Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

AwaySOUTHLAND

1:3

HomeBIG-12

West Virginia def. UTRGV 3–1

(25-14, 25-18, 23-25, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	4	Sets
UTRGV	14	18	25	18	1
WVU	25	25	23	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WVU above 50 · UTRGV below

Biggest swing: 1.8% to UTRGV — set 4, UTRGV 5-4 WVU. UTRGV ace on Lucie Smardova. WVU win probability 94% → 92%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UTRGV 8.5%91.5% WVU

UTRGV wins

3-0

1.1%

3-1

2.5%

3-2

4.9%

West Virginia wins

3-0

47.1%

3-1

31.4%

3-2

13.0%

UTRGV break %: 35.9% vs this opp
WVU break %: 46.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
UTRGV serverAce+1.8%
UTRGV ace on Lucie Smardova
Set 4 · UTRGV 5-4 WVU · UTRGV 6% → 8%
02
Nina HorningAttack error+1.6%
Attack error by Nina Horning
Set 4 · UTRGV 11-12 WVU · UTRGV 4% → 5%
03
WVU serverAce+1.6%
West Virginia ace on Dunja Stankovic
Set 4 · UTRGV 6-7 WVU · WVU 93% → 94%
04
UTRGV serverAce+1.6%
UTRGV ace on Lucie Smardova
Set 1 · UTRGV 9-7 WVU · UTRGV 10% → 12%
05
Julianna BryantKill+1.6%
Kill by Julianna Bryant (set by Lana Rnjak)
Set 3 · UTRGV 25-23 WVU · UTRGV 4% → 6%
06
Nina HorningAttack error+1.5%
Nina Horning stuffed by Julianna Bryant & Ema Petkovic
Set 3 · UTRGV 24-22 WVU · UTRGV 3% → 5%
07
UTRGV serverAce+1.5%
UTRGV ace on Lucie Smardova
Set 4 · UTRGV 4-4 WVU · UTRGV 5% → 6%
08
UTRGV serverAce+1.4%
UTRGV ace on Macie Smith
Set 1 · UTRGV 7-5 WVU · UTRGV 10% → 11%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UTRGVaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Ema PetkovicOH	4	14	4	31	.323	0	5	3	7	0	0	3	1.5	20.5
1Martina FrancoOH	4	13	11	47	.043	1	0	5	5	0	1	2	2	15
22Julianna BryantMB	4	5	0	12	.417	0	0	1	1	0	1	3	2.5	7.5
2Aaliyah SneadMB	4	4	1	9	.333	0	0	0	1	0	0	1	0.5	4.5
25Soukeyna DioufOH	4	4	6	15	-.133	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	4
10Lana RnjakS	4	2	1	6	.167	36	1	4	3	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
5Celianiz CabranesL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	2	1	2	9	3	0	0	0	1
8Dunja StankovicDS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	3	1	0	0	0	0
21Carmina TijerinaDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		42	23	120	.158	39	7	18	31	5	2	10	7	75

West Virginiahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
13Nina HorningOH	4	17	5	31	.387	0	0	1	5	1	0	1	0.5	17.5
2Anna BarrOH	4	13	4	23	.391	0	0	0	2	0	0	6	3	16
22Maddy McGathMB	4	4	2	10	.200	1	1	0	2	0	0	4	2	7
7Mirjam Karoliine KaskMB	4	3	1	4	.500	0	0	0	1	0	1	5	3.5	6.5
5Alexis FinnvoldS	4	0	0	0	–	28	1	3	9	0	0	1	0.5	1.5
20Macie SmithOH	3	6	3	17	.176	0	0	0	2	2	0	1	0.5	6.5
18Trinity SheridanOPP	4	6	2	14	.286	1	0	0	1	0	0	2	1	7
0Lauren DuncanS	4	0	0	0	–	11	2	2	3	0	0	0	0	2
16Lucie SmardovaL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	4	0	1	9	3	0	0	0	0
19Reagan TurkL/DS	4	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0
23Cassidy BrunsL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	6	0	0	0	0	0
6Saar BertelsOH	2	3	1	6	.333	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	4
4Eily PainterL/DS	1	0	0	0	–	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21Nula AndersonOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		52	18	105	.324	47	5	8	44	7	1	20	11	98

