Final · 5 setsFri, Oct 30, 2026Watch on ESPN+

Saint Louis def. VCU 3–2

RallyIQ pre-match: Saint Louis 50.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 30, 4:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Saint Louis won at VCU 3-2 (22-25, 17-25, 25-19, 25-20, 15-9) on Fri, Oct 30, 2026. Saint Louis' Tea Kalajdzic led with 19 kills, and Lara Zigic added 22 digs.

Data through · final Oct 30

Set12345Sets
ST LOU22172525153
VCU2525192092

Match story · written from the play-by-play

It went five, and Saint Louis took the fifth 15–9 over VCU.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are Saint Louis's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Saint Louis went in as RallyIQ's 51% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 3 · Saint Louis 5–9 VCU

    From here Saint Louis won 20 of 30 rallies to take the set 25–19.

    Saint Louis 6% → 26%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 5 · Saint Louis 2–2 VCU

    3 straight Saint Louis kills broke a 2–2 tie and made it 5–2.

    Saint Louis 51% → 76%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 5 · Saint Louis 5–2 VCU

    Down 2–5, VCU scored 3 straight to tie it at 5.

    Saint Louis 76% → 52%

VCU above 50Saint Louis belowMax swing 10.5%

Saint LouisVCU

Sideout %
Saint Louis 61.2·VCU 57.7
Break %
Saint Louis 42.3·VCU 38.8
Hitting
Saint Louis .295·VCU .205
Longest run
Saint Louis 5·VCU 6

Jetta Brenning
6 of her kills came in the stretches above. 10 K, .526, 12.5 points.

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

VCU above 50 · Saint Louis below
S1S2S3S4S510050100+10.5% ST LOUrally 202 · set 5

Biggest swing: 10.5% to Saint Louis — set 5, ST LOU 7-5 VCU. Saint Louis ace. VCU win probability 40% → 30%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ST LOU 52.7%47.3% VCU

Saint Louis wins

3-0
13.7%
3-1
19.9%
3-2
19.2%

VCU wins

3-0
11.4%
3-1
17.6%
3-2
18.3%
ST LOU break %
42.8% vs this opp
VCU break %
42.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Saint LouisAce+10.5%

    Saint Louis ace

    Set 5 · ST LOU 7-5 VCU · ST LOU 60% → 70%

  2. 02
    Tamia MaddoxKill+10.5%

    Kill by Tamia Maddox (set by Jetta Brenning)

    Set 5 · ST LOU 10-7 VCU · ST LOU 73% → 83%

  3. 03
    VCUAce+10.0%

    VCU ace on Lara Zigic

    Set 5 · ST LOU 5-5 VCU · VCU 38% → 48%

  4. 04
    Anna BoatnerKill+9.2%

    Kill by Anna Boatner

    Set 5 · ST LOU 4-2 VCU · ST LOU 58% → 68%

  5. 05

    Tea Kalajdzic stuffed by Lara Del Core & Nina Boledovicova

    Set 5 · ST LOU 5-4 VCU · VCU 29% → 38%

  6. 06
    Kayla JansenKill+8.9%

    Kill by Kayla Jansen (set by Jetta Brenning)

    Set 5 · ST LOU 9-7 VCU · ST LOU 64% → 73%

  7. 07
    Gabby LaPataKill+8.9%

    Kill by Gabby LaPata (set by Cansin Sendir)

    Set 5 · ST LOU 2-2 VCU · VCU 40% → 49%

  8. 08
    Tea KalajdzicKill+8.6%

    Kill by Tea Kalajdzic (set by Jetta Brenning)

    Set 5 · ST LOU 1-0 VCU · ST LOU 49% → 58%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519738.31601210010.520.5
515223.56510010233.518.5
512327.33301265010.513.5
510019.5264822110010.512.5
58932-.031103900219
2017-.14300000010.50.5
5000–010200001
5000–4112230001
5000–000800000
44010.40010000111.55.5
2000–001000000
Team totals6822156.295556116083108104
VCUhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
516538.28901110100017
514123.56510000132.516.5
513939.10300110052.515.5
56423.087100100639
5224.00041301100216
44423.000000321226
5104.2501211510003
5001.000110700001
5000–4121300001
5000–000100000
41011.000300000001
Team totals5725156.20552856262181198

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Saint Louis vs VCU

Season series · Saint Louis leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 ST LOU · VCU 6

