FinalSat, Sep 12, 2026

SFA def. UT Arlington 3–0

SFA beat visiting UT Arlington 3-0 (25-18, 25-21, 25-23) on Sat, Sep 12, 2026. SFA's Kennedy Jones led with 12 kills, and Caroline Kahle added 13 digs.

Data through · final Sep 12

Set123Sets
TX ARL1821230
SFA2525253

Win probability

SFA above 50 · UT Arlington below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+2.2% TX ARLrally 137 · set 3

Biggest swing: 2.2% to UT Arlington — set 1, TX ARL 10-11 SFA. Attack error by Avery Koonsen. SFA win probability 81% → 79%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TX ARL 23.7%76.3% SFA

UT Arlington wins

3-0
4.1%
3-1
8.1%
3-2
11.5%

SFA wins

3-0
28.1%
3-1
29.1%
3-2
19.1%
TX ARL break %
38.2% vs this opp
SFA break %
43.6% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Avery KoonsenAttack error+2.2%

    Attack error by Avery Koonsen

    Set 1 · TX ARL 10-11 SFA · TX ARL 19% → 21%

  2. 02
    Lucy TriccoAttack error+2.1%

    Attack error by Lucy Tricco

    Set 1 · TX ARL 10-13 SFA · SFA 80% → 82%

  3. 03

    Lara Gilardi stuffed by Hana Aiana & Camryn McMinn

    Set 1 · TX ARL 3-3 SFA · TX ARL 21% → 23%

  4. 04
    Molly CravensKill+1.9%

    Kill by Molly Cravens (set by Lucy Tricco)

    Set 1 · TX ARL 1-2 SFA · SFA 76% → 78%

  5. 05

    Kill by Jordan Henderson (set by Aniston Collins)

    Set 3 · TX ARL 23-25 SFA · SFA 98% → 100%

  6. 06
    Kennedy JonesKill+1.9%

    Kill by Kennedy Jones (set by Caroline Kahle)

    Set 1 · TX ARL 3-5 SFA · SFA 78% → 80%

  7. 07
    Hana AianaAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Hana Aiana

    Set 1 · TX ARL 13-17 SFA · SFA 83% → 84%

  8. 08

    Camryn McMinn stuffed by Molly Cravens & Lara Gilardi

    Set 1 · TX ARL 1-3 SFA · SFA 78% → 80%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
311425.28000000031.512.5
37419.158101620218
3519.44400120031.56.5
36326.115001310006
3214.250361040010.53.5
3102.500001800001
38319.26300010031.59.5
3000–000100000
3000–1001410000
23410-.100000200003
1001.000000100000
1000–300100000
Team totals4320115.2004114434012662
SFAhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
312123.47812250010.514.5
310629.13810071010.510.5
37113.4620000014310
34112.25000010031.55.5
34318.05600250010.54.5
31011.0002001600001
38111.6360000012210
3000–2020500002
3000–2001300000
2000–000100000
Team totals4613107.3084445431212875

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 TX ARL · SFA 4

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 TX ARLSFA 4

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 2 TX ARLSFA 3

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 3 TX ARLSFA 4

Bars above the line = SFA leads, below = UT Arlington leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UT Arlington

SlotSideout %Break %
1
69%9/13
33%4/12
2
62%8/13
10%1/10
3
67%8/12
27%3/11
4
53%8/15
20%2/10
5
80%8/10
20%2/10
6
64%7/11
20%2/10
All
65%48/74
22%14/63

SFA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
83%10/12
31%4/13
2
73%8/11
43%6/14
3
89%8/9
27%3/11
4
80%8/10
43%6/14
5
73%8/11
27%3/11
6
70%7/10
36%4/11
All
78%49/63
35%26/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

