Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026

Saint Louis def. Southern Ill. 3–2

Saint Louis won at Southern Ill. 3-2 (25-23, 22-25, 16-25, 25-12, 15-9) on Sat, Sep 5, 2026. Saint Louis' Tea Kalajdzic led with 18 kills, and Jetta Brenning added 16 digs.

Data through · final Sep 5

Set12345Sets
ST LOU25221625153
SIU2325251292

Win probability

Southern Ill. above 50 · Saint Louis below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+9.6% ST LOUrally 197 · set 5

Biggest swing: 9.6% to Saint Louis — set 5, ST LOU 5-4 SIU. Natalie Vance stuffed by Ellie Rink & Kayla Jansen. SIU win probability 44% → 34%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ST LOU 69.4%30.6% SIU

Saint Louis wins

3-0
22.8%
3-1
26.6%
3-2
19.9%

Southern Ill. wins

3-0
5.9%
3-1
10.8%
3-2
14.0%
ST LOU break %
44.9% vs this opp
SIU break %
41.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Natalie Vance stuffed by Ellie Rink & Kayla Jansen

    Set 5 · ST LOU 5-4 SIU · ST LOU 56% → 66%

  2. 02

    McKenzie Moeller stuffed by Kayla Jansen & Jetta Brenning

    Set 5 · ST LOU 7-5 SIU · ST LOU 66% → 76%

  3. 03

    Ellie Rink stuffed by Ella Swansiger & Beatriz Piaia

    Set 5 · ST LOU 1-3 SIU · SIU 49% → 59%

  4. 04
    Beatriz PiaiaAttack error+9.1%

    Attack error by Beatriz Piaia

    Set 5 · ST LOU 3-3 SIU · ST LOU 48% → 57%

  5. 05
    Tamia MaddoxKill+8.3%

    Kill by Tamia Maddox (set by Lara Zigic)

    Set 5 · ST LOU 8-5 SIU · ST LOU 76% → 84%

  6. 06
    Tea KalajdzicKill+8.1%

    Kill by Tea Kalajdzic (set by Lara Zigic)

    Set 1 · ST LOU 25-23 SIU · ST LOU 74% → 82%

  7. 07
    Southern Ill.Service error+7.5%

    Southern Ill. service error

    Set 5 · ST LOU 6-5 SIU · ST LOU 59% → 66%

  8. 08

    Kill by Ella Swansiger (set by Lillian Dempkey)

    Set 5 · ST LOU 3-4 SIU · SIU 43% → 51%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518441.34101240031.520.5
516433.3642346202120
515734.23521390031.517.5
54210.20042221600217
53111.18210110073.56.5
54210.20000000031.55.5
5000–911900001
5000–100700000
4001.000002000000
1011-1.000000000000
1000–101000000
1000–000000000
Team totals6021141.2775881652402010103
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
513537.2160218300015
58830.00000020031.59.5
57216.313100100429
57114.429002300007
55415.067011410006
5102.5002112800002
58221.286100100219
51011.0003001510001
5000–1801300000
4001.000102200000
2000–000100000
1000–000000000
Team totals5022137.2044549488094.594

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ST LOU · SIU 6

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 4 ST LOUSIU 4

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 3 ST LOUSIU 5

Set 3

16-25

Longest run 3 ST LOUSIU 6

Set 4

25-12

Longest run 4 ST LOUSIU 2

Set 5

15-9

Longest run 5 ST LOUSIU 2

Bars above the line = Southern Ill. leads, below = Saint Louis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Saint Louis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%12/22
57%13/23
2
63%10/16
35%6/17
3
53%9/17
47%8/17
4
80%8/10
50%8/16
5
47%8/17
53%9/17
6
58%7/12
38%5/13
All
57%54/94
48%49/103

Southern Ill.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%12/23
47%8/17
2
59%10/17
45%10/22
3
45%9/20
50%9/18
4
53%8/15
25%3/12
5
57%8/14
43%6/14
6
50%7/14
36%4/11
All
52%54/103
43%40/94

