CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsSat, Aug 29, 2026
SFA logo

AwaySOUTHLAND

3:2

SFA def. Missouri St. 32

(26-24, 23-25, 25-20, 18-25, 15-12)
Set12345Sets
SFA26232518153
MO ST24252025122

RallyIQ model

Win probability

MO ST above 50 · SFA below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100MO STSFABiggest swing +19.1% SFA · S5 12-11rally 213 · set 5

Biggest swing: 19.1% to SFA — set 5, SFA 12-11 MO ST. Attack error by Rilynn Finley. MO ST win probability 57%37%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SFA 36.9%63.1% MO ST

SFA wins

3-0
7.7%
3-1
13.3%
3-2
15.8%

Missouri St. wins

3-0
18.9%
3-1
24.2%
3-2
20.0%
SFA break %
38.4% vs this opp
MO ST break %
40.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Rilynn FinleyAttack error+19.1%

    Attack error by Rilynn Finley

    Set 5 · SFA 12-11 MO ST · SFA 43%63%

  2. 02
    Avery KoonsenKill+19.0%

    Kill by Avery Koonsen (set by Caroline Kahle)

    Set 5 · SFA 13-11 MO ST · SFA 63%82%

  3. 03
    Avery KoonsenAttack error+16.2%

    Attack error by Avery Koonsen

    Set 5 · SFA 10-11 MO ST · MO ST 51%67%

  4. 04
    Hannah GardnerKill+14.7%

    Kill by Hannah Gardner (set by Halle Rillie)

    Set 5 · SFA 10-10 MO ST · MO ST 36%51%

  5. 05
    Rilynn FinleyAttack error+13.5%

    Attack error by Rilynn Finley

    Set 5 · SFA 14-11 MO ST · SFA 82%95%

  6. 06
    Caroline KahleKill+11.2%

    Kill by Caroline Kahle (set by Aniston Collins)

    Set 5 · SFA 6-4 MO ST · SFA 54%65%

  7. 07
    Caroline KahleKill+10.9%

    Kill by Caroline Kahle (set by Aniston Collins)

    Set 5 · SFA 5-4 MO ST · SFA 43%54%

  8. 08
    Ashlyn BlazerAttack error+10.9%

    Ashlyn Blazer stuffed by Katherine Holtman & Molly Cravens

    Set 5 · SFA 8-5 MO ST · SFA 66%77%

Official NCAA box

Box score

SFAaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
518441.34100040031.519.5
516553.20850017102117
514443.23352114200016
55213.23100010052.57.5
53113.154101100214
52021.00028001400002
5001.0000101040001
50002403800000
5000102400000
48421.190000200219
3217.143000100002
2000001000000
2000001100000
1000000000000
Team totals6821194.24264397780147107
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
519443.3492312140010.520.5
512738.13210072010.512.5
57121.28610210153.510.5
59021.42900000010.59.5
5102.50029201700003
5013-.3334211000002
50003221200002
5011-1.0003112210001
48415.26700010010.58.5
46523.04300000010.56.5
23313.000000100214
2113.000000000001
1000000000000
Team totals6627183.21364888531127106

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 SFA · MO ST 7

Set 1

26-24

Longest run 4 SFAMO ST 4

Set 2

23-25

Longest run 3 SFAMO ST 4

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 4 SFAMO ST 4

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 SFAMO ST 7

Set 5

15-12

Longest run 4 SFAMO ST 3

Bars above the line = Missouri St. leads, below = SFA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

SFA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%13/25
33%5/15
2
76%13/17
32%6/19
3
58%11/19
45%10/22
4
60%9/15
53%10/19
5
69%9/13
47%8/17
6
44%8/18
36%5/14
All
59%63/107
42%44/106

Missouri St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
87%13/15
56%14/25
2
44%12/27
43%10/23
3
53%10/19
29%5/17
4
56%9/16
53%10/19
5
60%9/15
18%2/11
6
64%9/14
25%3/12
All
58%62/106
41%44/107

