Final · 4 setsFri, Oct 9, 2026Watch on FloSports

Elon def. Northeastern 3–1

RallyIQ pre-match: Northeastern 69.8% · upsetLocked before first serve (Oct 9, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Elon won at Northeastern 3-1 (25-23, 25-23, 14-25, 25-13) on Fri, Oct 9, 2026. Allie Schultz and Cameron Lanier led Elon with 12 kills each; Northeastern's Emma Rowell had a match-high 13.

Data through · final Oct 9

Set1234Sets
ELON252514253
NOEAST232325131

Match story · written from the play-by-play

RallyIQ gave Elon 30%. Elon won anyway.

2 stretches decided it. Percentages are Elon's RallyIQ win probability before and after each. Northeastern went in at 70% by RallyIQ.

  1. Turning point 1: Set 1 · Elon 22–22 Northeastern

    Elon closed it, 3 of the final 4 rallies, to take the set 25–23 and lead 1–0. The match swung to Elon.

    Elon 31% → 51%

  2. Turning point 2: Set 4 · Elon 4–4 Northeastern

    Elon scored 4 straight to go from 4–4 to an 8–4 lead.

    Elon 65% → 82%

Northeastern above 50Elon belowMax swing 10.3%

ElonNortheastern

Sideout %
Elon 50.6·Northeastern 47.7
Break %
Elon 52.3·Northeastern 49.4
Hitting
Elon .250·Northeastern .115
Longest run
Elon 6·Northeastern 7

Cameron Lanier
2 kills inside the turning points, 12 K and .214 for the match (14.5 points).

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Northeastern above 50 · Elon below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100+10.3% ELONrally 173 · set 4

Biggest swing: 10.3% to Elon — set 1, ELON 25-23 NOEAST. Cayenne Ceman stuffed by Caroline Berlekamp & Cameron Lanier. NOEAST win probability 60% → 49%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

ELON 39.1%60.9% NOEAST

Elon wins

3-0
8.5%
3-1
14.2%
3-2
16.4%

Northeastern wins

3-0
17.7%
3-1
23.3%
3-2
19.9%
ELON break %
42.4% vs this opp
NOEAST break %
44.5% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Cayenne Ceman stuffed by Caroline Berlekamp & Cameron Lanier

    Set 1 · ELON 25-23 NOEAST · ELON 40% → 51%

  2. 02
    NortheasternService error+9.8%

    Northeastern service error

    Set 2 · ELON 25-23 NOEAST · ELON 68% → 78%

  3. 03
    ElonAce+9.4%

    Elon ace on Aven Crosby

    Set 1 · ELON 24-23 NOEAST · ELON 31% → 40%

  4. 04
    Cameron LanierAttack error+5.4%

    Attack error by Cameron Lanier

    Set 2 · ELON 24-23 NOEAST · NOEAST 27% → 32%

  5. 05
    Elle LucasAttack error+5.1%

    Attack error by Elle Lucas

    Set 1 · ELON 21-21 NOEAST · ELON 26% → 31%

  6. 06
    Cameron LanierAttack error+5.0%

    Attack error by Cameron Lanier

    Set 1 · ELON 22-23 NOEAST · NOEAST 69% → 74%

  7. 07
    Cayenne CemanAttack error+4.9%

    Attack error by Cayenne Ceman

    Set 1 · ELON 23-23 NOEAST · ELON 26% → 31%

  8. 08
    Anna SewellKill+4.6%

    Kill by Anna Sewell (set by April Rice)

    Set 2 · ELON 24-21 NOEAST · ELON 71% → 75%

Box score

Official NCAA box

Elonaway
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
412321.42911060073.516.5
412628.21411373031.514.5
47414.21413100073.513.5
47218.2780000006310
4114.000200000031.52.5
41011.000111730002
410627.1480002100010
4000–2311050003
4103.3332102400001
4000–001210000
1000–000210000
Team totals5122116.250479940140261389
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413225.44012000010.515.5
4216.167211212447
44217.118020500006
4124-.2502030700215
23413-.077010110004
2026-.33300000111.51.5
411930.0670316102115
4000–311620001
2418.37520000010.54.5
2000–210540001
2024-.50000010010.50.5
2000–700300000
Team totals3825113.11537143369312984

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Elon vs Northeastern

Season series · Elon leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 6 ELON · NOEAST 7

Set 1

25-23

Longest run 6 ELONNOEAST 5

Set 2

25-23

Longest run 5 ELONNOEAST 3

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 ELONNOEAST 7

Set 4

25-13

Longest run 6 ELONNOEAST 2

Bars above the line = Northeastern leads, below = Elon leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Elon

