FinalFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Arkansas St. def. South Alabama 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Arkansas St. 86.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 5:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Arkansas St. beat visiting South Alabama 3-0 (25-19, 29-27, 25-21) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Arkansas St.'s Kaitlin Whitlock led with 14 kills, and Mia Maloney added 22 digs.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set123Sets
S ALA1927210
ARK ST2529253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

14 kills in 3 sets for Kaitlin Whitlock. Arkansas St. swept South Alabama.

Win probability never moved more than 5.1 points on one rally; South Alabama topped out at 17% in Set 2. RallyIQ gave Arkansas St. 86% before first serve.

South AlabamaArkansas St.
  • Break %+10.3 pts
    29.439.7

    Points won on own serve: 31 of 78 vs 20 of 68. South Alabama sided out 60.3% of the time.

  • Longest run+4
    37

    Arkansas St. scored 7 straight in the third set to turn an 11–12 deficit into an 18–12 lead. That set ended 25–21.

Arkansas St. above 50South Alabama belowMax swing 5.1%

South AlabamaArkansas St.

Hitting
South Alabama .203·Arkansas St. .230
Aces
South Alabama 0·Arkansas St. 4
Serve err
South Alabama 9·Arkansas St. 3
Blocks
South Alabama 9·Arkansas St. 74 BS · 10 BA vs 3 BS · 8 BA
Digs
South Alabama 60·Arkansas St. 63

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Arkansas St. above 50 · South Alabama below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+5.1% ARK STrally 146 · set 3

Biggest swing: 5.1% to Arkansas St. — set 2, S ALA 24-24 ARK ST. Attack error by Eva Dittmar. ARK ST win probability 85% → 90%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

S ALA 10.5%89.5% ARK ST

South Alabama wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.9%

Arkansas St. wins

3-0
43.6%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.3%
S ALA break %
38.2% vs this opp
ARK ST break %
47.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Eva DittmarAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Eva Dittmar

    Set 2 · S ALA 24-24 ARK ST · ARK ST 85% → 90%

  2. 02
    Alexa StrandbergAttack error+4.3%

    Attack error by Alexa Strandberg

    Set 2 · S ALA 25-26 ARK ST · ARK ST 90% → 94%

  3. 03
    Adison OzunaAttack error+4.2%

    Attack error by Adison Ozuna

    Set 2 · S ALA 24-22 ARK ST · S ALA 13% → 17%

  4. 04

    Kill by Alivia Freeman (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 2 · S ALA 25-24 ARK ST · S ALA 10% → 14%

  5. 05
    Devyn LewisKill+4.0%

    Kill by Devyn Lewis (set by Maya Joska)

    Set 2 · S ALA 25-25 ARK ST · ARK ST 86% → 90%

  6. 06

    Kaitlin Whitlock stuffed by Alexa Strandberg & Alivia Freeman

    Set 2 · S ALA 23-22 ARK ST · S ALA 9% → 13%

  7. 07
    Haley GlunzKill+3.5%

    Kill by Haley Glunz (set by Maya Joska)

    Set 2 · S ALA 27-29 ARK ST · ARK ST 94% → 98%

  8. 08

    Kill by Alivia Freeman (set by Anabelle Cerny)

    Set 2 · S ALA 26-26 ARK ST · S ALA 6% → 9%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312116.6880033004214
310417.35300000212.512.5
38349.102001811019
30411-.36400120153.53.5
3204.50037011300002
3000–0001110000
310431.1940002000010
3000–2001400000
3000–000210000
2000–102510000
1000–001000000
Team totals4216128.2034009604410967
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314438.26311319010116
38114.5000100004211
39122.3641000002110
3519.444000101016
3001.0002200500000
24624-.083000101226
34312.083100100004
3013-.3330101100001
3102.5002300000001
3000–1102200001
25114.286000300005
Team totals5018139.230494363038779

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

South Alabama vs Arkansas St.

Season series · Arkansas St. leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 S ALA · ARK ST 7

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 3 S ALAARK ST 4

Set 2

27-29

Longest run 3 S ALAARK ST 2

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 S ALAARK ST 7

Bars above the line = Arkansas St. leads, below = South Alabama leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

South Alabama

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
38%5/13
2
47%9/19
31%4/13
3
73%8/11
10%1/10
4
58%7/12
20%2/10
5
70%7/10
13%1/8
6
64%7/11
50%7/14
All
60%47/78
29%20/68

Arkansas St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
64%9/14
38%5/13
2
75%9/12
55%11/20
3
82%9/11
18%2/11
4
88%7/8
42%5/12
5
58%7/12
42%5/12
6
64%7/11
30%3/10
All
71%48/68
40%31/78

