Final · 4 setsSun, Sep 27, 2026Watch on ESPN+

TCU def. West Virginia 3–1

TCU won at West Virginia 3-1 (18-25, 25-22, 25-19, 25-17) on Sun, Sep 27, 2026. TCU's Becca Kelley led with 17 kills, and Alice Volpe added 16 digs.

Data through · final Sep 27

Set1234Sets
TCU182525253
WVU252219171

Win probability

West Virginia above 50 · TCU below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+5.4% TCUrally 176 · set 4

Biggest swing: 5.4% to TCU — set 2, TCU 18-18 WVU. Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Alexis Finnvold). WVU win probability 44% → 39%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

TCU 84.6%15.4% WVU

TCU wins

3-0
36.6%
3-1
31.3%
3-2
16.8%

West Virginia wins

3-0
2.3%
3-1
5.0%
3-2
8.2%
TCU break %
44.8% vs this opp
WVU break %
37.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Becca KelleyKill+5.4%

    Kill by Becca Kelley (set by Alexis Finnvold)

    Set 2 · TCU 18-18 WVU · TCU 56% → 61%

  2. 02
    TCUAce+5.3%

    TCU ace on Nina Horning

    Set 2 · TCU 19-18 WVU · TCU 61% → 66%

  3. 03
    Nina HorningAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Nina Horning

    Set 2 · TCU 21-19 WVU · TCU 67% → 72%

  4. 04

    Kill by Trinity Sheridan (set by Lauren Duncan)

    Set 2 · TCU 13-15 WVU · WVU 40% → 45%

  5. 05
    Jalyn GibsonAttack error+4.4%

    Attack error by Jalyn Gibson

    Set 2 · TCU 10-13 WVU · WVU 43% → 48%

  6. 06
    De'Andrea McMillianAttack error+4.2%

    Attack error by De'Andrea McMillian

    Set 2 · TCU 10-12 WVU · WVU 39% → 43%

  7. 07
    TCUService error+4.1%

    TCU service error

    Set 2 · TCU 16-18 WVU · WVU 44% → 48%

  8. 08
    Jalyn GibsonKill+4.0%

    Kill by Jalyn Gibson

    Set 2 · TCU 13-13 WVU · TCU 59% → 63%

Box score

Official NCAA box

TCUaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
417338.368010113010.518.5
414542.21410011102115
46213.30801220031.58.5
4619.55600020031.57.5
4000–801200000
3013-.333000100000
48427.14812360010.510.5
4000–3311620003
4002.0003411150010.51.5
4000–000000000
3213.33301000010.53.5
2000–000100000
1011-1.000100000000
1000–001000000
Team totals5318138.2544899676012693
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
48340.12502393010.510.5
48218.3330004004210
47012.5830012022310
49827.037100320009
4000–1703500000
3319.22200000052.55.5
410538.1320003002111
4102.5002031800004
4000–2121210001
4000–5001420000
23031.000000000003
1000–000010000
Team totals4919149.20145610609214983

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 TCU · WVU 7

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 4 TCUWVU 4

Set 2

25-22

Longest run 3 TCUWVU 3

Set 3

25-19

Longest run 6 TCUWVU 7

Set 4

25-17

Longest run 5 TCUWVU 2

Bars above the line = West Virginia leads, below = TCU leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

TCU

SlotSideout %Break %
1
63%12/19
33%5/15
2
83%10/12
63%17/27
3
82%9/11
38%6/16
4
62%8/13
20%2/10
5
47%8/17
11%1/9
6
67%8/12
47%7/15
All
65%55/84
41%38/92

West Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
38%6/16
2
50%10/20
31%5/16
3
64%9/14
18%2/11
4
73%8/11
36%5/14
5
62%8/13
53%9/17
6
73%8/11
20%2/10
All
59%54/92
35%29/84

