FinalFri, Oct 16, 2026Watch on FloSports, MSGSN

Hofstra def. Northeastern 3–0

RallyIQ pre-match: Hofstra 87.1% · favorite wonLocked before first serve (Oct 16, 4:56 PM CT). The Pre-match panel below is a season fit that includes this match.

Hofstra beat visiting Northeastern 3-0 (25-12, 25-16, 25-14) on Fri, Oct 16, 2026. Hofstra's Julia Amorim led with 9 kills, and Ellie Pamatat added 12 digs.

Data through · final Oct 16

Set123Sets
NOEAST1216140
HOFSTR2525253

Match story · written from the play-by-play

Hofstra held Northeastern under 20 in every set.

Win probability never moved more than 1.4 points on one rally; Northeastern topped out at 14% in Set 1. Pre-match, RallyIQ had Hofstra at 87%.

NortheasternHofstra
  • Break %+32.5 pts
    25.057.5

    42 of 73 on serve vs 11 of 44, so Northeastern's sideout was 42.5%.

  • Hitting+.289
    .010.299

    40 kills, 11 errors vs 26 kills, 25 errors.

  • Longest run+4
    37

    Up 11–7 in the first set, Hofstra scored 7 straight to make it 18–7. That set ended 25–12.

Hofstra above 50Northeastern belowMax swing 1.4%

NortheasternHofstra

Aces
Northeastern 1·Hofstra 8
Serve err
Northeastern 1·Hofstra 3
Blocks
Northeastern 3·Hofstra 100 BS · 6 BA vs 2 BS · 16 BA
Digs
Northeastern 43·Hofstra 46

Win probability

RallyIQ model · strengths locked at first serve

Hofstra above 50 · Northeastern below
SET 1SET 2SET 310050100+1.4% NOEASTrally 117 · set 3

Biggest swing: 1.4% to Northeastern — set 1, NOEAST 1-0 HOFSTR. Ace by Valentina Meirelles on Lauren Konzen. HOFSTR win probability 87% → 86%.

Pre-match

Season fit · includes this match

NOEAST 11.4%88.6% HOFSTR

Northeastern wins

3-0
1.6%
3-1
3.5%
3-2
6.3%

Hofstra wins

3-0
42.2%
3-1
31.6%
3-2
14.8%
NOEAST break %
39.7% vs this opp
HOFSTR break %
48.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.5%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Top plays

Largest win-probability swings

  1. 01

    Ace by Valentina Meirelles on Lauren Konzen

    Set 1 · NOEAST 1-0 HOFSTR · NOEAST 13% → 14%

  2. 02
    Beatriz BragaKill+1.2%

    Kill by Beatriz Braga (set by Ellie Pamatat)

    Set 1 · NOEAST 1-2 HOFSTR · HOFSTR 87% → 88%

  3. 03
    Abbie CallawayAttack error+1.1%

    Attack error by Abbie Callaway

    Set 1 · NOEAST 1-3 HOFSTR · HOFSTR 88% → 89%

  4. 04

    Abbie Callaway stuffed by Constanza Perez Sain & Geovanna Gonçalves Rocha

    Set 1 · NOEAST 2-5 HOFSTR · HOFSTR 89% → 90%

  5. 05
    Beatriz BragaKill+1.0%

    Kill by Beatriz Braga (set by Ellie Pamatat)

    Set 1 · NOEAST 1-1 HOFSTR · HOFSTR 86% → 87%

  6. 06
    Emma RowellKill+0.9%

    Kill by Emma Rowell (set by Arina Sosinovica)

    Set 1 · NOEAST 2-3 HOFSTR · NOEAST 11% → 12%

  7. 07
    Julia AmorimAce+0.9%

    Ace by Julia Amorim on Abbie Callaway

    Set 1 · NOEAST 2-6 HOFSTR · HOFSTR 90% → 91%

  8. 08
    Julia AmorimKill+0.8%

    Kill by Julia Amorim (set by Ellie Pamatat)

