Final · 4 setsSun, Nov 8, 2026Watch on ESPN+

West Virginia def. Colorado 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Colorado 70.7% · upsetLocked before first serve (Nov 8, 11:55 AM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

West Virginia beat visiting Colorado 3-1 (25-23, 23-25, 25-17, 25-11) on Sun, Nov 8, 2026. Macie Smith and Trinity Sheridan led West Virginia with 13 kills each; Colorado's Ines Losada had a match-high 19.

Data through · final Nov 8

Set1234Sets
COLO232517111
WVU252325253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave West Virginia 29%. West Virginia won anyway.

3 stretches decided it. Percentages are West Virginia's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Pre-match, Colorado was RallyIQ's 71% pick.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Colorado 23–21 West Virginia

    West Virginia won 4 of the last 4 rallies to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0. The match swung to West Virginia.

    West Virginia 20% → 51%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 2 · Colorado 22–22 West Virginia

    3 of the last 4 rallies went to Colorado, enough to take the set 25–23 and level the match at 1–1. The match swung to Colorado.

    West Virginia 55% → 34%

  3. Turning point 3: Set 4 · Colorado 0–0 West Virginia

    West Virginia opened the set with 5 straight points for a 5–0 lead.

    West Virginia 64% → 83%

West Virginia above 50Colorado belowMax swing 10.4%

ColoradoWest Virginia

Sideout %
Colorado 45.4·West Virginia 58.4
Break %
Colorado 41.6·West Virginia 54.6
Hitting
Colorado .099·West Virginia .252
Longest run
Colorado 6·West Virginia 6

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

West Virginia above 50 · Colorado below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.4% WVUrally 174 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.4% to West Virginia — set 1, COLO 23-25 WVU. Kill by Maddy McGath (set by Alexis Finnvold). WVU win probability 40% → 51%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

COLO 63.8%36.2% WVU

Colorado wins

3-0
19.3%
3-1
24.4%
3-2
20.0%

West Virginia wins

3-0
7.5%
3-1
13.1%
3-2
15.7%
COLO break %
43.5% vs this opp
WVU break %
40.8% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01
    Maddy McGathKill+10.4%

    Kill by Maddy McGath (set by Alexis Finnvold)

    Set 1 · COLO 23-25 WVU · WVU 40% → 51%

  2. 02
    Ines LosadaKill+10.2%

    Kill by Ines Losada (set by Tinons Munar Galmes)

    Set 2 · COLO 25-23 WVU · COLO 56% → 66%

  3. 03

    Kill by Trinity Sheridan (set by Cassie Bruns)

    Set 1 · COLO 23-24 WVU · WVU 31% → 40%

  4. 04
    Cayla PayneKill+9.0%

    Kill by Cayla Payne (set by Jenna Ylivainio)

    Set 2 · COLO 23-22 WVU · COLO 45% → 54%

  5. 05
    Trinity SheridanAttack error+7.9%

    Attack error by Trinity Sheridan

    Set 2 · COLO 24-23 WVU · COLO 48% → 56%

  6. 06
    West VirginiaAce+7.1%

    West Virginia ace on Peyton Neal

    Set 2 · COLO 20-21 WVU · WVU 52% → 59%

  7. 07
    Macie SmithKill+6.6%

    Kill by Macie Smith (set by Reagan Turk)

    Set 1 · COLO 23-23 WVU · WVU 24% → 31%

  8. 08
    ColoradoService error+6.2%

    Colorado service error

    Set 2 · COLO 23-23 WVU · WVU 46% → 52%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
4191056.16101160010.520.5
412321.42900020031.513.5
46414.14300210031.57.5
4000–313150052.55.5
44833-.121013910005
41317-.118100400212
4000–012510001
4000–000420000
4000–5011250000
14Nikki OttL/DS
2000–000000000
Team totals4228141.09937610489014776
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413631.226034133010.516.5
48112.5830113028615
413224.4580003002114
4217.143000100635
4000–710830001
4000–2402800000
48325.20000010010513
47624.04200000010.57.5
4001.0001431900003
4000–2101100001
1003.000000000000
Team totals5119127.25247985762281698

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 COLO · WVU 6

Set 1

23-25

Longest run 5 COLOWVU 6

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 6 COLOWVU 5

Set 3

17-25

Longest run 4 COLOWVU 4

Set 4

11-25

Longest run 2 COLOWVU 5

Bars above the line = West Virginia leads, below = Colorado leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Colorado

