	+0.0
24	7-17	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+0.0
25	8-17	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Attack err	Kaia Castle	blk Haley Glunz	+0.0
26	9-17	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+0.0
27	9-18	ARK ST	TX A&M	Attack err	Addison Collum		+0.0
28	10-18	TX A&M	ARK ST×3	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.0
29	11-18	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Attack err	Taryn Morris		+0.1
30	12-18	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Attack err	Kaia Castle	blk Addison Collum, Haley Glunz	+0.1
31	12-19	ARK ST	TX A&M×3	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Lily Nicholson	+0.1
32	12-20	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Devyn Lewis	blk Eliza Sharp, Taryn Morris	+0.1
33	12-21	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Devyn Lewis		+0.0
34	13-21	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+0.0
35	13-22	ARK ST	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+0.0
36	14-22	TX A&M	ARK ST	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.0
37	15-22	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Erin Madigan	set Gabi Rodriguez	+0.0
38	15-23	ARK ST	TX A&M×3	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
39	15-24	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
40	15-25	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Devyn Lewis	blk Kirra Musgrove, Eliza Sharp	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	TX A&M	ARK ST	Attack err	Kaia Castle	blk Devyn Lewis	+0.4
2	1-1	ARK ST	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Lily Nicholson	+0.4
3	1-2	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Devyn Lewis		+0.5
4	2-2	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+0.4
5	3-2	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Natalie Ring	blk Erin Madigan, Haley Glunz	+0.6
6	3-3	ARK ST	TX A&M	Serve err	ARK ST server		+0.4
7	4-3	TX A&M	ARK ST	Attack err	Natalie Ring		+0.5
8	5-3	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Natalie Ring	blk Erin Madigan	+0.8
9	5-4	ARK ST	TX A&M×3	Bad set	Erin Madigan		+0.5
10	5-5	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Kirra Musgrove	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.7
11	5-6	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Kaitlin Whitlock	blk Kirra Musgrove, Eliza Sharp	+0.6
12	6-6	TX A&M	ARK ST	Attack err	Megan Fitch		+0.5
13	6-7	ARK ST	TX A&M×3	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.4
14	6-8	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Addi Applegate	+0.5
15	6-9	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Megan Fitch		+0.4
16	7-9	TX A&M	ARK ST	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.3
17	7-10	ARK ST	TX A&M	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.3
18	8-10	TX A&M	ARK ST	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.3
19	8-11	ARK ST	TX A&M	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Lily Nicholson	+0.3
20	8-12	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Devyn Lewis	blk Kaia Castle	+0.4
21	9-12	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Ne'Khaela Rogers	set Erin Madigan	+0.3
22	9-13	ARK ST	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+0.3
23	10-13	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+0.3
24	10-14	ARK ST	TX A&M×4	Serve err	ARK ST server		+0.3
25	10-15	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Devyn Lewis		+0.3
26	10-16	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Devyn Lewis	blk Kirra Musgrove, Eliza Sharp	+0.2
27	10-17	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Haley Glunz	blk Natalie Ring, Eliza Sharp	+0.1
28	11-17	TX A&M	ARK ST	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.1
29	11-18	ARK ST	TX A&M	Attack err	Kaitlin Whitlock	blk Eliza Sharp, Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
30	12-18	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Erin Madigan		+0.1
31	13-18	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+0.1
32	13-19	ARK ST	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
33	14-19	TX A&M	ARK ST	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.1
34	14-20	ARK ST	TX A&M	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
35	15-20	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+0.1
36	15-21	ARK ST	TX A&M×3	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
37	15-22	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kaia Castle	+0.1
38	15-23	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Natalie Ring		+0.0
39	16-23	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Adison Ozuna	set Erin Madigan	+0.0
40	16-24	ARK ST	TX A&M	Serve err	ARK ST server		+0.0
41	16-25	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Adison Ozuna		+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Attack err	Kaia Castle		+0.3
2	2-0	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Ace	ARK ST server	aced Gabi Rodriguez	+0.3
3	3-0	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Addison Collum	set Mia Maloney	+0.4
4	3-1	ARK ST	TX A&M	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Lily Nicholson	+0.2
5	4-1	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+0.3
6	4-2	ARK ST	TX A&M×4	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+0.2
7	4-3	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Addison Collum		+0.3
8	4-4	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.3
9	4-5	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Kirra Musgrove	set Erin Madigan	+0.3
10	5-5	TX A&M	ARK ST	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.2
11	5-6	ARK ST	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.2
12	5-7	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Kaitlin Whitlock		+0.2
13	6-7	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+0.2
14	6-8	ARK ST	TX A&M	Serve err	ARK ST server		+0.2
15	7-8	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Adison Ozuna	set Erin Madigan	+0.2
16	7-9	ARK ST	TX A&M	Serve err	ARK ST server		+0.2
17	8-9	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Ne'Khaela Rogers	set Erin Madigan	+0.2
18	8-10	ARK ST	TX A&M×5	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Lily Nicholson	+0.2
19	8-11	TX A&M	TX A&M×5	Kill	Lily Nicholson		+0.2
20	8-12	TX A&M	TX A&M×5	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Lily Nicholson	+0.2
21	8-13	TX A&M	TX A&M×5	Attack err	Adison Ozuna	blk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris	+0.1
22	8-14	TX A&M	TX A&M×5	Attack err	Adison Ozuna		+0.1
23	9-14	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Mia Maloney	+0.1
24	10-14	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Lily Nicholson	+0.1
25	10-15	ARK ST	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Erin Madigan	+0.1
26	10-16	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Calea Bush	blk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring	+0.1
27	11-16	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+0.1
28	11-17	ARK ST	TX A&M	Attack err	Addison Collum	blk Eliza Sharp, Natalie Ring	+0.1
29	11-18	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Gabi Rodriguez	+0.1
30	12-18	TX A&M	ARK ST×3	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+0.0
31	13-18	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Ace	ARK ST server	aced Addi Applegate	+0.1
32	14-18	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Bad set	Kirra Musgrove		+0.1
33	14-19	ARK ST	TX A&M×3	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
34	14-20	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Erin Madigan		+0.1
35	14-21	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Haley Glunz		+0.0
36	15-21	TX A&M	ARK ST	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.0
37	16-21	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Eliza Sharp		+0.0
38	16-22	ARK ST	TX A&M×3	Kill	Megan Fitch	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
39	16-23	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Haley Glunz		+0.0
40	16-24	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Kill	Kirra Musgrove	set Erin Madigan	+0.0
41	17-24	TX A&M	ARK ST	Kill	Adison Ozuna	set Erin Madigan	+0.0
42	18-24	ARK ST	ARK ST	Ace	ARK ST server	aced Team	+0.0
43	18-25	ARK ST	TX A&M	Serve err	ARK ST server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.