FinalSun, Sep 6, 2026

AwaySUN-BELT

0:3

HomeASUN

Lipscomb def. South Alabama 3–0

(25-21, 25-18, 25-21)

Set	1	2	3	Sets
S ALA	21	18	21	0
LIPSCO	25	25	25	3

RallyIQ model

Win probability

LIPSCO above 50 · S ALA below

Biggest swing: 3.1% to Lipscomb — set 1, S ALA 16-18 LIPSCO. Kill by Brooklyn Fuchs (set by Kelsey Schenck). LIPSCO win probability 76% → 80%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

S ALA 24.4%75.6% LIPSCO

South Alabama wins

3-0

4.3%

3-1

8.3%

3-2

11.8%

Lipscomb wins

3-0

27.5%

3-1

28.9%

3-2

19.2%

S ALA break %: 39.6% vs this opp
LIPSCO break %: 44.9% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

01
Brooklyn FuchsKill+3.1%
Kill by Brooklyn Fuchs (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 1 · S ALA 16-18 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 76% → 80%
02
Kelsey SchenckAttack error+3.1%
Attack error by Kelsey Schenck
Set 1 · S ALA 15-15 LIPSCO · S ALA 23% → 26%
03
Ella DurhamKill+2.6%
Kill by Ella Durham (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 1 · S ALA 16-19 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 80% → 82%
04
Anna Claire BrownKill+2.6%
Kill by Anna Claire Brown (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 1 · S ALA 12-14 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 76% → 79%
05
Ella DurhamAttack error+2.5%
Attack error by Ella Durham
Set 1 · S ALA 10-10 LIPSCO · S ALA 23% → 25%
06
Sydney StrengerKill+2.4%
Kill by Sydney Strenger (set by Kelsey Schenck)
Set 1 · S ALA 16-17 LIPSCO · LIPSCO 74% → 76%
07
LIPSCO serverService error+2.4%
Lipscomb service error
Set 1 · S ALA 16-16 LIPSCO · S ALA 24% → 26%
08
Anna Claire BrownAttack error+2.3%
Attack error by Anna Claire Brown
Set 1 · S ALA 4-2 LIPSCO · S ALA 27% → 29%

Official NCAA box

Box score

South Alabamaaway

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BS	BA	BLK	PTS
8Cambria GaierOH	3	7	3	30	.133	0	1	1	4	1	0	0	0	8
7Dalayla BlackwellMB	3	6	1	14	.357	0	0	0	2	0	1	1	1.5	7.5
4Eva DittmarOH	3	6	2	27	.148	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	6
22Alexa StrandbergMB	3	3	0	10	.300	0	0	2	3	0	0	1	0.5	3.5
2Anabelle CernyS	3	0	0	1	.000	21	0	3	11	0	0	0	0	0
0Sarah GoochOH	2	2	1	9	.111	0	0	0	4	1	0	0	0	2
6Elyse HeffnerMB	3	2	0	4	.500	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	3
3Addison HurstL/DS	3	0	1	1	-1.000	0	1	2	19	2	0	0	0	1
1Marissa TaixL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	0	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
15Halle NorvellS	2	0	0	0	–	4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
10Delaney LawsonOH	2	0	3	8	-.375	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
17Kathryn O'TooleDS	2	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0
Team totals		26	11	104	.144	25	4	9	44	6	1	4	3	60

Lipscombhome

Player	S	K	E	TA	Hit%	AST	SA	SE	DIG	RE	BA	BLK	PTS
18Ella DurhamOH	3	14	4	40	.250	1	0	0	7	2	0	0	14
7Anna Claire BrownOH	3	9	7	23	.087	1	1	4	5	0	1	0.5	10.5
3Sydney StrengerMB	3	7	0	13	.538	0	0	0	2	0	3	1.5	8.5
10Kelsey SchenckS	3	2	1	7	.143	37	4	0	8	0	3	1.5	7.5
11Brooklyn FuchsMB	3	5	2	19	.158	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	6
8Kenzie KucksL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	2	0	3	18	0	0	0	0
5Lexi GuinnOH	3	10	3	15	.467	0	0	0	3	1	1	0.5	10.5
15Grace JonesL/DS	3	0	0	0	–	4	1	1	10	1	0	0	1
13Makenna KirlinS	3	0	0	1	.000	1	0	0	3	0	0	0	0
9Charlotte RouthMB	1	0	1	1	-1.000	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0
2Luca BredenbergDS	1	0	0	0	–	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Team totals		47	18	119	.244	46	6	9	56	4	10	5	75

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 5 S ALA · LIPSCO 6

Set 1

21-25

Longest run 3 S ALALIPSCO 3

Set 2

18-25

Longest run 3 S ALALIPSCO 5

Set 3

21-25

Longest run 5 S ALALIPSCO 6

Bars above the line = Lipscomb leads, below = South Alabama leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

