FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

Arkansas def. Arkansas St. 3–0

Arkansas won at Arkansas St. 3-0 (26-24, 25-21, 25-17) on Fri, Sep 18, 2026. Arkansas' Parker Duncan led with 20 kills, and Madi Benne added 14 digs.

Data through · final Sep 18

Set123Sets
ARK2625253
ARK ST2421170

Win probability

Arkansas St. above 50 · Arkansas below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+10.5% ARKrally 138 · set 3

Biggest swing: 10.5% to Arkansas — set 1, ARK 26-24 ARK ST. Kill by Parker Duncan (set by Kiki Remensperger). ARK ST win probability 52% → 41%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ARK 38.6%61.4% ARK ST

Arkansas wins

3-0
8.3%
3-1
14.0%
3-2
16.3%

Arkansas St. wins

3-0
18.0%
3-1
23.5%
3-2
20.0%
ARK break %
40.5% vs this opp
ARK ST break %
42.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Parker DuncanKill+10.5%

    Kill by Parker Duncan (set by Kiki Remensperger)

    Set 1 · ARK 26-24 ARK ST · ARK 48% → 59%

  2. 02
    Devyn LewisAttack error+10.0%

    Attack error by Devyn Lewis

    Set 1 · ARK 24-23 ARK ST · ARK 38% → 48%

  3. 03

    Kill by Addison Collum (set by Erin Madigan)

    Set 1 · ARK 24-24 ARK ST · ARK ST 52% → 59%

  4. 04
    Layla SmithKill+7.1%

    Kill by Layla Smith (set by Kiki Remensperger)

    Set 1 · ARK 25-24 ARK ST · ARK 41% → 48%

  5. 05
    Kaitlin WhitlockAttack error+5.6%

    Attack error by Kaitlin Whitlock

    Set 1 · ARK 21-21 ARK ST · ARK 33% → 39%

  6. 06

    Kill by Kaitlin Whitlock (set by Mia Maloney)

    Set 1 · ARK 22-23 ARK ST · ARK ST 62% → 67%

  7. 07
    Layla SmithKill+5.2%

    Kill by Layla Smith (set by Kiki Remensperger)

    Set 1 · ARK 23-23 ARK ST · ARK 33% → 38%

  8. 08

    Kill by Kaitlin Whitlock (set by Maya Joska)

    Set 1 · ARK 21-22 ARK ST · ARK ST 61% → 66%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
320435.4571006000020
314536.25003031111.518.5
37114.4290011014310
35211.273000000216
32413-.15401250031.54.5
3204.50032011301224
3000–10311410003
22Ava RothL/DS
3000–001000000
3000–100200000
Team totals5016113.3014476442312976
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312838.1050007100012
3319.22201100153.57.5
36318.167100100217
35116.25000031010.55.5
3001.000171080010.51.5
2216.167000000002
35213.231000000216
3113.0000001000001
3000–1300100000
3000–2011030000
2305.60000000010.53.5
1000–000000000
Team totals3717109.1833322407112762

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ARK · ARK ST 4

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 6 ARKARK ST 4

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 ARKARK ST 3

Set 3

25-17

Longest run 5 ARKARK ST 4

Bars above the line = Arkansas St. leads, below = Arkansas leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Arkansas

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%5/6
43%3/7
2
71%5/7
17%1/6
3
56%5/9
55%6/11
4
60%3/5
67%6/9
5
75%3/4
50%3/6
6
38%3/8
70%7/10
All
62%24/39
53%26/49

Arkansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%5/7
43%3/7
2
50%5/10
17%1/6
3
44%4/9
44%4/9
4
50%3/6
33%2/6
5
38%3/8
25%1/4
6
33%3/9
57%4/7
All
47%23/49
38%15/39

