Mississippi State def. South Alabama 3-0 Volleyball (Aug 29)

FinalSat, Aug 29, 2026

3:0

Mississippi St. won at South Alabama 3-0 (25-19, 25-15, 25-20) on Sat, Aug 29, 2026. Mississippi St.'s Lindsey Mangelson led with 10 kills, and McKenna Yates added 13 digs.

Data through Nov 3, 4:00 PM CT · final Aug 29

Set	1	2	3	Sets
MISSST	25	25	25	3
S ALA	19	15	20	0

Win probability

South Alabama above 50 · Mississippi St. below

Biggest swing: 1.2% to South Alabama — set 1, MISSST 8-8 S ALA. South Alabama ace. S ALA win probability 8% → 10%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

MISSST 90.8%9.2% S ALA

Mississippi St. wins

3-0

45.8%

3-1

31.5%

3-2

13.5%

South Alabama wins

3-0

1.2%

3-1

2.8%

3-2

5.2%

MISSST break %: 48.0% vs this opp
S ALA break %: 37.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

01
South AlabamaAce+1.2%
South Alabama ace
Set 1 · MISSST 8-8 S ALA · S ALA 8% → 10%
02
Dalayla BlackwellAttack error+1.1%
Attack error by Dalayla Blackwell
Set 1 · MISSST 11-9 S ALA · MISSST 91% → 92%
03
Anabelle CernyKill+1.0%
Kill by Anabelle Cerny (set by Addison Hurst)
Set 1 · MISSST 9-9 S ALA · S ALA 9% → 10%
04
Mississippi St.Ace+1.0%
Mississippi St. ace on Sarah Gooch
Set 1 · MISSST 3-2 S ALA · MISSST 91% → 92%
05
Alexa StrandbergKill+0.9%
Kill by Alexa Strandberg (set by Anabelle Cerny)
Set 1 · MISSST 6-5 S ALA · S ALA 7% → 8%
06
Eva DittmarAttack error+0.9%
Attack error by Eva Dittmar
Set 1 · MISSST 12-9 S ALA · MISSST 92% → 93%
07
Olivia StantKill+0.9%
Kill by Olivia Stant (set by Cayley Hanson)
Set 1 · MISSST 10-9 S ALA · MISSST 90% → 91%
08
Lindsey MangelsonKill+0.9%
Kill by Lindsey Mangelson (set by Noella Obi)
Set 1 · MISSST 5-3 S ALA · MISSST 92% → 92%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Mississippi St.away

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
3Lindsey MangelsonOH	3	10	4	30	.200	0	3	0	7	2	2	1	14
20Noella ObiOPP	3	7	2	13	.385	1	0	0	4	0	6	3	10
1Bernardita AguilarOH	3	7	1	21	.286	0	0	0	0	0	4	2	9
24Cayley HansonS	3	2	1	9	.111	28	4	1	9	0	2	1	7
28Olivia StantOH	3	6	4	25	.080	0	0	0	1	0	1	0.5	6.5
22Gha'Naye Whitfield-MossMB	3	4	1	7	.429	0	0	0	1	0	3	1.5	5.5
8Mary NealDS	3	0	0	0	–	0	2	1	7	0	0	0	2
4McKenna YatesDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	1	1	13	1	0	0	1
17Kyla ScharfmanDS	3	0	0	0	–	1	0	1	2	0	0	0	0
Team totals		36	13	105	.219	31	10	4	44	4	18	9	75

South Alabamahome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
7Dalayla BlackwellMB	3	8	2	17	.353	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1.5	9.5
0Sarah GoochOH	3	6	3	21	.143	0	3	2	3	2	0	0	0	9
8Cambria GaierOH	3	8	6	23	.087	0	0	2	6	2	0	0	0	8
22Alexa StrandbergMB	3	5	3	16	.125	0	0	1	1	0	1	0	1	6
4Eva DittmarOH	3	3	3	13	.000	0	0	0	2	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
2Anabelle CernyS	3	1	1	5	.000	25	1	0	12	0	0	0	0	2
3Addison HurstL/DS	3	0	0	1	.000	2	0	1	10	1	0	0	0	0
6Elyse HeffnerMB	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
1Marissa TaixL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	0	1	4	1	0	0	0	0
14Charlotte PearceMB	1	1	0	2	.500	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
17Kathryn O'TooleDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	0	0
23Megan SmithOH	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		32	18	98	.143	27	4	8	41	10	2	2	3	54

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 MISSST · S ALA 6

Set 1

25-19

Longest run 6 MISSSTS ALA 4

Set 2

25-15

Longest run 5 MISSSTS ALA 3

Set 3

25-20

Longest run 5 MISSSTS ALA 6

Bars above the line = South Alabama leads, below = Mississippi St. leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Mississippi St.