137 rallies

#TX ARL-SFASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0SFATX ARLBlockedAvery Koonsenblk Sophia Krichev, Lucy Tricco+1.5
21-1TX ARLSFA×3Attack errCamryn McMinn+1.4
31-2SFASFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Lucy Tricco+1.9
41-3SFASFA×3BlockedCamryn McMinnblk Molly Cravens, Lara Gilardi+1.8
52-3SFATX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+1.3
63-3TX ARLTX ARLBlockedLara Gilardiblk Hana Aiana, Camryn McMinn+2.0
73-4TX ARLSFA×3KillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+1.4
83-5SFASFA×3KillKennedy Jonesset Caroline Kahle+1.9
93-6SFASFA×3BlockedCamryn McMinnblk Katherine Holtman, Molly Cravens+1.7
104-6SFATX ARLKillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+1.1
114-7TX ARLSFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+1.2
124-8SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Camryn McMinn+1.5
134-9SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Camryn McMinn+1.2
145-9SFATX ARLKillMazi Smithset Erica Dellesky+0.7
155-10TX ARLSFAAttack errMazi Smith+0.8
166-10SFATX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Samantha Glenn+0.7
176-11TX ARLSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+0.9
187-11SFATX ARL×4KillSophia Krichevset Erica Dellesky+0.7
198-11TX ARLTX ARL×4KillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+1.4
209-11TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errJordan Henderson+1.8
2110-11TX ARLTX ARL×4Attack errAvery Koonsen+2.2
2210-12TX ARLSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Caroline Kahle+1.6
2310-13SFASFAAttack errLucy Tricco+2.1
2411-13SFATX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+1.3
2511-14TX ARLSFAServe errUT Arlington+1.4
2612-14SFATX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+1.3
2712-15TX ARLSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+1.5
2813-15SFATX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+1.4
2913-16TX ARLSFA×4KillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+1.5
3013-17SFASFA×4Attack errHana Aiana+1.8
3113-18SFASFA×4KillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+1.3
3213-19SFASFA×4Attack errMazi Smith+0.8
3314-19SFATX ARLKillHana Aianaset Erica Dellesky+0.4
3414-20TX ARLSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.5
3514-21SFASFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.4
3615-21SFATX ARLServe errSFA+0.1
3715-22TX ARLSFAAttack errEvyn Snook+0.2
3816-22SFATX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+0.1
3916-23TX ARLSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.2
4017-23SFATX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco·
4118-23TX ARLTX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+0.2
4218-24TX ARLSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.2
4318-25SFASFABlockedSophia Krichevblk Molly Cravens, Kennedy Jones+0.1
Set 2
10-1TX ARLSFAServe errUT Arlington+1.0
21-1SFATX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+1.1
31-2TX ARLSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+1.0
42-2SFATX ARLBlockedKatherine Holtmanblk Sophia Krichev, Camryn McMinn+1.1
52-3TX ARLSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+1.1
63-3SFATX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+1.1
73-4TX ARLSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+1.1
84-4SFATX ARLAttack errAvery Koonsen+1.1
94-5TX ARLSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+1.1
104-6SFASFAKillLara Gilardiset Kennedy Jones+1.5
115-6SFATX ARLServe errSFA+1.1
125-7TX ARLSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+1.1
135-8SFASFAKillLara Gilardiset Madi Zorn+1.4
146-8SFATX ARLServe errSFA+0.9
156-9TX ARLSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+1.0
166-10SFASFAAttack errSophia Krichev+1.2
177-10SFATX ARLKillLucy Tricco+0.8
187-11TX ARLSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Avery Koonsen+0.8
198-11SFATX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+0.8
208-12TX ARLSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.9
219-12SFATX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+0.8
229-13TX ARLSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+0.9
2310-13SFATX ARLServe errSFA+0.8
2411-13TX ARLTX ARLAttack errKatherine Holtman+1.5
2511-14TX ARLSFAServe errUT Arlington+1.1