SlotSideout %Break %
1
53%9/17
36%4/11
2
67%8/12
53%9/17
3
40%8/20
33%4/12
4
40%6/15
67%14/21
5
67%6/9
60%9/15
6
50%6/12
50%6/12
All
51%43/85
52%46/88

Northeastern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
60%9/15
46%6/13
2
57%8/14
40%6/15
3
47%8/17
64%14/22
4
33%6/18
53%8/15
5
50%6/12
45%5/11
6
42%5/12
33%3/9
All
48%42/88
49%42/85

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

173 rallies

#ELON-NOEASTSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NOEASTELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.7
22-0ELONELONKillCameron Lanierset Arina Sosinovica+2.4
32-1ELONNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Arina Sosinovica+1.6
43-1NOEASTELONKillAllie Schultzset April Rice+1.8
53-2ELONNOEAST×4KillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+1.7
63-3NOEASTNOEAST×4KillValentina Meirellesset Sofia King+2.3
73-4NOEASTNOEAST×4BlockedAllie Schultzblk Elle Lucas, Kaylin Daniels+2.3
83-5NOEASTNOEAST×4Attack errAllie Schultz+2.1
94-5NOEASTELONKillAllie Schultzset Lindsey Murphy+1.6
104-6ELONNOEAST×5KillAbbie Callawayset Sofia King+1.6
114-7NOEASTNOEAST×5KillCayenne Cemanset Sofia King+2.0
124-8NOEASTNOEAST×5Bad setKayla Palmer+1.8
134-9NOEASTNOEAST×5AceNortheasternaced Anna Sewell+1.5
144-10NOEASTNOEAST×5BlockedCatherine Ruckerblk Kaylin Daniels+1.2
155-10NOEASTELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+0.7
165-11ELONNOEAST×4KillElle Lucasset Sofia King+0.9
175-12NOEASTNOEAST×4AceNortheasternaced Casey Brower+0.9
185-13NOEASTNOEAST×4Attack errAnna Sewell+0.7
195-14NOEASTNOEAST×4KillElle Lucasset Iris Canko+0.4
206-14NOEASTELONAttack errBeatrice Gennari+0.2
216-15ELONNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Sofia King+0.3
226-16NOEASTNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Iris Canko+0.2
237-16NOEASTELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+0.1
247-17ELONNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Arina Sosinovica+0.2
258-17NOEASTELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+0.1
269-17ELONELONAceElonaced Valentina Meirelles+0.2
279-18ELONNOEASTBlockedApril Riceblk Beatrice Gennari+0.2
289-19NOEASTNOEASTAceNortheasternaced Casey Brower+0.2
2910-19NOEASTELONKillCatherine Ruckerset April Rice+0.1
3010-20ELONNOEASTServe errElon+0.1
3111-20NOEASTELON×6KillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer·
3212-20ELONELON×6Attack errValentina Meirelles+0.1
3313-20ELONELON×6KillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+0.2
3414-20ELONELON×6Attack errKaylin Daniels+0.3
3515-20ELONELON×6BlockedValentina Meirellesblk Allie Schultz, Catherine Rucker+0.6
3616-20ELONELON×6Bad setIris Canko+1.0
3716-21ELONNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Elle Lucas+1.1
3817-21NOEASTELON×5KillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+0.6
3918-21ELONELON×5KillCaroline Berlekampset Kayla Palmer+1.5
4019-21ELONELON×5KillAnna Sewellset Catherine Rucker+2.4
4120-21ELONELON×5BlockedCayenne Cemanblk Allie Schultz, Caroline Berlekamp+3.6
4221-21ELONELON×5Attack errElle Lucas+5.1
4321-22ELONNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Sofia King+4.2
4422-22NOEASTELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+4.2
4522-23ELONNOEASTAttack errCameron Lanier+5.0
4623-23NOEASTELON×3Attack errCayenne Ceman+4.9
4724-23ELONELON×3AceElonaced Aven Crosby+9.4
4825-23ELONELON×3BlockedCayenne Cemanblk Caroline Berlekamp, Cameron Lanier+10.3
Set 2
10-1ELONNOEASTServe errElon+1.9
20-2NOEASTNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Beatrice Gennari+2.6
31-2NOEASTELONKillAllie Schultzset April Rice+1.9
41-3ELONNOEASTKillAbbie Callawayset Arina Sosinovica+1.9
