Final · 4 setsTue, Oct 27, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Loyola Chicago def. Saint Louis 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Loyola Chicago 65.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 27, 3:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Loyola Chicago won at Saint Louis 3-1 (25-23, 25-18, 25-27, 25-19) on Tue, Oct 27, 2026. Loyola Chicago's Leyna Nguyen led with 18 kills.

Data through · final Oct 27

Set1234Sets
LOYCHI252525253
ST LOU231827191

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Loyola Chicago built it on serve.

Win probability never moved more than 6.4 points on one rally; Saint Louis topped out at 42% in Set 1. Loyola Chicago went in as RallyIQ's 65% pick.

Loyola ChicagoSaint Louis
  • Break %+8.0 pts
    44.436.4

    On serve: 44/99 against 32/88 (Saint Louis sideout 55.6%).

  • Longest run+1
    54

    Loyola Chicago scored 5 straight in the first set to turn a 9–11 deficit into a 14–11 lead. Final score of the set: 25–23.

Saint Louis above 50Loyola Chicago belowMax swing 6.4%

Loyola ChicagoSaint Louis

Hitting
Loyola Chicago .284·Saint Louis .245
Aces
Loyola Chicago 12·Saint Louis 3
Serve err
Loyola Chicago 10·Saint Louis 7
Blocks
Loyola Chicago 8·Saint Louis 91 BS · 14 BA vs 1 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Loyola Chicago 65·Saint Louis 53

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Saint Louis above 50 · Loyola Chicago below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+6.4% LOYCHIrally 187 · set 4

Biggest swing: 6.4% to Loyola Chicago — set 1, LOYCHI 25-23 ST LOU. Kill by Chloe Morgan (set by Emma Henry). ST LOU win probability 27% → 20%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

LOYCHI 66.0%34.0% ST LOU

Loyola Chicago wins

3-0
20.6%
3-1
25.3%
3-2
20.0%

Saint Louis wins

3-0
6.8%
3-1
12.1%
3-2
15.0%
LOYCHI break %
43.7% vs this opp
ST LOU break %
40.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Chloe MorganKill+6.4%

    Kill by Chloe Morgan (set by Emma Henry)

    Set 1 · LOYCHI 25-23 ST LOU · LOYCHI 73% → 80%

  2. 02
    Ellie RinkKill+5.3%

    Kill by Ellie Rink (set by Jetta Brenning)

    Set 3 · LOYCHI 25-27 ST LOU · ST LOU 13% → 18%

  3. 03

    J'La Sparks stuffed by Kate Maley & Avary DeBlieck

    Set 4 · LOYCHI 20-18 ST LOU · LOYCHI 85% → 90%

  4. 04

    Kate Maley stuffed by Ellie Rink & Kayla Jansen

    Set 3 · LOYCHI 24-25 ST LOU · ST LOU 8% → 13%

  5. 05
    J'La SparksKill+4.7%

    Kill by J'La Sparks (set by Jetta Brenning)

    Set 4 · LOYCHI 17-17 ST LOU · ST LOU 14% → 19%

  6. 06
    Ellie RinkAttack error+4.7%

    Attack error by Ellie Rink

    Set 3 · LOYCHI 24-23 ST LOU · LOYCHI 91% → 96%

  7. 07
    Loyola ChicagoAce+4.3%

    Loyola Chicago ace on Lara Zigic

    Set 4 · LOYCHI 21-18 ST LOU · LOYCHI 90% → 95%

  8. 08
    Kate MaleyKill+4.0%

    Kill by Kate Maley (set by Emma Henry)

    Set 4 · LOYCHI 19-18 ST LOU · LOYCHI 81% → 85%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
418637.32402220100020
416530.36700040052.518.5
47114.42900000052.59.5
43314.000012501226
4000–222400002
4000–3312700001
410119.4740000002111
48533.091000210008
41011.0006301910004
4000–1632400003
Team totals6321148.2845712106531148100
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412227.37013275010.515.5
412327.33300010031.513.5
48117.41200020153.511.5
481136-.08300375031.59.5
49128.28600070010.59.5
4408.500360190031.55.5
4000–000300000
4000–4011220000
4000–200500000
1000–000000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5318143.24543375312116987

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Loyola Chicago vs Saint Louis

Season series · Loyola Chicago leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 LOYCHI · ST LOU 4

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 5 LOYCHIST LOU 4

Set 2

25-18

Longest run 5 LOYCHIST LOU 3

Set 3

25-27

Longest run 4 LOYCHIST LOU 3

Set 4

25-19

Longest run 5 LOYCHIST LOU 3

Bars above the line = Saint Louis leads, below = Loyola Chicago leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Loyola Chicago

