FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwayWCC

0:3

HomeACC

California def. Pacific 3–0

(25-17, 25-15, 25-11)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
PACIF	17	15	11	0
CAL	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

CAL above 50 · PACIF below

Biggest swing: 0.2% to Pacific — set 1, PACIF 9-8 CAL. Portia Sherman stuffed by Ellie Prindl & Julia Porath. CAL win probability 99% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

PACIF 0.6%99.4% CAL

Pacific wins

3-0

0.0%

3-1

0.1%

3-2

0.4%

California wins

3-0

78.1%

3-1

18.5%

3-2

2.8%

PACIF break %: 31.4% vs this opp
CAL break %: 50.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Portia ShermanAttack error+0.2%
Portia Sherman stuffed by Ellie Prindl & Julia Porath
Set 1 · PACIF 9-8 CAL · PACIF 1% → 1%
02
Nicole ZakeKill+0.2%
Kill by Nicole Zake (set by Isabella Gutierrez)
Set 1 · PACIF 6-4 CAL · PACIF 1% → 1%
03
CAL serverAce+0.2%
California ace on Hannah Koester
Set 1 · PACIF 10-11 CAL · CAL 99% → 99%
04
Ellie PrindlKill+0.2%
Kill by Ellie Prindl (set by Alessia Couchond)
Set 1 · PACIF 10-9 CAL · PACIF 1% → 1%
05
Nicole ZakeKill+0.2%
Kill by Nicole Zake (set by Chloe Giehtbrock)
Set 1 · PACIF 5-4 CAL · PACIF 1% → 1%
06
Ashley LiKill+0.2%
Kill by Ashley Li (set by Anna Flores)
Set 1 · PACIF 6-6 CAL · CAL 99% → 99%
07
Abby ZimmermanAttack error+0.1%
Attack error by Abby Zimmerman
Set 1 · PACIF 12-13 CAL · PACIF 1% → 1%
08
Abby ZimmermanKill+0.1%
Kill by Abby Zimmerman (set by Sophia Johnson)
Set 1 · PACIF 10-12 CAL · CAL 99% → 99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

Pacificaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
9Julia PorathOPP	3	6	1	19	.263	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
13Nicole ZakeOH	3	6	2	16	.250	0	0	4	2	0	0	0	6
19Adeline SirbuMB	3	3	0	7	.429	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
2Hannah KoesterOH	3	2	3	14	-.071	0	2	0	2	0	3	1.5	3.5
3Ellie PrindlMB	3	2	1	6	.167	0	2	1	0	0	3	1.5	3.5
1Alessia CouchondS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	5	0	0	0	0	0
7Chloe GiehtbrockS	3	0	0	0	–	8	0	2	0	0	0	0	0
14Ella GridleyDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	0
30Isabella GutierrezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	10	0	0	0	0	0
15Hanna VorhiesMB	2	2	1	5	.200	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	2.5
8Vanessa ZussinoOH	2	0	1	6	-.167	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1
5Gracie ArmatoS	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23Olga GergaczOH	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		21	9	75	.160	20	4	29	6	1	10	6	43

Californiahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BA	BLK	PTS
3Ashleigh WoodruffMB	3	14	0	18	.778	0	0	0	1	2	1	15
18Ashley LiOH	3	12	3	22	.409	0	2	0	3	0	0	14
21Portia ShermanOH	3	11	2	23	.391	1	0	3	2	2	1	12
15Sawyer ThomsenMB	3	7	1	11	.545	0	1	2	1	2	1	9
24Anna FloresS	3	5	0	9	.556	41	3	0	8	2	1	9
13Abby ZimmermanOH	3	6	7	19	-.053	4	0	3	7	0	0	6
14Elise LauL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	1	0	0	0
7Siena MacCuddenL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	3	0	0	0
2Sophia JohnsonL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	14	0	0	0
Team totals		55	13	102	.412	53	6	9	40	8	4	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 PACIF · CAL 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 3 PACIFCAL 4

