Final · 5 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026 · Neutral site

SFA def. Missouri St. 3–2

SFA beat Missouri St. 3-2 (26-24, 23-25, 25-20, 18-25, 15-12) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026 at a neutral site. Katherine Holtman led SFA with 18 kills; Missouri St.'s Hannah Gardner had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Aug 29

Set12345Sets
SFA26232518153
MO ST24252025122

Win probability

Missouri St. above 50 · SFA below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100+19.1% SFArally 213 · set 5

Biggest swing: 19.1% to SFA — set 5, SFA 13-11 MO ST. Kill by Avery Koonsen (set by Caroline Kahle). MO ST win probability 38% → 19%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SFA 34.7%65.3% MO ST

SFA wins

3-0
7.1%
3-1
12.4%
3-2
15.2%

Missouri St. wins

3-0
20.2%
3-1
25.0%
3-2
20.1%
SFA break %
38.7% vs this opp
MO ST break %
41.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Avery KoonsenKill+19.1%

    Kill by Avery Koonsen (set by Caroline Kahle)

    Set 5 · SFA 13-11 MO ST · SFA 62% → 81%

  2. 02
    Rilynn FinleyAttack error+19.0%

    Attack error by Rilynn Finley

    Set 5 · SFA 12-11 MO ST · SFA 43% → 62%

  3. 03
    Avery KoonsenAttack error+15.9%

    Attack error by Avery Koonsen

    Set 5 · SFA 10-11 MO ST · MO ST 52% → 68%

  4. 04
    Hannah GardnerKill+14.6%

    Kill by Hannah Gardner (set by Halle Rillie)

    Set 5 · SFA 10-10 MO ST · MO ST 37% → 52%

  5. 05
    Rilynn FinleyAttack error+13.8%

    Attack error by Rilynn Finley

    Set 5 · SFA 14-11 MO ST · SFA 81% → 95%

  6. 06
    Caroline KahleKill+11.1%

    Kill by Caroline Kahle (set by Aniston Collins)

    Set 5 · SFA 6-4 MO ST · SFA 53% → 64%

  7. 07

    Ashlyn Blazer stuffed by Katherine Holtman & Molly Cravens

    Set 5 · SFA 8-5 MO ST · SFA 66% → 77%

  8. 08
    Hannah GardnerKill+10.9%

    Kill by Hannah Gardner (set by Halle Rillie)

    Set 5 · SFA 8-7 MO ST · MO ST 29% → 40%

Box score

Official NCAA box

SFAaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518441.34100040031.519.5
516553.20850017102117
514443.23352114200016
55213.23100010052.57.5
53113.154101100214
52021.00028001400002
5001.0000101040001
5000–2403800000
5000–102400000
48421.190000200219
3217.143000100002
2000–001000000
2000–001100000
1000–000000000
Team totals6821194.24264397780147107
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519443.3492312140010.520.5
512738.13210072010.512.5
57121.28610210153.510.5
59021.42900000010.59.5
5102.50029201700003
5013-.3334211000002
5000–3221200002
5011-1.0003112210001
48415.26700010010.58.5
46523.04300000010.56.5
23313.000000100214
2113.000000000001
1000–000000000
Team totals6627183.21364888531127106

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 SFA · MO ST 7

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 SFAMO ST 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 SFAMO ST 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 SFAMO ST 4

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 SFAMO ST 7

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 4 SFAMO ST 3

Bars above the line = Missouri St. leads, below = SFA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SFA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%13/25
33%5/15
2
76%13/17
32%6/19
3
58%11/19
45%10/22
4
60%9/15
53%10/19
5
69%9/13
47%8/17
6
44%8/18
36%5/14
All
59%63/107
42%44/106

Missouri St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
87%13/15
56%14/25
2
44%12/27
43%10/23
3
53%10/19
29%5/17
4
56%9/16
53%10/19
5
60%9/15
18%2/11
6
64%9/14
25%3/12
All
58%62/106
41%44/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