SlotSideout %Break %
1
100%11/11
44%7/16
2
50%11/22
35%6/17
3
56%10/18
55%12/22
4
57%8/14
36%5/14
5
67%8/12
47%7/15
6
73%8/11
47%7/15
All
64%56/88
44%44/99

Saint Louis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
61%11/18
9%1/11
2
39%11/28
42%8/19
3
69%9/13
39%7/18
4
53%8/15
53%9/17
5
73%8/11
27%3/11
6
57%8/14
33%4/12
All
56%55/99
36%32/88

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

187 rallies

#LOYCHI-ST LOUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ST LOULOYCHIBlockedTea Kalajdzicblk Kate Maley, Avary DeBlieck+1.7
21-1LOYCHIST LOU×4Serve errLeyna Nguyen+1.7
31-2ST LOUST LOU×4AceTamia Maddoxaced Leyna Nguyen+2.4
41-3ST LOUST LOU×4KillJ'La Sparks+2.5
51-4ST LOUST LOU×4KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.5
62-4ST LOULOYCHIKillClaire Van Den Herikset Emma Henry+1.7
73-4LOYCHILOYCHIKillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+2.4
83-5LOYCHIST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Lara Zigic+2.0
94-5ST LOULOYCHIKillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+1.8
104-6LOYCHIST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.0
115-6ST LOULOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.9
126-6LOYCHILOYCHIAceLoyola Chicagoaced Tamia Maddox+2.6
136-7LOYCHIST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+2.1
146-8ST LOUST LOUBlockedKatie Schererblk Kayla Jansen, Tamia Maddox+2.8
157-8ST LOULOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Sam Falk+2.0
167-9LOYCHIST LOUKillJetta Brenning+2.2
178-9ST LOULOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Jae Fitting+2.0
188-10LOYCHIST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.3
199-10ST LOULOYCHIAttack errEllie Rink+2.1
209-11LOYCHIST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.3
2110-11ST LOULOYCHI×5Serve errTamia Maddox+2.1
2211-11LOYCHILOYCHI×5KillChloe Morganset Emma Henry+3.0
2312-11LOYCHILOYCHI×5AceLoyola Chicagoaced Ellie Rink+3.1
2413-11LOYCHILOYCHI×5KillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+2.9
2514-11LOYCHILOYCHI×5Attack errEllie Rink+2.7
2614-12LOYCHIST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.8
2715-12ST LOULOYCHIKillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+2.0
2815-13LOYCHIST LOUBlockedChloe Morganblk Kayla Jansen+1.8
2916-13ST LOULOYCHI×4KillClaire Van Den Herikset Mya Ball+2.1
3017-13LOYCHILOYCHI×4BlockedEllie Rinkblk Chloe Morgan, Katie Scherer+2.4
3118-13LOYCHILOYCHI×4KillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.8
3219-13LOYCHILOYCHI×4KillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+1.2
3319-14LOYCHIST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Lucy Rankin+0.6
3420-14ST LOULOYCHIBlockedEllie Rinkblk Chloe Morgan+0.8
3520-15LOYCHIST LOUServe errChloe Morgan+0.5
3620-16ST LOUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.1
3721-16ST LOULOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.2
3821-17LOYCHIST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+0.7
3922-17ST LOULOYCHIKillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+1.1
4022-18LOYCHIST LOU×3KillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+0.6
4122-19ST LOUST LOU×3KillJ'La Sparks+1.4
4222-20ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedClaire Van Den Herikblk J'La Sparks, Tea Kalajdzic+2.5
4323-20ST LOULOYCHIBlockedEllie Rinkblk Kate Maley, Avary DeBlieck+2.8
4424-20LOYCHILOYCHIKillChloe Morganset Emma Henry+2.1
4524-21LOYCHIST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+0.5
4624-22ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedKate Maleyblk Kayla Jansen, Ellie Rink+1.5
4724-23ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errLeyna Nguyen+3.7
4825-23ST LOULOYCHIKillChloe Morganset Emma Henry+6.4
Set 2
11-0LOYCHILOYCHIKillKate Maleyset Sam Falk+1.9
21-1LOYCHIST LOUKillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+1.5
32-1ST LOULOYCHIKillAvary DeBlieckset Emma Henry+1.5
43-1LOYCHILOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Emma Henry+1.9
53-2LOYCHIST LOU×3Attack errClaire Van Den Herik+1.4
63-3ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedKate Maleyblk Kayla Jansen, Ellie Rink+2.0
73-4ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errAvary DeBlieck+2.2
