Xavier def. Saint Louis 3–1
Xavier beat visiting Saint Louis 3-1 (25-20, 24-26, 25-19, 25-12) on Fri, Sep 11, 2026. Xavier's Charlotte Moriarty led with 20 kills, and Kelsey Niesen added 22 digs.
Data through · final Sep 11
| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST LOU | 20 | 26 | 19 | 12 | 1 |
| XAVIER | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
Win probability
Biggest swing: 6.6% to Saint Louis — set 2, ST LOU 26-24 XAVIER. McKinley Boehm stuffed by Kayla Jansen & Tea Kalajdzic. XAVIER win probability 84% → 77%.
Pre-match
Season fit · includes this match
Saint Louis wins
Xavier wins
- ST LOU break %
- 38.3% vs this opp
- XAVIER break %
- 45.6% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Top plays
Largest win-probability swings
- 01Kayla Jansen&Tea KalajdzicBlock+6.6%
McKinley Boehm stuffed by Kayla Jansen & Tea Kalajdzic
Set 2 · ST LOU 26-24 XAVIER · ST LOU 16% → 23%
- 02McKinley BoehmKill+5.9%
Kill by McKinley Boehm (set by Jenna Barhorst)
Set 2 · ST LOU 24-24 XAVIER · XAVIER 82% → 88%
- 03Tea KalajdzicKill+4.1%
Kill by Tea Kalajdzic (set by Jetta Brenning)
Set 2 · ST LOU 25-24 XAVIER · ST LOU 12% → 16%
- 04XavierAce+3.9%
Xavier ace on Tamia Maddox
Set 1 · ST LOU 20-21 XAVIER · XAVIER 80% → 84%
- 05Saint LouisAce+3.8%
Saint Louis ace on Elouise Czajkowski
Set 3 · ST LOU 14-14 XAVIER · ST LOU 21% → 24%
- 06Tea KalajdzicAttack error+3.7%
Attack error by Tea Kalajdzic
Set 3 · ST LOU 15-17 XAVIER · XAVIER 78% → 82%
- 07Charlotte MoriartyAttack error+3.6%
Attack error by Charlotte Moriarty
Set 1 · ST LOU 19-18 XAVIER · ST LOU 18% → 22%
- 08XavierService error+3.5%
Xavier service error
Set 2 · ST LOU 24-22 XAVIER · ST LOU 16% → 20%
Box score
Official NCAA box
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 9 | 7 | 37 | .054 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 36 | .083 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 30 | .133 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.5 | 10.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | .182 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 5.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | .125 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3.5 | 4.5 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | .200 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 35 | 21 | 132 | .106 | 31 | 5 | 8 | 54 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 8 | 77 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 20 | 6 | 44 | .318 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 23.5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 2 | 16 | .375 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | |
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 29 | .207 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | |
| 4 | 9 | 2 | 13 | .538 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| 4 | 4 | 5 | 23 | -.043 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 6.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | .250 | 19 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 5 | 0 | 6 | .833 | 26 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Team totals | 60 | 24 | 145 | .248 | 53 | 7 | 10 | 68 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 99 |
Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Momentum
Point differential by rally
Set 1
20-25
Set 2
26-24
Set 3
19-25
Set 4
12-25
Bars above the line = Xavier leads, below = Saint Louis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Rotations
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Saint Louis
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 60%9/15 | 13%1/8 |
| 2 | 38%8/21 | 25%3/12 |
| 3 | 78%7/9 | 30%3/10 |
| 4 | 64%7/11 | 63%12/19 |
| 5 | 55%6/11 | 13%1/8 |
| 6 | 86%6/7 | 25%2/8 |
| All | 58%43/74 | 34%22/65 |
Xavier
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 75%9/12 | 38%5/13 |
| 2 | 89%8/9 | 56%10/18 |
| 3 | 54%7/13 | 47%7/15 |
| 4 | 47%7/15 | 30%3/10 |
| 5 | 75%6/8 | 45%5/11 |
| 6 | 75%6/8 | 14%1/7 |
| All | 66%43/65 | 42%31/74 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
Rally log
176 rallies
| # | ST LOU-XAVIER | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | XAVIER | ST LOU×4 | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Jetta Brenning | +1.2 |
| 2 | 2-0 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +1.8 | |
| 3 | 3-0 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Bad set | Jenna Barhorst | +1.9 | |
| 4 | 4-0 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Attack err | Margo Kemp | +2.0 | |
| 5 | 4-1 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Jenna Barhorst | +1.2 |
| 6 | 5-1 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Boatner | set Jetta Brenning | +1.5 |
| 7 | 5-2 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Jenna Barhorst | +1.2 |
| 8 | 6-2 | XAVIER | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +1.5 |
| 9 | 7-2 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Blocked | Ava Tilden | blk Kayla Jansen, Ellie Rink | +2.0 |
| 10 | 8-2 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Ace | Saint Louis | aced Charlotte Moriarty | +1.9 |
| 11 | 8-3 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.1 |
