CollegeVolleyball
Final · 4 setsFri, Aug 28, 2026

Western Mich. def. Green Bay 31

(25-18, 25-27, 25-11, 27-25)
Set1234Sets
GRNBAY182711251
W MICH252525273

RallyIQ model

Win probability

W MICH above 50 · GRNBAY below
SET 1SET 2SET 3SET 410050100W MICHGRNBAYBiggest swing +11.1% W MICH · S4 24-24rally 183 · set 4

Biggest swing: 11.1% to Western Mich. — set 4, GRNBAY 24-24 W MICH. Diane Pichelman stuffed by Mia Jurkovic. W MICH win probability 70%81%.

Before first serve

Pre-match

GRNBAY 26.0%74.0% W MICH

Green Bay wins

3-0
4.7%
3-1
9.0%
3-2
12.4%

Western Mich. wins

3-0
26.2%
3-1
28.3%
3-2
19.5%
GRNBAY break %
40.2% vs this opp
W MICH break %
45.1% vs this opp

Exact Markov model on each team's RallyIQ serve and receive strength, adjusted for schedule and applied to this matchup (D1 average break % 42.7%). Ratings use the whole season, including this match. Gold = actual result.

Largest win-probability swings

Top plays

  1. 01
    Diane PichelmanAttack error+11.1%

    Diane Pichelman stuffed by Mia Jurkovic

    Set 4 · GRNBAY 24-24 W MICH · W MICH 70%81%

  2. 02
    Izzy SwierczKill+9.9%

    Kill by Izzy Swiercz (set by Leah Richmond)

    Set 4 · GRNBAY 25-26 W MICH · W MICH 81%91%

  3. 03
    Leah RichmondKill+8.8%

    Kill by Leah Richmond (set by Carley Piercefield)

    Set 4 · GRNBAY 25-27 W MICH · W MICH 91%100%

  4. 04

    Kill by Diane Pichelman (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 4 · GRNBAY 25-24 W MICH · GRNBAY 19%27%

  5. 05
    Gillian KoningAttack error+8.1%

    Attack error by Gillian Koning

    Set 4 · GRNBAY 25-25 W MICH · W MICH 73%81%

  6. 06

    Kill by Diane Pichelman (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 27-25 W MICH · GRNBAY 23%31%

  7. 07
    Kirsten FishKill+7.2%

    Kill by Kirsten Fish (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 2 · GRNBAY 25-24 W MICH · GRNBAY 16%23%

  8. 08

    Kill by Kayla Birmingham (set by Alexa Hernandez)

    Set 4 · GRNBAY 24-22 W MICH · GRNBAY 27%33%

Official NCAA box

Box score

PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413226.42301330031.515.5
414648.16700023010.514.5
44415.00000010233.57.5
4205.400380390010.52.5
4000113710001
4000101710000
49629.10310051010.59.5
4001.0000141510001
35111.364100100216
3000024300002
2000000000000
1011-1.00000000010.50.5
1000000000000
1000000000000
Team totals4720136.199425185311212881
PlayerSKETAHit%ASTSASEDIGREBSBABLKPTS
413436.250222102132.517.5
413532.25012210102116
46215.2670233004210
48217.35300010031.59.5
4419.3334241500219
40000121000001
46317.176000001017
40003002110000
Team totals5017126.2624811106052149102

Starters listed first. BLK = BS + ½ BA. The box score is the source for every counting stat on this page.

Point differential by rally

Momentum

Longest run 4 GRNBAY · W MICH 6

Set 1

18-25

Longest run 2 GRNBAYW MICH 3

Set 2

27-25

Longest run 4 GRNBAYW MICH 6

Set 3

11-25

Longest run 2 GRNBAYW MICH 5

Set 4

25-27

Longest run 4 GRNBAYW MICH 3

Bars above the line = Western Mich. leads, below = Green Bay leads. Bright bars are points inside a run of 3+.

Sideout and break % by rotation slot

Rotations

Green Bay

SlotSideout %Break %
1
48%11/23
31%4/13
2
48%11/23
42%8/19
3
43%10/23
21%3/14
4
62%8/13
44%7/16
5
70%7/10
27%3/11
6
78%7/9
22%2/9
All
53%54/101
33%27/82

Western Mich.

