CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsThu, Sep 17, 2026
1:3

West Virginia def. East Texas A&M 31

(25-17, 21-25, 25-21, 25-20)
Set1234Sets
TAMUCO172521201
WVU252125253

RallyIQ model

Win probability

WVU above 50 · TAMUCO below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100WVUTAMUCOBiggest swing +4.1% TAMUCO · S3 19-19rally 179 · set 4

Biggest swing: 4.1% to East Texas A&M — set 3, TAMUCO 19-19 WVU. Kill by Ariana Brown (set by Haley Mullaney). WVU win probability 87%83%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

TAMUCO 7.7%92.3% WVU

East Texas A&M wins

3-0
1.0%
3-1
2.3%
3-2
4.4%

West Virginia wins

3-0
48.9%
3-1
31.1%
3-2
12.3%
TAMUCO break %
35.8% vs this opp
WVU break %
46.7% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Ariana BrownKill+4.1%

    Kill by Ariana Brown (set by Haley Mullaney)

    Set 3 · TAMUCO 19-19 WVU · TAMUCO 13%17%

  2. 02
    Ariana BrownAttack error+3.7%

    Attack error by Ariana Brown

    Set 3 · TAMUCO 19-21 WVU · WVU 86%90%

  3. 03
    TAMUCO serverService error+3.0%

    East Texas A&M service error

    Set 3 · TAMUCO 19-20 WVU · WVU 83%86%

  4. 04
    Anna BarrKill+2.8%

    Kill by Anna Barr (set by Alexis Finnvold)

    Set 3 · TAMUCO 20-22 WVU · WVU 88%90%

  5. 05
    Lauren DuncanBad set+2.7%

    Bad set by Lauren Duncan

    Set 3 · TAMUCO 17-18 WVU · TAMUCO 10%13%

  6. 06
    Nina HorningKill+2.7%

    Kill by Nina Horning (set by Alexis Finnvold)

    Set 3 · TAMUCO 20-23 WVU · WVU 90%93%

  7. 07
    Anna BarrAttack error+2.6%

    Attack error by Anna Barr

    Set 3 · TAMUCO 4-1 WVU · TAMUCO 17%20%

  8. 08

    Kill by Gracie Campbell (set by Haley Mullaney)

    Set 3 · TAMUCO 8-7 WVU · TAMUCO 14%17%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413638.18402443111.516.5
46213.30800000212.58.5
47219.263000200218
47527.07400121010.57.5
43010.3001903700003
1113.000011000002
4003.0001211900001
4102.5004021710001
3317.28600100031.54.5
3000003220000
2000000000000
2000001000000
1013-.333001000000
Team totals4118125.1843541843838783
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417226.5770002002118
414438.2630239300016
44213.154012101438
46623.00000030010.56.5
4508.625000100216
4102.500361430010.52.5
4003.0004221100002
4001.0002222010002
35614-.071000100216
3003.000900300000
2000000100000
1000000000000
1000001000000
Team totals5220131.24451814554112796

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 TAMUCO · WVU 6

Set 1

17-25

Longest run 4 TAMUCOWVU 6

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 3 TAMUCOWVU 3

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 3 TAMUCOWVU 4

Set 4

20-25

Longest run 2 TAMUCOWVU 3

Bars above the line = West Virginia leads, below = East Texas A&M leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

East Texas A&M

SlotSideout %Break %
1
50%11/22
25%3/12
2
65%11/17
15%2/13
3
43%10/23
45%9/20
4
75%9/12
31%4/13
5
58%7/12
40%6/15
6
78%7/9
36%4/11
All
58%55/95
33%28/84

West Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
79%11/14
44%7/16
2
73%11/15
50%11/22
3
63%10/16
47%9/19
4
60%9/15
33%5/15
5
62%8/13
38%5/13
6
64%7/11
30%3/10
All
67%56/84
42%40/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

