FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwayATLANTIC-10

0:3

HomeSUMMIT-LEAGUE

Kansas City def. Saint Louis 3–0

(25-18, 25-23, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
ST LOU	18	23	24	0
KC	25	25	26	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

KC above 50 · ST LOU below

Biggest swing: 9.4% to Kansas City — set 2, ST LOU 23-25 KC. Attack error by Anna Alexander. KC win probability 73% → 82%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

ST LOU 61.8%38.2% KC

Saint Louis wins

3-0

18.2%

3-1

23.6%

3-2

20.0%

Kansas City wins

3-0

8.2%

3-1

13.9%

3-2

16.2%

ST LOU break %: 45.4% vs this opp
KC break %: 43.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Anna AlexanderAttack error+9.4%
Attack error by Anna Alexander
Set 2 · ST LOU 23-25 KC · KC 73% → 82%
02
Emry BrownKill+9.0%
Kill by Emry Brown (set by Mia Weaver)
Set 3 · ST LOU 24-26 KC · KC 91% → 100%
03
Mia WeaverKill+8.7%
Kill by Mia Weaver (set by Chloe Kaminski)
Set 2 · ST LOU 22-23 KC · KC 60% → 68%
04
Natalie PtacekKill+8.7%
Kill by Natalie Ptacek
Set 2 · ST LOU 22-24 KC · KC 68% → 77%
05
Ellie RinkAttack error+8.5%
Attack error by Ellie Rink
Set 3 · ST LOU 24-25 KC · KC 83% → 91%
06
Tea KalajdzicAttack error+8.1%
Attack error by Tea Kalajdzic
Set 3 · ST LOU 24-24 KC · KC 74% → 83%
07
Savy RepinskiKill+6.9%
Kill by Savy Repinski (set by Megan Lawson)
Set 2 · ST LOU 22-22 KC · KC 53% → 60%
08
Anna AlexanderKill+4.7%
Kill by Anna Alexander (set by Jetta Brenning)
Set 3 · ST LOU 24-22 KC · ST LOU 24% → 28%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Saint Louisaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
6Tea KalajdzicOH	3	12	3	31	.290	0	2	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	14.5
19Ellie RinkOH	3	8	7	27	.037	0	0	1	3	4	0	1	0.5	8.5
21Kayla JansenMB	3	5	0	12	.417	0	1	0	2	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
11Anna AlexanderOH	3	7	2	23	.217	1	0	1	4	4	0	2	1	8
14Jetta BrenningS	3	2	2	12	.000	31	0	1	13	0	1	2	2	4
15Anna BoatnerMB	2	2	1	5	.200	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
23Lara ZigicL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	4	0	1	12	0	0	0	0	0
22Lucy RankinS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	8	0	0	0	0	0
12Tamia MaddoxOH	2	2	2	8	.000	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	0	2
2Athena TsalapatanisDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16J'La SparksMB	1	2	1	4	.250	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	2
Team totals		40	18	123	.179	38	3	7	50	10	1	12	7	65

Kansas Cityhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
15Ryanne WattreeOH	3	13	1	25	.480	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	15
9Emry BrownOH	3	8	2	25	.240	0	0	0	7	1	0	0	8
20Mia WeaverOH	3	3	4	18	-.056	2	3	1	8	2	0	0	6
11Stella SmithMB	3	5	4	18	.056	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	6
14Mila ZoricMB	3	2	2	7	.000	0	2	2	3	0	3	1.5	5.5
10Coco BuschhornS	3	0	0	3	.000	13	1	1	6	0	0	0	1
4Natalie PtacekOH	3	5	4	17	.059	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	5.5
22Savy RepinskiS	3	2	0	4	.500	14	2	1	5	0	0	0	4
6Megan LawsonDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	0	7	0	0	0	2
12Chloe KaminskiL/DS	3	1	0	2	.500	4	0	0	12	0	0	0	1
13Clarke HenryOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	17	119	.185	35	10	5	50	3	10	5	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 7 ST LOU · KC 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 7 ST LOUKC 6