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 UTRGV · WVU 7

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 3 UTRGVWVU 7

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 4 UTRGVWVU 4

Set 3

25-23

Longest run 5 UTRGVWVU 3

Set 4

18-25

Longest run 3 UTRGVWVU 4

Bars above the line = West Virginia leads, below = UTRGV leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UTRGV

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	43%10/23	31%4/13
2	43%9/21	47%9/19
3	69%9/13	0%0/9
4	57%8/14	50%9/18
5	58%7/12	13%1/8
6	50%7/14	22%2/9
All	52%50/97	33%25/76

West Virginia

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%11/22	64%16/25
2	91%10/11	52%11/21
3	75%9/12	44%7/16
4	50%7/14	43%6/14
5	88%7/8	36%4/11
6	78%7/9	30%3/10
All	67%51/76	48%47/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

173 rallies

Rally log

#	UTRGV-WVU	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	WVU	WVU×3	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf	blk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Anna Barr	+0.9
2	0-2	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.8
3	0-3	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Macie Smith	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.7
4	1-3	WVU	UTRGV×3	Serve err	WVU server		+0.5
5	2-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Soukeyna Diouf	set Lana Rnjak	+0.8
6	3-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Attack err	Anna Barr		+1.0
7	3-4	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.7
8	4-4	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.8
9	4-5	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.7
10	5-5	WVU	UTRGV×3	Attack err	Anna Barr		+0.8
11	6-5	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+1.3
12	7-5	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Macie Smith	+1.4
13	7-6	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.9
14	7-7	WVU	WVU	Attack err	Martina Franco	blk Trinity Sheridan, Maddy McGath	+1.3
15	8-7	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+1.0
16	9-7	UTRGV	UTRGV	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Lucie Smardova	+1.6
17	9-8	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+1.0
18	9-9	WVU	WVU	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Lauren Duncan	+1.4
19	10-9	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+1.1
20	10-10	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+1.0
21	11-10	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+1.1
22	11-11	UTRGV	WVU×3	Kill	Macie Smith	set Lauren Duncan	+1.0
23	11-12	WVU	WVU×3	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf		+1.4
24	11-13	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Anna Barr	set Lucie Smardova	+1.2
25	12-13	WVU	UTRGV	Serve err	WVU server		+0.8
26	12-14	UTRGV	WVU×7	Kill	Macie Smith	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.8
27	12-15	WVU	WVU×7	Attack err	Aaliyah Snead	blk Mirjam Karoliine Kask	+1.0
28	12-16	WVU	WVU×7	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.8
29	12-17	WVU	WVU×7	Attack err	Ema Petkovic		+0.5
30	12-18	WVU	WVU×7	Kill	Nina Horning	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
31	12-19	WVU	WVU×7	Attack err	Martina Franco		+0.2
32	12-20	WVU	WVU×7	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf		+0.1
33	13-20	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
34	13-21	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.1
35	14-21	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
36	14-22	UTRGV	WVU×4	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.0
37	14-23	WVU	WVU×4	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Trinity Sheridan	+0.0
38	14-24	WVU	WVU×4	Kill	Nina Horning	set Eily Painter	+0.0
39	14-25	WVU	WVU×4	Attack err	Martina Franco		+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Anna Barr		+0.7
2	1-1	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.5
3	1-2	WVU	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning		+0.6
4	2-2	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Soukeyna Diouf	set Lana Rnjak	+0.5
5	2-3	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.4
6	3-3	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.5
7	3-4	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.5
8	3-5	WVU	WVU	Attack err	Martina Franco		+0.6
9	4-5	WVU	UTRGV	Serve err	WVU server		+0.4
10	5-5	UTRGV	UTRGV	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Team	+0.7
11	5-6	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Lucie Smardova	+0.5
12	5-7	WVU	WVU	Ace	WVU server	aced Celianiz Cabranes	+0.6
13	6-7	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.5
