Cal Poly def. Arkansas St. 3–0
Cal Poly beat Arkansas St. 3-0 (25-15, 25-20, 25-23) on Sun, Aug 30, 2026 at a neutral site. Cal Poly's Kendall Beshear led with 14 kills, and Elif Hurriyet added 12 digs.
Data through · final Aug 30
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARK ST | 15 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| CALPLY | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 4.9% to Cal Poly — set 3, ARK ST 23-24 CALPLY. Cal Poly ace on Mia Maloney. CALPLY win probability 90% → 95%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Arkansas St. wins
Cal Poly wins
- ARK ST break %
- 38.9% vs this opp
- CALPLY break %
- 41.3% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Cal PolyAce+4.9%
Cal Poly ace on Mia Maloney
Set 3 · ARK ST 23-24 CALPLY · CALPLY 90% → 95%
- 02
- 03Kayla Murdoch&Charlotte KellyBlock+3.9%
Devyn Lewis stuffed by Kayla Murdoch & Charlotte Kelly
Set 3 · ARK ST 23-23 CALPLY · CALPLY 87% → 90%
- 04Breklyn PullingKill+2.7%
Kill by Breklyn Pulling (set by Alexis Haury)
Set 1 · ARK ST 5-6 CALPLY · CALPLY 62% → 65%
- 05Arkansas St.Ace+2.7%
Arkansas St. ace on Kendall Beshear
Set 1 · ARK ST 4-2 CALPLY · ARK ST 39% → 42%
- 06Parker StearnsAttack error+2.7%
Attack error by Parker Stearns
Set 1 · ARK ST 6-8 CALPLY · CALPLY 65% → 68%
- 07
- 08Calea BushKill+2.6%
Kill by Calea Bush (set by Erin Madigan)
Set 2 · ARK ST 9-9 CALPLY · ARK ST 19% → 22%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 9 | 5 | 31 | .129 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | |
| 3 | 8 | 2 | 12 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 9.5 | |
| 3 | 9 | 3 | 20 | .300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | |
| 3 | 7 | 7 | 22 | .000 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 19 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 2 | 7 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 38 | 22 | 107 | .150 | 35 | 4 | 5 | 40 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 58 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 14 | 1 | 32 | .406 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | |
| 3 | 9 | 4 | 24 | .208 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 20 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| 3 | 6 | 2 | 10 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | |
| 3 | 5 | 1 | 8 | .500 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 7.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 34 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 2.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 41 | 11 | 99 | .303 | 36 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
15-25
Set 2
20-25
Set 3
23-25
Bars above the line = Cal Poly leads, below = Arkansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Arkansas St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39%7/18 | 45%5/11 |
| 2 | 58%7/12 | 53%8/15 |
| 3 | 75%6/8 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 60%6/10 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 38%5/13 | 0%0/6 |
| 6 | 38%5/13 | 29%2/7 |
| All | 49%36/74 | 37%22/59 |
Cal Poly
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 39%7/18 | 63%10/16 |
| 2 | 58%7/12 | 30%3/10 |
| 3 | 70%7/10 | 36%4/11 |
| 4 | 100%6/6 | 25%2/8 |
| 5 | 83%5/6 | 64%9/14 |
| 6 | 71%5/7 | 67%10/15 |
| All | 63%37/59 | 51%38/74 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
133 rallies
| # | ARK ST-CALPLY | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Addison Collum | +2.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Erin Madigan | +1.6 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Ace | Arkansas St. | aced Elif Hurriyet | +2.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Elif Hurriyet | +1.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +1.8 |
| 6 | 4-2 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Ace | Arkansas St. | aced Kendall Beshear | +2.7 |
| 7 | 4-3 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +1.7 |
| 8 | 4-4 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Attack err | Devyn Lewis | +2.7 | |
| 9 | 5-4 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Maya Joska | +1.9 |
| 10 | 5-5 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +1.8 |
| 11 | 5-6 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +2.7 |
| 12 | 6-6 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Maya Joska | +1.9 |
| 13 | 6-7 | ARK ST | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +1.9 |
| 14 | 6-8 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Attack err | Parker Stearns | +2.7 | |
| 15 | 6-9 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Attack err | Ne'Khaela Rogers | +2.5 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Maya Joska | +1.5 |
| 17 | 7-10 | ARK ST | CALPLY×6 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +1.7 |
| 18 | 7-11 | CALPLY | CALPLY×6 | Ace | Cal Poly | +2.2 | |
| 19 | 7-12 | CALPLY | CALPLY×6 | Attack err | Kaitlin Whitlock | +1.8 | |
| 20 | 7-13 | CALPLY | CALPLY×6 | Blocked | Kaitlin Whitlock | blk Alexis Haury, Charlotte Kelly | +1.4 |
| 21 | 7-14 | CALPLY | CALPLY×6 | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | +1.0 | |
