Final · 4 setsThu, Oct 29, 2026Watch on ESPN+

IU Indy def. Northern Ky. 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Northern Ky. 71.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 29, 5:55 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

IU Indy beat visiting Northern Ky. 3-1 (25-18, 21-25, 25-23, 25-21) on Thu, Oct 29, 2026. IU Indy's Bailey Sinish led with 20 kills, and Laura Roeder added 21 digs.

Data through · final Oct 29

Set1234Sets
N KY182523211
IUINDY252125253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Grace Purichia set 55 assists as IU Indy outlasted Northern Ky.

The match turned 3 times. Numbers are IU Indy's win probability from the RallyIQ model, rally by rally. Northern Ky. went in at 72% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 2 · Northern Ky. 4–2 IU Indy

    IU Indy scored 7 straight to turn a 2–4 deficit into a 9–4 lead. The match swung to IU Indy.

    IU Indy 44% → 65%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 3 · Northern Ky. 2–2 IU Indy

    10 straight IU Indy points broke a 2–2 tie and made it 12–2. The match swung to IU Indy.

    IU Indy 34% → 61%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Northern Ky. 21–21 IU Indy

    IU Indy closed it, 4 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–21 and win the match 3–1.

    IU Indy 68% → >99%

IU Indy above 50Northern Ky. belowMax swing 11.3%

Northern Ky.IU Indy

Sideout %
Northern Ky. 50.5·IU Indy 55.7
Break %
Northern Ky. 44.3·IU Indy 49.5
Hitting
Northern Ky. .179·IU Indy .266
Longest run
Northern Ky. 7·IU Indy 10

Bailey Sinish
5 kills inside the turning points, 20 K and .196 for the match (20 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

IU Indy above 50 · Northern Ky. below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+11.3% IUINDYrally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 11.3% to IU Indy — set 4, N KY 21-23 IUINDY. Kill by Jillian Tippmann (set by Grace Purichia). IUINDY win probability 76% → 88%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

N KY 70.1%29.9% IUINDY

Northern Ky. wins

3-0
23.3%
3-1
26.9%
3-2
19.9%

IU Indy wins

3-0
5.7%
3-1
10.5%
3-2
13.7%
N KY break %
45.5% vs this opp
IUINDY break %
41.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Kill by Jillian Tippmann (set by Grace Purichia)

    Set 4 · N KY 21-23 IUINDY · IUINDY 76% → 88%

  2. 02

    Kill by Jillian Tippmann (set by Grace Purichia)

    Set 3 · N KY 23-25 IUINDY · IUINDY 52% → 63%

  3. 03
    Ava HoyingKill+9.2%

    Kill by Ava Hoying (set by Abbigail Pickard)

    Set 4 · N KY 21-21 IUINDY · N KY 23% → 32%

  4. 04

    Kill by Grace Purichia (set by Ninah Miranda)

    Set 4 · N KY 19-21 IUINDY · IUINDY 74% → 83%

  5. 05
    Amanda StephensBlock+9.0%

    Lucia Heid stuffed by Amanda Stephens

    Set 3 · N KY 21-23 IUINDY · IUINDY 44% → 53%

  6. 06

    Kill by Amanda Stephens (set by Grace Purichia)

    Set 4 · N KY 21-24 IUINDY · IUINDY 88% → 96%

  7. 07
    Bailey SinishKill+8.3%

    Kill by Bailey Sinish (set by Grace Purichia)

    Set 4 · N KY 21-22 IUINDY · IUINDY 68% → 76%

  8. 08
    Ninah MirandaKill+8.1%

    Kill by Ninah Miranda (set by Grace Purichia)

    Set 3 · N KY 22-24 IUINDY · IUINDY 48% → 56%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412428.2860003004214
48128.25000040010.58.5
46222.1820121700007
43311.00000300111.54.5
4035-.600020300002
4013-.33344101000212
418744.25000020010.518.5
4011-1.000001710000
4000–3001630000
3000–100100000
1317.28600000010.53.5
1002.000000000000
Team totals5023151.1794846635110687
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
420956.1961034100020
414129.44800030132.516.5
44214.143000302237
43112.16755201200005
4000–012000001
4000–0001110000
416630.33300010031.517.5
44212.167100920215
41011.0004122100002
4000–012400001
Team totals6221154.2666159684310896

