Final · 4 setsSat, Oct 10, 2026Watch on ESPN+

SFA def. Houston Christian 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: SFA 96.6% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 10, 11:56 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

SFA beat visiting Houston Christian 3-1 (25-19, 28-26, 23-25, 25-21) on Sat, Oct 10, 2026. Caroline Kahle and Avery Koonsen led SFA with 13 kills each; Houston Christian's Joya Euhus had a match-high 20.

Data through · final Oct 10

Set1234Sets
HOUCHR192625211
SFA252823253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

SFA won every phase.

Win probability never moved more than 1.9 points on one rally; Houston Christian topped out at 6% in Set 2. SFA went in as RallyIQ's 97% pick.

Houston ChristianSFA
  • Longest run+0
    55

    SFA opened the set in the third set with 5 straight points for a 5–0 lead. That set ended 23–25.

SFA above 50Houston Christian belowMax swing 1.9%

Houston ChristianSFA

Hitting
Houston Christian .180·SFA .230
Aces
Houston Christian 2·SFA 5
Serve err
Houston Christian 10·SFA 10
Blocks
Houston Christian 4·SFA 91 BS · 6 BA vs 0 BS · 18 BA
Digs
Houston Christian 73·SFA 61

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

SFA above 50 · Houston Christian below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.9% HOUCHRrally 192 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.9% to Houston Christian — set 4, HOUCHR 17-17 SFA. Kill by Katy Barger (set by Enisilina Savelio). SFA win probability 96% → 95%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

HOUCHR 4.8%95.2% SFA

Houston Christian wins

3-0
0.5%
3-1
1.3%
3-2
2.9%

SFA wins

3-0
56.0%
3-1
29.5%
3-2
9.7%
HOUCHR break %
36.2% vs this opp
SFA break %
48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Katy BargerKill+1.9%

    Kill by Katy Barger (set by Enisilina Savelio)

    Set 4 · HOUCHR 17-17 SFA · HOUCHR 4% → 5%

  2. 02
    SFAAce+1.7%

    SFA ace on Bianca Byerly

    Set 2 · HOUCHR 26-27 SFA · SFA 97% → 98%

  3. 03
    Katy BargerKill+1.6%

    Kill by Katy Barger (set by Bianca Byerly)

    Set 2 · HOUCHR 23-22 SFA · HOUCHR 3% → 4%

  4. 04

    Katy Barger stuffed by Jordan Henderson & Molly Cravens

    Set 4 · HOUCHR 17-19 SFA · SFA 96% → 97%

  5. 05
    Katy BargerKill+1.6%

    Kill by Katy Barger (set by Enisilina Savelio)

    Set 2 · HOUCHR 24-23 SFA · HOUCHR 3% → 5%

  6. 06
    Molly CravensKill+1.6%

    Kill by Molly Cravens (set by Madi Zorn)

    Set 2 · HOUCHR 24-24 SFA · SFA 95% → 97%

  7. 07
    Katy BargerKill+1.6%

    Kill by Katy Barger (set by Enisilina Savelio)

    Set 2 · HOUCHR 25-24 SFA · HOUCHR 3% → 5%

  8. 08

    Kill by Jordan Henderson (set by Aniston Collins)

    Set 2 · HOUCHR 25-25 SFA · SFA 95% → 97%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4201057.1751049000020
45216.18810000111.56.5
4408.5004702191010.54.5
4318.250002100214
4001.000001820000
1249-.222000200002
415435.31400050010.515.5
4001.0004101710001
4001.000101910000
39825.04000030010.59.5
1000–010000001
Team totals5829161.1805421073516491
SFAhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413544.18200315102114
413445.2000009000013
410224.33300010031.511.5
48315.33300010031.59.5
44112.250002300637
41011.00027141200002
47518.111000000429
4000–1201500002
4000–2621400002
4000–000000000
3000–000100000
1102.500000000001
Team totals5720161.230545106120189101

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 HOUCHR · SFA 5

Set 1

19-25

Longest run 2 HOUCHRSFA 3

Set 2

26-28

Longest run 4 HOUCHRSFA 3

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 5 HOUCHRSFA 5

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 HOUCHRSFA 4

Bars above the line = SFA leads, below = Houston Christian leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Houston Christian

