SFA def. Missouri St. 3–2
(26-24, 23-25, 25-20, 18-25, 15-12)| Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | Sets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SFA | 26 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 15 | 3 |
| MO ST | 24 | 25 | 20 | 25 | 12 | 2 |
RallyIQ model
Win probability
Biggest swing: 19.1% to SFA — set 5, SFA 12-11 MO ST. Attack error by Rilynn Finley. MO ST win probability 57% → 37%.
Before first serve
Pre-match
SFA wins
Missouri St. wins
- SFA break %
- 38.4% vs this opp
- MO ST break %
- 40.9% vs this opp
Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.
Largest win-probability swings
Top plays
- 01
- 02Avery KoonsenKill+19.0%
Kill by Avery Koonsen (set by Caroline Kahle)
Set 5 · SFA 13-11 MO ST · SFA 63% → 82%
- 03Avery KoonsenAttack error+16.2%
Attack error by Avery Koonsen
Set 5 · SFA 10-11 MO ST · MO ST 51% → 67%
- 04Hannah GardnerKill+14.7%
Kill by Hannah Gardner (set by Halle Rillie)
Set 5 · SFA 10-10 MO ST · MO ST 36% → 51%
- 05
- 06Caroline KahleKill+11.2%
Kill by Caroline Kahle (set by Aniston Collins)
Set 5 · SFA 6-4 MO ST · SFA 54% → 65%
- 07Caroline KahleKill+10.9%
Kill by Caroline Kahle (set by Aniston Collins)
Set 5 · SFA 5-4 MO ST · SFA 43% → 54%
- 08Ashlyn BlazerAttack error+10.9%
Ashlyn Blazer stuffed by Katherine Holtman & Molly Cravens
Set 5 · SFA 8-5 MO ST · SFA 66% → 77%
Official NCAA box
Box score
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 18 | 4 | 41 | .341 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1.5 | 19.5 | |
| 5 | 16 | 5 | 53 | .208 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 17 | |
| 5 | 14 | 4 | 43 | .233 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 13 | .231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2.5 | 7.5 | |
| 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | .154 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1.000 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 24 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 21 | .190 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | .143 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 68 | 21 | 194 | .242 | 64 | 3 | 9 | 77 | 8 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 107 |
| Player | S | K | E | TA | Hit% | AST | SA | SE | DIG | RE | BS | BA | BLK | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 19 | 4 | 43 | .349 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 20.5 | |
| 5 | 12 | 7 | 38 | .132 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 12.5 | |
| 5 | 7 | 1 | 21 | .286 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3.5 | 10.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 0 | 21 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 9.5 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | .500 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -.333 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1.000 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 15 | .267 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 8.5 | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | .043 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.5 | 6.5 | |
| 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | – | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Team totals | 66 | 27 | 183 | .213 | 64 | 8 | 8 | 85 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 106 |
Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.
Point differential by rally
Momentum
Set 1
26-24
Set 2
23-25
Set 3
25-20
Set 4
18-25
Set 5
15-12
Bars above the line = Missouri St. leads, below = SFA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.
Sideout and break % by rotation slot
Rotations
SFA
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 52%13/25 | 33%5/15 |
| 2 | 76%13/17 | 32%6/19 |
| 3 | 58%11/19 | 45%10/22 |
| 4 | 60%9/15 | 53%10/19 |
| 5 | 69%9/13 | 47%8/17 |
| 6 | 44%8/18 | 36%5/14 |
| All | 59%63/107 | 42%44/106 |
Missouri St.
| Slot | Sideout % | Break % |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 87%13/15 | 56%14/25 |
| 2 | 44%12/27 | 43%10/23 |
| 3 | 53%10/19 | 29%5/17 |
| 4 | 56%9/16 | 53%10/19 |
| 5 | 60%9/15 | 18%2/11 |
| 6 | 64%9/14 | 25%3/12 |
| All | 58%62/106 | 41%44/107 |
Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.
