FinalFri, Sep 18, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

3:0

HomeSWAC

SFA def. Prairie View 3–0

(25-15, 25-15, 25-12)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SFA	25	25	25	3
PV A&M	15	15	12	0

RallyIQ model

Win probability

PV A&M above 50 · SFA below

Biggest swing: 0.8% to Prairie View — set 1, SFA 5-7 PV A&M. Kill by Carrington Cook (set by Tayler Ruffin). PV A&M win probability 4% → 5%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

SFA 96.7%3.3% PV A&M

SFA wins

3-0

61.3%

3-1

27.7%

3-2

7.8%

Prairie View wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.9%

3-2

2.0%

SFA break %: 48.1% vs this opp
PV A&M break %: 34.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Carrington CookKill+0.8%
Kill by Carrington Cook (set by Tayler Ruffin)
Set 1 · SFA 5-7 PV A&M · PV A&M 4% → 5%
02
Carrington CookBad set+0.6%
Bad set by Carrington Cook
Set 1 · SFA 7-7 PV A&M · SFA 96% → 96%
03
D'Mya HillKill+0.6%
Kill by D'Mya Hill (set by Kenedy Massie)
Set 1 · SFA 0-2 PV A&M · PV A&M 4% → 4%
04
Molly CravensAttack error+0.6%
Molly Cravens stuffed by D'Mya Hill & Daniella Udegbunam
Set 1 · SFA 4-5 PV A&M · PV A&M 3% → 4%
05
Katherine HoltmanKill+0.5%
Kill by Katherine Holtman (set by Aniston Collins)
Set 1 · SFA 8-7 PV A&M · SFA 96% → 97%
06
Kennedy JonesKill+0.5%
Kill by Kennedy Jones (set by Madi Zorn)
Set 1 · SFA 2-2 PV A&M · SFA 96% → 97%
07
SFA serverService error+0.5%
SFA service error
Set 1 · SFA 5-6 PV A&M · PV A&M 4% → 4%
08
Carrington CookAttack error+0.5%
Attack error by Carrington Cook
Set 1 · SFA 9-7 PV A&M · SFA 97% → 97%

Official NCAA box

Box score

SFAaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Avery KoonsenOH	3	13	1	31	.387	1	4	1	12	0	1	0.5	17.5
5Katherine HoltmanOH	3	15	0	29	.517	1	0	0	11	0	1	0.5	15.5
10Kennedy JonesOH	3	6	2	17	.235	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	7
20Molly CravensMB	3	2	1	7	.143	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	2.5
18Madi ZornS	3	1	0	1	1.000	14	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
28Lara GilardiOH	2	2	1	6	.167	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	2
14Jordan HendersonMB	3	3	1	8	.250	0	0	0	1	1	1	1.5	4.5
1Aniston CollinsS	3	1	0	1	1.000	20	1	2	4	0	0	0	2
6Cambry SaulDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
11Caroline KahleOH	3	0	0	0	–	5	0	0	17	0	0	0	0
23Kyanna CreecyMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	2
Team totals		44	6	102	.373	41	6	5	54	1	6	4	75

Prairie Viewhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
16Iyonna SherwoodMB	3	10	1	18	.500	0	0	2	0	0	0	10
22D'Mya HillOH	3	7	4	33	.091	1	2	12	0	1	0.5	7.5
20Valencia WilderOH	3	4	2	13	.154	0	1	2	0	2	1	5
24Kenedy MassieS	3	1	0	2	.500	16	0	2	0	0	0	1
15Carrington CookOH	2	3	3	14	.000	0	1	5	3	0	0	3
10Daniella UdegbunamMB	2	0	0	1	.000	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	0.5
5Terasita CaldwellOH	3	4	4	18	.000	0	0	3	0	1	0.5	4.5
14Tayler RuffinS	3	0	0	1	.000	7	0	3	0	1	0.5	0.5
11Aubrey GoodeS	3	0	0	0	–	3	0	2	0	0	0	0
6Camille MiddletonOH	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	11	1	0	0	0
8Jade SmithMB	2	2	2	7	.000	0	1	1	0	0	0	2
1Lucy DieterlenL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
17Neenah BurtonL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		31	16	107	.140	27	6	45	6	6	3	42

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 8 SFA · PV A&M 3

Set 1

25-15

Longest run 8 SFAPV A&M 3

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 6 SFAPV A&M 3

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 6 SFAPV A&M 3

Bars above the line = Prairie View leads, below = SFA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

SFA

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	50%5/10
2	86%6/7	57%8/14
3	63%5/8	38%3/8
4	50%5/10	50%5/10
5	100%4/4	84%21/25
6	100%4/4	43%3/7
All	70%30/43	61%45/74

