SFA vs Nicholls Volleyball: SFA Wins 3-0 (Oct 3, 2026)

FinalSat, Oct 3, 2026ESPN+

3:0

RallyIQ pre-match: SFA 91.0% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 3, 12:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

SFA won at Nicholls 3-0 (29-27, 25-11, 25-12) on Sat, Oct 3, 2026. SFA's Katherine Holtman led with 10 kills, and Avery Koonsen added 15 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 3:00 PM CT · final Oct 3

Set	1	2	3	Sets
SFA	29	25	25	3
NICHST	27	11	12	0

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Katherine Holtman hit .500 with 10 kills as SFA rolled past Nicholls.

The biggest single-rally swing was 5.6 points, and Nicholls's high was 17% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. SFA went in as RallyIQ's 91% pick.

SFANicholls

Break %+25.7 pts
55.129.4
Points won on own serve: 43 of 78 vs 15 of 51. Nicholls sided out 44.9% of the time.
Hitting+.292
.309.017
Kills and errors: 39–9 vs 31–29.
Longest run+5
72
SFA opened the set in the third set with 7 straight points for a 7–0 lead. Final score of the set: 25–12.

Nicholls above 50SFA belowMax swing 5.6%

SFANicholls

Aces: SFA 6·Nicholls 3
Serve err: SFA 7·Nicholls 4
Blocks: SFA 12·Nicholls 33 BS · 18 BA vs 0 BS · 6 BA
Digs: SFA 50·Nicholls 42

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Nicholls above 50 · SFA below

Biggest swing: 5.6% to Nicholls — set 1, SFA 25-26 NICHST. Attack error by Katherine Holtman. NICHST win probability 11% → 17%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SFA 95.3%4.7% NICHST

SFA wins

3-0

56.4%

3-1

29.4%

3-2

9.5%

Nicholls wins

3-0

0.5%

3-1

1.3%

3-2

2.9%

SFA break %: 49.7% vs this opp
NICHST break %: 36.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
Katherine HoltmanAttack error+5.6%
Attack error by Katherine Holtman
Set 1 · SFA 25-26 NICHST · NICHST 11% → 17%
02
Jordan HendersonBlock+4.7%
Harper Holden stuffed by Jordan Henderson
Set 1 · SFA 27-26 NICHST · SFA 87% → 92%
03
Kera ArringtonKill+4.4%
Kill by Kera Arrington (set by Isabella Padilla)
Set 1 · SFA 24-24 NICHST · NICHST 7% → 11%
04
Katherine HoltmanKill+4.3%
Kill by Katherine Holtman (set by Aniston Collins)
Set 1 · SFA 26-26 NICHST · SFA 83% → 87%
05
Molly CravensKill+3.7%
Kill by Molly Cravens (set by Madi Zorn)
Set 1 · SFA 29-27 NICHST · SFA 92% → 96%
06
Katherine HoltmanKill+3.4%
Kill by Katherine Holtman (set by Aniston Collins)
Set 1 · SFA 25-24 NICHST · SFA 89% → 92%
07
Kera ArringtonKill+3.4%
Kill by Kera Arrington (set by Isabella Padilla)
Set 1 · SFA 25-25 NICHST · NICHST 8% → 11%
08
Kera ArringtonKill+3.4%
Kill by Kera Arrington (set by Isabella Padilla)
Set 1 · SFA 27-27 NICHST · NICHST 8% → 11%

Box score

Official NCAA box

SFAaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Avery KoonsenOH	3	8	2	28	.214	1	1	1	15	0	0	3	1.5	10.5
20Molly CravensMB	3	7	4	20	.150	0	0	0	2	0	0	4	2	9
11Caroline KahleOH	3	6	2	18	.222	2	0	1	10	0	0	1	0.5	6.5
23Kyanna CreecyMB	3	4	0	6	.667	0	0	1	1	0	1	3	2.5	6.5
14Jordan HendersonMB	3	2	0	2	1.000	0	0	0	1	0	1	5	3.5	5.5
18Madi ZornS	3	1	0	2	.500	15	2	3	3	0	0	0	0	3
5Katherine HoltmanOH	3	10	1	18	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	10.5
6Cambry SaulDS	3	0	0	0	–	5	2	0	6	0	0	0	0	2
1Aniston CollinsS	3	0	0	2	.000	15	1	1	6	0	0	0	0	1
13Haley PetersonMB	1	1	0	1	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	2.5
10Kennedy JonesOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		39	9	97	.309	38	6	7	50	3	3	18	12	79