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

146 rallies

#S ALA-ARK STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ARK STS ALAServe errKaitlin Whitlock+1.2
22-0S ALAS ALABlockedParker Stearnsblk Alexa Strandberg+1.6
32-1S ALAARK STKillParker Stearnsset Erin Madigan+1.1
42-2ARK STARK STAttack errSarah Gooch+1.4
53-2ARK STS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.2
63-3S ALAARK STKillParker Stearnsset Erin Madigan+1.1
74-3ARK STS ALAAttack errKaitlin Whitlock+1.3
84-4S ALAARK ST×3BlockedDalayla Blackwellblk Parker Stearns, Haley Glunz+1.1
94-5ARK STARK ST×3AceArkansas St.aced Kathryn O'Toole+1.4
104-6ARK STARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+1.3
115-6ARK STS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.0
125-7S ALAARK STKillAdison Ozunaset Maya Joska+1.0
136-7ARK STS ALA×3KillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.1
147-7S ALAS ALA×3KillAlivia Freeman+1.6
158-7S ALAS ALA×3Attack errKaitlin Whitlock+1.8
168-8S ALAARK STServe errSouth Alabama+1.3
178-9ARK STARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Addison Collum+1.6
189-9ARK STS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+1.4
199-10S ALAARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+1.3
209-11ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Mia Maloney+1.5
2110-11ARK STS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+1.2
2210-12S ALAARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+1.2
2310-13ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.3
2411-13ARK STS ALABlockedParker Stearnsblk Alexa Strandberg, Dalayla Blackwell+1.0
2511-14S ALAARK STServe errSouth Alabama+1.1
2612-14ARK STS ALAAttack errParker Stearns+1.1
2713-14S ALAS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.7
2813-15S ALAARK STKillParker Stearnsset Maya Joska+1.4
2914-15ARK STS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.4
3014-16S ALAARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+1.5
3114-17ARK STARK STAttack errAlivia Freeman+1.6
3215-17ARK STS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+1.1
3315-18S ALAARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+1.3
3416-18ARK STS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+1.2
3516-19S ALAARK ST×4Attack errAlexa Strandberg+1.3
3616-20ARK STARK ST×4AceKaitlin Whitlockaced Sarah Gooch+1.3
3716-21ARK STARK ST×4KillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+0.8
3816-22ARK STARK ST×4Attack errSarah Gooch+0.4
3917-22ARK STS ALAServe errKaitlin Whitlock+0.2
4017-23S ALAARK STServe errSouth Alabama+0.3
4118-23ARK STS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
4218-24S ALAARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+0.2
4319-24ARK STS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny·
4419-25S ALAARK STKillAdison Ozunaset Maya Joska+0.1
Set 2
11-0S ALAS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+1.0
21-1S ALAARK STKillCalea Bushset Erin Madigan+0.8
31-2ARK STARK STBlockedAlexa Strandbergblk Parker Stearns, Haley Glunz+0.9
42-2ARK STS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.8
52-3S ALAARK STKillParker Stearnsset Erin Madigan+0.7
63-3ARK STS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.8
73-4S ALAARK STBlockedDalayla Blackwellblk Parker Stearns+0.7
84-4ARK STS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.8
94-5S ALAARK STServe errSouth Alabama+0.8
104-6ARK STARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+0.9
115-6ARK STS ALAAttack errAdison Ozuna+0.7
125-7S ALAARK STKillCalea Bushset Maya Joska+0.7
136-7ARK STS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+0.8
146-8S ALAARK STAttack errEva Dittmar+0.7
157-8ARK STS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Addison Hurst+0.8
167-9S ALAARK STKillAddison Collumset Kaitlin Whitlock+0.8
178-9ARK STS ALA×3KillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+0.8
189-9S ALAS ALA×3Attack errAddison Collum+1.2
1910-9S ALAS ALA×3BlockedParker Stearnsblk Dalayla Blackwell+1.4
2010-10S ALAARK STServe errSouth Alabama+1.0
2110-11ARK STARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+1.2
2211-11ARK STS ALAAttack errParker Stearns+1.0
2311-12S ALAARK STServe errSouth Alabama+1.0
2411-13ARK STARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+1.2
2512-13ARK STS ALAKillSarah Goochset Addison Hurst+0.9
2612-14S ALAARK STKillHaley Glunzset Maya Joska+0.9
2713-14ARK STS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+1.0
2813-15S ALAARK STKillCalea Bushset Maya Joska+1.0
2914-15ARK STS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+1.0
3014-16S ALAARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.0
