Final · 4 setsFri, Sep 11, 2026

Xavier def. Saint Louis 3–1

Xavier beat visiting Saint Louis 3-1 (25-20, 24-26, 25-19, 25-12) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Xavier's Charlotte Moriarty led with 20 kills, and Kelsey Niesen added 22 digs.

Data through · final Sep 11

Set1234Sets
ST LOU202619121
XAVIER252425253

Win probability

Xavier above 50 · Saint Louis below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.6% ST LOUrally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.6% to Saint Louis — set 2, ST LOU 26-24 XAVIER. McKinley Boehm stuffed by Kayla Jansen & Tea Kalajdzic. XAVIER win probability 84% → 77%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ST LOU 16.8%83.2% XAVIER

Saint Louis wins

3-0
2.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-2
8.8%

Xavier wins

3-0
34.9%
3-1
31.0%
3-2
17.3%
ST LOU break %
38.3% vs this opp
XAVIER break %
45.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    McKinley Boehm stuffed by Kayla Jansen & Tea Kalajdzic

    Set 2 · ST LOU 26-24 XAVIER · ST LOU 16% → 23%

  2. 02

    Kill by McKinley Boehm (set by Jenna Barhorst)

    Set 2 · ST LOU 24-24 XAVIER · XAVIER 82% → 88%

  3. 03
    Tea KalajdzicKill+4.1%

    Kill by Tea Kalajdzic (set by Jetta Brenning)

    Set 2 · ST LOU 25-24 XAVIER · ST LOU 12% → 16%

  4. 04
    XavierAce+3.9%

    Xavier ace on Tamia Maddox

    Set 1 · ST LOU 20-21 XAVIER · XAVIER 80% → 84%

  5. 05
    Saint LouisAce+3.8%

    Saint Louis ace on Elouise Czajkowski

    Set 3 · ST LOU 14-14 XAVIER · ST LOU 21% → 24%

  6. 06
    Tea KalajdzicAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Tea Kalajdzic

    Set 3 · ST LOU 15-17 XAVIER · XAVIER 78% → 82%

  7. 07
    Charlotte MoriartyAttack error+3.6%

    Attack error by Charlotte Moriarty

    Set 1 · ST LOU 19-18 XAVIER · ST LOU 18% → 22%

  8. 08
    XavierService error+3.5%

    Xavier service error

    Set 2 · ST LOU 24-22 XAVIER · ST LOU 16% → 20%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
49737.0540239202112
49636.08312020010.511.5
48430.133013121111.510.5
44211.182250170031.55.5
4108.12500040073.54.5
44210.200000000004
4000–3011830000
4000–200100000
2000–000100000
Team totals3521132.1063158547114877
Xavierhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420644.318133152010.523.5
48216.3751000016412
411529.2070004000011
49213.5380031002110
44523-.04300030052.56.5
2104.2501902300001
4506.83326101200217
4000–121510002
4000–5102210001
2048-.500000000000
2000–001310000
12021.000000000002
Team totals6024145.24853710685116999

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ST LOU · XAVIER 6

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 4 ST LOUXAVIER 6

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 6 ST LOUXAVIER 5

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 2 ST LOUXAVIER 3

Set 4

12-25

Longest run 4 ST LOUXAVIER 6

Bars above the line = Xavier leads, below = Saint Louis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Saint Louis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
13%1/8
2
38%8/21
25%3/12
3
78%7/9
30%3/10
4
64%7/11
63%12/19
5
55%6/11
13%1/8
6
86%6/7
25%2/8
All
58%43/74
34%22/65

