FinalWed, Oct 21, 2026Watch on ESPN+

SFA def. East Texas A&M 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: SFA 70.9% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 21, 6:25 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

SFA won at East Texas A&M 3-0 (25-22, 26-24, 25-18) on Wed, Oct 21, 2026. Avery Koonsen and Katherine Holtman led SFA with 9 kills each; East Texas A&M's Gracie Campbell had a match-high 15.

Data through · final Oct 21

Set123Sets
SFA2526253
TAMUCO2224180

Match story · written from the play-by-play

All three sets were decided by seven or fewer, and SFA won each one.

Win probability never moved more than 7.9 points on one rally; East Texas A&M topped out at 33% in Set 1. SFA went in as RallyIQ's 71% pick.

SFAEast Texas A&M
  • Break %+9.9 pts
    45.335.4

    34 of 75 on serve vs 23 of 65, so East Texas A&M's sideout was 54.7%.

  • Longest run+1
    54

    SFA scored 5 straight in the second set to turn a 21–24 deficit into a 26–24 lead. The set finished 26–24.

East Texas A&M above 50SFA belowMax swing 7.9%

SFAEast Texas A&M

Hitting
SFA .280·East Texas A&M .242
Aces
SFA 10·East Texas A&M 1
Serve err
SFA 10·East Texas A&M 9
Blocks
SFA 8·East Texas A&M 82 BS · 12 BA vs 3 BS · 10 BA
Digs
SFA 40·East Texas A&M 47

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

East Texas A&M above 50 · SFA below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+7.9% SFArally 140 · set 3

Biggest swing: 7.9% to SFA — set 2, SFA 24-24 TAMUCO. Attack error by Ariana Brown. TAMUCO win probability 27% → 19%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

SFA 75.3%24.7% TAMUCO

SFA wins

3-0
27.3%
3-1
28.8%
3-2
19.3%

East Texas A&M wins

3-0
4.3%
3-1
8.5%
3-2
11.9%
SFA break %
44.6% vs this opp
TAMUCO break %
39.4% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Ariana BrownAttack error+7.9%

    Attack error by Ariana Brown

    Set 2 · SFA 24-24 TAMUCO · SFA 73% → 81%

  2. 02
    Ariana BrownAttack error+7.2%

    Attack error by Ariana Brown

    Set 2 · SFA 25-24 TAMUCO · SFA 81% → 88%

  3. 03
    Molly CravensKill+6.5%

    Kill by Molly Cravens (set by Madi Zorn)

    Set 2 · SFA 26-24 TAMUCO · SFA 88% → 94%

  4. 04
    Ariana BrownKill+4.0%

    Kill by Ariana Brown (set by Haley Mullaney)

    Set 2 · SFA 21-24 TAMUCO · TAMUCO 28% → 32%

  5. 05

    Molly Cravens stuffed by Sabine Wenzel & Haley Mullaney

    Set 2 · SFA 21-23 TAMUCO · TAMUCO 24% → 28%

  6. 06

    Ace by Kyanna Creecy on Gracie Campbell

    Set 1 · SFA 17-16 TAMUCO · SFA 69% → 73%

  7. 07

    Kill by Jordan Henderson (set by Madi Zorn)

    Set 1 · SFA 19-17 TAMUCO · SFA 73% → 77%

  8. 08

    Sabine Wenzel stuffed by Jordan Henderson

    Set 2 · SFA 21-22 TAMUCO · SFA 72% → 76%

Box score

Official NCAA box

SFAaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
38112.5830000024412
39026.34601110000010
38529.10300010031.59.5
37115.400112151010.58.5
3124-.250013000213
3000–2111500001
39320.3003001002110
3000–340400004
3000–1322400002
3000–000000000
2001.000001000000
Team totals4212107.280411010401212876
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
315233.3940017402116
314827.2220034302115
3307.42900000132.55.5
33111.1821501110010.53.5
33113.154000300003
2137-.286000002234
3000–5021600000
3000–1802400000
2000–000010000
2000–000000000
1000–010000001
1001.000000210000
Team totals391599.24238194710310864

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 SFA · TAMUCO 4

Set 1

25-22

Longest run 3 SFATAMUCO 4

Set 2

26-24

Longest run 5 SFATAMUCO 4

Set 3

25-18

Longest run 4 SFATAMUCO 3

Bars above the line = East Texas A&M leads, below = SFA leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

SFA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
50%7/14
2
64%7/11
56%9/16
3
44%7/16
53%8/15
4
64%7/11
36%4/11
5
100%7/7
30%3/10
6
75%6/8
33%3/9
All
65%42/65
45%34/75

East Texas A&M

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%7/17
30%3/10
2
54%7/13
42%5/12
3
58%7/12
36%4/11
4
64%7/11
56%9/16
5
64%7/11
13%1/8
6
55%6/11
13%1/8
All
55%41/75
35%23/65