213 rallies
Rally log
| # | SFA-MO ST | Srv | Point | End | Player | Setter / blockers / passer | WP Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set 1 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | MO ST | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +2.4 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Molly Cravens | set Caroline Kahle | +1.6 |
| 3 | 1-2 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Halle Rillie | +1.6 |
| 4 | 2-2 | MO ST | SFA×3 | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Madi Zorn | +1.7 |
| 5 | 3-2 | SFA | SFA×3 | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Madi Zorn | +2.7 |
| 6 | 4-2 | SFA | SFA×3 | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Caroline Kahle | +2.7 |
| 7 | 4-3 | SFA | MO ST×3 | Kill | Lexi Weinberg | set Hannah Gardner | +1.7 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Kill | Lexi Weinberg | set Riley Ourth | +2.7 |
| 9 | 4-5 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Ace | MO ST server | aced Caroline Kahle | +2.7 |
| 10 | 5-5 | MO ST | SFA×4 | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +1.8 |
| 11 | 6-5 | SFA | SFA×4 | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Aniston Collins | +2.9 |
| 12 | 7-5 | SFA | SFA×4 | Attack err | Lexi Weinberg | blk Kyanna Creecy, Avery Koonsen | +2.9 |
| 13 | 8-5 | SFA | SFA×4 | Kill | Kennedy Jones | set Aniston Collins | +2.9 |
| 14 | 8-6 | SFA | MO ST×4 | Serve err | SFA server | +1.7 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | MO ST | MO ST×4 | Attack err | Avery Koonsen | blk Jenna Walters, Chloe Judd | +2.8 |
| 16 | 8-8 | MO ST | MO ST×4 | Kill | Lexi Weinberg | set Riley Ourth | +3.0 |
| 17 | 8-9 | MO ST | MO ST×4 | Kill | Jenna Walters | set Chloe Judd | +3.0 |
| 18 | 9-9 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Kennedy Jones | set Aniston Collins | +2.0 |
| 19 | 10-9 | SFA | SFA | Kill | Kennedy Jones | +3.2 | |
| 20 | 10-10 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Lexi Weinberg | set Hannah Gardner | +2.1 |
| 21 | 11-10 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Aniston Collins | +2.2 |
| 22 | 11-11 | SFA | MO ST | Attack err | Kennedy Jones | +2.1 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Molly Cravens | set Aniston Collins | +2.3 |
| 24 | 12-12 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +2.2 |
| 25 | 13-12 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Madi Zorn | set Madi Zorn | +2.4 |
| 26 | 13-13 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Kya Johnson | +2.3 |
| 27 | 14-13 | MO ST | SFA | Attack err | Lexi Weinberg | +2.5 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Hannah Gardner | +2.4 |
| 29 | 15-14 | MO ST | SFA | Attack err | Jenna Walters | blk Katherine Holtman, Kyanna Creecy | +2.6 |
| 30 | 16-14 | SFA | SFA | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Aniston Collins | +4.0 |
| 31 | 16-15 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Jenna Walters | set Hannah Gardner | +2.4 |
| 32 | 16-16 | MO ST | MO ST | Attack err | Avery Koonsen | blk Chloe Judd, Lexi Weinberg | +4.0 |
| 33 | 17-16 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Kennedy Jones | set Caroline Kahle | +2.9 |
| 34 | 17-17 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Jenna Walters | set Brooke Eslinger | +2.8 |
| 35 | 17-18 | MO ST | MO ST | Attack err | Kennedy Jones | +4.5 | |
| 36 | 18-18 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Aniston Collins | +2.9 |
| 37 | 19-18 | SFA | SFA | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Aniston Collins | +5.0 |
| 38 | 19-19 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Brooke Eslinger | +3.2 |
| 39 | 20-19 | MO ST | SFA×3 | Attack err | Rilynn Finley | blk Kennedy Jones, Molly Cravens | +3.6 |
