FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

AwayBIG-EAST

0:3

HomeBIG-TEN

Penn St. def. UConn 3–0

(25-14, 25-21, 25-18)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
UCONN	14	21	18	0
PENNST	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

PENNST above 50 · UCONN below

Biggest swing: 0.5% to UConn — set 2, UCONN 21-22 PENNST. UConn ace on Whitney Lauenstein. PENNST win probability 99% → 99%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

UCONN 2.7%97.3% PENNST

UConn wins

3-0

0.3%

3-1

0.7%

3-2

1.7%

Penn St. wins

3-0

63.5%

3-1

26.7%

3-2

7.0%

UCONN break %: 35.6% vs this opp
PENNST break %: 50.3% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
UCONN serverAce+0.5%
UConn ace on Whitney Lauenstein
Set 2 · UCONN 21-22 PENNST · UCONN 1% → 1%
02
Whitney LauensteinKill+0.5%
Kill by Whitney Lauenstein (set by Alexis Stucky)
Set 2 · UCONN 21-23 PENNST · PENNST 99% → 99%
03
Danielle WhitmireAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Danielle Whitmire
Set 2 · UCONN 14-14 PENNST · UCONN 1% → 2%
04
Grace MariaAttack error+0.4%
Attack error by Grace Maria
Set 2 · UCONN 16-18 PENNST · PENNST 98% → 99%
05
Kennedy MartinKill+0.4%
Kill by Kennedy Martin (set by Ava Falduto)
Set 2 · UCONN 21-24 PENNST · PENNST 99% → 99%
06
Olivia GrenadierKill+0.4%
Kill by Olivia Grenadier (set by Isabella Sohl)
Set 2 · UCONN 16-16 PENNST · UCONN 2% → 2%
07
Sydney BorowyKill+0.4%
Kill by Sydney Borowy (set by Isabella Sohl)
Set 2 · UCONN 15-15 PENNST · UCONN 1% → 2%
08
UCONN serverService error+0.4%
UConn service error
Set 2 · UCONN 16-17 PENNST · PENNST 98% → 98%

Official NCAA box

Box score

UConnaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
14Maja DacaOH	3	8	0	21	.381	0	2	2	13	3	0	0	10
7Courtney GraysonMB	3	6	0	11	.545	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	7
11Sydney BorowyOH	3	5	6	19	-.053	0	0	0	1	1	3	1.5	6.5
12Helena EinarsdottirOH	3	4	4	24	.000	0	1	2	4	0	0	0	5
5Olivia GrenadierMB	3	3	2	12	.083	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	4
8Audrey JensenS	3	0	1	2	-.500	13	0	0	2	0	1	0.5	0.5
3Hazuna AkishigeL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	1	2	2	3	0	0	0	2
15Grace MariaOH	3	1	3	9	-.222	1	0	1	5	0	0	0	1
4Isabella SohlS	3	0	0	0	–	12	0	1	4	0	0	0	0
1Isabella SuhyL/DS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
2Maggie CarleyS	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
Team totals		27	16	98	.112	27	6	10	32	4	8	4	53

Penn St.home

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
26Whitney LauensteinOH	3	10	2	22	.364	1	0	2	6	3	0	0	0	10
18Kennedy MartinOH	3	7	1	15	.400	0	0	1	6	0	0	3	1.5	8.5
8Gabrielle NicholsMB	3	6	2	11	.364	1	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	8
5Alexis StuckyS	3	6	0	8	.750	27	1	2	9	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
23Haley BurgdorfOH	2	6	2	11	.364	1	1	1	6	0	0	1	0.5	7.5
7Ryla JonesMB	2	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
2Ava FaldutoL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	5	1	1	9	0	0	0	0	1
11Jocelyn NathanL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	0	5	1	0	0	0	0
14Caroline JureviciusOH	2	2	1	6	.167	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2
3Danielle WhitmireS	2	0	1	2	-.500	5	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
9Lexi GinDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
42Finley KrystkowiakOH	1	3	2	8	.125	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
1Kendall NorthernMB	1	3	0	3	1.000	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3
13Emmi SellmanOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	1	0	2	1	0	0	0	1
10Ava JureviciusDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		45	11	91	.374	42	4	9	44	6	1	9	5.5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 UCONN · PENNST 6

Set 1

14-25

Longest run 2 UCONNPENNST 6

Set 2

21-25

Longest run 5 UCONNPENNST 5

Set 3

18-25

Longest run 4 UCONNPENNST 5

Bars above the line = Penn St. leads, below = UConn leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

UConn

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	70%7/10	33%4/12
2	50%6/12	36%4/11
3	32%6/19	40%4/10
4	86%6/7	0%0/6
5	38%6/16	25%2/8
6	67%6/9	25%2/8
All	51%37/73	29%16/55

Penn St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	53%9/17	0%0/7
2	60%6/10	45%5/11
3	100%6/6	57%8/14
4	100%6/6	60%9/15
5	75%6/8	40%4/10
6	75%6/8	63%10/16
All	71%39/55	49%36/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