| 22 | 7-15 | CALPLY | CALPLY×6 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 23 | 8-15 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Erin Madigan | +0.3 |
| 24 | 9-15 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | +0.7 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | ARK ST | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury | +0.6 |
| 26 | 9-17 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +0.6 |
| 27 | 9-18 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Attack err | Addison Collum | +0.3 | |
| 28 | 10-18 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +0.1 |
| 29 | 10-19 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury | +0.2 |
| 30 | 10-20 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Ace | Cal Poly | +0.1 | |
| 31 | 11-20 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Serve err | Cal Poly | · | |
| 32 | 12-20 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Elif Hurriyet | +0.1 |
| 33 | 12-21 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Serve err | Arkansas St. | +0.1 | |
| 34 | 13-21 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Maya Joska | · |
| 35 | 14-21 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Blocked | Emma Fredrick | blk Haley Glunz, Parker Stearns | +0.1 |
| 36 | 14-22 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.2 |
| 37 | 15-22 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Parker Stearns | set Maya Joska | +0.1 |
| 38 | 15-23 | ARK ST | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.1 |
| 39 | 15-24 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Blocked | Kaitlin Whitlock | blk Breklyn Pulling, Alexis Haury | · |
| 40 | 15-25 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Ace | Cal Poly | · | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +1.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +1.5 |
| 3 | 2-1 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | +2.3 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | ARK ST | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +1.5 |
| 5 | 2-3 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Attack err | Addison Collum | +2.2 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +2.2 |
| 7 | 3-4 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +1.4 |
| 8 | 3-5 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +1.5 |
| 9 | 4-5 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Maya Joska | +1.5 |
| 10 | 4-6 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +1.5 |
| 11 | 5-6 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Keira Garinger | +1.5 |
| 12 | 5-7 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Serve err | Arkansas St. | +1.5 | |
| 13 | 5-8 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Attack err | Calea Bush | +2.2 | |
| 14 | 6-8 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Maya Joska | +1.3 |
| 15 | 6-9 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Alexis Haury | +1.5 |
| 16 | 7-9 | CALPLY | ARK ST×3 | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Addison Collum | +1.4 |
| 17 | 8-9 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Attack err | Kayla Murdoch | +2.4 | |
| 18 | 9-9 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Kill | Calea Bush | set Erin Madigan | +2.6 |
| 19 | 9-10 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +1.8 |
| 20 | 9-11 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | +2.6 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Serve err | Cal Poly | +1.7 | |
| 22 | 10-12 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Serve err | Arkansas St. | +1.8 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Ace | Cal Poly | aced Devyn Lewis | +2.5 |
| 24 | 11-13 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +1.5 |
| 25 | 11-14 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +1.7 |
| 26 | 11-15 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Attack err | Haley Glunz | +2.1 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Serve err | Cal Poly | +1.2 | |
| 28 | 12-16 | ARK ST | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +1.4 |
| 29 | 12-17 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Attack err | Parker Stearns | +1.6 | |
| 30 | 12-18 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Blocked | Kaitlin Whitlock | blk Breklyn Pulling, Alexis Haury | +1.1 |
| 31 | 12-19 | CALPLY | CALPLY×4 | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 32 | 13-19 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Serve err | Cal Poly | +0.3 | |
| 33 | 13-20 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Breklyn Pulling | set Alexis Haury | +0.4 |
| 34 | 13-21 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Attack err | Calea Bush | +0.3 | |
| 35 | 14-21 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Maya Joska | +0.1 |
| 36 | 15-21 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Mia Maloney | +0.2 |
| 37 | 15-22 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Charlotte Kelly | set Erin Madigan | +0.3 |
| 38 | 16-22 | CALPLY | ARK ST×3 | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +0.1 |
| 39 | 17-22 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Attack err | Kayla Murdoch | +0.3 | |
