FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026 · Neutral site

FGCU def. Arkansas St. 3–0

FGCU beat Arkansas St. 3-0 (25-21, 27-25, 25-20) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026 at a neutral site. FGCU's Katie Gielas led with 10 kills, and Anna Marzella added 12 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set123Sets
ARK ST2125200
FGCU2527253

Win probability

FGCU above 50 · Arkansas St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+13.5% FGCUrally 143 · set 3

Biggest swing: 13.5% to FGCU — set 2, ARK ST 25-27 FGCU. Kill by Erica Muhizi (set by Eliska Vytiskova). FGCU win probability 63% → 76%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARK ST 72.0%28.0% FGCU

Arkansas St. wins

3-0
24.7%
3-1
27.6%
3-2
19.7%

FGCU wins

3-0
5.2%
3-1
9.8%
3-2
13.1%
ARK ST break %
44.4% vs this opp
FGCU break %
40.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Erica MuhiziKill+13.5%

    Kill by Erica Muhizi (set by Eliska Vytiskova)

    Set 2 · ARK ST 25-27 FGCU · FGCU 63% → 76%

  2. 02
    Devyn LewisAttack error+12.1%

    Attack error by Devyn Lewis

    Set 2 · ARK ST 25-26 FGCU · FGCU 51% → 63%

  3. 03
    FGCUAce+8.5%

    FGCU ace

    Set 2 · ARK ST 23-23 FGCU · FGCU 42% → 51%

  4. 04

    Kill by Maju Hildebrand (set by Dinara Sabitova)

    Set 2 · ARK ST 24-24 FGCU · FGCU 43% → 51%

  5. 05
    FGCUService error+8.1%

    FGCU service error

    Set 2 · ARK ST 25-24 FGCU · ARK ST 49% → 57%

  6. 06
    Katie GielasKill+8.1%

    Kill by Katie Gielas (set by Dinara Sabitova)

    Set 2 · ARK ST 25-25 FGCU · FGCU 43% → 51%

  7. 07
    Devyn LewisKill+8.1%

    Kill by Devyn Lewis (set by Mia Maloney)

    Set 2 · ARK ST 24-23 FGCU · ARK ST 49% → 57%

  8. 08
    Dinara SabitovaBad set+6.0%

    Bad set by Dinara Sabitova

    Set 2 · ARK ST 22-20 FGCU · ARK ST 54% → 60%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36420.10001174132.59.5
38417.235010310009
3519.444020000429
36323.130000400006
3104.2501702801223
2227.00000001010.52.5
3103.33300020010.51.5
3000–110500001
3011-1.000700100000
1314.50000010010.53.5
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
1000–001000000
Team totals321688.18225543110212866
FGCUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
310215.5330464002115
39524.16712171010.511.5
36116.31310301052.58.5
3507.71400000132.57.5
35112.33300020031.56.5
3001.0001520300002
39316.3750001002110
3114.0003111200002
3003.0002311300001
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals451398.327431012325116977

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 ARK ST · FGCU 4

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 4 ARK STFGCU 4

Set 2

25-27

Longest run 3 ARK STFGCU 3

Set 3

20-25

Longest run 3 ARK STFGCU 4

Bars above the line = FGCU leads, below = Arkansas St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arkansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
82%9/11
36%4/11
2
64%9/14
31%4/13
3
41%7/17
40%6/15
4
60%6/10
22%2/9
5
50%6/12
25%2/8
6
50%6/12
45%5/11
All
57%43/76
34%23/67

FGCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
27%3/11
2
56%9/16
25%3/12
3
88%7/8
61%11/18
4
70%7/10
13%1/8
5
67%6/9
54%7/13
6
50%6/12
57%8/14
All
66%44/67
43%33/76