Xavier

SlotSideout %Break %
1
75%9/12
38%5/13
2
89%8/9
56%10/18
3
54%7/13
47%7/15
4
47%7/15
30%3/10
5
75%6/8
45%5/11
6
75%6/8
14%1/7
All
66%43/65
42%31/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#ST LOU-XAVIERSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0XAVIERST LOU×4KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.2
22-0ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+1.8
33-0ST LOUST LOU×4Bad setJenna Barhorst+1.9
44-0ST LOUST LOU×4Attack errMargo Kemp+2.0
54-1ST LOUXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+1.2
65-1XAVIERST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+1.5
75-2ST LOUXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Jenna Barhorst+1.2
86-2XAVIERST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.5
97-2ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedAva Tildenblk Kayla Jansen, Ellie Rink+2.0
108-2ST LOUST LOU×3AceSaint Louisaced Charlotte Moriarty+1.9
118-3ST LOUXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+1.1
129-3XAVIERST LOUAttack errCatherine Flaharty+1.4
139-4ST LOUXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+1.1
1410-4XAVIERST LOUKillJetta Brenning+1.4
1510-5ST LOUXAVIERBad setJetta Brenning+1.1
1611-5XAVIERST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+1.5
1711-6ST LOUXAVIER×4Attack errTamia Maddox+1.1
1811-7XAVIERXAVIER×4Bad setJetta Brenning+1.7
1911-8XAVIERXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+2.0
2011-9XAVIERXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+2.1
2112-9XAVIERST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.9
2212-10ST LOUXAVIERServe errSaint Louis+1.5
2313-10XAVIERST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.9
2413-11ST LOUXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Kelsey Niesen+1.6
2513-12XAVIERXAVIERKillQuinci Thomasset Kelsey Niesen+2.4
2614-12XAVIERST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.0
2715-12ST LOUST LOUKillKayla Jansen+2.8
2815-13ST LOUXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Jenna Barhorst+1.7
2915-14XAVIERXAVIERAceXavieraced Lara Zigic+2.6
3016-14XAVIERST LOUAttack errCatherine Flaharty+2.2
3116-15ST LOUXAVIER×3Serve errSaint Louis+1.9
3216-16XAVIERXAVIER×3KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.8
3316-17XAVIERXAVIER×3AceXavieraced Ellie Rink+2.7
3417-17XAVIERST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.1
3517-18ST LOUXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+2.1
3618-18XAVIERST LOUBad setKasey Quenichet+2.2
3719-18ST LOUST LOUAttack errCharlotte Moriarty+3.6
3819-19ST LOUXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.4
3920-19XAVIERST LOUServe errXavier+2.9
4020-20ST LOUXAVIER×6KillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+2.7
4120-21XAVIERXAVIER×6AceXavieraced Tamia Maddox+3.9
4220-22XAVIERXAVIER×6KillAva Tildenset Jenna Barhorst+3.4
4320-23XAVIERXAVIER×6BlockedEllie Rinkblk Quinci Thomas, Margo Kemp+2.4
4420-24XAVIERXAVIER×6KillMargo Kempset Jenna Barhorst+1.2
4520-25XAVIERXAVIER×6KillAva Tildenset Charlotte Moriarty+0.3
Set 2
10-1ST LOUXAVIER×3KillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+0.8
20-2XAVIERXAVIER×3BlockedTea Kalajdzicblk Margo Kemp, Quinci Thomas+1.0
30-3XAVIERXAVIER×3KillMargo Kempset Jenna Barhorst+0.9
41-3XAVIERST LOUServe errXavier+0.6
51-4ST LOUXAVIER×5Serve errSaint Louis+0.6
61-5XAVIERXAVIER×5KillAva Tildenset Jetta Brenning+0.8
71-6XAVIERXAVIER×5BlockedEllie Rinkblk Quinci Thomas, McKinley Boehm+0.6
81-7XAVIERXAVIER×5KillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+0.5
91-8XAVIERXAVIER×5Attack errAnna Boatner+0.4
102-8XAVIERST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+0.2
112-9ST LOUXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Jenna Barhorst+0.3