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

140 rallies

#SFA-TAMUCOSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1SFATAMUCOAttack errMolly Cravens+1.6
21-1TAMUCOSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+1.5
31-2SFATAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.7
42-2TAMUCOSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+1.6
52-3SFATAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Katelyn Pritchard+1.7
63-3TAMUCOSFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+1.6
74-3SFASFA×3AceAniston Collins+2.3
85-3SFASFA×3AceAniston Collinsaced Gracie Campbell+2.1
95-4SFATAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Katelyn Pritchard+1.5
106-4TAMUCOSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+1.5
116-5SFATAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Katelyn Pritchard+1.5
127-5TAMUCOSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+1.6
137-6SFATAMUCOServe errKyanna Creecy+1.6
147-7TAMUCOTAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+2.5
158-7TAMUCOSFAServe errAriana Brown+1.8
169-7SFASFABlockedSabine Wenzelblk Jordan Henderson+2.4
179-8SFATAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+1.7
1810-8TAMUCOSFAAttack errGracie Campbell+1.7
1911-8SFASFAAceCaroline Kahleaced Ariana Brown+2.2
2011-9SFATAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.5
2112-9TAMUCOSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+1.6
2212-10SFATAMUCO×4KillGracie Campbellset Jade Washington+1.5
2312-11TAMUCOTAMUCO×4KillAriana Brownset Jade Washington+2.5
2412-12TAMUCOTAMUCO×4KillAriana Brownset Katelyn Pritchard+2.9
2512-13TAMUCOTAMUCO×4KillAriana Brownset Katelyn Pritchard+3.2
2613-13TAMUCOSFAAttack errAriana Brown+2.2
2714-13SFASFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+3.1
2814-14SFATAMUCOServe errAniston Collins+2.3
2914-15TAMUCOTAMUCOBlockedKatherine Holtmanblk Ariana Brown, Sabine Wenzel+3.5
3015-15TAMUCOSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.4
3115-16SFATAMUCOServe errAvery Koonsen+2.7
3216-16TAMUCOSFAAttack errSabine Wenzel+2.5
3317-16SFASFAAceKyanna Creecyaced Gracie Campbell+3.7
3417-17SFATAMUCOServe errKyanna Creecy+2.7
3518-17TAMUCOSFA×3Serve errAriana Brown+2.8
3619-17SFASFA×3KillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+3.7
3720-17SFASFA×3AceMadi Zornaced Jordyn Wacaster+3.0
3820-18SFATAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+1.7
3921-18TAMUCOSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+2.2
4021-19SFATAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.7
4122-19TAMUCOSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+2.3
4222-20SFATAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Katelyn Pritchard+1.6
4323-20TAMUCOSFAServe errGracie Campbell+2.4
4423-21SFATAMUCOServe errAniston Collins+1.4
4524-21TAMUCOSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins+2.4
4624-22SFATAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Katelyn Pritchard+0.9
4725-22TAMUCOSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+2.2
Set 2
10-1TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+1.9
21-1TAMUCOSFA×3Serve errHaley Mullaney+1.3
32-1SFASFA×3BlockedAriana Brownblk Jordan Henderson, Molly Cravens+1.8
43-1SFASFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+1.7
53-2SFATAMUCOServe errCaroline Kahle+1.2
64-2TAMUCOSFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+1.2
75-2SFASFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+1.6
86-2SFASFA×3AceBrinkley Reevesaced Ariana Brown+1.4
96-3SFATAMUCOBlockedKyanna Creecyblk Sabine Wenzel+0.9
106-4TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errMolly Cravens+1.5
117-4TAMUCOSFAServe errJade Washington+1.1
127-5SFATAMUCO×4KillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+1.1
137-6TAMUCOTAMUCO×4KillGracie Campbellset Katelyn Pritchard+1.8
147-7TAMUCOTAMUCO×4BlockedKyanna Creecyblk Sediong Scott+2.0
157-8TAMUCOTAMUCO×4Bad setAniston Collins+2.2
168-8TAMUCOSFAServe errKatelyn Pritchard+1.5
178-9SFATAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Katelyn Pritchard+1.7
189-9TAMUCOSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins+1.6
1910-9SFASFABlockedAriana Brownblk Jordan Henderson, Katherine Holtman+2.2
2010-10SFATAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Katelyn Pritchard+1.6
2111-10TAMUCOSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Brinkley Reeves+1.6
2211-11SFATAMUCOServe errMadi Zorn+1.7
2312-11TAMUCOSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+1.7
2412-12SFATAMUCO×4Serve errCaroline Kahle+1.7
2512-13TAMUCOTAMUCO×4BlockedJordan Hendersonblk Sabine Wenzel+2.7
