Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

West Virginia def. UTRGV 3–1

West Virginia beat visiting UTRGV 3-1 (25-14, 25-18, 23-25, 25-18) on Fri, Aug 28, 2026. West Virginia's Nina Horning led with 17 kills.

Data through · final Aug 28

Set1234Sets
UTRGV141825181
WVU252523253

Win probability

West Virginia above 50 · UTRGV below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+1.9% UTRGVrally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 1.9% to UTRGV — set 4, UTRGV 5-4 WVU. UTRGV ace on Lucie Smardova. WVU win probability 93% → 91%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

UTRGV 10.4%89.6% WVU

UTRGV wins

3-0
1.4%
3-1
3.2%
3-2
5.8%

West Virginia wins

3-0
43.7%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.3%
UTRGV break %
36.5% vs this opp
WVU break %
46.0% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    UTRGVAce+1.9%

    UTRGV ace on Lucie Smardova

    Set 4 · UTRGV 5-4 WVU · UTRGV 7% → 9%

  2. 02
    Nina HorningAttack error+1.8%

    Attack error by Nina Horning

    Set 4 · UTRGV 11-12 WVU · UTRGV 4% → 6%

  3. 03

    Kill by Julianna Bryant (set by Lana Rnjak)

    Set 3 · UTRGV 25-23 WVU · UTRGV 5% → 7%

  4. 04
    UTRGVAce+1.8%

    UTRGV ace on Lucie Smardova

    Set 1 · UTRGV 9-7 WVU · UTRGV 12% → 14%

  5. 05
    West VirginiaAce+1.7%

    West Virginia ace on Dunja Stankovic

    Set 4 · UTRGV 6-7 WVU · WVU 92% → 94%

  6. 06

    Nina Horning stuffed by Julianna Bryant & Ema Petkovic

    Set 3 · UTRGV 24-22 WVU · UTRGV 4% → 6%

  7. 07
    UTRGVAce+1.6%

    UTRGV ace on Lucie Smardova

    Set 4 · UTRGV 4-4 WVU · UTRGV 6% → 7%

  8. 08
    UTRGVAce+1.6%

    UTRGV ace on Macie Smith

    Set 1 · UTRGV 7-5 WVU · UTRGV 12% → 14%

Box score

Official NCAA box

UTRGVaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
414431.32305370031.520.5
4131147.0431055012215
45012.41700110132.57.5
4419.33300010010.54.5
44615-.133001200004
4216.167361430010.53.5
4000–212930001
4000–001310000
1000–001000000
Team totals4223120.15839718315210775
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417531.38700151010.517.5
413423.3910002006316
44210.200110200427
4314.50000010153.56.5
4000–281390010.51.5
36317.17600022010.56.5
46214.286100100217
4000–1122300002
4000–401930000
4000–000300000
3000–100600000
2316.333011100004
1000–100000000
1000–000000000
Team totals5218105.32447584471201198

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 5 UTRGV · WVU 7

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 UTRGVWVU 7

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 UTRGVWVU 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 5 UTRGVWVU 3

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 UTRGVWVU 4

Bars above the line = West Virginia leads, below = UTRGV leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

UTRGV

SlotSideout %Break %
1
43%10/23
31%4/13
2
43%9/21
47%9/19
3
69%9/13
0%0/9
4
57%8/14
50%9/18
5
58%7/12
13%1/8
6
50%7/14
22%2/9
All
52%50/97
33%25/76

West Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
64%16/25
2
91%10/11
52%11/21
3
75%9/12
44%7/16
4
50%7/14
43%6/14
5
88%7/8
36%4/11
6
78%7/9
30%3/10
All
67%51/76
48%47/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#UTRGV-WVUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1WVUWVU×3BlockedSoukeyna Dioufblk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Anna Barr+1.0
20-2WVUWVU×3KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.9
30-3WVUWVU×3KillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+0.8
41-3WVUUTRGV×3Serve errWest Virginia+0.6
52-3UTRGVUTRGV×3KillSoukeyna Dioufset Lana Rnjak+1.0
63-3UTRGVUTRGV×3Attack errAnna Barr+1.2
73-4UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.8
84-4WVUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.9
94-5UTRGVWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.8
105-5WVUUTRGV×3Attack errAnna Barr+0.9
116-5UTRGVUTRGV×3KillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+1.5
127-5UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGVaced Macie Smith+1.6
137-6UTRGVWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+1.0
147-7WVUWVUBlockedMartina Francoblk Trinity Sheridan, Maddy McGath+1.4
158-7WVUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+1.1
169-7UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGVaced Lucie Smardova+1.8
179-8UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+1.1
189-9WVUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+1.6
1910-9WVUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+1.2
2010-10UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+1.1
2111-10WVUUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+1.3
2211-11UTRGVWVU×3KillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+1.1
2311-12WVUWVU×3Attack errSoukeyna Diouf+1.6
2411-13WVUWVU×3KillAnna Barrset Lucie Smardova+1.4
2512-13WVUUTRGVServe errWest Virginia+1.0
2612-14UTRGVWVU×7KillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+1.0
2712-15WVUWVU×7BlockedAaliyah Sneadblk Mirjam Karoliine Kask+1.2
2812-16WVUWVU×7KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.9
2912-17WVUWVU×7Attack errEma Petkovic+0.6
3012-18WVUWVU×7KillNina Horningset Lana Rnjak+0.4
3112-19WVUWVU×7Attack errMartina Franco+0.2
3212-20WVUWVU×7Attack errSoukeyna Diouf+0.1
3313-20WVUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak·
3413-21UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.1
3514-21WVUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak·
3614-22UTRGVWVU×4KillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold·
3714-23WVUWVU×4KillMaddy McGathset Trinity Sheridan·
3814-24WVUWVU×4KillNina Horningset Eily Painter·
3914-25WVUWVU×4Attack errMartina Franco·
Set 2
11-0UTRGVUTRGVAttack errAnna Barr+0.9
21-1UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.6
31-2WVUWVUKillNina Horning+0.7
42-2WVUUTRGVKillSoukeyna Dioufset Lana Rnjak+0.6
52-3UTRGVWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.5
63-3WVUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.6
73-4UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.5
83-5WVUWVUAttack errMartina Franco+0.7
94-5WVUUTRGVServe errWest Virginia+0.5
105-5UTRGVUTRGVAceUTRGV+0.9
115-6UTRGVWVUKillMacie Smithset Lucie Smardova+0.6
125-7WVUWVUAceWest Virginiaaced Celianiz Cabranes+0.8
136-7WVUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.5
146-8UTRGVWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+0.5
157-8WVUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.6
167-9UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.5
178-9WVUUTRGVKillLana Rnjakset Martina Franco+0.6
188-10UTRGVWVU×3KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
198-11WVUWVU×3KillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.7
208-12WVUWVU×3KillMaddy McGathset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
219-12WVUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.4
229-13UTRGVWVU×3KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.4
239-14WVUWVU×3BlockedEma Petkovicblk Nina Horning, Maddy McGath+0.4
249-15WVUWVU×3AceWest Virginia+0.3
2510-15WVUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.2
2610-16UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.2
2710-17WVUWVUBlockedEma Petkovicblk Maddy McGath, Macie Smith+0.2
2811-17WVUUTRGV×4KillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.1
2912-17UTRGVUTRGV×4KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.2
3013-17UTRGVUTRGV×4AceUTRGVaced Macie Smith+0.3
3114-17UTRGVUTRGV×4BlockedTrinity Sheridanblk Julianna Bryant, Martina Franco+0.5
3214-18UTRGVWVUAttack errMartina Franco+0.5
3314-19WVUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Maddy McGath+0.4
3415-19WVUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.2
3515-20UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.3
3616-20WVUUTRGVBlockedMacie Smithblk Julianna Bryant, Lana Rnjak+0.2
3717-20UTRGVUTRGVKillSoukeyna Dioufset Lana Rnjak+0.5
3817-21UTRGVWVU×4KillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Alexis Finnvold+0.5
3917-22WVUWVU×4Attack errEma Petkovic+0.4
4017-23WVUWVU×4BlockedSoukeyna Dioufblk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Anna Barr+0.2
4117-24WVUWVU×4KillNina Horningset Lucie Smardova·
4218-24WVUUTRGVKillAaliyah Sneadset Lana Rnjak·
4318-25UTRGVWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold·
Set 3
10-1WVUWVU×3KillAnna Barrset Lana Rnjak+0.3
20-2WVUWVU×3BlockedMartina Francoblk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Anna Barr+0.3