Set 2

15-25

Longest run 2 PACIFCAL 6

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 2 PACIFCAL 6

Bars above the line = California leads, below = Pacific leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Pacific

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	37%7/19	25%2/8
2	40%6/15	13%1/8
3	60%6/10	25%2/8
4	75%6/8	0%0/6
5	50%5/10	25%2/8
6	42%5/12	17%1/6
All	47%35/74	18%8/44

California

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	80%8/10	71%17/24
2	86%6/7	54%7/13
3	86%6/7	33%3/9
4	75%6/8	40%4/10
5	100%5/5	50%5/10
6	71%5/7	38%3/8
All	82%36/44	53%39/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

118 rallies

Rally log

#	PACIF-CAL	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Hannah Koester	set Isabella Gutierrez	+0.1
2	1-1	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Anna Flores	+0.1
3	2-1	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
4	2-2	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Portia Sherman	+0.1
5	2-3	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Hanna Vorhies		+0.1
6	3-3	CAL	PACIF	Attack err	Sawyer Thomsen		+0.1
7	3-4	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.1
8	4-4	CAL	PACIF×3	Serve err	CAL server		+0.1
9	5-4	PACIF	PACIF×3	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.2
10	6-4	PACIF	PACIF×3	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Isabella Gutierrez	+0.2
11	6-5	PACIF	CAL×3	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.1
12	6-6	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.2
13	6-7	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.1
14	7-7	CAL	PACIF	Serve err	CAL server		+0.1
15	7-8	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.1
16	8-8	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
17	9-8	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Portia Sherman	blk Ellie Prindl, Julia Porath	+0.2
18	9-9	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.1
19	10-9	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Ellie Prindl	set Alessia Couchond	+0.2
20	10-10	PACIF	CAL×4	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Anna Flores	+0.1
21	10-11	CAL	CAL×4	Ace	CAL server	aced Hannah Koester	+0.2
22	10-12	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Sophia Johnson	+0.1
23	10-13	CAL	CAL×4	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Sophia Johnson	+0.1
24	11-13	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
25	12-13	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman		+0.1
26	12-14	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Anna Flores	+0.1
27	13-14	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Hanna Vorhies	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.1
28	13-15	PACIF	CAL	Serve err	PACIF server		+0.1
29	14-15	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Hanna Vorhies	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.1
30	14-16	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Sophia Johnson	+0.1
31	14-17	CAL	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.1
32	15-17	CAL	PACIF	Serve err	CAL server		+0.1
33	15-18	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Abby Zimmerman	+0.1
34	15-19	CAL	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.1
35	16-19	CAL	PACIF	Serve err	CAL server		+0.1
36	16-20	PACIF	CAL×3	Kill	Anna Flores	set Abby Zimmerman	+0.1
37	16-21	CAL	CAL×3	Ace	CAL server	aced Nicole Zake	+0.0
38	16-22	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Anna Flores	+0.0
39	17-22	CAL	PACIF	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman	blk Hannah Koester, Ellie Prindl	+0.0
40	17-23	PACIF	CAL×3	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.0
41	17-24	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff		+0.0
42	17-25	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Julia Porath	blk Ashleigh Woodruff, Portia Sherman	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
2	1-1	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.0
3	1-2	PACIF	CAL×3	Serve err	PACIF server		+0.0
4	1-3	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Sophia Johnson	+0.0
5	1-4	CAL	CAL×3	Attack err	Hannah Koester		+0.0
6	2-4	CAL	PACIF	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman	blk Hannah Koester, Adeline Sirbu	+0.0
7	3-4	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman	blk Hannah Koester, Adeline Sirbu	+0.1
8	3-5	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
9	3-6	CAL	CAL	Bad set	Hanna Vorhies		+0.0
10	4-6	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Adeline Sirbu	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.0
11	4-7	PACIF	CAL	Serve err	PACIF server		+0.0
12	5-7	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.0