| 12 | 9-3 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Attack err | Catherine Flaharty | +1.4 | |
| 13 | 9-4 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.1 |
| 14 | 10-4 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Jetta Brenning | +1.4 | |
| 15 | 10-5 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Bad set | Jetta Brenning | +1.1 | |
| 16 | 11-5 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Boatner | set Jetta Brenning | +1.5 |
| 17 | 11-6 | ST LOU | XAVIER×4 | Attack err | Tamia Maddox | +1.1 | |
| 18 | 11-7 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Bad set | Jetta Brenning | +1.7 | |
| 19 | 11-8 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Jenna Barhorst | +2.0 |
| 20 | 11-9 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Jenna Barhorst | +2.1 |
| 21 | 12-9 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +1.9 |
| 22 | 12-10 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Serve err | Saint Louis | +1.5 | |
| 23 | 13-10 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +1.9 |
| 24 | 13-11 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Kelsey Niesen | +1.6 |
| 25 | 13-12 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Quinci Thomas | set Kelsey Niesen | +2.4 |
| 26 | 14-12 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +2.0 |
| 27 | 15-12 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Kill | Kayla Jansen | +2.8 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Jenna Barhorst | +1.7 |
| 29 | 15-14 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Ace | Xavier | aced Lara Zigic | +2.6 |
| 30 | 16-14 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Attack err | Catherine Flaharty | +2.2 | |
| 31 | 16-15 | ST LOU | XAVIER×3 | Serve err | Saint Louis | +1.9 | |
| 32 | 16-16 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.8 |
| 33 | 16-17 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Ace | Xavier | aced Ellie Rink | +2.7 |
| 34 | 17-17 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Jetta Brenning | +2.1 |
| 35 | 17-18 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.1 |
| 36 | 18-18 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Bad set | Kasey Quenichet | +2.2 | |
| 37 | 19-18 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +3.6 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.4 |
| 39 | 20-19 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Serve err | Xavier | +2.9 | |
| 40 | 20-20 | ST LOU | XAVIER×6 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Jenna Barhorst | +2.7 |
| 41 | 20-21 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Ace | Xavier | aced Tamia Maddox | +3.9 |
| 42 | 20-22 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Jenna Barhorst | +3.4 |
| 43 | 20-23 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Blocked | Ellie Rink | blk Quinci Thomas, Margo Kemp | +2.4 |
| 44 | 20-24 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Jenna Barhorst | +1.2 |
| 45 | 20-25 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Charlotte Moriarty | +0.3 |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ST LOU | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Jenna Barhorst | +0.8 |
| 2 | 0-2 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Blocked | Tea Kalajdzic | blk Margo Kemp, Quinci Thomas | +1.0 |
| 3 | 0-3 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Jenna Barhorst | +0.9 |
| 4 | 1-3 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Serve err | Xavier | +0.6 | |
| 5 | 1-4 | ST LOU | XAVIER×5 | Serve err | Saint Louis | +0.6 | |
| 6 | 1-5 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Jetta Brenning | +0.8 |
| 7 | 1-6 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Blocked | Ellie Rink | blk Quinci Thomas, McKinley Boehm | +0.6 |
| 8 | 1-7 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Jenna Barhorst | +0.5 |
| 9 | 1-8 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Attack err | Anna Boatner | +0.4 | |
| 10 | 2-8 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Boatner | set Jetta Brenning | +0.2 |
| 11 | 2-9 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Jenna Barhorst | +0.3 |
| 12 | 3-9 | XAVIER | ST LOU×4 | Kill | Jetta Brenning | +0.2 | |
| 13 | 4-9 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Tea Kalajdzic | +0.4 |
| 14 | 5-9 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Lara Zigic | +0.6 |
| 15 | 6-9 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Ace | Saint Louis | aced Charlotte Moriarty | +0.8 |
| 16 | 6-10 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.6 |
| 17 | 6-11 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Macy Hatkevich | +0.7 | |
| 18 | 7-11 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Serve err | Xavier | +0.4 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Ace | Saint Louis | aced Kasey Quenichet | +0.8 |
| 20 | 8-12 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Serve err | Saint Louis | +0.6 | |
| 21 | 9-12 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Jetta Brenning | +0.6 |
| 22 | 10-12 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Attack err | Catherine Flaharty | +1.1 | |