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 ST LOUKC 4

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 3 ST LOUKC 4

Bars above the line = Kansas City leads, below = Saint Louis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Saint Louis

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	62%8/13	30%3/10
2	41%7/17	20%2/10
3	54%7/13	30%3/10
4	43%6/14	56%9/16
5	60%6/10	40%4/10
6	71%5/7	45%5/11
All	53%39/74	39%26/67

Kansas City

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	89%8/9	33%3/9
2	73%8/11	33%4/12
3	78%7/9	63%12/19
4	39%7/18	46%6/13
5	67%6/9	60%9/15
6	45%5/11	17%1/6
All	61%41/67	47%35/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

141 rallies

Rally log

#	ST LOU-KC	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	ST LOU	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+2.3
2	1-1	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+1.8
3	1-2	KC	KC	Attack err	Anna Boatner		+2.4
4	2-2	KC	ST LOU	Attack err	Mila Zoric		+1.9
5	2-3	ST LOU	KC×6	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Mia Weaver	+2.0
6	2-4	KC	KC×6	Attack err	Anna Alexander		+2.5
7	2-5	KC	KC×6	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.5
8	2-6	KC	KC×6	Ace	KC server	aced Ellie Rink	+2.4
9	2-7	KC	KC×6	Ace	KC server	aced Ellie Rink	+2.2
10	2-8	KC	KC×6	Attack err	Ellie Rink		+2.0
11	3-8	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+1.3
12	3-9	ST LOU	KC	Bad set	Tea Kalajdzic		+1.6
13	4-9	KC	ST LOU×7	Serve err	KC server		+1.3
14	5-9	ST LOU	ST LOU×7	Attack err	Stella Smith		+1.9
15	6-9	ST LOU	ST LOU×7	Ace	ST LOU server	aced Emry Brown	+2.2
16	7-9	ST LOU	ST LOU×7	Attack err	Natalie Ptacek		+2.5
17	8-9	ST LOU	ST LOU×7	Attack err	Stella Smith	blk Jetta Brenning	+2.7
18	9-9	ST LOU	ST LOU×7	Attack err	Emry Brown		+2.8
19	10-9	ST LOU	ST LOU×7	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Lara Zigic	+2.8
20	10-10	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Savy Repinski	+2.3
21	10-11	KC	KC	Attack err	Ellie Rink		+3.1
22	11-11	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Kayla Jansen	set Jetta Brenning	+2.4
23	11-12	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Savy Repinski	set Jetta Brenning	+2.5
24	12-12	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Anna Alexander	set Jetta Brenning	+2.5
25	13-12	ST LOU	ST LOU	Ace	ST LOU server	aced Mia Weaver	+3.2
26	13-13	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+2.6
27	14-13	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Anna Boatner	set Jetta Brenning	+2.6
28	14-14	ST LOU	KC×3	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.7
29	14-15	KC	KC×3	Ace	KC server	aced Anna Alexander	+3.6
30	14-16	KC	KC×3	Ace	KC server	aced Anna Alexander	+3.7
31	15-16	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Anna Alexander	set Jetta Brenning	+2.7
32	16-16	ST LOU	ST LOU	Attack err	Mila Zoric		+3.7
33	16-17	ST LOU	KC	Attack err	Ellie Rink	blk Mila Zoric, Ryanne Wattree	+3.2
34	17-17	KC	ST LOU	Attack err	Stella Smith		+3.1
35	17-18	ST LOU	KC×5	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+3.4
36	17-19	KC	KC×5	Attack err	Tea Kalajdzic		+4.4
37	17-20	KC	KC×5	Ace	KC server	aced Anna Alexander	+4.0
38	17-21	KC	KC×5	Attack err	Tea Kalajdzic		+3.3
39	17-22	KC	KC×5	Attack err	Ellie Rink	blk Natalie Ptacek, Stella Smith	+2.2
40	18-22	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Kayla Jansen	set Jetta Brenning	+0.9
41	18-23	ST LOU	KC×3	Kill	Emry Brown	set Savy Repinski	+1.6
42	18-24	KC	KC×3	Ace	KC server	aced Ellie Rink	+0.9