SlotSideout %Break %
1
41%9/22
42%5/12
2
44%8/18
25%3/12
3
35%8/23
43%6/14
4
58%7/12
20%2/10
5
46%6/13
22%2/9
6
67%6/9
70%14/20
All
45%44/97
42%32/77

West Virginia

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
56%10/18
2
89%8/9
64%14/22
3
57%8/14
53%9/17
4
73%8/11
56%10/18
5
38%6/16
50%6/12
6
60%6/10
40%4/10
All
58%45/77
55%53/97

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

174 rallies

#COLO-WVUSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0WVUCOLOBad setAlexis Finnvold+1.5
22-0COLOCOLOAceInes Losadaaced Cassie Bruns+2.0
32-1COLOWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+1.4
42-2WVUWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+2.2
53-2WVUCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+1.6
63-3COLOWVU×3Serve errColorado+1.6
73-4WVUWVU×3BlockedCayla Payneblk Maddy McGath, Anna Barr+2.4
83-5WVUWVU×3KillAnna Barrset Lauren Duncan+2.6
94-5WVUCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
104-6COLOWVUServe errColorado+1.9
115-6WVUCOLOServe errWest Virginia+1.7
125-7COLOWVUBlockedInes Losadablk Maddy McGath, Anna Barr+2.0
136-7WVUCOLO×4KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.8
147-7COLOCOLO×4BlockedNina Horningblk Jenna Ylivainio, Maria Splawska+2.6
158-7COLOCOLO×4Attack errNina Horning+2.5
169-7COLOCOLO×4KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.4
179-8COLOWVUKillAnna Barrset Lauren Duncan+1.7
1810-8WVUCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.7
1910-9COLOWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Alexis Finnvold+1.7
2010-10WVUWVUAceWest Virginiaaced Tinons Munar Galmes+2.7
2111-10WVUCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.0
2211-11COLOWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+2.1
2311-12WVUWVUKillMaddy McGathset Alexis Finnvold+3.1
2412-12WVUCOLOKillLily Dwinellset Tinons Munar Galmes+2.1
2512-13COLOWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Alexis Finnvold+2.4
2613-13WVUCOLOBlockedMaddy McGathblk Cayla Payne, Jenna Ylivainio+2.2
2713-14COLOWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+2.5
2814-14WVUCOLOBlockedNina Horningblk Cayla Payne, Jenna Ylivainio+2.3
2915-14COLOCOLOBlockedAnna Barrblk Cayla Payne, Ines Losada+3.3
3015-15COLOWVUServe errColorado+2.4
3116-15WVUCOLO×5KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.5
3217-15COLOCOLO×5Attack errAnna Barr+3.3
3318-15COLOCOLO×5Attack errNina Horning+2.8
3419-15COLOCOLO×5KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.2
3520-15COLOCOLO×5KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.5
3620-16COLOWVUAttack errSydney Jordan+0.7
3721-16WVUCOLOServe errWest Virginia+1.0
3821-17COLOWVU×3KillTrinity Sheridanset Alexis Finnvold+0.6
3921-18WVUWVU×3KillTrinity Sheridanset Cassie Bruns+1.4
4021-19WVUWVU×3KillTrinity Sheridanset Cassie Bruns+2.3
4122-19WVUCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Reagan Turk+2.4
4223-19COLOCOLOAttack errMacie Smith+2.1
4323-20COLOWVU×6KillTrinity Sheridanset Cassie Bruns+0.7
4423-21WVUWVU×6BlockedMaria Splawskablk Maddy McGath+2.0
4523-22WVUWVU×6Attack errSydney Jordan+3.8
4623-23WVUWVU×6KillMacie Smithset Reagan Turk+6.6
4723-24WVUWVU×6KillTrinity Sheridanset Cassie Bruns+9.4
4823-25WVUWVU×6KillMaddy McGathset Alexis Finnvold+10.4
Set 2
10-1COLOWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Alexis Finnvold+2.1
21-1WVUCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.0