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

138 rallies

#ARK-ARK STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1ARK STARK ST×4KillNe'Khaela Rogers+2.4
20-2ARK STARK ST×4KillKaitlin Whitlock+2.3
30-3ARK STARK ST×4AceArkansas St.aced Madi Benne+2.2
40-4ARK STARK ST×4KillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.0
51-4ARK STARK×6BlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Lily Dudley, Aleki Alexander+1.3
62-4ARKARK×6KillLakin Laurendineset Madi Benne+2.1
7–84-4ARK 2
NCAA feed gap2 points not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+4.9
95-4ARKARK×6AceArkansasaced Mia Maloney+2.7
106-4ARKARK×6AceArkansasaced Mia Maloney+2.8
116-5ARKARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.9
127-5ARK STARKAttack errAddison Collum+2.0
137-6ARKARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+1.9
148-6ARK STARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+2.1
158-7ARKARK STAttack errParker Duncan+2.0
169-7ARK STARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.2
179-8ARKARK STServe errArkansas+2.0
1810-8ARK STARKKillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+2.2
1911-8ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+3.0
2011-9ARKARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+1.9
2111-10ARK STARK ST×3KillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska+3.0
2211-11ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.aced Lakin Laurendine+3.2
2312-11ARK STARKKillLakin Laurendineset Parker Duncan+2.4
2412-12ARKARK STAttack errLily Dudley+2.3
2512-13ARK STARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+3.4
2613-13ARK STARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+2.4
2713-14ARKARK STAttack errLakin Laurendine+2.5
2814-14ARK STARKKillLakin Laurendineset Madi Benne+2.5
2914-15ARKARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.6
3014-16ARK STARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+3.5
3115-16ARK STARKKillKiki Remenspergerset Addison Collum+2.3
3215-17ARKARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.6
3316-17ARK STARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.4
3417-17ARKARKKillParker Duncan+4.1
3517-18ARKARK ST×3Serve errArkansas+3.1
3617-19ARK STARK ST×3BlockedParker Duncanblk Parker Stearns, Haley Glunz+4.2
3717-20ARK STARK ST×3Attack errAleki Alexander+3.6
3818-20ARK STARKKillAleki Alexanderset Gaby Cornier+2.0
3918-21ARKARK STKillHaley Glunzset Lily Dudley+2.6
4019-21ARK STARK×3KillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+1.9
4120-21ARKARK×3KillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+4.0
4221-21ARKARK×3Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+5.6
4321-22ARKARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+4.6
4422-22ARK STARKKillLily Dudleyset Kiki Remensperger+4.5
4522-23ARKARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Mia Maloney+5.4
4623-23ARK STARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+5.2
4724-23ARKARKAttack errDevyn Lewis+10.0
4824-24ARKARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+7.1
4925-24ARK STARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+7.1
5026-24ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+10.5
Set 2
10-1ARKARK STAttack errLakin Laurendine+1.9
21-1ARK STARKBlockedKeira Garingerblk Lily Dudley, Aleki Alexander+2.0
31-2ARKARK STKillKeira Garingerset Erin Madigan+2.0
42-2ARK STARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+2.0
52-3ARKARK STBlockedLakin Laurendineblk Addison Collum, Haley Glunz+2.0
63-3ARK STARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+2.0
73-4ARKARK STKillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska+2.1
84-4ARK STARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.1
94-5ARKARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+2.1
104-6ARK STARK STKillNe'Khaela Rogersset Maya Joska+2.9
115-6ARK STARK×4Attack errParker Stearns+2.0
126-6ARKARK×4KillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+3.1
137-6ARKARK×4Attack errNe'Khaela Rogers+3.3
148-6ARKARK×4KillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+3.3
158-7ARKARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+2.2
169-7ARK STARKKillKiki Remenspergerset Keira Garinger+2.5
1710-7ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+3.4
1810-8ARKARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.1
1911-8ARK STARKKillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+2.5
2011-9ARKARK STServe errArkansas+2.2
