FinalFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

0:3

HomeAMERICAN

Wichita St. def. SFA 3–0

(25-16, 25-23, 26-24)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SFA	16	23	24	0
WICHST	25	25	26	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WICHST above 50 · SFA below

Biggest swing: 6.1% to Wichita St. — set 2, SFA 23-25 WICHST. SFA service error. WICHST win probability 85% → 91%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SFA 40.1%59.9% WICHST

SFA wins

3-0

8.8%

3-1

14.6%

3-2

16.7%

Wichita St. wins

3-0

17.1%

3-1

22.9%

3-2

19.9%

SFA break %: 41.2% vs this opp
WICHST break %: 43.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
SFA serverService error+6.1%
SFA service error
Set 2 · SFA 23-25 WICHST · WICHST 85% → 91%
02
Avery KoonsenKill+5.2%
Kill by Avery Koonsen (set by Madi Zorn)
Set 3 · SFA 24-24 WICHST · SFA 4% → 9%
03
Jenna CubbageKill+5.0%
Kill by Jenna Cubbage (set by Olivia Cohee)
Set 3 · SFA 24-26 WICHST · WICHST 95% → 100%
04
Maddie WilsonKill+4.7%
Kill by Maddie Wilson (set by Jordan Heatherly)
Set 2 · SFA 22-24 WICHST · WICHST 83% → 88%
05
Caroline KahleAttack error+4.1%
Attack error by Caroline Kahle
Set 2 · SFA 18-20 WICHST · WICHST 79% → 83%
06
SFA serverAce+3.9%
SFA ace on Team
Set 2 · SFA 22-23 WICHST · SFA 13% → 17%
07
Jenna CubbageKill+3.8%
Kill by Jenna Cubbage (set by Jordan Heatherly)
Set 3 · SFA 24-25 WICHST · WICHST 91% → 95%
08
Maddie WilsonKill+3.7%
Kill by Maddie Wilson (set by Jordan Heatherly)
Set 2 · SFA 20-23 WICHST · WICHST 85% → 88%

Official NCAA box

Box score

SFAaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
11Caroline KahleOH	3	13	7	33	.182	1	0	1	2	1	1	0.5	13.5
5Katherine HoltmanOH	3	7	4	22	.136	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	8.5
7Avery KoonsenOH	3	5	4	25	.040	0	0	0	6	1	0	0	5
20Molly CravensMB	3	3	1	11	.182	1	0	0	2	0	2	1	4
23Kyanna CreecyMB	3	1	1	6	.000	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	2.5
18Madi ZornS	3	1	0	1	1.000	16	1	1	7	0	0	0	2
10Kennedy JonesOH	3	4	6	17	-.118	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	4.5
1Aniston CollinsS	3	0	0	0	–	10	2	2	4	0	0	0	2
6Cambry SaulDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	2	9	0	0	0	1
4Erin GoodsonDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
15Brinkley ReevesOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		34	23	115	.096	29	4	8	36	3	10	5	63

Wichita St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Olivia CoheeOH	3	10	5	22	.227	2	0	1	10	2	3	1.5	11.5
24McKenzie JonesOH	3	8	5	20	.150	0	0	0	3	0	2	1	9
14Maddie WilsonMB	3	4	2	13	.154	0	0	0	2	0	6	3	7
26Allie PaulsenMB	3	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
16Jordan HeatherlyS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	23	2	0	11	0	0	0	2
23Gabi MaasL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
7Jenna CubbageOH	3	10	5	29	.172	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	10
9Elinor EngelMB	3	7	1	16	.375	0	0	0	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
12Grace HettL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	3	1	1	6	0	0	0	1
4Addie OethS	3	0	0	0	–	10	0	4	7	0	0	0	0
Team totals		40	19	103	.204	39	3	6	48	4	16	8	76

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 SFA · WICHST 5

Set 1

16-25

Longest run 3 SFAWICHST 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 4 SFAWICHST 5

Set 3

24-26

Longest run 4 SFAWICHST 3

Bars above the line = Wichita St. leads, below = SFA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

SFA

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	42%8/19	40%4/10
2	57%8/14	33%4/12
3	70%7/10	43%6/14
4	55%6/11	30%3/10
5	86%6/7	45%5/11
6	36%5/14	14%1/7
All	53%40/75	36%23/64

Wichita St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	57%8/14	65%13/20
2	62%8/13	11%1/9
3	58%7/12	50%7/14
4	64%7/11	42%5/12
5	86%6/7	25%2/8
6	71%5/7	58%7/12
All	64%41/64	47%35/75