43	18-25	KC	KC×3	Attack err	Ellie Rink		+0.2
Set 2
1	1-0	KC	ST LOU	Serve err	KC server		+2.0
2	1-1	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.1
3	2-1	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+2.1
4	3-1	ST LOU	ST LOU	Kill	Kayla Jansen	set Jetta Brenning	+2.6
5	3-2	ST LOU	KC	Attack err	Tamia Maddox	blk Stella Smith, Ryanne Wattree	+2.0
6	4-2	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+2.1
7	4-3	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Stella Smith	+2.0
8	5-3	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Kayla Jansen	set Jetta Brenning	+2.1
9	5-4	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+2.1
10	6-4	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Kayla Jansen	set Jetta Brenning	+2.2
11	7-4	ST LOU	ST LOU	Attack err	Natalie Ptacek	blk Anna Boatner, Anna Alexander	+2.6
12	7-5	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Savy Repinski	+1.9
13	8-5	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Anna Alexander	set Jetta Brenning	+2.1
14	8-6	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.0
15	8-7	KC	KC	Ace	KC server	aced Team	+2.8
16	9-7	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+2.3
17	9-8	ST LOU	KC	Attack err	Tamia Maddox		+2.3
18	10-8	KC	ST LOU	Serve err	KC server		+2.4
19	10-9	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.4
20	10-10	KC	KC	Kill	Natalie Ptacek	set Savy Repinski	+3.3
21	11-10	KC	ST LOU	Attack err	Emry Brown		+2.7
22	11-11	ST LOU	KC×3	Attack err	Jetta Brenning		+2.7
23	11-12	KC	KC×3	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+3.6
24	11-13	KC	KC×3	Kill	Stella Smith	set Jetta Brenning	+3.7
25	12-13	KC	ST LOU×3	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Jetta Brenning	+2.7
26	13-13	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Attack err	Mia Weaver		+3.7
27	14-13	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Attack err	Natalie Ptacek	blk Kayla Jansen, Anna Alexander	+3.8
28	14-14	ST LOU	KC	Serve err	ST LOU server		+3.1
29	15-14	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Jetta Brenning	set Lara Zigic	+3.1
30	15-15	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Natalie Ptacek	set Savy Repinski	+3.2
31	16-15	KC	ST LOU×3	Kill	Anna Alexander	set Jetta Brenning	+3.3
32	17-15	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Kill	Anna Boatner	set Jetta Brenning	+4.0
33	18-15	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Kill	Anna Alexander	set Jetta Brenning	+3.6
34	18-16	ST LOU	KC	Serve err	ST LOU server		+2.4
35	19-16	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+3.0
36	19-17	ST LOU	KC	Serve err	ST LOU server		+2.5
37	20-17	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Lara Zigic	+3.1
38	20-18	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.5
39	20-19	KC	KC	Ace	KC server	aced Ellie Rink	+4.3
40	21-19	KC	ST LOU	Attack err	Stella Smith	blk Kayla Jansen, Tea Kalajdzic	+4.2
41	21-20	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Savy Repinski	+3.6
42	22-20	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Tamia Maddox	set Lucy Rankin	+4.6
43	22-21	ST LOU	KC×4	Serve err	ST LOU server		+3.8
44	22-22	KC	KC×4	Kill	Savy Repinski	set Megan Lawson	+6.9
45	22-23	KC	KC×4	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Chloe Kaminski	+8.7
46	22-24	KC	KC×4	Kill	Natalie Ptacek		+8.7
47	23-24	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Anna Alexander	set Jetta Brenning	+4.0
48	23-25	ST LOU	KC	Attack err	Anna Alexander		+9.4
Set 3