| 40 | 21-19 | SFA | SFA×3 | Attack err | Chloe Judd | +5.5 | |
| 41 | 22-19 | SFA | SFA×3 | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Cambry Saul | +4.6 |
| 42 | 22-20 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +1.9 |
| 43 | 22-21 | MO ST | MO ST | Bad set | Madi Zorn | +4.6 | |
| 44 | 23-21 | MO ST | SFA | Serve err | MO ST server | +4.5 | |
| 45 | 23-22 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Halle Rillie | +3.0 |
| 46 | 23-23 | MO ST | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Hannah Gardner | +7.6 |
| 47 | 24-23 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +6.7 |
| 48 | 24-24 | SFA | MO ST | Serve err | SFA server | +6.7 | |
| 49 | 25-24 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Madi Zorn | +6.7 |
| 50 | 26-24 | SFA | SFA | Attack err | Jenna Walters | +10.7 | |
| Set 2 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Brooke Eslinger | +1.8 |
| 2 | 1-1 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Madi Zorn | +1.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | SFA | SFA | Ace | SFA server | aced Brooke Eslinger | +3.0 |
| 4 | 2-2 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Kya Johnson | +1.9 |
| 5 | 3-2 | MO ST | SFA | Attack err | Rilynn Finley | +2.1 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Halle Rillie | +2.0 |
| 7 | 4-3 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +2.1 |
| 8 | 4-4 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Hannah Gardner | +2.0 |
| 9 | 5-4 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Aniston Collins | +2.2 |
| 10 | 5-5 | SFA | MO ST×3 | Attack err | Caroline Kahle | +2.1 | |
| 11 | 5-6 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Ace | MO ST server | aced Avery Koonsen | +3.2 |
| 12 | 5-7 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Attack err | Kennedy Jones | blk Chloe Judd, Jenna Walters | +3.1 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MO ST | SFA×3 | Kill | Kyanna Creecy | set Aniston Collins | +2.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SFA | SFA×3 | Kill | Kennedy Jones | set Avery Koonsen | +3.3 |
| 15 | 8-7 | SFA | SFA×3 | Attack err | Jenna Walters | blk Kennedy Jones, Molly Cravens | +3.5 |
| 16 | 8-8 | SFA | MO ST×4 | Serve err | SFA server | +2.3 | |
| 17 | 8-9 | MO ST | MO ST×4 | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +3.5 |
| 18 | 8-10 | MO ST | MO ST×4 | Attack err | Molly Cravens | +3.3 | |
| 19 | 8-11 | MO ST | MO ST×4 | Ace | MO ST server | aced Erin Goodson | +3.0 |
| 20 | 9-11 | MO ST | SFA | Bad set | Halle Rillie | +1.8 | |
| 21 | 10-11 | SFA | SFA | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +3.3 |
| 22 | 10-12 | SFA | MO ST×3 | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +2.3 |
| 23 | 10-13 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Attack err | Katherine Holtman | +3.2 | |
| 24 | 10-14 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Attack err | Caroline Kahle | blk Hannah Gardner, Chloe Judd | +2.7 |
| 25 | 11-14 | MO ST | SFA | Attack err | Rilynn Finley | blk Katherine Holtman, Molly Cravens | +1.5 |
| 26 | 12-14 | SFA | SFA | Attack err | Rilynn Finley | +2.9 | |
| 27 | 12-15 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Halle Rillie | set Rilynn Finley | +2.2 |
| 28 | 13-15 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Kyanna Creecy | +2.0 |
| 29 | 13-16 | SFA | MO ST | Attack err | Katherine Holtman | +2.3 | |
| 30 | 14-16 | MO ST | SFA | Serve err | MO ST server | +2.0 | |
| 31 | 14-17 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Lexi Weinberg | set Hannah Gardner | +2.4 |
| 32 | 15-17 | MO ST | SFA×3 | Serve err | MO ST server | +2.0 | |