Prairie View

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	60%6/10	0%0/4
2	38%6/16	45%5/11
3	63%5/8	14%1/7
4	31%5/16	44%4/9
5	24%4/17	38%3/8
6	43%3/7	0%0/4
All	39%29/74	30%13/43

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

117 rallies

Rally log

#	SFA-PV A&M	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Valencia Wilder	set Kenedy Massie	+0.4
2	0-2	PV A&M	PV A&M	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Kenedy Massie	+0.6
3	1-2	PV A&M	SFA×3	Kill	Lara Gilardi	set Madi Zorn	+0.4
4	2-2	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Madi Zorn	+0.5
5	3-2	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Madi Zorn	+0.4
6	3-3	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Kenedy Massie	+0.3
7	4-3	PV A&M	SFA	Serve err	PV A&M server		+0.3
8	4-4	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Kenedy Massie	+0.4
9	4-5	PV A&M	PV A&M	Attack err	Molly Cravens	blk D'Mya Hill, Daniella Udegbunam	+0.6
10	5-5	PV A&M	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Madi Zorn	+0.4
11	5-6	SFA	PV A&M	Serve err	SFA server		+0.5
12	5-7	PV A&M	PV A&M	Kill	Carrington Cook	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.8
13	6-7	PV A&M	SFA×8	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Caroline Kahle	+0.5
14	7-7	SFA	SFA×8	Bad set	Carrington Cook		+0.6
15	8-7	SFA	SFA×8	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+0.5
16	9-7	SFA	SFA×8	Attack err	Carrington Cook		+0.5
17	10-7	SFA	SFA×8	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	+0.4
18	11-7	SFA	SFA×8	Kill	Avery Koonsen		+0.3
19	12-7	SFA	SFA×8	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.2
20	13-7	SFA	SFA×8	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Caroline Kahle	+0.1
21	13-8	SFA	PV A&M	Attack err	Jordan Henderson		+0.1
22	14-8	PV A&M	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+0.1
23	15-8	SFA	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	+0.1
24	15-9	SFA	PV A&M	Attack err	Lara Gilardi		+0.0
25	16-9	PV A&M	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+0.1
26	17-9	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Carrington Cook		+0.0
27	17-10	SFA	PV A&M×3	Kill	Valencia Wilder	set Kenedy Massie	+0.0
28	17-11	PV A&M	PV A&M×3	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Kenedy Massie	+0.1
29	17-12	PV A&M	PV A&M×3	Kill	Kenedy Massie	set D'Mya Hill	+0.1
30	18-12	PV A&M	SFA×3	Serve err	PV A&M server		+0.1
31	19-12	SFA	SFA×3	Ace	SFA server	aced Carrington Cook	+0.1
32	20-12	SFA	SFA×3	Ace	SFA server	aced Carrington Cook	+0.0
33	20-13	SFA	PV A&M	Serve err	SFA server		+0.0
34	21-13	PV A&M	SFA	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Madi Zorn	+0.0
35	21-14	SFA	PV A&M	Serve err	SFA server		+0.0
36	22-14	PV A&M	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Madi Zorn	+0.0
37	23-14	SFA	SFA	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
38	23-15	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.0
39	24-15	PV A&M	SFA	Serve err	PV A&M server		+0.0
40	25-15	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Terasita Caldwell	blk Jordan Henderson	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	PV A&M	SFA	Attack err	D'Mya Hill		+0.2
2	1-1	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Valencia Wilder	set Kenedy Massie	+0.2
3	1-2	PV A&M	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Madi Zorn	+0.3
4	2-2	PV A&M	SFA×3	Kill	Lara Gilardi	set Madi Zorn	+0.2
5	3-2	SFA	SFA×3	Bad set	Kenedy Massie		+0.3
6	4-2	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	D'Mya Hill		+0.2
7	4-3	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Kenedy Massie	+0.2
8	5-3	PV A&M	SFA	Attack err	D'Mya Hill		+0.2
9	5-4	SFA	PV A&M×3	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Kenedy Massie	+0.2
10	5-5	PV A&M	PV A&M×3	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.3
11	5-6	PV A&M	PV A&M×3	Kill	Terasita Caldwell	set Aniston Collins	+0.4
12	6-6	PV A&M	SFA×6	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+0.3
13	7-6	SFA	SFA×6	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	+0.3
14	8-6	SFA	SFA×6	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+0.3
15	9-6	SFA	SFA×6	Attack err	Jade Smith		+0.2
16	10-6	SFA	SFA×6	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	+0.2
17	11-6	SFA	SFA×6	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Caroline Kahle	+0.1
18	11-7	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Jade Smith	set Aubrey Goode	+0.1