123-9XAVIERST LOU×4KillJetta Brenning+0.2
134-9ST LOUST LOU×4KillEllie Rinkset Tea Kalajdzic+0.4
145-9ST LOUST LOU×4KillEllie Rinkset Lara Zigic+0.6
156-9ST LOUST LOU×4AceSaint Louisaced Charlotte Moriarty+0.8
166-10ST LOUXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.6
176-11XAVIERXAVIERKillMacy Hatkevich+0.7
187-11XAVIERST LOUServe errXavier+0.4
198-11ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louisaced Kasey Quenichet+0.8
208-12ST LOUXAVIERServe errSaint Louis+0.6
219-12XAVIERST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+0.6
2210-12ST LOUST LOUAttack errCatherine Flaharty+1.1
2310-13ST LOUXAVIERAttack errJetta Brenning+0.8
2411-13XAVIERST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Jetta Brenning+0.8
2511-14ST LOUXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+0.9
2612-14XAVIERST LOUAttack errAva Tilden+0.8
2712-15ST LOUXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Jenna Barhorst+0.9
2813-15XAVIERST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+0.8
2914-15ST LOUST LOUAttack errQuinci Thomas+1.5
3014-16ST LOUXAVIERServe errSaint Louis+1.1
3115-16XAVIERST LOU×6KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.1
3216-16ST LOUST LOU×6BlockedCatherine Flahartyblk Ellie Rink, Kayla Jansen+1.9
3317-16ST LOUST LOU×6Attack errAva Tilden+2.3
3418-16ST LOUST LOU×6KillTea Kalajdzicset Lara Zigic+2.5
3519-16ST LOUST LOU×6KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.5
3620-16ST LOUST LOU×6BlockedAva Tildenblk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning+2.2
3720-17ST LOUXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Jenna Barhorst+1.0
3821-17XAVIERST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.6
3921-18ST LOUXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Jenna Barhorst+1.0
4021-19XAVIERXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+1.9
4122-19XAVIERST LOUBlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning+2.2
4222-20ST LOUXAVIERKillJenna Barhorstset Margo Kemp+1.3
4322-21XAVIERXAVIERAttack errTamia Maddox+2.7
4423-21XAVIERST LOUServe errXavier+3.0
4523-22ST LOUXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Jenna Barhorst+2.0
4624-22XAVIERST LOUServe errXavier+3.5
4724-23ST LOUXAVIERAttack errTea Kalajdzic+1.9
4824-24XAVIERXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Jenna Barhorst+5.9
4925-24XAVIERST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+4.1
5026-24ST LOUST LOUBlockedMcKinley Boehmblk Kayla Jansen, Tea Kalajdzic+6.6
Set 3
11-0XAVIERST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.0
21-1ST LOUXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.8
31-2XAVIERXAVIERAttack errEllie Rink+2.4
42-2XAVIERST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.9
52-3ST LOUXAVIERServe errSaint Louis+1.8
63-3XAVIERST LOUBad setMacy Hatkevich+1.9
74-3ST LOUST LOUBlockedQuinci Thomasblk Tamia Maddox+2.9
84-4ST LOUXAVIERKillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich+2.0
94-5XAVIERXAVIERKillMacy Hatkevich+2.6
105-5XAVIERST LOUAttack errMcKinley Boehm+2.0
115-6ST LOUXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+1.9
126-6XAVIERST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+2.1
136-7ST LOUXAVIERKillMacy Hatkevichset Kelsey Niesen+2.0
147-7XAVIERST LOUServe errXavier+2.1
157-8ST LOUXAVIERBlockedEllie Rinkblk Macy Hatkevich, Margo Kemp+2.0
168-8XAVIERST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.2
178-9ST LOUXAVIER×3KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.1
188-10XAVIERXAVIER×3AceXavieraced Lara Zigic+2.7
198-11XAVIERXAVIER×3KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.4
209-11XAVIERST LOUAttack errQuinci Thomas+1.6
2110-11ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louisaced Kelsey Niesen+2.8