| 33 | 16-17 | SFA | SFA×3 | Attack err | Lexi Weinberg | +4.0 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | SFA | SFA×3 | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Aniston Collins | +4.8 |
| 35 | 17-18 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Ashlyn Blazer | set Hannah Gardner | +3.4 |
| 36 | 18-18 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Aniston Collins | +3.4 |
| 37 | 18-19 | SFA | MO ST | Serve err | SFA server | +3.7 | |
| 38 | 19-19 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Kennedy Jones | set Aniston Collins | +3.7 |
| 39 | 19-20 | SFA | MO ST×3 | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +4.0 |
| 40 | 19-21 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Kya Johnson | +5.7 |
| 41 | 19-22 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Attack err | Caroline Kahle | +4.5 | |
| 42 | 20-22 | MO ST | SFA×3 | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Madi Zorn | +1.9 |
| 43 | 21-22 | SFA | SFA×3 | Kill | Molly Cravens | set Madi Zorn | +4.8 |
| 44 | 22-22 | SFA | SFA×3 | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Madi Zorn | +7.3 |
| 45 | 22-23 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Chloe Judd | set Halle Rillie | +5.9 |
| 46 | 22-24 | MO ST | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Hannah Gardner | +8.1 |
| 47 | 23-24 | MO ST | SFA | Serve err | MO ST server | +2.8 | |
| 48 | 23-25 | SFA | MO ST | Serve err | SFA server | +6.8 | |
| Set 3 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MO ST | SFA | Attack err | Hannah Gardner | +2.3 | |
| 2 | 1-1 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Halle Rillie | +2.2 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Madi Zorn | +2.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | SFA | MO ST×3 | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Halle Rillie | +2.3 |
| 5 | 2-3 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Ace | MO ST server | aced Erin Goodson | +3.5 |
| 6 | 2-4 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Hannah Gardner | +3.3 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Molly Cravens | set Madi Zorn | +2.1 |
| 8 | 3-5 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Lexi Weinberg | set Hannah Gardner | +2.2 |
| 9 | 3-6 | MO ST | MO ST | Ace | MO ST server | aced Caroline Kahle | +3.2 |
| 10 | 4-6 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +2.0 |
| 11 | 5-6 | SFA | SFA | Kill | Kennedy Jones | set Aniston Collins | +3.4 |
| 12 | 5-7 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Ashlyn Blazer | set Hannah Gardner | +2.3 |
| 13 | 6-7 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Aniston Collins | +2.3 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SFA | SFA | Attack err | Lexi Weinberg | +3.8 | |
| 15 | 7-8 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Chloe Judd | set Hannah Gardner | +2.6 |
| 16 | 8-8 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Kennedy Jones | set Aniston Collins | +2.6 |
| 17 | 8-9 | SFA | MO ST×4 | Kill | Chloe Judd | set Halle Rillie | +2.7 |
| 18 | 8-10 | MO ST | MO ST×4 | Attack err | Molly Cravens | blk Chloe Judd | +3.9 |
| 19 | 8-11 | MO ST | MO ST×4 | Kill | Chloe Judd | +3.6 | |
| 20 | 8-12 | MO ST | MO ST×4 | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Kya Johnson | +3.1 |
| 21 | 9-12 | MO ST | SFA | Serve err | MO ST server | +1.7 | |
| 22 | 9-13 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Halle Rillie | +2.0 |
| 23 | 10-13 | MO ST | SFA×3 | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +1.7 |
| 24 | 11-13 | SFA | SFA×3 | Attack err | Hannah Gardner | blk Molly Cravens, Avery Koonsen | +3.3 |
| 25 | 12-13 | SFA | SFA×3 | Attack err | Brooke Eslinger | +4.1 | |
| 26 | 12-14 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Halle Rillie | +2.9 |
| 27 | 13-14 | MO ST | SFA×4 | Serve err | MO ST server | +2.8 | |
