CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 10, 2026
VCU logo

AwayATLANTIC-10

1:3

West Virginia def. VCU 31

(25-12, 25-27, 25-18, 25-23)
Set12*34Sets
VCU122718231
WVU252525253
  • * Set 2: the NCAA play-by-play has a gap or score correction here, so this set is left out of the rotation splits.

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WVU above 50 · VCU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100WVUVCUBiggest swing +5.2% WVU · S4 22-23rally 180 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.2% to West Virginia — set 4, VCU 22-23 WVU. Attack error by Letizia Galli. WVU win probability 89%94%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

VCU 8.9%91.1% WVU

VCU wins

3-0
1.2%
3-1
2.7%
3-2
5.1%

West Virginia wins

3-0
46.4%
3-1
31.4%
3-2
13.3%
VCU break %
36.5% vs this opp
WVU break %
46.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Letizia GalliAttack error+5.2%

    Attack error by Letizia Galli

    Set 4 · VCU 22-23 WVU · WVU 89%94%

  2. 02
    Cansin SendirAttack error+5.2%

    Cansin Sendir stuffed by Maddy McGath

    Set 4 · VCU 23-25 WVU · WVU 95%100%

  3. 03
    Molly McCallKill+4.9%

    Kill by Molly McCall (set by Cansin Sendir)

    Set 2 · VCU 27-25 WVU · VCU 10%15%

  4. 04
    Nina HorningKill+4.5%

    Kill by Nina Horning (set by Alexis Finnvold)

    Set 4 · VCU 23-24 WVU · WVU 90%95%

  5. 05
    Maddy McGathKill+4.1%

    Kill by Maddy McGath (set by Lannah Price)

    Set 2 · VCU 24-24 WVU · WVU 89%93%

  6. 06
    Lannah PriceKill+3.8%

    Kill by Lannah Price (set by Cansin Sendir)

    Set 4 · VCU 22-21 WVU · VCU 11%15%

  7. 07
    Letizia GalliKill+3.7%

    Kill by Letizia Galli (set by Cansin Sendir)

    Set 4 · VCU 23-23 WVU · VCU 6%10%

  8. 08
    Macie SmithKill+3.5%

    Kill by Macie Smith (set by Lauren Duncan)

    Set 4 · VCU 19-19 WVU · WVU 86%90%

Official NCAA box

Box score

VCUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410321.33300110052.512.5
410636.11100182010.510.5
46023.26100310052.58.5
45216.18800010052.57.5
4315.4003500800214
1016-.16701011010.51.5
40003421420004
4000000110000
37421.14310010010.57.5
3002.000011600001
1000000000000
Team totals4117130.18539684270201080
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
410114.6430134014314
412836.11121291010.513.5
412426.30800030111.513.5
410625.1600002400010
44010.40000010010.54.5
40002511700001
414225.48000050031.515.5
43031.0002621300005
40003121600001
4001.000301810000
2000010000001
1000000000000
Team totals6521140.314597105862107100

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 VCU · WVU 5

Set 1

12-25

Longest run 3 VCUWVU 5

Set 2*

27-25

Longest run 4 VCUWVU 3

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 5 VCUWVU 4

Set 4

23-25

Longest run 4 VCUWVU 5

Bars above the line = West Virginia leads, below = VCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

VCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%8/15
33%3/9
2
78%7/9
38%5/13
3
78%7/9
13%1/8
4
38%6/16
42%5/12
5
38%5/13
0%0/6
6
42%5/12
17%1/6
All
51%38/74
28%15/54

West Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
67%8/12
61%11/18
2
70%7/10
22%2/9
3
58%7/12
13%1/8
4
88%7/8
56%9/16
5
100%5/5
62%8/13
6
71%5/7
50%5/10
All
72%39/54
49%36/74