SlotSideout %Break %
1
65%11/17
57%12/21
2
65%11/17
35%6/17
3
67%10/15
57%13/23
4
62%8/13
53%10/19
5
62%8/13
27%3/11
6
100%7/7
30%3/10
All
67%55/82
47%47/101

Slot = rotations since the start of the set (slot 1 is the lineup a team opened the set in), not a fixed player alignment. Only clean sets count (4 of 4 here): sets where the NCAA play-by-play has gaps or score corrections are left out because the rotation can't be tracked through them.

183 rallies

Rally log

#GRNBAY-W MICHSrvPointEndPlayerSetter / blockers / passerWP Δ
Set 1
10-1W MICHW MICHKillLeah Richmondset Carley Piercefield+1.9
20-2W MICHW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+1.8
31-2W MICHGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
41-3GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+1.4
52-3W MICHGRNBAYServe errW MICH server+1.4
62-4GRNBAYW MICH×3Attack errJessica Kurpeikis+1.4
72-5W MICHW MICH×3AceW MICH serveraced Team+1.7
82-6W MICHW MICH×3AceW MICH serveraced Gillian Koning+1.5
93-6W MICHGRNBAYAttack errMia Jurkovic+1.1
103-7GRNBAYW MICH×3KillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+1.1
113-8W MICHW MICH×3KillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+1.3
123-9W MICHW MICH×3AceW MICH serveraced Macy Kline+1.1
134-9W MICHGRNBAYServe errW MICH server+0.7
144-10GRNBAYW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+0.8
155-10W MICHGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
165-11GRNBAYW MICHAttack errKayla Birmingham+0.8
176-11W MICHGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
186-12GRNBAYW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+0.8
196-13W MICHW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.8
207-13W MICHGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.4
218-13GRNBAYGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.8
228-14GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+0.8
238-15W MICHW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.8
249-15W MICHGRNBAYServe errW MICH server+0.4
259-16GRNBAYW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.5
269-17W MICHW MICHAceW MICH serveraced Team+0.5
2710-17W MICHGRNBAYAttack errMia Jurkovicblk Olivia Neumann, Jessica Kurpeikis+0.2
2811-17GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGRNBAY serveraced Carley Piercefield+0.5
2911-18GRNBAYW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.5
3012-18W MICHGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+0.3
3112-19GRNBAYW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+0.4
3213-19W MICHGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+0.3
3314-19GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errCassidy Pratley+0.6
3414-20GRNBAYW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+0.7
3514-21W MICHW MICHAttack errKayla Birmingham+0.5
3615-21W MICHGRNBAYServe errW MICH server+0.2
3715-22GRNBAYW MICHKillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+0.3
3816-22W MICHGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.1
3917-22GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGRNBAY serveraced Izzy Swiercz+0.3
4017-23GRNBAYW MICHAttack errGillian Koning+0.4
4118-23W MICHGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.2
4218-24GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+0.3
4318-25W MICHW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+0.1
Set 2
11-0GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errAnnalise Patchett+1.7
21-1GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+1.2
32-1W MICHGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
42-2GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+1.2
53-2W MICHGRNBAY×3KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.3
64-2GRNBAYGRNBAY×3Attack errMia Jurkovicblk Diane Pichelman, Kirsten Fish+1.9
75-2GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillKayla Birminghamset Kirsten Fish+1.9
85-3GRNBAYW MICH×3KillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+1.3
95-4W MICHW MICH×3Bad setAlexa Hernandez+1.8
105-5W MICHW MICH×3KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+1.8
116-5W MICHGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.4
126-6GRNBAYW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+1.4
136-7W MICHW MICHAceW MICH serveraced Team+1.8