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	63%5/8	20%1/5
2	67%4/6	73%11/15
3	67%4/6	60%6/10
4	57%4/7	60%6/10
5	100%3/3	50%3/6
6	60%3/5	0%0/3
All	66%23/35	55%27/49

South Alabama

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	50%5/10	33%2/6
2	29%4/14	50%5/10
3	44%4/9	33%2/6
4	38%3/8	33%2/6
5	75%3/4	25%1/4
6	75%3/4	0%0/3
All	45%22/49	34%12/35

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

129 rallies

#	MISSST-S ALA	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	0-1	MISSST	S ALA	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.8
2	1-1	S ALA	MISSST	Serve err	South Alabama		+0.8
3	1-2	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Lindsey Mangelson	+0.9
4	2-2	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+0.8
5	3-2	MISSST	MISSST	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Sarah Gooch	+1.0
6	3-3	MISSST	S ALA	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.8
7	4-3	S ALA	MISSST×3	Bad set	Addison Hurst		+0.7
8	5-3	MISSST	MISSST×3	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Noella Obi	+0.9
9	6-3	MISSST	MISSST×3	Blocked	Cambria Gaier	blk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Bernardita Aguilar	+0.8
10	6-4	MISSST	S ALA	Blocked	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	blk Alexa Strandberg	+0.6
11	6-5	S ALA	S ALA	Kill	Alexa Strandberg	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.9
12	7-5	S ALA	MISSST	Serve err	South Alabama		+0.7
13	7-6	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Sarah Gooch	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.8
14	8-6	S ALA	MISSST	Serve err	South Alabama		+0.7
15	8-7	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.8
16	8-8	S ALA	S ALA	Ace	South Alabama		+1.2
17	9-8	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.9
18	9-9	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Anabelle Cerny	set Addison Hurst	+1.0
19	10-9	S ALA	MISSST×6	Kill	Olivia Stant	set Cayley Hanson	+0.9
20	11-9	MISSST	MISSST×6	Attack err	Dalayla Blackwell		+1.1
21	12-9	MISSST	MISSST×6	Attack err	Eva Dittmar		+0.9
22	13-9	MISSST	MISSST×6	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Sarah Gooch	+0.8
23	14-9	MISSST	MISSST×6	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Megan Smith	+0.6
24	15-9	MISSST	MISSST×6	Ace	Mississippi St.		+0.4
25	15-10	MISSST	S ALA	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.2
26	16-10	S ALA	MISSST	Attack err	Cambria Gaier		+0.3
27	17-10	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set McKenna Yates	+0.3
28	17-11	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Eva Dittmar	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.1
29	18-11	S ALA	MISSST	Serve err	South Alabama		+0.2
30	19-11	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.1
31	19-12	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Alexa Strandberg	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.1
32	20-12	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Lindsey Mangelson	+0.1
33	21-12	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.1
34	21-13	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Sarah Gooch	set Anabelle Cerny	·
35	22-13	S ALA	MISSST	Serve err	South Alabama		·
36	22-14	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Sarah Gooch	set Anabelle Cerny	·
37	22-15	S ALA	S ALA	Kill	Eva Dittmar	set Addison Hurst	·
38	23-15	S ALA	MISSST	Bad set	Anabelle Cerny		·
39	23-16	MISSST	S ALA×4	Attack err	Cayley Hanson		·
40	23-17	S ALA	S ALA×4	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Anabelle Cerny	·
41	23-18	S ALA	S ALA×4	Attack err	Olivia Stant		+0.1
42	23-19	S ALA	S ALA×4	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+0.2
43	24-19	S ALA	MISSST	Attack err	Sarah Gooch		+0.3
44	25-19	MISSST	MISSST	Blocked	Cambria Gaier	blk Bernardita Aguilar, Noella Obi	+0.1
Set 2
1	1-0	S ALA	MISSST×5	Blocked	Sarah Gooch	blk Cayley Hanson, Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	+0.5
2	2-0	MISSST	MISSST×5	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Addison Hurst	+0.6
3	3-0	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.5
4	4-0	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Olivia Stant	set Cayley Hanson	+0.4
5	5-0	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
6	5-1	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Sarah Gooch	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.2
7	5-2	S ALA	S ALA	Kill	Cambria Gaier		+0.4
8	6-2	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
9	6-3	MISSST	S ALA×3	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.3
10	6-4	S ALA	S ALA×3	Kill	Alexa Strandberg	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.5
11	6-5	S ALA	S ALA×3	Attack err	Bernardita Aguilar		+0.6
12	7-5	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+0.5
13	7-6	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Eva Dittmar	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.5
14	7-7	S ALA	S ALA	Kill	Alexa Strandberg	set Cambria Gaier	+0.8
15	8-7	S ALA	MISSST	Bad set	Anabelle Cerny		+0.6
16	9-7	MISSST	MISSST	Blocked	Alexa Strandberg	blk Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss, Lindsey Mangelson	+0.7
17	9-8	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.6
18	10-8	S ALA	MISSST	Serve err	South Alabama		+0.5