14	6-8	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+0.4
15	7-8	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.5
16	7-9	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.5
17	8-9	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Lana Rnjak	set Martina Franco	+0.5
18	8-10	UTRGV	WVU×3	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.5
19	8-11	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.6
20	8-12	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.5
21	9-12	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
22	9-13	UTRGV	WVU×3	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.3
23	9-14	WVU	WVU×3	Attack err	Ema Petkovic	blk Nina Horning, Maddy McGath	+0.4
24	9-15	WVU	WVU×3	Ace	WVU server	aced Team	+0.2
25	10-15	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
26	10-16	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.2
27	10-17	WVU	WVU	Attack err	Ema Petkovic	blk Maddy McGath, Macie Smith	+0.1
28	11-17	WVU	UTRGV×4	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
29	12-17	UTRGV	UTRGV×4	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.2
30	13-17	UTRGV	UTRGV×4	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Macie Smith	+0.3
31	14-17	UTRGV	UTRGV×4	Attack err	Trinity Sheridan	blk Julianna Bryant, Martina Franco	+0.4
32	14-18	UTRGV	WVU	Attack err	Martina Franco		+0.4
33	14-19	WVU	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Maddy McGath	+0.4
34	15-19	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.2
35	15-20	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.2
36	16-20	WVU	UTRGV	Attack err	Macie Smith	blk Julianna Bryant, Lana Rnjak	+0.2
37	17-20	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Soukeyna Diouf	set Lana Rnjak	+0.4
38	17-21	UTRGV	WVU×4	Kill	Mirjam Karoliine Kask	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.4
39	17-22	WVU	WVU×4	Attack err	Ema Petkovic		+0.3
40	17-23	WVU	WVU×4	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf	blk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Anna Barr	+0.1
41	17-24	WVU	WVU×4	Kill	Nina Horning	set Lucie Smardova	+0.0
42	18-24	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Aaliyah Snead	set Lana Rnjak	+0.0
43	18-25	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.0
Set 3
1	0-1	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Anna Barr	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
2	0-2	WVU	WVU×3	Attack err	Martina Franco	blk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Anna Barr	+0.2
3	0-3	WVU	WVU×3	Kill	Macie Smith	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.2
4	1-3	WVU	UTRGV×5	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
5	2-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×5	Attack err	Mirjam Karoliine Kask		+0.3
6	3-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×5	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
7	4-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×5	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Nina Horning	+0.4
8	5-3	UTRGV	UTRGV×5	Attack err	Macie Smith	blk Martina Franco, Ema Petkovic	+0.4
9	5-4	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Mirjam Karoliine Kask	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.3
10	6-4	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
11	6-5	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.3
12	7-5	WVU	UTRGV	Attack err	Maddy McGath		+0.3
13	7-6	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.3
14	8-6	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.3
15	8-7	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Martina Franco	+0.3
16	8-8	WVU	WVU	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf	blk Trinity Sheridan, Maddy McGath	+0.4
17	9-8	WVU	UTRGV	Attack err	Maddy McGath	blk Julianna Bryant	+0.3
18	10-8	UTRGV	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+0.5
19	10-9	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.3
20	11-9	WVU	UTRGV	Attack err	Macie Smith		+0.4
21	11-10	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Macie Smith	set Lauren Duncan	+0.3
22	12-10	WVU	UTRGV×3	Kill	Aaliyah Snead	set Lana Rnjak	+0.4
23	13-10	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Lana Rnjak	set Celianiz Cabranes	+0.6
24	14-10	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.6
25	14-11	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.3
26	14-12	WVU	WVU	Attack err	Martina Franco	blk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Anna Barr	+0.5
27	15-12	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Aaliyah Snead	set Lana Rnjak	+0.5
