Saint Louis at Missouri St.

RallyIQ prediction

Match prediction

ST LOU 15.1%84.9% MO ST

Saint Louis wins

3-0

2.3%

3-1

4.8%

3-2

8.0%

Missouri St. wins

3-0

37.0%

3-1

31.3%

3-2

16.6%

ST LOU break %: 36.9% vs this opp
MO ST break %: 44.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season so far.

Once the first serve goes up, this becomes a live win-probability chart that updates point by point.