FinalTue, Sep 15, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

0:3

HomeSEC

Texas A&M def. SFA 3–0

(25-13, 25-9, 25-22)

Set	1	2*	3	Sets
SFA	13	9	22	0
TX A&M	25	25	25	3

* Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

TX A&M above 50 · SFA below

Biggest swing: 0.5% to SFA — set 1, SFA 6-2 TX A&M. SFA ace on Megan Fitch. TX A&M win probability 98% → 97%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SFA 1.2%98.8% TX A&M

SFA wins

3-0

0.1%

3-1

0.3%

3-2

0.8%

Texas A&M wins

3-0

72.6%

3-1

22.1%

3-2

4.2%

SFA break %: 32.2% vs this opp
TX A&M break %: 49.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
SFA serverAce+0.5%
SFA ace on Megan Fitch
Set 1 · SFA 6-2 TX A&M · SFA 2% → 3%
02
Kyndal StowersAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Kyndal Stowers
Set 1 · SFA 5-2 TX A&M · SFA 2% → 2%
03
Kaia CastleKill+0.4%
Kill by Kaia Castle (set by Kirra Musgrove)
Set 1 · SFA 6-4 TX A&M · TX A&M 98% → 98%
04
Avery KoonsenAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Avery Koonsen
Set 1 · SFA 6-5 TX A&M · TX A&M 98% → 98%
05
Kyndal StowersAttack error+0.3%
Kyndal Stowers stuffed by Lara Gilardi & Molly Cravens
Set 1 · SFA 3-1 TX A&M · SFA 1% → 2%
06
Molly CravensAttack error+0.3%
Molly Cravens stuffed by Kaia Castle & Kyndal Stowers
Set 1 · SFA 6-6 TX A&M · TX A&M 98% → 99%
07
Eliza SharpAttack error+0.3%
Attack error by Eliza Sharp
Set 3 · SFA 20-18 TX A&M · SFA 1% → 1%
08
Kirra MusgroveKill+0.2%
Kill by Kirra Musgrove (set by Caroline Kahle)
Set 3 · SFA 21-21 TX A&M · TX A&M 99% → 99%

Official NCAA box

Box score

SFAaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Avery KoonsenOH	3	8	7	33	.030	1	1	2	7	1	1	0.5	9.5
10Kennedy JonesOH	3	4	4	20	.000	0	0	1	2	0	2	1	5
28Lara GilardiOH	3	2	0	6	.333	0	1	1	0	0	2	1	4
5Katherine HoltmanOH	3	2	5	21	-.143	0	0	0	2	2	0	0	2
20Molly CravensMB	3	1	2	9	-.111	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
18Madi ZornS	3	0	0	0	–	8	1	1	13	0	0	0	1
1Aniston CollinsS	3	0	0	0	–	7	0	1	3	0	0	0	0
11Caroline KahleOH	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	0	9	3	0	0	0
14Jordan HendersonMB	2	3	1	9	.222	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
23Kyanna CreecyMB	2	1	0	3	.333	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
15Brinkley ReevesOH	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		21	19	101	.020	19	3	7	37	6	10	5	44

Texas A&Mhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
17Natalie RingOH	3	11	1	25	.400	0	1	2	8	0	0	0	0	12
19Kaia CastleMB	3	7	3	13	.308	0	1	1	1	0	0	4	2	10
14Kirra MusgroveS	3	4	0	4	1.000	35	2	1	5	0	0	5	2.5	8.5
25Eliza SharpMB	3	3	3	12	.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	3	6
20Megan FitchOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	2	10	1	0	0	0	0
37Kyndal StowersOH	2	5	2	11	.273	0	1	0	6	0	0	2	1	7
6Taryn MorrisOPP	3	6	1	13	.385	0	0	0	2	0	0	3	1.5	7.5
2Addi ApplegateL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	2	0	0	0	0
1Gabi RodriguezL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	17	0	0	0	0	0
8Amare HernandezOH	2	7	1	21	.286	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	8
7Djurdja StanojevicMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0.5	0.5
16Lolufe AdedejiMB	1	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		43	12	101	.307	37	6	7	52	3	1	19	10.5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 3 SFA · TX A&M 6