19	10-9	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Sarah Gooch	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.6
20	11-9	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Cayley Hanson		+0.6
21	12-9	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.6
22	12-10	MISSST	S ALA	Bad set	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss		+0.5
23	13-10	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.5
24	14-10	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Eva Dittmar		+0.5
25	14-11	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.4
26	14-12	S ALA	S ALA	Ace	South Alabama	aced Lindsey Mangelson	+0.7
27	15-12	S ALA	MISSST×5	Kill	Olivia Stant	set Cayley Hanson	+0.5
28	16-12	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+0.6
29	17-12	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Olivia Stant	set Cayley Hanson	+0.4
30	18-12	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Noella Obi		+0.3
31	19-12	MISSST	MISSST×5	Ace	Mississippi St.		+0.2
32	19-13	MISSST	S ALA	Attack err	Olivia Stant		+0.1
33	20-13	S ALA	MISSST×4	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.1
34	21-13	MISSST	MISSST×4	Blocked	Eva Dittmar	blk Noella Obi, Lindsey Mangelson	+0.1
35	22-13	MISSST	MISSST×4	Blocked	Cambria Gaier	blk Bernardita Aguilar, Noella Obi	·
36	23-13	MISSST	MISSST×4	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Kathryn O'Toole	·
37	23-14	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	·
38	23-15	S ALA	S ALA	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		·
39	24-15	S ALA	MISSST	Blocked	Cambria Gaier	blk Bernardita Aguilar, Noella Obi	·
40	25-15	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Alexa Strandberg		·
Set 3
1	1-0	MISSST	MISSST	Attack err	Sarah Gooch		+0.3
2	1-1	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.2
3	1-2	S ALA	S ALA	Ace	South Alabama	aced McKenna Yates	+0.4
4	2-2	S ALA	MISSST	Serve err	South Alabama		+0.2
5	2-3	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Charlotte Pearce	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.3
6	3-3	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Olivia Stant	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
7	4-3	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Noella Obi	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
8	4-4	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.3
9	4-5	S ALA	S ALA	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+0.4
10	5-5	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
11	5-6	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.3
12	6-6	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
13	6-7	MISSST	S ALA	Serve err	Mississippi St.		+0.3
14	7-7	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
15	7-8	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.3
16	8-8	S ALA	MISSST×3	Kill	Gha'Naye Whitfield-Moss	set Cayley Hanson	+0.3
17	9-8	MISSST	MISSST×3	Blocked	Dalayla Blackwell	blk Noella Obi, Cayley Hanson	+0.4
18	10-8	MISSST	MISSST×3	Blocked	Anabelle Cerny	blk Olivia Stant, Noella Obi	+0.3
19	10-9	MISSST	S ALA×6	Blocked	Noella Obi	blk Dalayla Blackwell	+0.3
20	10-10	S ALA	S ALA×6	Blocked	Olivia Stant	blk Eva Dittmar, Dalayla Blackwell	+0.4
21	10-11	S ALA	S ALA×6	Attack err	Lindsey Mangelson		+0.5
22	10-12	S ALA	S ALA×6	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.6
23	10-13	S ALA	S ALA×6	Ace	South Alabama	aced Lindsey Mangelson	+0.6
24	10-14	S ALA	S ALA×6	Attack err	Olivia Stant		+0.6
25	11-14	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.4
26	11-15	MISSST	S ALA	Attack err	Noella Obi		+0.5
27	12-15	S ALA	MISSST	Serve err	South Alabama		+0.4
28	13-15	MISSST	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.5
29	13-16	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.5
30	14-16	S ALA	MISSST×5	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.4
31	15-16	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.6
32	16-16	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Bernardita Aguilar	set Cayley Hanson	+0.6
33	17-16	MISSST	MISSST×5	Attack err	Alexa Strandberg		+0.6
34	18-16	MISSST	MISSST×5	Attack err	Cambria Gaier		+0.5
35	18-17	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Alexa Strandberg	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.4
36	19-17	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.4
37	19-18	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Sarah Gooch	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.4
38	20-18	S ALA	MISSST×5	Kill	Lindsey Mangelson	set Cayley Hanson	+0.4
39	21-18	MISSST	MISSST×5	Kill	Cayley Hanson	set Kyla Scharfman	+0.4
40	22-18	MISSST	MISSST×5	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Marissa Taix	+0.3
41	23-18		MISSST	NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy? The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.			+0.1
42	24-18	MISSST	MISSST×5	Ace	Mississippi St.	aced Cambria Gaier	+0.1
43	24-19	MISSST	S ALA	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell		·
44	24-20	S ALA	S ALA	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Anabelle Cerny	·
45	25-20	S ALA	MISSST	Kill	Olivia Stant	set Sarah Gooch	·

Score shown after each rally, Mississippi St. first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).

Mississippi St. def. South Alabama 3–0