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

197 rallies

#ST LOU-SIUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SIUST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+1.6
22-0ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louis+2.0
32-1ST LOUSIU×4Attack errEllie Rink+1.5
42-2SIUSIU×4Attack errAnna Boatner+2.2
52-3SIUSIU×4KillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.4
62-4SIUSIU×4BlockedEllie Rinkblk Natalie Vance, Beatriz Piaia+2.5
73-4SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.7
83-5ST LOUSIU×4KillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+1.9
93-6SIUSIU×4Attack errTea Kalajdzic+2.5
103-7SIUSIU×4KillNatalie Vance+2.5
113-8SIUSIU×4KillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+2.3
124-8SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Lara Zigic+1.5
134-9ST LOUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+1.8
145-9SIUST LOU×3KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.5
156-9ST LOUST LOU×3KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.2
167-9ST LOUST LOU×3AceSaint Louisaced McKenzie Moeller+2.5
177-10ST LOUSIUKillCarlota Moraset Ella Swansiger+2.1
187-11SIUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+2.7
198-11SIUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.7
208-12ST LOUSIUAttack errJetta Brenning+2.1
219-12SIUST LOU×3KillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+1.7
2210-12ST LOUST LOU×3Bad setLillian Dempkey+2.6
2311-12ST LOUST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.9
2411-13ST LOUSIUKillCarlota Moraset Lillian Dempkey+2.5
2512-13SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.2
2612-14ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis+2.6
2713-14SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.3
2813-15ST LOUSIU×4KillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+2.7
2913-16SIUSIU×4Bad setJetta Brenning+3.4
3013-17SIUSIU×4KillMcKenzie Moellerset Jillian Shaneyfelt+3.1
3113-18SIUSIU×4Attack errEllie Rink+2.6
3214-18SIUST LOU×4KillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.3
3315-18ST LOUST LOU×4BlockedNatalie Vanceblk Ellie Rink, Kayla Jansen+2.4
3416-18ST LOUST LOU×4KillEllie Rinkset Lara Zigic+3.0
3517-18ST LOUST LOU×4KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+3.6
3617-19ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis+3.3
3718-19SIUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.8
3819-19ST LOUST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Ellie Rink+4.4
3919-20ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis+3.8
4020-20SIUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+3.6
4120-21ST LOUSIUBlockedTamia Maddoxblk Chloe Anderson, Ella Swansiger+4.2
4221-21SIUST LOUBad setLillian Dempkey+3.9
4322-21ST LOUST LOUAttack errElla Swansiger+5.8
4422-22ST LOUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+4.4
4523-22SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+5.2
4623-23ST LOUSIUBlockedEllie Rinkblk Beatriz Piaia, Natalie Vance+5.1
4724-23SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+6.6
4825-23ST LOUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Lara Zigic+8.1
Set 2
11-0ST LOUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.7
21-1ST LOUSIUKillCarlota Moraset Ella McFarland+1.4
32-1SIUST LOUBlockedNatalie Vanceblk Anna Boatner, Tea Kalajdzic+1.3
43-1ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louisaced Carlota Mora+1.7
53-2ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis+1.3
64-2SIUST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+1.3
74-3ST LOUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+1.3
85-3SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Kayla Jansen+1.3
95-4ST LOUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+1.3
106-4SIUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.4
116-5ST LOUSIUKillJillian Shaneyfelt+1.4
127-5SIUST LOUServe errSouthern Ill.+1.4
138-5ST LOUST LOUAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+1.7
148-6ST LOUSIU×3KillBeatriz Piaiaset Lillian Dempkey+1.2
158-7SIUSIU×3KillBeatriz Piaia+1.9
168-8SIUSIU×3KillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.1