52-3NOEASTELONKillCatherine Ruckerset April Rice+1.9
62-4ELONNOEASTKillAbbie Callawayset Arina Sosinovica+1.9
73-4NOEASTELON×5KillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+2.0
84-4ELONELON×5KillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+2.9
95-4ELONELON×5BlockedCayenne Cemanblk Catherine Rucker, Allie Schultz+3.2
106-4ELONELON×5Attack errBryce Leatherwood+3.3
117-4ELONELON×5AceElonaced Iris Canko+3.3
127-5ELONNOEASTServe errElon+2.2
138-5NOEASTELON×5KillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+2.5
149-5ELONELON×5AceElonaced Iris Canko+3.3
1510-5ELONELON×5KillAnna Sewellset Cameron Lanier+3.1
1611-5ELONELON×5BlockedCayenne Cemanblk Allie Schultz, Caroline Berlekamp+2.7
1712-5ELONELON×5AceElonaced Beatrice Gennari+2.3
1812-6ELONNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Arina Sosinovica+1.2
1913-6NOEASTELONKillCaroline Berlekampset Kayla Palmer+1.6
2013-7ELONNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Arina Sosinovica+1.2
2114-7NOEASTELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+1.6
2215-7ELONELONBlockedAbbie Callawayblk April Rice, Caroline Berlekamp+1.6
2315-8ELONNOEAST×3KillAbbie Callawayset Emma Rowell+0.8
2415-9NOEASTNOEAST×3Attack errCameron Lanier+1.4
2515-10NOEASTNOEAST×3KillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+1.9
2616-10NOEASTELON×3KillCameron Lanierset April Rice+2.0
2717-10ELONELON×3AceElonaced Iris Canko+2.0
2818-10ELONELON×3AceElonaced Iris Canko+1.3
2918-11ELONNOEAST×3KillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+0.5
3018-12NOEASTNOEAST×3AceNortheasternaced Lindsey Murphy+1.1
3118-13NOEASTNOEAST×3AceNortheasternaced Cameron Lanier+1.6
3219-13NOEASTELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.8
3319-14ELONNOEASTAttack errCatherine Rucker+1.1
3420-14NOEASTELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+1.7
3521-14ELONELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+1.4
3621-15ELONNOEAST×3Serve errElon+0.5
3721-16NOEASTNOEAST×3KillBeatrice Gennariset Arina Sosinovica+1.1
3821-17NOEASTNOEAST×3BlockedAnna Sewellblk Beatrice Gennari, Arina Sosinovica+1.7
3922-17NOEASTELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+2.1
4022-18ELONNOEASTServe errElon+1.0
4123-18NOEASTELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+1.9
4223-19ELONNOEAST×3Serve errElon+0.7
4323-20NOEASTNOEAST×3AceNortheasternaced Shannon O'Laughlin+1.8
4423-21NOEASTNOEAST×3KillEmma Rowellset Beatrice Gennari+3.4
4524-21NOEASTELONKillAnna Sewellset April Rice+4.6
4624-22ELONNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+1.7
4724-23NOEASTNOEASTAttack errCameron Lanier+5.4
4825-23NOEASTELONServe errNortheastern+9.8
Set 3
10-1NOEASTNOEASTAceNortheasternaced Casey Brower+2.3
20-2NOEASTNOEASTAceNortheasternaced Casey Brower+2.2
31-2NOEASTELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.6
42-2ELONELONBlockedCayenne Cemanblk April Rice, Catherine Rucker+2.4
52-3ELONNOEASTKillArina Sosinovicaset Aven Crosby+1.7
63-3NOEASTELONServe errNortheastern+1.8
73-4ELONNOEAST×3KillCayenne Cemanset Arina Sosinovica+1.8
83-5NOEASTNOEAST×3BlockedCameron Lanierblk Beatrice Gennari, Cayenne Ceman+2.3
93-6NOEASTNOEAST×3Attack errCameron Lanier+2.1
104-6NOEASTELONKillKayla Palmerset Casey Brower+1.5
114-7ELONNOEASTServe errElon+1.6
124-8NOEASTNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+1.9
135-8NOEASTELONServe errNortheastern+1.3
145-9ELONNOEASTAttack errCaroline Berlekamp+1.4
156-9NOEASTELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+1.3
167-9ELONELONBlockedAbbie Callawayblk April Rice, Caroline Berlekamp+2.1
177-10ELONNOEAST×3KillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+1.7
