Arkansas State def. Northern Ky. 3-1 Volleyball (Sep 4)

Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 4, 2026 · Neutral site

3:1

Arkansas St. beat Northern Ky. 3-1 (22-25, 25-20, 27-25, 25-20) on Fri, Sep 4, 2026 at a neutral site. Arkansas St.'s Kaitlin Whitlock led with 17 kills, and Mia Maloney added 26 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:50 PM CT · final Sep 4

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
ARK ST	22	25	27	25	3
N KY	25	20	25	20	1

Win probability

Northern Ky. above 50 · Arkansas St. below

Biggest swing: 11.5% to Arkansas St. — set 3, ARK ST 25-24 N KY. Attack error by Emma Adkins. N KY win probability 34% → 23%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARK ST 77.2%22.8% N KY

Arkansas St. wins

3-0

28.9%

3-1

29.4%

3-2

18.9%

Northern Ky. wins

3-0

3.9%

3-1

7.7%

3-2

11.2%

ARK ST break %: 46.6% vs this opp
N KY break %: 40.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Emma AdkinsAttack error+11.5%
Attack error by Emma Adkins
Set 3 · ARK ST 25-24 N KY · ARK ST 66% → 77%
02
Calea Bush&Devyn LewisBlock+10.1%
Ivey Stocks stuffed by Calea Bush & Devyn Lewis
Set 3 · ARK ST 27-25 N KY · ARK ST 77% → 87%
03
Kaitlin WhitlockBad set+10.0%
Bad set by Kaitlin Whitlock
Set 3 · ARK ST 23-24 N KY · N KY 34% → 44%
04
Northern Ky.Service error+10.0%
Northern Ky. service error
Set 3 · ARK ST 24-24 N KY · ARK ST 56% → 66%
05
Emma AdkinsKill+8.8%
Kill by Emma Adkins (set by Sydney Bray)
Set 3 · ARK ST 25-25 N KY · N KY 23% → 32%
06
Haley GlunzKill+8.8%
Kill by Haley Glunz (set by Erin Madigan)
Set 3 · ARK ST 26-25 N KY · ARK ST 68% → 77%
07
Kaitlin WhitlockBlock+8.0%
Sydney Bray stuffed by Kaitlin Whitlock
Set 3 · ARK ST 22-22 N KY · ARK ST 58% → 66%
08
Sydney BrayKill+7.8%
Kill by Sydney Bray (set by Abbigail Pickard)
Set 3 · ARK ST 22-23 N KY · N KY 34% → 42%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Arkansas St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Kaitlin WhitlockOH	4	17	5	48	.250	2	0	1	16	0	1	1	1.5	18.5
22Devyn LewisOH	4	11	5	32	.188	1	0	0	7	0	1	2	2	13
13Haley GlunzMB	4	8	4	20	.200	1	1	1	4	0	2	4	4	13
6Calea BushOH	4	8	4	15	.267	0	0	0	1	0	3	2	4	12
15Addison CollumOH	4	9	3	32	.188	2	0	1	5	0	0	0	0	9
8Erin MadiganS	4	5	0	8	.625	33	0	2	13	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
9Parker StearnsOH	4	5	2	13	.231	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	6
11Mia MaloneyL/DS	4	0	0	1	.000	7	0	1	26	1	0	0	0	0
10Maya JoskaS	4	0	0	0	–	12	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
1Keira GaringerOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	0	1
3Libby Gee-WeilerL/DS	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	4	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		63	23	170	.235	58	2	8	82	7	7	12	13	99

Northern Ky.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Allison RisleyOH	4	11	4	43	.163	1	0	0	12	0	0	0	0	11
11Sydney BrayOH	4	6	5	22	.045	3	2	4	15	0	0	6	3	11
12Ivey StocksMB	4	7	6	27	.037	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
15Abbigail PickardS	4	5	0	7	.714	33	1	0	16	0	0	0	0	6
9Emma AdkinsDS	4	4	2	11	.182	0	0	0	9	0	0	0	0	4
16Ashley SessMB	3	4	2	8	.250	0	1	1	1	0	0	1	0.5	5.5
3Ava HoyingOH	4	7	2	33	.152	0	1	1	2	1	1	1	1.5	9.5
13Daisy CluxtonL/DS	4	1	0	2	.500	5	1	3	14	0	0	0	0	2
4Katie NoschangOH	2	3	2	11	.091	1	1	1	1	0	0	3	1.5	5.5
6Emily ErwinOPP	1	0	0	2	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		48	23	166	.151	43	7	10	70	2	1	14	8	90