| 28 | 14-14 | SFA | SFA×4 | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Madi Zorn | +4.9 |
| 29 | 15-14 | SFA | SFA×4 | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +5.4 |
| 30 | 16-14 | SFA | SFA×4 | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Avery Koonsen | +5.5 |
| 31 | 16-15 | SFA | MO ST | Attack err | Avery Koonsen | +3.2 | |
| 32 | 17-15 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +3.8 |
| 33 | 18-15 | SFA | SFA | Attack err | Lexi Weinberg | +5.3 | |
| 34 | 18-16 | SFA | MO ST | Serve err | SFA server | +2.8 | |
| 35 | 18-17 | MO ST | MO ST | Attack err | Asha King | +5.3 | |
| 36 | 19-17 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Aniston Collins | +4.3 |
| 37 | 19-18 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Chloe Judd | set Hannah Gardner | +3.6 |
| 38 | 20-18 | MO ST | SFA | Attack err | Hannah Gardner | +4.6 | |
| 39 | 21-18 | SFA | SFA | Attack err | Hannah Gardner | +6.1 | |
| 40 | 21-19 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Ashlyn Blazer | set Halle Rillie | +2.7 |
| 41 | 22-19 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Asha King | set Aniston Collins | +4.2 |
| 42 | 22-20 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Halle Rillie | +2.6 |
| 43 | 23-20 | MO ST | SFA×3 | Kill | Molly Cravens | set Madi Zorn | +4.4 |
| 44 | 24-20 | SFA | SFA×3 | Ace | SFA server | aced Rilynn Finley | +3.6 |
| 45 | 25-20 | SFA | SFA×3 | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +1.0 |
| Set 4 | |||||||
| 1 | 0-1 | SFA | MO ST×3 | Attack err | Katherine Holtman | +2.5 | |
| 2 | 0-2 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Ace | MO ST server | aced Team | +3.6 |
| 3 | 0-3 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Ace | MO ST server | aced Erin Goodson | +3.4 |
| 4 | 1-3 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +2.1 |
| 5 | 2-3 | SFA | SFA | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Caroline Kahle | +3.6 |
| 6 | 2-4 | SFA | MO ST | Attack err | Avery Koonsen | +2.5 | |
| 7 | 3-4 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +2.5 |
| 8 | 3-5 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Halle Rillie | +2.5 |
| 9 | 4-5 | MO ST | SFA×3 | Kill | Kyanna Creecy | set Madi Zorn | +2.5 |
| 10 | 5-5 | SFA | SFA×3 | Attack err | Karissa Chase | +4.2 | |
| 11 | 6-5 | SFA | SFA×3 | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Aniston Collins | +4.4 |
| 12 | 6-6 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Hannah Gardner | +2.8 |
| 13 | 7-6 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Aniston Collins | +3.0 |
| 14 | 7-7 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Ashlyn Blazer | set Hannah Gardner | +2.9 |
| 15 | 8-7 | MO ST | SFA | Attack err | Ashlyn Blazer | +3.1 | |
| 16 | 8-8 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Ashlyn Blazer | set Hannah Gardner | +3.0 |
| 17 | 9-8 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Asha King | set Aniston Collins | +3.2 |
| 18 | 10-8 | SFA | SFA | Attack err | Ashlyn Blazer | +5.0 | |
| 19 | 10-9 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +3.0 |
| 20 | 10-10 | MO ST | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +4.9 |
| 21 | 11-10 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Madi Zorn | set Avery Koonsen | +3.4 |
| 22 | 12-10 | SFA | SFA | Attack err | Kya Johnson | +5.3 | |
| 23 | 12-11 | SFA | MO ST | Serve err | SFA server | +3.2 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +3.7 |
| 25 | 14-11 | SFA | SFA | Ace | SFA server | aced Rilynn Finley | +5.3 |
| 26 | 14-12 | SFA | MO ST×5 | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Halle Rillie | +3.0 |
| 27 | 14-13 | MO ST | MO ST×5 | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Caroline Kahle | +5.2 |