| 23 | 10-13 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Attack err | Jetta Brenning | +0.8 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Jetta Brenning | set Jetta Brenning | +0.8 |
| 25 | 11-14 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Jenna Barhorst | +0.9 |
| 26 | 12-14 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Attack err | Ava Tilden | +0.8 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Jenna Barhorst | +0.9 |
| 28 | 13-15 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +0.8 |
| 29 | 14-15 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Attack err | Quinci Thomas | +1.5 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Serve err | Saint Louis | +1.1 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | XAVIER | ST LOU×6 | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +1.1 |
| 32 | 16-16 | ST LOU | ST LOU×6 | Blocked | Catherine Flaharty | blk Ellie Rink, Kayla Jansen | +1.9 |
| 33 | 17-16 | ST LOU | ST LOU×6 | Attack err | Ava Tilden | +2.3 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | ST LOU | ST LOU×6 | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Lara Zigic | +2.5 |
| 35 | 19-16 | ST LOU | ST LOU×6 | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +2.5 |
| 36 | 20-16 | ST LOU | ST LOU×6 | Blocked | Ava Tilden | blk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning | +2.2 |
| 37 | 20-17 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Jenna Barhorst | +1.0 |
| 38 | 21-17 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +1.6 |
| 39 | 21-18 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Jenna Barhorst | +1.0 |
| 40 | 21-19 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Jenna Barhorst | +1.9 |
| 41 | 22-19 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Blocked | Charlotte Moriarty | blk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning | +2.2 |
| 42 | 22-20 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Jenna Barhorst | set Margo Kemp | +1.3 |
| 43 | 22-21 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Attack err | Tamia Maddox | +2.7 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Serve err | Xavier | +3.0 | |
| 45 | 23-22 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Jenna Barhorst | +2.0 |
| 46 | 24-22 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Serve err | Xavier | +3.5 | |
| 47 | 24-23 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Attack err | Tea Kalajdzic | +1.9 | |
| 48 | 24-24 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Jenna Barhorst | +5.9 |
| 49 | 25-24 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +4.1 |
| 50 | 26-24 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Blocked | McKinley Boehm | blk Kayla Jansen, Tea Kalajdzic | +6.6 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +2.0 |
| 2 | 1-1 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.8 |
| 3 | 1-2 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Attack err | Ellie Rink | +2.4 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +1.9 |
| 5 | 2-3 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Serve err | Saint Louis | +1.8 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Bad set | Macy Hatkevich | +1.9 | |
| 7 | 4-3 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Blocked | Quinci Thomas | blk Tamia Maddox | +2.9 |
| 8 | 4-4 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.0 |
| 9 | 4-5 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Kill | Macy Hatkevich | +2.6 | |
| 10 | 5-5 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Attack err | McKinley Boehm | +2.0 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.9 |
| 12 | 6-6 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Anna Boatner | set Jetta Brenning | +2.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Macy Hatkevich | set Kelsey Niesen | +2.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Serve err | Xavier | +2.1 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Blocked | Ellie Rink | blk Macy Hatkevich, Margo Kemp | +2.0 |
| 16 | 8-8 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +2.2 |
| 17 | 8-9 | ST LOU | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.1 |
| 18 | 8-10 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Ace | Xavier | aced Lara Zigic | +2.7 |
| 19 | 8-11 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.4 |
| 20 | 9-11 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Attack err | Quinci Thomas | +1.6 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Ace | Saint Louis | aced Kelsey Niesen | +2.8 |
| 22 | 10-12 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Quinci Thomas | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.1 |
| 23 | 11-12 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Attack err | Quinci Thomas | +2.1 | |
| 24 | 11-13 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.2 |
| 25 | 12-13 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Jetta Brenning | set Lara Zigic | +2.2 |
| 26 | 12-14 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Serve err | Saint Louis | +2.3 | |
| 27 | 13-14 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Tea Kalajdzic | set Jetta Brenning | +2.3 |