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

143 rallies

#ARK ST-FGCUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1FGCUFGCUAttack errAddison Collum+2.2
21-1FGCUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+1.5
31-2ARK STFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Eliska Vytiskova+1.7
42-2FGCUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.6
52-3ARK STFGCUBlockedDevyn Lewisblk Julija Grubisic Cabo, Abby Toeniskoetter+1.7
63-3FGCUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+1.6
73-4ARK STFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+1.8
84-4FGCUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Maya Joska+1.7
95-4ARK STARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+2.3
105-5ARK STFGCUKillErica Muhiziset Dinara Sabitova+1.7
115-6FGCUFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+2.5
126-6FGCUARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+1.8
137-6ARK STARK ST×3Serve errArkansas St.+2.4
148-6ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.+2.2
158-7ARK STFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+1.6
168-8FGCUFGCUAceFGCU+2.5
179-8FGCUARK STServe errFGCU+1.8
189-9ARK STFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+1.9
1910-9FGCUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.9
2010-10ARK STFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella+2.0
2111-10FGCUARK ST×4BlockedMaju Hildebrandblk Devyn Lewis+2.0
2212-10ARK STARK ST×4KillHaley Glunz+2.6
2313-10ARK STARK ST×4AceArkansas St.aced Abby Toeniskoetter+2.3
2414-10ARK STARK ST×4Attack errAbby Toeniskoetter+1.9
2514-11ARK STFGCU×3KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+1.2
2614-12FGCUFGCU×3KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+2.1
2714-13FGCUFGCU×3AceFGCUaced Devyn Lewis+2.6
2815-13FGCUARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+2.1
2915-14ARK STFGCUAttack errDevyn Lewis+2.0
3016-14FGCUARK STServe errFGCU+2.2
3116-15ARK STFGCUBlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Maju Hildebrand, Erica Muhizi+2.1
3217-15FGCUARK STBlockedKatie Gielasblk Haley Glunz, Parker Stearns+2.3
3317-16ARK STFGCU×4KillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+2.2
3417-17FGCUFGCU×4AceFGCU+3.6
3517-18FGCUFGCU×4AceFGCUaced Calea Bush+4.2
3617-19FGCUFGCU×4Attack errCalea Bush+4.3
3718-19FGCUARK STServe errFGCU+2.7
3819-19ARK STARK STKillCalea Bush+4.3
3919-20ARK STFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Anna Marzella+3.6
4020-20FGCUARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+3.4
4120-21ARK STFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+4.0
4220-22FGCUFGCUAceFGCUaced Devyn Lewis+5.6
4321-22FGCUARK STAttack errAnna Marzella+3.1
4421-23ARK STFGCU×3KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+4.7
4521-24FGCUFGCU×3Bad setMia Maloney+4.9
4621-25FGCUFGCU×3KillMaju Hildebrandset Maju Hildebrand+2.0
Set 2
10-1ARK STFGCUBad setErin Madigan+2.1
21-1FGCUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.0
31-2ARK STFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+2.2
42-2FGCUARK STServe errFGCU+2.1
52-3ARK STFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.2
63-3FGCUARK STBad setKatie Gielas+2.1
74-3ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewis+2.9
84-4ARK STFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.2
95-4FGCUARK STAttack errKatie Gielas+2.1
106-4ARK STARK STAceArkansas St.aced Julija Grubisic Cabo+2.8
116-5ARK STFGCUServe errArkansas St.+2.0
126-6FGCUFGCUKillCamila Sotoset Anna Marzella+3.1
137-6FGCUARK ST×3Serve errFGCU+2.2
148-6ARK STARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.9
159-6ARK STARK ST×3BlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Haley Glunz, Erin Madigan+2.7
169-7ARK STFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Eliska Vytiskova+1.8
179-8FGCUFGCUBlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Camila Soto, Abby Toeniskoetter+3.0
1810-8FGCUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.3
1910-9ARK STFGCUServe errArkansas St.+2.2
2011-9FGCUARK STServe errFGCU+2.3
2111-10ARK STFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+2.3
2212-10FGCUARK STKillAddison Collumset Haley Glunz+2.4
2313-10ARK STARK STAceArkansas St.+3.0
2413-11ARK STFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.0
2513-12FGCUFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Abby Toeniskoetter+3.3
2614-12FGCUARK STAttack errMaju Hildebrand+2.6