| 28 | 14-14 | MO ST | MO ST×5 | Attack err | Kyanna Creecy | +5.7 | |
| 29 | 14-15 | MO ST | MO ST×5 | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Hannah Gardner | +5.9 |
| 30 | 14-16 | MO ST | MO ST×5 | Attack err | Katherine Holtman | blk Hannah Redrow, Rilynn Finley | +5.6 |
| 31 | 15-16 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Madi Zorn | +3.4 |
| 32 | 15-17 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Rilynn Finley | set Hannah Gardner | +3.8 |
| 33 | 16-17 | MO ST | SFA | Serve err | MO ST server | +3.5 | |
| 34 | 17-17 | SFA | SFA | Attack err | Ashlyn Blazer | +6.5 | |
| 35 | 17-18 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Ashlyn Blazer | set Hannah Gardner | +4.5 |
| 36 | 18-18 | MO ST | SFA | Serve err | MO ST server | +4.6 | |
| 37 | 18-19 | SFA | MO ST×7 | Kill | Ashlyn Blazer | set Hannah Gardner | +4.9 |
| 38 | 18-20 | MO ST | MO ST×7 | Kill | Chloe Judd | set Halle Rillie | +7.1 |
| 39 | 18-21 | MO ST | MO ST×7 | Kill | Ashlyn Blazer | set Riley Ourth | +5.7 |
| 40 | 18-22 | MO ST | MO ST×7 | Ace | MO ST server | aced Erin Goodson | +3.8 |
| 41 | 18-23 | MO ST | MO ST×7 | Attack err | Kennedy Jones | blk Chloe Judd, Ashlyn Blazer | +2.0 |
| 42 | 18-24 | MO ST | MO ST×7 | Bad set | Aniston Collins | +0.7 | |
| 43 | 18-25 | MO ST | MO ST×7 | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +1.4 |
| Set 5 | |||||||
| 1 | 1-0 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Caroline Kahle | +6.2 |
| 2 | 1-1 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +5.9 |
| 3 | 2-1 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Madi Zorn | +6.4 |
| 4 | 2-2 | SFA | MO ST | Serve err | SFA server | +6.1 | |
| 5 | 3-2 | MO ST | SFA | Attack err | Rilynn Finley | +6.6 | |
| 6 | 3-3 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Redrow | set Hannah Gardner | +6.4 |
| 7 | 3-4 | MO ST | MO ST | Kill | Karissa Chase | set Hannah Gardner | +10.0 |
| 8 | 4-4 | MO ST | SFA×3 | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Aniston Collins | +6.6 |
| 9 | 5-4 | SFA | SFA×3 | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Aniston Collins | +10.9 |
| 10 | 6-4 | SFA | SFA×3 | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Aniston Collins | +11.2 |
| 11 | 6-5 | SFA | MO ST | Serve err | SFA server | +6.5 | |
| 12 | 7-5 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Aniston Collins | +7.8 |
| 13 | 8-5 | SFA | SFA | Attack err | Ashlyn Blazer | blk Katherine Holtman, Molly Cravens | +10.9 |
| 14 | 8-6 | SFA | MO ST | Attack err | Caroline Kahle | +5.7 | |
| 15 | 8-7 | MO ST | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +10.9 |
| 16 | 9-7 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Caroline Kahle | set Avery Koonsen | +8.8 |
| 17 | 9-8 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Chloe Judd | set Halle Rillie | +7.4 |
| 18 | 10-8 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Katherine Holtman | set Madi Zorn | +9.4 |
| 19 | 10-9 | SFA | MO ST×3 | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +7.7 |
| 20 | 10-10 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +14.7 |
| 21 | 10-11 | MO ST | MO ST×3 | Attack err | Avery Koonsen | +16.2 | |
| 22 | 11-11 | MO ST | SFA×4 | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Madi Zorn | +10.4 |
| 23 | 12-11 | SFA | SFA×4 | Attack err | Rilynn Finley | +19.1 | |
| 24 | 13-11 | SFA | SFA×4 | Kill | Avery Koonsen | set Caroline Kahle | +19.0 |
| 25 | 14-11 | SFA | SFA×4 | Attack err | Rilynn Finley | +13.5 | |
| 26 | 14-12 | SFA | MO ST | Kill | Hannah Gardner | set Halle Rillie | +3.1 |
| 27 | 15-12 | MO ST | SFA | Kill | Kyanna Creecy | set Aniston Collins | +8.1 |
Score shown after each rally, SFA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.