CollegeVolleyball
Final · 5 setsSat, Sep 5, 2026
3:2
SFA logo

HomeSOUTHLAND

California def. SFA 32

(25-18, 22-25, 12-25, 25-16, 15-11)
Set12345Sets
CAL25221225153
SFA18252516112

RallyIQ model

Win probability

SFA above 50 · CAL below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 4SET 510050100SFACALBiggest swing +9.0% SFA · S5 8-7rally 194 · set 5

Biggest swing: 9.0% to SFA — set 5, CAL 8-7 SFA. Attack error by Abby Zimmerman. SFA win probability 17%26%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

CAL 78.1%21.9% SFA

California wins

3-0
29.7%
3-1
29.7%
3-2
18.7%

SFA wins

3-0
3.7%
3-1
7.4%
3-2
10.8%
CAL break %
42.5% vs this opp
SFA break %
36.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Abby ZimmermanAttack error+9.0%

    Attack error by Abby Zimmerman

    Set 5 · CAL 8-7 SFA · SFA 17%26%

  2. 02
    Caroline KahleAttack error+8.9%

    Attack error by Caroline Kahle

    Set 5 · CAL 11-8 SFA · CAL 82%91%

  3. 03

    Kill by Abby Zimmerman (set by Sawyer Thomsen)

    Set 5 · CAL 4-2 SFA · CAL 70%78%

  4. 04

    Kill by Sawyer Thomsen (set by Anna Flores)

    Set 5 · CAL 10-8 SFA · CAL 74%82%

  5. 05

    Kill by Abby Zimmerman (set by Anna Flores)

    Set 5 · CAL 6-3 SFA · CAL 78%86%

  6. 06
    Caroline KahleAttack error+6.8%

    Caroline Kahle stuffed by Anna Flores & Cari Bohm

    Set 5 · CAL 9-7 SFA · CAL 74%81%

  7. 07
    SFA serverAce+6.3%

    SFA ace on Siena MacCudden

    Set 5 · CAL 7-5 SFA · SFA 12%18%

  8. 08
    Ashley LiAttack error+6.3%

    Attack error by Ashley Li

    Set 5 · CAL 9-8 SFA · SFA 19%26%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
515640.22511110212218
511020.55033110052.516.5
512235.2860025204214
512633.1820045002113
58320.2500001006311
5001.0004923120031.53.5
51011.0003002020001
14Elise LauL/DS
5000000300000
5000000910000
1001.000000000000
1000000000000
1000000000000
Team totals5917151.278566116691221299
SFAhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
514848.12505213000019
514732.21901130010.515.5
57214.357020100009
58531.0975001320008
55311.182000001227
52021.0002602900002
56222.18200010010.56.5
5011-1.0002001300000
50001700500000
5000001300000
4000010000001
Team totals5628161.174509661614395

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 CAL · SFA 7

Set 1

25-18

Longest run 4 CALSFA 2

Set 2

22-25

Longest run 5 CALSFA 6

Set 3

12-25

Longest run 2 CALSFA 7

Set 4

25-16

Longest run 5 CALSFA 2

Set 5

15-11

Longest run 3 CALSFA 2

Bars above the line = SFA leads, below = California leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

California

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
31%4/13
2
56%10/18
52%11/21
3
67%10/15
44%8/18
4
53%10/19
50%10/20
5
47%8/17
36%5/14
6
70%7/10
42%5/12
All
58%56/96
44%43/98

SFA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
55%11/20
40%6/15
2
59%10/17
42%8/19
3
48%10/21
23%3/13
4
56%9/16
29%4/14
5
67%8/12
57%12/21
6
58%7/12
50%7/14
All
56%55/98
42%40/96

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (5 of 5 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

