UC San Diego def. Pacific 3–0
(25-17, 25-21, 25-20)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PACIF | 17 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| UCSD | 25 | 25 | 25 | 3 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 1.1% to Pacific — set 2, PACIF 15-12 UCSD. Kill by Adeline Sirbu. UCSD win probability 94% → 93%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
Pacific wins
UC San Diego wins
- PACIF break %
- 37.3% vs this opp
- UCSD break %
- 49.1% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01
- 02Kylie ParkerKill+1.0%
Kill by Kylie Parker (set by Marleena Catalan)
Set 2 · PACIF 19-21 UCSD · UCSD 97% → 98%
- 03UCSD serverAce+1.0%
UC San Diego ace on Vanessa Zussino
Set 2 · PACIF 16-15 UCSD · UCSD 94% → 95%
- 04
- 05PACIF serverAce+1.0%
Pacific ace on Ireland McNees
Set 2 · PACIF 12-7 UCSD · PACIF 7% → 8%
- 06Nicole ZakeAttack error+0.9%
Nicole Zake stuffed by Madison Johnson & Maija Nepszy
Set 2 · PACIF 16-17 UCSD · UCSD 96% → 97%
- 07Julia PorathKill+0.9%
Kill by Julia Porath (set by Alessia Couchond)
Set 2 · PACIF 16-13 UCSD · PACIF 6% → 7%
- 08Olga GergaczKill+0.9%
Kill by Olga Gergacz (set by Gwendolyn Hansen)
Set 2 · PACIF 19-19 UCSD · PACIF 3% → 4%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 8 | 2 | 20 | .300 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | .182 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| 3 | 5 | 7 | 24 | -.083 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | .067 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 4.5 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -.167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 3 | 8 | 2 | 14 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 5 | 5 | 26 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 5.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 36 | 25 | 120 | .092 | 34 | 1 | 7 | 49 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 58 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 32 | .219 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 3 | 10 | 3 | 28 | .250 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 11.5 | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 13 | .385 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -.500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 7 | 3 | 17 | .235 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | .125 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 3.5 | |
| 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.000 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | .167 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 38 | 16 | 112 | .196 | 32 | 1 | 4 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 75 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
17-25
Set 2
21-25
Set 3
20-25
Bars above the line = UC San Diego leads, below = Pacific leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
Pacific
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29%7/24 | 0%0/6 |
| 2 | 50%6/12 | 56%9/16 |
| 3 | 50%6/12 | 40%4/10 |
| 4 | 55%6/11 | 50%6/12 |
| 5 | 56%5/9 | 40%4/10 |
| 6 | 80%4/5 | 17%1/6 |
| All | 47%34/73 | 40%24/60 |
UC San Diego
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 54%7/13 | 58%7/12 |
| 2 | 67%6/9 | 65%11/17 |
| 3 | 55%6/11 | 57%8/14 |
| 4 | 55%6/11 | 33%3/9 |
| 5 | 55%6/11 | 45%5/11 |
| 6 | 100%5/5 | 50%5/10 |
| All | 60%36/60 | 53%39/73 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
133 rallies
Rally log
| # | PACIF-UCSD | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | PACIF | UCSD | Attack err | Nicole Zake | +0.5 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | UCSD | UCSD | Attack err | Hanna Vorhies | +0.6 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UCSD | PACIF×3 | Kill | Adeline Sirbu | set Alessia Couchond | +0.5 |
| 4 | 2-2 | PACIF | PACIF×3 | Kill | Vanessa Zussino | set Alessia Couchond | +0.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | PACIF | PACIF×3 | Kill | Hanna Vorhies | set Nicole Zake | +0.9 |