| 40 | 18-22 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Attack err | Kendall Beshear | +0.6 | |
| 41 | 18-23 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +0.8 |
| 42 | 19-23 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Calea Bush | set Erin Madigan | +0.3 |
| 43 | 19-24 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.6 |
| 44 | 20-24 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Addison Collum | set Erin Madigan | +0.1 |
| 45 | 20-25 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Blocked | Devyn Lewis | blk Kayla Murdoch, Breklyn Pulling | +0.3 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +1.2 |
| 2 | 0-2 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Attack err | Addison Collum | +1.2 | |
| 3 | 0-3 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Blocked | Addison Collum | blk Kendall Beshear, Charlotte Kelly | +1.1 |
| 4 | 1-3 | CALPLY | ARK ST×7 | Attack err | Charlotte Kelly | +0.7 | |
| 5 | 2-3 | ARK ST | ARK ST×7 | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Erin Madigan | +1.2 |
| 6 | 3-3 | ARK ST | ARK ST×7 | Blocked | Charlotte Kelly | blk Haley Glunz | +1.3 |
| 7 | 4-3 | ARK ST | ARK ST×7 | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Erin Madigan | +1.4 |
| 8 | 5-3 | ARK ST | ARK ST×7 | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Erin Madigan | +1.4 |
| 9 | 6-3 | ARK ST | ARK ST×7 | Ace | Arkansas St. | aced Emma Fredrick | +1.4 |
| 10 | 7-3 | ARK ST | ARK ST×7 | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Erin Madigan | +1.3 |
| 11 | 7-4 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +0.8 |
| 12 | 7-5 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Ace | Cal Poly | aced Kaitlin Whitlock | +1.3 |
| 13 | 8-5 | CALPLY | ARK ST×3 | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Haley Glunz | +1.0 |
| 14 | 9-5 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Erin Madigan | +1.4 |
| 15 | 10-5 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Kill | Haley Glunz | +1.2 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 17 | 11-6 | CALPLY | ARK ST×3 | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Maya Joska | +0.8 |
| 18 | 12-6 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Ace | Arkansas St. | aced Emma Fredrick | +1.1 |
| 19 | 13-6 | ARK ST | ARK ST×3 | Blocked | Kayla Murdoch | blk Kaitlin Whitlock | +0.8 |
| 20 | 13-7 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.4 |
| 21 | 14-7 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Maya Joska | +0.5 |
| 22 | 14-8 | ARK ST | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +0.4 |
| 23 | 14-9 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Attack err | Kaitlin Whitlock | +0.8 | |
| 24 | 14-10 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Ace | Cal Poly | aced Keira Garinger | +1.0 |
| 25 | 15-10 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Parker Stearns | set Maya Joska | +0.9 |
| 26 | 16-10 | ARK ST | ARK ST | Attack err | Breklyn Pulling | +1.0 | |
| 27 | 16-11 | ARK ST | CALPLY×3 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +0.5 |
| 28 | 16-12 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Attack err | Addison Collum | +0.9 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | CALPLY | CALPLY×3 | Blocked | Addison Collum | blk Kendall Beshear, Charlotte Kelly | +1.2 |
| 30 | 17-13 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Erin Madigan | +1.1 |
| 31 | 17-14 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Serve err | Arkansas St. | +0.8 | |
| 32 | 18-14 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Devyn Lewis | set Erin Madigan | +1.1 |
| 33 | 18-15 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Attack err | Haley Glunz | +0.8 | |
| 34 | 19-15 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Serve err | Cal Poly | +1.1 | |
| 35 | 19-16 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Kayla Murdoch | set Alexis Haury | +0.8 |
| 36 | 20-16 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Attack err | Emma Fredrick | +1.1 | |
| 37 | 20-17 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 38 | 21-17 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Haley Glunz | set Maya Joska | +1.1 |
| 39 | 21-18 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Kill | Emma Fredrick | set Alexis Haury | +0.7 |
| 40 | 22-18 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Calea Bush | set Maya Joska | +1.1 |
| 41 | 22-19 | ARK ST | CALPLY | Serve err | Arkansas St. | +0.6 | |
| 42 | 22-20 | CALPLY | CALPLY | Attack err | Addison Collum | +1.5 | |
| 43 | 23-20 | CALPLY | ARK ST | Kill | Kaitlin Whitlock | set Erin Madigan | +1.7 |
| 44 | 23-21 | ARK ST | CALPLY×5 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Alexis Haury | +0.9 |
| 45 | 23-22 | CALPLY | CALPLY×5 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | set Elif Hurriyet | +2.4 |
| 46 | 23-23 | CALPLY | CALPLY×5 | Blocked | Devyn Lewis | blk Kayla Murdoch, Charlotte Kelly | +3.9 |
| 47 | 23-24 | CALPLY | CALPLY×5 | Ace | Cal Poly | aced Mia Maloney | +4.9 |
| 48 | 23-25 | CALPLY | CALPLY×5 | Kill | Kendall Beshear | +4.6 | |
Score shown after each rally, Arkansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).