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northern Ky. vs IU Indy

Season series · IU Indy leads 1-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 7 N KY · IUINDY 10

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 N KYIUINDY 6

Set 2

25-21

Longest run 4 N KYIUINDY 7

Set 3

23-25

Longest run 7 N KYIUINDY 10

Set 4

21-25

Longest run 3 N KYIUINDY 4

Bars above the line = IU Indy leads, below = Northern Ky. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northern Ky.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
45%9/20
38%5/13
2
40%8/20
50%9/18
3
38%8/21
47%7/15
4
53%8/15
56%10/18
5
80%8/10
20%2/10
6
78%7/9
43%6/14
All
51%48/95
44%39/88

IU Indy

SlotSideout %Break %
1
47%9/19
43%6/14
2
69%9/13
50%9/18
3
42%8/19
69%18/26
4
53%8/15
58%11/19
5
73%8/11
20%2/10
6
64%7/11
13%1/8
All
56%49/88
49%47/95

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

183 rallies

#N KY-IUINDYSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.2
20-2IUINDYIUINDYAttack errIvey Stocks+2.3
31-2IUINDYN KYAttack errBailey Sinish+1.6
41-3N KYIUINDYServe errSydney Bray+1.8
51-4IUINDYIUINDYAttack errAllison Risley+2.4
62-4IUINDYN KYServe errMorgan Begley+1.6
72-5N KYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.9
83-5IUINDYN KY×4Attack errBailey Sinish+1.7
94-5N KYN KY×4KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.3
105-5N KYN KY×4Attack errJillian Tippmann+2.3
116-5N KYN KY×4KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.3
126-6N KYIUINDY×6KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.8
136-7IUINDYIUINDY×6Attack errKatie Noschang+2.5
146-8IUINDYIUINDY×6Attack errLucia Heid+2.7
156-9IUINDYIUINDY×6KillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+2.7
166-10IUINDYIUINDY×6KillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+2.6
176-11IUINDYIUINDY×6KillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+2.4
187-11IUINDYN KYServe errBailey Sinish+1.5
197-12N KYIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+1.9
208-12IUINDYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.5
219-12N KYN KYAttack errChloe Macias+2.3
229-13N KYIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+2.1
2310-13IUINDYN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+1.7
2410-14N KYIUINDY×3KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.2
2510-15IUINDYIUINDY×3BlockedIvey Stocksblk Chloe Macias+2.5
2610-16IUINDYIUINDY×3KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.1
2711-16IUINDYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+1.1
2811-17N KYIUINDYKillGrace Purichia+1.6
2912-17IUINDYN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
3012-18N KYIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+1.5
3113-18IUINDYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.0
3213-19N KYIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+1.5
3313-20IUINDYIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+1.3
3414-20IUINDYN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
3515-20N KYN KY×3AceAbbigail Pickardaced Bailey Sinish+1.0
3616-20N KYN KY×3Attack errNinah Miranda+1.6
3716-21N KYIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+1.8
3816-22IUINDYIUINDYBlockedKatie Noschangblk Ninah Miranda, Chloe Macias+1.5
3917-22IUINDYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.5
4017-23N KYIUINDYAttack errAva Hoying+0.9
4118-23IUINDYN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+0.3
4218-24N KYIUINDYServe errKatie Noschang+0.7
4318-25IUINDYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+0.2
Set 2
11-0N KYN KY×3Attack errBailey Sinish+2.6
22-0N KYN KY×3AceAllison Risleyaced Elle Patterson+2.5
33-0N KYN KY×3AceAllison Risleyaced Ninah Miranda+2.3
43-1N KYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+1.7
53-2IUINDYIUINDYAttack errSydney Bray+2.5
64-2IUINDYN KYServe errMorgan Begley+1.9
74-3N KYIUINDY×7Serve errKatie Noschang+2.0
84-4IUINDYIUINDY×7KillBailey Sinishset Laura Roeder+2.9
94-5IUINDYIUINDY×7KillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+3.1
104-6IUINDYIUINDY×7AceGrace Purichia+3.3