179-8SIUST LOU×3KillJetta Brenningset Tamia Maddox+1.6
1810-8ST LOUST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Lara Zigic+2.0
1911-8ST LOUST LOU×3AceSaint Louisaced Jillian Shaneyfelt+1.9
2011-9ST LOUSIU×3Bad setJetta Brenning+1.3
2111-10SIUSIU×3KillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+2.0
2211-11SIUSIU×3KillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+2.3
2312-11SIUST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+1.8
2412-12ST LOUSIUKillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+1.9
2513-12SIUST LOUAttack errMcKenzie Moeller+1.9
2613-13ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis+1.9
2714-13SIUST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.9
2815-13ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errCarlota Mora+2.5
2916-13ST LOUST LOU×3KillKayla Jansenset Tamia Maddox+2.2
3016-14ST LOUSIUAttack errKayla Jansen+1.5
3117-14SIUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.7
3217-15ST LOUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+1.5
3317-16SIUSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Lillian Dempkey+2.5
3418-16SIUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.1
3518-17ST LOUSIU×3Serve errSaint Louis+2.0
3618-18SIUSIU×3AceSouthern Ill.aced Tamia Maddox+3.3
3718-19SIUSIU×3Attack errTamia Maddox+3.8
3819-19SIUST LOUServe errSouthern Ill.+2.7
3919-20ST LOUSIU×5KillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.1
4019-21SIUSIU×5KillNatalie Vanceset Beatriz Piaia+4.2
4119-22SIUSIU×5BlockedTea Kalajdzicblk Natalie Vance, Beatriz Piaia+3.7
4219-23SIUSIU×5AceSouthern Ill.+2.6
4319-24SIUSIU×5KillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+1.3
4420-24SIUST LOU×3Serve errSouthern Ill.+0.2
4521-24ST LOUST LOU×3KillEllie Rinkset Lara Zigic+0.7
4622-24ST LOUST LOU×3Bad setElla McFarland+1.6
4722-25ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis+2.9
Set 3
10-1SIUSIU×3Attack errAnna Boatner+3.2
20-2SIUSIU×3Attack errJetta Brenning+3.3
30-3SIUSIU×3KillNatalie Vanceset Ella McFarland+3.3
41-3SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.3
51-4ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis+2.6
62-4SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.3
73-4ST LOUST LOUKillEllie Rink+3.3
83-5ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis+2.7
93-6SIUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+3.6
104-6SIUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.4
114-7ST LOUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+2.8
124-8SIUSIUAttack errTea Kalajdzic+3.6
135-8SIUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.3
145-9ST LOUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+2.8
156-9SIUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.3
167-9ST LOUST LOUBlockedCarlota Morablk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning+3.5
177-10ST LOUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+3.0
187-11SIUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+3.8
198-11SIUST LOUServe errSouthern Ill.+2.4
208-12ST LOUSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Lillian Dempkey+2.9
218-13SIUSIUKillCarlota Moraset Ella McFarland+3.5
229-13SIUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.1
239-14ST LOUSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+2.7
249-15SIUSIUAttack errTamia Maddox+2.9
2510-15SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.6
2610-16ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis+2.2
2711-16SIUST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.5
2812-16ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedNatalie Vanceblk Ellie Rink, Kayla Jansen+2.7
2913-16ST LOUST LOU×3KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+3.4
3013-17ST LOUSIUKillElla McFarlandset Jillian Shaneyfelt+3.3
3113-18SIUSIUAttack errTea Kalajdzic+3.6
3214-18SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.9
3315-18ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louisaced McKenzie Moeller+3.3
3415-19ST LOUSIU×6KillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+3.5
3515-20SIUSIU×6KillElla Swansiger+3.5
3615-21SIUSIU×6AceSouthern Ill.+2.3
3715-22SIUSIU×6Bad setLucy Rankin+1.3
3815-23SIUSIU×6Attack errAvery Boehm+0.5