| 28 | 14-14 | ST LOU | ST LOU | Ace | Saint Louis | aced Elouise Czajkowski | +3.8 |
| 29 | 14-15 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Serve err | Saint Louis | +2.8 | |
| 30 | 15-15 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Serve err | Xavier | +3.0 | |
| 31 | 15-16 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.9 |
| 32 | 15-17 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Attack err | Tea Kalajdzic | +3.7 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +2.6 |
| 34 | 16-18 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Attack err | Jetta Brenning | +2.8 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Blocked | Ava Tilden | blk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning | +2.7 |
| 36 | 17-19 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +3.0 |
| 37 | 17-20 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Ace | Xavier | aced Lara Zigic | +3.4 |
| 38 | 18-20 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Blocked | Quinci Thomas | blk Kayla Jansen, Tamia Maddox | +2.0 |
| 39 | 18-21 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +2.5 |
| 40 | 18-22 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Attack err | Tamia Maddox | +2.3 | |
| 41 | 19-22 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Jetta Brenning | +1.0 |
| 42 | 19-23 | ST LOU | XAVIER×3 | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.5 |
| 43 | 19-24 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Kill | McKinley Boehm | +0.9 | |
| 44 | 19-25 | XAVIER | XAVIER×3 | Attack err | Tea Kalajdzic | +0.2 | |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | ST LOU | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.3 |
| 2 | 0-2 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Blocked | Anna Boatner | blk Margo Kemp | +1.7 |
| 3 | 0-3 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Bad set | Jetta Brenning | +1.5 | |
| 4 | 0-4 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Blocked | Tamia Maddox | blk Charlotte Moriarty, Margo Kemp | +1.3 |
| 5 | 0-5 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +1.1 |
| 6 | 1-5 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Attack err | Tamia Maddox | +0.7 | |
| 7 | 1-6 | ST LOU | XAVIER×6 | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.8 |
| 8 | 1-7 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Kill | Margo Kemp | set Jetta Brenning | +0.9 |
| 9 | 1-8 | XAVIER | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.7 | |||
| 10 | 1-9 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Kill | Ava Tilden | set Kelsey Niesen | +0.5 |
| 11 | 1-10 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Blocked | Ellie Rink | blk Margo Kemp, Quinci Thomas | +0.3 |
| 12 | 1-11 | XAVIER | XAVIER×6 | Attack err | Quinci Thomas | +0.2 | |
| 13 | 2-11 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Serve err | Xavier | +0.1 | |
| 14 | 2-12 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Macy Hatkevich | set Kelsey Niesen | +0.1 |
| 15 | 2-13 | XAVIER | XAVIER | Blocked | Charlotte Moriarty | blk Quinci Thomas, McKinley Boehm | +0.1 |
| 16 | 3-13 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Ellie Rink | set Jetta Brenning | +0.1 |
| 17 | 3-14 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Quinci Thomas | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.1 |
| 18 | 4-14 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Serve err | Xavier | +0.1 | |
| 19 | 4-15 | ST LOU | XAVIER×4 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.1 |
| 20 | 4-16 | XAVIER | NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected. | +0.1 | |||
| 21 | 4-17 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | · |
| 22 | 4-18 | XAVIER | XAVIER×4 | Kill | McKinley Boehm | set Macy Hatkevich | · |
| 23 | 5-18 | XAVIER | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Lucy Rankin | · |
| 24 | 6-18 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Lucy Rankin | · |
| 25 | 7-18 | ST LOU | ST LOU×3 | Serve err | Saint Louis | · | |
| 26 | 7-19 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Macy Hatkevich | set Macy Hatkevich | · |
| 27 | 8-19 | XAVIER | ST LOU×4 | Serve err | Xavier | · | |
| 28 | 9-19 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Jetta Brenning | · |
| 29 | 10-19 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Serve err | Saint Louis | · | |
| 30 | 11-19 | ST LOU | ST LOU×4 | Serve err | Saint Louis | +0.1 | |
| 31 | 11-20 | ST LOU | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Charlotte Moriarty | set Macy Hatkevich | +0.1 |
| 32 | 11-21 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Attack err | Charlotte Moriarty | +0.1 | |
| 33 | 11-22 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Attack err | Tea Kalajdzic | · | |
| 34 | 11-23 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | · | |
| 35 | 11-24 | XAVIER | XAVIER×5 | Kill | Quinci Thomas | set Kasey Quenichet | · |
| 36 | 12-24 | XAVIER | ST LOU | Kill | Tamia Maddox | set Jetta Brenning | · |
| 37 | 12-25 | ST LOU | XAVIER | Kill | Gabrielle Semona | set Macy Hatkevich | · |
Score shown after each rally, Saint Louis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).