13	5-8	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Abby Zimmerman	+0.0
14	6-8	CAL	PACIF	Attack err	Ashley Li	blk Ellie Prindl, Hanna Vorhies	+0.0
15	7-8	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Ashley Li		+0.1
16	7-9	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.0
17	8-9	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
18	9-9	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Ashley Li		+0.1
19	9-10	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Anna Flores	+0.1
20	10-10	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.1
21	10-11	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.1
22	11-11	CAL	PACIF	Attack err	Portia Sherman		+0.1
23	11-12	PACIF	CAL×3	Attack err	Hannah Koester		+0.1
24	11-13	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Elise Lau	+0.1
25	11-14	CAL	CAL×3	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen		+0.1
26	12-14	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Hannah Koester	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.0
27	12-15	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Sawyer Thomsen	set Anna Flores	+0.0
28	12-16	CAL	CAL	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
29	13-16	CAL	PACIF	Serve err	CAL server		+0.0
30	13-17	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
31	13-18	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Nicole Zake	blk Sawyer Thomsen, Anna Flores	+0.0
32	14-18	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.0
33	14-19	PACIF	CAL×6	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.0
34	14-20	CAL	CAL×6	Attack err	Nicole Zake	blk Ashleigh Woodruff, Anna Flores	+0.0
35	14-21	CAL	CAL×6	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.0
36	14-22	CAL	CAL×6	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
37	14-23	CAL	CAL×6	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.0
38	14-24	CAL	CAL×6	Ace	CAL server	aced Hannah Koester	+0.0
39	15-24	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Julia Porath	set Alessia Couchond	+0.0
40	15-25	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Anna Flores	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Anna Flores	+0.0
2	0-2	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
3	0-3	CAL	CAL×5	Attack err	Hannah Koester		+0.0
4	0-4	CAL	CAL×5	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
5	0-5	CAL	CAL×5	Ace	CAL server	aced Ella Gridley	+0.0
6	1-5	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Adeline Sirbu	set Alessia Couchond	+0.0
7	2-5	PACIF	PACIF	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman		+0.0
8	2-6	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Abby Zimmerman	+0.0
9	2-7	CAL	CAL	Ace	CAL server	aced Ella Gridley	+0.0
10	3-7	CAL	PACIF	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman	blk Vanessa Zussino	+0.0
11	3-8	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
12	4-8	CAL	PACIF	Serve err	CAL server		+0.0
13	4-9	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
14	5-9	CAL	PACIF	Serve err	CAL server		+0.0
15	5-10	PACIF	CAL	Serve err	PACIF server		+0.0
16	6-10	CAL	PACIF	Serve err	CAL server		+0.0
17	6-11	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.0
18	6-12	CAL	CAL	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Anna Flores	+0.0
19	7-12	CAL	PACIF	Serve err	CAL server		+0.0
20	7-13	PACIF	CAL×6	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Anna Flores	+0.0
21	7-14	CAL	CAL×6	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Anna Flores	+0.0
22	7-15	CAL	CAL×6	Kill	Abby Zimmerman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
23	7-16	CAL	CAL×6	Kill	Ashley Li	set Anna Flores	+0.0
24	7-17	CAL	CAL×6	Ace	CAL server	aced Nicole Zake	+0.0
25	7-18	CAL	CAL×6	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Anna Flores	+0.0
26	8-18	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Adeline Sirbu	set Alessia Couchond	+0.0
27	8-19	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Ashleigh Woodruff	set Anna Flores	+0.0
28	8-20	CAL	CAL	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
29	9-20	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Ellie Prindl	set Alessia Couchond	+0.0
30	9-21	PACIF	CAL	Attack err	Vanessa Zussino		+0.0
31	10-21	CAL	PACIF	Attack err	Abby Zimmerman		+0.0
32	10-22	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Portia Sherman	set Anna Flores	+0.0
33	10-23	CAL	CAL	Attack err	Ellie Prindl	blk Sawyer Thomsen, Portia Sherman	+0.0
34	11-23	CAL	PACIF	Kill	Nicole Zake	set Chloe Giehtbrock	+0.0
35	11-24	PACIF	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Siena MacCudden	+0.0
36	11-25	CAL	CAL	Kill	Anna Flores	set Sophia Johnson	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, Pacific first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.