28	15-13	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.4
29	15-14	WVU	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.6
30	16-14	WVU	UTRGV	Attack err	Nina Horning		+0.5
31	16-15	UTRGV	WVU	Attack err	Martina Franco		+0.4
32	17-15	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Reagan Turk	+0.5
33	17-16	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.4
34	18-16	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Soukeyna Diouf	set Lana Rnjak	+0.5
35	18-17	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+0.4
36	19-17	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.6
37	20-17	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Trinity Sheridan	blk Martina Franco	+0.8
38	20-18	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Mirjam Karoliine Kask	set Lauren Duncan	+0.4
39	20-19	WVU	WVU	Kill	Saar Bertels	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.7
40	21-19	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.7
41	21-20	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.5
42	22-20	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.8
43	22-21	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.6
44	22-22	WVU	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.1
45	23-22	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+1.0
46	24-22	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Nina Horning	blk Julianna Bryant, Ema Petkovic	+1.5
47	24-23	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.6
48	25-23	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Julianna Bryant	set Lana Rnjak	+1.6
Set 4
1	0-1	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Anna Barr	set Lucie Smardova	+0.9
2	1-1	WVU	UTRGV	Serve err	WVU server		+1.0
3	1-2	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.9
4	1-3	WVU	WVU	Ace	WVU server	aced Celianiz Cabranes	+1.2
5	2-3	WVU	UTRGV	Serve err	WVU server		+0.9
6	2-4	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Lauren Duncan	+0.8
7	3-4	WVU	UTRGV×3	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+0.9
8	4-4	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Lucie Smardova	+1.5
9	5-4	UTRGV	UTRGV×3	Ace	UTRGV server	aced Lucie Smardova	+1.8
10	5-5	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Maddy McGath	set Lauren Duncan	+1.1
11	6-5	WVU	UTRGV	Attack err	Saar Bertels		+1.3
12	6-6	UTRGV	WVU×4	Kill	Saar Bertels	set Lauren Duncan	+1.2
13	6-7	WVU	WVU×4	Ace	WVU server	aced Dunja Stankovic	+1.6
14	6-8	WVU	WVU×4	Attack err	Lana Rnjak		+1.4
15	6-9	WVU	WVU×4	Attack err	Martina Franco		+1.2
16	7-9	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Lana Rnjak	+0.8
17	7-10	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Saar Bertels	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.8
18	7-11	WVU	WVU	Attack err	Martina Franco	blk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Anna Barr	+1.0
19	8-11	WVU	UTRGV	Serve err	WVU server		+0.6
20	9-11	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Nina Horning		+1.2
21	9-12	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.9
22	10-12	WVU	UTRGV	Attack err	Nina Horning	blk Ema Petkovic, Aaliyah Snead	+0.9
23	11-12	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Nina Horning		+1.6
24	11-13	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+1.1
25	11-14	WVU	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan		+1.4
26	12-14	WVU	UTRGV	Serve err	WVU server		+0.9
27	12-15	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Lauren Duncan	+1.0
28	13-15	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+1.0
29	13-16	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+1.0
30	14-16	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Ema Petkovic	set Lana Rnjak	+1.0
31	14-17	UTRGV	WVU	Kill	Trinity Sheridan	set Lauren Duncan	+1.1
32	15-17	WVU	UTRGV	Serve err	WVU server		+1.0
33	15-18	UTRGV	WVU×4	Attack err	Martina Franco	blk Alexis Finnvold, Anna Barr	+1.1
34	15-19	WVU	WVU×4	Kill	Nina Horning	set Cassidy Bruns	+1.2
35	15-20	WVU	WVU×4	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.7
36	15-21	WVU	WVU×4	Ace	WVU server	aced Celianiz Cabranes	+0.4
37	16-21	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Aaliyah Snead	set Lana Rnjak	+0.1
38	17-21	UTRGV	UTRGV	Attack err	Anna Barr		+0.4
39	17-22	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.4
40	17-23	WVU	WVU	Kill	Nina Horning	set Alexis Finnvold	+0.3
41	18-23	WVU	UTRGV	Kill	Martina Franco	set Celianiz Cabranes	+0.1
42	18-24	UTRGV	WVU	Serve err	UTRGV server		+0.1
43	18-25	WVU	WVU	Attack err	Soukeyna Diouf		+0.0

Score shown after each rally, UTRGV first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.