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

213 rallies

Rally log

#SFA-MO STSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1MO STMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.4
21-1MO STSFAKillMolly Cravensset Caroline Kahle+1.6
31-2SFAMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+1.6
42-2MO STSFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+1.7
53-2SFASFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+2.7
64-2SFASFA×3KillKatherine Holtmanset Caroline Kahle+2.7
74-3SFAMO ST×3KillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+1.7
84-4MO STMO ST×3KillLexi Weinbergset Riley Ourth+2.7
94-5MO STMO ST×3AceMO ST serveraced Caroline Kahle+2.7
105-5MO STSFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.8
116-5SFASFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.9
127-5SFASFA×4Attack errLexi Weinbergblk Kyanna Creecy, Avery Koonsen+2.9
138-5SFASFA×4KillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+2.9
148-6SFAMO ST×4Serve errSFA server+1.7
158-7MO STMO ST×4Attack errAvery Koonsenblk Jenna Walters, Chloe Judd+2.8
168-8MO STMO ST×4KillLexi Weinbergset Riley Ourth+3.0
178-9MO STMO ST×4KillJenna Waltersset Chloe Judd+3.0
189-9MO STSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+2.0
1910-9SFASFAKillKennedy Jones+3.2
2010-10SFAMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.1
2111-10MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+2.2
2211-11SFAMO STAttack errKennedy Jones+2.1
2312-11MO STSFAKillMolly Cravensset Aniston Collins+2.3
2412-12SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.2
2513-12MO STSFAKillMadi Zornset Madi Zorn+2.4
2613-13SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Kya Johnson+2.3
2714-13MO STSFAAttack errLexi Weinberg+2.5
2814-14SFAMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+2.4
2915-14MO STSFAAttack errJenna Waltersblk Katherine Holtman, Kyanna Creecy+2.6
3016-14SFASFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+4.0
3116-15SFAMO STKillJenna Waltersset Hannah Gardner+2.4
3216-16MO STMO STAttack errAvery Koonsenblk Chloe Judd, Lexi Weinberg+4.0
3317-16MO STSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Caroline Kahle+2.9
3417-17SFAMO STKillJenna Waltersset Brooke Eslinger+2.8
3517-18MO STMO STAttack errKennedy Jones+4.5
3618-18MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+2.9
3719-18SFASFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+5.0
3819-19SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Brooke Eslinger+3.2
3920-19MO STSFA×3Attack errRilynn Finleyblk Kennedy Jones, Molly Cravens+3.6
4021-19SFASFA×3Attack errChloe Judd+5.5
4122-19SFASFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Cambry Saul+4.6
4222-20SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+1.9
4322-21MO STMO STBad setMadi Zorn+4.6
4423-21MO STSFAServe errMO ST server+4.5
4523-22SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+3.0
4623-23MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+7.6
4724-23MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+6.7
4824-24SFAMO STServe errSFA server+6.7
4925-24MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+6.7
5026-24SFASFAAttack errJenna Walters+10.7
Set 2
10-1SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Brooke Eslinger+1.8
21-1MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+1.9
32-1SFASFAAceSFA serveraced Brooke Eslinger+3.0
42-2SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Kya Johnson+1.9
53-2MO STSFAAttack errRilynn Finley+2.1
63-3SFAMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+2.0
74-3MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.1
84-4SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+2.0
95-4MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.2
105-5SFAMO ST×3Attack errCaroline Kahle+2.1
115-6MO STMO ST×3AceMO ST serveraced Avery Koonsen+3.2
125-7MO STMO ST×3Attack errKennedy Jonesblk Chloe Judd, Jenna Walters+3.1
136-7MO STSFA×3KillKyanna Creecyset Aniston Collins+2.0
147-7SFASFA×3KillKennedy Jonesset Avery Koonsen+3.3
158-7SFASFA×3Attack errJenna Waltersblk Kennedy Jones, Molly Cravens+3.5
168-8SFAMO ST×4Serve errSFA server+2.3
178-9MO STMO ST×4KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+3.5
188-10MO STMO ST×4Attack errMolly Cravens+3.3
198-11MO STMO ST×4AceMO ST serveraced Erin Goodson+3.0