Set 1

22-25

Longest run 2 ST LOUVCU 6

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 3 ST LOUVCU 6

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 4 ST LOUVCU 3

Set 4

25-20

Longest run 5 ST LOUVCU 2

Set 5

15-9

Longest run 3 ST LOUVCU 3

Bars above the line = VCU leads, below = Saint Louis leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Saint Louis

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
53%10/19
2
69%11/16
50%11/22
3
79%11/14
39%7/18
4
69%11/16
31%5/16
5
53%9/17
41%7/17
6
47%7/15
33%4/12
All
61%60/98
42%44/104

VCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%11/25
53%10/19
2
46%11/24
35%6/17
3
79%11/14
21%3/14
4
67%10/15
39%7/18
5
63%10/16
38%6/16
6
70%7/10
43%6/14
All
58%60/104
39%38/98

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

202 rallies

#ST LOU-VCUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0ST LOUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.5
21-1ST LOUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.8
32-1VCUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.9
43-1ST LOUST LOUBlockedLetizia Galliblk Kayla Jansen+2.5
53-2ST LOUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.8
64-2VCUST LOUServe errVCU+1.9
74-3ST LOUVCUServe errSaint Louis+1.9
85-3VCUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.0
95-4ST LOUVCUKillGabby LaPataset Jordan Baksh+1.9
106-4VCUST LOUAttack errGabby LaPata+2.0
117-4ST LOUST LOUBlockedNina Boledovicovablk Tamia Maddox, J'La Sparks+2.6
127-5ST LOUVCUAttack errTea Kalajdzic+1.8
137-6VCUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Jordan Baksh+2.7
148-6VCUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.1
158-7ST LOUVCU×6Serve errSaint Louis+2.0
168-8VCUVCU×6Attack errEllie Rink+2.9
178-9VCUVCU×6BlockedJ'La Sparksblk Nina Boledovicova+3.0
188-10VCUVCU×6KillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+3.0
198-11VCUVCU×6KillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+2.9
208-12VCUVCU×6KillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+2.6
219-12VCUST LOUServe errVCU+1.7
229-13ST LOUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+2.0
239-14VCUVCUAttack errTea Kalajdzic+2.3
2410-14VCUST LOUBlockedLara Del Coreblk Kayla Jansen, Ellie Rink+1.3
2511-14ST LOUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.3
2611-15ST LOUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+2.1
2712-15VCUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.7
2812-16ST LOUVCUServe errSaint Louis+2.1
2913-16VCUST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Ellie Rink+1.7
3013-17ST LOUVCUKillCansin Sendirset Kayla Foley+2.2
3114-17VCUST LOUServe errVCU+1.7
3214-18ST LOUVCUKillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+2.2
3315-18VCUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.7
3415-19ST LOUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Jordan Baksh+2.2
3516-19VCUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.6
3616-20ST LOUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+2.3
3717-20VCUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.6
3818-20ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louisaced Gabby LaPata+3.1
3918-21ST LOUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+3.1
4019-21VCUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+2.3
4119-22ST LOUVCUAttack errTamia Maddox+3.3
4219-23VCUVCUAttack errTamia Maddox+2.9
4320-23VCUST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Lara Zigic+1.0
4421-23ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louisaced Dunja Martic+2.6
4521-24ST LOUVCUBlockedTamia Maddoxblk Letizia Galli, Cansin Sendir+3.5
4622-24VCUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+1.4
4722-25ST LOUVCUServe errSaint Louis+3.2
Set 2
10-1VCUVCUAceVCUaced Tamia Maddox+2.5
21-1VCUST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.9
32-1ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedLara Del Coreblk Kayla Jansen+2.5
43-1ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errGabby LaPata+2.5
53-2ST LOUVCUServe errSaint Louis+1.8
63-3VCUVCUBlockedKayla Jansenblk Lannah Price+2.6
74-3VCUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+2.0
85-3ST LOUST LOUAttack errCansin Sendir+2.6
95-4ST LOUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.9
106-4VCUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.0
116-5ST LOUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+2.0