| 6 | 3-3 | PACIF | UCSD×4 | Kill | Ireland McNees | set Paulina Baillie | +0.6 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Attack err | Hanna Vorhies | blk Ireland McNees, Madison Johnson | +0.7 |
| 8 | 3-5 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Bad set | Isabella Gutierrez | +0.7 | |
| 9 | 3-6 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Attack err | Alessia Couchond | +0.5 | |
| 10 | 4-6 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Vanessa Zussino | set Isabella Gutierrez | +0.4 |
| 11 | 5-6 | PACIF | PACIF | Kill | Vanessa Zussino | set Alessia Couchond | +0.7 |
| 12 | 5-7 | PACIF | UCSD | Serve err | PACIF server | +0.5 | |
| 13 | 6-7 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Isabella Gutierrez | set Alessia Couchond | +0.6 |
| 14 | 6-8 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Gia Rivera | set Maija Nepszy | +0.5 |
| 15 | 6-9 | UCSD | UCSD | Bad set | Olga Gergacz | +0.6 | |
| 16 | 7-9 | UCSD | PACIF | Serve err | UCSD server | +0.5 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | PACIF | PACIF | Attack err | Gia Rivera | +0.8 | |
| 18 | 8-10 | PACIF | UCSD×5 | Attack err | Chloe Giehtbrock | +0.6 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | UCSD | UCSD×5 | Attack err | Ellie Prindl | +0.7 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | UCSD | UCSD×5 | Attack err | Nicole Zake | +0.5 | |
| 21 | 8-13 | UCSD | UCSD×5 | Kill | Molly McCluskey | set Ireland McNees | +0.4 |
| 22 | 8-14 | UCSD | UCSD×5 | Attack err | Nicole Zake | +0.3 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | UCSD | PACIF | Attack err | Kaliya Ndiaye | blk Ellie Prindl | +0.2 |
| 24 | 9-15 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Gia Rivera | set Marleena Catalan | +0.2 |
| 25 | 10-15 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Olga Gergacz | set Isabella Gutierrez | +0.2 |
| 26 | 10-16 | PACIF | UCSD×4 | Kill | Ireland McNees | set Marleena Catalan | +0.2 |
| 27 | 10-17 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Kill | Ireland McNees | +0.2 | |
| 28 | 10-18 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Attack err | Adeline Sirbu | +0.1 | |
| 29 | 10-19 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Attack err | Hanna Vorhies | blk Molly McCluskey, Madison Johnson | +0.1 |
| 30 | 11-19 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Nicole Zake | set Alessia Couchond | +0.0 |
| 31 | 11-20 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Molly McCluskey | set Marleena Catalan | +0.0 |
| 32 | 11-21 | UCSD | UCSD | Kill | Ireland McNees | set Maija Nepszy | +0.0 |
| 33 | 12-21 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Julia Porath | set Alessia Couchond | +0.0 |
| 34 | 13-21 | PACIF | PACIF | Attack err | Molly McCluskey | blk Ellie Prindl, Vanessa Zussino | +0.0 |
| 35 | 13-22 | PACIF | UCSD | Attack err | Julia Porath | blk Madison Johnson, Ireland McNees | +0.0 |
| 36 | 13-23 | UCSD | UCSD | Kill | Molly McCluskey | set Maija Nepszy | +0.0 |
| 37 | 14-23 | UCSD | PACIF×3 | Attack err | Molly McCluskey | +0.0 | |
| 38 | 15-23 | PACIF | PACIF×3 | Kill | Vanessa Zussino | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.0 |
| 39 | 16-23 | PACIF | PACIF×3 | Kill | Vanessa Zussino | set Isabella Gutierrez | +0.0 |
| 40 | 16-24 | PACIF | UCSD | Serve err | PACIF server | +0.0 | |
| 41 | 17-24 | UCSD | PACIF | Serve err | UCSD server | +0.0 | |
| 42 | 17-25 | PACIF | UCSD | Serve err | PACIF server | +0.0 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | UCSD | UCSD | Attack err | Adeline Sirbu | +0.4 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | UCSD | UCSD | Attack err | Vanessa Zussino | blk Ireland McNees, Kaliya Ndiaye | +0.4 |
| 3 | 1-2 | UCSD | PACIF×6 | Attack err | Kaliya Ndiaye | +0.3 | |
| 4 | 2-2 | PACIF | PACIF×6 | Kill | Nicole Zake | set Isabella Gutierrez | +0.5 |
| 5 | 3-2 | PACIF | PACIF×6 | Attack err | Molly McCluskey | blk Nicole Zake | +0.6 |
| 6 | 4-2 | PACIF | PACIF×6 | Bad set | Marleena Catalan | +0.7 | |
| 7 | 5-2 | PACIF | PACIF×6 | Kill | Nicole Zake | set Alessia Couchond | +0.7 |
| 8 | 6-2 | PACIF | PACIF×6 | Attack err | Marleena Catalan | +0.8 | |