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ARK ST · N KY 7

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 4 ARK STN KY 3

Set 2

25-20

Longest run 3 ARK STN KY 3

Set 3

27-25

Longest run 4 ARK STN KY 7

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 4 ARK STN KY 3

Bars above the line = Northern Ky. leads, below = Arkansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arkansas St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	69%9/13	43%6/14
2	89%8/9	27%3/11
3	86%6/7	13%1/8
4	55%6/11	54%7/13
5	43%6/14	54%7/13
6	55%6/11	54%7/13
All	63%41/65	43%31/72

Northern Ky.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%9/15	46%6/13
2	80%8/10	10%1/10
3	55%6/11	22%2/9
4	60%6/10	25%2/8
5	46%6/13	50%6/12
6	46%6/13	54%7/13
All	57%41/72	37%24/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

189 rallies

#	ARK ST-N KY	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	N KY	N KY	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.9
2	0-2	N KY	N KY	Ace	Northern Ky.		+2.1
3	1-2	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+1.5
4	1-3	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Emma Adkins	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
5	2-3	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+1.5
6	2-4	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Abbigail Pickard	set Sydney Bray	+1.7
7	3-4	N KY	ARK ST	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+1.6
8	4-4	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Erin Madigan	set Kaitlin Whitlock	+2.0
9	4-5	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
10	4-6	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ashley Sess	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.3
11	5-6	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Maya Joska	+1.6
12	6-6	ARK ST	ARK ST	Ace	Arkansas St.	aced Ava Hoying	+2.1
13	6-7	ARK ST	N KY×3	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Daisy Cluxton	+1.8
14	6-8	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Kaitlin Whitlock		+2.4
15	6-9	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.5
16	7-9	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Calea Bush	set Maya Joska	+1.7
17	7-10	ARK ST	N KY	Serve err	Arkansas St.		+2.0
18	8-10	N KY	ARK ST	Attack err	Ivey Stocks		+1.8
19	8-11	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Daisy Cluxton		+2.1
20	9-11	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock		+1.8
21	10-11	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Mia Maloney	+2.5
22	10-12	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.2
23	11-12	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+2.0
24	11-13	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.3
25	12-13	N KY	ARK ST×4	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+2.0
26	13-13	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+2.7
27	14-13	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	+2.7
28	15-13	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Calea Bush		+2.5
29	15-14	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Abbigail Pickard	set Erin Madigan	+1.9
30	15-15	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Parker Stearns		+2.9
31	16-15	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Mia Maloney	+2.3
32	16-16	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ashley Sess	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.4
33	16-17	N KY	N KY	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Mia Maloney	+3.5
34	17-17	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Parker Stearns	set Maya Joska	+2.6
35	18-17	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+3.4
36	18-18	ARK ST	N KY×3	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.7
37	18-19	N KY	N KY×3	Ace	Northern Ky.		+4.0
38	18-20	N KY	N KY×3	Blocked	Haley Glunz	blk Sydney Bray, Ivey Stocks	+4.3
39	19-20	N KY	ARK ST	Blocked	Allison Risley	blk Haley Glunz, Parker Stearns	+2.8
40	20-20	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Ivey Stocks		+4.2
41	20-21	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+3.9
42	20-22	N KY	N KY	Kill	Emma Adkins	set Abbigail Pickard	+5.2
43	21-22	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+3.1
44	21-23	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+4.7
45	22-23	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+3.3
46	22-24	ARK ST	N KY	Serve err	Arkansas St.		+5.6
47	22-25	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Devyn Lewis		+4.5
Set 2
1	1-0	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+2.5
2	1-1	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.0
3	2-1	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Mia Maloney	+2.0
4	2-2	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.1
5	2-3	N KY	N KY	Kill	Abbigail Pickard		+2.9
6	3-3	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	+2.2
7	3-4	ARK ST	N KY	Serve err	Arkansas St.		+2.4
8	4-4	N KY	ARK ST	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+2.2
9	4-5	ARK ST	N KY	Serve err	Arkansas St.		+2.4