3115-16ARK STS ALA×3KillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+1.1
3216-16S ALAS ALA×3BlockedParker Stearnsblk Alivia Freeman, Alexa Strandberg+1.7
3317-16S ALAS ALA×3BlockedDevyn Lewisblk Alivia Freeman, Alexa Strandberg+2.0
3417-17S ALAARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+1.4
3518-17ARK STS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+1.7
3618-18S ALAARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+1.5
3719-18ARK STS ALABad setErin Madigan+1.8
3819-19S ALAARK STKillAdison Ozunaset Maya Joska+1.7
3920-19ARK STS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+2.0
4020-20S ALAARK STKillHaley Glunzset Maya Joska+1.8
4120-21ARK STARK STAceArkansas St.aced Preslee Thompson+2.4
4221-21ARK STS ALAAttack errCalea Bush+2.0
4321-22S ALAARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+2.1
4422-22ARK STS ALA×3KillAnabelle Cernyset Preslee Thompson+2.2
4523-22S ALAS ALA×3BlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Alexa Strandberg, Alivia Freeman+3.8
4624-22S ALAS ALA×3Attack errAdison Ozuna+4.2
4724-23S ALAARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+1.9
4824-24ARK STARK STAttack errEva Dittmar+5.1
4925-24ARK STS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+4.0
5025-25S ALAARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Maya Joska+4.0
5125-26ARK STARK STAttack errAlexa Strandberg+4.3
5226-26ARK STS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+3.3
5326-27S ALAARK STKillMaya Joskaset Adison Ozuna+3.3
5427-27ARK STS ALAAttack errHaley Glunz+3.3
5527-28S ALAARK STServe errSouth Alabama+3.3
5627-29ARK STARK STKillHaley Glunzset Maya Joska+3.5
Set 3
11-0ARK STS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.4
21-1S ALAARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.4
31-2ARK STARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.4
42-2ARK STS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+0.4
52-3S ALAARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.3
62-4ARK STARK STKillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.4
73-4ARK STS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+0.3
84-4S ALAS ALAServe errSouth Alabama+0.5
94-5S ALAARK STKillHaley Glunzset Maya Joska+0.4
104-6ARK STARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+0.4
115-6ARK STS ALABlockedKaitlin Whitlockblk Alexa Strandberg, Alivia Freeman+0.4
126-6S ALAS ALABlockedKeira Garingerblk Dalayla Blackwell+0.5
136-7S ALAARK ST×3Serve errSouth Alabama+0.4
146-8ARK STARK ST×3BlockedAlexa Strandbergblk Kaitlin Whitlock+0.5
156-9ARK STARK ST×3KillAdison Ozunaset Maya Joska+0.4
167-9ARK STS ALABad setMaya Joska+0.3
178-9S ALAS ALABlockedAdison Ozunablk Sarah Gooch+0.5
188-10S ALAARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+0.4
199-10ARK STS ALAKillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.4
2010-10S ALAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+0.6
2110-11S ALAARK STKillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.5
2211-11ARK STS ALAServe errKaitlin Whitlock+0.5
2312-11S ALAS ALAKillAnabelle Cernyset Anabelle Cerny+0.7
2412-12S ALAARK ST×7KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.5
2512-13ARK STARK ST×7BlockedEva Dittmarblk Haley Glunz, Addison Collum+0.6
2612-14ARK STARK ST×7KillAddison Collumset Erin Madigan+0.6
2712-15ARK STARK ST×7BlockedEva Dittmarblk Haley Glunz, Addison Collum+0.5
2812-16ARK STARK ST×7AceArkansas St.aced Marissa Taix+0.4
2912-17ARK STARK ST×7KillDevyn Lewisset Erin Madigan+0.3
3012-18ARK STARK ST×7Attack errSarah Gooch+0.2
3113-18ARK STS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
3214-18S ALAS ALAKillEva Dittmarset Anabelle Cerny+0.2
3314-19S ALAARK STKillHaley Glunzset Erin Madigan+0.2
3415-19ARK STS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+0.2
3515-20S ALAARK STKillHaley Glunzset Maya Joska+0.2
3616-20ARK STS ALAKillAlivia Freemanset Anabelle Cerny+0.2
3716-21S ALAARK STServe errSouth Alabama+0.2
3817-21ARK STS ALA×3KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.1
3918-21S ALAS ALA×3KillDalayla Blackwellset Anabelle Cerny+0.3
4019-21S ALAS ALA×3KillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny+0.5
4119-22S ALAARK ST×3KillKaitlin Whitlockset Maya Joska+0.5
4219-23ARK STARK ST×3BlockedDalayla Blackwellblk Calea Bush+0.4
4319-24ARK STARK ST×3Attack errDalayla Blackwell+0.2
4420-24ARK STS ALAKillSarah Goochset Anabelle Cerny·
4521-24S ALAS ALABad setErin Madigan+0.1
4621-25S ALAARK STKillKaitlin Whitlockset Erin Madigan+0.2

Score shown after each rally, South Alabama first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).