209-11MO STSFABad setHalle Rillie+1.8
2110-11SFASFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+3.3
2210-12SFAMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+2.3
2310-13MO STMO ST×3Attack errKatherine Holtman+3.2
2410-14MO STMO ST×3Attack errCaroline Kahleblk Hannah Gardner, Chloe Judd+2.7
2511-14MO STSFAAttack errRilynn Finleyblk Katherine Holtman, Molly Cravens+1.5
2612-14SFASFAAttack errRilynn Finley+2.9
2712-15SFAMO STKillHalle Rillieset Rilynn Finley+2.2
2813-15MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Kyanna Creecy+2.0
2913-16SFAMO STAttack errKatherine Holtman+2.3
3014-16MO STSFAServe errMO ST server+2.0
3114-17SFAMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.4
3215-17MO STSFA×3Serve errMO ST server+2.0
3316-17SFASFA×3Attack errLexi Weinberg+4.0
3417-17SFASFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+4.8
3517-18SFAMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+3.4
3618-18MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+3.4
3718-19SFAMO STServe errSFA server+3.7
3819-19MO STSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+3.7
3919-20SFAMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+4.0
4019-21MO STMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Kya Johnson+5.7
4119-22MO STMO ST×3Attack errCaroline Kahle+4.5
4220-22MO STSFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+1.9
4321-22SFASFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+4.8
4422-22SFASFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+7.3
4522-23SFAMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+5.9
4622-24MO STMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+8.1
4723-24MO STSFAServe errMO ST server+2.8
4823-25SFAMO STServe errSFA server+6.8
Set 3
11-0MO STSFAAttack errHannah Gardner+2.3
21-1SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+2.2
32-1MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+2.4
42-2SFAMO ST×3KillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+2.3
52-3MO STMO ST×3AceMO ST serveraced Erin Goodson+3.5
62-4MO STMO ST×3KillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+3.3
73-4MO STSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+2.1
83-5SFAMO STKillLexi Weinbergset Hannah Gardner+2.2
93-6MO STMO STAceMO ST serveraced Caroline Kahle+3.2
104-6MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.0
115-6SFASFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+3.4
125-7SFAMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+2.3
136-7MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.3
147-7SFASFAAttack errLexi Weinberg+3.8
157-8SFAMO STKillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+2.6
168-8MO STSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+2.6
178-9SFAMO ST×4KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+2.7
188-10MO STMO ST×4Attack errMolly Cravensblk Chloe Judd+3.9
198-11MO STMO ST×4KillChloe Judd+3.6
208-12MO STMO ST×4KillRilynn Finleyset Kya Johnson+3.1
219-12MO STSFAServe errMO ST server+1.7
229-13SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+2.0
2310-13MO STSFA×3KillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.7
2411-13SFASFA×3Attack errHannah Gardnerblk Molly Cravens, Avery Koonsen+3.3
2512-13SFASFA×3Attack errBrooke Eslinger+4.1
2612-14SFAMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+2.9
2713-14MO STSFA×4Serve errMO ST server+2.8
2814-14SFASFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+4.9
2915-14SFASFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+5.4
3016-14SFASFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Avery Koonsen+5.5
3116-15SFAMO STAttack errAvery Koonsen+3.2
3217-15MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+3.8
3318-15SFASFAAttack errLexi Weinberg+5.3
3418-16SFAMO STServe errSFA server+2.8
3518-17MO STMO STAttack errAsha King+5.3
3619-17MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+4.3
3719-18SFAMO STKillChloe Juddset Hannah Gardner+3.6
3820-18MO STSFAAttack errHannah Gardner+4.6
3921-18SFASFAAttack errHannah Gardner+6.1
4021-19SFAMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Halle Rillie+2.7
4122-19MO STSFAKillAsha Kingset Aniston Collins+4.2
4222-20SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+2.6
4323-20MO STSFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+4.4
4424-20SFASFA×3AceSFA serveraced Rilynn Finley+3.6