179 rallies

Rally log

#TAMUCO-WVUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1WVUWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+0.8
21-1WVUTAMUCO×3Serve errWVU server+0.6
32-1TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errMacie Smith+1.0
43-1TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errMacie Smith+1.2
53-2TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+0.7
64-2WVUTAMUCOKillSediong Scottset Anna Barr+0.9
75-2TAMUCOTAMUCOAceTAMUCO serveraced Reagan Turk+1.3
85-3TAMUCOWVU×6Serve errTAMUCO server+0.8
95-4WVUWVU×6KillNina Horning+1.2
105-5WVUWVU×6AceWVU serveraced Gracie Campbell+1.1
115-6WVUWVU×6KillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+1.0
125-7WVUWVU×6Attack errGracie Campbellblk Anna Barr, Maddy McGath+0.9
135-8WVUWVU×6KillMaddy McGathset Alexis Finnvold+0.7
146-8WVUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+0.5
156-9TAMUCOWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.5
167-9WVUTAMUCO×4Attack errTrinity Sheridan+0.5
178-9TAMUCOTAMUCO×4Attack errNina Horning+0.9
189-9TAMUCOTAMUCO×4Attack errNina Horning+1.2
1910-9TAMUCOTAMUCO×4KillAriana Brownset Jade Washington+1.4
2010-10TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+0.9
2110-11WVUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.2
2211-11WVUTAMUCOServe errWVU server+0.9
2311-12TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+0.9
2411-13WVUWVUAttack errAriana Brown+1.1
2512-13WVUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jill Vinal+0.8
2613-13TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.4
2713-14TAMUCOWVU×3Serve errTAMUCO server+0.9
2813-15WVUWVU×3Attack errSamantha Mosleyblk Mirjam Karoliine Kask, Macie Smith+1.2
2913-16WVUWVU×3Attack errSediong Scott+1.0
3014-16WVUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
3114-17TAMUCOWVU×3KillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Alexis Finnvold+0.7
3214-18WVUWVU×3Attack errGracie Campbell+0.7
3314-19WVUWVU×3AceWVU serveraced Ariana Brown+0.5
3415-19WVUTAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Jade Washington+0.2
3515-20TAMUCOWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.3
3615-21WVUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.3
3716-21WVUTAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+0.1
3816-22TAMUCOWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.1
3916-23WVUWVUKillNina Horningset Cassidy Bruns+0.1
4017-23WVUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+0.0
4117-24TAMUCOWVUAttack errAriana Brown+0.0
4217-25WVUWVUAttack errSabine Wenzelblk Maddy McGath+0.0
Set 2
10-1TAMUCOWVU×3KillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.4
20-2WVUWVU×3Attack errSamantha Mosley+0.5
30-3WVUWVU×3KillNina Horningset Cassidy Bruns+0.4
41-3WVUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+0.3
51-4TAMUCOWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.3
62-4WVUTAMUCO×3KillAriana Brownset Jade Washington+0.3
73-4TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errTrinity Sheridan+0.5
84-4TAMUCOTAMUCO×3AceTAMUCO serveraced Nina Horning+0.6
94-5TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+0.4
104-6WVUWVUAceWVU serveraced Rendi Fetty+0.6
115-6WVUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+0.4
126-6TAMUCOTAMUCOAceTAMUCO serveraced Nina Horning+0.7
136-7TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+0.5
146-8WVUWVUKillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Lauren Duncan+0.6
157-8WVUTAMUCO×3Serve errWVU server+0.4
168-8TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Bad setLauren Duncan+0.7
179-8TAMUCOTAMUCO×3KillHaley Mullaneyset Jill Vinal+0.9
189-9TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+0.6
1910-9WVUTAMUCOServe errWVU server+0.7
2011-9TAMUCOTAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+1.1
2111-10TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+0.7
2212-10WVUTAMUCOKillAllie Ihloffset Reagan Turk+0.8
2313-10TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+1.2
2413-11TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+0.7
2514-11WVUTAMUCOAttack errNina Horningblk Samantha Mosley, Allie Ihloff+0.9
2614-12TAMUCOWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.7
2715-12WVUTAMUCO×3KillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.0
2816-12TAMUCOTAMUCO×3KillAriana Brownset Jill Vinal+1.3
2917-12TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errCassidy Bruns+1.2
3017-13TAMUCOWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+0.6
3118-13WVUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jill Vinal+0.9
3219-13TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errMaddy McGathblk Sabine Wenzel+1.0
3319-14TAMUCOWVUAttack errSabine Wenzel+0.4
3419-15WVUWVUAceWVU serveraced Ariana Brown+0.8
3520-15WVUTAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Jade Washington+0.9
3620-16TAMUCOWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+0.5
3720-17WVUWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+1.0
3821-17WVUTAMUCOAttack errMacie Smith+1.1
3921-18TAMUCOWVUKillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
4022-18WVUTAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+1.1
4122-19TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+0.6
4223-19WVUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.1
4323-20TAMUCOWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.4
4424-20WVUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Haley Mullaney+1.0
4524-21TAMUCOWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+0.3