31-2COLOWVUKillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+2.2
42-2WVUCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.1
52-3COLOWVUKillAnna Barrset Lauren Duncan+2.2
63-3WVUCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.1
74-3COLOCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Lauren Duncan+2.9
84-4COLOWVUKillAnna Barrset Lauren Duncan+2.1
95-4WVUCOLOServe errWest Virginia+2.1
105-5COLOWVUKillNina Horningset Reagan Turk+2.2
116-5WVUCOLO×3KillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+2.2
127-5COLOCOLO×3Attack errMacie Smith+2.9
138-5COLOCOLO×3KillCayla Payneset Alexis Finnvold+2.6
148-6COLOWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+1.8
158-7WVUWVUAttack errSydney Jordan+2.9
169-7WVUCOLO×4KillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.2
1710-7COLOCOLO×4KillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.8
1811-7COLOCOLO×4AceSydney Jordanaced Cassie Bruns+2.4
1912-7COLOCOLO×4KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.0
2012-8COLOWVU×3Serve errColorado+1.2
2112-9WVUWVU×3KillMacie Smithset Cassie Bruns+2.1
2212-10WVUWVU×3AceWest Virginiaaced Avery Bolles+2.7
2313-10WVUCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.1
2413-11COLOWVU×3KillTrinity Sheridanset Alexis Finnvold+2.0
2513-12WVUWVU×3BlockedInes Losadablk Maddy McGath, Anna Barr+3.4
2613-13WVUWVU×3AceWest Virginiaaced Sydney Jordan+3.9
2714-13WVUCOLO×6BlockedMacie Smithblk Jenna Ylivainio, Maria Splawska+2.9
2815-13COLOCOLO×6AceJenna Ylivainioaced Macie Smith+3.8
2916-13COLOCOLO×6AceJenna Ylivainioaced Cassie Bruns+3.4
3017-13COLOCOLO×6KillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.7
3118-13COLOCOLO×6BlockedMacie Smithblk Lily Dwinell, Jenna Ylivainio+2.0
3219-13COLOCOLO×6KillInes Losadaset Lily Dwinell+1.3
3319-14COLOWVU×5Serve errColorado+0.6
3419-15WVUWVU×5BlockedLily Dwinellblk Maddy McGath, Anna Barr+1.3
3519-16WVUWVU×5KillMaddy McGathset Jenna Ylivainio+2.1
3619-17WVUWVU×5Attack errLily Dwinell+3.1
3719-18WVUWVU×5AceWest Virginiaaced Tinons Munar Galmes+4.2
3820-18WVUCOLOServe errWest Virginia+3.6
3920-19COLOWVU×3KillAnna Barrset Lauren Duncan+3.2
4020-20WVUWVU×3BlockedMaria Splawskablk Cami Huff, Anna Barr+5.9
4120-21WVUWVU×3AceWest Virginiaaced Peyton Neal+7.1
4221-21WVUCOLOKillSydney Jordanset Jenna Ylivainio+4.8
4321-22COLOWVUKillCami Huffset Lauren Duncan+5.9
4422-22WVUCOLOAttack errNina Horning+5.5
4523-22COLOCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+9.0
4623-23COLOWVUServe errColorado+6.2
4724-23WVUCOLOAttack errTrinity Sheridan+7.9
4825-23COLOCOLOKillInes Losadaset Tinons Munar Galmes+10.2
Set 3
10-1WVUWVUAttack errSydney Jordan+3.2
20-2WVUWVUBlockedSydney Jordanblk Anna Barr, Cami Huff+3.4
31-2WVUCOLOAttack errAnna Barr+2.2
42-2COLOCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+3.2
52-3COLOWVUKillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+2.4
62-4WVUWVUAttack errCayla Payne+3.5
73-4WVUCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+2.3
84-4COLOCOLOKillCayla Payneset Lauren Duncan+3.4
94-5COLOWVU×3Serve errColorado+2.6
104-6WVUWVU×3KillTrinity Sheridanset Alexis Finnvold+3.7
114-7WVUWVU×3Attack errInes Losada+3.7
125-7WVUCOLOServe errWest Virginia+2.4
136-7COLOCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+3.6
146-8COLOWVUKillMaddy McGathset Alexis Finnvold+2.8
157-8WVUCOLOKillInes Losadaset Tinons Munar Galmes+2.6
168-8COLOCOLOAceJenna Ylivainioaced Macie Smith+3.8