South Alabama

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	32%7/22	20%2/10
2	78%7/9	53%8/15
3	50%7/14	22%2/9
4	67%6/9	22%2/9
5	60%6/10	45%5/11
6	67%6/9	25%2/8
All	53%39/73	34%21/62

Lipscomb

Slot	Sideout %	Break %
1	67%8/12	54%7/13
2	47%7/15	59%10/17
3	88%7/8	42%5/12
4	88%7/8	46%6/13
5	50%6/12	33%3/9
6	86%6/7	33%3/9
All	66%41/62	47%34/73

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (3 of 3 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

135 rallies

Rally log

#	S ALA-LIPSCO	Srv	Point	End	Player	Setter / blockers / passer	WP Δ
Set 1
1	1-0	S ALA	S ALA	Kill	Eva Dittmar	set Anabelle Cerny	+2.1
2	1-1	S ALA	LIPSCO	Serve err	S ALA server		+1.4
3	1-2	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Ace	LIPSCO server	aced Cambria Gaier	+1.9
4	2-2	LIPSCO	S ALA×3	Attack err	Anna Claire Brown		+1.5
5	3-2	S ALA	S ALA×3	Attack err	Brooklyn Fuchs	blk Dalayla Blackwell	+2.2
6	4-2	S ALA	S ALA×3	Attack err	Anna Claire Brown		+2.3
7	4-3	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.6
8	5-3	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.8
9	5-4	S ALA	LIPSCO	Serve err	S ALA server		+1.6
10	5-5	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Anna Claire Brown	+2.2
11	6-5	LIPSCO	S ALA	Bad set	Grace Jones		+1.7
12	6-6	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.6
13	7-6	LIPSCO	S ALA	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+1.8
14	7-7	S ALA	LIPSCO×3	Serve err	S ALA server		+1.7
15	7-8	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Ella Durham	set Makenna Kirlin	+2.3
16	7-9	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Bad set	Anabelle Cerny		+2.1
17	8-9	LIPSCO	S ALA	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+1.6
18	8-10	S ALA	LIPSCO	Attack err	Sarah Gooch		+1.6
19	9-10	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Sarah Gooch	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.6
20	10-10	S ALA	S ALA	Attack err	Ella Durham		+2.5
21	10-11	S ALA	LIPSCO	Serve err	S ALA server		+1.8
22	11-11	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.9
23	11-12	S ALA	LIPSCO	Attack err	Cambria Gaier	blk Anna Claire Brown, Brooklyn Fuchs	+1.9
24	12-12	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+2.0
25	12-13	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.0
26	12-14	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.6
27	13-14	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Eva Dittmar	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.8
28	13-15	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.9
29	14-15	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.9
30	15-15	S ALA	S ALA	Attack err	Kelsey Schenck		+3.1
31	15-16	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.3
32	16-16	LIPSCO	S ALA	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+2.4
33	16-17	S ALA	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.4
34	16-18	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+3.1
35	16-19	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.6
36	17-19	LIPSCO	S ALA	Attack err	Brooklyn Fuchs		+1.6
37	17-20	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.0
38	18-20	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.6
39	18-21	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.1
40	18-22	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.9
41	19-22	LIPSCO	S ALA	Attack err	Anna Claire Brown		+0.8
42	19-23	S ALA	LIPSCO	Serve err	S ALA server		+1.3
43	20-23	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Eva Dittmar	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.6
44	21-23	S ALA	S ALA	Ace	S ALA server	aced Ella Durham	+1.8
45	21-24	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+2.3
46	21-25	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.1
Set 2
1	1-0	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Eva Dittmar	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.2
2	2-0	S ALA	S ALA	Attack err	Ella Durham		+1.7
3	2-1	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.2
4	3-1	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.3
5	3-2	S ALA	LIPSCO×4	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.2
6	3-3	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×4	Attack err	Eva Dittmar	blk Sydney Strenger, Lexi Guinn	+1.6
7	3-4	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×4	Ace	LIPSCO server	aced Addison Hurst	+1.6
8	3-5	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×4	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.5
9	4-5	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Alexa Strandberg	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.1
10	4-6	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.1
11	4-7	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Ace	LIPSCO server	aced Kathryn O'Toole	+1.4
12	5-7	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.0
13	5-8	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.0
14	6-8	LIPSCO	S ALA	Bad set	Kelsey Schenck		+1.0
15	7-8	S ALA	S ALA	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.6
16	7-9	S ALA	LIPSCO	Serve err	S ALA server		+1.2
17	7-10	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kenzie Kucks	+1.5
18	8-10	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Sarah Gooch	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.0
19	8-11	S ALA	LIPSCO×5	Serve err	S ALA server		+1.1
20	8-12	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×5	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.3