SlotSideout %Break %
1
52%11/21
29%4/14
2
59%10/17
21%3/14
3
50%10/20
38%6/16
4
64%9/14
38%6/16
5
100%9/9
36%5/14
6
47%9/19
50%9/18
All
58%58/100
36%33/92

SFA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
71%12/17
60%15/25
2
73%11/15
27%4/15
3
67%10/15
50%10/20
4
56%9/16
50%9/18
5
53%9/17
10%1/10
6
67%8/12
25%3/12
All
64%59/92
42%42/100

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

192 rallies

#HOUCHR-SFASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SFASFAAttack errJoya Euhus+0.4
21-1SFAHOUCHRKillI’Onna Jonesset Enisilina Savelio+0.3
31-2HOUCHRSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+0.3
42-2SFAHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+0.3
53-2HOUCHRHOUCHRBlockedKyanna Creecyblk Allana Archie+0.6
63-3HOUCHRSFA×3Serve errHouston Christian+0.4
73-4SFASFA×3KillKyanna Creecy+0.5
83-5SFASFA×3BlockedI’Onna Jonesblk Kyanna Creecy, Molly Cravens+0.4
94-5SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.3
104-6HOUCHRSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+0.3
115-6SFAHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Madi Zorn+0.3
125-7HOUCHRSFAAttack errMalaya Balina-Ayers+0.3
136-7SFAHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+0.3
146-8HOUCHRSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+0.3
157-8SFAHOUCHRServe errSFA+0.4
167-9HOUCHRSFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+0.3
177-10SFASFA×3Attack errJoya Euhus+0.4
187-11SFASFA×3Attack errI’Onna Jones+0.3
198-11SFAHOUCHRKillMalaya Balina-Ayersset Enisilina Savelio+0.2
209-11HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errCaroline Kahle+0.4
219-12HOUCHRSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.3
2210-12SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.3
2310-13HOUCHRSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.3
2410-14SFASFAAttack errI’Onna Jones+0.3
2511-14SFAHOUCHRKillI’Onna Jonesset Enisilina Savelio+0.2
2611-15HOUCHRSFA×3BlockedKaty Bargerblk Kyanna Creecy, Molly Cravens+0.2
2711-16SFASFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.2
2811-17SFASFA×3Attack errJoya Euhus+0.2
2912-17SFAHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+0.1
3013-17HOUCHRHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.2
3113-18HOUCHRSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.2
3214-18SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.1
3315-18HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errMolly Cravens+0.3
3415-19HOUCHRSFAServe errHouston Christian+0.3
3516-19SFAHOUCHRServe errSFA+0.2
3616-20HOUCHRSFABlockedI’Onna Jonesblk Katherine Holtman, Jordan Henderson+0.3
3717-20SFAHOUCHRAttack errKatherine Holtman+0.2
3817-21HOUCHRSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.3
3918-21SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.2
4018-22HOUCHRSFAServe errHouston Christian+0.3
4119-22SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.2
4219-23HOUCHRSFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.3
4319-24SFASFA×3KillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+0.1
4419-25SFASFA×3BlockedKaty Bargerblk Kyanna Creecy, Molly Cravens·
Set 2
10-1HOUCHRSFAAttack errSa'Myah Medford+0.2
21-1SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.2
31-2HOUCHRSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.2
42-2SFAHOUCHR×3KillEnisilina Savelio+0.2
53-2HOUCHRHOUCHR×3KillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+0.4
64-2HOUCHRHOUCHR×3KillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+0.4
74-3HOUCHRSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.3
85-3SFAHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+0.3
95-4HOUCHRSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.3
106-4SFAHOUCHRKillEnisilina Savelioset Leighton Hale+0.4
117-4HOUCHRHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.5
127-5HOUCHRSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.3
138-5SFAHOUCHR×4Serve errSFA+0.4
149-5HOUCHRHOUCHR×4Attack errJordan Henderson+0.6
1510-5HOUCHRHOUCHR×4KillMalaya Balina-Ayersset Enisilina Savelio+0.7
1611-5HOUCHRHOUCHR×4Attack errJordan Henderson+0.7