213 rallies

#SFA-MO STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MO STMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.4
21-1MO STSFAKillMolly Cravensset Caroline Kahle+1.6
31-2SFAMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+1.6
42-2MO STSFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+1.6
53-2SFASFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+2.6
64-2SFASFA×3KillKatherine Holtmanset Caroline Kahle+2.7
74-3SFAMO ST×3KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+1.7
84-4MO STMO ST×3KillLexi Weinbergset Riley Ourth+2.6
94-5MO STMO ST×3AceMissouri St.aced Caroline Kahle+2.6
105-5MO STSFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.8
116-5SFASFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.8
127-5SFASFA×4BlockedLexi Weinbergblk Kyanna Creecy, Avery Koonsen+2.9
138-5SFASFA×4KillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+2.8
148-6SFAMO ST×4Serve errSFA+1.7
158-7MO STMO ST×4BlockedAvery Koonsenblk Jenna Walters, Chloe Judd+2.8
168-8MO STMO ST×4KillLexi Weinbergset Riley Ourth+2.9
178-9MO STMO ST×4KillJenna Waltersset Chloe Judd+2.9
189-9MO STSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+2.0
1910-9SFASFAKillKennedy Jones+3.1
2010-10SFAMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.0
2111-10MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+2.2
2211-11SFAMO STAttack errKennedy Jones+2.1
2312-11MO STSFAKillMolly Cravensset Aniston Collins+2.3
2412-12SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.2
2513-12MO STSFAKillMadi Zornset Madi Zorn+2.4
2613-13SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Kya Johnson+2.3
2714-13MO STSFAAttack errLexi Weinberg+2.5
2814-14SFAMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+2.4
2915-14MO STSFABlockedJenna Waltersblk Katherine Holtman, Kyanna Creecy+2.6
3016-14SFASFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+3.9
3116-15SFAMO STKillJenna Waltersset Hannah Gardner+2.4
3216-16MO STMO STBlockedAvery Koonsenblk Chloe Judd, Lexi Weinberg+3.9
3317-16MO STSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Caroline Kahle+2.9
3417-17SFAMO STKillJenna Waltersset Brooke Eslinger+2.8
3517-18MO STMO STAttack errKennedy Jones+4.3
3618-18MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+2.9
3719-18SFASFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+4.9
3819-19SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Brooke Eslinger+3.2
3920-19MO STSFA×3BlockedRilynn Finleyblk Kennedy Jones, Molly Cravens+3.6
4021-19SFASFA×3Attack errChloe Judd+5.4
4122-19SFASFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Cambry Saul+4.6
4222-20SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+1.9
4322-21MO STMO STBad setMadi Zorn+4.6
4423-21MO STSFAServe errMissouri St.+4.6
4523-22SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+3.1
4623-23MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+7.5
4724-23MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+6.7
4824-24SFAMO STServe errSFA+6.7
4925-24MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+6.7
5026-24SFASFAAttack errJenna Walters+10.6
Set 2
10-1SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Brooke Eslinger+1.9
21-1MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+1.9
32-1SFASFAAceSFAaced Brooke Eslinger+3.0
42-2SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Kya Johnson+2.0
53-2MO STSFAAttack errRilynn Finley+2.1
63-3SFAMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+2.0
74-3MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.2
84-4SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+2.1
95-4MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.2
105-5SFAMO ST×3Attack errCaroline Kahle+2.1
115-6MO STMO ST×3AceMissouri St.aced Avery Koonsen+3.2
125-7MO STMO ST×3BlockedKennedy Jonesblk Chloe Judd, Jenna Walters+3.0
136-7MO STSFA×3KillKyanna Creecyset Aniston Collins+2.0
147-7SFASFA×3KillKennedy Jonesset Avery Koonsen+3.3
158-7SFASFA×3BlockedJenna Waltersblk Kennedy Jones, Molly Cravens+3.5
168-8SFAMO ST×4Serve errSFA+2.3
178-9MO STMO ST×4KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+3.5
188-10MO STMO ST×4Attack errMolly Cravens+3.3
198-11MO STMO ST×4AceMissouri St.aced Erin Goodson+3.0
209-11MO STSFABad setHalle Rillie+1.8
2110-11SFASFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+3.2
