FinalSat, Oct 24, 2026Watch on ESPN+

SFA def. Northwestern St. 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: SFA 97.2% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 24, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

SFA beat visiting Northwestern St. 3-0 (25-17, 25-17, 25-19) on Sat, Oct 24, 2026. SFA's Molly Cravens led with 8 kills, and Brinkley Reeves added 14 digs.

Data through · final Oct 24

Set123Sets
NW ST1717190
SFA2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Northwestern St. never reached 20 in a set against SFA.

The biggest single-rally swing was 0.4 points, and Northwestern St.'s high was 3% in Set 1. The gap came from these numbers. Pre-match, RallyIQ had SFA at 97%.

Northwestern St.SFA
  • Break %+18.4 pts
    36.454.8

    On serve: 40/73 against 20/55 (Northwestern St. sideout 45.2%).

  • Hitting+.305
    .020.325

    36 kills, 9 errors vs 27 kills, 25 errors.

  • Longest run+1
    45

    5 straight SFA points in the third set turned an 8–9 deficit into a 13–9 lead. Final score of the set: 25–19.

SFA above 50Northwestern St. belowMax swing 0.4%

Northwestern St.SFA

Aces
Northwestern St. 7·SFA 7
Serve err
Northwestern St. 7·SFA 10
Blocks
Northwestern St. 4·SFA 150 BS · 8 BA vs 1 BS · 28 BA
Digs
Northwestern St. 37·SFA 40

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

SFA above 50 · Northwestern St. below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100rally 128 · set 3

No single rally moved win probability by a full point: SFA stayed the heavy favorite throughout.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NW ST 2.4%97.6% SFA

Northwestern St. wins

3-0
0.2%
3-1
0.6%
3-2
1.5%

SFA wins

3-0
65.2%
3-1
26.0%
3-2
6.5%
NW ST break %
34.4% vs this opp
SFA break %
49.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37523.08714220010.511.5
34514-.07100000010.54.5
3203.6672111900003
3001.000011410001
3001.000112500001
2012-.50000000031.51.5
35522.000000000216
3001.000000400000
3000–1011120000
24615-.133000200004
2014-.25000002010.50.5
15111.364000000005
1011-1.000000000000
Team totals272598.020247737708453
SFAhome
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
37011.636131100010.510.5
38211.54500020052.510.5
35111.36400020174.59.5
35212.25000310073.58.5
36226.154101400217
3001.0001711600001
35211.273000000638
3000–1321440003
3000–1202000000
3000–000100000
Team totals36983.325327104071281575

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 4 NW ST · SFA 5

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 NW STSFA 4

Set 2

17-25

Longest run 2 NW STSFA 4

Set 3

19-25

Longest run 4 NW STSFA 5

Bars above the line = SFA leads, below = Northwestern St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northwestern St.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%7/15
33%3/9
2
38%6/16
30%3/10
3
60%6/10
45%5/11
4
50%6/12
0%0/6
5
33%4/12
57%8/14
6
50%4/8
20%1/5
All
45%33/73
36%20/55

SFA

SlotSideout %Break %
1
58%7/12
58%7/12
2
75%6/8
57%8/14
3
60%6/10
54%7/13
4
86%6/7
45%5/11
5
46%6/13
63%10/16
6
80%4/5
43%3/7
All
64%35/55
55%40/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