114-7IUINDYIUINDY×7KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+3.4
124-8IUINDYIUINDY×7KillJillian Tippmannset Laura Roeder+3.3
134-9IUINDYIUINDY×7Attack errAllison Risley+3.1
145-9IUINDYN KY×3KillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.9
156-9N KYN KY×3AceSydney Brayaced Ninah Miranda+2.9
167-9N KYN KY×3KillZy'Aire Barrset Abbigail Pickard+3.2
177-10N KYIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+2.8
188-10IUINDYN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.4
199-10N KYN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+3.5
2010-10N KYN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+3.6
2110-11N KYIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+2.9
2211-11IUINDYN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.7
2311-12N KYIUINDYBlockedLucia Heidblk Chloe Macias, Jillian Tippmann+3.0
2412-12IUINDYN KYAttack errBailey Sinish+2.8
2513-12N KYN KYKillLucia Heidset Daisy Cluxton+3.8
2613-13N KYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.9
2714-13IUINDYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.9
2814-14N KYIUINDY×3KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+3.1
2914-15IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errSydney Bray+4.5
3014-16IUINDYIUINDY×3Attack errZy'Aire Barr+4.7
3115-16IUINDYN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+3.2
3215-17N KYIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+3.8
3316-17IUINDYN KY×3BlockedJillian Tippmannblk Zy'Aire Barr, Ivey Stocks+3.3
3417-17N KYN KY×3Attack errBailey Sinish+4.9
3518-17N KYN KY×3KillZy'Aire Barrset Abbigail Pickard+5.0
3618-18N KYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+3.8
3719-18IUINDYN KY×4KillZy'Aire Barrset Abbigail Pickard+4.0
3820-18N KYN KY×4BlockedJillian Tippmannblk Ivey Stocks, Lucia Heid+5.0
3921-18N KYN KY×4BlockedNinah Mirandablk Abbigail Pickard, Ivey Stocks+4.1
4022-18N KYN KY×4Attack errJillian Tippmann+2.8
4122-19N KYIUINDYServe errEmma Adkins+1.3
4223-19IUINDYN KYBad setJillian Tippmann+2.0
4323-20N KYIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+1.0
4424-20IUINDYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+1.8
4524-21N KYIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+0.6
4625-21IUINDYN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+1.2
Set 3
11-0IUINDYN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.1
21-1N KYIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+2.2
31-2IUINDYIUINDYAttack errLucia Heid+3.2
42-2IUINDYN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.3
52-3N KYIUINDY×10Attack errLucia Heid+2.5
62-4IUINDYIUINDY×10Attack errKatie Noschang+3.4
72-5IUINDYIUINDY×10KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+3.5
82-6IUINDYIUINDY×10BlockedLucia Heidblk Jillian Tippmann, Amanda Stephens+3.4
92-7IUINDYIUINDY×10Attack errAbbigail Pickard+3.3
102-8IUINDYIUINDY×10Attack errLucia Heid+3.0
112-9IUINDYIUINDY×10Attack errEmma Adkins+2.6
122-10IUINDYIUINDY×10KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+2.2
132-11IUINDYIUINDY×10KillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+1.7
142-12IUINDYIUINDY×10BlockedAllison Risleyblk Jillian Tippmann, Amanda Stephens+1.3
153-12IUINDYN KYKillKatie Noschangset Abbigail Pickard+0.6
163-13N KYIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+0.9
174-13IUINDYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+0.6
184-14N KYIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+0.9
194-15IUINDYIUINDYAceLaura Roederaced Daisy Cluxton+0.8
205-15IUINDYN KY×3Serve errLaura Roeder+0.3
216-15N KYN KY×3KillSydney Brayset Emory Guderian+0.6
227-15N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+0.9
237-16N KYIUINDYKillGrace Purichiaset Laura Roeder+1.0
247-17IUINDYIUINDYBlockedIvey Stocksblk Chloe Macias+0.9
258-17IUINDYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+0.3
269-17N KYN KYAttack errChloe Macias+0.7
279-18N KYIUINDYServe errSydney Bray+0.8
2810-18IUINDYN KY×7Serve errLauren White+0.4
2911-18N KYN KY×7Attack errBailey Sinish+0.9
3012-18N KYN KY×7KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+1.3