Set 1

13-25

Longest run 3 SFATX A&M 6

Set 2*

9-25

Longest run 2 SFATX A&M 4

Set 3

22-25

Longest run 3 SFATX A&M 5

Bars above the line = Texas A&M leads, below = SFA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

SFA

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	83%5/6	44%4/9
2	83%5/6	44%4/9
3	29%5/17	29%2/7
4	33%3/9	0%0/5
5	75%3/4	25%1/4
6	50%3/6	0%0/3
All	50%24/48	30%11/37

Texas A&M

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	56%5/9	50%3/6
2	56%5/9	17%1/6
3	71%5/7	17%1/6
4	100%5/5	71%12/17
5	75%3/4	67%6/9
6	100%3/3	25%1/4
All	70%26/37	50%24/48

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

119 rallies

Rally log

#	SFA-TX A&M	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Natalie Ring		+0.2
2	1-1	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
3	2-1	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Madi Zorn	+0.2
4	3-1	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Kyndal Stowers	blk Lara Gilardi, Molly Cravens	+0.3
5	3-2	SFA	TX A&M	Serve err	SFA server		+0.2
6	4-2	TX A&M	SFA×3	Attack err	Kaia Castle	blk Kennedy Jones, Molly Cravens	+0.2
7	5-2	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	Kyndal Stowers		+0.4
8	6-2	SFA	SFA×3	Ace	SFA server	aced Megan Fitch	+0.5
9	6-3	SFA	TX A&M×6	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.2
10	6-4	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.4
11	6-5	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Attack err	Avery Koonsen		+0.3
12	6-6	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Attack err	Molly Cravens	blk Kaia Castle, Kyndal Stowers	+0.3
13	6-7	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Attack err	Kennedy Jones	blk Kaia Castle, Taryn Morris, Kyndal Stowers	+0.2
14	6-8	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.2
15	7-8	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Caroline Kahle	+0.1
16	7-9	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
17	8-9	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Jordan Henderson	set Aniston Collins	+0.2
18	8-10	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
19	9-10	TX A&M	SFA	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.2
20	9-11	SFA	TX A&M×4	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
21	9-12	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Kirra Musgrove	set Aniston Collins	+0.2
22	9-13	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
23	9-14	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Avery Koonsen	blk Eliza Sharp, Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
24	10-14	TX A&M	SFA	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.1
25	10-15	SFA	TX A&M	Serve err	SFA server		+0.1
26	10-16	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Avery Koonsen	blk Eliza Sharp, Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
27	11-16	TX A&M	SFA	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.0
28	11-17	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
29	11-18	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
30	12-18	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Madi Zorn	+0.0
31	12-19	SFA	TX A&M	Serve err	SFA server		+0.0
32	13-19	TX A&M	SFA	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.0
33	13-20	SFA	TX A&M×6	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
34	13-21	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
35	13-22	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Attack err	Katherine Holtman		+0.0
36	13-23	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Attack err	Katherine Holtman		+0.0
37	13-24	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Avery Koonsen	+0.0
38	13-25	TX A&M	TX A&M×6	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	TX A&M	SFA	Attack err	Kaia Castle		+0.1
2	1-1	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
3	1-2	TX A&M	TX A&M	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Caroline Kahle	+0.1
4	2-2	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Madi Zorn	+0.1
5	2-3	SFA	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Molly Cravens	blk Eliza Sharp	+0.1
6	2-4	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Katherine Holtman	blk Eliza Sharp, Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
7	2-5	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
8	2-6	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Kirra Musgrove	set Molly Cravens	+0.1
9	3-6	TX A&M	SFA	Attack err	Eliza Sharp		+0.0
10	3-7	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
11	3-8	TX A&M	TX A&M	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Caroline Kahle	+0.0
12	4-8	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
13	4-9	SFA	TX A&M×4	Serve err	SFA server		+0.0
14	4-10	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Avery Koonsen	blk Kaia Castle, Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
15	4-11	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Avery Koonsen	blk Kaia Castle, Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
16	4-12	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Kyndal Stowers	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