1	0-1	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Chloe Kaminski	+1.6
2	1-1	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+1.6
3	1-2	ST LOU	KC×3	Attack err	Ellie Rink	blk Ryanne Wattree, Mila Zoric	+1.7
4	1-3	KC	KC×3	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.1
5	1-4	KC	KC×3	Kill	Stella Smith	set Stella Smith	+2.1
6	2-4	KC	ST LOU×3	Serve err	KC server		+1.6
7	3-4	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+2.1
8	4-4	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Attack err	Ryanne Wattree	blk Kayla Jansen, Ellie Rink	+2.2
9	4-5	ST LOU	KC	Serve err	ST LOU server		+1.8
10	5-5	KC	ST LOU×3	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+1.7
11	6-5	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Ace	ST LOU server	aced Mia Weaver	+2.2
12	7-5	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Savy Repinski	+2.1
13	7-6	ST LOU	KC	Serve err	ST LOU server		+1.7
14	7-7	KC	KC	Kill	Natalie Ptacek	set Savy Repinski	+2.3
15	8-7	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+1.8
16	8-8	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Stella Smith	set Savy Repinski	+1.9
17	8-9	KC	KC	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Savy Repinski	+2.5
18	9-9	KC	ST LOU×3	Kill	Jetta Brenning	set Anna Alexander	+1.9
19	10-9	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+2.5
20	11-9	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Attack err	Natalie Ptacek		+2.4
21	11-10	ST LOU	KC×3	Bad set	Kayla Jansen		+1.9
22	11-11	KC	KC×3	Kill	Chloe Kaminski	set Jetta Brenning	+2.6
23	11-12	KC	KC×3	Ace	KC server	aced Anna Alexander	+2.8
24	12-12	KC	ST LOU	Serve err	KC server		+2.2
25	12-13	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Mila Zoric	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.3
26	13-13	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+2.2
27	14-13	ST LOU	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Lara Zigic	+2.9
28	14-14	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.3
29	15-14	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Tea Kalajdzic	set Jetta Brenning	+2.4
30	15-15	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.4
31	16-15	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Tamia Maddox	+2.5
32	17-15	ST LOU	ST LOU	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+3.1
33	17-16	ST LOU	KC×3	Kill	Mia Weaver	set Savy Repinski	+2.3
34	17-17	KC	KC×3	Attack err	Jetta Brenning		+3.4
35	17-18	KC	KC×3	Ace	KC server	aced Team	+3.8
36	18-18	KC	ST LOU×3	Kill	Ellie Rink	set Jetta Brenning	+2.9
37	19-18	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Attack err	Mia Weaver	blk Jetta Brenning, Kayla Jansen	+3.9
38	20-18	ST LOU	ST LOU×3	Attack err	Mia Weaver	blk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning	+3.7
39	20-19	ST LOU	KC	Serve err	ST LOU server		+2.6
40	21-19	KC	ST LOU	Attack err	Mia Weaver		+3.2
41	22-19	ST LOU	ST LOU	Kill	J'La Sparks		+3.3
42	22-20	ST LOU	KC	Kill	Natalie Ptacek	set Savy Repinski	+1.8
43	23-20	KC	ST LOU	Kill	J'La Sparks	set Jetta Brenning	+2.8
44	23-21	ST LOU	KC	Attack err	J'La Sparks	blk Mila Zoric, Ryanne Wattree	+1.7
45	23-22	KC	KC	Kill	Ryanne Wattree	set Chloe Kaminski	+3.7
46	24-22	KC	ST LOU	Kill	Anna Alexander	set Jetta Brenning	+4.7
47	24-23	ST LOU	KC×4	Kill	Emry Brown	set Coco Buschhorn	+2.8
48	24-24	KC	KC×4	Attack err	Tea Kalajdzic		+8.1
49	24-25	KC	KC×4	Attack err	Ellie Rink		+8.5
50	24-26	KC	KC×4	Kill	Emry Brown	set Mia Weaver	+9.0

Score shown after each rally, Saint Louis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.