194 rallies

Rally log

#CAL-SFASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1CALSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.4
21-1SFACAL×4KillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+1.3
32-1CALCAL×4KillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+1.9
43-1CALCAL×4KillSawyer Thomsen+1.7
54-1CALCAL×4Attack errKatherine Holtman+1.6
64-2CALSFAServe errCAL server+1.0
75-2SFACAL×3KillPortia Shermanset Anna Flores+1.0
86-2CALCAL×3Attack errKatherine Holtmanblk Cari Bohm, Portia Sherman+1.4
97-2CALCAL×3KillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.1
107-3CALSFAServe errCAL server+0.6
117-4SFASFAAttack errPortia Sherman+1.2
128-4SFACALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.9
139-4CALCALAceCAL serveraced Team+1.1
149-5CALSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+0.7
1510-5SFACALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.7
1610-6CALSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.7
1710-7SFASFAAceSFA serveraced Abby Zimmerman+1.3
1811-7SFACALKillPortia Sherman+1.0
1912-7CALCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.2
2012-8CALSFAKillMolly Cravensset Erin Goodson+0.6
2113-8SFACALServe errSFA server+0.8
2214-8CALCALAttack errJordan Henderson+0.9
2314-9CALSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+0.4
2415-9SFACALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+0.5
2515-10CALSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.4
2616-10SFACALServe errSFA server+0.5
2717-10CALCALAttack errKyanna Creecy+0.5
2817-11CALSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.2
2917-12SFASFAKillAvery Koonsenset Caroline Kahle+0.5
3018-12SFACALKillPortia Shermanset Anna Flores+0.5
3119-12CALCALAttack errMolly Cravensblk Cari Bohm, Portia Sherman+0.5
3219-13CALSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Aniston Collins+0.2
3320-13SFACALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.3
3421-13CALCALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.2
3521-14CALSFAServe errCAL server+0.0
3622-14SFACALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+0.1
3723-14CALCALAttack errCaroline Kahleblk Sawyer Thomsen, Anna Flores+0.0
3823-15CALSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.0
3923-16SFASFAAttack errAshley Li+0.0
4024-16SFACALKillSawyer Thomsenset Abby Zimmerman+0.0
4124-17CALSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+0.0
4224-18SFASFAKillMadi Zornset Sawyer Thomsen+0.0
4325-18SFACALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+0.0
Set 2
10-1SFASFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+1.6
21-1SFACALAttack errJordan Henderson+1.0
31-2CALSFA×6Attack errAshley Li+1.1
41-3SFASFA×6Attack errAbby Zimmerman+1.7
51-4SFASFA×6Attack errAshley Li+1.8
61-5SFASFA×6KillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.8
71-6SFASFA×6Attack errAbby Zimmermanblk Katherine Holtman, Jordan Henderson+1.7
81-7SFASFA×6KillKatherine Holtmanset Caroline Kahle+1.6
92-7SFACALAttack errAvery Koonsen+0.8
102-8CALSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+1.1
112-9SFASFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+1.4
123-9SFACALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+0.7
134-9CALCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Sawyer Thomsen+1.3
144-10CALSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+1.1
155-10SFACALKillPortia Shermanset Anna Flores+0.8
165-11CALSFAKillMolly Cravensset Aniston Collins+1.1
175-12SFASFAKillMolly Cravens+1.4
186-12SFACALAttack errKyanna Creecy+0.6
196-13CALSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.9
207-13SFACAL×3KillAshley Liset Anna Flores+0.6
218-13CALCAL×3Attack errJordan Henderson+1.2
229-13CALCAL×3KillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.5
239-14CALSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+1.3
2410-14SFACALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+0.9
2510-15CALSFAAttack errAbby Zimmerman+1.3
2610-16SFASFAKillAvery Koonsenset Caroline Kahle+1.6
2711-16SFACAL×5Attack errKatherine Holtman+0.7
2812-16CALCAL×5Attack errErin Goodson+1.4
2913-16CALCAL×5KillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.8
3014-16CALCAL×5Attack errAvery Koonsen+2.1
3115-16CALCAL×5Attack errKatherine Holtmanblk Abby Zimmerman, Sawyer Thomsen+2.4
3215-17CALSFAAttack errAbby Zimmerman+1.9
3316-17SFACALKillPortia Shermanset Anna Flores+1.6
3417-17CALCALAttack errAvery Koonsenblk Cari Bohm, Portia Sherman+2.8
3517-18CALSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.0
3618-18SFACALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+1.9
3719-18CALCALKillPortia Shermanset Anna Flores+3.0
3819-19CALSFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Caroline Kahle+2.0
3919-20SFASFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Anna Flores+3.6
4019-21SFASFA×3AceSFA serveraced Abby Zimmerman+3.8
4120-21SFACALKillSophia Johnson+1.9
4221-21CALCALAttack errCaroline Kahle+3.8
4321-22CALSFAKillMolly Cravensset Aniston Collins+3.0
4422-22SFACALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+2.8
4522-23CALSFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+3.6
4622-24SFASFA×3Attack errAshley Li+5.6
4722-25SFASFA×3KillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+3.3
Set 3
10-1CALSFAServe errCAL server+2.1
21-1SFACALKillAshley Liset Sawyer Thomsen+1.9
31-2CALSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.1
41-3SFASFAKillKyanna Creecy+3.4
52-3SFACALKillPortia Shermanset Anna Flores+2.0
63-3CALCALAceCAL serveraced Caroline Kahle+3.1