    Set 1 · NOEAST 2-4 HOFSTR · HOFSTR 88% → 89%

Box score

Official NCAA box

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
34423.00011061010.55.5
3329.111000000214
31515-.267000220001
23420-.050000200003
21011.000800500001
2036-.50010120010.50.5
36314.214100120006
35210.300000100216
3001.0001200700000
3000–2001400000
3000–000000000
1326.167000000003
1000–000300000
Team totals2625105.010251143806342
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
39115.5331202014314
36218.22203350052.511.5
37221.238010100010.58.5
37220.250000500218
3327.143100201436
3203.66720201200004
35212.250000000005
31011.0001100300001
3000–400710000
Team totals401197.29937834612161075

Starters listed first. BLK is the NCAA total: a solo counts 1, a block assist ½. Recaps and press releases usually quote solos + assists instead, so the same night can be reported as a bigger, whole number. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Northeastern vs Hofstra

Season series · Hofstra leads 2-0

Momentum

Point differential by rally

Longest run 3 NOEAST · HOFSTR 7

Set 1

12-25

Longest run 2 NOEASTHOFSTR 7

Set 2

16-25

Longest run 3 NOEASTHOFSTR 7

Set 3

14-25

Longest run 2 NOEASTHOFSTR 4

Bars above the line = Hofstra leads, below = Northeastern leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Rotations

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Northeastern

SlotSideout %Break %
1
27%4/15
50%3/6
2
50%4/8
20%1/5
3
57%4/7
20%1/5
4
29%4/14
0%0/4
5
100%3/3
50%4/8
6
100%2/2
0%0/3
All
43%21/49
29%9/31

Hofstra

SlotSideout %Break %
1
80%4/5
70%7/10
2
80%4/5
56%5/9
3
80%4/5
43%3/7
4
57%4/7
69%9/13
5
80%4/5
50%4/8
6
50%2/4
0%0/2
All
71%22/31
57%28/49

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (2 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

Rally log

117 rallies

#NOEAST-HOFSTRSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
11-0NOEASTNOEASTAceValentina Meirellesaced Lauren Konzen+1.4
21-1NOEASTHOFSTR×3KillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+1.0
31-2HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+1.2
41-3HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Attack errAbbie Callaway+1.1
52-3HOFSTRNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+0.9
62-4NOEASTHOFSTR×4KillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat+0.8
72-5HOFSTRHOFSTR×4BlockedAbbie Callawayblk Constanza Perez Sain, Geovanna Gonçalves Rocha+1.0
82-6HOFSTRHOFSTR×4AceJulia Amorimaced Abbie Callaway+0.9
92-7HOFSTRHOFSTR×4BlockedEmma Rowellblk Melis Başaran, Geovanna Gonçalves Rocha+0.7
103-7HOFSTRNOEASTKillArina Sosinovicaset Valentina Meirelles+0.5
113-8NOEASTHOFSTRBlockedAbbie Callawayblk Constanza Perez Sain, Geovanna Gonçalves Rocha+0.5
124-8HOFSTRNOEASTKillAbbie Callawayset Sofia King+0.5
135-8NOEASTNOEASTBlockedGeovanna Gonçalves Rochablk Beatrice Gennari, Elle Lucas+0.8
145-9NOEASTHOFSTRBlockedBeatrice Gennariblk Geovanna Gonçalves Rocha+0.7
156-9HOFSTRNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Sofia King+0.7
166-10NOEASTHOFSTRAttack errElle Lucas+0.7
176-11HOFSTRHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz+0.7
187-11HOFSTRNOEASTKillKaylin Danielsset Sofia King+0.5
197-12NOEASTHOFSTR×7KillJulia Amorimset Sonja Rundcrantz+0.6
207-13HOFSTRHOFSTR×7KillConstanza Perez Sainset Lauren Konzen+0.6
217-14HOFSTRHOFSTR×7Attack errValentina Meirelles+0.4
227-15HOFSTRHOFSTR×7BlockedValentina Meirellesblk Julia Amorim, Constanza Perez Sain+0.3
237-16HOFSTRHOFSTR×7KillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+0.2
247-17HOFSTRHOFSTR×7Attack errEmma Rowell+0.1
257-18HOFSTRHOFSTR×7KillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat·
268-18HOFSTRNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Arina Sosinovica·
278-19NOEASTHOFSTRAttack errEmma Rowell·
289-19HOFSTRNOEASTKillKaylin Danielsset Arina Sosinovica·
299-20NOEASTHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat·
3010-20HOFSTRNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Beatrice Gennari·
3110-21NOEASTHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat·
3210-22HOFSTRHOFSTRAttack errBeatrice Gennari·
3311-22HOFSTRNOEASTServe errHofstra·
3411-23NOEASTHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz·
3512-23HOFSTRNOEASTServe errHofstra·
3612-24HOFSTR
NCAA feed gap1 point not loggedWhy?