2210-12SFAMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.3
2310-13MO STMO ST×3Attack errKatherine Holtman+3.2
2410-14MO STMO ST×3BlockedCaroline Kahleblk Hannah Gardner, Chloe Judd+2.7
2511-14MO STSFABlockedRilynn Finleyblk Katherine Holtman, Molly Cravens+1.5
2612-14SFASFAAttack errRilynn Finley+2.9
2712-15SFAMO STKillHalle Rillieset Rilynn Finley+2.2
2813-15MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Kyanna Creecy+2.0
2913-16SFAMO STAttack errKatherine Holtman+2.3
3014-16MO STSFAServe errMissouri St.+2.0
3114-17SFAMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.4
3215-17MO STSFA×3Serve errMissouri St.+2.1
3316-17SFASFA×3Attack errLexi Weinberg+4.0
3417-17SFASFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+4.8
3517-18SFAMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+3.5
3618-18MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+3.5
3718-19SFAMO STServe errSFA+3.7
3819-19MO STSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+3.8
3919-20SFAMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+4.0
4019-21MO STMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Kya Johnson+5.7
4119-22MO STMO ST×3Attack errCaroline Kahle+4.4
4220-22MO STSFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+1.9
4321-22SFASFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+4.8
4422-22SFASFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+7.4
4522-23SFAMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+6.0
4622-24MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+8.1
4723-24MO STSFAServe errMissouri St.+2.9
4823-25SFAMO STServe errSFA+6.9
Set 3
11-0MO STSFAAttack errHannah Gardner+2.3
21-1SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+2.2
32-1MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+2.4
42-2SFAMO ST×3KillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+2.3
52-3MO STMO ST×3AceMissouri St.aced Erin Goodson+3.4
62-4MO STMO ST×3KillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+3.2
73-4MO STSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+2.1
83-5SFAMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.2
93-6MO STMO STAceMissouri St.aced Caroline Kahle+3.1
104-6MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.9
115-6SFASFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+3.3
125-7SFAMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+2.3
136-7MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.3
147-7SFASFAAttack errLexi Weinberg+3.8
157-8SFAMO STKillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+2.6
168-8MO STSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+2.6
178-9SFAMO ST×4KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+2.6
188-10MO STMO ST×4BlockedMolly Cravensblk Chloe Judd+3.8
198-11MO STMO ST×4KillChloe Judd+3.4
208-12MO STMO ST×4KillRilynn Finleyset Kya Johnson+3.0
219-12MO STSFAServe errMissouri St.+1.7
229-13SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+2.0
2310-13MO STSFA×3KillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.7
2411-13SFASFA×3BlockedHannah Gardnerblk Molly Cravens, Avery Koonsen+3.2
2512-13SFASFA×3Attack errBrooke Eslinger+4.0
2612-14SFAMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+2.9
2713-14MO STSFA×4Serve errMissouri St.+2.8
2814-14SFASFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+4.8
2915-14SFASFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+5.3
3016-14SFASFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Avery Koonsen+5.4
3116-15SFAMO STAttack errAvery Koonsen+3.2
3217-15MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+3.9
3318-15SFASFAAttack errLexi Weinberg+5.3
3418-16SFAMO STServe errSFA+2.8
3518-17MO STMO STAttack errAsha King+5.3
3619-17MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+4.4
3719-18SFAMO STKillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+3.7
3820-18MO STSFAAttack errHannah Gardner+4.7
3921-18SFASFAAttack errHannah Gardner+6.1
4021-19SFAMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Halle Rillie+2.8
4122-19MO STSFAKillAsha Kingset Aniston Collins+4.3
4222-20SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+2.7
4323-20MO STSFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+4.5
4424-20SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Rilynn Finley+3.7
4525-20SFASFA×3KillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.1