| 9 | 6-3 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Molly McCluskey | set Marleena Catalan | +0.5 |
| 10 | 6-4 | UCSD | UCSD | Kill | Ireland McNees | set Marleena Catalan | +0.7 |
| 11 | 7-4 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Julia Porath | set Alessia Couchond | +0.6 |
| 12 | 7-5 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Madison Johnson | set Marleena Catalan | +0.5 |
| 13 | 8-5 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Nicole Zake | set Alessia Couchond | +0.6 |
| 14 | 9-5 | PACIF | PACIF | Attack err | Ireland McNees | +0.9 | |
| 15 | 9-6 | PACIF | UCSD | Serve err | PACIF server | +0.5 | |
| 16 | 10-6 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Olga Gergacz | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.7 |
| 17 | 10-7 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Kylie Parker | set Maija Nepszy | +0.6 |
| 18 | 11-7 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Ellie Prindl | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.7 |
| 19 | 12-7 | PACIF | PACIF | Ace | PACIF server | aced Ireland McNees | +1.0 |
| 20 | 12-8 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Maija Nepszy | set Molly McCluskey | +0.5 |
| 21 | 13-8 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Olga Gergacz | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.8 |
| 22 | 13-9 | PACIF | UCSD×4 | Kill | Kylie Parker | set Marleena Catalan | +0.6 |
| 23 | 13-10 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Attack err | Vanessa Zussino | +0.8 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Attack err | Julia Porath | +0.9 | |
| 25 | 13-12 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Kill | Ireland McNees | set Marleena Catalan | +0.9 |
| 26 | 14-12 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Vanessa Zussino | set Alessia Couchond | +0.8 |
| 27 | 15-12 | PACIF | PACIF | Kill | Adeline Sirbu | +1.1 | |
| 28 | 15-13 | PACIF | UCSD | Serve err | PACIF server | +0.7 | |
| 29 | 16-13 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Julia Porath | set Alessia Couchond | +0.9 |
| 30 | 16-14 | PACIF | UCSD×4 | Kill | Molly McCluskey | set Marleena Catalan | +0.7 |
| 31 | 16-15 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Ace | UCSD server | aced Vanessa Zussino | +1.0 |
| 32 | 16-16 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Attack err | Nicole Zake | +1.0 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Attack err | Nicole Zake | blk Madison Johnson, Maija Nepszy | +0.9 |
| 34 | 17-17 | UCSD | PACIF | Serve err | UCSD server | +0.8 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Maija Nepszy | +0.7 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | UCSD | PACIF | Serve err | UCSD server | +0.8 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Madison Johnson | set Maija Nepszy | +0.8 |
| 38 | 19-19 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Olga Gergacz | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.9 |
| 39 | 19-20 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Kylie Parker | set Maija Nepszy | +0.9 |
| 40 | 19-21 | UCSD | UCSD | Kill | Kylie Parker | set Marleena Catalan | +1.0 |
| 41 | 20-21 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Olga Gergacz | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.7 |
| 42 | 20-22 | PACIF | UCSD×3 | Kill | Molly McCluskey | set Marleena Catalan | +0.8 |
| 43 | 20-23 | UCSD | UCSD×3 | Attack err | Julia Porath | +0.8 | |
| 44 | 20-24 | UCSD | UCSD×3 | Kill | Molly McCluskey | set Marleena Catalan | +0.4 |
| 45 | 21-24 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Adeline Sirbu | set Alessia Couchond | +0.1 |
| 46 | 21-25 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Ireland McNees | set Marleena Catalan | +0.2 |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | PACIF | UCSD | Serve err | PACIF server | +0.1 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | UCSD | UCSD | Attack err | Adeline Sirbu | +0.2 | |
| 3 | 1-2 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Vanessa Zussino | set Alessia Couchond | +0.1 |