147-7W MICHGRNBAY×3KillAlexa Hernandezset Kennedy Schmitz+1.4
158-7GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.0
169-7GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+2.1
179-8GRNBAYW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+1.5
1810-8W MICHGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
1910-9GRNBAYW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+1.5
2011-9W MICHGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
2111-10GRNBAYW MICHAttack errKirsten Fishblk Annalise Patchett, Cassidy Pratley+1.5
2212-10W MICHGRNBAY×4KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
2313-10GRNBAYGRNBAY×4AceGRNBAY serveraced Team+2.4
2414-10GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errIzzy Swiercz+2.3
2515-10GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+2.0
2615-11GRNBAYW MICH×6KillAnnalise Patchettset Izzy Swiercz+1.1
2715-12W MICHW MICH×6AceW MICH serveraced Kayla Birmingham+1.9
2815-13W MICHW MICH×6Attack errKayla Birmingham+2.2
2915-14W MICHW MICH×6KillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+2.4
3015-15W MICHW MICH×6Attack errOlivia Neumann+2.6
3115-16W MICHW MICH×6Attack errOlivia Neumannblk Annalise Patchett, Gabby Weihe+2.6
3216-16W MICHGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+2.0
3316-17GRNBAYW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+2.0
3416-18W MICHW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+2.5
3517-18W MICHGRNBAYBad setLeah Richmond+1.8
3618-18GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errIzzy Swiercz+3.0
3718-19GRNBAYW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+2.3
3819-19W MICHGRNBAYAttack errIzzy Swierczblk Alexa Hernandez, Diane Pichelman+2.4
3920-19GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errIzzy Swiercz+3.8
4020-20GRNBAYW MICHAttack errDiane Pichelman+2.6
4121-20W MICHGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+3.1
4221-21GRNBAYW MICHKillLeah Richmondset Carley Piercefield+2.9
4322-21W MICHGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+3.6
4422-22GRNBAYW MICHAttack errGillian Koning+3.3
4523-22W MICHGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+4.3
4623-23GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+3.9
4723-24W MICHW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+6.6
4824-24W MICHGRNBAYAttack errGabby Weiheblk Olivia Neumann+4.8
4925-24GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+7.2
5025-25GRNBAYW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+5.4
5126-25W MICHGRNBAYServe errW MICH server+5.4
5227-25GRNBAYGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+8.0
Set 3
10-1W MICHW MICH×4KillLeah Richmondset Annalise Patchett+2.8
20-2W MICHW MICH×4KillCassidy Pratley+2.6
30-3W MICHW MICH×4Attack errOlivia Neumannblk Annalise Patchett, Cassidy Pratley+2.4
40-4W MICHW MICH×4AceW MICH serveraced Kennedy Schmitz+2.1
51-4W MICHGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.5
61-5GRNBAYW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+1.6
71-6W MICHW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+1.8
82-6W MICHGRNBAYAttack errAnnalise Patchett+1.2
92-7GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+1.4
103-7W MICHGRNBAYKillOlivia Neumannset Carley Piercefield+1.2
113-8GRNBAYW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Leah Richmond+1.4
123-9W MICHW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+1.5
134-9W MICHGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+1.0
144-10GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+1.1
154-11W MICHW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+1.2
165-11W MICHGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+0.7
176-11GRNBAYGRNBAYAttack errCassidy Pratleyblk Gillian Koning, Diane Pichelman+1.3
186-12GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+1.1
197-12W MICHGRNBAYServe errW MICH server+0.9
207-13GRNBAYW MICH×5KillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+1.1
217-14W MICHW MICH×5Attack errGillian Koningblk Leah Richmond, Cassidy Pratley+1.1
227-15W MICHW MICH×5AceW MICH serveraced Kendall Schara+0.8
237-16W MICHW MICH×5Attack errGillian Koningblk Leah Richmond, Cassidy Pratley+0.5
247-17W MICHW MICH×5Attack errOlivia Neumann+0.3
258-17W MICHGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+0.1