The NCAA play-by-play skipped these points: the score changed but no play was logged, so we know who won each point, not how. They count in the score, momentum and win probability, but no player is credited. Box-score stats come from the official box score and are unaffected.

·
3712-25HOFSTRHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz·
Set 2
10-1HOFSTRHOFSTR×3BlockedAbbie Callawayblk Julia Amorim, Constanza Perez Sain+0.8
20-2HOFSTRHOFSTR×3AceHofstraaced Cayenne Ceman+0.8
30-3HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat+0.7
41-3HOFSTRNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Arina Sosinovica+0.5
51-4NOEASTHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat+0.5
61-5HOFSTRHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+0.6
72-5HOFSTRNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Arina Sosinovica+0.4
82-6NOEASTHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+0.4
93-6HOFSTRNOEASTAttack errConstanza Perez Sain+0.4
103-7NOEASTHOFSTR×7KillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+0.4
113-8HOFSTRHOFSTR×7AceHofstraaced Valentina Meirelles+0.5
123-9HOFSTRHOFSTR×7KillEllie Pamatatset Sofia King+0.4
133-10HOFSTRHOFSTR×7Serve errHofstra+0.3
143-11HOFSTRHOFSTR×7Attack errValentina Meirelles+0.2
153-12HOFSTRHOFSTR×7AceHofstra+0.1
163-13HOFSTRHOFSTR×7Attack errBeatrice Gennari+0.1
174-13HOFSTRNOEAST×3Serve errHofstra·
185-13NOEASTNOEAST×3BlockedBeatriz Bragablk Kaylin Daniels, Valentina Meirelles+0.1
196-13NOEASTNOEAST×3Attack errGeovanna Gonçalves Rocha+0.1
206-14NOEASTHOFSTRServe errBeatrice Gennari+0.1
217-14HOFSTRNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Sofia King+0.1
227-15NOEASTHOFSTRKillGeovanna Gonçalves Rochaset Sonja Rundcrantz+0.1
238-15HOFSTRNOEAST×3Attack errBeatriz Braga+0.1
249-15NOEASTNOEAST×3KillEmma Rowellset Arina Sosinovica+0.2
2510-15NOEASTNOEAST×3KillKaylin Danielsset Arina Sosinovica+0.3
2610-16NOEASTHOFSTR×5KillBeatriz Bragaset Sonja Rundcrantz+0.3
2710-17HOFSTRHOFSTR×5BlockedEmma Rowellblk Beatriz Braga, Julia Amorim+0.3
2810-18HOFSTRHOFSTR×5Attack errCayenne Ceman+0.1
2910-19HOFSTRHOFSTR×5AceEllie Pamatat+0.1
3010-20HOFSTRHOFSTR×5Attack errKaylin Daniels·
3111-20HOFSTRNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Arina Sosinovica·
3211-21NOEASTHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat·
3312-21HOFSTRNOEASTKillEmma Rowellset Cayenne Ceman·
3412-22NOEASTHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat·
3513-22HOFSTRNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Sofia King·
3613-23NOEASTHOFSTRKillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat·
3714-23HOFSTRNOEASTServe errHofstra·
3815-23NOEASTNOEASTBlockedDawn Penablk Kaylin Daniels, Elle Lucas·
3915-24NOEASTHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Lauren Konzen·