10	5-5	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Calea Bush	set Maya Joska	+2.3
11	6-5	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+2.9
12	6-6	ARK ST	N KY×3	Kill	Ashley Sess	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.3
13	6-7	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Parker Stearns		+3.3
14	6-8	N KY	N KY×3	Bad set	Parker Stearns		+3.5
15	7-8	N KY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Maya Joska	+2.5
16	8-8	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Attack err	Ashley Sess		+3.3
17	9-8	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+3.1
18	9-9	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.6
19	10-9	N KY	ARK ST	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+2.5
20	10-10	ARK ST	N KY	Blocked	Devyn Lewis	blk Sydney Bray, Ivey Stocks	+2.7
21	11-10	N KY	ARK ST	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+2.6
22	11-11	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.8
23	12-11	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	+2.7
24	12-12	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Allison Risley	set Daisy Cluxton	+2.9
25	13-12	N KY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Parker Stearns	set Maya Joska	+2.8
26	14-12	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Maya Joska	+3.4
27	15-12	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Parker Stearns	set Mia Maloney	+3.0
28	15-13	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ashley Sess	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.1
29	15-14	N KY	N KY	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Libby Gee-Weiler	+3.4
30	16-14	N KY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Maya Joska	+2.9
31	17-14	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Blocked	Ava Hoying	blk Haley Glunz, Parker Stearns	+3.2
32	18-14	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Attack err	Allison Risley		+2.6
33	18-15	ARK ST	N KY	Attack err	Kaitlin Whitlock		+1.6
34	18-16	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Kaitlin Whitlock	blk Ashley Sess, Sydney Bray	+2.9
35	19-16	N KY	ARK ST	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+2.7
36	20-16	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Mia Maloney	+2.7
37	20-17	ARK ST	N KY	Serve err	Arkansas St.		+1.5
38	20-18	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Addison Collum		+3.0
39	21-18	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+3.0
40	22-18	ARK ST	ARK ST	Blocked	Emma Adkins	blk Haley Glunz	+2.7
41	22-19	ARK ST	N KY	Attack err	Haley Glunz		+1.3
42	23-19	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Addison Collum	+2.0
43	23-20	ARK ST	N KY	Attack err	Calea Bush		+1.0
44	24-20	N KY	ARK ST	Bad set	Abbigail Pickard		+1.8
45	25-20	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.7
Set 3
1	1-0	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+2.0
2	2-0	ARK ST	ARK ST	Blocked	Ivey Stocks	blk Haley Glunz	+2.4
3	2-1	ARK ST	N KY	Serve err	Arkansas St.		+1.9
4	3-1	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+1.9
5	4-1	ARK ST	ARK ST	Blocked	Ivey Stocks	blk Devyn Lewis, Haley Glunz	+2.3
6	4-2	ARK ST	N KY	Serve err	Arkansas St.		+1.7
7	5-2	N KY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+1.8
8	6-2	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Blocked	Allison Risley	blk Calea Bush	+2.0
9	7-2	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Addison Collum	set Haley Glunz	+1.7
10	7-3	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Abbigail Pickard	set Sydney Bray	+1.2
11	7-4	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Addison Collum	blk Ava Hoying	+1.9
12	8-4	N KY	ARK ST×4	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+1.6
13	9-4	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Attack err	Ashley Sess		+1.8
14	10-4	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Erin Madigan	set Devyn Lewis	+1.4
15	11-4	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Blocked	Ava Hoying	blk Calea Bush, Erin Madigan	+1.1
16	11-5	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.7
17	11-6	N KY	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Allison Risley	+1.2
18	12-6	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Maya Joska	+1.1
19	13-6	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Sydney Bray		+1.1
20	13-7	ARK ST	N KY	Blocked	Kaitlin Whitlock	blk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang	+0.6
21	14-7	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Parker Stearns	set Maya Joska	+0.8
22	14-8	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.6
23	14-9	N KY	N KY	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Libby Gee-Weiler	+1.1
24	15-9	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Parker Stearns	set Maya Joska	+1.1
25	15-10	ARK ST	N KY	Blocked	Kaitlin Whitlock	blk Ivey Stocks, Sydney Bray	+0.9
26	15-11	N KY	N KY	Ace	Northern Ky.		+1.6
27	16-11	N KY	ARK ST	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+1.5
28	16-12	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.2