2111-10ARK STARK STBlockedLily Dudleyblk Haley Glunz, Devyn Lewis+3.4
2212-10ARK STARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+2.7
2313-10ARKARKKillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+3.6
2413-11ARKARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+2.3
2513-12ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Addison Collum+3.6
2614-12ARK STARKKillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.9
2715-12ARKARKAceArkansasaced Devyn Lewis+3.9
2815-13ARKARK STKillHaley Glunzset Maya Joska+2.4
2915-14ARK STARK STBlockedParker Duncanblk Parker Stearns, Haley Glunz+3.9
3016-14ARK STARK×3KillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+3.2
3117-14ARKARK×3Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+4.2
3218-14ARKARK×3Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+3.6
3318-15ARKARK STKillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska+1.9
3419-15ARK STARKServe errArkansas St.+2.6
3520-15ARKARKKillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+2.7
3620-16ARKARK ST×3KillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska+1.2
3720-17ARK STARK ST×3KillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+2.5
3820-18ARK STARK ST×3Attack errLily Dudley+3.6
3921-18ARK STARKKillLily Dudleyset Kiki Remensperger+3.6
4021-19ARKARK STAttack errParker Duncan+2.5
4122-19ARK STARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+3.7
4222-20ARKARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+2.4
4323-20ARK STARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+3.9
4423-21ARKARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+2.1
4524-21ARK STARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+4.0
4625-21ARKARKAceArkansasaced Mia Maloney+2.2
Set 3
10-1ARK STARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+2.1
21-1ARK STARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+1.5
31-2ARKARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+1.5
42-2ARK STARK×5KillLayla Smithset Kiki Remensperger+1.5
53-2ARKARK×5KillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+2.3
64-2ARKARK×5BlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Kiki Remensperger+2.3
75-2ARKARK×5Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+2.3
86-2ARKARK×5KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.2
96-3ARKARK ST×3Serve errArkansas+1.4
106-4ARK STARK ST×3Serve errArkansas St.+2.1
116-5ARK STARK ST×3BlockedLakin Laurendineblk Erin Madigan, Haley Glunz+2.3
127-5ARK STARKKillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+1.8
137-6ARKARK STKillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska+1.7
147-7ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Maya Joska+2.4
158-7ARK STARKBlockedHaley Glunzblk Layla Smith+1.8
169-7ARKARKAttack errParker Stearns+2.6
179-8ARKARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Maya Joska+1.7
1810-8ARK STARK×4KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+1.9
1911-8ARKARK×4KillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+2.6
2012-8ARKARK×4KillParker Duncanset Kiki Remensperger+2.4
2113-8ARKARK×4KillParker Duncanset Madi Benne+2.1
2213-9ARKARK ST×4Serve errArkansas+1.2
2313-10ARK STARK ST×4Attack errLily Dudley+2.1
2413-11ARK STARK ST×4Attack errAleki Alexander+2.4
2513-12ARK STARK ST×4KillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+2.8
2614-12ARK STARK×3KillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+2.2
2715-12ARKARK×3KillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+3.0
2816-12ARKARK×3KillAleki Alexanderset Kiki Remensperger+2.6
2916-13ARKARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+1.5
3017-13ARK STARKBlockedAddison Collumblk Lakin Laurendine+1.9
3118-13ARKARKBlockedAddison Collumblk Lakin Laurendine, Layla Smith+2.2
3218-14ARKARK STBlockedLakin Laurendineblk Calea Bush, Addison Collum+1.1
3318-15ARK STARK STBlockedLayla Smithblk Haley Glunz+2.1
3419-15ARK STARKServe errArkansas St.+2.0
3520-15ARKARKAceArkansasaced Kaitlin Whitlock+2.1
3620-16ARKARK STServe errArkansas+0.9
3720-17ARK STARK STKillHaley Glunz+1.9
3821-17ARK STARK×5KillLakin Laurendineset Kiki Remensperger+2.0
3922-17ARKARK×5KillLayla Smith+1.8
4023-17ARKARK×5BlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Layla Smith, Kiki Remensperger+0.9
4124-17ARKARK×5BlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Kiki Remensperger, Layla Smith+0.3
4225-17ARKARK×5AceArkansas+0.1

Score shown after each rally, Arkansas first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).