128 rallies

Rally log

#	UCONN-PENNST	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	UCONN	PENNST	Attack err	Sydney Borowy	blk Alexis Stucky, Ryla Jones	+0.2
2	0-2	PENNST	PENNST	Ace	PENNST server	aced Sydney Borowy	+0.3
3	1-2	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Courtney Grayson	set Audrey Jensen	+0.2
4	1-3	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
5	2-3	PENNST	UCONN	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.2
6	2-4	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
7	2-5	PENNST	PENNST	Attack err	Olivia Grenadier		+0.3
8	3-5	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
9	3-6	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
10	3-7	PENNST	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
11	4-7	PENNST	UCONN	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.2
12	5-7	UCONN	UCONN	Attack err	Gabrielle Nichols		+0.3
13	5-8	UCONN	PENNST×6	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
14	5-9	PENNST	PENNST×6	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Ava Falduto	+0.2
15	5-10	PENNST	PENNST×6	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
16	5-11	PENNST	PENNST×6	Ace	PENNST server	aced Maja Daca	+0.1
17	5-12	PENNST	PENNST×6	Kill	Alexis Stucky	set Haley Burgdorf	+0.1
18	5-13	PENNST	PENNST×6	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
19	6-13	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+0.0
20	6-14	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.0
21	7-14	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Helena Einarsdottir	set Audrey Jensen	+0.0
22	7-15	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.0
23	7-16	PENNST	PENNST	Attack err	Sydney Borowy		+0.0
24	8-16	PENNST	UCONN	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.0
25	8-17	UCONN	PENNST	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.0
26	9-17	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Helena Einarsdottir	set Audrey Jensen	+0.0
27	9-18	UCONN	PENNST×3	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.0
28	9-19	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Sydney Borowy		+0.0
29	9-20	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Helena Einarsdottir		+0.0
30	10-20	PENNST	UCONN	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.0
31	10-21	UCONN	PENNST	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.0
32	11-21	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Olivia Grenadier	set Isabella Sohl	+0.0
33	11-22	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Alexis Stucky	set Jocelyn Nathan	+0.0
34	12-22	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Grace Maria	+0.0
35	13-22	UCONN	UCONN	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein	blk Courtney Grayson, Audrey Jensen	+0.0
36	13-23	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Alexis Stucky	set Gabrielle Nichols	+0.0
37	14-23	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Courtney Grayson	set Audrey Jensen	+0.0
38	14-24	UCONN	PENNST	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.0
39	14-25	PENNST	PENNST	Attack err	Sydney Borowy	blk Ryla Jones, Kennedy Martin	+0.0
Set 2
1	1-0	PENNST	UCONN	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.2
2	2-0	UCONN	UCONN	Kill	Helena Einarsdottir	set Audrey Jensen	+0.3
3	2-1	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
4	3-1	PENNST	UCONN	Attack err	Haley Burgdorf		+0.3
5	3-2	UCONN	PENNST×5	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
6	3-3	PENNST	PENNST×5	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.3
7	3-4	PENNST	PENNST×5	Attack err	Helena Einarsdottir	blk Kennedy Martin, Gabrielle Nichols	+0.2
8	3-5	PENNST	PENNST×5	Attack err	Helena Einarsdottir		+0.2
9	3-6	PENNST	PENNST×5	Attack err	Sydney Borowy		+0.2
10	4-6	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Isabella Sohl	+0.1
11	4-7	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
12	5-7	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Helena Einarsdottir	set Isabella Sohl	+0.1
13	5-8	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
14	6-8	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+0.1
15	6-9	UCONN	PENNST×4	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
16	6-10	PENNST	PENNST×4	Attack err	Grace Maria		+0.1
17	6-11	PENNST	PENNST×4	Attack err	Audrey Jensen		+0.1
18	6-12	PENNST	PENNST×4	Kill	Alexis Stucky		+0.1
19	7-12	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Audrey Jensen	+0.1
20	7-13	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
21	8-13	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Courtney Grayson	set Audrey Jensen	+0.1
22	9-13	UCONN	UCONN	Attack err	Kennedy Martin	blk Olivia Grenadier, Sydney Borowy	+0.1
23	9-14	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Ava Falduto	+0.1
24	10-14	PENNST	UCONN×5	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Audrey Jensen	+0.1
25	11-14	UCONN	UCONN×5	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Hazuna Akishige	+0.2
26	12-14	UCONN	UCONN×5	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+0.2