187-11NOEASTNOEAST×3Attack errAnna Sewell+2.0
197-12NOEASTNOEAST×3BlockedAnna Sewellblk Arina Sosinovica, Bryce Leatherwood+1.7
208-12NOEASTELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+1.0
218-13ELONNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Arina Sosinovica+1.2
228-14NOEASTNOEASTAttack errCaroline Berlekamp+1.3
239-14NOEASTELONKillCameron Lanierset Casey Brower+0.7
2410-14ELONELONAttack errBryce Leatherwood+1.4
2510-15ELONNOEASTServe errElon+1.2
2611-15NOEASTELONKillCameron Lanierset April Rice+1.0
2712-15ELONELONAttack errArina Sosinovica+1.9
2812-16ELONNOEAST×7KillCayenne Cemanset Arina Sosinovica+1.6
2912-17NOEASTNOEAST×7KillEmma Rowellset Casey Brower+1.7
3012-18NOEASTNOEAST×7AceNortheasternaced Cameron Lanier+1.2
3112-19NOEASTNOEAST×7AceNortheasternaced Casey Brower+0.8
3212-20NOEASTNOEAST×7BlockedAllie Schultzblk Emma Rowell, Beatrice Gennari+0.4
3312-21NOEASTNOEAST×7BlockedCatherine Ruckerblk Beatrice Gennari+0.2
3412-22NOEASTNOEAST×7AceNortheasternaced Lindsey Murphy+0.1
3513-22NOEASTELONKillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer·
3614-22ELONELONAttack errEmma Rowell·
3714-23ELONNOEAST×3KillCayenne Cemanset Arina Sosinovica+0.1
3814-24NOEASTNOEAST×3AceNortheasternaced Cameron Lanier·
3914-25NOEASTNOEAST×3AceNortheasternaced Dani Wallace·
Set 4
10-1ELONNOEASTAttack errCatherine Rucker+2.6
21-1NOEASTELONKillAnna Sewellset Kayla Palmer+2.8
32-1ELONELONAttack errCayenne Ceman+4.0
42-2ELONNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+2.8
53-2NOEASTELONKillCaroline Berlekampset Kayla Palmer+3.0
64-2ELONELONAceElonaced Aven Crosby+4.3
74-3ELONNOEASTAttack errAnna Sewell+2.9
84-4NOEASTNOEASTAceNortheasternaced Lindsey Murphy+4.1
95-4NOEASTELON×4KillLindsey Murphyset Arina Sosinovica+3.2
106-4ELONELON×4BlockedEmma Rowellblk Cameron Lanier, Caroline Berlekamp+4.5
117-4ELONELON×4KillCameron Lanierset April Rice+4.5
128-4ELONELON×4KillCameron Lanierset April Rice+4.4
138-5ELONNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Aven Crosby+2.8
149-5NOEASTELONKillCaroline Berlekampset April Rice+3.3
1510-5ELONELONKillApril Riceset Allie Schultz+4.2
1610-6ELONNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+2.5
1711-6NOEASTELON×6KillCameron Lanierset April Rice+3.1
1812-6ELONELON×6BlockedValentina Meirellesblk Allie Schultz, Catherine Rucker+3.7
1913-6ELONELON×6KillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+3.0
2014-6ELONELON×6BlockedArina Sosinovicablk Catherine Rucker, Cameron Lanier+2.3
2115-6ELONELON×6KillAllie Schultz+1.7
2216-6ELONELON×6BlockedValentina Meirellesblk Catherine Rucker, Allie Schultz+1.1
2316-7ELONNOEASTServe errElon+0.5
2416-8NOEASTNOEASTBlockedCameron Lanierblk Beatrice Gennari, Cayenne Ceman+0.9
2517-8NOEASTELONKillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+1.0
2618-8ELONELONBlockedCayenne Cemanblk Allie Schultz, Catherine Rucker+0.9
2718-9ELONNOEASTKillBeatrice Gennariset Elle Lucas+0.3
2818-10NOEASTNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Sofia King+0.7
2919-10NOEASTELON×3KillCatherine Ruckerset Kayla Palmer+0.8
3020-10ELONELON×3AceElonaced Cayenne Ceman+0.6
3121-10ELONELON×3Attack errCayenne Ceman+0.3
3221-11ELONNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Aven Crosby+0.1
3321-12NOEASTNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+0.2
3422-12NOEASTELON×3KillAllie Schultzset Kayla Palmer+0.2
3523-12ELONELON×3KillAnna Sewellset April Rice+0.1
3624-12ELONELON×3KillCameron Lanierset April Rice·
3724-13ELONNOEASTAttack errAnna Sewell·
3825-13NOEASTELONAttack errKaylin Daniels·

Score shown after each rally, Elon first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).