84-4ST LOULOYCHIServe errLara Zigic+1.6
94-5LOYCHIST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.7
104-6ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errClaire Van Den Herik+2.3
114-7ST LOUST LOU×3KillKayla Jansen+2.3
125-7ST LOULOYCHIKillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+1.5
136-7LOYCHILOYCHIAceLoyola Chicagoaced Tamia Maddox+2.2
146-8LOYCHIST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Mya Ball+1.8
157-8ST LOULOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.7
167-9LOYCHIST LOUKillTamia Maddox+1.9
177-10ST LOUST LOUAttack errChloe Morgan+2.5
188-10ST LOULOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+1.6
199-10LOYCHILOYCHIKillAvary DeBlieck+2.4
209-11LOYCHIST LOUServe errChloe Morgan+2.0
2110-11ST LOULOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.8
2210-12LOYCHIST LOUKillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+2.1
2311-12ST LOULOYCHIKillKate Maleyset Sam Falk+1.9
2412-12LOYCHILOYCHIKillClaire Van Den Herikset Emma Henry+2.7
2512-13LOYCHIST LOUKillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+2.2
2613-13ST LOULOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Emma Henry+2.1
2713-14LOYCHIST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Lara Zigic+2.3
2814-14ST LOULOYCHIBlockedEllie Rinkblk Kate Maley, Chloe Morgan+2.2
2915-14LOYCHILOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+3.0
3015-15LOYCHIST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+2.3
3115-16ST LOUST LOUAttack errChloe Morgan+3.3
3216-16ST LOULOYCHIServe errEllie Rink+2.4
3317-16LOYCHILOYCHIAceLoyola Chicagoaced Tamia Maddox+3.4
3417-17LOYCHIST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.5
3518-17ST LOULOYCHI×5Attack errJ'La Sparks+2.6
3619-17LOYCHILOYCHI×5KillKatie Scherer+3.4
3720-17LOYCHILOYCHI×5BlockedTamia Maddoxblk Katie Scherer, Avary DeBlieck+2.9
3821-17LOYCHILOYCHI×5KillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+2.1
3922-17LOYCHILOYCHI×5KillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.3
4022-18LOYCHIST LOUKillJ'La Sparksset Lucy Rankin+0.5
4123-18ST LOULOYCHI×3Serve errJetta Brenning+0.9
4224-18LOYCHILOYCHI×3KillLeyna Nguyenset Emma Henry+0.4
4325-18LOYCHILOYCHI×3KillLeyna Nguyenset Sam Falk+0.1
Set 3
11-0ST LOULOYCHIKillAvary DeBlieckset Emma Henry+0.8
21-1LOYCHIST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+0.9
31-2ST LOUST LOU×3AceTamia Maddoxaced Sam Falk+1.2
41-3ST LOUST LOU×3AceTamia Maddoxaced Claire Van Den Herik+1.3
52-3ST LOULOYCHIKillClaire Van Den Herikset Emma Henry+0.9
62-4LOYCHIST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.0
72-5ST LOUST LOUAttack errKate Maley+1.3
83-5ST LOULOYCHI×3KillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+0.9
94-5LOYCHILOYCHI×3KillLeyna Nguyenset Sam Falk+1.3
105-5LOYCHILOYCHI×3AceLoyola Chicagoaced Tamia Maddox+1.3
115-6LOYCHIST LOU×3Serve errMya Ball+1.0
125-7ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errClaire Van Den Herik+1.4
135-8ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errLeyna Nguyen+1.4
146-8ST LOULOYCHIKillSam Falkset Jetta Brenning+0.9
156-9LOYCHIST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Lara Zigic+1.1
166-10ST LOUST LOUKillKayla Jansen+1.4
177-10ST LOULOYCHIServe errEllie Rink+0.9
187-11LOYCHIST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.0
198-11ST LOULOYCHIAttack errJ'La Sparks+0.9
208-12LOYCHIST LOUServe errEmma Henry+1.1
219-12ST LOULOYCHIKillAvary DeBlieckset Emma Henry+0.9
229-13LOYCHIST LOUKillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+1.1
239-14ST LOUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Lara Zigic+1.3
2410-14ST LOULOYCHI×4KillClaire Van Den Herikset Emma Henry+0.7
2511-14LOYCHILOYCHI×4AceLoyola Chicagoaced Lara Zigic+1.2
2612-14LOYCHILOYCHI×4AceLoyola Chicagoaced Ellie Rink+1.4
2713-14LOYCHILOYCHI×4KillLeyna Nguyenset Emma Henry+1.6
2813-15LOYCHIST LOUKillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+1.4
2914-15ST LOULOYCHIKillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+1.2
3015-15LOYCHILOYCHIAceLoyola Chicagoaced Tamia Maddox+1.8
3115-16LOYCHIST LOU×3Serve errMya Ball+1.5
3215-17ST LOUST LOU×3KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.0