27	13-14	UCONN	UCONN×5	Attack err	Haley Burgdorf		+0.3
28	14-14	UCONN	UCONN×5	Attack err	Danielle Whitmire		+0.4
29	14-15	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Ryla Jones	set Danielle Whitmire	+0.3
30	15-15	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Sydney Borowy	set Isabella Sohl	+0.4
31	15-16	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Caroline Jurevicius	set Danielle Whitmire	+0.3
32	16-16	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Olivia Grenadier	set Isabella Sohl	+0.4
33	16-17	UCONN	PENNST×4	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.4
34	16-18	PENNST	PENNST×4	Attack err	Grace Maria		+0.4
35	16-19	PENNST	PENNST×4	Kill	Alexis Stucky	set Whitney Lauenstein	+0.3
36	16-20	PENNST	PENNST×4	Kill	Haley Burgdorf	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
37	17-20	PENNST	UCONN	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.1
38	17-21	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
39	18-21	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Courtney Grayson	set Audrey Jensen	+0.1
40	18-22	UCONN	PENNST	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.2
41	19-22	PENNST	UCONN×3	Kill	Courtney Grayson	set Audrey Jensen	+0.1
42	20-22	UCONN	UCONN×3	Ace	UCONN server	aced Whitney Lauenstein	+0.3
43	21-22	UCONN	UCONN×3	Ace	UCONN server	aced Whitney Lauenstein	+0.5
44	21-23	UCONN	PENNST×3	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.5
45	21-24	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Ava Falduto	+0.4
46	21-25	PENNST	PENNST×3	Attack err	Helena Einarsdottir	blk Ryla Jones, Haley Burgdorf	+0.1
Set 3
1	1-0	UCONN	UCONN	Attack err	Whitney Lauenstein		+0.1
2	1-1	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Audrey Jensen	+0.1
3	2-1	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Audrey Jensen	+0.1
4	2-2	UCONN	PENNST	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.1
5	3-2	PENNST	UCONN	Attack err	Finley Krystkowiak		+0.1
6	3-3	UCONN	PENNST×5	Attack err	Grace Maria		+0.1
7	3-4	PENNST	PENNST×5	Kill	Kendall Northern	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
8	3-5	PENNST	PENNST×5	Ace	PENNST server	aced Maja Daca	+0.1
9	3-6	PENNST	PENNST×5	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Ava Falduto	+0.1
10	3-7	PENNST	PENNST×5	Kill	Alexis Stucky	set Jocelyn Nathan	+0.1
11	4-7	PENNST	UCONN	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.0
12	4-8	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Kendall Northern	set Alexis Stucky	+0.0
13	5-8	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Isabella Sohl	+0.0
14	6-8	UCONN	UCONN	Ace	UCONN server	aced Jocelyn Nathan	+0.1
15	6-9	UCONN	PENNST	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.1
16	7-9	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Grace Maria	set Isabella Sohl	+0.1
17	8-9	UCONN	UCONN	Ace	UCONN server	aced Emmi Sellman	+0.1
18	8-10	UCONN	PENNST	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.1
19	9-10	PENNST	UCONN×4	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.1
20	10-10	UCONN	UCONN×4	Attack err	Gabrielle Nichols	blk Courtney Grayson, Sydney Borowy	+0.2
21	11-10	UCONN	UCONN×4	Ace	UCONN server	aced Whitney Lauenstein	+0.2
22	12-10	UCONN	UCONN×4	Ace	UCONN server	aced Team	+0.2
23	12-11	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
24	13-11	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Courtney Grayson	set Audrey Jensen	+0.2
25	13-12	UCONN	PENNST×5	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
26	13-13	PENNST	PENNST×5	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols	set Alexis Stucky	+0.2
27	13-14	PENNST	PENNST×5	Attack err	Olivia Grenadier	blk Gabrielle Nichols	+0.2
28	13-15	PENNST	PENNST×5	Kill	Gabrielle Nichols		+0.2
29	13-16	PENNST	PENNST×5	Attack err	Sydney Borowy	blk Kennedy Martin, Gabrielle Nichols	+0.1
30	14-16	PENNST	UCONN	Serve err	PENNST server		+0.1
31	14-17	UCONN	PENNST×3	Kill	Finley Krystkowiak	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
32	14-18	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Finley Krystkowiak	set Ava Falduto	+0.1
33	14-19	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Finley Krystkowiak	set Alexis Stucky	+0.1
34	15-19	PENNST	UCONN	Attack err	Finley Krystkowiak	blk Olivia Grenadier, Sydney Borowy	+0.0
35	15-20	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Kennedy Martin	set Alexis Stucky	+0.0
36	16-20	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Olivia Grenadier	set Isabella Sohl	+0.0
37	16-21	UCONN	PENNST×3	Kill	Kendall Northern	set Danielle Whitmire	+0.0
38	16-22	PENNST	PENNST×3	Ace	PENNST server	aced Maja Daca	+0.0
39	16-23	PENNST	PENNST×3	Kill	Whitney Lauenstein	set Danielle Whitmire	+0.0
40	17-23	PENNST	UCONN	Attack err	Caroline Jurevicius		+0.0
41	17-24	UCONN	PENNST	Serve err	UCONN server		+0.0
42	18-24	PENNST	UCONN	Kill	Maja Daca	set Audrey Jensen	+0.0
43	18-25	UCONN	PENNST	Kill	Caroline Jurevicius	set Danielle Whitmire	+0.0

Score shown after each rally, UConn first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.