1711-6HOUCHRSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.3
1812-6SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.5
1912-7HOUCHRSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.3
2013-7SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.5
2113-8HOUCHRSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.3
2213-9SFASFAAttack errSa'Myah Medford+0.5
2314-9SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.6
2414-10HOUCHRSFAServe errHouston Christian+0.4
2514-11SFASFAAceSFAaced Katelyn Vo+0.6
2615-11SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.6
2715-12HOUCHRSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+0.4
2816-12SFAHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+0.6
2916-13HOUCHRSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.4
3017-13SFAHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+0.7
3117-14HOUCHRSFA×3Serve errHouston Christian+0.4
3217-15SFASFA×3Attack errKaty Barger+0.7
3317-16SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Leighton Hale+0.8
3418-16SFAHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+0.7
3518-17HOUCHRSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.5
3619-17SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.8
3719-18HOUCHRSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.6
3819-19SFASFAAttack errSa'Myah Medford+0.9
3920-19SFAHOUCHRAttack errCaroline Kahle+0.8
4020-20HOUCHRSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.7
4120-21SFASFAKillCaroline Kahleset Brinkley Reeves+0.9
4221-21SFAHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+0.7
4321-22HOUCHRSFAServe errHouston Christian+0.7
4422-22SFAHOUCHRKillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+0.8
4523-22HOUCHRHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Bianca Byerly+1.6
4623-23HOUCHRSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+1.1
4724-23SFAHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+1.6
4824-24HOUCHRSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+1.6
4925-24SFAHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+1.6
5025-25HOUCHRSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+1.6
5126-25SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+1.6
5226-26HOUCHRSFA×3Serve errHouston Christian+1.6
5326-27SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Bianca Byerly+1.7
5426-28SFASFA×3BlockedJoya Euhusblk Caroline Kahle, Kyanna Creecy+1.2
Set 3
10-1SFASFA×5KillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.1
20-2SFASFA×5KillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+0.1
30-3SFASFA×5KillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.1
40-4SFASFA×5Attack errSa'Myah Medford+0.1
50-5SFASFA×5BlockedSa'Myah Medfordblk Jordan Henderson, Katherine Holtman·
61-5SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio·
72-5HOUCHRHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.1
82-6HOUCHRSFAServe errHouston Christian·
93-6SFAHOUCHR×3KillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio·
104-6HOUCHRHOUCHR×3BlockedKatherine Holtmanblk Allana Archie, Sa'Myah Medford+0.1
115-6HOUCHRHOUCHR×3KillAllana Archieset Enisilina Savelio+0.1
125-7HOUCHRSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.1
136-7SFAHOUCHRServe errSFA+0.1
147-7HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errMolly Cravens+0.2
157-8HOUCHRSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+0.1
168-8SFAHOUCHRServe errSFA+0.1
179-8HOUCHRHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.2
189-9HOUCHRSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.1
1910-9SFAHOUCHR×5Serve errSFA+0.2
2011-9HOUCHRHOUCHR×5Attack errAvery Koonsen+0.3
2112-9HOUCHRHOUCHR×5KillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.3
2213-9HOUCHRHOUCHR×5KillKaty Bargerset Bianca Byerly+0.3
2314-9HOUCHRHOUCHR×5Attack errMolly Cravens+0.3
2414-10HOUCHRSFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.2
2514-11SFASFA×3KillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.3
2614-12SFASFA×3Attack errJoya Euhus+0.3
2715-12SFAHOUCHRServe errSFA+0.3
2815-13HOUCHRSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+0.2