2612-14SFATX ARLKillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+1.1
2712-15TX ARLSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+1.2
2813-15SFATX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+1.1
2913-16TX ARLSFAAttack errSophia Krichev+1.2
3014-16SFATX ARLKillLucy Triccoset Lucy Tricco+1.1
3114-17TX ARLSFABlockedCamryn McMinnblk Molly Cravens, Lara Gilardi+1.3
3215-17SFATX ARLKillLily Hopkinsset Lucy Tricco+1.1
3315-18TX ARLSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+1.3
3415-19SFASFABad setLucy Tricco+1.5
3516-19SFATX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Lucy Tricco+0.8
3617-19TX ARLTX ARLAceLucy Triccoaced Avery Koonsen+1.6
3717-20TX ARLSFA×3KillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+1.4
3817-21SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Evyn Snook+1.5
3917-22SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Samantha Glenn+0.8
4018-22SFATX ARLBlockedAvery Koonsenblk Hana Aiana, Mazi Smith+0.3
4118-23TX ARLSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.5
4219-23SFATX ARLKillMazi Smithset Lucy Tricco+0.2
4319-24TX ARLSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+0.4
4420-24SFATX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.1
4521-24TX ARLTX ARLAttack errAvery Koonsen+0.3
4621-25TX ARLSFAKillMadi Zornset Samantha Glenn+0.5
Set 3
11-0SFATX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.6
21-1TX ARLSFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.6
31-2SFASFA×3BlockedEvyn Snookblk Molly Cravens+0.8
41-3SFASFA×3Attack errEmilee Sikora+0.7
52-3SFATX ARL×3KillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+0.5
63-3TX ARLTX ARL×3KillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+0.8
74-3TX ARLTX ARL×3KillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.9
84-4TX ARLSFAAttack errEmilee Sikora+0.6
95-4SFATX ARLKillHana Aianaset Lucy Tricco+0.7
105-5TX ARLSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.6
116-5SFATX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Lucy Tricco+0.7
127-5TX ARLTX ARLAttack errKennedy Jones+1.0
137-6TX ARLSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Aniston Collins+0.6
148-6SFATX ARL×3KillMazi Smithset Lucy Tricco+0.7
159-6TX ARLTX ARL×3BlockedAvery Koonsenblk Mazi Smith, Sophia Krichev+1.1
1610-6TX ARLTX ARL×3KillMazi Smithset Lucy Tricco+1.0
1710-7TX ARLSFA×4Serve errUT Arlington+0.6
1810-8SFASFA×4BlockedMazi Smithblk Avery Koonsen, Jordan Henderson+1.0
1910-9SFASFA×4BlockedSophia Krichevblk Jordan Henderson+1.0
2010-10SFASFA×4BlockedEvyn Snookblk Jordan Henderson, Lara Gilardi+1.1
2111-10SFATX ARLKillMazi Smithset Lucy Tricco+0.8
2211-11TX ARLSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+0.7
2311-12SFASFAAttack errEmilee Sikora+1.1
2412-12SFATX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Lucy Tricco+0.8
2512-13TX ARLSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.8
2613-13SFATX ARLKillEmilee Sikoraset Lucy Tricco+0.8
2713-14TX ARLSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+0.8
2813-15SFASFAAttack errEmilee Sikora+1.1
2914-15SFATX ARLAttack errKatherine Holtman+0.7
3014-16TX ARLSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+0.8
3115-16SFATX ARLKillMazi Smithset Lucy Tricco+0.7
3215-17TX ARLSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.8
3316-17SFATX ARLKillMazi Smithset Lucy Tricco+0.8
3416-18TX ARLSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+0.9
3517-18SFATX ARLServe errSFA+0.8
3617-19TX ARLSFAKillLara Gilardiset Aniston Collins+0.9
3717-20SFASFAKillLara Gilardiset Madi Zorn+1.1
3818-20SFATX ARLKillSophia Krichevset Lucy Tricco+0.6
3918-21TX ARLSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.8
4019-21SFATX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+0.6
4119-22TX ARLSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+0.8
4220-22SFATX ARLKillCamryn McMinnset Lucy Tricco+0.5
4321-22TX ARLTX ARLAttack errMolly Cravens+1.3
4421-23TX ARLSFAKillKennedy Jonesset Madi Zorn+1.3
4522-23SFATX ARLKillMazi Smithset Lucy Tricco+0.9
4622-24TX ARLSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+1.5
4723-24SFATX ARLKillEvyn Snookset Camryn McMinn+0.8
4823-25TX ARLSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+1.9

Score shown after each rally, UT Arlington first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).