178-9COLOWVU×3Attack errInes Losada+2.9
188-10WVUWVU×3KillTrinity Sheridanset Alexis Finnvold+4.2
198-11WVUWVU×3KillCami Huffset Alexis Finnvold+4.2
209-11WVUCOLO×4KillInes Losadaset Tinons Munar Galmes+2.6
2110-11COLOCOLO×4Attack errTrinity Sheridan+4.0
2211-11COLOCOLO×4BlockedNina Horningblk Maria Splawska, Lily Dwinell+4.1
2312-11COLOCOLO×4KillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+4.1
2412-12COLOWVUServe errColorado+3.0
2513-12WVUCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+3.0
2613-13COLOWVU×3KillNina Horningset Lauren Duncan+3.1
2713-14WVUWVU×3Attack errCayla Payne+4.8
2813-15WVUWVU×3KillMacie Smithset Cassie Bruns+5.0
2914-15WVUCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+3.2
3014-16COLOWVUKillAnna Barrset Lauren Duncan+3.8
3115-16WVUCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio+3.3
3215-17COLOWVU×4KillMacie Smithset Lauren Duncan+4.0
3315-18WVUWVU×4BlockedInes Losadablk Trinity Sheridan, Maddy McGath+5.3
3415-19WVUWVU×4KillMacie Smith+4.6
3515-20WVUWVU×4KillMacie Smithset Cassie Bruns+3.5
3616-20WVUCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+1.5
3716-21COLOWVU×3KillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+2.4
3816-22WVUWVU×3KillMaddy McGathset Alexis Finnvold+2.0
3916-23WVUWVU×3AceWest Virginiaaced Tinons Munar Galmes+0.9
4017-23WVUCOLOKillInes Losadaset Tinons Munar Galmes+0.2
4117-24COLOWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+0.4
4217-25WVUWVUAttack errMaria Splawska+0.1
Set 4
10-1COLOWVU×5KillAnna Barrset Reagan Turk+2.9
20-2WVUWVU×5BlockedInes Losadablk Maddy McGath, Anna Barr+4.2
30-3WVUWVU×5KillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+4.2
40-4WVUWVU×5Attack errInes Losada+4.2
50-5WVUWVU×5KillAnna Barrset Lauren Duncan+4.0
61-5WVUCOLOKillInes Losadaset Lauren Duncan+2.4
71-6COLOWVUKillMaddy McGathset Lauren Duncan+2.9
82-6WVUCOLOKillInes Losadaset Jenna Ylivainio+2.4
92-7COLOWVU×5KillMacie Smithset Alexis Finnvold+3.0
102-8WVUWVU×5BlockedMaria Splawskablk Maddy McGath+3.7
112-9WVUWVU×5AceWest Virginiaaced Tinons Munar Galmes+3.2
122-10WVUWVU×5Attack errInes Losada+2.6
132-11WVUWVU×5KillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+2.1
143-11WVUCOLOServe errWest Virginia+1.0
153-12COLOWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Alexis Finnvold+1.4
163-13WVUWVUKillNina Horningset Alexis Finnvold+1.4
174-13WVUCOLOKillMaria Splawskaset Jenna Ylivainio+0.6
184-14COLOWVU×5Serve errColorado+1.0
194-15WVUWVU×5AceWest Virginiaaced Tinons Munar Galmes+0.9
204-16WVUWVU×5AceWest Virginiaaced Peyton Neal+0.5
214-17WVUWVU×5BlockedLily Dwinellblk Cami Huff, Nina Horning+0.3
224-18WVUWVU×5BlockedSydney Jordanblk Cami Huff, Anna Barr+0.1
235-18WVUCOLOServe errWest Virginia·
246-18COLOCOLOAceAvery Bollesaced Macie Smith+0.1
256-19COLOWVU×3KillNina Horningset Lauren Duncan+0.1
266-20WVUWVU×3Attack errSydney Jordan+0.1
276-21WVUWVU×3BlockedSydney Jordanblk Cami Huff, Anna Barr·
287-21WVUCOLOAttack errCami Huff·
298-21COLOCOLOAttack errMacie Smith·
308-22COLOWVUBlockedInes Losadablk Cami Huff, Anna Barr·
319-22WVUCOLOKillCayla Payneset Jenna Ylivainio·
329-23COLOWVUServe errColorado·
3310-23WVUCOLOAttack errMacie Smith·
3410-24COLOWVUBlockedInes Losadablk Trinity Sheridan, Maddy McGath·
3511-24WVUCOLOServe errWest Virginia·
3611-25COLOWVUKillTrinity Sheridanset Alexis Finnvold·

Score shown after each rally, Colorado first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).