128 rallies

#NW ST-SFASrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passer
Set 1
10-1NW STSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn
20-2SFASFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn
31-2SFANW STKillJade Longladset Emmarie McFarland
42-2NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.
52-3NW STSFA×3KillJordan Hendersonset Jade Longlad
62-4SFASFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn
72-5SFASFA×3AceBrinkley Reeves
83-5SFANW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad
93-6NW STSFAServe errNorthwestern St.
103-7SFASFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins
114-7SFANW STServe errAniston Collins
124-8NW STSFAServe errNorthwestern St.
135-8SFANW STServe errAvery Koonsen
145-9NW STSFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins
155-10SFASFA×3BlockedElizabeth Muguruzablk Katherine Holtman, Jordan Henderson
165-11SFASFA×3Attack errJulia Whitfield
176-11SFANW STServe errKyanna Creecy
187-11NW STNW STKillOlivia Nzioki
197-12NW STSFABlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Jordan Henderson, Caroline Kahle
208-12SFANW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Valerie Brown
219-12NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Brinkley Reeves
229-13NW STSFA×4Attack errOlivia Nzioki
239-14SFASFA×4Attack errElizabeth Muguruza
249-15SFASFA×4Attack errOlivia Nzioki
259-16SFASFA×4BlockedElizabeth Muguruzablk Jordan Henderson, Molly Cravens
2610-16SFANW STKillJade Longladset Elizabeth Muguruza
2710-17NW STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn
2810-18SFASFABlockedElsie Sanchezblk Molly Cravens, Kyanna Creecy
2911-18SFANW STServe errBrinkley Reeves
3012-18NW STNW STAttack errMolly Cravens
3112-19NW STSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn
3212-20SFASFAAttack errElsie Sanchez
3313-20SFANW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad
3413-21NW STSFA×4BlockedElsie Sanchezblk Katherine Holtman, Kyanna Creecy
3513-22SFASFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins
3613-23SFASFA×4AceAvery Koonsenaced Gillian Grace Wolf
3713-24SFASFA×4BlockedAmber Craigblk Katherine Holtman, Kyanna Creecy
3814-24SFANW ST×4BlockedCaroline Kahleblk Julia Whitfield, Amber Craig
3915-24NW STNW ST×4KillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad
4016-24NW STNW ST×4Attack errKyanna Creecy
4117-24NW STNW ST×4AceNorthwestern St.
4217-25NW STSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Aniston Collins
Set 2
10-1SFASFAAceMadi Zornaced Gillian Grace Wolf
21-1SFANW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad
32-1NW STNW STBlockedCaroline Kahleblk Amber Craig, Julia Whitfield
42-2NW STSFA×3KillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn
52-3SFASFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn
62-4SFASFA×3KillMolly Cravens
73-4SFANW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad
84-4NW STNW STAttack errJordan Henderson
94-5NW STSFAAttack errElizabeth Muguruza
105-5SFANW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad
115-6NW STSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn
126-6SFANW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad
136-7NW STSFA×4Serve errNorthwestern St.
146-8SFASFA×4Attack errOlivia Nzioki
156-9SFASFA×4KillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins
166-10SFASFA×4KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins
177-10SFANW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad
187-11NW STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins
198-11SFANW STServe errKyanna Creecy
208-12NW STSFAKillKatherine Holtmanset Aniston Collins
219-12SFANW STServe errSFA
2210-12NW STNW STKillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad
2310-13NW STSFAServe errNorthwestern St.
2411-13SFANW STServe errSFA
2511-14NW STSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn
2612-14SFANW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad
2712-15NW STSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn
2812-16SFASFAKillKyanna Creecy
2913-16SFANW STServe errAniston Collins
3014-16NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Brinkley Reeves
3114-17NW STSFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins
3214-18SFASFA×3BlockedOlivia Nziokiblk Kyanna Creecy, Caroline Kahle
3314-19SFASFA×3AceAvery Koonsenaced Emmarie McFarland
3415-19SFANW STKillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad
3515-20NW STSFAKillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins
3616-20SFANW STBlockedKatherine Holtmanblk Julia Whitfield, Gillian Grace Wolf
3716-21NW STSFA×3KillCaroline Kahleset Aniston Collins
3816-22SFASFA×3Attack errAmber Craig
3916-23SFASFA×3BlockedGillian Grace Wolfblk Molly Cravens, Jordan Henderson
4017-23SFANW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad
4117-24NW STSFAServe errNorthwestern St.
4217-25SFASFAKillMolly Cravensset Caroline Kahle
Set 3
11-0NW STNW STKillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad
22-0NW STNW STAceNorthwestern St.aced Brinkley Reeves
32-1NW STSFAKillMolly Cravensset Madi Zorn
43-1SFANW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad
53-2NW STSFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn
63-3SFASFAAceBrinkley Reeves
74-3SFANW STServe errBrinkley Reeves
84-4NW STSFAKillKyanna Creecyset Madi Zorn
95-4SFANW STKillAmber Craigset Jade Longlad
105-5NW STSFAServe errNorthwestern St.
115-6SFASFAAceAvery Koonsenaced Anna Claire Hebert
126-6SFANW ST×3KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad
137-6NW STNW ST×3KillElsie Sanchezset Jade Longlad
148-6NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.
158-7NW STSFAServe errNorthwestern St.
168-8SFASFABlockedElsie Sanchezblk Jordan Henderson, Katherine Holtman
179-8SFANW STServe errKyanna Creecy
189-9NW STSFA×5BlockedElsie Sanchezblk Jordan Henderson
199-10SFASFA×5KillCaroline Kahleset Brinkley Reeves
209-11SFASFA×5BlockedKenadii Winfreyblk Molly Cravens, Jordan Henderson
219-12SFASFA×5KillJordan Hendersonset Harper Cauley
229-13SFASFA×5BlockedElsie Sanchezblk Molly Cravens, Jordan Henderson
2310-13SFANW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad
2410-14NW STSFAAttack errAmber Craig
2510-15SFASFAKillJordan Hendersonset Madi Zorn
2611-15SFANW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad
2711-16NW STSFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn
2811-17SFASFA×4BlockedAmber Craigblk Avery Koonsen, Kyanna Creecy
2911-18SFASFA×4AceBrinkley Reevesaced Emmarie McFarland
3011-19SFASFA×4KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn
3112-19SFANW ST×4KillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad
3213-19NW STNW ST×4BlockedMolly Cravensblk Olivia Nzioki, Elizabeth Muguruza
3314-19NW STNW ST×4Attack errKyanna Creecy
3415-19NW STNW ST×4KillElizabeth Muguruzaset Jade Longlad
3515-20NW STSFA×3KillAvery Koonsenset Madi Zorn
3615-21SFASFA×3BlockedElizabeth Muguruzablk Kyanna Creecy, Katherine Holtman
3715-22SFASFA×3Attack errAmber Craig
3816-22SFANW STKillKenadii Winfreyset Jade Longlad
3916-23NW STSFAKillAvery Koonsenset Aniston Collins
4016-24SFASFAKillCaroline Kahleset Avery Koonsen
4117-24SFANW ST×3Attack errKatherine Holtman
4218-24NW STNW ST×3KillOlivia Nziokiset Jade Longlad
4319-24NW STNW ST×3AceNorthwestern St.aced Brinkley Reeves
4419-25NW STSFABlockedAna Gjorgjievskablk Katherine Holtman, Kyanna Creecy

Score shown after each rally, Northwestern St. first.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).