3113-18N KYN KY×7Bad setGrace Purichia+1.8
3214-18N KYN KY×7KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+2.5
3315-18N KYN KY×7KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+3.4
3416-18N KYN KY×7BlockedBailey Sinishblk Ivey Stocks, Abbigail Pickard+4.2
3516-19N KYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+4.2
3616-20IUINDYIUINDYAceMorgan Begleyaced Emma Adkins+4.7
3717-20IUINDYN KYAttack errGrace Purichia+2.4
3818-20N KYN KYAttack errAmanda Stephens+4.4
3918-21N KYIUINDYKillLaura Roederset Bailey Sinish+4.6
4019-21IUINDYN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+3.2
4120-21N KYN KY×3Attack errJillian Tippmann+5.9
4221-21N KYN KY×3Bad setGrace Purichia+7.3
4321-22N KYIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+6.6
4421-23IUINDYIUINDYBlockedLucia Heidblk Amanda Stephens+9.0
4522-23IUINDYN KYServe errBailey Sinish+4.8
4622-24N KYIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+8.1
4723-24IUINDYN KYBlockedJillian Tippmannblk Ava Hoying, Katie Noschang+4.5
4823-25N KYIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+11.1
Set 4
10-1N KYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+3.0
20-2IUINDYIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+4.1
31-2IUINDYN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.9
41-3N KYIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+3.2
52-3IUINDYN KYKillIvey Stocksset Laura Roeder+2.9
62-4N KYIUINDY×4KillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+3.3
72-5IUINDYIUINDY×4KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+4.4
82-6IUINDYIUINDY×4KillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+4.3
92-7IUINDYIUINDY×4KillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+4.1
103-7IUINDYN KYServe errIU Indy+2.6
113-8N KYIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+3.2
124-8IUINDYN KYServe errIU Indy+2.6
134-9N KYIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Laura Roeder+3.2
145-9IUINDYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+2.6
155-10N KYIUINDYKillChloe Maciasset Grace Purichia+3.3
165-11IUINDYIUINDYAceLauren Whiteaced Daisy Cluxton+3.8
176-11IUINDYN KYKillSydney Brayset Abbigail Pickard+2.2
187-11N KYN KYAttack errBailey Sinish+3.5
197-12N KYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+3.3
207-13IUINDYIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+3.8
218-13IUINDYN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+2.1
229-13N KYN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+3.5
2310-13N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+4.2
2410-14N KYIUINDYKillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+3.9
2511-14IUINDYN KY×3KillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+3.1
2612-14N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+4.9
2713-14N KYN KY×3KillIvey Stocks+5.4
2813-15N KYIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+4.7
2913-16IUINDYIUINDYBlockedIvey Stocksblk Amanda Stephens, Ninah Miranda+6.0
3014-16IUINDYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+3.8
3114-17N KYIUINDYKillNinah Mirandaset Grace Purichia+4.8
3215-17IUINDYN KYKillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+3.9
3315-18N KYIUINDYKillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+5.0
3416-18IUINDYN KY×3KillLucia Heidset Abbigail Pickard+4.0
3517-18N KYN KY×3BlockedBailey Sinishblk Katie Noschang+6.4
3618-18N KYN KY×3KillAva Hoyingset Daisy Cluxton+7.1
3718-19N KYIUINDYKillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+6.0
3819-19IUINDYN KYServe errLauren White+5.7
3919-20N KYIUINDYServe errKatie Noschang+6.6
4019-21IUINDYIUINDYKillGrace Purichiaset Ninah Miranda+9.0
4120-21IUINDYN KYKillIvey Stocksset Abbigail Pickard+5.5
4221-21N KYN KYKillAva Hoyingset Abbigail Pickard+9.2
4321-22N KYIUINDY×4KillBailey Sinishset Grace Purichia+8.3
4421-23IUINDYIUINDY×4KillJillian Tippmannset Grace Purichia+11.3
4521-24IUINDYIUINDY×4KillAmanda Stephensset Grace Purichia+8.7
4621-25IUINDYIUINDY×4AceGrace Purichiaaced Daisy Cluxton+3.7

Score shown after each rally, Northern Ky. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).