4525-20SFASFA×3KillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.0
Set 4
10-1SFAMO ST×3Attack errKatherine Holtman+2.5
20-2MO STMO ST×3AceMO ST serveraced Team+3.6
30-3MO STMO ST×3AceMO ST serveraced Erin Goodson+3.4
41-3MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.1
52-3SFASFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Caroline Kahle+3.6
62-4SFAMO STAttack errAvery Koonsen+2.5
73-4MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.5
83-5SFAMO STKillHannah Redrowset Halle Rillie+2.5
94-5MO STSFA×3KillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+2.5
105-5SFASFA×3Attack errKarissa Chase+4.2
116-5SFASFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+4.4
126-6SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+2.8
137-6MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+3.0
147-7SFAMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+2.9
158-7MO STSFAAttack errAshlyn Blazer+3.1
168-8SFAMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+3.0
179-8MO STSFAKillAsha Kingset Aniston Collins+3.2
1810-8SFASFAAttack errAshlyn Blazer+5.0
1910-9SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+3.0
2010-10MO STMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+4.9
2111-10MO STSFAKillMadi Zornset Avery Koonsen+3.4
2212-10SFASFAAttack errKya Johnson+5.3
2312-11SFAMO STServe errSFA server+3.2
2413-11MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+3.7
2514-11SFASFAAceSFA serveraced Rilynn Finley+5.3
2614-12SFAMO ST×5KillRilynn Finleyset Halle Rillie+3.0
2714-13MO STMO ST×5KillHannah Redrowset Caroline Kahle+5.2
2814-14MO STMO ST×5Attack errKyanna Creecy+5.7
2914-15MO STMO ST×5KillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+5.9
3014-16MO STMO ST×5Attack errKatherine Holtmanblk Hannah Redrow, Rilynn Finley+5.6
3115-16MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+3.4
3215-17SFAMO STKillRilynn Finleyset Hannah Gardner+3.8
3316-17MO STSFAServe errMO ST server+3.5
3417-17SFASFAAttack errAshlyn Blazer+6.5
3517-18SFAMO STKillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+4.5
3618-18MO STSFAServe errMO ST server+4.6
3718-19SFAMO ST×7KillAshlyn Blazerset Hannah Gardner+4.9
3818-20MO STMO ST×7KillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+7.1
3918-21MO STMO ST×7KillAshlyn Blazerset Riley Ourth+5.7
4018-22MO STMO ST×7AceMO ST serveraced Erin Goodson+3.8
4118-23MO STMO ST×7Attack errKennedy Jonesblk Chloe Judd, Ashlyn Blazer+2.0
4218-24MO STMO ST×7Bad setAniston Collins+0.7
4318-25MO STMO ST×7KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+1.4
Set 5
11-0MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Caroline Kahle+6.2
21-1SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+5.9
32-1MO STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+6.4
42-2SFAMO STServe errSFA server+6.1
53-2MO STSFAAttack errRilynn Finley+6.6
63-3SFAMO STKillHannah Redrowset Hannah Gardner+6.4
73-4MO STMO STKillKarissa Chaseset Hannah Gardner+10.0
84-4MO STSFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+6.6
95-4SFASFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+10.9
106-4SFASFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+11.2
116-5SFAMO STServe errSFA server+6.5
127-5MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+7.8
138-5SFASFAAttack errAshlyn Blazerblk Katherine Holtman, Molly Cravens+10.9
148-6SFAMO STAttack errCaroline Kahle+5.7
158-7MO STMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+10.9
169-7MO STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Avery Koonsen+8.8
179-8SFAMO STKillChloe Juddset Halle Rillie+7.4
1810-8MO STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+9.4
1910-9SFAMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+7.7
2010-10MO STMO ST×3KillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+14.7
2110-11MO STMO ST×3Attack errAvery Koonsen+16.2
2211-11MO STSFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+10.4
2312-11SFASFA×4Attack errRilynn Finley+19.1
2413-11SFASFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Caroline Kahle+19.0
2514-11SFASFA×4Attack errRilynn Finley+13.5
2614-12SFAMO STKillHannah Gardnerset Halle Rillie+3.1
2715-12MO STSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Aniston Collins+8.1

Score shown after each rally, SFA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.