2916-13SFAHOUCHRKillEnisilina Savelio+0.3
3016-14HOUCHRSFA×3KillAniston Collinsset Katelyn Vo+0.2
3116-15SFASFA×3BlockedSa'Myah Medfordblk Katherine Holtman, Kyanna Creecy+0.3
3216-16SFASFA×3Attack errJoya Euhus+0.3
3317-16SFAHOUCHRAttack errCaroline Kahle+0.3
3417-17HOUCHRSFA×3KillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.2
3517-18SFASFA×3KillLara Gilardiset Madi Zorn+0.3
3617-19SFASFA×3AceSFAaced Katelyn Vo+0.2
3718-19SFAHOUCHRAttack errCaroline Kahle+0.2
3819-19HOUCHRHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Allana Archie+0.3
3919-20HOUCHRSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+0.2
4020-20SFAHOUCHRServe errSFA+0.3
4121-20HOUCHRHOUCHRAceHouston Christianaced Caroline Kahle+0.5
4221-21HOUCHRSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+0.3
4322-21SFAHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+0.4
4423-21HOUCHRHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+0.7
4523-22HOUCHRSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.3
4623-23SFASFAAttack errJoya Euhus+0.7
4724-23SFAHOUCHRServe errSFA+0.7
4825-23HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errJordan Henderson+1.2
Set 4
11-0HOUCHRHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Bianca Byerly+1.0
21-1HOUCHRSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.6
32-1SFAHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Bianca Byerly+0.8
42-2HOUCHRSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.6
52-3SFASFABlockedAllana Archieblk Caroline Kahle, Kyanna Creecy+0.8
63-3SFAHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+0.7
74-3HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errAvery Koonsen+1.1
84-4HOUCHRSFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+0.7
94-5SFASFA×3Attack errAllana Archie+0.9
104-6SFASFA×3Attack errJoya Euhus+0.8
115-6SFAHOUCHR×3Serve errSFA+0.6
126-6HOUCHRHOUCHR×3Attack errMolly Cravens+1.0
137-6HOUCHRHOUCHR×3Bad setBrinkley Reeves+1.2
147-7HOUCHRSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.8
158-7SFAHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+1.0
168-8HOUCHRSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.8
179-8SFAHOUCHRKillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+1.0
189-9HOUCHRSFA×4Serve errHouston Christian+0.9
199-10SFASFA×4KillJordan Henderson+1.1
209-11SFASFA×4Attack errSa'Myah Medford+1.0
219-12SFASFA×4Attack errJoya Euhus+0.8
2210-12SFAHOUCHRKillMalaya Balina-Ayersset Enisilina Savelio+0.6
2311-12HOUCHRHOUCHRAttack errCaroline Kahle+1.0
2411-13HOUCHRSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.7
2511-14SFASFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.8
2612-14SFAHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+0.6
2713-14HOUCHRHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Joya Euhus+1.1
2813-15HOUCHRSFAServe errHouston Christian+0.8
2914-15SFAHOUCHRKillSa'Myah Medfordset Enisilina Savelio+0.9
3014-16HOUCHRSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.9
3114-17SFASFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn+1.0
3215-17SFAHOUCHR×3KillEnisilina Savelioset Enisilina Savelio+0.7
3316-17HOUCHRHOUCHR×3BlockedMolly Cravensblk Malaya Balina-Ayers, Katy Barger+1.3
3417-17HOUCHRHOUCHR×3KillKaty Bargerset Enisilina Savelio+1.9
3517-18HOUCHRSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+1.3
3617-19SFASFABlockedKaty Bargerblk Jordan Henderson, Molly Cravens+1.6
3718-19SFAHOUCHRBlockedAvery Koonsenblk Enisilina Savelio, Malaya Balina-Ayers+1.1
3818-20HOUCHRSFAAttack errJoya Euhus+1.2
3919-20SFAHOUCHRAttack errAvery Koonsen+1.2
4019-21HOUCHRSFA×3Attack errSa'Myah Medford+1.3
4119-22SFASFA×3KillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+1.3
4219-23SFASFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+0.7
4320-23SFAHOUCHRKillJoya Euhusset Enisilina Savelio+0.3
4421-23HOUCHRHOUCHRAceHouston Christian+0.8
4521-24HOUCHRSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.9
4621-25SFASFAAceSFAaced Enisilina Savelio+0.4

Score shown after each rally, Houston Christian first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).