21	8-13	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×5	Ace	LIPSCO server	aced Sarah Gooch	+1.0
22	8-14	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×5	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.8
23	8-15	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×5	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.6
24	9-15	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Eva Dittmar	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.3
25	10-15	S ALA	S ALA	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.6
26	10-16	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.6
27	11-16	LIPSCO	S ALA×3	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.4
28	12-16	S ALA	S ALA×3	Attack err	Anna Claire Brown		+0.8
29	13-16	S ALA	S ALA×3	Ace	S ALA server	aced Grace Jones	+1.2
30	13-17	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.0
31	14-17	LIPSCO	S ALA	Attack err	Lexi Guinn		+0.9
32	15-17	S ALA	S ALA	Ace	S ALA server	aced Ella Durham	+1.6
33	15-18	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.4
34	15-19	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.5
35	16-19	LIPSCO	S ALA	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.8
36	16-20	S ALA	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.1
37	16-21	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Attack err	Delaney Lawson	blk Sydney Strenger, Kelsey Schenck	+1.0
38	16-22	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Attack err	Delaney Lawson	blk Sydney Strenger, Kelsey Schenck	+0.5
39	17-22	LIPSCO	S ALA	Attack err	Charlotte Routh		+0.2
40	17-23	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Kelsey Schenck	set Grace Jones	+0.3
41	18-23	LIPSCO	S ALA	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.1
42	18-24	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.2
43	18-25	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.1
Set 3
1	0-1	S ALA	LIPSCO×3	Attack err	Dalayla Blackwell		+0.6
2	0-2	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Grace Jones	+0.8
3	0-3	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Ella Durham	set Grace Jones	+0.7
4	1-3	LIPSCO	S ALA×5	Attack err	Anna Claire Brown		+0.5
5	2-3	S ALA	S ALA×5	Attack err	Ella Durham		+0.8
6	3-3	S ALA	S ALA×5	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.9
7	4-3	S ALA	S ALA×5	Kill	Cambria Gaier	set Anabelle Cerny	+1.0
8	5-3	S ALA	S ALA×5	Attack err	Anna Claire Brown		+1.0
9	5-4	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.7
10	5-5	LIPSCO	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Ella Durham	+1.0
11	6-5	LIPSCO	S ALA	Attack err	Lexi Guinn		+0.7
12	6-6	S ALA	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Brooklyn Fuchs	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.7
13	6-7	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Attack err	Eva Dittmar		+0.9
14	6-8	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Grace Jones	+0.9
15	7-8	LIPSCO	S ALA	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.6
16	7-9	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Lexi Guinn	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.7
17	8-9	LIPSCO	S ALA×4	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.7
18	9-9	S ALA	S ALA×4	Kill	Alexa Strandberg	set Halle Norvell	+1.0
19	10-9	S ALA	S ALA×4	Kill	Elyse Heffner		+1.1
20	11-9	S ALA	S ALA×4	Ace	S ALA server	aced Lexi Guinn	+1.2
21	11-10	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.8
22	12-10	LIPSCO	S ALA	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.9
23	12-11	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.8
24	13-11	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Elyse Heffner	set Halle Norvell	+1.0
25	13-12	S ALA	LIPSCO×6	Attack err	Delaney Lawson	blk Kelsey Schenck, Brooklyn Fuchs	+0.9
26	13-13	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×6	Kill	Ella Durham	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.2
27	13-14	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×6	Attack err	Cambria Gaier		+1.2
28	13-15	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×6	Kill	Anna Claire Brown	set Kelsey Schenck	+1.1
29	13-16	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×6	Ace	LIPSCO server	aced Addison Hurst	+1.0
30	13-17	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×6	Ace	LIPSCO server	aced Delaney Lawson	+0.8
31	14-17	LIPSCO	S ALA	Attack err	Anna Claire Brown		+0.5
32	14-18	S ALA	LIPSCO	Serve err	S ALA server		+0.6
33	15-18	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Eva Dittmar	set Anabelle Cerny	+0.5
34	15-19	S ALA	LIPSCO	Bad set	Anabelle Cerny		+0.6
35	16-19	LIPSCO	S ALA	Bad set	Kelsey Schenck		+0.5
36	16-20	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.6
37	17-20	LIPSCO	S ALA	Serve err	LIPSCO server		+0.4
38	18-20	S ALA	S ALA	Attack err	Lexi Guinn	blk Alexa Strandberg, Elyse Heffner	+0.9
39	18-21	S ALA	LIPSCO	Kill	Sydney Strenger	set Kelsey Schenck	+0.9
40	19-21	LIPSCO	S ALA	Kill	Alexa Strandberg	set Halle Norvell	+0.7
41	20-21	S ALA	S ALA	Kill	Dalayla Blackwell	set Halle Norvell	+1.4
42	20-22	S ALA	LIPSCO	Serve err	S ALA server		+1.3
43	21-22	LIPSCO	S ALA	Attack err	Ella Durham	blk Dalayla Blackwell, Elyse Heffner	+1.1
44	21-23	S ALA	LIPSCO×3	Kill	Kelsey Schenck	set Kenzie Kucks	+1.5
45	21-24	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Attack err	Addison Hurst		+1.3
46	21-25	LIPSCO	LIPSCO×3	Attack err	Cambria Gaier		+0.5

Score shown after each rally, South Alabama first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.