Set 4
10-1SFAMO ST×3Attack errKatherine Holtman+2.5
20-2MO STMO ST×3AceMissouri St.+3.6
30-3MO STMO ST×3AceMissouri St.aced Erin Goodson+3.4
41-3MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.1
52-3SFASFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Caroline Kahle+3.6
62-4SFAMO STAttack errAvery Koonsen+2.5
73-4MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.5
83-5SFAMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+2.6
94-5MO STSFA×3KillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+2.6
105-5SFASFA×3Attack errKarissa Chase+4.2
116-5SFASFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+4.5
126-6SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+2.9
137-6MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+3.1
147-7SFAMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+3.0
158-7MO STSFAAttack errAshlyn Blazer+3.2
168-8SFAMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+3.1
179-8MO STSFAKillAsha Kingset Aniston Collins+3.3
1810-8SFASFAAttack errAshlyn Blazer+5.0
1910-9SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+3.1
2010-10MO STMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+4.9
2111-10MO STSFAKillMadi Zornset Avery Koonsen+3.5
2212-10SFASFAAttack errKya Johnson+5.4
2312-11SFAMO STServe errSFA+3.3
2413-11MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+3.8
2514-11SFASFAAceSFAaced Rilynn Finley+5.4
2614-12SFAMO ST×5KillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+3.1
2714-13MO STMO ST×5KillHannah Redrowset Caroline Kahle+5.3
2814-14MO STMO ST×5Attack errKyanna Creecy+5.8
2914-15MO STMO ST×5KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+5.9
3014-16MO STMO ST×5BlockedKatherine Holtmanblk Hannah Redrow, Rilynn Finley+5.6
3115-16MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+3.5
3215-17SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+3.9
3316-17MO STSFAServe errMissouri St.+3.6
3417-17SFASFAAttack errAshlyn Blazer+6.5
3517-18SFAMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+4.6
3618-18MO STSFAServe errMissouri St.+4.7
3718-19SFAMO ST×7KillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+5.0
3818-20MO STMO ST×7KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+7.0
3918-21MO STMO ST×7KillAshlyn Blazerset Riley Ourth+5.7
4018-22MO STMO ST×7AceMissouri St.aced Erin Goodson+3.8
4118-23MO STMO ST×7BlockedKennedy Jonesblk Chloe Judd, Ashlyn Blazer+2.0
4218-24MO STMO ST×7Bad setAniston Collins+0.7
4318-25MO STMO ST×7KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+1.3
Set 5
11-0MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Caroline Kahle+6.2
21-1SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+6.0
32-1MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+6.5
42-2SFAMO STServe errSFA+6.2
53-2MO STSFAAttack errRilynn Finley+6.7
63-3SFAMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+6.4
73-4MO STMO STKillKarissa Chaseset Hannah Gardner+9.8
84-4MO STSFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+6.7
95-4SFASFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+10.8
106-4SFASFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+11.1
116-5SFAMO STServe errSFA+6.7
127-5MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+8.0
138-5SFASFABlockedAshlyn Blazerblk Katherine Holtman, Molly Cravens+11.0
148-6SFAMO STAttack errCaroline Kahle+5.8
158-7MO STMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+10.9
169-7MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Avery Koonsen+9.0
179-8SFAMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+7.5
1810-8MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+9.6
1910-9SFAMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+7.9
2010-10MO STMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+14.6
2110-11MO STMO ST×3Attack errAvery Koonsen+15.9
2211-11MO STSFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+10.5
2312-11SFASFA×4Attack errRilynn Finley+19.0
2413-11SFASFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Caroline Kahle+19.1
2514-11SFASFA×4Attack errRilynn Finley+13.8
2614-12SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+3.3
2715-12MO STSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Aniston Collins+8.5

Score shown after each rally, SFA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).