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

176 rallies

#TCU-WVUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1WVUWVUAttack errReese Robins+1.6
21-1WVUTCU×4Attack errMacie Smith+1.1
32-1TCUTCU×4BlockedMirjam Karoliine Kaskblk De'Andrea McMillian, Becca Kelley+1.5
43-1TCUTCU×4AceTCUaced Nina Horning+1.3
54-1TCUTCU×4KillBecca Kelleyset Alexis Finnvold+1.2
64-2TCUWVUServe errTCU+0.8
75-2WVUTCUKillDe'Andrea McMillianset Reese Wilburn+0.8
85-3TCUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.8
95-4WVUWVUAttack errJalyn Gibson+1.4
106-4WVUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Alice Volpe+1.0
116-5TCUWVUBlockedJalyn Gibsonblk Maddy McGath+1.0
126-6WVUWVUAceWest Virginiaaced Alice Volpe+1.7
137-6WVUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.2
147-7TCUWVU×3KillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+1.3
157-8WVUWVU×3AceWest Virginiaaced Evan Hendrix+2.0
167-9WVUWVU×3BlockedEvan Hendrixblk Maddy McGath+2.2
178-9WVUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+1.4
188-10TCUWVUServe errTCU+1.6
199-10WVUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.4
209-11TCUWVUKillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+1.7
219-12WVUWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+2.5
2210-12WVUTCUServe errWest Virginia+1.5
2310-13TCUWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+1.8
2410-14WVUWVUBlockedBecca Kelleyblk Anna Barr, Mirjam Karoliine Kask+2.5
2511-14WVUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Alice Volpe+1.4
2611-15TCUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+1.9
2712-15WVUTCUKillDe'Andrea McMillianset Rosemary Archer+1.4
2812-16TCUWVU×4KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.9
2912-17WVUWVU×4KillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+2.4
3012-18WVUWVU×4BlockedEvan Hendrixblk Maddy McGath, Trinity Sheridan+1.9
3112-19WVUWVU×4AceWest Virginiaaced Becca Kelley+1.3
3213-19WVUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
3314-19TCUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.1
3414-20TCUWVUKillNina Horningset Cassidy Bruns+1.2
3515-20WVUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.6
3615-21TCUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+1.1
3716-21WVUTCUBad setLauren Duncan+0.5
3816-22TCUWVUKillMacie Smithset Reagan Turk+1.0
3916-23WVUWVUAttack errKinsley Young+0.6
4017-23WVUTCUServe errWest Virginia+0.1
4117-24TCUWVUKillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Alexis Finnvold+0.3
4218-24WVUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer·
4318-25TCUWVUKillNina Horning+0.1
Set 2
10-1TCUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+2.0
20-2WVUWVUKillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+3.0
31-2WVUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.9
42-2TCUTCUAttack errMacie Smith+2.7
52-3TCUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+2.1
63-3WVUTCUServe errWest Virginia+1.9
74-3TCUTCUAttack errMacie Smith+2.6
84-4TCUWVUServe errTCU+1.9
94-5WVUWVUBlockedEvan Hendrixblk Anna Barr, Mirjam Karoliine Kask+3.1
105-5WVUTCUServe errWest Virginia+2.0
116-5TCUTCUBlockedMacie Smithblk Lauren Murphy, Kinsley Young+2.8
126-6TCUWVUKillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Alexis Finnvold+2.1
137-6WVUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+1.9
147-7TCUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+2.1
158-7WVUTCUKillLauren Murphyset Reese Wilburn+2.0
168-8TCUWVU×3KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+2.2
178-9WVUWVU×3KillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+3.5
188-10WVUWVU×3Attack errBecca Kelley+3.9
199-10WVUTCUServe errWest Virginia+2.4
2010-10TCUTCUBlockedNina Horningblk De'Andrea McMillian, Jalyn Gibson+3.5
2110-11TCUWVU×3KillNina Horningset Lauren Duncan+2.7
2210-12WVUWVU×3Attack errDe'Andrea McMillian+4.2
2310-13WVUWVU×3Attack errJalyn Gibson+4.4
2411-13WVUTCU×3Serve errWest Virginia+2.5
2512-13TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+4.0
2613-13TCUTCU×3KillJalyn Gibson+4.0
2713-14TCUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+3.1
2813-15WVUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+4.8
2914-15WVUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.9
3014-16TCUWVUKillMirjam Karoliine Kaskset Lauren Duncan+3.6
3115-16WVUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Jalyn Gibson+3.0
3215-17TCUWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+3.8
3316-17WVUTCUServe errWest Virginia+3.2
3416-18TCUWVUServe errTCU+4.1
3517-18WVUTCU×3KillEvan Hendrixset Reese Wilburn+3.3
3618-18TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Alexis Finnvold+5.4
3719-18TCUTCU×3AceTCUaced Nina Horning+5.3
3819-19TCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+3.8
3920-19WVUTCUKillDe'Andrea McMillianset Rosemary Archer+3.9
4021-19TCUTCUAttack errNina Horning+5.1
4121-20TCUWVUKillNina Horningset Lauren Duncan+3.0
4222-20WVUTCUAttack errMacie Smith+3.8
4323-20TCUTCUAceTCUaced Reagan Turk+3.9
4423-21TCUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Reagan Turk+1.5
