FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

New Mexico St. def. Pacific 3–0

New Mexico St. beat visiting Pacific 3-0 (25-20, 25-11, 25-17) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. New Mexico St.'s Maggie Lightheart led with 14 kills, and Makayla Martinez added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set123Sets
PACIF2011170
NM ST2525253

Win probability

New Mexico St. above 50 · Pacific below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 123 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: New Mexico St. stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

PACIF 4.0%96.0% NM ST

Pacific wins

3-0
0.4%
3-1
1.1%
3-2
2.5%

New Mexico St. wins

3-0
58.6%
3-1
28.7%
3-2
8.7%
PACIF break %
36.5% vs this opp
NM ST break %
49.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
36425.080001000006
32021.0001020400004
3308.37500110010.53.5
3107.14310200031.52.5
3148-.3751101020002
22414-.143000200213
36219.211000100217
3209.222000110002
3000–001700000
3000–0001600000
2106.167000100001
2000–910100001
Team totals241498.102214544608448
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
314231.3871109002116
38018.44401291031.510.5
38525.120000301019
3519.44400010132.57.5
3000–1600900000
2238-.12510000010.52.5
37010.70000010031.58.5
3000–1722800002
3000–7141310001
2305.60010000010.53.5
2000–100200000
1000–010000001
1000–00000010.50.5
1000–000000000
Team totals4711106.3404468554214975

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 PACIF · NM ST 7

Set 1

20-25

Longest run 2 PACIFNM ST 7

Set 2

11-25

Longest run 2 PACIFNM ST 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 5 PACIFNM ST 4

Bars above the line = New Mexico St. leads, below = Pacific leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Pacific

SlotSideout %Break %
1
36%4/11
57%4/7
2
50%4/8
20%1/5
3
31%4/13
33%2/6
4
30%3/10
20%1/5
5
67%2/3
25%1/4
6
50%2/4
0%0/2
All
39%19/49
31%9/29

New Mexico St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
44%4/9
50%3/6
2
100%4/4
69%9/13
3
57%4/7
60%6/10
4
100%3/3
67%6/9
5
75%3/4
57%4/7
6
100%2/2
50%2/4
All
69%20/29
61%30/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

123 rallies

#PACIF-NM STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
11-0PACIFPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond
22-0PACIFPACIFBlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Julia Porath, Adeline Sirbu
32-1PACIFNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson
43-1NM STPACIFServe errNew Mexico St.
53-2PACIFNM STKillMia Fox
64-2NM STPACIFKillJulia Porath
75-2PACIFPACIFBlockedLilli Saldivarblk Ellie Prindl, Julia Porath
85-3PACIFNM STServe errPacific
96-3NM STPACIFServe errNew Mexico St.
107-3PACIFPACIFBlockedLilli Saldivarblk Ellie Prindl, Hanna Vorhies
117-4PACIFNM ST×6KillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan
127-5NM STNM ST×6KillJacqueline Corcoranset Katrina Catalan
137-6NM STNM ST×6KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan
147-7NM STNM ST×6Attack errVanessa Zussino
157-8NM ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

167-9NM STNM ST×6AceNew Mexico St.aced Vanessa Zussino
178-9NM STPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Gwendolyn Hansen
188-10PACIFNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan
199-10NM STPACIFKillEllie Prindlset Gwendolyn Hansen
2010-10PACIFPACIFKillAdeline Sirbuset Gwendolyn Hansen
2110-11PACIFNM STBlockedNicole Zakeblk Ashley Herman, Jacqueline Corcoran
2211-11NM STPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Gwendolyn Hansen
2312-11PACIFPACIFAcePacificaced Jacqueline Corcoran
2412-12PACIFNM ST×7KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson
2512-13NM STNM ST×7KillJaelynn Kohli
2612-14NM STNM ST×7KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez
2712-15NM STNM ST×7BlockedJulia Porathblk Maggie Lightheart, Mia Fox
2812-16NM STNM ST×7KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez
2912-17NM ST
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3012-18NM STNM ST×7KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez
3113-18NM STPACIFServe errNew Mexico St.
3213-19PACIFNM STAttack errVanessa Zussinoset Alessia Couchond
3314-19NM STPACIFServe errNew Mexico St.
3414-20PACIFNM ST×3BlockedJulia Porathblk Mia Fox
3514-21NM STNM ST×3Attack errVanessa Zussino
3614-22NM STNM ST×3BlockedVanessa Zussinoblk Ashley Herman, Lilli Saldivar
3715-22PACIF
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