2612-14TAMUCOTAMUCO×4KillGracie Campbellset Jade Washington+2.8
2712-15TAMUCOTAMUCO×4KillSabine Wenzel+2.7
2813-15TAMUCOSFAServe errAriana Brown+1.6
2914-15SFASFAAttack errSamantha Mosley+2.6
3014-16SFATAMUCO×3KillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+2.2
3114-17TAMUCOTAMUCO×3BlockedMolly Cravensblk Gracie Campbell, Sediong Scott+2.9
3214-18TAMUCOTAMUCO×3KillHaley Mullaneyset Jade Washington+2.6
3315-18TAMUCOSFAServe errJade Washington+1.4
3415-19SFATAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+1.9
3516-19TAMUCOSFAServe errKatelyn Pritchard+1.3
3616-20SFATAMUCOBlockedKatherine Holtmanblk Gracie Campbell, Sediong Scott+1.9
3717-20TAMUCOSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+1.3
3817-21SFATAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jade Washington+2.0
3917-22TAMUCOTAMUCOBad setAniston Collins+1.8
4018-22TAMUCOSFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.6
4119-22SFASFA×4KillMolly Cravensset Brinkley Reeves+1.5
4220-22SFASFA×4BlockedAriana Brownblk Jordan Henderson, Molly Cravens+2.4
4321-22SFASFA×4BlockedSabine Wenzelblk Jordan Henderson+3.6
4421-23SFATAMUCOBlockedMolly Cravensblk Sabine Wenzel, Haley Mullaney+3.8
4521-24TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+4.0
4622-24TAMUCOSFA×5KillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+1.1
4723-24SFASFA×5KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+3.5
4824-24SFASFA×5Attack errAriana Brown+7.9
4925-24SFASFA×5Attack errAriana Brown+7.2
5026-24SFASFA×5KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+6.5
Set 3
11-0SFASFAKillCaroline Kahleset Brinkley Reeves+0.9
21-1SFATAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+0.7
32-1TAMUCOSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn+0.7
43-1SFASFABlockedGracie Campbellblk Molly Cravens, Jordan Henderson+0.9
53-2SFATAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+0.6
63-3TAMUCOTAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Katelyn Pritchard+1.0
74-3TAMUCOSFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+0.7
85-3SFASFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+1.0
96-3SFASFA×4AceBrinkley Reevesaced Gracie Campbell+0.9
107-3SFASFA×4AceBrinkley Reevesaced Gracie Campbell+0.8
117-4SFATAMUCO×3KillGracie Campbellset Katelyn Pritchard+0.5
127-5TAMUCOTAMUCO×3KillAriana Brownset Katelyn Pritchard+0.8
137-6TAMUCOTAMUCO×3KillSediong Scottset Katelyn Pritchard+1.0
148-6TAMUCOSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn+0.7
158-7SFATAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Katelyn Pritchard+0.7
169-7TAMUCOSFAAttack errAriana Brown+0.7
179-8SFATAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Katelyn Pritchard+0.7
1810-8TAMUCOSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.8
1910-9SFATAMUCOServe errHaley Peterson+0.8
2011-9TAMUCOSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Aniston Collins+0.8
2111-10SFATAMUCO×3KillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+0.8
2211-11TAMUCOTAMUCO×3AceAllie Ihloffaced Caroline Kahle+1.3
2311-12TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errCaroline Kahle+1.4
2412-12TAMUCOSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Madi Zorn+0.9
2513-12SFASFAKillJordan Henderson+1.3
2613-13SFATAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Haley Mullaney+1.0
2714-13TAMUCOSFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+1.0
2815-13SFASFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Caroline Kahle+1.3
2916-13SFASFA×3AceBrinkley Reevesaced Ariana Brown+1.2
3016-14SFATAMUCOAttack errMolly Cravens+0.7
3116-15TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Katelyn Pritchard+1.3
3217-15TAMUCOSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn+1.0
3318-15SFASFABlockedAriana Brownblk Kyanna Creecy, Katherine Holtman+1.2
3418-16SFATAMUCOBlockedKatherine Holtmanblk Sediong Scott, Ariana Brown+0.7
3519-16TAMUCOSFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.9
3620-16SFASFA×4AceAvery Koonsenaced Rendi Fetty+1.0
3721-16SFASFA×4KillKyanna Creecyset Katherine Holtman+0.6
3822-16SFASFA×4BlockedHaley Mullaneyblk Kyanna Creecy, Caroline Kahle+0.3
3922-17SFATAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Katelyn Pritchard+0.1
4023-17TAMUCOSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Katherine Holtman+0.2
4124-17SFASFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins+0.1
4224-18SFATAMUCOServe errKyanna Creecy·
4325-18TAMUCOSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Katherine Holtman·

Score shown after each rally, SFA first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).