4625-21WVUTAMUCOAttack errTrinity Sheridanblk Sabine Wenzel+0.7
Set 3
11-0WVUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+1.4
21-1TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+1.3
32-1WVUTAMUCO×3KillSabine Wenzelset Haley Mullaney+1.5
43-1TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Bad setAlexis Finnvold+2.3
54-1TAMUCOTAMUCO×3Attack errAnna Barr+2.6
64-2TAMUCOWVU×3KillNina Horningset Reagan Turk+1.6
74-3WVUWVU×3KillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+2.2
84-4WVUWVU×3AceWVU serveraced Jade Washington+2.1
95-4WVUTAMUCOServe errWVU server+1.7
105-5TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+1.5
116-5WVUTAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Jill Vinal+1.7
126-6TAMUCOWVUKillNina Horningset Lauren Duncan+1.5
136-7WVUWVUAttack errGracie Campbellblk Maddy McGath, Trinity Sheridan+2.0
147-7WVUTAMUCOAttack errTrinity Sheridanblk Allie Ihloff, Gracie Campbell+1.6
158-7TAMUCOTAMUCOKillGracie Campbellset Haley Mullaney+2.5
168-8TAMUCOWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.6
179-8WVUTAMUCOServe errWVU server+1.9
189-9TAMUCOWVU×3KillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+1.7
199-10WVUWVU×3Attack errAllie Ihloff+2.3
209-11WVUWVU×3AceWVU serveraced Ariana Brown+2.0
2110-11WVUTAMUCOServe errWVU server+1.5
2210-12TAMUCOWVU×4KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.4
2310-13WVUWVU×4KillAnna Barrset Cassidy Bruns+1.7
2410-14WVUWVU×4AceWVU serveraced Rendi Fetty+1.3
2510-15WVUWVU×4KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.0
2611-15WVUTAMUCOServe errWVU server+0.6
2712-15TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jill Vinal+1.2
2812-16TAMUCOWVUKillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Alexis Finnvold+1.0
2913-16WVUTAMUCOServe errWVU server+0.9
3014-16TAMUCOTAMUCOKillJade Washingtonset Alexis Finnvold+1.8
3114-17TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+1.4
3215-17WVUTAMUCOAttack errTrinity Sheridan+1.3
3315-18TAMUCOWVUAttack errGracie Campbellblk Trinity Sheridan, Maddy McGath+1.5
3416-18WVUTAMUCOServe errWVU server+1.3
3517-18TAMUCOTAMUCOBad setLauren Duncan+2.7
3617-19TAMUCOWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+2.1
3718-19WVUTAMUCOAttack errTrinity Sheridan+2.1
3819-19TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+4.1
3919-20TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+3.0
4019-21WVUWVUAttack errAriana Brown+3.7
4120-21WVUTAMUCOAttack errMacie Smithblk Ariana Brown+2.3
4220-22TAMUCOWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+2.8
4320-23WVUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+2.7
4421-23WVUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+1.1
4521-24TAMUCOWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.8
4621-25WVUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.8
Set 4
10-1TAMUCOWVU×3KillNina Horningset Cassidy Bruns+0.8
20-2WVUWVU×3KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.1
30-3WVUWVU×3KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.9
41-3WVUTAMUCOAttack errAnna Barr+0.6
51-4TAMUCOWVUKillMaddy McGathset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
62-4WVUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+0.7
72-5TAMUCOWVUKillMaddy McGathset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
82-6WVUWVUAceWVU serveraced Team+0.8
93-6WVUTAMUCOAttack errMacie Smithblk Sabine Wenzel, Samantha Mosley+0.5
103-7TAMUCOWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+0.5
114-7WVUTAMUCOAttack errNina Horning+0.5
124-8TAMUCOWVUKillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
134-9WVUWVUAttack errGracie Campbellblk Anna Barr, Mirjam Karoliine Kask+0.6
145-9WVUTAMUCOServe errWVU server+0.4
155-10TAMUCOWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.4
166-10WVUTAMUCOKillAllie Ihloffset Jill Vinal+0.4
176-11TAMUCOWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.4
186-12WVUWVUAttack errAriana Brown+0.5
197-12WVUTAMUCOKillSamantha Mosleyset Haley Mullaney+0.3
207-13TAMUCOWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.3
218-13WVUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+0.3
229-13TAMUCOTAMUCOAttack errMaddy McGath+0.6
239-14TAMUCOWVU×3KillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.5
249-15WVUWVU×3KillAlexis Finnvoldset Jade Washington+0.5
259-16WVUWVU×3Attack errAriana Brown+0.3
2610-16WVUTAMUCOServe errWVU server+0.2
2711-16TAMUCOTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Jade Washington+0.3
2811-17TAMUCOWVUAttack errAriana Brown+0.3
2912-17WVUTAMUCOKillHaley Mullaneyset Jill Vinal+0.2
3013-17TAMUCOTAMUCOAceTAMUCO serveraced Nina Horning+0.5
3113-18TAMUCOWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.5
3214-18WVUTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+0.4
3315-18TAMUCOTAMUCOKillSabine Wenzelset Jill Vinal+0.9
3415-19TAMUCOWVUAttack errEllie Thurman+0.8
3515-20WVUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.7
3616-20WVUTAMUCOServe errWVU server+0.3
3716-21TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+0.4
3817-21WVUTAMUCOKillAllie Ihloffset Haley Mullaney+0.3
3917-22TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+0.4
4018-22WVUTAMUCOKillAriana Brownset Haley Mullaney+0.2
4118-23TAMUCOWVUServe errTAMUCO server+0.4
4219-23WVUTAMUCOServe errWVU server+0.2
4319-24TAMUCOWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+0.3
4420-24WVUTAMUCOAttack errMacie Smith+0.1
4520-25TAMUCOWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+0.1

Score shown after each rally, East Texas A&M first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.