3816-22PACIFPACIFKillVanessa Zussino
3916-23PACIFNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan
4017-23NM STPACIFAttack errLilli Saldivarset Katrina Catalan
4118-23PACIFPACIFKillNicole Zake
4218-24PACIFNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan
4319-24NM STPACIFAttack errJaelynn Kohliset Katrina Catalan
4420-24PACIFPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Gwendolyn Hansen
4520-25PACIFNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan
Set 2
11-0NM STPACIFKillAdeline Sirbu
21-1PACIFNM STKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson
31-2NM STNM STKillMia Fox
42-2NM STPACIFKillJulia Porathset Alessia Couchond
52-3PACIFNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson
62-4NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Lilli Saldivar
72-5NM STNM ST×3BlockedJulia Porathblk Maggie Lightheart, Mia Fox
83-5NM STPACIFServe errNew Mexico St.
93-6PACIFNM STKillLilli Saldivar
103-7NM STNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez
114-7NM STPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Gwendolyn Hansen
124-8PACIFNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan
135-8NM STPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Gwendolyn Hansen
145-9PACIFNM STKillJacqueline Corcoranset Katrina Catalan
155-10NM STNM STBlockedJacqueline Corcoranblk Jacqueline Corcoran, Ashley Herman
166-10NM STPACIFAttack errMaggie Lightheartset Katrina Catalan
176-11PACIFNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohli
186-12NM STNM ST×3Attack errNicole Zake
196-13NM STNM ST×3BlockedJulia Porathblk Jacqueline Corcoran, Mia Fox
207-13NM STPACIFKillOlga Gergacz
218-13PACIFPACIFAttack errJaelynn Kohli
228-14PACIFNM ST×4KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson
238-15NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.aced Vanessa Zussino
248-16NM STNM ST×4AceNew Mexico St.
258-17NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson
269-17NM STPACIFKillAdeline Sirbu
279-18PACIFNM ST×5KillMaggie Lightheart
289-19NM STNM ST×5KillLilli Saldivarset Makayla Martinez
299-20NM STNM ST×5AceNew Mexico St.aced Vanessa Zussino
309-21NM STNM ST×5KillMaggie Lightheart
319-22NM STNM ST×5Attack errNicole Zake
3210-22NM STPACIFServe errNew Mexico St.
3311-22PACIFPACIFAcePacific
3411-23PACIFNM ST×3BlockedHanna Vorhiesblk Sadie Ross, Kate Sinclair
3511-24NM STNM ST×3KillSadie Rossset Katrina Catalan
3611-25NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.
Set 3
10-1PACIFNM ST×3KillJacqueline Corcoranset Paige Nelson
20-2NM STNM ST×3KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson
30-3NM STNM ST×3KillMia Foxset Alessia Couchond
41-3NM STPACIFKillMia Foxset Paige Nelson
51-4PACIFNM STKillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson
62-4NM STPACIF×3Serve errNew Mexico St.
73-4PACIFPACIF×3KillHanna Vorhiesset Ellie Prindl
84-4PACIFPACIF×3KillSadie Ross
94-5PACIFNM STServe errPacific
104-6NM STNM STAceNew Mexico St.aced Gracie Armato
115-6NM STPACIFKillHanna Vorhiesset Alessia Couchond
125-7PACIFNM ST×4KillSadie Rossset Katrina Catalan
135-8NM STNM ST×4KillJacqueline Corcoranset Makayla Martinez
145-9NM STNM ST×4KillJacqueline Corcoranset Katrina Catalan
155-10NM STNM ST×4KillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan
166-10NM STPACIFKillGracie Armatoset Alessia Couchond
176-11PACIFNM STKillSadie Rossset Katrina Catalan
187-11NM STPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond
197-12PACIFNM STKillAshley Hermanset Katrina Catalan
207-13NM STNM STKillJaelynn Kohliset Maggie Lightheart
218-13NM STPACIF×5KillAlessia Couchondset Vanessa Zussino
229-13PACIFPACIF×5AcePacificaced Makayla Martinez
2310-13PACIFPACIF×5Attack errJaelynn Kohli
2411-13PACIFPACIF×5BlockedJaelynn Kohliblk Ellie Prindl, Hanna Vorhies
2512-13PACIFPACIF×5KillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond
2612-14PACIFNM ST×4KillJacqueline Corcoranset Paige Nelson
2712-15NM STNM ST×4KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson
2812-16NM STNM ST×4KillJaelynn Kohliset Paige Nelson
2912-17NM STNM ST×4KillMaggie Lightheartset Paige Nelson
3013-17NM STPACIFKillNicole Zakeset Alessia Couchond
3113-18PACIFNM STServe errPacific
3214-18NM STPACIFBad setSadie Ross
3314-19PACIFNM ST×3Serve errPacific
3414-20NM STNM ST×3AceNew Mexico St.
3514-21NM STNM ST×3KillMaggie Lightheartset Makayla Martinez
3615-21NM STPACIFServe errNew Mexico St.
3715-22PACIFNM STServe errPacific
3815-23NM STNM STKillJacqueline Corcoranset Sadie Ross
3916-23NM STPACIFKillGracie Armatoset Alessia Couchond
4017-23PACIFPACIFAcePacific
4117-24PACIFNM STKillJacqueline Corcoranset Katrina Catalan
4217-25NM STNM STBlockedNicole Zakeblk Jaelynn Kohli

Score shown after each rally, Pacific first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).