3915-24SIUSIU×6AceSouthern Ill.aced Tamia Maddox+0.2
4016-24SIUST LOUServe errSouthern Ill.·
4116-25ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis·
Set 4
11-0ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errBeatriz Piaia+3.6
22-0ST LOUST LOU×4BlockedNatalie Vanceblk Anna Boatner, Tamia Maddox+3.4
33-0ST LOUST LOU×4BlockedNatalie Vanceblk Tamia Maddox, Anna Boatner+3.2
44-0ST LOUST LOU×4AceSaint Louis+2.8
54-1ST LOUSIUKillBeatriz Piaiaset Ella McFarland+2.0
65-1SIUST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.2
76-1ST LOUST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Lara Zigic+2.5
87-1ST LOUST LOU×3AceSaint Louis+2.1
97-2ST LOUSIUAttack errEllie Rink+1.4
107-3SIUSIUKillChloe Anderson+2.2
118-3SIUST LOU×4Bad setMcKenzie Moeller+1.9
129-3ST LOUST LOU×4KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.1
1310-3ST LOUST LOU×4BlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Kayla Jansen, Tea Kalajdzic+1.7
1411-3ST LOUST LOU×4AceSaint Louisaced McKenzie Moeller+1.2
1511-4ST LOUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Ella McFarland+0.7
1611-5SIUSIUAttack errEllie Rink+1.3
1712-5SIUST LOUServe errSouthern Ill.+1.2
1812-6ST LOUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+1.0
1913-6SIUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.2
2014-6ST LOUST LOUAttack errElla Swansiger+1.1
2114-7ST LOUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Lillian Dempkey+0.6
2214-8SIUSIUKillCarlota Moraset Lillian Dempkey+1.2
2315-8SIUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.1
2416-8ST LOUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Athena Tsalapatanis+1.0
2516-9ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis+0.5
2617-9SIUST LOU×4KillTamia Maddoxset Lara Zigic+0.7
2718-9ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errCarlota Mora+0.6
2819-9ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errCarlota Mora+0.3
2920-9ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errMcKenzie Moeller+0.1
3020-10ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis·
3121-10SIUST LOUServe errSouthern Ill.+0.1
3221-11ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis·
3322-11SIUST LOU×3Attack errNatalie Vance·
3423-11ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedChloe Andersonblk Kayla Jansen, Tea Kalajdzic·
3524-11ST LOUST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Lara Zigic·
3624-12ST LOUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Jillian Shaneyfelt·
3725-12SIUST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Ellie Rink+1.0
Set 5
10-1ST LOUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Isabella Del Real+6.6
21-1SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+6.3
31-2ST LOUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+6.9
41-3SIUSIUBlockedEllie Rinkblk Ella Swansiger, Beatriz Piaia+9.4
52-3SIUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+6.4
63-3ST LOUST LOUAttack errBeatriz Piaia+9.1
73-4ST LOUSIUKillElla Swansigerset Lillian Dempkey+7.5
84-4SIUST LOUServe errSouthern Ill.+7.1
95-4ST LOUST LOUBlockedNatalie Vanceblk Ellie Rink, Kayla Jansen+9.6
105-5ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis+7.4
116-5SIUST LOU×5Serve errSouthern Ill.+7.5
127-5ST LOUST LOU×5BlockedMcKenzie Moellerblk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning+9.6
138-5ST LOUST LOU×5KillTamia Maddoxset Lara Zigic+8.3
149-5ST LOUST LOU×5KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+6.6
1510-5ST LOUST LOU×5KillJetta Brenningset Lucy Rankin+4.6
1610-6ST LOUSIUServe errSaint Louis+2.3
1710-7SIUSIUAttack errTamia Maddox+4.7
1811-7SIUST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+5.0
1912-7ST LOUST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+4.1
2013-7ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errNatalie Vance+2.0
2113-8ST LOUSIUKillChloe Andersonset Ella McFarland+0.5
2214-8SIUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.0
2314-9ST LOUSIUKillMcKenzie Moellerset Lillian Dempkey+0.2
2415-9SIUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+0.5

Score shown after each rally, Saint Louis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).