Nichollshome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
7Amelie ShalfoonOH	3	5	9	24	-.167	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
5Maya SchirmerMB	3	4	2	8	.250	1	0	0	1	0	2	1	5
15Harper HoldenMB	3	1	1	5	.000	0	1	0	2	0	1	0.5	2.5
8Isabella PadillaS	3	0	0	0	–	15	0	0	6	0	1	0.5	0.5
1Lizzie KraftDS	3	0	0	1	.000	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	0
19Madison SmithOH	2	6	5	18	.056	0	1	0	5	0	1	0.5	7.5
18Kera ArringtonOH	3	7	6	31	.032	0	0	1	2	3	1	0.5	7.5
3Zahahrah Edwards-WyllieOH	3	5	2	13	.231	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	5
12Jenna CicherskiS	3	0	0	1	.000	12	0	3	4	0	0	0	0
11Natalia NavarroL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	15	0	0	0	0
10Tierney TerrellOH	2	3	4	13	-.077	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	4
6Karina SmithL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16Mckenzie MitchellOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0
Team totals		31	29	115	.017	31	3	4	42	6	6	3	50

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

SFA vs Nicholls

Season series · SFA leads 1-0

Sat, Oct 3, 2026SFA at Nicholls · SFA won 3-0This match
Sat, Nov 7, 2026Nicholls at SFAPreview →

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 SFA · NICHST 2

Set 1

29-27

Longest run 4 SFANICHST 2

Set 2

25-11

Longest run 6 SFANICHST 2

Set 3

25-12

Longest run 7 SFANICHST 2

Bars above the line = Nicholls leads, below = SFA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SFA

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	78%7/9	71%15/21
2	78%7/9	46%6/13
3	75%6/8	63%10/16
4	60%6/10	45%5/11
5	63%5/8	50%5/10
6	71%5/7	29%2/7
All	71%36/51	55%43/78

Nicholls

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	33%7/21	14%1/7
2	54%7/13	22%2/9
3	38%6/16	22%2/9
4	38%5/13	33%3/9
5	83%5/6	38%3/8
6	56%5/9	44%4/9
All	45%35/78	29%15/51