3315-18ST LOUST LOU×3KillKayla Jansenset Tamia Maddox+1.9
3416-18ST LOULOYCHIAttack errEllie Rink+1.2
3517-18LOYCHILOYCHIAttack errEllie Rink+1.9
3617-19LOYCHIST LOUServe errJae Fitting+1.7
3718-19ST LOULOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.5
3819-19LOYCHILOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+2.3
3919-20LOYCHIST LOUBlockedLeyna Nguyenblk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning+2.0
4019-21ST LOUST LOUBlockedLeyna Nguyenblk J'La Sparks, Jetta Brenning+2.7
4120-21ST LOULOYCHIKillKatie Schererset Mya Ball+1.6
4220-22LOYCHIST LOUAttack errLeyna Nguyen+2.2
4321-22ST LOULOYCHIKillAvary DeBlieckset Emma Henry+1.7
4421-23LOYCHIST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.5
4522-23ST LOULOYCHI×3KillClaire Van Den Herikset Emma Henry+1.8
4623-23LOYCHILOYCHI×3KillClaire Van Den Herikset Emma Henry+3.8
4724-23LOYCHILOYCHI×3Attack errEllie Rink+4.7
4824-24LOYCHIST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+3.5
4924-25ST LOUST LOUBlockedKate Maleyblk Ellie Rink, Kayla Jansen+5.0
5025-25ST LOULOYCHIKillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+3.7
5125-26LOYCHIST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+3.7
5225-27ST LOUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+5.3
Set 4
10-1LOYCHIST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.2
21-1ST LOULOYCHIServe errTamia Maddox+2.1
31-2LOYCHIST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Leyna Nguyen+2.2
41-3ST LOUST LOUAttack errKate Maley+3.0
52-3ST LOULOYCHIKillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+2.1
62-4LOYCHIST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+2.3
73-4ST LOULOYCHIKillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+2.2
83-5LOYCHIST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Lucy Rankin+2.4
94-5ST LOULOYCHIServe errEllie Rink+2.2
104-6LOYCHIST LOUServe errJae Fitting+2.4
115-6ST LOULOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Jae Fitting+2.3
126-6LOYCHILOYCHIAceLoyola Chicagoaced Ellie Rink+3.2
136-7LOYCHIST LOUBlockedLeyna Nguyenblk J'La Sparks, Jetta Brenning+2.5
147-7ST LOULOYCHI×5KillAvary DeBlieckset Mya Ball+2.4
158-7LOYCHILOYCHI×5AceLoyola Chicagoaced Ellie Rink+3.2
169-7LOYCHILOYCHI×5KillAvary DeBlieckset Jetta Brenning+3.1
1710-7LOYCHILOYCHI×5KillKate Maleyset Sam Falk+2.9
1811-7LOYCHILOYCHI×5Attack errEllie Rink+2.5
1911-8LOYCHIST LOUServe errEmma Henry+1.7
2012-8ST LOULOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Emma Henry+1.9
2112-9LOYCHIST LOUServe errLeyna Nguyen+1.7
2213-9ST LOULOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Emma Henry+1.9
2313-10LOYCHIST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.7
2413-11ST LOUST LOU×3KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.8
2513-12ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errClaire Van Den Herik+3.4
2614-12ST LOULOYCHIKillClaire Van Den Herikset Emma Henry+2.7
2714-13LOYCHIST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+2.6
2815-13ST LOULOYCHIAttack errTamia Maddox+2.8
2916-13LOYCHILOYCHIAttack errKayla Jansen+3.5
3016-14LOYCHIST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.3
3116-15ST LOUST LOUKillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+3.8
3217-15ST LOULOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+3.1
3317-16LOYCHIST LOUKillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+3.0
3417-17ST LOUST LOUKillJ'La Sparksset Jetta Brenning+4.7
3518-17ST LOULOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Mya Ball+3.7
3618-18LOYCHIST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+3.8
3719-18ST LOULOYCHI×5KillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+4.0
3820-18LOYCHILOYCHI×5BlockedJ'La Sparksblk Kate Maley, Avary DeBlieck+5.1
3921-18LOYCHILOYCHI×5AceLoyola Chicagoaced Lara Zigic+4.3
4022-18LOYCHILOYCHI×5BlockedEllie Rinkblk Kate Maley, Avary DeBlieck+3.0
4123-18LOYCHILOYCHI×5AceLoyola Chicagoaced Ellie Rink+1.6
4223-19LOYCHIST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+0.5
4324-19ST LOULOYCHIKillKate Maleyset Emma Henry+0.9
4425-19LOYCHILOYCHIKillLeyna Nguyenset Emma Henry+0.3

Score shown after each rally, Loyola Chicago first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).