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

139 rallies

Rally log

#	SFA-WICHST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	WICHST	WICHST×3	Attack err	Katherine Holtman		+2.4
2	0-2	WICHST	WICHST×3	Ace	WICHST server	aced Caroline Kahle	+2.3
3	0-3	WICHST	WICHST×3	Ace	WICHST server	aced Avery Koonsen	+2.2
4	1-3	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Madi Zorn	+1.5
5	1-4	SFA	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.6
6	2-4	WICHST	SFA	Serve err	WICHST server		+1.6
7	2-5	SFA	WICHST	Serve err	SFA server		+1.7
8	3-5	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Madi Zorn	+1.6
9	3-6	SFA	WICHST×3	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Olivia Cohee	+1.7
10	3-7	WICHST	WICHST×3	Attack err	Kennedy Jones		+2.1
11	3-8	WICHST	WICHST×3	Attack err	Kennedy Jones		+1.8
12	4-8	WICHST	SFA×3	Serve err	WICHST server		+1.2
13	5-8	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage	blk Kennedy Jones, Kyanna Creecy	+1.9
14	6-8	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Aniston Collins	+2.3
15	6-9	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Addie Oeth	+1.8
16	6-10	WICHST	WICHST	Attack err	Kennedy Jones		+2.2
17	7-10	WICHST	SFA	Attack err	Elinor Engel	blk Caroline Kahle, Kyanna Creecy	+1.4
18	7-11	SFA	WICHST×4	Kill	Elinor Engel	set Addie Oeth	+1.7
19	7-12	WICHST	WICHST×4	Bad set	Aniston Collins		+1.9
20	7-13	WICHST	WICHST×4	Attack err	Kennedy Jones		+1.5
21	7-14	WICHST	WICHST×4	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Grace Hett	+1.1
22	8-14	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Aniston Collins	+0.6
23	9-14	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Olivia Cohee		+1.2
24	9-15	SFA	WICHST×4	Attack err	Caroline Kahle	blk Elinor Engel, Maddie Wilson	+1.1
25	9-16	WICHST	WICHST×4	Attack err	Caroline Kahle	blk McKenzie Jones, Maddie Wilson	+1.1
26	9-17	WICHST	WICHST×4	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.7
27	9-18	WICHST	WICHST×4	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Gabi Maas	+0.4
28	10-18	WICHST	SFA×3	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Madi Zorn	+0.2
29	11-18	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	Maddie Wilson		+0.4
30	12-18	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	Jordan Heatherly		+0.6
31	12-19	SFA	WICHST	Serve err	SFA server		+0.7
32	13-19	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Madi Zorn	+0.4
33	13-20	SFA	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.6
34	14-20	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Madi Zorn	+0.3
35	14-21	SFA	WICHST	Attack err	Kyanna Creecy		+0.5
36	14-22	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Addie Oeth	+0.3
37	15-22	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Caroline Kahle	+0.1
38	15-23	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Elinor Engel	set Addie Oeth	+0.2
39	16-23	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
40	16-24	SFA	WICHST	Attack err	Caroline Kahle	blk Allie Paulsen, Elinor Engel	+0.1
41	16-25	WICHST	WICHST	Attack err	Molly Cravens	blk Maddie Wilson, Olivia Cohee	+0.0
Set 2
1	0-1	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.6
2	1-1	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Madi Zorn	+1.6
3	1-2	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.6
4	2-2	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Madi Zorn	+1.6
5	2-3	SFA	WICHST	Serve err	SFA server		+1.6
6	2-4	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+2.2
7	3-4	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Madi Zorn	+1.6
8	3-5	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.6
9	4-5	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Kyanna Creecy	+1.6
10	4-6	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Elinor Engel	set Grace Hett	+1.7
11	5-6	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Aniston Collins	+1.6
12	6-6	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Olivia Cohee		+2.5
13	6-7	SFA	WICHST	Serve err	SFA server		+1.8
14	6-8	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Addie Oeth	+2.4
15	7-8	WICHST	SFA×4	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Aniston Collins	+1.7
16	8-8	SFA	SFA×4	Ace	SFA server	aced Olivia Cohee	+2.6
17	9-8	SFA	SFA×4	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Madi Zorn	+2.7
18	10-8	SFA	SFA×4	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Addie Oeth	+2.8
19	10-9	SFA	WICHST	Attack err	Caroline Kahle		+1.9
20	11-9	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Madi Zorn	+2.1
21	12-9	SFA	SFA	Attack err	McKenzie Jones		+2.8
22	12-10	SFA	WICHST×5	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.8
23	12-11	WICHST	WICHST×5	Attack err	Katherine Holtman		+2.8
24	12-12	WICHST	WICHST×5	Attack err	Avery Koonsen	blk McKenzie Jones, Maddie Wilson	+3.0
25	12-13	WICHST	WICHST×5	Attack err	Avery Koonsen		+3.1
26	12-14	WICHST	WICHST×5	Attack err	Caroline Kahle		+3.0
27	13-14	WICHST	SFA	Attack err	McKenzie Jones		+2.0
28	14-14	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Maddie Wilson		+3.2
29	14-15	SFA	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+2.4