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#	SFA-NICHST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Amelie Shalfoon		+0.9
2	1-1	SFA	NICHST	Serve err	SFA		+0.7
3	2-1	NICHST	SFA	Blocked	Madison Smith	blk Molly Cravens, Jordan Henderson	+0.7
4	3-1	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Amelie Shalfoon		+0.8
5	3-2	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Amelie Shalfoon	set Isabella Padilla	+0.7
6	3-3	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Avery Koonsen		+1.0
7	4-3	NICHST	SFA	Serve err	Nicholls		+0.7
8	4-4	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Jenna Cicherski	+0.8
9	5-4	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Caroline Kahle	+0.7
10	6-4	SFA	SFA	Ace	SFA	aced Kera Arrington	+0.9
11	6-5	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Jenna Cicherski	+0.7
12	6-6	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Jenna Cicherski	+1.1
13	7-6	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	+0.8
14	7-7	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Jenna Cicherski	+0.9
15	7-8	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla	+1.4
16	8-8	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+0.9
17	8-9	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla	+1.1
18	8-10	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Isabella Padilla	+1.6
19	9-10	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+1.1
20	9-11	SFA	NICHST	Serve err	SFA		+1.3
21	9-12	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Caroline Kahle		+1.8
22	10-12	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Jordan Henderson	set Madi Zorn	+1.1
23	10-13	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Amelie Shalfoon	set Isabella Padilla	+1.5
24	10-14	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Molly Cravens		+2.0
25	11-14	NICHST	SFA×4	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Madi Zorn	+1.1
26	12-14	SFA	SFA×4	Blocked	Maya Schirmer	blk Kyanna Creecy	+1.7
27	13-14	SFA	SFA×4	Blocked	Madison Smith	blk Avery Koonsen, Kyanna Creecy	+1.8
28	14-14	SFA	SFA×4	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Madi Zorn	+1.7
29	14-15	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Jenna Cicherski	+1.5
30	14-16	NICHST	NICHST	Ace	Nicholls	aced Kennedy Jones	+2.2
31	15-16	NICHST	SFA×3	Blocked	Kera Arrington	blk Kyanna Creecy, Molly Cravens	+1.4
32	16-16	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	Kera Arrington		+1.9
33	17-16	SFA	SFA×3	Blocked	Kera Arrington	blk Kyanna Creecy, Katherine Holtman	+1.8
34	17-17	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Jenna Cicherski	+1.5
35	18-17	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Kyanna Creecy	set Aniston Collins	+1.4
36	18-18	SFA	NICHST	Serve err	SFA		+1.6
37	19-18	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Kyanna Creecy	set Aniston Collins	+1.6
38	19-19	SFA	NICHST	Serve err	SFA		+1.7
39	20-19	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+1.7
40	21-19	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Madison Smith		+2.0
41	21-20	SFA	NICHST	Attack err	Caroline Kahle		+1.4
42	22-20	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Madi Zorn	+1.6
43	22-21	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Amelie Shalfoon	set Isabella Padilla	+1.4
44	23-21	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Madi Zorn	set Cambry Saul	+1.8
45	23-22	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Isabella Padilla	+1.4
46	24-22	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Kyanna Creecy	set Madi Zorn	+2.1
47	24-23	SFA	NICHST	Serve err	SFA		+1.3
48	24-24	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla	+4.4
49	25-24	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+3.4
50	25-25	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla	+3.4
51	25-26	NICHST	NICHST	Attack err	Katherine Holtman		+5.6
52	26-26	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+4.3
53	27-26	SFA	SFA	Blocked	Harper Holden	blk Jordan Henderson	+4.7
54	27-27	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Kera Arrington	set Isabella Padilla	+3.4
55	28-27	NICHST	SFA	Serve err	Nicholls		+3.4
56	29-27	SFA	SFA	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Madi Zorn	+3.7
Set 2
1	1-0	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Cambry Saul	+0.4
2	2-0	SFA	SFA	Blocked	Amelie Shalfoon	blk Jordan Henderson, Avery Koonsen	+0.5
3	2-1	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Tierney Terrell	set Isabella Padilla	+0.4
4	3-1	NICHST	SFA	Blocked	Amelie Shalfoon	blk Avery Koonsen, Jordan Henderson	+0.4
5	3-2	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Tierney Terrell	set Isabella Padilla	+0.4
6	4-2	NICHST	SFA×3	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Madi Zorn	+0.4
7	5-2	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Caroline Kahle	+0.5