2210-12ST LOUXAVIERKillQuinci Thomasset Macy Hatkevich+2.1
2311-12XAVIERST LOUAttack errQuinci Thomas+2.1
2411-13ST LOUXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+2.2
2512-13XAVIERST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Lara Zigic+2.2
2612-14ST LOUXAVIERServe errSaint Louis+2.3
2713-14XAVIERST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.3
2814-14ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louisaced Elouise Czajkowski+3.8
2914-15ST LOUXAVIERServe errSaint Louis+2.8
3015-15XAVIERST LOUServe errXavier+3.0
3115-16ST LOUXAVIERKillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+2.9
3215-17XAVIERXAVIERAttack errTea Kalajdzic+3.7
3316-17XAVIERST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.6
3416-18ST LOUXAVIERAttack errJetta Brenning+2.8
3517-18XAVIERST LOUBlockedAva Tildenblk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning+2.7
3617-19ST LOUXAVIERKillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+3.0
3717-20XAVIERXAVIERAceXavieraced Lara Zigic+3.4
3818-20XAVIERST LOUBlockedQuinci Thomasblk Kayla Jansen, Tamia Maddox+2.0
3918-21ST LOUXAVIERKillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+2.5
4018-22XAVIERXAVIERAttack errTamia Maddox+2.3
4119-22XAVIERST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.0
4219-23ST LOUXAVIER×3KillAva Tildenset Macy Hatkevich+1.5
4319-24XAVIERXAVIER×3KillMcKinley Boehm+0.9
4419-25XAVIERXAVIER×3Attack errTea Kalajdzic+0.2
Set 4
10-1ST LOUXAVIER×5KillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+1.3
20-2XAVIERXAVIER×5BlockedAnna Boatnerblk Margo Kemp+1.7
30-3XAVIERXAVIER×5Bad setJetta Brenning+1.5
40-4XAVIERXAVIER×5BlockedTamia Maddoxblk Charlotte Moriarty, Margo Kemp+1.3
50-5XAVIERXAVIER×5KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+1.1
61-5XAVIERST LOUAttack errTamia Maddox+0.7
71-6ST LOUXAVIER×6KillMargo Kempset Macy Hatkevich+0.8
81-7XAVIERXAVIER×6KillMargo Kempset Jetta Brenning+0.9
91-8XAVIER
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.7
101-9XAVIERXAVIER×6KillAva Tildenset Kelsey Niesen+0.5
111-10XAVIERXAVIER×6BlockedEllie Rinkblk Margo Kemp, Quinci Thomas+0.3
121-11XAVIERXAVIER×6Attack errQuinci Thomas+0.2
132-11XAVIERST LOUServe errXavier+0.1
142-12ST LOUXAVIERKillMacy Hatkevichset Kelsey Niesen+0.1
152-13XAVIERXAVIERBlockedCharlotte Moriartyblk Quinci Thomas, McKinley Boehm+0.1
163-13XAVIERST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+0.1
173-14ST LOUXAVIERKillQuinci Thomasset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
184-14XAVIERST LOUServe errXavier+0.1
194-15ST LOUXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
204-16XAVIER
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

+0.1
214-17XAVIERXAVIER×4KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich·
224-18XAVIERXAVIER×4KillMcKinley Boehmset Macy Hatkevich·
235-18XAVIERST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Lucy Rankin·
246-18ST LOUST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Lucy Rankin·
257-18ST LOUST LOU×3Serve errSaint Louis·
267-19ST LOUXAVIERKillMacy Hatkevichset Macy Hatkevich·
278-19XAVIERST LOU×4Serve errXavier·
289-19ST LOUST LOU×4KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning·
2910-19ST LOUST LOU×4Serve errSaint Louis·
3011-19ST LOUST LOU×4Serve errSaint Louis+0.1
3111-20ST LOUXAVIER×5KillCharlotte Moriartyset Macy Hatkevich+0.1
3211-21XAVIERXAVIER×5Attack errCharlotte Moriarty+0.1
3311-22XAVIERXAVIER×5Attack errTea Kalajdzic·
3411-23XAVIERXAVIER×5KillGabrielle Semona·
3511-24XAVIERXAVIER×5KillQuinci Thomasset Kasey Quenichet·
3612-24XAVIERST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning·
3712-25ST LOUXAVIERKillGabrielle Semonaset Macy Hatkevich·

Score shown after each rally, Saint Louis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).