2715-12ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+3.2
2815-13ARK STFGCU×3KillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+2.1
2915-14FGCUFGCU×3AceFGCU+3.6
3015-15FGCUFGCU×3Attack errCalea Bush+4.3
3116-15FGCUARK STBlockedCamila Sotoblk Erin Madigan, Calea Bush+3.2
3216-16ARK STFGCU×3KillErica Muhiziset Eliska Vytiskova+3.3
3316-17FGCUFGCU×3AceFGCUaced Kaitlin Whitlock+5.1
3416-18FGCUFGCU×3KillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+5.3
3517-18FGCUARK STServe errFGCU+3.4
3618-18ARK STARK STBlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Erin Madigan+5.3
3718-19ARK STFGCUKillErica Muhiziset Eliska Vytiskova+4.3
3819-19FGCUARK STKillErin Madiganset Katie Gielas+4.1
3920-19ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+5.9
4020-20ARK STFGCUBlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Camila Soto, Abby Toeniskoetter+4.4
4121-20FGCUARK ST×3KillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+4.7
4222-20ARK STARK ST×3Bad setDinara Sabitova+6.0
4323-20ARK STARK ST×3BlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Devyn Lewis, Haley Glunz+4.5
4423-21ARK STFGCU×3KillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+1.9
4523-22FGCUFGCU×3KillMaju Hildebrandset Julija Grubisic Cabo+4.9
4623-23FGCUFGCU×3AceFGCU+8.5
4724-23FGCUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Mia Maloney+8.1
4824-24ARK STFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+8.1
4925-24FGCUARK STServe errFGCU+8.1
5025-25ARK STFGCU×3KillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+8.1
5125-26FGCUFGCU×3Attack errDevyn Lewis+12.1
5225-27FGCUFGCU×3KillErica Muhiziset Eliska Vytiskova+13.5
Set 3
11-0FGCUARK STServe errFGCU+1.6
21-1ARK STFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Katie Gielas+1.7
32-1FGCUARK ST×3KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.7
43-1ARK STARK ST×3BlockedJulija Grubisic Caboblk Devyn Lewis, Ne'Khaela Rogers+2.2
54-1ARK STARK ST×3KillAddison Collum+2.0
64-2ARK STFGCU×4KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+1.4
74-3FGCUFGCU×4BlockedAddison Collumblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Katie Gielas+2.2
84-4FGCUFGCU×4Attack errAddison Collum+2.5
94-5FGCUFGCU×4KillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+2.7
105-5FGCUARK STKillNe'Khaela Rogersset Erin Madigan+1.9
115-6ARK STFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Dinara Sabitova+2.1
126-6FGCUARK STServe errFGCU+1.9
136-7ARK STFGCUKillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+2.1
147-7FGCUARK STKillNe'Khaela Rogersset Maya Joska+2.0
157-8ARK STFGCUKillErica Muhiziset Eliska Vytiskova+2.2
167-9FGCUFGCUAttack errMaya Joska+3.1
178-9FGCUARK STKillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska+2.1
189-9ARK STARK STAttack errJulija Grubisic Cabo+3.0
199-10ARK STFGCUServe errArkansas St.+2.3
209-11FGCUFGCUAceFGCUaced Devyn Lewis+3.3
2110-11FGCUARK ST×3Serve errFGCU+2.2
2211-11ARK STARK ST×3Bad setEliska Vytiskova+3.2
2312-11ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.+3.1
2412-12ARK STFGCUKillAbby Toeniskoetterset Eliska Vytiskova+2.4
2513-12FGCUARK STBlockedMaju Hildebrandblk Haley Glunz, Devyn Lewis+2.3
2613-13ARK STFGCUKillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+2.5
2714-13FGCUARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.5
2814-14ARK STFGCUKillAnna Marzellaset Dinara Sabitova+2.6
2915-14FGCUARK STKillNe'Khaela Rogersset Maya Joska+2.6
3015-15ARK STFGCU×3KillKatie Gielasset Dinara Sabitova+2.7
3115-16FGCUFGCU×3BlockedNe'Khaela Rogersblk Katie Gielas, Erica Muhizi+4.1
3215-17FGCUFGCU×3AceFGCUaced Devyn Lewis+4.3
3316-17FGCUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+2.7
3416-18ARK STFGCUKillKatie Gielasset Eliska Vytiskova+3.3
3517-18FGCUARK STServe errFGCU+2.9
3618-18ARK STARK STKillHaley Glunz+4.5
3718-19ARK STFGCUBlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Erica Muhizi, Camila Soto+3.7
3819-19FGCUARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+3.5
3919-20ARK STFGCU×3KillCamila Sotoset Eliska Vytiskova+4.0
4019-21FGCUFGCU×3Attack errHaley Glunz+5.7
4119-22FGCUFGCU×3KillJulija Grubisic Caboset Dinara Sabitova+5.0
4220-22FGCUARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+2.3
4320-23ARK STFGCU×3Serve errArkansas St.+3.9
4420-24FGCUFGCU×3KillMaju Hildebrandset Dinara Sabitova+3.2
4520-25FGCUFGCU×3BlockedDevyn Lewisblk Abby Toeniskoetter, Maju Hildebrand+1.0

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).