4016-24HOFSTRNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Sofia King·
4116-25NOEASTHOFSTRKillGeovanna Gonçalves Rochaset Sonja Rundcrantz·
Set 3
11-0NOEASTNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Sofia King+0.5
21-1NOEASTHOFSTR×4KillBeatriz Bragaset Ellie Pamatat+0.3
31-2HOFSTRHOFSTR×4AceHofstraaced Abbie Callaway+0.4
41-3HOFSTRHOFSTR×4KillMelis Başaranset Ellie Pamatat+0.4
51-4HOFSTRHOFSTR×4Attack errKaylin Daniels+0.3
62-4HOFSTRNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Sofia King+0.3
72-5NOEASTHOFSTR×3BlockedValentina Meirellesblk Constanza Perez Sain, Julia Amorim+0.3
82-6HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Attack errElle Lucas+0.3
92-7HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillConstanza Perez Sainset Julia Amorim+0.2
103-7HOFSTRNOEASTKillBryce Leatherwoodset Sofia King+0.2
113-8NOEASTHOFSTR×4KillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat+0.2
123-9HOFSTRHOFSTR×4AceHofstra+0.2
133-10HOFSTRHOFSTR×4KillEllie Pamatat+0.1
143-11HOFSTRHOFSTR×4BlockedAbbie Callawayblk Melis Başaran, Geovanna Gonçalves Rocha+0.1
154-11HOFSTRNOEASTKillBryce Leatherwoodset Sofia King+0.1
164-12NOEASTHOFSTR×3KillGeovanna Gonçalves Rochaset Sonja Rundcrantz+0.1
174-13HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Attack errBryce Leatherwood+0.1
184-14HOFSTRHOFSTR×3KillBeatriz Bragaset Lauren Konzen·
195-14HOFSTRNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Sofia King·
205-15NOEASTHOFSTRKillBeatriz Bragaset Geovanna Gonçalves Rocha·
216-15HOFSTRNOEASTAttack errMelis Başaran·
226-16NOEASTHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Sonja Rundcrantz·
237-16HOFSTRNOEASTKillCayenne Cemanset Sofia King·
247-17NOEASTHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat·
257-18HOFSTRHOFSTRBlockedCayenne Cemanblk Julia Amorim·
268-18HOFSTRNOEASTAttack errJulia Amorim·
279-18NOEASTNOEASTAttack errMelis Başaran·
289-19NOEASTHOFSTRKillJulia Amorimset Ellie Pamatat·
299-20HOFSTRHOFSTRAceJulia Amorimaced Cayenne Ceman·
3010-20HOFSTRNOEASTKillElle Lucasset Aven Crosby·
3111-20NOEASTNOEASTAttack errConstanza Perez Sain·
3211-21NOEASTHOFSTRKillConstanza Perez Sainset Ellie Pamatat·
3312-21HOFSTRNOEASTKillValentina Meirellesset Aven Crosby·
3412-22NOEASTHOFSTR×3KillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz·
3512-23HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Attack errBryce Leatherwood·
3612-24HOFSTRHOFSTR×3Attack errCayenne Ceman·
3713-24HOFSTRNOEASTKillBryce Leatherwoodset Sofia King·
3814-24NOEASTNOEASTAttack errDawn Pena·
3914-25NOEASTHOFSTRKillDawn Penaset Sonja Rundcrantz·

Score shown after each rally, Northeastern first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them.“NCAA feed gap” rows mark points the NCAA play-by-play never logged (tap Why? for details).