8	6-2	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie		+0.4
9	6-3	SFA	NICHST	Attack err	Avery Koonsen		+0.3
10	6-4	NICHST	NICHST	Ace	Nicholls		+0.5
11	7-4	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	+0.4
12	7-5	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Jenna Cicherski	+0.4
13	8-5	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	+0.4
14	9-5	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Tierney Terrell		+0.4
15	9-6	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Jenna Cicherski	+0.3
16	9-7	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Amelie Shalfoon	set Isabella Padilla	+0.6
17	10-7	NICHST	SFA×4	Attack err	Amelie Shalfoon		+0.4
18	11-7	SFA	SFA×4	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Cambry Saul	+0.5
19	12-7	SFA	SFA×4	Blocked	Maya Schirmer	blk Molly Cravens, Jordan Henderson	+0.4
20	13-7	SFA	SFA×4	Bad set	Isabella Padilla		+0.3
21	13-8	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Amelie Shalfoon	set Maya Schirmer	+0.2
22	14-8	NICHST	SFA	Blocked	Tierney Terrell	blk Molly Cravens, Jordan Henderson	+0.2
23	15-8	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Tierney Terrell		+0.2
24	15-9	SFA	NICHST	Serve err	SFA		+0.1
25	16-9	NICHST	SFA×3	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Madi Zorn	+0.1
26	17-9	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	Amelie Shalfoon		+0.1
27	18-9	SFA	SFA×3	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Madi Zorn	+0.1
28	18-10	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Tierney Terrell	set Isabella Padilla	·
29	19-10	NICHST	SFA	Serve err	Nicholls		·
30	19-11	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Harper Holden	set Jenna Cicherski	·
31	20-11	NICHST	SFA×6	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Aniston Collins	·
32	21-11	SFA	SFA×6	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Cambry Saul	·
33	22-11	SFA	SFA×6	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Aniston Collins	·
34	23-11	SFA	SFA×6	Ace	SFA		·
35	24-11	SFA	SFA×6	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	·
36	25-11	SFA	SFA×6	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Cambry Saul	·
Set 3
1	1-0	SFA	SFA×7	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Madi Zorn	+0.3
2	2-0	SFA	SFA×7	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Madi Zorn	+0.2
3	3-0	SFA	SFA×7	Attack err	Amelie Shalfoon		+0.2
4	4-0	SFA	SFA×7	Ace	SFA	aced Mckenzie Mitchell	+0.2
5	5-0	SFA	SFA×7	Attack err	Kera Arrington		+0.1
6	6-0	SFA	SFA×7	Attack err	Amelie Shalfoon		+0.1
7	7-0	SFA	SFA×7	Kill	Jordan Henderson	set Isabella Padilla	+0.1
8	7-1	SFA	NICHST	Blocked	Molly Cravens	blk Kera Arrington, Harper Holden	+0.1
9	8-1	NICHST	SFA×3	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Madi Zorn	+0.1
10	9-1	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	Amelie Shalfoon		+0.1
11	10-1	SFA	SFA×3	Attack err	Kera Arrington		·
12	10-2	SFA	NICHST	Blocked	Molly Cravens	blk Isabella Padilla, Maya Schirmer	·
13	11-2	NICHST	SFA×5	Serve err	Nicholls		·
14	12-2	SFA	SFA×5	Kill	Avery Koonsen	set Madi Zorn	·
15	13-2	SFA	SFA×5	Ace	SFA	aced Mckenzie Mitchell	·
16	14-2	SFA	SFA×5	Ace	SFA	aced Kera Arrington	·
17	15-2	SFA	SFA×5	Attack err	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie		·
18	15-3	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Jenna Cicherski	·
19	15-4	NICHST	NICHST	Blocked	Molly Cravens	blk Maya Schirmer, Madison Smith	·
20	16-4	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Kyanna Creecy	set Madi Zorn	·
21	16-5	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Jenna Cicherski	·
22	16-6	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Zahahrah Edwards-Wyllie	set Natalia Navarro	·
23	17-6	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Katherine Holtman	set Aniston Collins	·
24	17-7	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Jenna Cicherski	·
25	17-8	NICHST	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Tierney Terrell	·
26	18-8	NICHST	SFA	Attack err	Madison Smith		·
27	18-9	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Madison Smith	set Tierney Terrell	·
28	19-9	NICHST	SFA×3	Kill	Caroline Kahle	set Aniston Collins	·
29	20-9	SFA	SFA×3	Blocked	Madison Smith	blk Haley Peterson	·
30	21-9	SFA	SFA×3	Ace	SFA	aced Kera Arrington	·
31	21-10	SFA	NICHST	Serve err	SFA		·
32	21-11	NICHST	NICHST	Ace	Nicholls		·
33	22-11	NICHST	SFA	Blocked	Tierney Terrell	blk Haley Peterson, Caroline Kahle	·
34	23-11	SFA	SFA	Kill	Haley Peterson	set Madi Zorn	·
35	23-12	SFA	NICHST	Kill	Maya Schirmer	set Isabella Padilla	·
36	24-12	NICHST	SFA	Kill	Molly Cravens	set Avery Koonsen	·
37	25-12	SFA	SFA	Attack err	Kera Arrington		·

Score shown after each rally, SFA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

SFA def. Nicholls 3–0

Katherine Holtman hit .500 with 10 kills as SFA rolled past Nicholls.