17	5-12	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Kyanna Creecy	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
18	5-13	SFA	TX A&M×4	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
19	5-14	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Katherine Holtman	+0.0
20	5-15	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Katherine Holtman	+0.0
21	5-16	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Amare Hernandez		+0.0
22	6-16	TX A&M	SFA	Feed gap	Placeholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.		+0.0
23	6-17	SFA	TX A&M×3	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
24	6-18	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Attack err	Avery Koonsen	blk Djurdja Stanojevic, Taryn Morris	+0.0
25	6-19	TX A&M	TX A&M×3	Ace	TX A&M server	aced Caroline Kahle	+0.0
26	7-19	TX A&M	SFA	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.0
27	8-19	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Taryn Morris		+0.0
28	8-20	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
29	8-21	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Djurdja Stanojevic	+0.0
30	9-21	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Madi Zorn	+0.0
31	9-22	SFA	TX A&M×4	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
32	9-23	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Gabi Rodriguez	+0.0
33	9-24	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
34	9-25	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
Set 3
1	1-0	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Lara Gilardi	set Avery Koonsen	+0.1
2	2-0	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Caroline Kahle	+0.1
3	3-0	SFA	SFA×3	Ace	SFA server	aced Addi Applegate	+0.1
4	3-1	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
5	4-1	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Caroline Kahle	+0.1
6	4-2	SFA	TX A&M	Serve err	SFA server		+0.1
7	5-2	TX A&M	SFA	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.1
8	5-3	SFA	TX A&M×5	Attack err	Kennedy Jones		+0.1
9	5-4	TX A&M	TX A&M×5	Kill	Amare Hernandez	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
10	5-5	TX A&M	TX A&M×5	Attack err	Katherine Holtman		+0.1
11	5-6	TX A&M	TX A&M×5	Kill	Kirra Musgrove	set Caroline Kahle	+0.1
12	5-7	TX A&M	TX A&M×5	Kill	Amare Hernandez	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
13	6-7	TX A&M	SFA	Attack err	Amare Hernandez		+0.0
14	6-8	SFA	TX A&M	Serve err	SFA server		+0.0
15	7-8	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Jordan Henderson	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
16	7-9	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
17	8-9	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
18	8-10	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Taryn Morris	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
19	9-10	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
20	9-11	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.0
21	10-11	TX A&M	SFA×3	Bad set	Kirra Musgrove		+0.0
22	11-11	SFA	SFA×3	Ace	SFA server	aced Addi Applegate	+0.1
23	12-11	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Madi Zorn	+0.1
24	12-12	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Eliza Sharp	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
25	13-12	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Madi Zorn	+0.1
26	13-13	SFA	TX A&M	Serve err	SFA server		+0.1
27	14-13	TX A&M	SFA	Serve err	TX A&M server		+0.1
28	14-14	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Amare Hernandez	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
29	15-14	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Jordan Henderson	set Aniston Collins	+0.1
30	16-14	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Kaia Castle	blk Avery Koonsen, Jordan Henderson	+0.2
31	16-15	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Amare Hernandez	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
32	16-16	TX A&M	TX A&M	Attack err	Avery Koonsen		+0.1
33	17-16	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	+0.1
34	17-17	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Amare Hernandez	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
35	18-17	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	+0.1
36	18-18	SFA	TX A&M	Kill	Kaia Castle	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
37	19-18	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Madi Zorn	+0.1
38	20-18	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Eliza Sharp		+0.3
39	20-19	SFA	TX A&M	Attack err	Kennedy Jones	blk Taryn Morris, Eliza Sharp	+0.1
40	21-19	TX A&M	SFA	Kill	Lara Gilardi	set Madi Zorn	+0.2
41	21-20	SFA	TX A&M×4	Kill	Natalie Ring	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1
42	21-21	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Kill	Kirra Musgrove	set Caroline Kahle	+0.2
43	21-22	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Katherine Holtman		+0.2
44	21-23	TX A&M	TX A&M×4	Attack err	Kennedy Jones		+0.2
45	22-23	TX A&M	SFA	Attack err	Eliza Sharp	blk Kennedy Jones, Kyanna Creecy	+0.1
46	22-24	SFA	TX A&M	Attack err	Jordan Henderson		+0.1
47	22-25	TX A&M	TX A&M	Kill	Amare Hernandez	set Kirra Musgrove	+0.1

Score shown after each rally, SFA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.