73-4CALSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+2.2
83-5SFASFAAceSFA serveraced Team+3.5
94-5SFACALServe errSFA server+2.1
105-5CALCALKillPortia Shermanset Anna Flores+3.3
115-6CALSFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.3
125-7SFASFA×3AceSFA serveraced Sophia Johnson+3.7
135-8SFASFA×3Attack errPortia Sherman+3.9
146-8SFACALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+2.2
156-9CALSFA×4KillKyanna Creecyset Aniston Collins+2.7
166-10SFASFA×4Attack errAshley Liblk Jordan Henderson, Molly Cravens+3.9
176-11SFASFA×4Bad setAnna Flores+3.6
186-12SFASFA×4Attack errCari Bohm+3.1
197-12SFACALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+1.5
207-13CALSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+2.1
218-13SFACALServe errSFA server+1.5
228-14CALSFAServe errCAL server+2.1
239-14SFACALAttack errAvery Koonsen+1.4
249-15CALSFAServe errCAL server+2.1
2510-15SFACALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.4
2610-16CALSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.0
2711-16SFACALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.3
2811-17CALSFA×7KillKyanna Creecyset Erin Goodson+2.0
2911-18SFASFA×7Bad setAnna Flores+2.1
3011-19SFASFA×7AceSFA serveraced Sophia Johnson+1.3
3111-20SFASFA×7Attack errCari Bohm+0.7
3211-21SFASFA×7AceSFA serveraced Team+0.3
3311-22SFASFA×7KillMolly Cravensset Aniston Collins+0.1
3411-23SFASFA×7Attack errCari Bohm+0.0
3512-23SFACALServe errSFA server+0.0
3612-24CALSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.0
3712-25SFASFAAceSFA serveraced Portia Sherman+0.0
Set 4
10-1SFASFAKillMadi Zornset Erin Goodson+4.3
21-1SFACAL×4KillAshley Liset Anna Flores+2.7
32-1CALCAL×4KillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+4.0
43-1CALCAL×4KillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+3.7
54-1CALCAL×4Attack errKatherine Holtmanblk Ashley Li, Sawyer Thomsen+3.3
64-2CALSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+2.1
74-3SFASFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+3.7
85-3SFACALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+2.5
95-4CALSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+2.5
105-5SFASFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+4.4
116-5SFACAL×4Attack errKatherine Holtmanblk Sawyer Thomsen, Portia Sherman+2.8
127-5CALCAL×4AceCAL serveraced Team+4.1
138-5CALCAL×4AceCAL serveraced Caroline Kahle+3.6
149-5CALCAL×4Attack errAvery Koonsenblk Abby Zimmerman, Cari Bohm+3.0
159-6CALSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+1.8
1610-6SFACALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+2.0
1711-6CALCALAttack errAvery Koonsenblk Anna Flores, Cari Bohm+2.5
1811-7CALSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+1.4
1912-7SFACALServe errSFA server+1.6
2013-7CALCALKillAshley Liset Sophia Johnson+1.8
2113-8CALSFAServe errCAL server+0.9
2213-9SFASFAAceSFA serveraced Portia Sherman+2.0
2314-9SFACALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+1.6
2415-9CALCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+1.8
2515-10CALSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.9
2615-11SFASFAAttack errAbby Zimmermanblk Jordan Henderson+1.9
2716-11SFACAL×5KillAshley Liset Anna Flores+1.6
2817-11CALCAL×5AceCAL serveraced Team+1.7
2918-11CALCAL×5Attack errCaroline Kahle+1.0
3019-11CALCAL×5AceCAL serveraced Team+0.6
3120-11CALCAL×5Attack errKatherine Holtmanblk Ashley Li, Sawyer Thomsen+0.3
3220-12CALSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+0.1
3321-12SFACALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+0.1
3421-13CALSFAServe errCAL server+0.0
3522-13SFACALKillPortia Shermanset Anna Flores+0.1
3622-14CALSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+0.0
3722-15SFASFAKillAvery Koonsenset Caroline Kahle+0.1
3823-15SFACALKillPortia Shermanset Anna Flores+0.1
3923-16CALSFAServe errCAL server+0.0
4024-16SFACALKillCari Bohmset Anna Flores+0.1
4125-16CALCALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+1.5
Set 5
11-0SFACALKillAshley Liset Anna Flores+5.3
21-1CALSFAServe errCAL server+5.6
32-1SFACALAttack errAvery Koonsen+5.5
42-2CALSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+5.8
53-2SFACALKillAbby Zimmermanset Sophia Johnson+5.7
64-2CALCALKillAbby Zimmermanset Sawyer Thomsen+8.2
74-3CALSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+5.2
85-3SFACAL×3KillPortia Shermanset Anna Flores+5.5
96-3CALCAL×3KillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+7.3
107-3CALCAL×3Attack errMolly Cravens+5.7
117-4CALSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.9
127-5SFASFAAceSFA serveraced Siena MacCudden+6.3
138-5SFACALKillPortia Shermanset Sophia Johnson+5.0
148-6CALSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+4.3
158-7SFASFAAttack errAbby Zimmerman+9.0
169-7SFACALAttack errCaroline Kahleblk Anna Flores, Cari Bohm+6.8
179-8CALSFAAttack errAshley Li+6.3
1810-8SFACALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+7.3
1911-8CALCALAttack errCaroline Kahle+8.9
2011-9CALSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+4.2
2112-9SFACALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+5.9
2212-10CALSFAServe errCAL server+3.9
2313-10SFACALKillSawyer Thomsenset Anna Flores+6.1
2414-10CALCALAttack errAvery Koonsenblk Abby Zimmerman+4.5
2514-11CALSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Madi Zorn+0.8
2615-11SFACALKillAbby Zimmermanset Anna Flores+1.9

Score shown after each rally, California first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.