30	15-15	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Madi Zorn	set Madi Zorn	+2.5
31	15-16	SFA	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+2.6
32	15-17	WICHST	WICHST	Attack err	Kennedy Jones	blk Allie Paulsen, Elinor Engel	+3.4
33	16-17	WICHST	SFA	Serve err	WICHST server		+2.3
34	17-17	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage		+3.7
35	17-18	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Allie Paulsen	set Addie Oeth	+2.9
36	18-18	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Kyanna Creecy	set Aniston Collins	+2.9
37	18-19	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Elinor Engel	set Addie Oeth	+3.1
38	18-20	WICHST	WICHST	Attack err	Caroline Kahle		+4.1
39	19-20	WICHST	SFA	Serve err	WICHST server		+2.6
40	19-21	SFA	WICHST	Serve err	SFA server		+3.2
41	20-21	WICHST	SFA	Attack err	Olivia Cohee	blk Molly Cravens, Katherine Holtman	+2.7
42	20-22	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+3.6
43	20-23	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+3.7
44	21-23	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Madi Zorn	+1.5
45	22-23	SFA	SFA	Ace	SFA server	aced Team	+3.9
46	22-24	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Maddie Wilson	set Jordan Heatherly	+4.7
47	23-24	WICHST	SFA	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage	blk Katherine Holtman, Kyanna Creecy	+2.6
48	23-25	SFA	WICHST	Serve err	SFA server		+6.1
Set 3
1	0-1	WICHST	WICHST×3	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Madi Zorn	+1.3
2	0-2	WICHST	WICHST×3	Attack err	Katherine Holtman	blk Maddie Wilson, Olivia Cohee	+1.3
3	0-3	WICHST	WICHST×3	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.2
4	1-3	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Madi Zorn	+0.8
5	1-4	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.9
6	1-5	WICHST	WICHST	Bad set	Madi Zorn		+1.1
7	2-5	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Molly Cravens	+0.7
8	3-5	SFA	SFA	Attack err	McKenzie Jones		+1.2
9	3-6	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.9
10	4-6	WICHST	SFA×3	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Madi Zorn	+0.9
11	5-6	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Cambry Saul	+1.3
12	6-6	SFA	SFA×3	Ace	SFA server	aced Jenna Cubbage	+1.5
13	6-7	SFA	WICHST	Serve err	SFA server		+1.1
14	6-8	WICHST	WICHST	Attack err	Avery Koonsen		+1.5
15	7-8	WICHST	SFA	Serve err	WICHST server		+1.0
16	7-9	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Elinor Engel	set Addie Oeth	+1.1
17	8-9	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Aniston Collins	+1.1
18	8-10	SFA	WICHST×3	Serve err	SFA server		+1.1
19	8-11	WICHST	WICHST×3	Kill	Elinor Engel	set Addie Oeth	+1.4
20	8-12	WICHST	WICHST×3	Attack err	Kennedy Jones	blk Olivia Cohee, Maddie Wilson	+1.3
21	9-12	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Aniston Collins	+0.8
22	9-13	SFA	WICHST	Attack err	Avery Koonsen		+0.9
23	10-13	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Madi Zorn	+0.8
24	10-14	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.0
25	11-14	WICHST	SFA	Attack err	McKenzie Jones		+0.8
26	11-15	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.0
27	11-16	WICHST	WICHST	Attack err	Katherine Holtman		+1.1
28	12-16	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Madi Zorn	+0.6
29	13-16	SFA	SFA	Ace	SFA server	aced Olivia Cohee	+1.1
30	13-17	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.0
31	14-17	WICHST	SFA×3	Serve err	WICHST server		+0.8
32	15-17	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	Olivia Cohee		+1.5
33	16-17	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage		+1.9
34	16-18	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Grace Hett	+1.6
35	17-18	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Aniston Collins	+1.4
36	17-19	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Elinor Engel	set Addie Oeth	+1.7
37	17-20	WICHST	WICHST	Ace	WICHST server	aced Team	+2.0
38	18-20	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Aniston Collins	+1.1
39	18-21	SFA	WICHST×3	Attack err	Caroline Kahle		+1.5
40	18-22	WICHST	WICHST×3	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+1.4
41	18-23	WICHST	WICHST×3	Kill	Olivia Cohee	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.8
42	19-23	WICHST	SFA	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Madi Zorn	+0.2
43	20-23	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Olivia Cohee	blk Katherine Holtman, Molly Cravens	+0.6
44	20-24	SFA	WICHST	Kill	McKenzie Jones	set Jordan Heatherly	+0.9
45	21-24	WICHST	SFA×4	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Madi Zorn	+0.3
46	22-24	SFA	SFA×4	Attack err	Jenna Cubbage		+0.9
47	23-24	SFA	SFA×4	Attack err	McKenzie Jones		+2.1
48	24-24	SFA	SFA×4	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Madi Zorn	+5.2
49	24-25	SFA	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Jordan Heatherly	+3.8
50	24-26	WICHST	WICHST	Kill	Jenna Cubbage	set Olivia Cohee	+5.0

Score shown after each rally, SFA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.