30-3WVUWVU×3KillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+0.3
41-3WVUUTRGV×5KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.2
52-3UTRGVUTRGV×5Attack errMirjam Karoliine Kask+0.3
63-3UTRGVUTRGV×5KillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.4
74-3UTRGVUTRGV×5AceUTRGVaced Nina Horning+0.4
85-3UTRGVUTRGV×5BlockedMacie Smithblk Martina Franco, Ema Petkovic+0.5
95-4UTRGVWVUKillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Alexis Finnvold+0.3
106-4WVUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.4
116-5UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.3
127-5WVUUTRGVAttack errMaddy McGath+0.4
137-6UTRGVWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.3
148-6WVUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.4
158-7UTRGVWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Martina Franco+0.3
168-8WVUWVUBlockedSoukeyna Dioufblk Trinity Sheridan, Maddy McGath+0.5
179-8WVUUTRGVBlockedMaddy McGathblk Julianna Bryant+0.4
1810-8UTRGVUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+0.6
1910-9UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.4
2011-9WVUUTRGVAttack errMacie Smith+0.4
2111-10UTRGVWVUKillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+0.4
2212-10WVUUTRGV×3KillAaliyah Sneadset Lana Rnjak+0.5
2313-10UTRGVUTRGV×3KillLana Rnjakset Celianiz Cabranes+0.7
2414-10UTRGVUTRGV×3KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.7
2514-11UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.4
2614-12WVUWVUBlockedMartina Francoblk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Anna Barr+0.6
2715-12WVUUTRGVKillAaliyah Sneadset Lana Rnjak+0.5
2815-13UTRGVWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.4
2915-14WVUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.7
3016-14WVUUTRGVAttack errNina Horning+0.6
3116-15UTRGVWVUAttack errMartina Franco+0.5
3217-15WVUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Reagan Turk+0.6
3317-16UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.5
3418-16WVUUTRGVKillSoukeyna Dioufset Lana Rnjak+0.6
3518-17UTRGVWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+0.5
3619-17WVUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.7
3720-17UTRGVUTRGVBlockedTrinity Sheridanblk Martina Franco+0.9
3820-18UTRGVWVUKillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Lauren Duncan+0.5
3920-19WVUWVUKillSaar Bertelsset Alexis Finnvold+0.8
4021-19WVUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+0.8
4121-20UTRGVWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
4222-20WVUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.9
4322-21UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.6
4422-22WVUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.2
4523-22WVUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.1
4624-22UTRGVUTRGVBlockedNina Horningblk Julianna Bryant, Ema Petkovic+1.7
4724-23UTRGVWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
4825-23WVUUTRGVKillJulianna Bryantset Lana Rnjak+1.8
Set 4
10-1UTRGVWVUKillAnna Barrset Lucie Smardova+1.0
21-1WVUUTRGVServe errWest Virginia+1.1
31-2UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+1.0
41-3WVUWVUAceWest Virginiaaced Celianiz Cabranes+1.3
52-3WVUUTRGVServe errWest Virginia+1.0
62-4UTRGVWVUKillNina Horningset Lauren Duncan+0.9
73-4WVUUTRGV×3KillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.0
84-4UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGVaced Lucie Smardova+1.6
95-4UTRGVUTRGV×3AceUTRGVaced Lucie Smardova+1.9
105-5UTRGVWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+1.2
116-5WVUUTRGVAttack errSaar Bertels+1.4
126-6UTRGVWVU×4KillSaar Bertelsset Lauren Duncan+1.3
136-7WVUWVU×4AceWest Virginiaaced Dunja Stankovic+1.7
146-8WVUWVU×4Attack errLana Rnjak+1.5
156-9WVUWVU×4Attack errMartina Franco+1.3
167-9WVUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Lana Rnjak+0.9
177-10UTRGVWVUKillSaar Bertelsset Alexis Finnvold+0.9
187-11WVUWVUBlockedMartina Francoblk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Anna Barr+1.1
198-11WVUUTRGVServe errWest Virginia+0.7
209-11UTRGVUTRGVAttack errNina Horning+1.3
219-12UTRGVWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+1.0
2210-12WVUUTRGVBlockedNina Horningblk Ema Petkovic, Aaliyah Snead+1.0
2311-12UTRGVUTRGVAttack errNina Horning+1.8
2411-13UTRGVWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+1.3
2511-14WVUWVUKillTrinity Sheridan+1.6
2612-14WVUUTRGVServe errWest Virginia+1.0
2712-15UTRGVWVUKillNina Horningset Lauren Duncan+1.1
2813-15WVUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.1
2913-16UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+1.2
3014-16WVUUTRGVKillEma Petkovicset Lana Rnjak+1.1
3114-17UTRGVWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.2
3215-17WVUUTRGVServe errWest Virginia+1.1
3315-18UTRGVWVU×4BlockedMartina Francoblk Alexis Finnvold, Anna Barr+1.3
3415-19WVUWVU×4KillNina Horningset Cassidy Bruns+1.3
3515-20WVUWVU×4KillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.8
3615-21WVUWVU×4AceWest Virginiaaced Celianiz Cabranes+0.5
3716-21WVUUTRGVKillAaliyah Sneadset Lana Rnjak+0.2
3817-21UTRGVUTRGVAttack errAnna Barr+0.5
3917-22UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.5
4017-23WVUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.3
4118-23WVUUTRGVKillMartina Francoset Celianiz Cabranes+0.1
4218-24UTRGVWVUServe errUTRGV+0.1
4318-25WVUWVUAttack errSoukeyna Diouf·

Score shown after each rally, UTRGV first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).