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

180 rallies

Rally log

#VCU-WVUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WVUVCUAttack errMacie Smithblk Dominika Kasinska, Sarah Dibbs-Frantz+0.8
21-1VCUWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+0.7
32-1WVUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+0.8
42-2VCUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.7
52-3WVUWVUAceWVU serveraced Dominika Kasinska+1.0
63-3WVUVCUAttack errNina Horning+0.8
73-4VCUWVU×3KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.7
83-5WVUWVU×3Bad setJordan Baksh+0.9
93-6WVUWVU×3Attack errLannah Priceblk Maddy McGath, Trinity Sheridan+0.8
104-6WVUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+0.5
114-7VCUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+0.5
125-7WVUVCUAttack errMacie Smith+0.6
135-8VCUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+0.6
146-8WVUVCUServe errWVU server+0.6
156-9VCUWVU×4KillMacie Smithset Reagan Turk+0.6
166-10WVUWVU×4Bad setCansin Sendir+0.7
176-11WVUWVU×4Attack errSarah Dibbs-Frantz+0.5
186-12WVUWVU×4Attack errSarah Dibbs-Frantz+0.4
197-12WVUVCU×3Serve errWVU server+0.2
208-12VCUVCU×3AceVCU serveraced Nina Horning+0.5
219-12VCUVCU×3Attack errMacie Smithblk Sarah Dibbs-Frantz, Nina Boledovicova+0.6
229-13VCUWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+0.5
239-14WVUWVUKillMirjam Karoliine Kask+0.5
2410-14WVUVCUAttack errAnna Barr+0.3
2510-15VCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.4
2611-15WVUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+0.3
2711-16VCUWVU×5KillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.4
2811-17WVUWVU×5KillTrinity Sheridanset Cassidy Bruns+0.4
2911-18WVUWVU×5Attack errDominika Kasinska+0.2
3011-19WVUWVU×5KillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+0.1
3111-20WVUWVU×5AceWVU serveraced Kayla Foley+0.1
3212-20WVUVCUAttack errNina Horning+0.0
3312-21VCUWVU×5KillNina Horningset Lauren Duncan+0.0
3412-22WVUWVU×5KillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+0.0
3512-23WVUWVU×5Attack errLetizia Galliblk Macie Smith, Maddy McGath+0.0
3612-24WVUWVU×5AceWVU serveraced Kayla Foley+0.0
3712-25WVUWVU×5KillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+0.0
Set 2
11-0VCUVCUAttack errMacie Smithblk Sarah Dibbs-Frantz, Nina Boledovicova+0.7
22-0VCUVCUAceVCU serveraced Nina Horning+0.9
32-1VCUWVUKillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Alexis Finnvold+0.5
43-1WVUVCU×4KillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+0.6
54-1VCUVCU×4AceVCU serveraced Nina Horning+1.0
65-1VCUVCU×4Attack errMacie Smithblk Letizia Galli, Nina Boledovicova+1.0
76-1VCUVCU×4Feed gapPlaceholder: the NCAA feed skipped this point; only the score change is known.+1.1
86-2VCUWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
96-3WVUWVUAceWVU serveraced Team+0.9
107-3WVUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+0.8
117-4VCUWVUServe errVCU server+0.6
128-4WVUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+0.8
138-5VCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.7
148-6WVUWVUKillNina Horningset Lauren Duncan+1.0
159-6WVUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+0.8
1610-6VCUVCUKillCansin Sendirset Molly McCall+1.2
1710-7VCUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+0.7
1811-7WVUVCUKillMolly McCallset Cansin Sendir+0.9
1911-8VCUWVUKillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+0.7
2011-9WVUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Cassidy Bruns+1.1
2112-9WVUVCUAttack errMacie Smith+0.9
2212-10VCUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+0.8
2313-10WVUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.0
2414-10VCUVCUAceVCU serveraced Cassidy Bruns+1.3
2514-11VCUWVUServe errVCU server+0.7
2615-11WVUVCUServe errWVU server+1.0
2716-11VCUVCUAttack errNina Horningblk Cansin Sendir, Letizia Galli+1.3
2816-12VCUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
2916-13WVUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.1
3017-13WVUVCUServe errWVU server+1.1
3117-14VCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.8
3218-14WVUVCUAttack errNina Horningblk Cansin Sendir, Letizia Galli+1.1
3318-15VCUWVU×3KillLauren Duncanset Macie Smith+0.8
3418-16WVUWVU×3KillMaddy McGathset Cansin Sendir+1.3
3518-17WVUWVU×3KillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.5
3619-17WVUVCUKillSarah Dibbs-Frantzset Cansin Sendir+1.4
3719-18VCUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+1.1
3819-19WVUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.7
3920-19WVUVCU×3KillMolly McCallset Cansin Sendir+1.4
4021-19VCUVCU×3Bad setLauren Duncan+2.2
4122-19VCUVCU×3KillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+2.1
4222-20VCUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+0.9
4322-21WVUWVUAttack errLannah Price+1.9
4423-21WVUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+2.1
4523-22VCUWVUServe errVCU server+1.4
4624-22WVUVCUAttack errAnna Barr+2.5
4724-23VCUWVUServe errVCU server+1.3
4824-24WVUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lannah Price+4.1
4925-24WVUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+2.8
5025-25VCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+2.8
5126-25WVUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+2.8
5227-25VCUVCUKillMolly McCallset Cansin Sendir+4.9