19	12-7	PV A&M	SFA	Attack err	Jordan Henderson		+0.1
20	12-8	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Jade Smith	set Aubrey Goode	+0.1
21	13-8	PV A&M	SFA	Attack err	Carrington Cook		+0.1
22	13-9	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Terasita Caldwell	set Aubrey Goode	+0.1
23	14-9	PV A&M	SFA	Kill	Madi Zorn	set Katherine Holtman	+0.1
24	14-10	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Carrington Cook	set Kenedy Massie	+0.1
25	15-10	PV A&M	SFA	Attack err	Valencia Wilder		+0.1
26	15-11	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Kenedy Massie	+0.1
27	15-12	PV A&M	PV A&M	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Kenedy Massie	+0.2
28	16-12	PV A&M	SFA×3	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Madi Zorn	+0.1
29	17-12	SFA	SFA×3	Ace	SFA server	aced Carrington Cook	+0.1
30	18-12	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+0.1
31	18-13	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Kenedy Massie	+0.0
32	19-13	PV A&M	SFA×4	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Aniston Collins	+0.1
33	20-13	SFA	SFA×4	Kill	Jordan Henderson	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
34	21-13	SFA	SFA×4	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Caroline Kahle	+0.0
35	22-13	SFA	SFA×4	Kill	Avery Koonsen		+0.0
36	22-14	SFA	PV A&M	Serve err	SFA server		+0.0
37	23-14	PV A&M	SFA	Serve err	PV A&M server		+0.0
38	23-15	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Carrington Cook	set Aubrey Goode	+0.0
39	24-15	PV A&M	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
40	25-15	SFA	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Caroline Kahle	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.1
2	0-2	PV A&M	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.2
3	1-2	PV A&M	SFA×5	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Madi Zorn	+0.1
4	2-2	SFA	SFA×5	Ace	SFA server	aced Team	+0.1
5	3-2	SFA	SFA×5	Attack err	Jade Smith		+0.1
6	4-2	SFA	SFA×5	Kill	Kyanna Creecy	set Madi Zorn	+0.1
7	5-2	SFA	SFA×5	Ace	SFA server	aced Team	+0.1
8	5-3	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.1
9	6-3	PV A&M	SFA	Serve err	PV A&M server		+0.1
10	7-3	SFA	SFA	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Madi Zorn	+0.1
11	7-4	SFA	PV A&M	Attack err	Avery Koonsen		+0.0
12	7-5	PV A&M	PV A&M	Attack err	Kennedy Jones	blk Valencia Wilder, Tayler Ruffin	+0.1
13	8-5	PV A&M	SFA×3	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Madi Zorn	+0.1
14	9-5	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Kennedy Jones	set Aniston Collins	+0.1
15	10-5	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	D'Mya Hill	blk Jordan Henderson, Katherine Holtman	+0.1
16	10-6	SFA	PV A&M×3	Serve err	SFA server		+0.0
17	10-7	PV A&M	PV A&M×3	Kill	D'Mya Hill	set Tayler Ruffin	+0.1
18	10-8	PV A&M	PV A&M×3	Attack err	Kennedy Jones	blk Terasita Caldwell, Valencia Wilder	+0.1
19	11-8	PV A&M	SFA×6	Kill	Jordan Henderson	set Aniston Collins	+0.1
20	12-8	SFA	SFA×6	Kill	Aniston Collins	set Avery Koonsen	+0.1
21	13-8	SFA	SFA×6	Attack err	Terasita Caldwell		+0.1
22	14-8	SFA	SFA×6	Ace	SFA server	aced Camille Middleton	+0.0
23	15-8	SFA	SFA×6	Attack err	Valencia Wilder		+0.0
24	16-8	SFA	SFA×6	Attack err	Terasita Caldwell		+0.0
25	16-9	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Valencia Wilder	set Kenedy Massie	+0.0
26	17-9	PV A&M	SFA×3	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
27	18-9	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
28	19-9	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Jordan Henderson	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
29	19-10	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Terasita Caldwell	set Kenedy Massie	+0.0
30	20-10	PV A&M	SFA×4	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	+0.0
31	21-10	SFA	SFA×4	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Madi Zorn	+0.0
32	22-10	SFA	SFA×4	Attack err	Iyonna Sherwood	blk Kyanna Creecy, Avery Koonsen	+0.0
33	23-10	SFA	SFA×4	Attack err	Terasita Caldwell	blk Molly Cravens, Kyanna Creecy	+0.0
34	23-11	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Terasita Caldwell	set Kenedy Massie	+0.0
35	24-11	PV A&M	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Madi Zorn	+0.0
36	24-12	SFA	PV A&M	Kill	Iyonna Sherwood	set Kenedy Massie	+0.0
37	25-12	PV A&M	SFA	Serve err	PV A&M server		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, SFA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.