4524-21WVUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.6
4624-22TCUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+1.0
4725-22WVUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.3
Set 3
11-0WVUTCUKillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.6
21-1TCUWVUBlockedEvan Hendrixblk Trinity Sheridan, Maddy McGath+1.7
32-1WVUTCUServe errWest Virginia+1.6
43-1TCUTCUBad setMacie Smith+2.2
53-2TCUWVUAttack errKinsley Young+1.6
64-2WVUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+1.5
74-3TCUWVUKillLauren Duncanset Macie Smith+1.6
85-3WVUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn+1.6
95-4TCUWVU×7KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+1.6
105-5WVUWVU×7KillAnna Barrset Cassidy Bruns+2.7
115-6WVUWVU×7AceWest Virginiaaced Becca Kelley+3.1
125-7WVUWVU×7KillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+3.4
135-8WVUWVU×7BlockedBecca Kelleyblk Anna Barr, Mirjam Karoliine Kask+3.6
145-9WVUWVU×7BlockedEvan Hendrixblk Anna Barr, Mirjam Karoliine Kask+3.7
155-10WVUWVU×7BlockedLauren Murphyblk Nina Horning, Mirjam Karoliine Kask+3.5
166-10WVUTCU×3Serve errWest Virginia+1.9
177-10TCUTCU×3AceTCUaced Reagan Turk+3.1
188-10TCUTCU×3KillBecca Kelleyset Alice Volpe+3.4
198-11TCUWVUServe errTCU+2.8
209-11WVUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+2.3
219-12TCUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Alexis Finnvold+2.9
2210-12WVUTCU×6KillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+2.4
2311-12TCUTCU×6KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+3.7
2412-12TCUTCU×6AceTCUaced Cassidy Bruns+3.7
2513-12TCUTCU×6KillEvan Hendrix+3.6
2614-12TCUTCU×6KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+3.2
2715-12TCUTCU×6Attack errNina Horning+2.7
2815-13TCUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+1.7
2916-13WVUTCUServe errWest Virginia+1.9
3016-14TCUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Reagan Turk+1.7
3117-14WVUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+2.0
3217-15TCUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Alice Volpe+1.8
3318-15WVUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Evan Hendrix+2.0
3418-16TCUWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+1.8
3519-16WVUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+2.1
3620-16TCUTCU×4KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+2.3
3721-16TCUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+1.4
3822-16TCUTCU×4Attack errAnna Barr+0.7
3922-17TCUWVUKillCamille Huffset Alexis Finnvold+0.2
4022-18WVUWVUAttack errJalyn Gibson+0.6
4123-18WVUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.7
4224-18TCUTCUBlockedAnna Barrblk Evan Hendrix, De'Andrea McMillian+0.4
4324-19TCUWVUKillNina Horningset Reagan Turk+0.1
4425-19WVUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.1
Set 4
10-1TCUWVUKillMacie Smithset Reagan Turk+1.5
21-1WVUTCU×5Attack errTrinity Sheridan+1.3
32-1TCUTCU×5Attack errMacie Smith+1.8
43-1TCUTCU×5AceTCUaced Macie Smith+1.7
54-1TCUTCU×5Attack errTrinity Sheridan+1.5
65-1TCUTCU×5KillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+1.2
75-2TCUWVUServe errTCU+0.8
86-2WVUTCUKillJalyn Gibsonset Rosemary Archer+0.9
97-2TCUTCUAttack errMacie Smith+1.0
107-3TCUWVUServe errTCU+0.6
118-3WVUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Rosemary Archer+0.7
129-3TCUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.8
139-4TCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Alexis Finnvold+0.5
1410-4WVUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
1510-5TCUWVUKillAnna Barrset Reagan Turk+0.5
1611-5WVUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
1711-6TCUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+0.5
1812-6WVUTCUKillBecca Kelleyset Rosemary Archer+0.5
1913-6TCUTCUAceTCUaced Macie Smith+0.6
2013-7TCUWVUKillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+0.3
2114-7WVUTCUKillDe'Andrea McMillianset Rosemary Archer+0.4
2215-7TCUTCUBlockedTrinity Sheridanblk Kinsley Young, Evan Hendrix+0.4
2315-8TCUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan+0.2
2416-8WVUTCU×4KillEvan Hendrixset Rosemary Archer+0.2
2517-8TCUTCU×4AceTCUaced Eily Painter+0.2
2618-8TCUTCU×4BlockedMacie Smithblk Kinsley Young, Rosemary Archer+0.1
2719-8TCUTCU×4AceTCUaced Nina Horning·
2819-9TCUWVUServe errTCU·
2920-9WVUTCUKillKinsley Youngset Reese Wilburn·
3020-10TCUWVUKillCamille Huffset Alexis Finnvold·
3120-11WVUWVUBad setEvan Hendrix·
3221-11WVUTCUKillLauren Murphyset Reese Wilburn·
3321-12TCUWVUServe errTCU·
3421-13WVUWVUAceWest Virginiaaced Becca Kelley·
3522-13WVUTCUKillDe'Andrea McMillianset Reese Wilburn·
3622-14TCUWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Lauren Duncan·
3722-15WVUWVUAceWest Virginiaaced Alice Volpe·
3823-15WVUTCUAttack errTrinity Sheridan+0.1
3924-15TCUTCUAttack errTrinity Sheridan·
4024-16TCUWVUAttack errJosie Valgus·
4124-17WVUWVUKillCamille Huffset Lauren Duncan·
4225-17WVUTCUKillDe'Andrea McMillianset Josie Valgus·

Score shown after each rally, TCU first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).