126-6VCUVCUKillLetizia Galli+2.8
137-6VCUST LOU×3Attack errLetizia Galli+2.1
148-6ST LOUST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.9
159-6ST LOUST LOU×3KillTamia Maddox+2.7
169-7ST LOUVCU×6Serve errSaint Louis+1.9
179-8VCUVCU×6AceVCUaced Tamia Maddox+2.8
189-9VCUVCU×6KillGabby LaPataset Jordan Baksh+3.0
199-10VCUVCU×6KillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+3.1
209-11VCUVCU×6KillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+3.1
219-12VCUVCU×6KillGabby LaPata+3.0
2210-12VCUST LOUServe errVCU+2.0
2310-13ST LOUVCU×3KillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+2.3
2410-14VCUVCU×3AceVCUaced Lara Zigic+2.7
2510-15VCUVCU×3KillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+2.3
2611-15VCUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.3
2711-16ST LOUVCU×5KillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.7
2811-17VCUVCU×5Attack errTea Kalajdzic+1.7
2911-18VCUVCU×5AceVCUaced Lara Zigic+1.2
3011-19VCUVCU×5BlockedEllie Rinkblk Lara Del Core, Nina Boledovicova+0.7
3111-20VCUVCU×5AceVCUaced Tamia Maddox+0.4
3212-20VCUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+0.1
3312-21ST LOUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+0.2
3413-21VCUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+0.1
3513-22ST LOUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+0.2
3614-22VCUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+0.1
3714-23ST LOUVCUKillLannah Priceset Gabby LaPata+0.1
3815-23VCUST LOUKillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning·
3915-24ST LOUVCUKillCansin Sendirset Jetta Brenning+0.1
4016-24VCUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning·
4117-24ST LOUST LOUAttack errLetizia Galli·
4217-25ST LOUVCUKillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir·
Set 3
11-0ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louisaced Lannah Price+1.7
22-0ST LOUST LOUAttack errLara Del Core+1.7
32-1ST LOUVCU×3KillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+1.2
42-2VCUVCU×3KillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+1.7
52-3VCUVCU×3KillLara Del Coreset Nina Boledovicova+1.8
63-3VCUST LOUKillJetta Brenningset Cansin Sendir+1.3
73-4ST LOUVCUBlockedEllie Rinkblk Lara Del Core, Letizia Galli+1.4
83-5VCUVCUBlockedTea Kalajdzicblk Lannah Price, Letizia Galli+1.8
94-5VCUST LOUAttack errLannah Price+1.3
104-6ST LOUVCU×3BlockedTea Kalajdzicblk Lannah Price, Letizia Galli+1.4
114-7VCUVCU×3BlockedEllie Rinkblk Letizia Galli, Cansin Sendir+1.8
124-8VCUVCU×3AceVCUaced Tamia Maddox+1.7
135-8VCUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.1
145-9ST LOUVCUKillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+1.3
156-9VCUST LOU×4KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+1.1
167-9ST LOUST LOU×4KillKayla Jansen+1.7
178-9ST LOUST LOU×4KillJetta Brenningset Kayla Jansen+1.9
189-9ST LOUST LOU×4KillJetta Brenningset Cansin Sendir+2.1
199-10ST LOUVCUKillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+1.6
209-11VCUVCUAttack errEllie Rink+2.1
2110-11VCUST LOU×3KillJetta Brenningset Lara Zigic+1.5
2211-11ST LOUST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Anna Boatner+2.2
2312-11ST LOUST LOU×3KillJetta Brenningset Cansin Sendir+2.3
2412-12ST LOUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+1.7
2513-12VCUST LOU×4KillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+1.8
2614-12ST LOUST LOU×4BlockedLara Del Coreblk Anna Boatner+2.4
2715-12ST LOUST LOU×4KillJetta Brenningset Lara Zigic+2.2
2816-12ST LOUST LOU×4KillTamia Maddoxset Lara Zigic+1.9
2916-13ST LOUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.2
3017-13VCUST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.5
3118-13ST LOUST LOU×3BlockedLara Del Coreblk Ellie Rink, Anna Boatner+1.5
3219-13ST LOUST LOU×3AceSaint Louisaced Lannah Price+1.1
3319-14ST LOUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+0.5
3420-14VCUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+0.8
3520-15ST LOUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+0.4
3621-15VCUST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+0.7
3722-15ST LOUST LOU×3KillJetta Brenningset Cansin Sendir+0.5
3823-15ST LOUST LOU×3KillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+0.2
3923-16ST LOUVCUServe errTea Kalajdzic·
4023-17VCUVCUKillGabby LaPataset Dunja Martic+0.1