| 4 | 2-2 | PACIF | PACIF | Attack err | Madison Johnson | blk Julia Porath, Adeline Sirbu | +0.2 |
| 5 | 2-3 | PACIF | UCSD | Attack err | Julia Porath | +0.2 | |
| 6 | 2-4 | UCSD | UCSD | Attack err | Nicole Zake | blk Madison Johnson, Maija Nepszy | +0.2 |
| 7 | 3-4 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Adeline Sirbu | set Alessia Couchond | +0.2 |
| 8 | 4-4 | PACIF | PACIF | Attack err | Ireland McNees | +0.2 | |
| 9 | 4-5 | PACIF | UCSD×3 | Kill | Madison Johnson | set Maija Nepszy | +0.2 |
| 10 | 4-6 | UCSD | UCSD×3 | Attack err | Nicole Zake | +0.2 | |
| 11 | 4-7 | UCSD | UCSD×3 | Kill | Madison Johnson | set Maija Nepszy | +0.2 |
| 12 | 5-7 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Julia Porath | set Alessia Couchond | +0.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | PACIF | PACIF | Attack err | Kylie Parker | blk Olga Gergacz, Ellie Prindl | +0.2 |
| 14 | 6-8 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Kylie Parker | set Maija Nepszy | +0.2 |
| 15 | 6-9 | UCSD | UCSD | Kill | Kylie Parker | set Maija Nepszy | +0.2 |
| 16 | 7-9 | UCSD | PACIF | Attack err | Maija Nepszy | +0.1 | |
| 17 | 7-10 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Kylie Parker | set Maija Nepszy | +0.1 |
| 18 | 8-10 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Ellie Prindl | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.1 |
| 19 | 8-11 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Molly McCluskey | set Marleena Catalan | +0.1 |
| 20 | 9-11 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Olga Gergacz | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.2 |
| 21 | 9-12 | PACIF | UCSD×6 | Kill | Ireland McNees | set Marleena Catalan | +0.2 |
| 22 | 9-13 | UCSD | UCSD×6 | Bad set | Alessia Couchond | +0.2 | |
| 23 | 9-14 | UCSD | UCSD×6 | Kill | Madison Johnson | set Marleena Catalan | +0.1 |
| 24 | 9-15 | UCSD | UCSD×6 | Kill | Molly McCluskey | +0.1 | |
| 25 | 9-16 | UCSD | UCSD×6 | Kill | Ireland McNees | set Alessia Couchond | +0.1 |
| 26 | 9-17 | UCSD | UCSD×6 | Attack err | Julia Porath | blk Ireland McNees, Madison Johnson | +0.0 |
| 27 | 10-17 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Hanna Vorhies | set Alessia Couchond | +0.0 |
| 28 | 10-18 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Ireland McNees | set Marleena Catalan | +0.0 |
| 29 | 11-18 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Julia Porath | set Alessia Couchond | +0.0 |
| 30 | 12-18 | PACIF | PACIF | Attack err | Ireland McNees | +0.0 | |
| 31 | 12-19 | PACIF | UCSD | Serve err | PACIF server | +0.0 | |
| 32 | 13-19 | UCSD | PACIF×3 | Kill | Nicole Zake | set Alessia Couchond | +0.0 |
| 33 | 14-19 | PACIF | PACIF×3 | Attack err | Kylie Parker | +0.1 | |
| 34 | 15-19 | PACIF | PACIF×3 | Kill | Olga Gergacz | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.1 |
| 35 | 15-20 | PACIF | UCSD×4 | Kill | Madison Johnson | set Maija Nepszy | +0.1 |
| 36 | 15-21 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Bad set | Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.1 | |
| 37 | 15-22 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Attack err | Olga Gergacz | blk Maija Nepszy, Kaliya Ndiaye | +0.0 |
| 38 | 15-23 | UCSD | UCSD×4 | Attack err | Olga Gergacz | +0.0 | |
| 39 | 16-23 | UCSD | PACIF×4 | Kill | Ellie Prindl | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.0 |
| 40 | 17-23 | PACIF | PACIF×4 | Attack err | Kaliya Ndiaye | blk Ellie Prindl, Vanessa Zussino | +0.0 |
| 41 | 18-23 | PACIF | PACIF×4 | Kill | Vanessa Zussino | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.0 |
| 42 | 19-23 | PACIF | PACIF×4 | Attack err | Kylie Parker | blk Ellie Prindl, Olga Gergacz | +0.0 |
| 43 | 19-24 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Paulina Baillie | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.1 |
| 44 | 20-24 | UCSD | PACIF | Kill | Olga Gergacz | set Gwendolyn Hansen | +0.0 |
| 45 | 20-25 | PACIF | UCSD | Kill | Molly McCluskey | set Marleena Catalan | +0.0 |
Score shown after each rally, Pacific first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.