29	17-12	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Mia Maloney	+1.5
30	17-13	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.2
31	18-13	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	+1.5
32	18-14	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.1
33	18-15	N KY	N KY	Blocked	Devyn Lewis	blk Sydney Bray, Katie Noschang	+2.1
34	19-15	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Maya Joska	+2.1
35	20-15	ARK ST	ARK ST	Blocked	Katie Noschang	blk Calea Bush	+1.9
36	20-16	ARK ST	N KY×7	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.0
37	20-17	N KY	N KY×7	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.0
38	20-18	N KY	N KY×7	Kill	Allison Risley	set Daisy Cluxton	+3.1
39	20-19	N KY	N KY×7	Attack err	Calea Bush		+4.5
40	20-20	N KY	N KY×7	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Daisy Cluxton	+6.0
41	20-21	N KY	N KY×7	Attack err	Calea Bush		+7.3
42	20-22		N KY	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+7.7
43	21-22	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+4.7
44	22-22	ARK ST	ARK ST	Blocked	Sydney Bray	blk Kaitlin Whitlock	+8.0
45	22-23	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+7.8
46	23-23	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Erin Madigan	set Addison Collum	+7.3
47	23-24	ARK ST	N KY	Bad set	Kaitlin Whitlock		+10.0
48	24-24	N KY	ARK ST	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+10.0
49	25-24	ARK ST	ARK ST	Attack err	Emma Adkins		+11.5
50	25-25	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Emma Adkins	set Sydney Bray	+8.8
51	26-25	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+8.8
52	27-25	ARK ST	ARK ST	Blocked	Ivey Stocks	blk Calea Bush, Devyn Lewis	+10.1
Set 4
1	1-0	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+2.1
2	1-1	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Allison Risley	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
3	2-1	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+1.7
4	2-2	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.8
5	3-2	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+1.7
6	3-3	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.8
7	4-3	N KY	ARK ST	Attack err	Allison Risley		+1.7
8	4-4	ARK ST	N KY	Serve err	Arkansas St.		+1.8
9	4-5	N KY	N KY	Ace	Northern Ky.	aced Keira Garinger	+2.6
10	5-5	N KY	ARK ST	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+1.9
11	5-6	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ava Hoying	set Abbigail Pickard	+2.1
12	6-6	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Maya Joska	+2.0
13	6-7	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Katie Noschang	+2.2
14	7-7	N KY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Haley Glunz	set Erin Madigan	+2.0
15	8-7	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Kill	Devyn Lewis	set Erin Madigan	+2.6
16	9-7	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Blocked	Sydney Bray	blk Devyn Lewis	+2.4
17	9-8	ARK ST	N KY	Attack err	Haley Glunz		+1.9
18	9-9	N KY	N KY	Attack err	Devyn Lewis		+2.7
19	10-9	N KY	ARK ST×3	Kill	Addison Collum	set Erin Madigan	+2.1
20	11-9	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Blocked	Ivey Stocks	blk Calea Bush	+2.5
21	12-9	ARK ST	ARK ST×3	Ace	Arkansas St.		+2.3
22	12-10	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Emma Adkins	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
23	13-10	N KY	ARK ST	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+1.8
24	13-11	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Ivey Stocks	set Abbigail Pickard	+1.7
25	14-11	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Erin Madigan	set Kaitlin Whitlock	+1.9
26	15-11	ARK ST	ARK ST	Kill	Erin Madigan	set Mia Maloney	+2.0
27	15-12	ARK ST	N KY	Kill	Abbigail Pickard		+1.4
28	15-13	N KY	N KY	Bad set	Kaitlin Whitlock		+2.3
29	16-13	N KY	ARK ST×4	Kill	Calea Bush	set Erin Madigan	+2.0
30	17-13	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+2.1
31	18-13	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Mia Maloney	+1.6
32	19-13	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+1.0
33	19-14	ARK ST	N KY×3	Kill	Katie Noschang	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.5
34	19-15	N KY	N KY×3	Blocked	Haley Glunz	blk Ava Hoying, Katie Noschang	+1.1
35	19-16	N KY	N KY×3	Bad set	Haley Glunz		+1.7
36	20-16	N KY	ARK ST×4	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+1.7
37	21-16	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Blocked	Katie Noschang	blk Kaitlin Whitlock, Haley Glunz	+1.5
38	22-16	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+0.8
39	23-16	ARK ST	ARK ST×4	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+0.3
40	23-17	ARK ST	N KY×3	Kill	Sydney Bray	set Abbigail Pickard	+0.1
41	23-18	N KY	N KY×3	Kill	Allison Risley	set Daisy Cluxton	+0.2
42	23-19	N KY	N KY×3	Attack err	Addison Collum		+0.5
43	24-19	N KY	ARK ST	Kill	Kaitlin Whitlock	set Erin Madigan	+0.7
44	24-20	ARK ST	N KY	Attack err	Devyn Lewis		+0.2
45	25-20	N KY	ARK ST	Serve err	Northern Ky.		+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Arkansas St. def. Northern Ky. 3–1