4124-17VCUST LOUServe errJordan Baksh+0.2
4224-18ST LOUVCUServe errEllie Rink·
4324-19VCUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+0.1
4425-19VCUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+0.2
Set 4
11-0VCUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.5
21-1ST LOUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+2.5
32-1VCUST LOUAttack errLara Del Core+2.5
43-1ST LOUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+3.4
53-2ST LOUVCUBlockedEllie Rinkblk Nina Boledovicova, Lara Del Core+2.4
64-2VCUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.6
74-3ST LOUVCUBlockedEllie Rinkblk Letizia Galli, Lara Del Core+2.5
84-4VCUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+3.5
95-4VCUST LOUAttack errLannah Price+2.7
105-5ST LOUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+2.7
116-5VCUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+2.8
126-6ST LOUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Maddalena Fiolo+2.8
137-6VCUST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+2.9
147-7ST LOUVCUAttack errTea Kalajdzic+2.8
158-7VCUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.9
168-8ST LOUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Maddalena Fiolo+2.9
179-8VCUST LOU×5KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+3.0
1810-8ST LOUST LOU×5BlockedLannah Priceblk Kayla Jansen, Tea Kalajdzic+4.0
1911-8ST LOUST LOU×5KillEllie Rinkset Lara Zigic+3.8
2012-8ST LOUST LOU×5KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+3.5
2113-8ST LOUST LOU×5Attack errLannah Price+3.0
2213-9ST LOUVCUServe errLara Zigic+1.8
2314-9VCUST LOU×3KillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+2.2
2415-9ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errLetizia Galli+2.4
2516-9ST LOUST LOU×3KillJetta Brenningset Cansin Sendir+1.8
2616-10ST LOUVCUAttack errEllie Rink+0.9
2716-11VCUVCUAceVCUaced Tamia Maddox+1.7
2817-11VCUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+1.7
2917-12ST LOUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+1.2
3018-12VCUST LOUAttack errGabby LaPata+1.7
3118-13ST LOUVCUKillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+1.1
3218-14VCUVCUKillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+2.1
3319-14VCUST LOUKillAnna Boatnerset Jetta Brenning+2.2
3419-15ST LOUVCUKillMaddalena Fioloset Maddalena Fiolo+1.5
3520-15VCUST LOU×3KillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+2.2
3621-15ST LOUST LOU×3KillEllie Rink+1.8
3722-15ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errLara Del Core+1.0
3822-16ST LOUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+0.3
3922-17VCUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+0.7
4023-17VCUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+1.0
4123-18ST LOUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+0.3
4224-18VCUST LOUAttack errLara Del Core+0.7
4324-19ST LOUVCUKillDunja Marticset Letizia Galli+0.1
4424-20VCUVCUAttack errEllie Rink+0.4
4525-20VCUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+0.3
Set 5
11-0ST LOUST LOUKillTea Kalajdzicset Jetta Brenning+8.6
22-0ST LOUST LOUAttack errCansin Sendir+8.5
32-1ST LOUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+6.0
42-2VCUVCUKillGabby LaPataset Cansin Sendir+8.9
53-2VCUST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+6.9
64-2ST LOUST LOU×3KillAnna Boatner+9.2
75-2ST LOUST LOU×3KillEllie Rinkset Jetta Brenning+8.6
85-3ST LOUVCU×3Serve errTamia Maddox+5.6
95-4VCUVCU×3BlockedTea Kalajdzicblk Lara Del Core, Nina Boledovicova+8.9
105-5VCUVCU×3AceVCUaced Lara Zigic+10.0
116-5VCUST LOUAttack errLara Del Core+8.0
127-5ST LOUST LOUAceSaint Louis+10.5
137-6ST LOUVCUAttack errKayla Jansen+7.2
148-6VCUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+8.3
158-7ST LOUVCUKillLara Del Coreset Cansin Sendir+7.5
169-7VCUST LOUKillKayla Jansenset Jetta Brenning+8.9
1710-7ST LOUST LOUKillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+10.5
1810-8ST LOUVCUServe errAthena Tsalapatanis+6.1
1911-8VCUST LOUBlockedGabby LaPatablk Kayla Jansen, Jetta Brenning+8.2
2012-8ST LOUST LOUKillTamia Maddox+8.0
2112-9ST LOUVCUKillGabby LaPataset Maddalena Fiolo+3.4
2213-9VCUST LOU×3KillTamia Maddoxset Jetta Brenning+5.7
2314-9ST LOUST LOU×3Attack errGabby LaPata+3.6
2415-9ST LOUST LOU×3AceSaint Louis+0.9

Score shown after each rally, Saint Louis first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).