268-18GRNBAYW MICH×4Serve errGRNBAY server+0.2
278-19W MICHW MICH×4KillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+0.1
288-20W MICHW MICH×4AceW MICH serveraced Gillian Koning+0.0
298-21W MICHW MICH×4AceW MICH serveraced Gillian Koning+0.0
309-21W MICHGRNBAYAttack errIzzy Swierczblk Olivia Neumann+0.0
319-22GRNBAYW MICH×3Serve errGRNBAY server+0.0
329-23W MICHW MICH×3KillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+0.0
339-24W MICHW MICH×3Bad setKirsten Fish+0.0
3410-24W MICHGRNBAYServe errW MICH server+0.0
3511-24GRNBAYGRNBAYAceGRNBAY serveraced Annalise Patchett+0.0
3611-25GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+0.0
Set 4
10-1GRNBAYW MICHKillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+1.7
21-1W MICHGRNBAYKillGillian Koningset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
31-2GRNBAYW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+1.7
42-2W MICHGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.8
52-3GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+1.8
62-4W MICHW MICHAttack errKayla Birminghamblk Izzy Swiercz, Gabby Weihe+2.3
73-4W MICHGRNBAY×3KillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+1.7
84-4GRNBAYGRNBAY×3AceGRNBAY serveraced Annalise Patchett+2.6
95-4GRNBAYGRNBAY×3KillAlexa Hernandezset Kayla Birmingham+2.8
105-5GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+2.0
116-5W MICHGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.2
126-6GRNBAYW MICHKillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+2.0
137-6W MICHGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.2
147-7GRNBAYW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+2.1
157-8W MICHW MICHKillCassidy Pratleyset Leah Richmond+2.8
168-8W MICHGRNBAY×4Serve errW MICH server+2.2
179-8GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Bad setLeah Richmond+3.1
1810-8GRNBAYGRNBAY×4KillOlivia Neumannset Alexa Hernandez+3.3
1911-8GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errAnnalise Patchettblk Kirsten Fish, Olivia Neumann+3.4
2011-9GRNBAYW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+2.2
2112-9W MICHGRNBAYServe errW MICH server+2.6
2212-10GRNBAYW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+2.2
2312-11W MICHW MICHAttack errKayla Birminghamblk Annalise Patchett+3.3
2413-11W MICHGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+2.8
2513-12GRNBAYW MICH×3Serve errGRNBAY server+2.5
2613-13W MICHW MICH×3AceW MICH serveraced Team+3.5
2713-14W MICHW MICH×3Bad setKirsten Fish+3.5
2814-14W MICHGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+2.7
2915-14GRNBAYGRNBAYKillKayla Birmingham+4.0
3015-15GRNBAYW MICHKillMia Jurkovicset Annalise Patchett+2.8
3116-15W MICHGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+3.2
3216-16GRNBAYW MICHKillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+3.0
3317-16W MICHGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Leah Richmond+3.4
3417-17GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+3.2
3518-17W MICHGRNBAYServe errW MICH server+3.6
3618-18GRNBAYW MICHAttack errGillian Koning+3.4
3718-19W MICHW MICHKillGabby Weiheset Leah Richmond+4.8
3819-19W MICHGRNBAY×4KillGillian Koningset Kendall Schara+3.6
3920-19GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errLeah Richmond+5.7
4021-19GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errAnnalise Patchett+5.9
4122-19GRNBAYGRNBAY×4Attack errGabby Weiheblk Olivia Neumann, Kayla Birmingham+5.3
4222-20GRNBAYW MICHKillAnnalise Patchettset Leah Richmond+2.5
4323-20W MICHGRNBAYKillKirsten Fishset Alexa Hernandez+4.2
4423-21GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+2.3
4523-22W MICHW MICHAttack errKayla Birminghamblk Izzy Swiercz, Gabby Weihe+5.3
4624-22W MICHGRNBAYKillKayla Birminghamset Alexa Hernandez+6.7
4724-23GRNBAYW MICHServe errGRNBAY server+3.7
4824-24W MICHW MICHAttack errDiane Pichelmanblk Mia Jurkovic+11.1
4925-24W MICHGRNBAYKillDiane Pichelmanset Alexa Hernandez+8.1
5025-25GRNBAYW MICH×3Attack errGillian Koning+8.1
5125-26W MICHW MICH×3KillIzzy Swierczset Leah Richmond+9.9
5225-27W MICHW MICH×3KillLeah Richmondset Carley Piercefield+8.8

Score shown after each rally, Green Bay first. WP Δ = match win-probability points gained, colored by the team that gained them. “Feed gap” rows fill points the NCAA play-by-play never logged.