Set 3
11-0WVUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+1.5
21-1VCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.4
32-1WVUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+1.6
42-2VCUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+1.4
53-2WVUVCU×5KillCansin Sendirset Kayla Foley+1.6
64-2VCUVCU×5Attack errNina Horning+2.5
75-2VCUVCU×5Attack errAnna Barr+2.8
86-2VCUVCU×5KillMolly McCallset Cansin Sendir+3.0
97-2VCUVCU×5KillMolly McCallset Cansin Sendir+3.0
107-3VCUWVU×3KillMaddy McGathset Alexis Finnvold+1.7
117-4WVUWVU×3Attack errLetizia Galli+2.6
127-5WVUWVU×3AceWVU serveraced Jordan Baksh+2.6
138-5WVUVCUKillCansin Sendirset Cansin Sendir+2.3
148-6VCUWVUKillLauren Duncanset Macie Smith+1.9
159-6WVUVCUAttack errTrinity Sheridan+2.4
169-7VCUWVU×4KillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.9
179-8WVUWVU×4KillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+2.8
189-9WVUWVU×4KillMirjam Karoliine Kask+2.7
199-10WVUWVU×4AceWVU serveraced Lannah Price+2.4
2010-10WVUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+1.9
2111-10VCUVCUAttack errTrinity Sheridanblk Lannah Price, Sarah Dibbs-Frantz+3.0
2211-11VCUWVU×4KillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+2.0
2311-12WVUWVU×4Attack errLannah Price+2.7
2411-13WVUWVU×4Attack errLannah Priceblk Anna Barr, Mirjam Karoliine Kask+2.3
2511-14WVUWVU×4AceWVU serveraced Lannah Price+1.9
2612-14WVUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+1.3
2712-15VCUWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+1.4
2812-16WVUWVUAttack errLannah Price+1.5
2913-16WVUVCUAttack errNina Horningblk Letizia Galli, Nina Boledovicova+0.9
3013-17VCUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+1.1
3114-17WVUVCUAttack errMaddy McGath+0.9
3214-18VCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.1
3315-18WVUVCUServe errWVU server+0.9
3415-19VCUWVU×3Attack errMolly McCall+1.1
3515-20WVUWVU×3KillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.0
3615-21WVUWVU×3Attack errMolly McCallblk Trinity Sheridan, Maddy McGath+0.6
3716-21WVUVCUServe errWVU server+0.2
3816-22VCUWVUAttack errMolly McCallblk Trinity Sheridan, Maddy McGath+0.3
3917-22WVUVCUKillMolly McCallset Cansin Sendir+0.2
4017-23VCUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+0.3
4117-24WVUWVUKillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Alexis Finnvold+0.1
4218-24WVUVCUKillSarah Dibbs-Frantzset Cansin Sendir+0.0
4318-25VCUWVUAttack errLannah Priceblk Anna Barr+0.0
Set 4
10-1VCUWVUBad setCansin Sendir+0.9
21-1WVUVCU×4Attack errMacie Smithblk Nina Boledovicova, Sarah Dibbs-Frantz+1.0
32-1VCUVCU×4AceVCU serveraced Macie Smith+1.6
43-1VCUVCU×4KillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.8
54-1VCUVCU×4Bad setAlexis Finnvold+2.0
64-2VCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Reagan Turk+1.2
75-2WVUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.5
86-2VCUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+2.2
96-3VCUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+1.3
107-3WVUVCUServe errWVU server+1.7
117-4VCUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+1.3
128-4WVUVCUKillMolly McCallset Cansin Sendir+1.7
138-5VCUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.3
149-5WVUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+1.8
1510-5VCUVCUAttack errMacie Smith+2.4
1610-6VCUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+1.3
1711-6WVUVCU×3Serve errWVU server+1.8
1812-6VCUVCU×3KillNina Boledovicovaset Cansin Sendir+2.3
1913-6VCUVCU×3KillSarah Dibbs-Frantzset Cansin Sendir+2.0
2013-7VCUWVUKillLauren Duncanset Reagan Turk+1.0
2114-7WVUVCUKillNina Boledovicovaset Kayla Foley+1.5
2214-8VCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.9
2315-8WVUVCUServe errWVU server+1.5
2415-9VCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.9
2516-9WVUVCUKillLannah Priceset Kayla Foley+1.4
2617-9VCUVCUAttack errAnna Barrblk Molly McCall, Letizia Galli+1.5
2717-10VCUWVUServe errVCU server+0.6
2817-11WVUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.1
2918-11WVUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+1.3
3018-12VCUWVU×3Serve errVCU server+0.7
3118-13WVUWVU×3KillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+1.4
3218-14WVUWVU×3Attack errMolly McCall+1.8
3319-14WVUVCUKillSarah Dibbs-Frantzset Cansin Sendir+2.0
3419-15VCUWVU×5KillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+1.2
3519-16WVUWVU×5KillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+2.3
3619-17WVUWVU×5KillTrinity Sheridanset Sarah Dibbs-Frantz+2.8
3719-18WVUWVU×5KillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+3.3
3819-19WVUWVU×5KillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+3.5
3920-19WVUVCUServe errWVU server+3.0
4020-20VCUWVUServe errVCU server+2.6
4121-20WVUVCUKillSarah Dibbs-Frantzset Cansin Sendir+3.3
4221-21VCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Cassidy Bruns+3.0
4322-21WVUVCUKillLannah Priceset Cansin Sendir+3.8
4422-22VCUWVUServe errVCU server+3.4
4522-23WVUWVUAttack errLetizia Galli+5.2
4623-23WVUVCUKillLetizia Galliset Cansin Sendir+3.7
4723-24VCUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+4.5
4823-25WVUWVUAttack errCansin Sendirblk Maddy McGath+5.2

Score shown after each rally, VCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.